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Using baseline
                               data to inform
                               programming

           2nd Ministerial Review Conference on the
Geneva Declaration on Armed Violence and Development - Geneva,
                31 October and 1 November 2011
Two Sectors to Influence:
               1 - Process & Activities

 Partnership based on Comparative Mandate aimed at
Provides ‘Community Based Security Sector Governance’

National framework:
Somali Community Safety Framework


Community framework:
Community Safety Plan
Influencing activities at the community level

Security Sector Governance
   -police, justice,
  -local authorities, and
  -the community.

                       Community Safety Process


Community Safety         Community Safety         Implementation &
   Diagnostic                Plan                    Monitoring
Influencing policy and mechanisms – Peace & Justice
National Level

                 Ministry of Interior                                    Policy Devt. &
                                                                         Coordination
                                    Community Security &
                                       Peace Building      Observatory
                                         Secretariat
Regional




                                                                               Clan
 Level




                 Regional Council
                                                                         Conflict / Border
District Level




                 District Council
                                                                            Prevention
                                                                            & Response
                                        District Safety
                                         Committee
How data influences policy and activities


     Research
•   Qualitative
•   Quantitative




                   Training
             • Policy               The Observatory training centre at
                                    University of Hargeisa, January 2011
             • Practitioners


                               Knowledge Management
                         • Somali Community Safety Framework
                         • Policy Development
Key Findings
Baseline Survey
EACH COMMUNITY IS
     SPECIFIC
Reasons Reasons for not going to Court (%)
              for not going to Court (%)
                    Mogadishu                                   Galkayo                                   Las Anod
1.3                12.2
      7.1                                                                   30.1                      14.4          18.5
                                                        36.2
                                    39.2
                                                                                          18.5                                    14.4
 17.4
                                                                             7.0                                           10.8
                          19.2                                 10.0                                   23.4


                                                                      2.2   3.9




                          Burao
                                                                                                      Bossaso
                                  13.2
            23.6                                                                             22.3
                                                                                                                           40.6
                                                 17.2
                                                                                   16.0
             25.9
                                                                                                    6.3      10.9
                                                  4.0
                                           2.9                                     4.0
Perpetrator of Assault (Freq. %)
Causes of Conflict (Freq. %)
Who are the Victims
   of Violence
Death (top) & Assault (bottom) by age and gender

16
14
12
10
 8                                                                                           Male
 6                                                                                           Female
 4
 2
 0
     <5    5-9   10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64



60
50
40
                                                                                             Male
30
                                                                                             Female
20
10
0
     <5   5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 >=70
Victim of sexual violence by age and gender


25



20



15                                                                 Male

                                                                   Female
10



5



0
     5-9   10-14   15-19   20-24   25-29   30-34   35-39   40-44
State and non-state
       actors
Leverage of the community over non-state armed groups




                             Very high
                Very low       17%
                  25%
                                         High
                                          8%

          Low
           6%


                           Average
                            44%
Level of organisation of non-state armed groups



             4%
        4%

                                 Loose alliance of
                                 individuals
                                 Group following a leader

 37%                             Hierarchical organisation
                       55%       with middle management
                                 Sophisticated organisation
                                 with financial networks
Security Providers: Trust vs. Accessibility


           Trust                                Accessibility
50.0                                    50.0

40.0                                    40.0

30.0                                    30.0
                            Community
                            elders
20.0                                    20.0

10.0                                    10.0
                            Religious
 0.0                        leaders      0.0

-10.0                                   -10.0

-20.0                       Police      -20.0

-30.0                                   -30.0

-40.0
                            Court
Policing has never been a function of the state alone


                     Community-
                        based
                       policing
      Civilian         forums
                                    Private
      security                      security
    committees                       guards
                     Madani /                       IDP
                     District                     security
                     militias

                                  Clan militias
      Neighborhood
      watch groups
Gender
and Violence
Unsafe feeling by gender (Freq. %)




90     82.9
80        74.3
70
60
                                                            Male
50                   43.1
40               33.1           31.5                 32.5   Female
30                           25.3
20                                               15.2
10                                     1.3 0.5
0
     Mogadishu   Galkayo    Las Anod   Burao     Bosasso
Reasons for female non-participation in meetings (%)




    Husband becomes jealous / lack of            10.4
             trust in loyalty                           15.2



      Male household member dislikes                                  22.4
        female visibility in decision                                   24.2

                                                                                                      Female
       Female household member feel                                                   32.8            Male
       uncomfortable of participation                                   24.2



  Family thinks women should focus on                                                   34.3
              family issues                                                                  36.4


                                        0.0   10.0             20.0            30.0            40.0


Bosasso
Gender Matters


            Las Anod, Trust in public authorities (Weighted %)

30.0                                25.1
            24.3 24.9
                             21.8
20.0

10.0

 0.0
                                                    -2.6           -3.3
-10.0                                                                     Male
                                                                          Female
-20.0

-30.0                                       -27.9          -26.9

-40.0

        Clan, community Religious leaders    Police          Court
              elders
Comprehensive Intervention


            District Safety Committee


                                                      TOOLS -
CAUSES of                                             Firearms
 violence                                              Control
              ACTORS –      50%     Women’s Civic
            armed groups   labour
                                    Protection Unit


                     Restorative Justice
                     Parole & Probation
Challenges


1. Synchronise financial resources, politic, and
   capacity

2. Overcoming pre-conceived ideas and building
   flexibility to be more responsive

3. Expensive and time consuming

4. Partnership: State and non-state actors, UN
   Agencies; UNICEF-UNDP-ILO
The Bill
  Brookman
 Foundation




Mahadsanid!
Thank you!
I lost mother at 6 years, send to jail for stealing a piece of bread
by grandmother at 11 for 3 months. Met new friends and after my
released, joined them on the street, and learned how to sniff
glue, fight, rob, and rape. Soon I created by own gang but was
caught again by the police. After being released, I heard about
Youth at-Risk project. I decided to give it a chance because I never
want to go back to the jail again”. (Ismael, 12)


                   Ahmed, 11 years old, my mother died and my father abandon me.
                   Leader of a gang, we recently stoned to death another member of
                   a rival gang. Our main area of operation is the port. We clean the
                   marines’ shoes, and offer sexual services to foreign in exchange for
                   fuel, that we resell at the market. I was brought to the centre by an
                   old mama.


Ali, 26 years old, pirate. As a fisherman, I new how to operate a boat
and was recruited by a pirate gang. We went out to sea to capture a
boat, failed once, failed twice. During the third mission, soldiers
opened fire at us and killed my best friend. I barely made it alive. This
is now my opportunity to leave piracy and reform through the Youth at
Risk programme.
Two Sectors to Influence:
                        2 - Policy work

Focus policy development on community demand:
1. Identify issues that require policy
   development

2. Identify issues of common concern

3. Structure and mechanisms capable to
   sustain community intervention

4. Monitoring and response mechanism

5. Independent capacity for assessment
   (Observatory)
Crime and Victimisation Survey


• Survey by household:                    144 questions
   – Face to face with trained             (UNICRI methodology)
     enumerators (JCCP-SOCDA)
   – Oct. 2009 – Jul. 2010             ▫   Sociological profile
                                           (localisation, clan, occupation, resi
                                           dence status, spending, education)
• District samples:
   –   Mogadishu: 1600                 ▫   Witnessing and general
                                           victimisation
   –   Galkayo: 700
   –   Las Anod: 800                   ▫   Fear of crime
   –   Bossaso: 800                    ▫   Community conflicts
   –   Burao: 800                      ▫   Crime (property
                                           crime, assault, homicide, sexual
                                           violence, forced detention)
• Analysis tools:
   – SPSS (sign: p≤.05)                ▫   Perpetrators & Firearms
   – Mapcommander                      ▫   Crime reporting
                                       ▫   Security providers
interventions

1. Regulate private guards and militias
2. Mechanism to enforce decision of the court and
   establish out of court settlement (Restorative justice)
3. Urban planning; (Violence Prevention Through Environmental Design).
4. Sheikh to review marriage process; (high dowry forces rape)
5. Public forums of discussion:
6. Registration and marking system for property; i.e.
   livestock
7. Rehabilitation of former inmates, repeat offender (parole
    and probation system to decongest the prisons)

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Daniel Ladouceur - UNDP Somalia

  • 1. Using baseline data to inform programming 2nd Ministerial Review Conference on the Geneva Declaration on Armed Violence and Development - Geneva, 31 October and 1 November 2011
  • 2. Two Sectors to Influence: 1 - Process & Activities Partnership based on Comparative Mandate aimed at Provides ‘Community Based Security Sector Governance’ National framework: Somali Community Safety Framework Community framework: Community Safety Plan
  • 3. Influencing activities at the community level Security Sector Governance -police, justice, -local authorities, and -the community. Community Safety Process Community Safety Community Safety Implementation & Diagnostic Plan Monitoring
  • 4. Influencing policy and mechanisms – Peace & Justice National Level Ministry of Interior Policy Devt. & Coordination Community Security & Peace Building Observatory Secretariat Regional Clan Level Regional Council Conflict / Border District Level District Council Prevention & Response District Safety Committee
  • 5. How data influences policy and activities Research • Qualitative • Quantitative Training • Policy The Observatory training centre at University of Hargeisa, January 2011 • Practitioners Knowledge Management • Somali Community Safety Framework • Policy Development
  • 7. EACH COMMUNITY IS SPECIFIC
  • 8. Reasons Reasons for not going to Court (%) for not going to Court (%) Mogadishu Galkayo Las Anod 1.3 12.2 7.1 30.1 14.4 18.5 36.2 39.2 18.5 14.4 17.4 7.0 10.8 19.2 10.0 23.4 2.2 3.9 Burao Bossaso 13.2 23.6 22.3 40.6 17.2 16.0 25.9 6.3 10.9 4.0 2.9 4.0
  • 10. Causes of Conflict (Freq. %)
  • 11. Who are the Victims of Violence
  • 12. Death (top) & Assault (bottom) by age and gender 16 14 12 10 8 Male 6 Female 4 2 0 <5 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 60 50 40 Male 30 Female 20 10 0 <5 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 >=70
  • 13. Victim of sexual violence by age and gender 25 20 15 Male Female 10 5 0 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44
  • 15. Leverage of the community over non-state armed groups Very high Very low 17% 25% High 8% Low 6% Average 44%
  • 16. Level of organisation of non-state armed groups 4% 4% Loose alliance of individuals Group following a leader 37% Hierarchical organisation 55% with middle management Sophisticated organisation with financial networks
  • 17. Security Providers: Trust vs. Accessibility Trust Accessibility 50.0 50.0 40.0 40.0 30.0 30.0 Community elders 20.0 20.0 10.0 10.0 Religious 0.0 leaders 0.0 -10.0 -10.0 -20.0 Police -20.0 -30.0 -30.0 -40.0 Court
  • 18. Policing has never been a function of the state alone Community- based policing Civilian forums Private security security committees guards Madani / IDP District security militias Clan militias Neighborhood watch groups
  • 20. Unsafe feeling by gender (Freq. %) 90 82.9 80 74.3 70 60 Male 50 43.1 40 33.1 31.5 32.5 Female 30 25.3 20 15.2 10 1.3 0.5 0 Mogadishu Galkayo Las Anod Burao Bosasso
  • 21. Reasons for female non-participation in meetings (%) Husband becomes jealous / lack of 10.4 trust in loyalty 15.2 Male household member dislikes 22.4 female visibility in decision 24.2 Female Female household member feel 32.8 Male uncomfortable of participation 24.2 Family thinks women should focus on 34.3 family issues 36.4 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 Bosasso
  • 22. Gender Matters Las Anod, Trust in public authorities (Weighted %) 30.0 25.1 24.3 24.9 21.8 20.0 10.0 0.0 -2.6 -3.3 -10.0 Male Female -20.0 -30.0 -27.9 -26.9 -40.0 Clan, community Religious leaders Police Court elders
  • 23. Comprehensive Intervention District Safety Committee TOOLS - CAUSES of Firearms violence Control ACTORS – 50% Women’s Civic armed groups labour Protection Unit Restorative Justice Parole & Probation
  • 24. Challenges 1. Synchronise financial resources, politic, and capacity 2. Overcoming pre-conceived ideas and building flexibility to be more responsive 3. Expensive and time consuming 4. Partnership: State and non-state actors, UN Agencies; UNICEF-UNDP-ILO
  • 25. The Bill Brookman Foundation Mahadsanid! Thank you!
  • 26. I lost mother at 6 years, send to jail for stealing a piece of bread by grandmother at 11 for 3 months. Met new friends and after my released, joined them on the street, and learned how to sniff glue, fight, rob, and rape. Soon I created by own gang but was caught again by the police. After being released, I heard about Youth at-Risk project. I decided to give it a chance because I never want to go back to the jail again”. (Ismael, 12) Ahmed, 11 years old, my mother died and my father abandon me. Leader of a gang, we recently stoned to death another member of a rival gang. Our main area of operation is the port. We clean the marines’ shoes, and offer sexual services to foreign in exchange for fuel, that we resell at the market. I was brought to the centre by an old mama. Ali, 26 years old, pirate. As a fisherman, I new how to operate a boat and was recruited by a pirate gang. We went out to sea to capture a boat, failed once, failed twice. During the third mission, soldiers opened fire at us and killed my best friend. I barely made it alive. This is now my opportunity to leave piracy and reform through the Youth at Risk programme.
  • 27. Two Sectors to Influence: 2 - Policy work Focus policy development on community demand: 1. Identify issues that require policy development 2. Identify issues of common concern 3. Structure and mechanisms capable to sustain community intervention 4. Monitoring and response mechanism 5. Independent capacity for assessment (Observatory)
  • 28. Crime and Victimisation Survey • Survey by household:  144 questions – Face to face with trained (UNICRI methodology) enumerators (JCCP-SOCDA) – Oct. 2009 – Jul. 2010 ▫ Sociological profile (localisation, clan, occupation, resi dence status, spending, education) • District samples: – Mogadishu: 1600 ▫ Witnessing and general victimisation – Galkayo: 700 – Las Anod: 800 ▫ Fear of crime – Bossaso: 800 ▫ Community conflicts – Burao: 800 ▫ Crime (property crime, assault, homicide, sexual violence, forced detention) • Analysis tools: – SPSS (sign: p≤.05) ▫ Perpetrators & Firearms – Mapcommander ▫ Crime reporting ▫ Security providers
  • 29. interventions 1. Regulate private guards and militias 2. Mechanism to enforce decision of the court and establish out of court settlement (Restorative justice) 3. Urban planning; (Violence Prevention Through Environmental Design). 4. Sheikh to review marriage process; (high dowry forces rape) 5. Public forums of discussion: 6. Registration and marking system for property; i.e. livestock 7. Rehabilitation of former inmates, repeat offender (parole and probation system to decongest the prisons)