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Improving the Promotion Policy for the Vietnamese Iron and Steel Industry VDF Seminar, June 16, 2006 Nozomu Kawabata Tohoku University, Japan
Structure of this presentation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
1  Steel industry in the process of industrialization
Nature of steel industry in process of industrialization ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Major contradictions of steel industry in developing countries Small domestic market High level of minimum efficient scale of production capacity  Necessity of coordination among small numbers of big project Necessity of competition for efficiency Nationalistic feeling to basic material industries Necessity of technology and capital from foreign sources
Steel strategies have been changed in advanced ASEAN countries ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Policy Change produced good results ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Capacity for policy change ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
2  Overview of iron and steel industry in Vietnam
Production Structure of the Vietnamese iron and steel industry (2004) Blast Furnace  Pro. 187 Import of Scrap  163 EAF-Billet CC, Ingot casting factories  Pro.658  ( full operation ) Long rolling mills Pro. 2366 ( Cap. 4600 overcapacity ) Market of long products About 2600 Import of billet 2174 Import of long products 257 Import of hot rolled coil, sheet, plate and tube products  1773 Import of cold rolled and surface treated coil and sheet products 1112 Pipe fitter  Pro. 236 Galvanizing and color coating factories  Pro. 176 Unit: 1000 ton Source: Author edited from data of SEAISI and VSA. Market of flat and tube products About 2900 Domestic Supply of Scrap  718
Major problems ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
3  Long Sector Phu My Steelworks, SSC Taken by the author, May 2005
The market structure is changing ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Significance of SSC’s Phu My Steelworks ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Change to “Equal Footing”  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Old style policies lead troubles ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Basic direction of new policy ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Example: Scrap import problem(1) ,[object Object],[object Object],EAF-Billet CC, Ingot casting factories 658 Long rolling mills 2366 Import of billet 2174 Pig Iron  187 Import of Scrap  163 Scrap  718 EAF-Billet CC, Ingot casting factories About 2500 Long rolling mills Import of billet Pig Iron  200 Import of Scrap  About 2000 Scrap  720
Example: Scrap import problem(2) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Example: Scrap import problem(3) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Proper regulation to reinforce market function ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Two types of trade policy ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
4  Flat sector
4-1  Rolling and galvanizing sector PFS Taken by the author, May 2005
Significance of Phu My Flat Steel (PFS) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Two-tiered market structure of cold rolled and surface treated sheet products Cold Rolling Mill (PFS) Pro. 180-240  (Cap. 400) Import of high grade cold rolled sheets (Deep drawing sheet, electrical sheet, IF steel, loam plate,etc) Import of normal grade cold rolled sheets Galvanizing and color coating factories (BlueScope, SSSC etc) Import of high grade surface treated sheets (Galvannealed, color-coated, tinplated) Import of normal grade galvanized and color-coated sheets Customer II (Mainly construction industry, partly  domestic manufactures) Customer I (FDI manufacturers like car, motorbike, export-oriented appliance producers) Import of hot coils Competition No competition Competition
Irrationality of current import duty on sheet products ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Level and style of protection should be refined ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Differentiation between high grade steel and conventional steel ,[object Object],[object Object],Same HS code Galvannealed sheet  for automotive Galvanized sheet for construction
New option: “User Specific Duty Free Scheme (USDFS)”(1) ,[object Object],For  motorbike For construction 7209.16 7209.17 7209. ・・ 7209.15 72 ・・・・ (example) Conventional one  High grade one for motorbike Subject to “USDFS” Duty Free Taxation
USDFS as a proven scheme in several countries ,[object Object],[object Object]
USDFS and current scheme of preferential treatment ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
4-2  Future expansion programs in flat sector Blast furnace and basic oxygen furnace of Nippon Steel Kimitsu Steelworks.  From Company Pamphlet
Possible projects in future ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Necessity of FDI in flat sector ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Conditions for FDI attraction(1) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Conditions for FDI attraction(2) ,[object Object],Market size of specific segment Ex. 1 million tons of sheets for automobile Product mix of new factories Ex. CR, GI, GA Possible FDI companies Ex. Japan, South Korea Technology Ex. State of the art ISW
Conditions for FDI attraction(3) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
International rivalry in FDI attraction ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Role of government in attracting FDI (1) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Role of government in attracting FDI(2) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Unbundling the development of  Thach Khe mine from building of ISW ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],ISW  FDI majority JV or 100% Thach Khe mine Vietnamese company or FDI minority JV Foreign iron ore mine Free trade
5  Conclusion Hot strip mill and continuous descaling and cold rolling mill of Nippon Steel Kimitsu Steelworks From Company Pamphlet
The time of policy change in Vietnamese steel industry ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Reference ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Thank you for your kind attention!

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Vd Fsteelfinal

  • 1. Improving the Promotion Policy for the Vietnamese Iron and Steel Industry VDF Seminar, June 16, 2006 Nozomu Kawabata Tohoku University, Japan
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  • 3. 1 Steel industry in the process of industrialization
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  • 5. Major contradictions of steel industry in developing countries Small domestic market High level of minimum efficient scale of production capacity Necessity of coordination among small numbers of big project Necessity of competition for efficiency Nationalistic feeling to basic material industries Necessity of technology and capital from foreign sources
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  • 9. 2 Overview of iron and steel industry in Vietnam
  • 10. Production Structure of the Vietnamese iron and steel industry (2004) Blast Furnace Pro. 187 Import of Scrap 163 EAF-Billet CC, Ingot casting factories Pro.658 ( full operation ) Long rolling mills Pro. 2366 ( Cap. 4600 overcapacity ) Market of long products About 2600 Import of billet 2174 Import of long products 257 Import of hot rolled coil, sheet, plate and tube products 1773 Import of cold rolled and surface treated coil and sheet products 1112 Pipe fitter Pro. 236 Galvanizing and color coating factories Pro. 176 Unit: 1000 ton Source: Author edited from data of SEAISI and VSA. Market of flat and tube products About 2900 Domestic Supply of Scrap 718
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  • 12. 3 Long Sector Phu My Steelworks, SSC Taken by the author, May 2005
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  • 23. 4 Flat sector
  • 24. 4-1 Rolling and galvanizing sector PFS Taken by the author, May 2005
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  • 26. Two-tiered market structure of cold rolled and surface treated sheet products Cold Rolling Mill (PFS) Pro. 180-240 (Cap. 400) Import of high grade cold rolled sheets (Deep drawing sheet, electrical sheet, IF steel, loam plate,etc) Import of normal grade cold rolled sheets Galvanizing and color coating factories (BlueScope, SSSC etc) Import of high grade surface treated sheets (Galvannealed, color-coated, tinplated) Import of normal grade galvanized and color-coated sheets Customer II (Mainly construction industry, partly domestic manufactures) Customer I (FDI manufacturers like car, motorbike, export-oriented appliance producers) Import of hot coils Competition No competition Competition
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  • 33. 4-2 Future expansion programs in flat sector Blast furnace and basic oxygen furnace of Nippon Steel Kimitsu Steelworks. From Company Pamphlet
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  • 43. 5 Conclusion Hot strip mill and continuous descaling and cold rolling mill of Nippon Steel Kimitsu Steelworks From Company Pamphlet
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  • 46. Thank you for your kind attention!

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. Good morning everyone. I am an industry researcher in Japan. I have been studying the Vietnamese steel industry for seven years. Recently my Japanese book titled the “Structure and dynamism of the iron and steel industry in east Asia” was published. There is one chapter about Vietnam. I think I could give a correct explanation of the Vietnamese steel industry to reader in Japan. But the situation changes day by day. So I should revise my chapter based on the latest information. Today I make a presentation on the promotion policy for the Vietnamese steel industry. I will write a research paper in English based on this presentation and your comments to it.