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Global Climatic Change




        Ashok Ghosh
     A.N. College,Patna
Climate Change - The Moving Train
              Climate change is a slow train
               that's been coming for more than
               a century, but even slow trains
               eventually reach their
               destinations.
              With ocean temperature hitting
               record highs this summer, Arctic
               sea ice dwindling and glaciers
               melting faster than ever, that
               train now seems to be pulling
               into the station.
              The urgency is suddenly hitting
               home for people all around the
               planet.
WE’VE DOUBLED

THE CO2 IN THE

ATMOSPHERE

SINCE 1950 !
 According to an estimate of the water resources ministry,
  India’s per capita availability of water is around 1,545 m3 a
  year in 2011 , which is below the international threshold of
  1,700 m3 a year.
 India is home to 17 % of the world’s population but has
  only 4 % of fresh water.
 According to the UN-adopted Water Stress Indicator,
  national per capita availability indicates water stress
  conditions.
 The country currently uses 829 billion m3 of water every
  year, which is approximately the size of Lake Erie, the
  fourth largest of the five Great Lakes in North America.
 By 2050 the demand for water is expected to cross the 1.4-
Our Life Style ???


           If everyone on Earth
            continue our current
            life style, it would take
            more than 7 Earths to
            support human
            population by the end
            of this century.
THE
ONLY
 ONE
 WE
KNOW
 OF…


 …TO
DATE !
Portage Glacier, Alaska
Receded Five KM,Revealing a lake




 Portage Glacier, 1914   Portage Glacier, 2005
Grinnell Glacier




Before -Grinnell Glacier -1940   After - Grinnell Glacier - 2004
Shepard Glacier from Pyramid Peak




 Before - Shepard Glacier- 1913   Before - Shepard Glacier- 2005
Swift current Glacier




Before- Swift current Glacier -1900   After- Swift current Glacier -1998
Boulder Glacier




Before - Boulder Glacier -1932   After - Boulder Glacier - 2005
Chaney Glacier Terminus




BEFORE: Chaney Glacier - 1911   AFTER: Chaney Glacier - 2005.
When did the
    problem begin?

The problems began when
human activities created &
released more gases in the
atmosphere than are necessary.
1760 – Industrial Revolution
                Beginning around 1760,the
                 industrial revolution
                 started overhauling the
                 way human society
                 operates
                Innovation in energy,
                 manufacturing and
                 transportation
                 supercharged the
                 economic evolution of
                 many countries
                But some of them like coal
                 refining and mechanized
                 labor were mixed blessings
                 - also putting the planet
                 on a collision course for a
                 climate change
1825–Discovery of green house effect
                   A physicist Joseph Fourier
                    (1825) theorized that some
                    gases in earths atmosphere
                    act as one way streets,
                    allowing the solar heat to
                    enter but not letting it leave –
                    later on dubbed as Green
                    House Effect
                   A fellow physicist John Tyndal
                    (1859) identified specific
                    gases that were carrying out
                    Fourier's Theory in the sky,
                    including water vapor, carbon
                    dioxide and methane – widely
                    known as green house gases
1870 – Technical revolution

           Also known as Second Industrial
            Revolution saw speedy
            development of major new
            technologies , including
            electricity, petroleum, and steel
           It accelerated humanity’s march
            towards Climate Calamity
           Internal Combustion Engine,
            Automobiles, Airplanes,
            Mechanical Refrigeration and
            mass production of consumer
            goods are hallmarks of this
            period
1901 – Texas oil boom begins
             When the first Texas crude
              erupted from an oil well at
              Spindle Top Salt Dome on Jan
              10,1901,America was changed for
              ever
             Decades of frenzied drilling
              followed uprooting the Texas
              economy from the agricultural
              origins and rocketing it into
              industrial age
             US car culture became more
              affordable and the train of
              climate change started moving
              faster
Presently
 82 MILLION
BARRELS OF
    OIL IS
EXTRACTED
EVERY DAY !

    =


  10 ½
SWIMMING
 POOLS
 EVERY
SECOND !
1930 – Dust bowl
         Americans got a harsh lession
          in ecological backlash during
          the early 1930’s,just when
          the great depression was
          hitting the high gear
         The dust bowl was the worst
          drought in US history,but it
          was made even worse by
          misguided farmers who had
          tilled swaths of great plains
          top soil into dust
         The ensuing dust storm
          ravaged the mid west ,and
          sent giant black dirt clouds as
          far as Chicago ,Washington
          and New York.
1938 – First sign of climate change
                   In 1938 ,steam engineer and
                    inventor Guy Steward
                    Callander noticed that
                    rising level of atmospheric
                    CO2 were already warming
                    the globe ,but he perceived
                    it as a good thing ,delaying
                    a “return of deadly glaciers
                    for a while
                   For a while Global warming
                    was known as Callander
                    Effect ,but the threat was
                    soon over shadowed by
                    World War II
1956–Birth of US inter state highway
                In 1920s a group of companies
                 including General Motors
                 ,Standard Oil,Firestone Tyre,and
                 Mack Truck began buying US
                 Cities Trolleys System and
                 dismantling them
                As suburbs grew and inner cities
                 dwindled over the next 30 years,
                 the stage was set when
                 President Eisenhower's’ 1956
                 Federal Aid highway act gave
                 rise to today's cross country
                 interstate system
                It helped lock Americans into oil
                 dependence and increasing
                 emission of GHGs
1969- Birth of Environmentalism
                Modern Environmental
                 movement came of the age
                 in the 60s
                Rachel Carson’s 1962 Book
                 “Silent Spring” was one
                 catalyst
                But perhaps the biggest was
                 1969 Cuyahoga River Fire in
                 Ohio,US when sparks from a
                 passing train ignited oils and
                 chemicals floating on water
                The EPA,NOAA and Earth
                 Day were all created the
                 next year
1973 – US energy crisis
            After decades of growth
             American oil production
             peaked in 1973
            It was bad timing because
             the 1973 Arab Oil Embargo
             quickly put a sqeeze on
             supplies ,drove up prices
             and created first energy
             crisis
            Oil demand dripped only
             temporarily and continued
             rising on the 1980s
1992–UN Earth Summit,Rio De Janeiro
                  World leaders from 71
                   countries converged on Rio De
                   Janeiro in June 1992 for the
                   UN Earth Summit
                  It featured the first Global
                   climate change negotiations,
                   among talk of biodiversity,
                   deforestation and other
                   environmental issues
                  The new UN framework
                   convention on climate change
                   paved the way for the Kyoto
                   Protocol in 1997 ,as well as
                   December 2009 Copenhagen
                   Conference
1997 – Kyoto Protocol
         The world’s first Global
          Warming Treaty was born
          among tense negotiation in
          1997,which happened to be
          earth’s warmest year on
          record at the time

         The Kyoto protocol has faced
          plenty of criticism since then
          – many countries have failed
          to meet the target
2003 – European heat wave
           The summer of 2003 was
            hottest ever recorded in
            Europe
           More than 30,000 people
            died as temperature soared
            20 to 30 % above the
            seasonal averages
           The disaster drew global
            attention to the public
            attention the public health
            dangers posed by rising
            temperature
2005 – Atlantic hurricane
          Earth’s eight warmest year on
           record have all occurred since
           2001, but ‘05 remains the title
           holder.
          Its balmy sea surface
           temperature fuelled most
           active Atlantic hurricane
           season in US history
          Katrina was the worst of the
           lot flooding entire New
           Orleans neighborhood in
           August 2005
2006 – Inconvenient Truth
           Heat, hurricane and a major UN
            climate summit in Montreal
            made 2005 a big year for global
            warming awareness
           Al Gore’s documentary – “An
            Inconvenient Truth” arguably
            made ‘06 even more eye
            opening
           Gore won Nobel Prize for this
            film and next year another big
            UN summit in Bali laid the ground
            work for negotiations to replace
            the Kyoto treaty after 2009
            meeting at Copenhagen
EPA Findings 2009
 The U.S. EPA is finally acknowledging that
  greenhouse gases in the atmosphere
  contribute to air pollution which in turn poses a
  health threat. This year, the EPA issued a
  finding that identified six greenhouse gases in
  the atmosphere “endanger the public health
  and welfare of current and future generations.”
 The six GHGs are carbon dioxide, methane,
  nitrous oxide, hydrofluorocarbons,
  perfluorocarbons and sulfur hexafluoride.
The Climate Express Arrives Copenhagen
          7th December ,2009
Copenhagen Accord [18th Dec 2009]
      on Climate Change---
               Climate change is one of the
                greatest challenges of our
                time
               Immediate, drastic cuts in
                global emissions are required
                to hold the increase in global
                temperature below 20 C.
               There are many challenges of
                Adaptation and Mitigation to
                the adverse effects of climate
                change
2010 the Year of the Volcano
                Pyroclastic flows of hot
                 ash and gas that swallow
                 forests and cities in
                 Indonesia and Iceland.
                Potentially engine-
                 clogging clouds that
                 grounded entire fleets of
                 planes with a single burb
                 - with volcanoes like
                 these as neighbors who
                 needs enemies?
2011- Wave of Destruction-Japan
                  A tsunami wave crashes
                   over a street in Miyako
                   City, Iwate Prefecture, in
                   north eastern Japan on
                   March 11 , 2011.

                  An estimated 350,000
                   people are reportedly
                   homeless in the wake of
                   magnitude 9 earthquake.
Durban Climate Change Conference–2011
                                Global carbon dioxide emissions
                                 from burning fossil fuels have
                                 increased by 49 per cent in the last
                                 two decades, according to
                                 researchers at the Tyndall Centre for
                                 Climate Change Research, University
                                 of East Anglia

                                China, USA, India ,Russia, Japan,
                                 Brazil, Germany, Canada, Mexico
                                 and Iran - top ten Nations account
                                 2/3rd of the Carbon-di-oxide
                                 Emissions of the world.
COP 17-Global Carbon
Emissions Reached Record
10 Billion Tons, Threatening
2 Degree Target
The Dark Future
impacts




                             2   Degrees C target




          Source: Stern Review
10 Effect of Climate Change
 The increased likelihood of more
    frequent and intense heat waves
   Heavy downpours & flooding
   More wildfires
   Degraded air quality
   Increased drought
   Greater sea level rise
   More intense storms
   Harm to water resources
   Harm to agriculture
   Harm to wildlife and ecosystems
Path Forward
                   1.6
                                                                                   Projections
                   1.4
                                                                                                   Development and
                         Number of Earths Used by Humanity
                                                                                                   application of
                   1.2                                                                             more sustainable
                                                                     Target                        technologies
                   1.0
Number of Earths




                                                                    pathway
                                       Number of Earths Available
                   0.8                                                     Opportunities
                                                                           for innovation
                   0.6


                   0.4


                   0.2
                                                                           Today

                              1970        1980         1990         2000      2010          2020        2030
Should We Care?
YES   … we have to care
      because survival
      of this
      civilization is
      at risk

      THANKS

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Global Climatic Change - History

  • 1. Global Climatic Change Ashok Ghosh A.N. College,Patna
  • 2. Climate Change - The Moving Train  Climate change is a slow train that's been coming for more than a century, but even slow trains eventually reach their destinations.  With ocean temperature hitting record highs this summer, Arctic sea ice dwindling and glaciers melting faster than ever, that train now seems to be pulling into the station.  The urgency is suddenly hitting home for people all around the planet.
  • 3. WE’VE DOUBLED THE CO2 IN THE ATMOSPHERE SINCE 1950 !
  • 4.  According to an estimate of the water resources ministry, India’s per capita availability of water is around 1,545 m3 a year in 2011 , which is below the international threshold of 1,700 m3 a year.  India is home to 17 % of the world’s population but has only 4 % of fresh water.  According to the UN-adopted Water Stress Indicator, national per capita availability indicates water stress conditions.  The country currently uses 829 billion m3 of water every year, which is approximately the size of Lake Erie, the fourth largest of the five Great Lakes in North America.  By 2050 the demand for water is expected to cross the 1.4-
  • 5. Our Life Style ??? If everyone on Earth continue our current life style, it would take more than 7 Earths to support human population by the end of this century.
  • 6. THE ONLY ONE WE KNOW OF… …TO DATE !
  • 7. Portage Glacier, Alaska Receded Five KM,Revealing a lake Portage Glacier, 1914 Portage Glacier, 2005
  • 8. Grinnell Glacier Before -Grinnell Glacier -1940 After - Grinnell Glacier - 2004
  • 9. Shepard Glacier from Pyramid Peak Before - Shepard Glacier- 1913 Before - Shepard Glacier- 2005
  • 10. Swift current Glacier Before- Swift current Glacier -1900 After- Swift current Glacier -1998
  • 11. Boulder Glacier Before - Boulder Glacier -1932 After - Boulder Glacier - 2005
  • 12. Chaney Glacier Terminus BEFORE: Chaney Glacier - 1911 AFTER: Chaney Glacier - 2005.
  • 13. When did the problem begin? The problems began when human activities created & released more gases in the atmosphere than are necessary.
  • 14. 1760 – Industrial Revolution  Beginning around 1760,the industrial revolution started overhauling the way human society operates  Innovation in energy, manufacturing and transportation supercharged the economic evolution of many countries  But some of them like coal refining and mechanized labor were mixed blessings - also putting the planet on a collision course for a climate change
  • 15. 1825–Discovery of green house effect  A physicist Joseph Fourier (1825) theorized that some gases in earths atmosphere act as one way streets, allowing the solar heat to enter but not letting it leave – later on dubbed as Green House Effect  A fellow physicist John Tyndal (1859) identified specific gases that were carrying out Fourier's Theory in the sky, including water vapor, carbon dioxide and methane – widely known as green house gases
  • 16. 1870 – Technical revolution  Also known as Second Industrial Revolution saw speedy development of major new technologies , including electricity, petroleum, and steel  It accelerated humanity’s march towards Climate Calamity  Internal Combustion Engine, Automobiles, Airplanes, Mechanical Refrigeration and mass production of consumer goods are hallmarks of this period
  • 17. 1901 – Texas oil boom begins  When the first Texas crude erupted from an oil well at Spindle Top Salt Dome on Jan 10,1901,America was changed for ever  Decades of frenzied drilling followed uprooting the Texas economy from the agricultural origins and rocketing it into industrial age  US car culture became more affordable and the train of climate change started moving faster
  • 18. Presently 82 MILLION BARRELS OF OIL IS EXTRACTED EVERY DAY ! = 10 ½ SWIMMING POOLS EVERY SECOND !
  • 19. 1930 – Dust bowl  Americans got a harsh lession in ecological backlash during the early 1930’s,just when the great depression was hitting the high gear  The dust bowl was the worst drought in US history,but it was made even worse by misguided farmers who had tilled swaths of great plains top soil into dust  The ensuing dust storm ravaged the mid west ,and sent giant black dirt clouds as far as Chicago ,Washington and New York.
  • 20. 1938 – First sign of climate change  In 1938 ,steam engineer and inventor Guy Steward Callander noticed that rising level of atmospheric CO2 were already warming the globe ,but he perceived it as a good thing ,delaying a “return of deadly glaciers for a while  For a while Global warming was known as Callander Effect ,but the threat was soon over shadowed by World War II
  • 21. 1956–Birth of US inter state highway  In 1920s a group of companies including General Motors ,Standard Oil,Firestone Tyre,and Mack Truck began buying US Cities Trolleys System and dismantling them  As suburbs grew and inner cities dwindled over the next 30 years, the stage was set when President Eisenhower's’ 1956 Federal Aid highway act gave rise to today's cross country interstate system  It helped lock Americans into oil dependence and increasing emission of GHGs
  • 22. 1969- Birth of Environmentalism  Modern Environmental movement came of the age in the 60s  Rachel Carson’s 1962 Book “Silent Spring” was one catalyst  But perhaps the biggest was 1969 Cuyahoga River Fire in Ohio,US when sparks from a passing train ignited oils and chemicals floating on water  The EPA,NOAA and Earth Day were all created the next year
  • 23. 1973 – US energy crisis  After decades of growth American oil production peaked in 1973  It was bad timing because the 1973 Arab Oil Embargo quickly put a sqeeze on supplies ,drove up prices and created first energy crisis  Oil demand dripped only temporarily and continued rising on the 1980s
  • 24. 1992–UN Earth Summit,Rio De Janeiro  World leaders from 71 countries converged on Rio De Janeiro in June 1992 for the UN Earth Summit  It featured the first Global climate change negotiations, among talk of biodiversity, deforestation and other environmental issues  The new UN framework convention on climate change paved the way for the Kyoto Protocol in 1997 ,as well as December 2009 Copenhagen Conference
  • 25. 1997 – Kyoto Protocol  The world’s first Global Warming Treaty was born among tense negotiation in 1997,which happened to be earth’s warmest year on record at the time  The Kyoto protocol has faced plenty of criticism since then – many countries have failed to meet the target
  • 26. 2003 – European heat wave  The summer of 2003 was hottest ever recorded in Europe  More than 30,000 people died as temperature soared 20 to 30 % above the seasonal averages  The disaster drew global attention to the public attention the public health dangers posed by rising temperature
  • 27. 2005 – Atlantic hurricane  Earth’s eight warmest year on record have all occurred since 2001, but ‘05 remains the title holder.  Its balmy sea surface temperature fuelled most active Atlantic hurricane season in US history  Katrina was the worst of the lot flooding entire New Orleans neighborhood in August 2005
  • 28. 2006 – Inconvenient Truth  Heat, hurricane and a major UN climate summit in Montreal made 2005 a big year for global warming awareness  Al Gore’s documentary – “An Inconvenient Truth” arguably made ‘06 even more eye opening  Gore won Nobel Prize for this film and next year another big UN summit in Bali laid the ground work for negotiations to replace the Kyoto treaty after 2009 meeting at Copenhagen
  • 29. EPA Findings 2009  The U.S. EPA is finally acknowledging that greenhouse gases in the atmosphere contribute to air pollution which in turn poses a health threat. This year, the EPA issued a finding that identified six greenhouse gases in the atmosphere “endanger the public health and welfare of current and future generations.”  The six GHGs are carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide, hydrofluorocarbons, perfluorocarbons and sulfur hexafluoride.
  • 30. The Climate Express Arrives Copenhagen 7th December ,2009
  • 31. Copenhagen Accord [18th Dec 2009] on Climate Change---  Climate change is one of the greatest challenges of our time  Immediate, drastic cuts in global emissions are required to hold the increase in global temperature below 20 C.  There are many challenges of Adaptation and Mitigation to the adverse effects of climate change
  • 32. 2010 the Year of the Volcano  Pyroclastic flows of hot ash and gas that swallow forests and cities in Indonesia and Iceland.  Potentially engine- clogging clouds that grounded entire fleets of planes with a single burb - with volcanoes like these as neighbors who needs enemies?
  • 33. 2011- Wave of Destruction-Japan  A tsunami wave crashes over a street in Miyako City, Iwate Prefecture, in north eastern Japan on March 11 , 2011.  An estimated 350,000 people are reportedly homeless in the wake of magnitude 9 earthquake.
  • 34. Durban Climate Change Conference–2011  Global carbon dioxide emissions from burning fossil fuels have increased by 49 per cent in the last two decades, according to researchers at the Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, University of East Anglia  China, USA, India ,Russia, Japan, Brazil, Germany, Canada, Mexico and Iran - top ten Nations account 2/3rd of the Carbon-di-oxide Emissions of the world. COP 17-Global Carbon Emissions Reached Record 10 Billion Tons, Threatening 2 Degree Target
  • 36. impacts 2 Degrees C target Source: Stern Review
  • 37. 10 Effect of Climate Change  The increased likelihood of more frequent and intense heat waves  Heavy downpours & flooding  More wildfires  Degraded air quality  Increased drought  Greater sea level rise  More intense storms  Harm to water resources  Harm to agriculture  Harm to wildlife and ecosystems
  • 38. Path Forward 1.6 Projections 1.4 Development and Number of Earths Used by Humanity application of 1.2 more sustainable Target technologies 1.0 Number of Earths pathway Number of Earths Available 0.8 Opportunities for innovation 0.6 0.4 0.2 Today 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
  • 40. YES … we have to care because survival of this civilization is at risk THANKS