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4th Quarter 2008 Analyst Conference

January 12, 2009
Forward Looking Statements

Today’s discussion may include “forward-looking statements” within
the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.
Such statements relate to future events and expectations and
involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties. Alcoa’s actual
results or actions may differ materially from those projected in the
forward-looking statements. For a summary of the specific risk
factors that could cause results to differ materially from those
expressed in the forward-looking statements, please refer to
Alcoa’s Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007 and
Forms 10-Q for the quarters ended March 31, 2008, June 30, 2008
and September 30, 2008 and other reports filed with the Securities
and Exchange Commission.


                                                                       2
Chuck McLane
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
4th Quarter 2008 Financial Overview

– Loss from continuing operations of $929m or $1.16 per share
   • Restructuring, impairment and other special items of $708m or
     $0.88 per share
– Revenue of $5.7 billion, down 18%
– Sequential metal price reduction of 35%
– Significant market deterioration
– Cash from operations of $608m
– Cash on hand at $762m
– Incremental bank facility of $1.9b
– Trailing 12-month ROC stands at 6.7%, excluding growth
  investments and restructuring charges

                                                                     4
Sequential Income Statement
In Millions                                     3Q'08    4Q'08        Change

Sales                                           $6,970   $5,688        (18%)
Cost of Goods Sold                              $5,648   $5,277        (7%)
 % of Sales                                     81.0%    92.8%        11.8 pts
SG&A                                            $275      $273         (1%)
 % of Sales                                      3.9%     4.8%        0.9 pts
Restructuring and Other Charges                  $38      $863          nm
Interest Expense                                 $96      $125          30%
Other Expense/(Income)                           $15      $(36)         nm
Effective Tax Rate                              25.9%    20.4%        (5.5 pts)
Minority Interests                               $84              -   (100%)

GAAP Net Income/(Loss)                          $268     ($1,191) ($1,459)
Loss from Discontinued Operations                ($38)   ($262)       ($224)

GAAP Income/(Loss) from Continuing Operations   $306     ($929)       ($1,235)
GAAP Income/(Loss) from Continuing Operations
per Diluted Share                               $0.37    ($1.16)      ($1.53)



                                                                                  5
Restructuring & Other Special Items
                                            After‐Tax   Earnings    Income Statement
                                            Amount      Per Share      Classification              Segment


Loss from Continuing Operations              ($929)      ($1.16)

Restructuring:
Headcount                                     ($97)      ($0.12)      Restructuring               Corporate
Global Foil                                   (100)      (0.13)       Restructuring               Corporate
Europe Auto Structures                        (50)       (0.06)       Restructuring               Corporate
Sapa Exchange                                 (223)      (0.28)       Restructuring               Corporate
Other Asset Write‐offs                        (144)      (0.18)       Restructuring               Corporate
Restructuring Sub‐Total                      ($614)      ($0.76)

Other Special Items:
Shutdown Related Obsolete Inventory           ($16)      ($0.02)          COGS          Flat‐Rolled/Engineered Products
Environmental Reserve                         (26)       (0.03)           COGS                    Corporate
Accounts Receivable Reserve                   (11)       (0.02)          SG&A                     Corporate
Non‐Cash Tax on Repatriated Earnings          (65)       (0.08)           Tax                     Corporate
Refund of Indemnification Payment             24          0.03        Other Income                Corporate
Other Special Items Sub‐Total                 ($94)      ($0.12)

Total Restructuring & Other Special Items    ($708)      ($0.88)

                                                                                                                          6
2008 Tax Reconciliation – 4th Quarter & Full Year

                                                                   Minority   After‐Tax
4th Quarter 2008                       Pre‐Tax    Tax $    Tax %   Interest    & M.I.

Reported Effective Tax Rate            ($1,167)   ($238)   20.4%     $0        ($929)

Adjustments
Restructuring                          ($863)     ($226)   26.2%    ($23)      ($614)
Non‐Cash Tax on Repatriated Earnings               65                           (65)
Adjustments Sub‐Total                  ($863)     ($161)   18.7%    ($23)      ($679)

Operational Effective Tax Rate         ($304)     ($77)    25.3%     $23       ($250)


Total Year 2008
Reported Effective Tax Rate             $792      $342     43.2%    $221       $229

Adjustments
Restructuring                          ($939)     ($246)   26.2%    ($23)      ($670)
Non‐Cash Tax on Repatriated Earnings               65                           (65)
Other Discrete Tax Items                           33                           (33)
Adjustments Sub‐Total                  ($939)     ($148)   15.8%    ($23)      ($768)

Operational Effective Tax Rate         $1,731     $490     28.3%    $244        $997


                                                                                          7
4Q vs. 3Q 2008 Earnings Bridge
         Income From Continuing Operations Excluding Restructuring & Other Special Items


$700
                                     $191          $88
$600
                                                              $164
$500
                         $69
$400
           $331                                                            $339         $560 
$300

$200

$100

  $0
            3Q08        Energy      Currency    Price/Mix     Volume                     LME         4Q08
($100)

($200)
                                                                                                    ($221)
($300)
       4Q 2008 Other Special Items = Obsolete Inventory, Environmental Reserve, A/R Reserve, Non‐Cash 
       Tax on Repatriated Earnings and Refund of Indemnification Payment (net $94m in total)
       See Slide 42 for Reconciliation
                                                                                                             8
Alumina

                                  4th Quarter Highlights                                                                          4th Quarter Business Conditions
                                                                                                                                − 16% lower realized pricing
                                                       4Q 07                  3Q 08           4Q 08

                                                                                                                                − Point Comfort curtailment led to lower
Production (kmt)                                       3,855                  3,790           3,776

                                                                                                                                  production
3rd Party Shipments (kmt)                              2,030                  2,010           2,123

                                                                                                                                − Sequential benefit of $33 million from Western
3rd Party Revenue ($ million)                              688                 805                722
                                                                                                                                  Australia gas disruption recovery
ATOI ($ million)                                           205                 206                162
                                                                                                                                − Stronger US dollar benefit of $64 million
                                                                                                                                  through lower cost base
                                                                                                                                − Lower energy costs realized
                   $300                                                                      $1,800



                                                                                             $1,500
                   $250


                                                                                             $1,200
                                                                                                                                           1st Quarter Outlook
                                                                                                      Total Revenue (million)



                   $200
  ATOI (million)




                                                                                             $900

                                                                                                                                − Prices to follow approximate two-month lag
                   $150
                                                                                             $600
                                                                                                                                − Anticipate 5% lower production due to
                                                                                                                                  curtailments
                   $100
                                                                                             $300


                                                                                                                                − Current US dollar slightly weaker than 4Q
                   $50                                                                       $0
                                                                                                                                  average
                          1Q 07    2Q 07   3Q 07   4Q 07    1Q 08     2Q 08    3Q08   4Q08


                                                                                                                                − Lower fuel oil costs
                                           ATOI                     Total Revenue



                                                                                                                                                                               9
Refining Cost Overview




                                                       Input Cost     Inventory flow   Pricing convention
  Composition of Refining Production Costs

                                                       Fuel oil       1 – 2 months            Prior month
                            Fuel Oil
                                                       Natural gas    1 – 2 months     Rolling 16 quarters
                             14%
Conversion
                                         Natural gas
   36%
                                                       Caustic soda    3 - 6 months         Spot & semi-
                                            15%
                                                                                                  annual

                                                       Bauxite         2 - 3 months       6 - 9 month lag

                                       Caustic
                                        10%
                Bauxite
                 25%




                                                                                                         10
Primary Metals

                                   4th Quarter Highlights                                                                            4th Quarter Business Conditions
                                                           4Q 07                 3Q 08            4Q 08
                                                                                                                                   − Realized pricing down 28% sequentially
Production (kmt)                                            959                  1,011              971
                                                                                                                                   − LME-linked costs declining but on lagged
                                                                                                                                     basis
3rd   Party Shipments (kmt)                                 624                  704                807

                                                                                                                                   − Stronger US dollar benefit of $94 million
3rd Party Revenue ($
                                                           1,597                 2,127             1,580
million)
                                                                                                                                     through lower cost base
3rd Party Price ($/mt)                                     2,646                 2,945             2,125
                                                                                                                                   − Sequential negative $21 million impact of
                                                                                                                                     Rockdale curtailment
ATOI ($ million)                                            196                  297               (101)

                                                                                                                                   − Favorable sequential energy of $23 million
                        $550
                                                                                                $3,850
                        $450
                                                                                                                                             1st Quarter Outlook
                                                                                                $3,350
                        $350

                                                                                                                                   − Realized pricing trending closer to spot
                        $250
                                                                                                         Total Revenue (million)
       ATOI (million)




                                                                                                $2,850
                                                                                                                                   − Anticipate 8% lower production due to
                        $150

                                                                                                                                     curtailments
                                                                                                $2,350
                         $50

                                                                                                                                   − LME linked costs to continue decline
                                1Q 07   2Q 07    3Q 07   4Q 07   1Q 08   2Q 08    3Q08   4Q08
                         -$50

                                                                                                                                   − Current US dollar slightly weaker than 4Q
                                                                                                $1,850
                        -$150
                                                                                                                                     average
                        -$250                                                                   $1,350

                                                                                                                                   − Cost savings from procurement actions on
                                                ATOI                 Total Revenue
                                                                                                                                     carbon products start to hit bottom line
                                                                                                                                                                                  11
Smelting Cost Overview




Composition of Smelting Production Costs
                                                  Input Cost   Inventory flow    Pricing convention
      Conversion
         22%                            Alumina
                                                  Alumina      1 – 2 months       2 – 3 month lags
                                          36%
 Materials
                                                  Power        1 – 2 months      40% LME linked –
   3%
                                                                                      3 month lag
                                                  Carbon        1 - 2 months    Spot & semi-annual

                                                  Materials     1 - 2 months       1 – 3 month lag
             Power             Carbon
              26%               13%




    Several significant input costs lag average primary metal revenue by up to 3 months



                                                                                                      12
Flat-Rolled Products

                                                                                                                                      4th Quarter Business Conditions
                                        ATOI ($ million)
                                                                                                                                   − Sharp decline in demand as economic
                                                          4Q 07           3Q 08          4Q 08
                                                                                                                                     environment worsened
Global Rolled Products,
                                                                                                                                   − 11% lower shipments on top of a seasonally
                                                          44               60            (9)
excl Russia & China
                                                                                                                                     weak 3Q
                                                                                                                                        − Non can sheet shipments down 20%
Hard Alloy Extrusions                                       8               7             8

                                                                                                                                   − Boeing strike impact of $10 million
Russia, China & Other                                     (67)            (38)           (97)
                                                                                                                                   − Bohai start-up costs of $9 million
                                                                                         (98)
Total                                                     (15)             29
                                                                                                                                   − Divestiture related inventory obsolescence
                                                                                                                                     $12 million
               $120                                                                       $2,800




                                                                                                                                               1st Quarter Outlook
                $80                                                                       $2,600



                $40                                                                       $2,400
                                                                                                                         illion)
                                                                                                   Third Party Revenue (m




                                                                                                                                   − Continued weakness in end markets
   I illion)
ATO (m




                 $0                                                                       $2,200
                        1Q 07   2Q 07     3Q 07   4Q 07   1Q 08   2Q 08   3Q08    4Q08

                                                                                                                                   − Input costs expected to decline
                ($40)                                                                     $2,000



                ($80)                                                                     $1,800



               ($120)                                                                     $1,600

                                        ATOI              Third Party Revenue



                                                                                                                                                                                  13
Downturn Evident in Flat-Rolled Products
                              Global Rolling Demand Collapse

       Global Rolling Order Rates 2008 & 2007
                 Demand 2007 vs. 2008
                  Demand 2007 vs. 2008

                                                               2007
                                                               2008



                                                                      • 2008 demand well below 2007
                                                                      • No sign of seasonal up-lift
                                                                      • Dramatic deterioration in 4Q
                                                                        orders over the last 3 weeks
                                                      lity
                                                  sona
                                            l Sea
                                          a
                                     Norm




Apr   May   Jun   Jul   Aug    Sep     Oct       Nov         Dec




                                                                                                       14
Flat-Rolled Products Market Drivers
     Revenue Composition       Sequential
                             Revenue Change
                               - 18%
                               - 23%
                               - 36%

                                +7%


                               - 26%


                                - 37%




                                - 11%




                              Total -17%

                                              15
Engineered Products and Solutions

                                4th Quarter Highlights                                                                                 4th Quarter Business Conditions

                                                                                                                                 − Market declines adversely affected all
                                                        4Q 07           3Q 08       4Q 08
                                                                                                                                   businesses
Third Party Revenue                                     1,311           1,451       1,258
                                                                                                                                 − Boeing strike ($5 million effect) & seasonal
                                                                                                                                   impacts resulted in lower aerospace demand
ATOI                                                       77             133           65

ATOI% / Revenue                                           5.9              9.2          5.2


                 $180                                                                   $2,200


                                                                                                                                               1st Quarter Outlook
                 $160
                                                                                        $2,000
                 $140
                                                                                        $1,800

                                                                                                                                 − Further weakness expected in commercial
                 $120
                                                                                                 Third Party Revenue (million)




                                                                                        $1,600
ATOI (million)




                 $100
                                                                                                                                   transportation and commercial construction markets
                 $80
                                                                                                                                 − Revenue from automotive market reduced to 5% of
                                                                                        $1,400

                 $60
                                                                                                                                   total segment as a result of portfolio moves
                                                                                        $1,200
                 $40
                                                                                                                                 − Productivity initiatives expected to gain momentum
                                                                                        $1,000
                 $20

                  $0                                                                    $800
                        1Q 07   2Q 07   3Q 07   4Q 07   1Q 08   2Q 08    3Q08    4Q08


                                        ATOI              Third Party Revenue


                                                                                                                                                                                        16
Record earnings despite market headwinds
                                   Engineered Products & Solutions Financial Metrics


                                                         ATOI (in millions)
          Sales (in billions)                                                           Return on Capital

                                                                                              16%
                 7%                                            23%       $503
                           $5.6
   $5.3
                                                 $409




   2007                     2008                  2007                   2008          2007            2008

Strong market positions                     Productivity improvements Cost efficient capacity
in aerospace, IGT, B&C                      continue to accelerate and expansions in fasteners
and fastener acquisition                    yield bottom line benefits and investment castings
offset unprecedented                                                   along with working capital
decline in North American                                              efficiencies
& European truck and
automotive markets
                                                                                                              17
Cash Flow Statement
    In Millions                               4Q'07     3Q'08      4Q'08
    Net Income                                $632      $268     $(1,191)
    DD&A                                       312       311         292
    Change in Working Capital                  385      (552)        590
    Other Adjustments                         (661)      298         955
    Pension Contributions                      (25)     (418)        (38)
    Cash From Operating Activities            $643       $(93)     $608

    Dividends to Shareholders                $(143)    $(140)     $(136)
    Change in Debt                             467     1,573        444
    Dividends to Minority Interests            (58)      (76)      (102)
    Contributions from Minority Interests      105       130        214
    Share Repurchases                         (948)     (477)           -
    Share Issuances                             16         1            -
    Other Financing Activities                   2        (7)       (43)
    Cash From Financing Activities           $(559)    $1,004      $377

    Capital Expenditures                    $(1,021)   $(877)    $(1,017)
    Sales of Assets/Investments                 126      115          26
    Additions to Investments                     (8)     (39)        (27)
    Other Investing Activities                  (16)     (56)         (5)
    Cash From Investing Activities           $(919)     $(857)   $(1,023)
                                                                            18
Capital Expenditures

         Capital Expenditure History                               2009 Capital Expenditures Forecast

$4,000                                             150%   $1,500
                              Values $ Millions                                                Values $ Millions
                                                                          71%
$3,500


$3,000                                             100%   $1,000

                                                                         876
$2,500

                                                                                                   29%
$2,000                                             50%
                                                           $500
                                                                                                  187
$1,500
                                                                         393                      328
$1,000                                             0%
                                                             $0
         FY06      FY07       FY08       FY09
                                                                    2009 First Half         2009 Second Half
           Total Capital Expenditures
                                                                               Non‐Growth   Growth
           Non‐Growth Capex as % of Depreciation




                                                                                                                   19
Liquidity Remains Strong

Added revolver amid financial market crisis                        Good performance in difficult CP markets


                                                     5.2
 Values $ Billions                                               % of Period Issuance with Maturity One Week or Greater
                                                                                                         96%
                                                                                     87%


                                       3.3
                      3.3
   3.3
                                                                 59%


                                                                                           43%
                                                                                                                   34%
                                                                       33%



                                                     1.5
   1.5                1.2               1.2


                                                                  October            November              December
  1Q 08              2Q 08             3Q 08        4Q 08

                                                                             Alcoa               Tier II Issuers
 Commercial Paper             Additional Revolver Availability




  Source:  The Federal Reserve Board                                                                                      20
Cash Conservation Efforts




                 Wide-Ranging
                   Actions
                    Taken




                                21
Klaus Kleinfeld
President and Chief Executive Officer
Accomplishments: Clear strategy, speed & execution


                                                            2008 Accomplishments
          Three Strategic Priorities
                                                       Secured long-term power contracts for
                                                       nearly half of smelting system
Profitable Growth            Alcoa Advantage
                                                       Completed successful start-up of
  in every business             creating value for
                                                       Fjardaal, first greenfield smelter in two
                                  all businesses
                                                       decades

                               –   Talent
                                                       Record earnings in Engineered
 Business Programs that
                               –   Technology
 define:
                                                       Products & Solutions
                               –   Customer Intimacy
  – 3-year aspirations
                               –   Purchasing
  – Priority levers
                                                       Completed Packaging divestiture
                               –   Operating System
  – Accountability


                                                       Fast response to early signals, e.g.:
   Disciplined Execution across all activities
                                                             Reached agreement for soft alloy
                                                             extrusion swap
                                                             Increased debt capacity and
                                                             improved debt structure

                                                       Named to Dow Jones Sustainability
                                                       Index for 7th straight year


                                                                                                   23
Historic collapse in metal price – (56%) over 5 months
                                                     LME cash price/ton, in US$ and global inventory1, in days



                      50
                                                                                                                                                                         $3,500
                      45

                      40
Days of Consumption




                                                                                                                                                                         $3,000
                      35




                                                                                                                                                                                  LME Price/mt
                      30
                                                                                                                                                                         $2,500
                      25
                                                                                                                                            - 56%
                      20                                                                                                                                                 $2,000
                      15

                      10                                                                                                                                                 $1,500
                       5

                                                                                                                                                                         $1,000
                       0




                                                                                                                                                                 12/08
                           01/05


                                     04/05


                                             07/05


                                                     10/05


                                                             01/06


                                                                     04/06


                                                                             07/06


                                                                                     10/06


                                                                                             01/07


                                                                                                         04/07


                                                                                                                 07/07


                                                                                                                         10/07


                                                                                                                                 01/08


                                                                                                                                         04/08


                                                                                                                                                 07/08


                                                                                                                                                         10/08
1 Reported Stocks : Comex, IAI, Japan Port , LME, & SME                                              Reported Stocks,
                                                                                                                                         LME Cash Price
                                                                                                     Days of Consumption

Source: IAI and Bloomberg                                                                                                                                                                        24
Expect global demand decline of 2% in 2009
                    Primary Aluminum Consumption Growth Rates, 2009, in million mt
          Brazil          0.9                                                 1%         5%
                                                                        -2%
                          1.0                                                       3%
            CIS

                                                                  -4%
                         4.9                                            -2%
Asia w/o China



                         5.3             -12%              -10%
North America
                                                                                    Global Demand Growth Rates:

                                                                                               2008: -3%
        Europe
                         7.0                         -9%          -7%
                                                                                               2009: -2%




                                                                               3%             9%
                        13.1
         China




                   2009 Projected                                        2008 vs. 2009
                    Consumption                                     Projected Growth Rates

                    2008 Actual      2009 Forecast


 Source: Alcoa analysis                                            Note: 2009 Projected Global Consumption: 36.2 million mt   25
Curtailment announcements – 13% of global output
                                  Global Smelting Curtailment Announcements1


                     By Month                                                    By Region

                                                         Region               Aug 08      Announced      Percentage
                                                                            Production1   Curtailment1    Curtailed
                                 679 5,020

                           920
                                                         China                14,000        (3,000)         21%
                     840                                 North America         5,700         (840)          15%

                                                         Eastern               4,650         (574)          12%
            1,139
                                                         Europe/Russia
    1,442                                                Western Europe        4,600         (230)          5%
                                                         Asia/Middle East      3,950          (80)          2%
                                               800
                                                         Latin America         2,700          (93)          3%
                                             completed
                                                         Oceania               2,300         (102)          4%
     Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Total
     2008 2008 2008 2008 2009                            Africa                1,700         (100)          6%
    & Prev
                                                         Total                39,600        (5,020)         13%


                                                                      13% of total
                                                                     global output
1   Annualized kmt

                                                                                                                      26
2009 – Aluminum Surplus or Deficit?
                                   Aluminum Supply / Demand Balance (in kmt)




                                                              2008 Consumption         37,000
         2008 Production                   38,800
                                                              Lower 2009 consumption    (800)
         Estimated 2009                       600
                                                              (2%)
         incremental production
                                                              Stimulus effects            ??
         Announced curtailments            (3,500)
                                                              Total 2009 Consumption      ??
         Total 2009 Production             35,900


                               Supply                                  Demand




Source: Alcoa analysis, CRU, IAI                                                                27
Managing downturn along the three strategic priorities
                     Three Strategic Priorities and Downturn Management

      Accelerated                                                              R&D
                       Profitable Growth             Alcoa Advantage
      portfolio                                                                technology
                          in every business             creating value for
      moves (in &                                                              refocus
                                                          all businesses
      out)
                                                                               Share growth
                                                       –   Talent
      Curtailments       Business Programs that
                                                       –   Technology
                         define:
                                                                               Procurement
                                                       –   Customer Intimacy
                          – 3-year aspirations
      Plant shut                                       –   Purchasing          savings
                          – Priority levers




                                                                                           MENT
      downs                                            –   Operating System
                          – Accountability

                                                                               Corporate
DOW




      Headcount                                                                overhead
                           Disciplined Execution across all activities
      reduction                                                                reduction

      Additional                                                               Increased
      flexibility                                                              debt capacity
                                 Speedy execution
                                 Focus on cash and bottom line
                                 Capital spend reduction

 N
           TURN                                        MANAG




                                                                                     E
                                                                                               28
Getting ahead of the curve
                                             Alcoa Downturn Actions: Timeline




                          2008/09 Alcoa Downturn Actions



                                                                                        Nov 10         Dec 22
                 Sep 17        Sep 30        Oct 6         Oct 7          Oct 23                                     Jan 6, 2009
  Jul 11
                                                                                        Curtailed    Agreement
               Suspended      Curtailed                  Announced        Reduced                                    Announced
Downsized                                    Power &                                   additional    with Orkla to
                             150,000 mt                  halting of      production                                  wide-ranging
 Electrical     share                      Propulsion                                  350,000 mt     swap soft
                                                             all          at Point                                    actions to
    and                      at Rockdale    announced                                   aluminum          alloy
               repurchases                               non-critical     Comfort                                       address
Electronic                      smelter    headcount                                   production      extrusion
                                                           capital         refinery                                    economic
 Solutions                                 reductions                                  over global       share
                                                            spend          by 25%                                      downturn
Honduran &                                 in response                                   smelting     for Elkem
                                                                        (550,000 mt)
  Mexican                                    to market                                   system         smelter
operations                                  conditions                                                   share




                                                                                                                                    29
Restructuring actions incorporate all improvement levers
                  Restructuring Announcement: Levers and Actions

                 Restructuring Announcement – January 6, 2009
                                               Cost &
    Portfolio           Production
                                            Procurement           Liquidity Initiatives
  Streamlining         Curtailments
                                            Efficiencies

 Swap of Sapa stake     Initiate smelting   Workforce reduction      Suspend share
 for Elkem smelters     curtailments          13,500                 repurchases
                        totaling 750 kmt      headcount
 Divest four mid &                            1,700                  Limit capital
 downstream             Adjust refining       contractors            spending
 businesses             capacity downward                               Comply with law
    Electrical &        by 1.5 million mt   Global salary &             Fulfill customer
    Electronic          per year            hiring freeze               requirements
    Solutions                                                           Complete
    Global Foil                             Procurement                 Brazilian growth
    Cast Auto                               actions on key
    Wheels                                  inputs                   Secured additional
    Transportation                                                   credit facility
    Products Europe                         Continued success
                                            on repowering
                                            smelting assets
                                                1.9 million mt
                                                Extensions as
                                                long as 2043


                                                                                           30
Gaining upstream strength through cash-free swap
                                      Portfolio Streamlining: Sapa / Elkem Swap
                                                         Equity Swap
Sapa JV                                                      Elkem Aluminium
Sapa JV                                                      Elkem Aluminium

                Alcoa                           Orkla                     Alcoa                      Orkla
Current                                                      Current
                    45.45%              54.55%                                 50%                  50%
Ownership                                                    Ownership
                                       (operator)                                             (operator)

                            Sapa JV                                             Elkem Aluminium
                        Soft Alloy Extrusions                                     Norway Smelters


  46 plants                                                    Lista and Mosjoen smelters (282 kmt)
  North America and Europe                                     18% of new Mosjoen anode plant (Alcoa
                                                               owns the remaining 82%)
  Major customer segments:
                                                               LME-linked power (mostly hydro) to 2019
     –      Building and construction
     –      Industrial                                         Both smelters are middle of cost curve
     –      Commercial transportation

                                                        BENEFITS

 Complete planned exit of soft alloy extrusions in difficult market
 Building out leading upstream position through adding quality assets (e.g., hydro-based)


                                                                                                             31
Smelting curtailments taken to maximize cash position
                                      Smelting Production Curtailments: Tiered Approach


                     Smelting Curtailment Steps                                          Guiding Principle

                                                                Full curtailment of   Maximize cash position
                                                                selected plant(s)
                                                                                      for ramp down and ramp
                                                                                      up, considering:
                                            Targeted smaller
                                            curtailments at
                                                                                      •Operational flexibility
                                            several locations
                                            based upon cost
                                            & strategic
                     Utilize material in
                                                                                      •Power flexibility
                                            situation
                     inventory to reline,
                     but do not restart
                     pots
 Reduce amperage
 and eliminate end                                                                    •Repowering impact
 pots


                                                                                      •Community impact

                                                 Intalco*            Rockdale*
      7 plants*           10 plants*
                                                                                         18% (750 kmt)
                                              Baie Comeau*          Tennessee**
                                                Pocos **
                                                                                           reduction
                                                                                         by end 1Q 09
* Completed
** In process



                                                                                                                 32
Increase labor and materials productivity
                           Cost & Procurement Efficiencies: Initiatives

             Labor Initiatives                          Procurement Initiatives

                                                  •Supply chain management
          Headcount reductions                         Utilizing Alcoa’s global presence
                                                       and logistics expertise, demonstrate
 Alumina & Primary                   2,300             ability to employ non-traditional
                                                       sourcing from numerous
 Flat Rolled Products                2,900
                                                       geographies – e.g., coke & caustic
 Engineered Products                 8,100
 & Solutions
                                                  •Change of specifications, e.g.,
 Corporate                            200
                                                       • Coke
 Total                              13,500
                                                       • Cathodes

                                                  • Backward integration
• Reduce 1,700 contractor positions
                                                       • Agreements reached covering
                                                             • Fluoride
• Global salary and hiring freeze
                                                             • Caustic
                                                             • Coke
                                                               20% reduction
                                                                vs late 2008
                                                                market levels

                                                                                              33
Decreased capital spending and increased debt capacity
                                                                  Liquidity Initiatives: Results
                  Capital Spending ($ millions)                                             Debt Maturities ($ millions)
                                                                                  $1,600
$4,000

                                                                                                                   99% of LT Debt
                                                                                  $1,400
$3,500
                                                              -50%                                                   maturities
                                                                                  $1,200
                                                                                                                    beyond 2009
$3,000

                                                                       2nd        $1,000
$2,500
                                                                       half        $800
$2,000
                                                                      $0.5b
                                                                                   $600
$1,500


                                                                        1st        $400
$1,000

                                                                       half        $200
 $500
                                                                      $1.3b
                                                                                     $0
   $0
           03      04     05     06          07       08     09                         09   12   15   18   21     24     27     30   33     36
                                                                                      20   20   20   20   20     20     20     20   20     20
         20      20     20     20          20       20     20


                                                  Commercial Paper & Debt Capacity ($ billions)
                                      $6
                                                                                                                        $5.2
                                      $5
                Credit                $4                                   $3.3               $3.3
                                                       $3.3
                Revolver
                                      $3
                availability
                                      $2
                Commercial            $1
                                                      $1.5                 $1.2               $1.2                      $1.5
                Paper
                balance               $0
                                                      1Q 08               2Q 08              3Q 08                      4Q 08
                                                                                                                                                  34
Reaping substantial benefits
                  Restructuring Announcement: Benefits of Actions

                  Restructuring Announcement – January 6, 2009
                                               Cost &
     Portfolio           Production
                                            Procurement       Liquidity Initiatives
   Streamlining         Curtailments
                                            Efficiencies
Benefits of Actions
 Benefits of Actions
•• 25% lower cost per ton in refining & smelting (1Q 09 vs 3Q 08), e.g.,
    25% lower cost per ton in refining & smelting (1Q 09 vs 3Q 08), e.g.,
     •• $1.3 billion annualized from procurement & energy
         $1.3 billion annualized from procurement & energy
     •• Headcount reductions
         Headcount reductions
     •• Improved overall cost position from curtailments
         Improved overall cost position from curtailments
•• $450 million before tax annualized benefit comprised of:
    $450 million before tax annualized benefit comprised of:
     •• $150 million from divested businesses
         $150 million from divested businesses
     •• $200 million from mid/downstream & corporate headcount reductions
         $200 million from mid/downstream & corporate headcount reductions
     •• $100 million from upstream headcount reductions
         $100 million from upstream headcount reductions
•• Cash-free swap of soft alloy extrusion
    Cash-free swap of soft alloy extrusion
•• Expected $100 million proceeds from divestiture of four businesses
    Expected $100 million proceeds from divestiture of four businesses
•• Increase of nearly 60% in short-term debt capacity
    Increase of nearly 60% in short-term debt capacity
•• Cash preservation through 50% lower capital spending
    Cash preservation through 50% lower capital spending

                                                                                      35
Aluminum prospects remain bright
                                                        Aluminum Outlook

            Aluminum Benefits                             Mega Trends             Aluminum Demand (million mt) 1

                                                          Demographics                             70




                                                                                                           ME / Africa
                                                 Global population




                                                                                                            Europe /
                     Light
                                                 • 2006: 6.6 billion                6% CAGR
                                                                                    6% CAGR
                     Weight
                                                 • 2025: 7.9 billion
  Relative
  Price                                          • 2050: 9.1 billion
                                     High




                                                                                                           Americas
                                     Strength


                                                           Urbanization
                                                                                       37
Recyclable                                       Population living in cities
                                                 • 2006: > 50%
                                       Durable
                                                 • 2030: > 60%




                                                                                                            Asia
Malleable

                                                           Environment
                                    Highly
                                                 • Total energy consumption to
                                    Conductive
                   Non-
                                                   increase by 54% until 2025 –
                   Corrosive
                                                   >60% from developing
                                                   countries
                                                 • Person Transport rates +40%
                                                   by 2030
                                                                                     2008         2018

       1 Source:   Alcoa analysis                                                                                        36
Alcoa is well-positioned for the future
                                                              Alcoa’s Competitive & Power Position
                       World class refining system                                         World leading businesses
                                                                            Bauxite Mining                             #1
                                 Refining Cost Position
                                                                            Refining                                   #1
                                                                            Smelting Capacity                          #1
Worst
                                                     …                      End & Tab Can Sheet                        #1
                       …
                                                     …                      Can Body Stock                             #2
                       …
                                                     …                      Aerospace Sheet & Plate                    #1
                       Alcoa 30th
                                                     Alcoa 25th             Hard Alloy Extrusions – Advanced           #1
                       …
   Best
                                                                            General Engineering Plate                  #1
                       Current                       Post Juruti/Sao Luis
                                                                            Aerospace Fastener Systems                 #1
                           Outstanding power position
                                                                            Aerospace Airfoils                         #1
                                         Repowering efforts 2009 - 2012
                                                                            IGT Airfoils                               #1
% of Equity Capacity




                                                                            Aluminum Structural Forgings               #1
                            Contracted power
                                                                            Aluminum Truck Wheels                      #1
                            and MOUs

                                                                            Commercial Building Systems (NA)           #1
                                  Self-generated power
                                                                                 Above businesses account for 90% of
                                                                                       Alcoa’s overall revenue

                                                                                                                            37
For Additional Information, Contact:

Greg Aschman
Director, Investor Relations

  Alcoa
  390 Park Avenue
  New York, N.Y. 10022-4608
  Telephone: (212) 836-2674
  Facsimile: (212) 836-2813
  www.alcoa.com



                                         38
39
APPENDIX
           40
Reconciliation of Return on Capital

                                                                  Bloomberg Return on Capital,
   Bloomberg Return on Capital (1)                              Excluding Growth Investments (1)

                            Year ended                                                        Year ended
                           December 31,                                                      December 31,
                               2008                                                              2008

Net income (loss)          $       (74)                   Net income (loss)                   $      (74)

Minority interests                221                     Minority interests                         221

Interest expense                                          Interest expense
(after tax)                       231                     (after tax)                                231

Numerator                  $      378                     Numerator                                  378

                                                          Restructuring charges (3)                  670

                                                          Net losses of growth
                                                          investments (4)                            300

                                                          Adjusted numerator                  $    1,348

Average Balances                                          Average Balances
Short-term borrowings      $      521                     Short-term borrowings               $      521
Short-term debt                   129                     Short-term debt                            129
Commercial paper                1,196                     Commercial paper                         1,196
Long-term debt                  7,440                     Long-term debt                           7,440
Preferred stock                    55                     Preferred stock                             55
Minority interests              2,529                     Minority interests                       2,529
Common equity (2)              13,821                     Common equity (3)                       13,821

Denominator                $   25,691                     Denominator                             25,691

                                                          Restructuring charges (3)                 (436)

                                                          Capital projects in progress
                                                          and capital base of growth
                                                          investments (4)                         (5,117)

                                                          Adjusted denominator               $    20,138

                                                          Return on capital,
                                                          excluding growth
                                                          investments and
Return on capital                                         restructuring charges
                                   1.5%                                                              6.7%


 (1) The Bloomberg Methodology calculates ROC based on the trailing four quarters. Average balances are
     calculated as (December 2008 ending balance + December 2007 ending balance) divided by 2 for the year
     ended December 31, 2008, and (December 2007 ending balance + December 2006 ending balance) divided by
     2 for the year ended December 31, 2007.
 (2) Calculated as total shareholders’ equity less preferred stock.
 (3) Restructuring charges after-tax and minority interests for the years ended December 31, 2008 and 2007 were
     $670 million and $201 million, respectively. The pretax amounts are in Restructuring and other charges on
     Alcoa’s Statement of Consolidated Income. The $436 million is the average of the restructuring charges after-
     tax and minority interests for the years ended December 31, 2008 and 2007.
 (4) For all periods presented, growth investments include Russia, Bohai, and Kunshan.




                                                                                                                     41
Reconciliation of Adjusted Income

(in millions)                    Quarter ended
                          September 30, December 31,
                              2008*          2008
Net income (loss)              $ 268          $ (1,191)

Loss from
 discontinued
 operations                           (38)              (262)

Income (loss) from
  continuing
  operations                          306               (929)

Restructuring and
 other charges                         25                614

Other special items**                   –                  94

Income (loss) from
  continuing
  operations – as
  adjusted                       $    331           $   (221)




* Information for the quarter ended September 30, 2008 was reclassified to reflect the movement of the
  Electrical and Electronic Solutions business to discontinued operations in the fourth quarter of 2008.

** Other special items include obsolete inventory, environmental reserve, accounts receivable reserve, non-
   cash tax on repatriated earnings, and refund of indemnification payment (see Slide 6 for additional
   information).




                                                                                                              42
Reconciliation of ATOI to Consolidated Net Income


(in millions)                                                        4Q07           2007            1Q08           2Q08           3Q08           4Q08           2008

  Total segment ATOI                                                  $     519      $ 3,162        $     668       $    838       $    665       $      28      $ 2,199
  Unallocated amounts (net of tax):
    Impact of LIFO                                                             9          (24)            (31)           (44)             (5)            73              (7)
    Interest income                                                          10             40               9             12             10               4             35
    Interest expense                                                       (53)          (261)            (64)           (57)           (63)           (81)            (265)
    Minority interests                                                     (64)          (365)            (67)           (70)           (84)             (1)           (222)
    Corporate expense                                                     (100)          (388)            (82)           (91)           (77)           (78)            (328)
    Restructuring and other charges                                            8         (201)            (30)            (1)           (25)          (637)            (693)
    Discontinued operations                                                  (6)         (250)               4            (7)           (38)          (262)            (303)
    Other                                                                   309            851          (104)            (34)          (115)          (237)            (490)
  Consolidated net income                                             $     632      $ 2,564        $     303       $    546       $    268       $(1,191)       $      (74)


      In the first quarter of 2008, management approved a realignment of Alcoa's reportable segments to better reflect the core businesses in which Alcoa operates and
      how it is managed. This realignment consisted of eliminating the Extruded and End Products segment and realigning its component businesses as follows: the
      building and construction systems business is reported in the Engineered Products and Solutions segment; the hard alloy extrusions business and the Russian
      extrusions business are reported in the Flat-Rolled Products segment; and the remaining segment components, consisting primarily of the equity
      investment/income of Alcoa's interest in the Sapa AB joint venture, and the Latin American extrusions business, are reported in Corporate. Additionally, the
      Russian forgings business was moved from the Engineered Products and Solutions segment to the Flat-Rolled Products segment, where all Russian operations
      are now reported. Prior period amounts were reclassified to reflect the new segment structure. Also, the Engineered Solutions segment was renamed the
      Engineered Products and Solutions segment.


      Prior period information was reclassified to reflect the movement of the Electrical and Electronic Solutions business to discontinued operations in the fourth
      quarter of 2008.

                                                                                                                                                                               43

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alcoa 4Q08 Analyst Presentation

  • 1. 4th Quarter 2008 Analyst Conference January 12, 2009
  • 2. Forward Looking Statements Today’s discussion may include “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements relate to future events and expectations and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties. Alcoa’s actual results or actions may differ materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements. For a summary of the specific risk factors that could cause results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements, please refer to Alcoa’s Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007 and Forms 10-Q for the quarters ended March 31, 2008, June 30, 2008 and September 30, 2008 and other reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. 2
  • 3. Chuck McLane Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
  • 4. 4th Quarter 2008 Financial Overview – Loss from continuing operations of $929m or $1.16 per share • Restructuring, impairment and other special items of $708m or $0.88 per share – Revenue of $5.7 billion, down 18% – Sequential metal price reduction of 35% – Significant market deterioration – Cash from operations of $608m – Cash on hand at $762m – Incremental bank facility of $1.9b – Trailing 12-month ROC stands at 6.7%, excluding growth investments and restructuring charges 4
  • 5. Sequential Income Statement In Millions 3Q'08 4Q'08 Change Sales $6,970 $5,688 (18%) Cost of Goods Sold $5,648 $5,277 (7%) % of Sales 81.0% 92.8% 11.8 pts SG&A $275 $273 (1%) % of Sales 3.9% 4.8% 0.9 pts Restructuring and Other Charges $38 $863 nm Interest Expense $96 $125 30% Other Expense/(Income) $15 $(36) nm Effective Tax Rate 25.9% 20.4% (5.5 pts) Minority Interests $84 - (100%) GAAP Net Income/(Loss) $268 ($1,191) ($1,459) Loss from Discontinued Operations ($38) ($262) ($224) GAAP Income/(Loss) from Continuing Operations $306 ($929) ($1,235) GAAP Income/(Loss) from Continuing Operations per Diluted Share $0.37 ($1.16) ($1.53) 5
  • 6. Restructuring & Other Special Items After‐Tax Earnings Income Statement Amount Per Share Classification Segment Loss from Continuing Operations ($929) ($1.16) Restructuring: Headcount ($97) ($0.12) Restructuring Corporate Global Foil (100) (0.13) Restructuring Corporate Europe Auto Structures (50) (0.06) Restructuring Corporate Sapa Exchange (223) (0.28) Restructuring Corporate Other Asset Write‐offs (144) (0.18) Restructuring Corporate Restructuring Sub‐Total ($614) ($0.76) Other Special Items: Shutdown Related Obsolete Inventory ($16) ($0.02) COGS Flat‐Rolled/Engineered Products Environmental Reserve (26) (0.03) COGS Corporate Accounts Receivable Reserve (11) (0.02) SG&A Corporate Non‐Cash Tax on Repatriated Earnings (65) (0.08) Tax Corporate Refund of Indemnification Payment 24 0.03 Other Income Corporate Other Special Items Sub‐Total ($94) ($0.12) Total Restructuring & Other Special Items ($708) ($0.88) 6
  • 7. 2008 Tax Reconciliation – 4th Quarter & Full Year Minority After‐Tax 4th Quarter 2008 Pre‐Tax Tax $ Tax % Interest & M.I. Reported Effective Tax Rate ($1,167) ($238) 20.4% $0 ($929) Adjustments Restructuring ($863) ($226) 26.2% ($23) ($614) Non‐Cash Tax on Repatriated Earnings 65 (65) Adjustments Sub‐Total ($863) ($161) 18.7% ($23) ($679) Operational Effective Tax Rate ($304) ($77) 25.3% $23 ($250) Total Year 2008 Reported Effective Tax Rate $792 $342 43.2% $221 $229 Adjustments Restructuring ($939) ($246) 26.2% ($23) ($670) Non‐Cash Tax on Repatriated Earnings 65 (65) Other Discrete Tax Items 33 (33) Adjustments Sub‐Total ($939) ($148) 15.8% ($23) ($768) Operational Effective Tax Rate $1,731 $490 28.3% $244 $997 7
  • 8. 4Q vs. 3Q 2008 Earnings Bridge Income From Continuing Operations Excluding Restructuring & Other Special Items $700 $191 $88 $600 $164 $500 $69 $400 $331 $339 $560  $300 $200 $100 $0 3Q08 Energy Currency Price/Mix Volume LME 4Q08 ($100) ($200) ($221) ($300) 4Q 2008 Other Special Items = Obsolete Inventory, Environmental Reserve, A/R Reserve, Non‐Cash  Tax on Repatriated Earnings and Refund of Indemnification Payment (net $94m in total) See Slide 42 for Reconciliation 8
  • 9. Alumina 4th Quarter Highlights 4th Quarter Business Conditions − 16% lower realized pricing 4Q 07 3Q 08 4Q 08 − Point Comfort curtailment led to lower Production (kmt) 3,855 3,790 3,776 production 3rd Party Shipments (kmt) 2,030 2,010 2,123 − Sequential benefit of $33 million from Western 3rd Party Revenue ($ million) 688 805 722 Australia gas disruption recovery ATOI ($ million) 205 206 162 − Stronger US dollar benefit of $64 million through lower cost base − Lower energy costs realized $300 $1,800 $1,500 $250 $1,200 1st Quarter Outlook Total Revenue (million) $200 ATOI (million) $900 − Prices to follow approximate two-month lag $150 $600 − Anticipate 5% lower production due to curtailments $100 $300 − Current US dollar slightly weaker than 4Q $50 $0 average 1Q 07 2Q 07 3Q 07 4Q 07 1Q 08 2Q 08 3Q08 4Q08 − Lower fuel oil costs ATOI Total Revenue 9
  • 10. Refining Cost Overview Input Cost Inventory flow Pricing convention Composition of Refining Production Costs Fuel oil 1 – 2 months Prior month Fuel Oil Natural gas 1 – 2 months Rolling 16 quarters 14% Conversion Natural gas 36% Caustic soda 3 - 6 months Spot & semi- 15% annual Bauxite 2 - 3 months 6 - 9 month lag Caustic 10% Bauxite 25% 10
  • 11. Primary Metals 4th Quarter Highlights 4th Quarter Business Conditions 4Q 07 3Q 08 4Q 08 − Realized pricing down 28% sequentially Production (kmt) 959 1,011 971 − LME-linked costs declining but on lagged basis 3rd Party Shipments (kmt) 624 704 807 − Stronger US dollar benefit of $94 million 3rd Party Revenue ($ 1,597 2,127 1,580 million) through lower cost base 3rd Party Price ($/mt) 2,646 2,945 2,125 − Sequential negative $21 million impact of Rockdale curtailment ATOI ($ million) 196 297 (101) − Favorable sequential energy of $23 million $550 $3,850 $450 1st Quarter Outlook $3,350 $350 − Realized pricing trending closer to spot $250 Total Revenue (million) ATOI (million) $2,850 − Anticipate 8% lower production due to $150 curtailments $2,350 $50 − LME linked costs to continue decline 1Q 07 2Q 07 3Q 07 4Q 07 1Q 08 2Q 08 3Q08 4Q08 -$50 − Current US dollar slightly weaker than 4Q $1,850 -$150 average -$250 $1,350 − Cost savings from procurement actions on ATOI Total Revenue carbon products start to hit bottom line 11
  • 12. Smelting Cost Overview Composition of Smelting Production Costs Input Cost Inventory flow Pricing convention Conversion 22% Alumina Alumina 1 – 2 months 2 – 3 month lags 36% Materials Power 1 – 2 months 40% LME linked – 3% 3 month lag Carbon 1 - 2 months Spot & semi-annual Materials 1 - 2 months 1 – 3 month lag Power Carbon 26% 13% Several significant input costs lag average primary metal revenue by up to 3 months 12
  • 13. Flat-Rolled Products 4th Quarter Business Conditions ATOI ($ million) − Sharp decline in demand as economic 4Q 07 3Q 08 4Q 08 environment worsened Global Rolled Products, − 11% lower shipments on top of a seasonally 44 60 (9) excl Russia & China weak 3Q − Non can sheet shipments down 20% Hard Alloy Extrusions 8 7 8 − Boeing strike impact of $10 million Russia, China & Other (67) (38) (97) − Bohai start-up costs of $9 million (98) Total (15) 29 − Divestiture related inventory obsolescence $12 million $120 $2,800 1st Quarter Outlook $80 $2,600 $40 $2,400 illion) Third Party Revenue (m − Continued weakness in end markets I illion) ATO (m $0 $2,200 1Q 07 2Q 07 3Q 07 4Q 07 1Q 08 2Q 08 3Q08 4Q08 − Input costs expected to decline ($40) $2,000 ($80) $1,800 ($120) $1,600 ATOI Third Party Revenue 13
  • 14. Downturn Evident in Flat-Rolled Products Global Rolling Demand Collapse Global Rolling Order Rates 2008 & 2007 Demand 2007 vs. 2008 Demand 2007 vs. 2008 2007 2008 • 2008 demand well below 2007 • No sign of seasonal up-lift • Dramatic deterioration in 4Q orders over the last 3 weeks lity sona l Sea a Norm Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 14
  • 15. Flat-Rolled Products Market Drivers Revenue Composition Sequential Revenue Change - 18% - 23% - 36% +7% - 26% - 37% - 11% Total -17% 15
  • 16. Engineered Products and Solutions 4th Quarter Highlights 4th Quarter Business Conditions − Market declines adversely affected all 4Q 07 3Q 08 4Q 08 businesses Third Party Revenue 1,311 1,451 1,258 − Boeing strike ($5 million effect) & seasonal impacts resulted in lower aerospace demand ATOI 77 133 65 ATOI% / Revenue 5.9 9.2 5.2 $180 $2,200 1st Quarter Outlook $160 $2,000 $140 $1,800 − Further weakness expected in commercial $120 Third Party Revenue (million) $1,600 ATOI (million) $100 transportation and commercial construction markets $80 − Revenue from automotive market reduced to 5% of $1,400 $60 total segment as a result of portfolio moves $1,200 $40 − Productivity initiatives expected to gain momentum $1,000 $20 $0 $800 1Q 07 2Q 07 3Q 07 4Q 07 1Q 08 2Q 08 3Q08 4Q08 ATOI Third Party Revenue 16
  • 17. Record earnings despite market headwinds Engineered Products & Solutions Financial Metrics ATOI (in millions) Sales (in billions) Return on Capital 16% 7% 23% $503 $5.6 $5.3 $409 2007 2008 2007 2008 2007 2008 Strong market positions Productivity improvements Cost efficient capacity in aerospace, IGT, B&C continue to accelerate and expansions in fasteners and fastener acquisition yield bottom line benefits and investment castings offset unprecedented along with working capital decline in North American efficiencies & European truck and automotive markets 17
  • 18. Cash Flow Statement In Millions 4Q'07 3Q'08 4Q'08 Net Income $632 $268 $(1,191) DD&A 312 311 292 Change in Working Capital 385 (552) 590 Other Adjustments (661) 298 955 Pension Contributions (25) (418) (38) Cash From Operating Activities $643 $(93) $608 Dividends to Shareholders $(143) $(140) $(136) Change in Debt 467 1,573 444 Dividends to Minority Interests (58) (76) (102) Contributions from Minority Interests 105 130 214 Share Repurchases (948) (477) - Share Issuances 16 1 - Other Financing Activities 2 (7) (43) Cash From Financing Activities $(559) $1,004 $377 Capital Expenditures $(1,021) $(877) $(1,017) Sales of Assets/Investments 126 115 26 Additions to Investments (8) (39) (27) Other Investing Activities (16) (56) (5) Cash From Investing Activities $(919) $(857) $(1,023) 18
  • 19. Capital Expenditures Capital Expenditure History 2009 Capital Expenditures Forecast $4,000 150% $1,500 Values $ Millions Values $ Millions 71% $3,500 $3,000 100% $1,000 876 $2,500 29% $2,000 50% $500 187 $1,500 393 328 $1,000 0% $0 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 2009 First Half 2009 Second Half Total Capital Expenditures Non‐Growth Growth Non‐Growth Capex as % of Depreciation 19
  • 20. Liquidity Remains Strong Added revolver amid financial market crisis Good performance in difficult CP markets 5.2 Values $ Billions % of Period Issuance with Maturity One Week or Greater 96% 87% 3.3 3.3 3.3 59% 43% 34% 33% 1.5 1.5 1.2 1.2 October November December 1Q 08 2Q 08 3Q 08 4Q 08 Alcoa Tier II Issuers Commercial Paper Additional Revolver Availability Source:  The Federal Reserve Board 20
  • 21. Cash Conservation Efforts Wide-Ranging Actions Taken 21
  • 22. Klaus Kleinfeld President and Chief Executive Officer
  • 23. Accomplishments: Clear strategy, speed & execution 2008 Accomplishments Three Strategic Priorities Secured long-term power contracts for nearly half of smelting system Profitable Growth Alcoa Advantage Completed successful start-up of in every business creating value for Fjardaal, first greenfield smelter in two all businesses decades – Talent Record earnings in Engineered Business Programs that – Technology define: Products & Solutions – Customer Intimacy – 3-year aspirations – Purchasing – Priority levers Completed Packaging divestiture – Operating System – Accountability Fast response to early signals, e.g.: Disciplined Execution across all activities Reached agreement for soft alloy extrusion swap Increased debt capacity and improved debt structure Named to Dow Jones Sustainability Index for 7th straight year 23
  • 24. Historic collapse in metal price – (56%) over 5 months LME cash price/ton, in US$ and global inventory1, in days 50 $3,500 45 40 Days of Consumption $3,000 35 LME Price/mt 30 $2,500 25 - 56% 20 $2,000 15 10 $1,500 5 $1,000 0 12/08 01/05 04/05 07/05 10/05 01/06 04/06 07/06 10/06 01/07 04/07 07/07 10/07 01/08 04/08 07/08 10/08 1 Reported Stocks : Comex, IAI, Japan Port , LME, & SME Reported Stocks, LME Cash Price Days of Consumption Source: IAI and Bloomberg 24
  • 25. Expect global demand decline of 2% in 2009 Primary Aluminum Consumption Growth Rates, 2009, in million mt Brazil 0.9 1% 5% -2% 1.0 3% CIS -4% 4.9 -2% Asia w/o China 5.3 -12% -10% North America Global Demand Growth Rates: 2008: -3% Europe 7.0 -9% -7% 2009: -2% 3% 9% 13.1 China 2009 Projected 2008 vs. 2009 Consumption Projected Growth Rates 2008 Actual 2009 Forecast Source: Alcoa analysis Note: 2009 Projected Global Consumption: 36.2 million mt 25
  • 26. Curtailment announcements – 13% of global output Global Smelting Curtailment Announcements1 By Month By Region Region Aug 08 Announced Percentage Production1 Curtailment1 Curtailed 679 5,020 920 China 14,000 (3,000) 21% 840 North America 5,700 (840) 15% Eastern 4,650 (574) 12% 1,139 Europe/Russia 1,442 Western Europe 4,600 (230) 5% Asia/Middle East 3,950 (80) 2% 800 Latin America 2,700 (93) 3% completed Oceania 2,300 (102) 4% Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Total 2008 2008 2008 2008 2009 Africa 1,700 (100) 6% & Prev Total 39,600 (5,020) 13% 13% of total global output 1 Annualized kmt 26
  • 27. 2009 – Aluminum Surplus or Deficit? Aluminum Supply / Demand Balance (in kmt) 2008 Consumption 37,000 2008 Production 38,800 Lower 2009 consumption (800) Estimated 2009 600 (2%) incremental production Stimulus effects ?? Announced curtailments (3,500) Total 2009 Consumption ?? Total 2009 Production 35,900 Supply Demand Source: Alcoa analysis, CRU, IAI 27
  • 28. Managing downturn along the three strategic priorities Three Strategic Priorities and Downturn Management Accelerated R&D Profitable Growth Alcoa Advantage portfolio technology in every business creating value for moves (in & refocus all businesses out) Share growth – Talent Curtailments Business Programs that – Technology define: Procurement – Customer Intimacy – 3-year aspirations Plant shut – Purchasing savings – Priority levers MENT downs – Operating System – Accountability Corporate DOW Headcount overhead Disciplined Execution across all activities reduction reduction Additional Increased flexibility debt capacity Speedy execution Focus on cash and bottom line Capital spend reduction N TURN MANAG E 28
  • 29. Getting ahead of the curve Alcoa Downturn Actions: Timeline 2008/09 Alcoa Downturn Actions Nov 10 Dec 22 Sep 17 Sep 30 Oct 6 Oct 7 Oct 23 Jan 6, 2009 Jul 11 Curtailed Agreement Suspended Curtailed Announced Reduced Announced Downsized Power & additional with Orkla to 150,000 mt halting of production wide-ranging Electrical share Propulsion 350,000 mt swap soft all at Point actions to and at Rockdale announced aluminum alloy repurchases non-critical Comfort address Electronic smelter headcount production extrusion capital refinery economic Solutions reductions over global share spend by 25% downturn Honduran & in response smelting for Elkem (550,000 mt) Mexican to market system smelter operations conditions share 29
  • 30. Restructuring actions incorporate all improvement levers Restructuring Announcement: Levers and Actions Restructuring Announcement – January 6, 2009 Cost & Portfolio Production Procurement Liquidity Initiatives Streamlining Curtailments Efficiencies Swap of Sapa stake Initiate smelting Workforce reduction Suspend share for Elkem smelters curtailments 13,500 repurchases totaling 750 kmt headcount Divest four mid & 1,700 Limit capital downstream Adjust refining contractors spending businesses capacity downward Comply with law Electrical & by 1.5 million mt Global salary & Fulfill customer Electronic per year hiring freeze requirements Solutions Complete Global Foil Procurement Brazilian growth Cast Auto actions on key Wheels inputs Secured additional Transportation credit facility Products Europe Continued success on repowering smelting assets 1.9 million mt Extensions as long as 2043 30
  • 31. Gaining upstream strength through cash-free swap Portfolio Streamlining: Sapa / Elkem Swap Equity Swap Sapa JV Elkem Aluminium Sapa JV Elkem Aluminium Alcoa Orkla Alcoa Orkla Current Current 45.45% 54.55% 50% 50% Ownership Ownership (operator) (operator) Sapa JV Elkem Aluminium Soft Alloy Extrusions Norway Smelters 46 plants Lista and Mosjoen smelters (282 kmt) North America and Europe 18% of new Mosjoen anode plant (Alcoa owns the remaining 82%) Major customer segments: LME-linked power (mostly hydro) to 2019 – Building and construction – Industrial Both smelters are middle of cost curve – Commercial transportation BENEFITS Complete planned exit of soft alloy extrusions in difficult market Building out leading upstream position through adding quality assets (e.g., hydro-based) 31
  • 32. Smelting curtailments taken to maximize cash position Smelting Production Curtailments: Tiered Approach Smelting Curtailment Steps Guiding Principle Full curtailment of Maximize cash position selected plant(s) for ramp down and ramp up, considering: Targeted smaller curtailments at •Operational flexibility several locations based upon cost & strategic Utilize material in •Power flexibility situation inventory to reline, but do not restart pots Reduce amperage and eliminate end •Repowering impact pots •Community impact Intalco* Rockdale* 7 plants* 10 plants* 18% (750 kmt) Baie Comeau* Tennessee** Pocos ** reduction by end 1Q 09 * Completed ** In process 32
  • 33. Increase labor and materials productivity Cost & Procurement Efficiencies: Initiatives Labor Initiatives Procurement Initiatives •Supply chain management Headcount reductions Utilizing Alcoa’s global presence and logistics expertise, demonstrate Alumina & Primary 2,300 ability to employ non-traditional sourcing from numerous Flat Rolled Products 2,900 geographies – e.g., coke & caustic Engineered Products 8,100 & Solutions •Change of specifications, e.g., Corporate 200 • Coke Total 13,500 • Cathodes • Backward integration • Reduce 1,700 contractor positions • Agreements reached covering • Fluoride • Global salary and hiring freeze • Caustic • Coke 20% reduction vs late 2008 market levels 33
  • 34. Decreased capital spending and increased debt capacity Liquidity Initiatives: Results Capital Spending ($ millions) Debt Maturities ($ millions) $1,600 $4,000 99% of LT Debt $1,400 $3,500 -50% maturities $1,200 beyond 2009 $3,000 2nd $1,000 $2,500 half $800 $2,000 $0.5b $600 $1,500 1st $400 $1,000 half $200 $500 $1.3b $0 $0 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 09 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 Commercial Paper & Debt Capacity ($ billions) $6 $5.2 $5 Credit $4 $3.3 $3.3 $3.3 Revolver $3 availability $2 Commercial $1 $1.5 $1.2 $1.2 $1.5 Paper balance $0 1Q 08 2Q 08 3Q 08 4Q 08 34
  • 35. Reaping substantial benefits Restructuring Announcement: Benefits of Actions Restructuring Announcement – January 6, 2009 Cost & Portfolio Production Procurement Liquidity Initiatives Streamlining Curtailments Efficiencies Benefits of Actions Benefits of Actions •• 25% lower cost per ton in refining & smelting (1Q 09 vs 3Q 08), e.g., 25% lower cost per ton in refining & smelting (1Q 09 vs 3Q 08), e.g., •• $1.3 billion annualized from procurement & energy $1.3 billion annualized from procurement & energy •• Headcount reductions Headcount reductions •• Improved overall cost position from curtailments Improved overall cost position from curtailments •• $450 million before tax annualized benefit comprised of: $450 million before tax annualized benefit comprised of: •• $150 million from divested businesses $150 million from divested businesses •• $200 million from mid/downstream & corporate headcount reductions $200 million from mid/downstream & corporate headcount reductions •• $100 million from upstream headcount reductions $100 million from upstream headcount reductions •• Cash-free swap of soft alloy extrusion Cash-free swap of soft alloy extrusion •• Expected $100 million proceeds from divestiture of four businesses Expected $100 million proceeds from divestiture of four businesses •• Increase of nearly 60% in short-term debt capacity Increase of nearly 60% in short-term debt capacity •• Cash preservation through 50% lower capital spending Cash preservation through 50% lower capital spending 35
  • 36. Aluminum prospects remain bright Aluminum Outlook Aluminum Benefits Mega Trends Aluminum Demand (million mt) 1 Demographics 70 ME / Africa Global population Europe / Light • 2006: 6.6 billion 6% CAGR 6% CAGR Weight • 2025: 7.9 billion Relative Price • 2050: 9.1 billion High Americas Strength Urbanization 37 Recyclable Population living in cities • 2006: > 50% Durable • 2030: > 60% Asia Malleable Environment Highly • Total energy consumption to Conductive Non- increase by 54% until 2025 – Corrosive >60% from developing countries • Person Transport rates +40% by 2030 2008 2018 1 Source: Alcoa analysis 36
  • 37. Alcoa is well-positioned for the future Alcoa’s Competitive & Power Position World class refining system World leading businesses Bauxite Mining #1 Refining Cost Position Refining #1 Smelting Capacity #1 Worst … End & Tab Can Sheet #1 … … Can Body Stock #2 … … Aerospace Sheet & Plate #1 Alcoa 30th Alcoa 25th Hard Alloy Extrusions – Advanced #1 … Best General Engineering Plate #1 Current Post Juruti/Sao Luis Aerospace Fastener Systems #1 Outstanding power position Aerospace Airfoils #1 Repowering efforts 2009 - 2012 IGT Airfoils #1 % of Equity Capacity Aluminum Structural Forgings #1 Contracted power Aluminum Truck Wheels #1 and MOUs Commercial Building Systems (NA) #1 Self-generated power Above businesses account for 90% of Alcoa’s overall revenue 37
  • 38. For Additional Information, Contact: Greg Aschman Director, Investor Relations Alcoa 390 Park Avenue New York, N.Y. 10022-4608 Telephone: (212) 836-2674 Facsimile: (212) 836-2813 www.alcoa.com 38
  • 39. 39
  • 40. APPENDIX 40
  • 41. Reconciliation of Return on Capital Bloomberg Return on Capital, Bloomberg Return on Capital (1) Excluding Growth Investments (1) Year ended Year ended December 31, December 31, 2008 2008 Net income (loss) $ (74) Net income (loss) $ (74) Minority interests 221 Minority interests 221 Interest expense Interest expense (after tax) 231 (after tax) 231 Numerator $ 378 Numerator 378 Restructuring charges (3) 670 Net losses of growth investments (4) 300 Adjusted numerator $ 1,348 Average Balances Average Balances Short-term borrowings $ 521 Short-term borrowings $ 521 Short-term debt 129 Short-term debt 129 Commercial paper 1,196 Commercial paper 1,196 Long-term debt 7,440 Long-term debt 7,440 Preferred stock 55 Preferred stock 55 Minority interests 2,529 Minority interests 2,529 Common equity (2) 13,821 Common equity (3) 13,821 Denominator $ 25,691 Denominator 25,691 Restructuring charges (3) (436) Capital projects in progress and capital base of growth investments (4) (5,117) Adjusted denominator $ 20,138 Return on capital, excluding growth investments and Return on capital restructuring charges 1.5% 6.7% (1) The Bloomberg Methodology calculates ROC based on the trailing four quarters. Average balances are calculated as (December 2008 ending balance + December 2007 ending balance) divided by 2 for the year ended December 31, 2008, and (December 2007 ending balance + December 2006 ending balance) divided by 2 for the year ended December 31, 2007. (2) Calculated as total shareholders’ equity less preferred stock. (3) Restructuring charges after-tax and minority interests for the years ended December 31, 2008 and 2007 were $670 million and $201 million, respectively. The pretax amounts are in Restructuring and other charges on Alcoa’s Statement of Consolidated Income. The $436 million is the average of the restructuring charges after- tax and minority interests for the years ended December 31, 2008 and 2007. (4) For all periods presented, growth investments include Russia, Bohai, and Kunshan. 41
  • 42. Reconciliation of Adjusted Income (in millions) Quarter ended September 30, December 31, 2008* 2008 Net income (loss) $ 268 $ (1,191) Loss from discontinued operations (38) (262) Income (loss) from continuing operations 306 (929) Restructuring and other charges 25 614 Other special items** – 94 Income (loss) from continuing operations – as adjusted $ 331 $ (221) * Information for the quarter ended September 30, 2008 was reclassified to reflect the movement of the Electrical and Electronic Solutions business to discontinued operations in the fourth quarter of 2008. ** Other special items include obsolete inventory, environmental reserve, accounts receivable reserve, non- cash tax on repatriated earnings, and refund of indemnification payment (see Slide 6 for additional information). 42
  • 43. Reconciliation of ATOI to Consolidated Net Income (in millions) 4Q07 2007 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 2008 Total segment ATOI $ 519 $ 3,162 $ 668 $ 838 $ 665 $ 28 $ 2,199 Unallocated amounts (net of tax): Impact of LIFO 9 (24) (31) (44) (5) 73 (7) Interest income 10 40 9 12 10 4 35 Interest expense (53) (261) (64) (57) (63) (81) (265) Minority interests (64) (365) (67) (70) (84) (1) (222) Corporate expense (100) (388) (82) (91) (77) (78) (328) Restructuring and other charges 8 (201) (30) (1) (25) (637) (693) Discontinued operations (6) (250) 4 (7) (38) (262) (303) Other 309 851 (104) (34) (115) (237) (490) Consolidated net income $ 632 $ 2,564 $ 303 $ 546 $ 268 $(1,191) $ (74) In the first quarter of 2008, management approved a realignment of Alcoa's reportable segments to better reflect the core businesses in which Alcoa operates and how it is managed. This realignment consisted of eliminating the Extruded and End Products segment and realigning its component businesses as follows: the building and construction systems business is reported in the Engineered Products and Solutions segment; the hard alloy extrusions business and the Russian extrusions business are reported in the Flat-Rolled Products segment; and the remaining segment components, consisting primarily of the equity investment/income of Alcoa's interest in the Sapa AB joint venture, and the Latin American extrusions business, are reported in Corporate. Additionally, the Russian forgings business was moved from the Engineered Products and Solutions segment to the Flat-Rolled Products segment, where all Russian operations are now reported. Prior period amounts were reclassified to reflect the new segment structure. Also, the Engineered Solutions segment was renamed the Engineered Products and Solutions segment. Prior period information was reclassified to reflect the movement of the Electrical and Electronic Solutions business to discontinued operations in the fourth quarter of 2008. 43