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Climate Change
                     Lucila
Instituto “Santa Cruz” – Buenos Aires, Argentina
What is it?
• Climate change is any change in global
  temperatures and precipitation over time
  because of natural variability or to human
  activity. It is a significant and lasting
  change in the statistical distribution
  of weather patterns over periods ranging
  from decades to millions of years. It may
  be a change in average weather
  conditions, or in the distribution of weather
  around the average conditions.
Here is a physical evidence
Causes
• Climate change is caused by factors that include oceanic
  processes, variations in solar radiation received by
  Earth, plate tectonics and volcanic eruptions, and
  human-induced alterations of the natural world; these
  latter effects are currently causing global warming, and
  "climate change" is often used to describe human-
  specific impacts.
• On the broadest scale, the rate at which energy is
  received from the sun and the rate at which it is lost to
  space determine the equilibrium temperature and climate
  of Earth. This energy is distributed around the globe by
  winds, ocean currents, and other mechanisms to affect
  the climates of different regions.
Glaciers
•  As temperatures warm, 
  glaciers retreat unless 
  snow precipitation 
  increases to make up for 
  the additional melt; the 
  converse is also true.
• Glaciers grow and shrink 
  because of natural 
  variability and external 
  forcings. Variability in 
  temperature, precipitation, 
  and englacial and 
  subglacial hydrology can 
  strongly determine the 
  evolution of a glacier in a 
  particular season.
Vegetation
•   A change in the type, distribution
    and coverage of vegetation may
    occur given a change in the
    climate. Some changes in climate
    may result in increased
    precipitation and warmth, resulting
    in improved plant growth and the
    subsequent sequestration of
    airborne CO2. A gradual increase
    in warmth in a region will lead to
    earlier flowering and fruiting times,
    driving a change in the timing of
    life cycles of dependent
    organisms. In reverse, cold will
    cause plant bio-cycles to lag.
    Larger, faster or more radical
    changes, however, may result in
    vegetation stress, rapid plant loss
    and desertification in certain
    circumstances.
Precipitations
• Changes in rainfall and
  other forms of
  precipitation will be one of
  the most critical factors
  determining the overall
  impact of climate change.
  Rainfall is much more
  difficult to predict than
  temperature but there are
  some statements that
  scientists can make with
  confidence about the
  future.
Global sea level change
•   Global sea level change for much
    of the last century has generally
    been estimated using tide
    gauge measurements collated
    over long periods of time to give a
    long-term average. More
    recently,altimeter measurements
    — in combination with accurately
    determined satellite orbits — have
    provided an improved
    measurement of global sea level
    change. To measure sea levels
    prior to instrumental
    measurements, scientists have
    dated coral reefs that grow near
    the surface of the ocean, coastal
    sediments, marine
    terraces, ooids in limestones, and
    nearshore archaeological remains.
Global temperature rise
• All three major global surface
  temperature reconstructions
  show that Earth has warmed
  since 1880. Most of this
  warming has occurred since
  the 1970s, with the 20 warmest
  years having occurred since
  1981 and with all 10 of the
  warmest years occurring in the
  past 12 years. Even though
  the 2000s witnessed a solar
  output decline resulting in an
  unusually deep solar least in
  2007-2009, surface
  temperatures continue to
  increase.
Warming oceans
• Ocean temperatures are
  rising. When heat enters
  the atmosphere of the
  Earth from the Sun, is
  stored in the ocean, land
  and atmosphere. The
  ocean, which covers 70%
  of the planet, stores
  about 90% of the Earth's
  heat.
Contraction of ice sheets
• The Greenland and
  Antarctic ice sheets have
  decreased in mass. Data
  from NASA's Gravity
  Recovery and Climate
  Experiment show
  Greenland lost 150 to 250
  cubic kilometers of ice
  per year between 2002
  and 2006, while
  Antarctica lost about 152
  cubic kilometers of ice
  between 2002 and 2005.
Artic sea ice decline
• Both the extent
  and thickness of
  Arctic sea ice
  has declined
  rapidly over the
  last several
  decades.
Extreme events
• The number of record
  high temperature events
  in the United States has
  been increasing, while
  the number of record low
  temperature events has
  been decreasing, since
  1950. The U.S. has also
  witnessed increasing
  numbers of intense
  rainfall events.
Ocean acidification
• Since the beginning of
  the Industrial Revolution,
  the acidity of surface
  ocean waters has
  increased by about 30
  percent. This increase is
  the result of humans
  emitting more carbon
  dioxide into the
  atmosphere. The amount
  of carbon dioxide
  absorbed by the top cape
  of the oceans is
  increasing by about 2
  billion tons per year.
Droughts
• Drought and climate
  change should rethink the
  management of water
  resources in the
  Mediterranean areas.
• Even a moderate rise in
  average temperatures
  translates into a much
  higher frequency of
  extreme events that
  cause enormous
  damage, as drought
Floods
• The direct effect of
  climate change on the
  frequency and intensity of
  rainfall results in floods of
  great magnitude.
• Climate warming has
  caused the increased
  intensity of floods in the
  northern hemisphere
  during the second half of
  the twentieth century.
IPCC prediction
• The Intergovernmental
  Panel on Climate Change
  (IPCC) predicts that
  increases in global mean
  temperature of less than
  1.8 to 5.4 degrees
  Fahrenheit (1 to 3
  degrees Celsius) above
  1990 levels will produce
  beneficial impacts in
  some regions and
  harmful ones in others.
  Net annual costs will
  increase over time as
  global temperatures
  increase.
Here is a picture of the global
      climate change recent impacts
Phenomena                               Likelihood that trend ocurred
                                        in late 20th century
Cold days, cold nights and frost less
frequent over land areas
                                        Very likely
More frequent hot days and nights       Very likely
Heat waves more frequent over most
land areas
                                        Likely
Increased incidence of extreme          Likely
high sea level
Global area affected by drought         Likely in some regions
has increased
Increase in intense tropical            Likely in some regions
cyclone activity in North Atlantic
Here is a picture of the global
       climate change future trends
Phenomena                                    Likelihood of trend
Contraction of snow cover areas, increased
thaw in permafrost regions, decrease in      Virtually certain
sea ice extent
Increased frequency of hot extremes,
heat waves and heavy precipitation
                                             Very likely to occur
Increase in tropical cyclone                 Likely to occur
intensity
Precipitation increases in high
latitudes
                                             Very likely to occur
Precipitation decreases in subtropical
land regions
                                             Very likely to occur
Decreased water resources in many
semi-arid areas, including western
                                             High confidence
U.S. and Mediterranean basin

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L spina climch-evidence

  • 1. Climate Change Lucila Instituto “Santa Cruz” – Buenos Aires, Argentina
  • 2. What is it? • Climate change is any change in global temperatures and precipitation over time because of natural variability or to human activity. It is a significant and lasting change in the statistical distribution of weather patterns over periods ranging from decades to millions of years. It may be a change in average weather conditions, or in the distribution of weather around the average conditions.
  • 3. Here is a physical evidence
  • 4. Causes • Climate change is caused by factors that include oceanic processes, variations in solar radiation received by Earth, plate tectonics and volcanic eruptions, and human-induced alterations of the natural world; these latter effects are currently causing global warming, and "climate change" is often used to describe human- specific impacts. • On the broadest scale, the rate at which energy is received from the sun and the rate at which it is lost to space determine the equilibrium temperature and climate of Earth. This energy is distributed around the globe by winds, ocean currents, and other mechanisms to affect the climates of different regions.
  • 5. Glaciers •  As temperatures warm,  glaciers retreat unless  snow precipitation  increases to make up for  the additional melt; the  converse is also true. • Glaciers grow and shrink  because of natural  variability and external  forcings. Variability in  temperature, precipitation,  and englacial and  subglacial hydrology can  strongly determine the  evolution of a glacier in a  particular season.
  • 6. Vegetation • A change in the type, distribution and coverage of vegetation may occur given a change in the climate. Some changes in climate may result in increased precipitation and warmth, resulting in improved plant growth and the subsequent sequestration of airborne CO2. A gradual increase in warmth in a region will lead to earlier flowering and fruiting times, driving a change in the timing of life cycles of dependent organisms. In reverse, cold will cause plant bio-cycles to lag. Larger, faster or more radical changes, however, may result in vegetation stress, rapid plant loss and desertification in certain circumstances.
  • 7. Precipitations • Changes in rainfall and other forms of precipitation will be one of the most critical factors determining the overall impact of climate change. Rainfall is much more difficult to predict than temperature but there are some statements that scientists can make with confidence about the future.
  • 8. Global sea level change • Global sea level change for much of the last century has generally been estimated using tide gauge measurements collated over long periods of time to give a long-term average. More recently,altimeter measurements — in combination with accurately determined satellite orbits — have provided an improved measurement of global sea level change. To measure sea levels prior to instrumental measurements, scientists have dated coral reefs that grow near the surface of the ocean, coastal sediments, marine terraces, ooids in limestones, and nearshore archaeological remains.
  • 9. Global temperature rise • All three major global surface temperature reconstructions show that Earth has warmed since 1880. Most of this warming has occurred since the 1970s, with the 20 warmest years having occurred since 1981 and with all 10 of the warmest years occurring in the past 12 years. Even though the 2000s witnessed a solar output decline resulting in an unusually deep solar least in 2007-2009, surface temperatures continue to increase.
  • 10. Warming oceans • Ocean temperatures are rising. When heat enters the atmosphere of the Earth from the Sun, is stored in the ocean, land and atmosphere. The ocean, which covers 70% of the planet, stores about 90% of the Earth's heat.
  • 11. Contraction of ice sheets • The Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets have decreased in mass. Data from NASA's Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment show Greenland lost 150 to 250 cubic kilometers of ice per year between 2002 and 2006, while Antarctica lost about 152 cubic kilometers of ice between 2002 and 2005.
  • 12. Artic sea ice decline • Both the extent and thickness of Arctic sea ice has declined rapidly over the last several decades.
  • 13. Extreme events • The number of record high temperature events in the United States has been increasing, while the number of record low temperature events has been decreasing, since 1950. The U.S. has also witnessed increasing numbers of intense rainfall events.
  • 14. Ocean acidification • Since the beginning of the Industrial Revolution, the acidity of surface ocean waters has increased by about 30 percent. This increase is the result of humans emitting more carbon dioxide into the atmosphere. The amount of carbon dioxide absorbed by the top cape of the oceans is increasing by about 2 billion tons per year.
  • 15. Droughts • Drought and climate change should rethink the management of water resources in the Mediterranean areas. • Even a moderate rise in average temperatures translates into a much higher frequency of extreme events that cause enormous damage, as drought
  • 16. Floods • The direct effect of climate change on the frequency and intensity of rainfall results in floods of great magnitude. • Climate warming has caused the increased intensity of floods in the northern hemisphere during the second half of the twentieth century.
  • 17. IPCC prediction • The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) predicts that increases in global mean temperature of less than 1.8 to 5.4 degrees Fahrenheit (1 to 3 degrees Celsius) above 1990 levels will produce beneficial impacts in some regions and harmful ones in others. Net annual costs will increase over time as global temperatures increase.
  • 18. Here is a picture of the global climate change recent impacts Phenomena Likelihood that trend ocurred in late 20th century Cold days, cold nights and frost less frequent over land areas Very likely More frequent hot days and nights Very likely Heat waves more frequent over most land areas Likely Increased incidence of extreme Likely high sea level Global area affected by drought Likely in some regions has increased Increase in intense tropical Likely in some regions cyclone activity in North Atlantic
  • 19. Here is a picture of the global climate change future trends Phenomena Likelihood of trend Contraction of snow cover areas, increased thaw in permafrost regions, decrease in Virtually certain sea ice extent Increased frequency of hot extremes, heat waves and heavy precipitation Very likely to occur Increase in tropical cyclone Likely to occur intensity Precipitation increases in high latitudes Very likely to occur Precipitation decreases in subtropical land regions Very likely to occur Decreased water resources in many semi-arid areas, including western High confidence U.S. and Mediterranean basin