SlideShare une entreprise Scribd logo
1  sur  22
Jkl;ajkl;a
there is an


imbalance
              -2
    0.6 Wm
24 EJ
hj    hj
klj   klj
hg    hg
jh    jh
“If we do not have an international agreement… put in place by 2017
then the door to holding temperatures to 2oC of warming
will be closed forever”
Fatih Birol, Chief Economist International Energy Agency       November 2011


“I travel a lot and I see climate change sliding down politicians’ agendas
very rapidly”
Fatih Birol          March 2012
That
   was the




moral
  imperative
decarbonisation
Peak oil                  Round about now


Peak gas                  Between 2020 and 2030


Peak coal                 Between 2030 and 2100


Peak unconventional gas   Difficult to say
That
   was the




physical
   imperative
a
100%
renewable
    future
It’s going to be a
                     whole   lot easier
Image credits




Slide 5 http://www.atomicarchive.com/History/mp/p5s12.shtml
Slide 6 http://www.flickr.com/photos/7860803@N06/463098676/
Slide 7 http://openclipart.org/detail/64003/map-cymru-by-garethclubb
Slide 7 http://openclipart.org/detail/20424/bomb-by-rg1024
Slide 8 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:BreconCentre.jpg
Slides 10 and 11 http://flood.firetree.net/
Slide 13 http://inoveryourhead.net/the-complete-guide-to-snapping-the-f-k-out-of-it/
Slide 17 http://www.flickr.com/photos/primed_minister/2306496568/
Slide 19 http://www.flickr.com/photos/nzpix/4547286525/
Jkl;ajkl;a
Climate change and renewables in Wales

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Climate change and renewables in Wales

  • 2.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7. hj hj klj klj hg hg jh jh
  • 8.
  • 9. “If we do not have an international agreement… put in place by 2017 then the door to holding temperatures to 2oC of warming will be closed forever” Fatih Birol, Chief Economist International Energy Agency November 2011 “I travel a lot and I see climate change sliding down politicians’ agendas very rapidly” Fatih Birol March 2012
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12. That was the moral imperative
  • 13.
  • 15. Peak oil Round about now Peak gas Between 2020 and 2030 Peak coal Between 2030 and 2100 Peak unconventional gas Difficult to say
  • 16. That was the physical imperative
  • 18. It’s going to be a whole lot easier
  • 19.
  • 20. Image credits Slide 5 http://www.atomicarchive.com/History/mp/p5s12.shtml Slide 6 http://www.flickr.com/photos/7860803@N06/463098676/ Slide 7 http://openclipart.org/detail/64003/map-cymru-by-garethclubb Slide 7 http://openclipart.org/detail/20424/bomb-by-rg1024 Slide 8 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:BreconCentre.jpg Slides 10 and 11 http://flood.firetree.net/ Slide 13 http://inoveryourhead.net/the-complete-guide-to-snapping-the-f-k-out-of-it/ Slide 17 http://www.flickr.com/photos/primed_minister/2306496568/ Slide 19 http://www.flickr.com/photos/nzpix/4547286525/

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. http://www.sciencemag.org/content/308/5727/1431.abstract – is it 0.85 +-0.15?Or 0.6 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fWInyaMWBY8?
  2. 24 exajoules = 24 x 10(18)
  3. 88TJ in fat man
  4. 24 EJ/88TJ = 24,000,000/88 = 272,727 fat mans per day
  5. 272,727/(6,000,000,000/3,000,000) = 272,727/2000 = 136 for populationFor share of emissions = 272,727/697 = 391 for share3,000,000/391 = one Fat Man for every 7,692 people in WalesWhich means towns like Brecon and Dinas Powys are responsible for one apieceAnd Cardiff? 38.#
  6. Caernarfon, Brecon, Mold, Dinas Powys, Ferndale, Denbigh, Pembroke, MonmouthI grew up in a hamlet of 100. Equivalentof 5 fat men per year.