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The Future of Media Groups:
Introduction: New Paradigm


                                     (part 1 of 4)

         www.fernandosamaniego.com
Index


1.   New Paradigm
2.   Content
3.   Brand and Portfolio
4.   Revenues




                 www.fernandosamaniego.com
What’s Happening to Newspapers?
                                   ACKOWLEDGEMENTS

This series of slides is a summary of a more complete presentation shown in the second half
 of 2010 to a proactive and profitable client of mine which is moving forward out of its own
                                   vision, not out of despair.

 The following slides, without the original comments and the ensuing discussions, are little
 more than a skeleton but I hope they can be used to stimulate debate regarding the times
                              to come for the media business.

I want to show my deep gratitude for the many lessons taught to me by the many managers
   I have visited during the last few years, the list of which would be too long to mention.

    I also want to thank many other people from whom I have learned through personal
   conversations or through their presentations: Jeff Jarvis, John Paton, Juan Señor, Juan
  Antonio Giner, Rob Curley, Randy Covington, Dietmar Schantin, Grzegorz Piechota, Juan
                           Varela, Andy Dickinson, Dan Gillmor…



                                   www.fernandosamaniego.com
What’s Happening to Newspapers?
For the last 10 years, costs have been catching up with
diminishing revenues

                                         BUT
                                                 Trend acceleration in last few yrs
      Revenues


     Costs




      Time



                           www.fernandosamaniego.com
What’s Happening to Newspapers?
  After all, newspapers follow the general product curve
  Newspapers, flourished in the 19th Century , boomed in the 20th
    Century and are bound for a deep transformation in the 21st Century


                                Development


                                                Introduction


                                                               Growth


                                                                          Maturity


                                                                                     Decline
                Sales Volume




                               Time

To remain significant, the news business will play significantly different roles

                                              www.fernandosamaniego.com
These Guys Lost Their Jobs…
                                             (yes, but
         We deliver                        every day a
          the best                          little less)
            ice!




               www.fernandosamaniego.com
Radical Transformation of Business Reality (Not Only Newspapers)


                Reducing costs…

                                                    Tweaking
                                                    model…
           Learning new
           tricks…

                   will not be enough!


  Let’s learn from Disruptive Innovations…
                        www.fernandosamaniego.com
Disruptive Innovations

Disruption Process

P
E
R
F
O
R
M
A
N
C
E



                                                 TIME


                     www.fernandosamaniego.com
Disruptive Innovations (cont.)
                                        (Also CD v. magnetic tapes; early automobiles v.
Example: digital camera                 horse drawn vehicles; ice houses v. refrigerators…)



Early digital cameras were unsophisticated, addressed to the low-end
consumer. Established companies ignored them.
They evolved and incumbents reacted by designing sophisticated film
cameras addressed to premium buyers.

They kept evolving and were adopted by pros. Camera
and film makers…were big losers

        Improving product, reducing costs,
     learning new tricks, was not the answer.
       Instead, understanding a completely

      new ecosystem   was the way

                           www.fernandosamaniego.com
We must map out
our own future!

“The way we think
about our jobs and
journalism must
change!”
        Randy Covington




                    www.fernandosamaniego.com
Radical New Paradigm for the News Business




                                              From large media
                                           companies and groups to
                                           new, smaller, ecosystems




               www.fernandosamaniego.com         (Graphs by Jeff Jarvis)
To Succeed,

1. Accept that radical change has happened outside and has to
   happen inside

2. Be ready to shrink (and suffer),
   to transform

3. Be ready to reboot your mind. Be
   smart, be agile, do more with less

                                                Hollywood was right: any mutation is painful


              The future is smaller, less corporate,
                     more entrepreneurial


                         www.fernandosamaniego.com
To succeed, Few Things are Important in this Journey:

                              A Vision (ready to be adjusted)


Support (from the top)



                                                       A Team (working as such)




          And a clear understanding that only 2 things really matter:

            CONTENT                      &            BRAND
                (technology, mktg, HR…they are all means)
                          www.fernandosamaniego.com

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Future of Media, Part 1, New News Paradigm

  • 1. The Future of Media Groups: Introduction: New Paradigm (part 1 of 4) www.fernandosamaniego.com
  • 2. Index 1. New Paradigm 2. Content 3. Brand and Portfolio 4. Revenues www.fernandosamaniego.com
  • 3. What’s Happening to Newspapers? ACKOWLEDGEMENTS This series of slides is a summary of a more complete presentation shown in the second half of 2010 to a proactive and profitable client of mine which is moving forward out of its own vision, not out of despair. The following slides, without the original comments and the ensuing discussions, are little more than a skeleton but I hope they can be used to stimulate debate regarding the times to come for the media business. I want to show my deep gratitude for the many lessons taught to me by the many managers I have visited during the last few years, the list of which would be too long to mention. I also want to thank many other people from whom I have learned through personal conversations or through their presentations: Jeff Jarvis, John Paton, Juan Señor, Juan Antonio Giner, Rob Curley, Randy Covington, Dietmar Schantin, Grzegorz Piechota, Juan Varela, Andy Dickinson, Dan Gillmor… www.fernandosamaniego.com
  • 4. What’s Happening to Newspapers? For the last 10 years, costs have been catching up with diminishing revenues BUT Trend acceleration in last few yrs Revenues Costs Time www.fernandosamaniego.com
  • 5. What’s Happening to Newspapers? After all, newspapers follow the general product curve Newspapers, flourished in the 19th Century , boomed in the 20th Century and are bound for a deep transformation in the 21st Century Development Introduction Growth Maturity Decline Sales Volume Time To remain significant, the news business will play significantly different roles www.fernandosamaniego.com
  • 6. These Guys Lost Their Jobs… (yes, but We deliver every day a the best little less) ice! www.fernandosamaniego.com
  • 7. Radical Transformation of Business Reality (Not Only Newspapers) Reducing costs… Tweaking model… Learning new tricks… will not be enough! Let’s learn from Disruptive Innovations… www.fernandosamaniego.com
  • 9. Disruptive Innovations (cont.) (Also CD v. magnetic tapes; early automobiles v. Example: digital camera horse drawn vehicles; ice houses v. refrigerators…) Early digital cameras were unsophisticated, addressed to the low-end consumer. Established companies ignored them. They evolved and incumbents reacted by designing sophisticated film cameras addressed to premium buyers. They kept evolving and were adopted by pros. Camera and film makers…were big losers Improving product, reducing costs, learning new tricks, was not the answer. Instead, understanding a completely new ecosystem was the way www.fernandosamaniego.com
  • 10. We must map out our own future! “The way we think about our jobs and journalism must change!” Randy Covington www.fernandosamaniego.com
  • 11. Radical New Paradigm for the News Business From large media companies and groups to new, smaller, ecosystems www.fernandosamaniego.com (Graphs by Jeff Jarvis)
  • 12. To Succeed, 1. Accept that radical change has happened outside and has to happen inside 2. Be ready to shrink (and suffer), to transform 3. Be ready to reboot your mind. Be smart, be agile, do more with less Hollywood was right: any mutation is painful The future is smaller, less corporate, more entrepreneurial www.fernandosamaniego.com
  • 13. To succeed, Few Things are Important in this Journey: A Vision (ready to be adjusted) Support (from the top) A Team (working as such) And a clear understanding that only 2 things really matter: CONTENT & BRAND (technology, mktg, HR…they are all means) www.fernandosamaniego.com