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Lehman Brothers Financial Services Conference


Gary Perlin
Chief Financial Officer
May 21, 2008
Forward looking statements
Forward-Looking Information
Please note that the following materials containing information regarding Capital One’s financial performance speak only as of the particular
date or dates indicated in these materials. Capital One does not undertake any obligation to update or revise any of the information
contained herein whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.


Certain statements in this presentation and other oral and written statements made by the Company from time to time, are forward-looking
statements, including those that discuss strategies, goals, outlook or other non-historical matters; projections, revenues, income, returns,
earnings per share or other financial measures for Capital One and/or discuss the assumptions that underlie these projections, including
future financial and operating results, and the company’s plans, objectives, expectations and intentions. To the extent that any such
information is forward-looking, it is intended to fit within the safe harbor for forward-looking information provided by the Private Securities
Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Numerous factors could cause our actual results to differ materially from those described in forward-looking
statements, including, among other things: general economic and business conditions in the U.S. and or the UK, including conditions
affecting consumer income, spending and repayments, changes in the credit environment in the U.S. and or the UK, including an increase or
decrease in credit losses, changes in the interest rate environment; continued intense competition from numerous providers of products and
services that compete with our businesses; financial, legal, regulatory or accounting changes or actions; changes in our aggregate accounts or
consumer loan balances and the growth rate and composition thereof; the amount of deposit growth; changes in the reputation of the credit
card industry and/or the company with respect to practices and products; the risk that Capital One’s acquired businesses will not be
integrated successfully; the risk that synergies from such acquisitions may not be fully realized or may take longer to realize than expected;
disruption from the acquisitions making it more difficult to maintain relationships with customers, employees or suppliers; the risk that the
benefits of the Company’s restructuring initiative, including cost savings, may not be fully realized; our ability to access the capital markets at
attractive rates and terms to fund our operations and future growth; losses associated with new products or services; the company’s ability to
execute on its strategic and operational plans; any significant disruption in our operations or technology platform; our ability to effectively
control our costs; the success of marketing efforts; our ability to recruit and retain experienced management personnel; changes in the labor
employment market; general economic conditions in the mortgage industry; and other factors listed from time to time in reports we file with
the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”), including, but not limited to, factors set forth under the caption “Risk Factors” in our
Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007. You should carefully consider the factors discussed above in evaluating
these forward-looking statements. All information in these slides is based on the consolidated results of Capital One Financial Corporation. A
reconciliation of any non-GAAP financial measures included in this presentation can be found in the Company’s most recent Form 10-K
concerning annual financial results, available on the Company’s website at www.capitalone.com in Investor Relations under “About Capital
One.”


                                                                                                                                                      2
Capital One is:


                                                     • Top 10 bank
          A leading                                  • $87.6B in deposits
     financial institution                                  – 14th largest depository institution in the U.S.
                                                            – Full service banking in the New York
                                                              metropolitan area, Louisiana and Texas




      A top diversified                              • $151B in managed loans
           lender                                    • 5th largest credit card issuer2




                1)   Deposits total as of Q4 2007; ranking as of Q3 2007. Ranking includes domestic deposits.
                                                                                                                3
                2)   VISA, MasterCard, Amex, Discover reported domestic Outstandings
Capital One is a diversified bank that is now primarily funded by
    deposits
                                              Relative Deposit Funding, Q4 2007
                                          Deposits as a Percentage of Managed Liabilities1
           100%
                                                                                                                                  12
                                                                                                                   13
                                                                    14              16                                                                   All Other3
                                                                                                   19                                             19
            90%
                                                                                                                                   9
                      34                             34
                                     38
            80%                                                                                                    14
                                                                                                                                                         Unsecured Debt
                                                                                                                                                   6
                                                                                    19
                                                                    23                                                             9
                                                                                                   20
            70%
                                                                                                                   18
                                                                                                                                                         Securitizations
                                                                                                                                                  28
                      12                             12
            60%                                                      7              11
                                                                                                   12
                                     20              5
                       6
            50%
                                                                                                                                                         Other Deposits
                       9                                                                                                                           8
            40%                       5
                                                     23
                                                                                                                                  69
            30%                                                     57                                             55
                                                                                    55
                                                                                                   49
                                     28
                                                                                                                                                         Core Deposits2
            20%       39                                                                                                                          39
                                                     26
            10%
                                     10
             0%
                    Bank of         Citi           JPM         Wachovia          Wells           US           SunTrust         Regions         Capital
                    America                       Chase                          Fargo         Bancorp                                          One

% Deposit Funded:    48%           38%             49%             64%            66%             61%            73%             78%             47%




                       1. Deposits as a Percent of Managed Liabilities includes all balance sheet liabilities plus off-balance sheet securitizations
                                                                                                                                                                           4
                       2. Core Deposits defined as Total Deposits, less jumbo time deposits, foreign deposits, and any unclassified deposits
                       3. Other includes short-term borrowing and Fed funds
                       Source: Company Reports
Our loan book has also diversified


 $B
                                                    Managed Outstandings
$160                                                                                                                                          $151
                                                                                                                                $146**

$140
                                                                                                                                                      Banking
                                                                                                                                                44
$120
                                                                                                                   $105*

$100                                                                                                                                                  Global
                                                                                                                                                      Financial
                                                                                                                                               29.3
                                                                                                      $80
                                                                                                                                                      Services
$80                                                                                     $71

                                                                           $60                                                                        Auto
                                                                                                                                               25.1
$60                                                                                                                                                   Loans
                                                              $45

$40                                            $30
                                                                                                                                                      U.S.
                                 $20
                  $17                                                                                                                          52.1   Credit
       $14
$20                                                                                                                                                   Cards


 $0
       1997      1998          1999           2000          2001          2002         2003         2004          2005          2006          2007
              *For YE 2005, Banking segment was included in “Other” category, and included Hibernia auto loans that were moved to Auto segment in
              Q1 2006.
                                                                                                                                                                  5
              **For YE 2006, North Fork loans were included in “Other” category
Asset classes behave differently

                                                  U.S. 30 Day+ Delinquency Rate
                                                                 Indexed to Q1 1998

                                                                           Other Consumer
              Mortgage-Related                                                                               Commercial
                                                    250%
250%                                                                                          250%




                                                    200%
200%                                                                                          200%
                                Mortgage                                                                        C&I




                                                    150%
150%                                                                                          150%
                                                                          Card



                                                    100%
100%                                                                                          100%

                                                                                       Auto

                                                                                                            CRE
                                                     50%
50%                                                                                           50%

                        Home Equity



                                                      0%
 0%                                                                                            0%
                                                       1998Q1 2000Q1 2002Q1 2004Q1 2006Q1
  1998Q1 2000Q1 2002Q1 2004Q1 2006Q1                                                            1998Q1 2000Q1 2002Q1 2004Q1 2006Q1



                                                                                                                                     6
                    Sources: FFIEC Consolidated reports of Condition and Income, Equifax
In the last two recessions, Credit Card delinquency rates moved
before increases in unemployment rate
                                                                                                                             Unemp.
  DQ Rate %                                                                                                                  Rate %
  5.50                                                                                                                         8.00




                                                                                                s
                                                                                             bp
                                                                                                                               7.50




                                                                                            0
              ps




                                                                                          10
  5.00
            0b




                                                                                        +
                                                                                                                               7.00
          12




                                                                                                                         s
                                                                                                                       bp
         +




                                                                                                                     0 Q4
  4.50
                                                                                                                    6          6.50
                                                                                                                   + ru
                                                                                                                    th
                                                                                                                               6.00
  4.00
                                                                                                                               5.50
  3.50
                                                                                                                               5.00

                                                                                                                               4.50
  3.00
                             Credit Card 30+ DQs*
                                                                                                                               4.00
  2.50
                                                                                Unemployment Rate                              3.50

  2.00                                                                                                                         3.00
 19 1

 19 1

 19 1

 19 1

 19 1

 19 1

 19 1

 19 1

 19 1

 19 1

 19 1

 20 1

 20 1




 20 1
 20 1

 20 1

 20 1

 20 1



 20 1

 20 1

       1
      Q

      Q

      Q

      Q

      Q

      Q

      Q

      Q

      Q

      Q

      Q

      Q

      Q




      Q
      Q

      Q

      Q

      Q



      Q

      Q

      Q
    88

    89

    90

    91

    92

    93

    94

    95

    96

    97

    98

    99

    00




    05
    01

    02

    03

    04



    06

    07

    08
 19




                                                                                                                                      7
              Credit Card data is Visa/Mastercard $30+ Rate from 1988-2003, and Equifax $30+ rate from 2004-2007
Capital One’s credit metrics reflect weakening in the U.S. economy


                                Monthly Managed                                                            Monthly Managed Delinquency
                                Net Charge-off Rate                                                        and Non-Performing Loan Rate
8%
                                                                                        8%
                          Bankruptcy
                          Filing Spike
7%                                                               National Lending
                                                                                        7%
                                                                               Q108:
6%                                                                             5.34%
                                                                                        6%
5%                                                                                                                                          National Lending
                                                                                        5%                                                30+ Delinquency Rate
                                                                                                                                                                           Q108
4%
                                                                                        4%                                                                                 4.73%


3%                                                                                      3%

2%                                                                                      2%                                                    Local Banking:
                                                                                                                                            Non-performing loans
                                                                               Q108:
                                                    Local Banking                                                                              as % of loans
1%                                                                             0.31%                                                                                             Q108
                                                                                        1%
                                                                                                                                                                                 0.56%

0%                                                                                      0%
     Jan-00

              Jan-01

                       Jan-02

                                  Jan-03

                                           Jan-04

                                                    Jan-05

                                                             Jan-06

                                                                      Jan-07

                                                                               Jan-08




                                                                                             Jan-00

                                                                                                      Jan-01

                                                                                                               Jan-02


                                                                                                                        Jan-03

                                                                                                                                 Jan-04

                                                                                                                                             Jan-05


                                                                                                                                                      Jan-06

                                                                                                                                                               Jan-07

                                                                                                                                                                        Jan-08
                                                                                                                                                                                     8
Given the deteriorating outlook for the US economy, we have
    increased our loan loss allowance

                       Allowance as % of Reported
                                                                                          Quarterly Highlights
                           30+ Delinquencies
   200%
                                                                                          • Increased loan loss allowance by
                                                                                            $310M to $3.3B in Q108
                                                                          US Card
                                                                          165%
                                                       153%
   150%
                                                                                          • Allowance consistent with managed
                                                                          International

                                                                                            charge-offs of approximately $6.7B
                                                                          129%
                                                        134%
                                                                                            over the next 12 months (through
                                                                                            Q109)
   100%


                                                                          Auto
                                                                          64%

    50%

                                                        44%




     0%
                Q107      Q207          Q307          Q407           Q108
Allowance as
% of Reported   2.3%       2.3%         2.4%           2.9%           3.3%
Loans


                                                                                                                                 9
                             All Guidance as of Q108 Earnings Call - April 18, 2008
Substantial increase in revenue margin year-over-year largely offset
the adverse impact of higher credit costs


                       Margins                                          Margin Drivers
12%                                                                     • Year-over-year: US Card pricing and fee
                                                                          changes drove substantial increase in
                 Revenue Margin
                                                                          revenue margin
10%                                                10.43%
                                        10.40%

        9.20%
                 Risk-Adjusted Margin
 8%                                                                     • Quarter-over-quarter: Reduced US Card
                                        7.45%
        6.97%                                       7.06%
                                                                          fees offset by more active balance sheet
                                                    6.78%
                                        6.83%
                                                                          management
 6%
        6.15%
                 Net Interest Margin

 4%


 2%


 0%
      Q107      Q207     Q307      Q407          Q108




                                                                                                                     10
                   All Guidance as of Q108 Earnings Call - April 18, 2008
We continue to drive efficiency gains



                                                                        Quarterly Highlights
                Efficiency Ratio
                                                                        • Reduced headcount by 1,600 in Q108;
60%
                                                                          5,400 since Q107
        50.7%

50%                                      46.2%
                                                                        • Announced UK and Auto Finance
                                                                          restructurings
                                                          41.6%
                                         44.2%
40%
                                                                            – Approximately 1000 positions to be
                                                          38.6%

                                                                              eliminated
30%
                                Excluding Visa one-
                                   time impacts
                                                                        2008 Expectations
20%
                                                                        • Mid-40%’s or lower efficiency ratio

10%
                                                                        • 2008 operating expenses at least $200M
                                                                          below 2007
0%
      Q107      Q207      Q307          Q407         Q108




                                                                                                                   11
                   All Guidance as of Q108 Earnings Call - April 18, 2008
Revenue and balance sheet management ensure profitability
despite credit headwinds

Net Income from Continuing Operations ($Millions)


                              Q108          Q407          Q307          Q207          Q107

 National Lending
   US Card                $    491.2    $    498.7    $    626.8    $    592.9    $    538.5

   Auto Finance                (82.4)       (112.4)         (3.8)         38.0          44.4

   International                33.3          54.7          47.4          18.2          19.5

   SUBTOTAL                    442.1         441.0         670.4         649.1         602.3

 Local Banking                  75.8         103.6         195.5         154.8         139.2

 Other                         114.6        (223.0)        (49.6)        (36.3)        (55.4)


 Total Company                 632.6    $    321.6    $    816.4    $    767.6    $    686.1
                          $




                                                                                                12
We are taking action to strengthen resiliency and sustain the strong
 financial returns of our US Card business


                      US Card                               US Card Revenue Margin and Non-Interest
                 Credit Risk Metrics                            Expenses as a % of Average Loans
7%                                                  20%
                                                                                                 17.31%
                                            5.85%                                  16.42%                     16.42%
6%             Managed Net
                                                                        14.67%
               Charge-off Rate
                                   4.84%
                                                          13.92%
                                                    15%
5%

                           3.85%
     3.72%   3.56%
4%
                                                                                           Non-Interest Expenses as a
                                                                  Revenue Margin             % of Average Loans
                                   4.28%            10%
                                           4.04%
                          3.80%
3%
     3.06%   2.98%
2%
                                                    5%    6.11%
                                                                        5.88%
               Managed 30+                                                         5.81%         5.76%
               Delinquency Rate
1%                                                                                                          5.48%


0%                                                  0%
     Q107    Q207         Q307     Q407     Q108          Q107          Q207       Q307          Q407         Q108




                                                                                                                        13
Despite recent worsening in losses and delinquencies, other indicators
       remain generally stable in our US Card portfolio
                                                                                                                               Utilization Rate
                  Minimum Payment and Pay-in-Full Rates
                                                                                                                                   (indexed)
                              (indexed)
                                                                 % of customers
                                                                                       120%
                                                                                         1.
  1.                                                             paying in full
 120%                                                                                       2
  2
                                                                                       100%
                                                                                         1.
 100%
  1.
                                                                                            0
  0
                                                                                        80%
                                                                                         0.
 0.
 80%
                                                                                            8
  8
                                                                                        60%
                                                                                         0.
                                    % of customers
 0.
 60%
                                                                                            6
  6
                                    paying Min Pay
                                                                                        40%
                                                                                         0.
 40%
 0.
                                                                                            4
  4

                                                                                        20%
                                                                                         0.
 0.
 20%
                                                                                            2
  2

                                                                                             0
                                                                                            0%
  0%
  0
                                                                                                     Jan     Feb   Mar   Apr    May    Jun   Jul    Aug    Sep    Oct    Nov    Dec
           Jan   Feb   Mar   Apr   May   Jun   Jul   Aug   Sep   Oct   Nov    Dec

                                                                                                     Payment Rate (Payment as a % of Outstanding)
                Percent of Customers taking Cash Advances
                                                                                                                      (indexed)
                                 (indexed)
                                                                                        120%
                                                                                        1.
  1.
120%                                                                                    2
   2
                                                                                        100%
                                                                                        1.
  1.
100%                                                                                    0
   0
                                                                                        0.
                                                                                        80%
  0.
                                                                                        8
80%
  8

                                                                                        0.
  0.                                                                                    60%
60%                                                                                     6
  6

  0.                                                                                    0.
                                                                                        40%
40%
  4                                                                                     4

  0.                                                                                    0.
                                                                                        20%
20%
  2                                                                                     2

      0                                                                                     0
                                                                                                0%
 0%
                                                                                                     Jan     Feb   Mar   Apr     May   Jun    Jul    Aug    Sep    Oct    Nov    Dec
          Jan    Feb   Mar   Apr   May   Jun   Jul   Aug   Sep   Oct   Nov     Dec
                                                                                     Key
                                                                                                                                                                                       14
                                                                                     2007                  ’04-’06 Avg
                                                                             2008
Bank integration was largely completed in the quarter

                                                                                     Credit Risk Metrics
                                                             2%


                                                                                                                             Managed Net
                                                                                                                             Charge-off Rate
                                                                     Non Performing Loans
                                                                    as a % of Loans
                                                             1%

                                                                                                                                           0.56%
                                                                                                                         0.41%
                                                                                                     0.27%
                                                                                       0.19%
                                                                     0.19%
                                                                                                                         0.28%
                                                                                                                                           0.31%
                                                                                     0.19%               0.19%
                                                                     0.15%
                                                             0%
                                                                     Q107             Q207               Q307             Q407             Q108


                                                                           Deposit and Loan Portfolio ($B)
• Launched new Capital One logo
                                                              $80
                                                                       $74.3         $74.3       $72.8           $73.1       $73.4

                                                              $70

• Completed brand conversion of                                                                                                                Deposits
                                                              $60

  former North Fork branches                                  $50                                                    $44.0         $44.2
                                                                             $41.6       $41.9           $42.2
                                                              $40

                                                                                                                                               Loans
• Consolidated banking operations
                                                              $30


                                                              $20
  onto a single deposit platform
                                                              $10


                                                               $0
                                                                           Q107       Q207        Q307           Q407            Q108

                                                                                                                                                          15
                  All Guidance as of Q108 Earnings Call - April 18, 2008
Despite credit headwinds, we remain capital generative



      Tangible Common Equity to
                                                                          2008 Expectations
     Tangible Managed Assets Ratio
                                                                          • TCE ratio at or above high-end of 5.5%-
8%
                                                                            6% target range
7%

                                                      6.03%
                                        5.83%                             • Expect to continue $0.375 quarterly
6%
            Target Range
                                                                            dividend
5%


4%
                                                                          • Share buybacks dependent on economic
                                                                            outlook
3%
                                                                               – 2H08 at the earliest
2%


1%


0%
     Q107      Q207        Q307          Q407          Q108




                                                                                                                      16
                      All Guidance as of Q108 Earnings Call - April 18, 2008
We continue to maintain ample liquidity

                                                                                            First Quarter 2008 Highlights
                    Readily Available Liquidity
$B
                                                                                            • Liquidity position is 5x next 12 months
35
                                                                                              of capital markets funding plan
                                                                 $30B
                                                          $29B
30
                                                                                            • Moved Auto Finance to be a subsidiary
                                                                         Undrawn FHLB
                                                                                              of National Bank
                                                                         Capacity
25


                                                                                            • $5.7B Holding company cash:
20
                                                                         Unencumbered            –   Covers parent obligations for over 2
                                                                         Securities
                                                                                                     years, including common stock and
                                                                                                     dividends
15



                                                                                            • Maintained strong, diversified funding
10

                                                                                                 – Q1 deposit growth of $4.9B
                                                                         Undrawn
                                                                         Conduit
                                                                                                 –   $3.0B AAA US Card ABS YTD
 5



                                                                                            • Highly liquid, low risk investment
 0
                                                                                              portfolio
      1Q06   2Q06    3Q06   4Q06    1Q07    2Q07   3Q07   4Q07    1Q08




                                                                                                                                            17
                                   All Guidance as of Q108 Earnings Call - April 18, 2008
We expect sound operating metrics in 2008, despite continued credit
headwinds

                                                                              Commentary
                      2008 Outlook


Loan/Deposit   Flat loan growth; double-digit                Cautious on loan growth; bullish on deposit growth
               deposit growth
  Growth



  Revenue
               Low-to mid-single digits                      Revenue margin remains strong
  Growth


   Cost        Efficiency ratio in the low-to mid-           At least $200M Y/Y OpEx reduction vs. 2007
               40%’s
Management


   Credit      Continued economic weakness                   Allowance at 3/31/08 consistent with $6.7B in charge-
Expectations                                                 offs for the next 12 months



  Capital      Manage to the high end or above              Expect to continue $0.375 quarterly dividend; share
               5.5-6.0% TCE target                          repurchases dependent on economic outlook; 2H08 at the
Management
                                                            earliest


                                                                                                                     18
               All Guidance as of Q108 Earnings Call - April 18, 2008
Lehman Brothers Financial Services Conference CFO Presentation

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Lehman Brothers Financial Services Conference CFO Presentation

  • 1. Lehman Brothers Financial Services Conference Gary Perlin Chief Financial Officer May 21, 2008
  • 2. Forward looking statements Forward-Looking Information Please note that the following materials containing information regarding Capital One’s financial performance speak only as of the particular date or dates indicated in these materials. Capital One does not undertake any obligation to update or revise any of the information contained herein whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Certain statements in this presentation and other oral and written statements made by the Company from time to time, are forward-looking statements, including those that discuss strategies, goals, outlook or other non-historical matters; projections, revenues, income, returns, earnings per share or other financial measures for Capital One and/or discuss the assumptions that underlie these projections, including future financial and operating results, and the company’s plans, objectives, expectations and intentions. To the extent that any such information is forward-looking, it is intended to fit within the safe harbor for forward-looking information provided by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Numerous factors could cause our actual results to differ materially from those described in forward-looking statements, including, among other things: general economic and business conditions in the U.S. and or the UK, including conditions affecting consumer income, spending and repayments, changes in the credit environment in the U.S. and or the UK, including an increase or decrease in credit losses, changes in the interest rate environment; continued intense competition from numerous providers of products and services that compete with our businesses; financial, legal, regulatory or accounting changes or actions; changes in our aggregate accounts or consumer loan balances and the growth rate and composition thereof; the amount of deposit growth; changes in the reputation of the credit card industry and/or the company with respect to practices and products; the risk that Capital One’s acquired businesses will not be integrated successfully; the risk that synergies from such acquisitions may not be fully realized or may take longer to realize than expected; disruption from the acquisitions making it more difficult to maintain relationships with customers, employees or suppliers; the risk that the benefits of the Company’s restructuring initiative, including cost savings, may not be fully realized; our ability to access the capital markets at attractive rates and terms to fund our operations and future growth; losses associated with new products or services; the company’s ability to execute on its strategic and operational plans; any significant disruption in our operations or technology platform; our ability to effectively control our costs; the success of marketing efforts; our ability to recruit and retain experienced management personnel; changes in the labor employment market; general economic conditions in the mortgage industry; and other factors listed from time to time in reports we file with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”), including, but not limited to, factors set forth under the caption “Risk Factors” in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007. You should carefully consider the factors discussed above in evaluating these forward-looking statements. All information in these slides is based on the consolidated results of Capital One Financial Corporation. A reconciliation of any non-GAAP financial measures included in this presentation can be found in the Company’s most recent Form 10-K concerning annual financial results, available on the Company’s website at www.capitalone.com in Investor Relations under “About Capital One.” 2
  • 3. Capital One is: • Top 10 bank A leading • $87.6B in deposits financial institution – 14th largest depository institution in the U.S. – Full service banking in the New York metropolitan area, Louisiana and Texas A top diversified • $151B in managed loans lender • 5th largest credit card issuer2 1) Deposits total as of Q4 2007; ranking as of Q3 2007. Ranking includes domestic deposits. 3 2) VISA, MasterCard, Amex, Discover reported domestic Outstandings
  • 4. Capital One is a diversified bank that is now primarily funded by deposits Relative Deposit Funding, Q4 2007 Deposits as a Percentage of Managed Liabilities1 100% 12 13 14 16 All Other3 19 19 90% 9 34 34 38 80% 14 Unsecured Debt 6 19 23 9 20 70% 18 Securitizations 28 12 12 60% 7 11 12 20 5 6 50% Other Deposits 9 8 40% 5 23 69 30% 57 55 55 49 28 Core Deposits2 20% 39 39 26 10% 10 0% Bank of Citi JPM Wachovia Wells US SunTrust Regions Capital America Chase Fargo Bancorp One % Deposit Funded: 48% 38% 49% 64% 66% 61% 73% 78% 47% 1. Deposits as a Percent of Managed Liabilities includes all balance sheet liabilities plus off-balance sheet securitizations 4 2. Core Deposits defined as Total Deposits, less jumbo time deposits, foreign deposits, and any unclassified deposits 3. Other includes short-term borrowing and Fed funds Source: Company Reports
  • 5. Our loan book has also diversified $B Managed Outstandings $160 $151 $146** $140 Banking 44 $120 $105* $100 Global Financial 29.3 $80 Services $80 $71 $60 Auto 25.1 $60 Loans $45 $40 $30 U.S. $20 $17 52.1 Credit $14 $20 Cards $0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 *For YE 2005, Banking segment was included in “Other” category, and included Hibernia auto loans that were moved to Auto segment in Q1 2006. 5 **For YE 2006, North Fork loans were included in “Other” category
  • 6. Asset classes behave differently U.S. 30 Day+ Delinquency Rate Indexed to Q1 1998 Other Consumer Mortgage-Related Commercial 250% 250% 250% 200% 200% 200% Mortgage C&I 150% 150% 150% Card 100% 100% 100% Auto CRE 50% 50% 50% Home Equity 0% 0% 0% 1998Q1 2000Q1 2002Q1 2004Q1 2006Q1 1998Q1 2000Q1 2002Q1 2004Q1 2006Q1 1998Q1 2000Q1 2002Q1 2004Q1 2006Q1 6 Sources: FFIEC Consolidated reports of Condition and Income, Equifax
  • 7. In the last two recessions, Credit Card delinquency rates moved before increases in unemployment rate Unemp. DQ Rate % Rate % 5.50 8.00 s bp 7.50 0 ps 10 5.00 0b + 7.00 12 s bp + 0 Q4 4.50 6 6.50 + ru th 6.00 4.00 5.50 3.50 5.00 4.50 3.00 Credit Card 30+ DQs* 4.00 2.50 Unemployment Rate 3.50 2.00 3.00 19 1 19 1 19 1 19 1 19 1 19 1 19 1 19 1 19 1 19 1 19 1 20 1 20 1 20 1 20 1 20 1 20 1 20 1 20 1 20 1 1 Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 05 01 02 03 04 06 07 08 19 7 Credit Card data is Visa/Mastercard $30+ Rate from 1988-2003, and Equifax $30+ rate from 2004-2007
  • 8. Capital One’s credit metrics reflect weakening in the U.S. economy Monthly Managed Monthly Managed Delinquency Net Charge-off Rate and Non-Performing Loan Rate 8% 8% Bankruptcy Filing Spike 7% National Lending 7% Q108: 6% 5.34% 6% 5% National Lending 5% 30+ Delinquency Rate Q108 4% 4% 4.73% 3% 3% 2% 2% Local Banking: Non-performing loans Q108: Local Banking as % of loans 1% 0.31% Q108 1% 0.56% 0% 0% Jan-00 Jan-01 Jan-02 Jan-03 Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-00 Jan-01 Jan-02 Jan-03 Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 8
  • 9. Given the deteriorating outlook for the US economy, we have increased our loan loss allowance Allowance as % of Reported Quarterly Highlights 30+ Delinquencies 200% • Increased loan loss allowance by $310M to $3.3B in Q108 US Card 165% 153% 150% • Allowance consistent with managed International charge-offs of approximately $6.7B 129% 134% over the next 12 months (through Q109) 100% Auto 64% 50% 44% 0% Q107 Q207 Q307 Q407 Q108 Allowance as % of Reported 2.3% 2.3% 2.4% 2.9% 3.3% Loans 9 All Guidance as of Q108 Earnings Call - April 18, 2008
  • 10. Substantial increase in revenue margin year-over-year largely offset the adverse impact of higher credit costs Margins Margin Drivers 12% • Year-over-year: US Card pricing and fee changes drove substantial increase in Revenue Margin revenue margin 10% 10.43% 10.40% 9.20% Risk-Adjusted Margin 8% • Quarter-over-quarter: Reduced US Card 7.45% 6.97% 7.06% fees offset by more active balance sheet 6.78% 6.83% management 6% 6.15% Net Interest Margin 4% 2% 0% Q107 Q207 Q307 Q407 Q108 10 All Guidance as of Q108 Earnings Call - April 18, 2008
  • 11. We continue to drive efficiency gains Quarterly Highlights Efficiency Ratio • Reduced headcount by 1,600 in Q108; 60% 5,400 since Q107 50.7% 50% 46.2% • Announced UK and Auto Finance restructurings 41.6% 44.2% 40% – Approximately 1000 positions to be 38.6% eliminated 30% Excluding Visa one- time impacts 2008 Expectations 20% • Mid-40%’s or lower efficiency ratio 10% • 2008 operating expenses at least $200M below 2007 0% Q107 Q207 Q307 Q407 Q108 11 All Guidance as of Q108 Earnings Call - April 18, 2008
  • 12. Revenue and balance sheet management ensure profitability despite credit headwinds Net Income from Continuing Operations ($Millions) Q108 Q407 Q307 Q207 Q107 National Lending US Card $ 491.2 $ 498.7 $ 626.8 $ 592.9 $ 538.5 Auto Finance (82.4) (112.4) (3.8) 38.0 44.4 International 33.3 54.7 47.4 18.2 19.5 SUBTOTAL 442.1 441.0 670.4 649.1 602.3 Local Banking 75.8 103.6 195.5 154.8 139.2 Other 114.6 (223.0) (49.6) (36.3) (55.4) Total Company 632.6 $ 321.6 $ 816.4 $ 767.6 $ 686.1 $ 12
  • 13. We are taking action to strengthen resiliency and sustain the strong financial returns of our US Card business US Card US Card Revenue Margin and Non-Interest Credit Risk Metrics Expenses as a % of Average Loans 7% 20% 17.31% 5.85% 16.42% 16.42% 6% Managed Net 14.67% Charge-off Rate 4.84% 13.92% 15% 5% 3.85% 3.72% 3.56% 4% Non-Interest Expenses as a Revenue Margin % of Average Loans 4.28% 10% 4.04% 3.80% 3% 3.06% 2.98% 2% 5% 6.11% 5.88% Managed 30+ 5.81% 5.76% Delinquency Rate 1% 5.48% 0% 0% Q107 Q207 Q307 Q407 Q108 Q107 Q207 Q307 Q407 Q108 13
  • 14. Despite recent worsening in losses and delinquencies, other indicators remain generally stable in our US Card portfolio Utilization Rate Minimum Payment and Pay-in-Full Rates (indexed) (indexed) % of customers 120% 1. 1. paying in full 120% 2 2 100% 1. 100% 1. 0 0 80% 0. 0. 80% 8 8 60% 0. % of customers 0. 60% 6 6 paying Min Pay 40% 0. 40% 0. 4 4 20% 0. 0. 20% 2 2 0 0% 0% 0 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Payment Rate (Payment as a % of Outstanding) Percent of Customers taking Cash Advances (indexed) (indexed) 120% 1. 1. 120% 2 2 100% 1. 1. 100% 0 0 0. 80% 0. 8 80% 8 0. 0. 60% 60% 6 6 0. 0. 40% 40% 4 4 0. 0. 20% 20% 2 2 0 0 0% 0% Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Key 14 2007 ’04-’06 Avg 2008
  • 15. Bank integration was largely completed in the quarter Credit Risk Metrics 2% Managed Net Charge-off Rate Non Performing Loans as a % of Loans 1% 0.56% 0.41% 0.27% 0.19% 0.19% 0.28% 0.31% 0.19% 0.19% 0.15% 0% Q107 Q207 Q307 Q407 Q108 Deposit and Loan Portfolio ($B) • Launched new Capital One logo $80 $74.3 $74.3 $72.8 $73.1 $73.4 $70 • Completed brand conversion of Deposits $60 former North Fork branches $50 $44.0 $44.2 $41.6 $41.9 $42.2 $40 Loans • Consolidated banking operations $30 $20 onto a single deposit platform $10 $0 Q107 Q207 Q307 Q407 Q108 15 All Guidance as of Q108 Earnings Call - April 18, 2008
  • 16. Despite credit headwinds, we remain capital generative Tangible Common Equity to 2008 Expectations Tangible Managed Assets Ratio • TCE ratio at or above high-end of 5.5%- 8% 6% target range 7% 6.03% 5.83% • Expect to continue $0.375 quarterly 6% Target Range dividend 5% 4% • Share buybacks dependent on economic outlook 3% – 2H08 at the earliest 2% 1% 0% Q107 Q207 Q307 Q407 Q108 16 All Guidance as of Q108 Earnings Call - April 18, 2008
  • 17. We continue to maintain ample liquidity First Quarter 2008 Highlights Readily Available Liquidity $B • Liquidity position is 5x next 12 months 35 of capital markets funding plan $30B $29B 30 • Moved Auto Finance to be a subsidiary Undrawn FHLB of National Bank Capacity 25 • $5.7B Holding company cash: 20 Unencumbered – Covers parent obligations for over 2 Securities years, including common stock and dividends 15 • Maintained strong, diversified funding 10 – Q1 deposit growth of $4.9B Undrawn Conduit – $3.0B AAA US Card ABS YTD 5 • Highly liquid, low risk investment 0 portfolio 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 17 All Guidance as of Q108 Earnings Call - April 18, 2008
  • 18. We expect sound operating metrics in 2008, despite continued credit headwinds Commentary 2008 Outlook Loan/Deposit Flat loan growth; double-digit Cautious on loan growth; bullish on deposit growth deposit growth Growth Revenue Low-to mid-single digits Revenue margin remains strong Growth Cost Efficiency ratio in the low-to mid- At least $200M Y/Y OpEx reduction vs. 2007 40%’s Management Credit Continued economic weakness Allowance at 3/31/08 consistent with $6.7B in charge- Expectations offs for the next 12 months Capital Manage to the high end or above Expect to continue $0.375 quarterly dividend; share 5.5-6.0% TCE target repurchases dependent on economic outlook; 2H08 at the Management earliest 18 All Guidance as of Q108 Earnings Call - April 18, 2008