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The Climate Challenge:
COP-15 and beyond
Mike Muller & Simon Thuo
Input to gwp
GWP consulting Partners Meeting
Stockholm August 2009
Why Now? COP-15 is a landmark
• COP-15 to focus on Climate Change mitigation
• Yet water is the medium through which climate
change will have most impact
• Focus will eventually shift to adaptation
• So it is important that GWP should understand and
address the adaptation agenda
• TEC background paper is an attempt to do this
Climate change: key issues for water and GWP
• Water is a key medium through which the
impact of climate change will be felt
– Physical and Environmental
– Social and Economic
• But other challenges include
– Economic growth and rising living standards
– Population
– Energy and technology
• And the information base is weak
Water management, security and adaptation
Early impacts and essential responses
• Objective: water security
– Access to water for growth and development
– Freedom from threats of drought and flood
• IWRM offers “development with resilience”
• Need more resources for “adaptive IWRM”
• Address immediate development needs
today, build resilience for tomorrow
• 3 I’s for 3 E’s (info, institutions and infra)
Challenges for the water sector
• Will adaptation become the new focus (and
will IWRM be last year’s fashion?)
• NAPA vs IWRM plans vs “Aid effectiveness”
• Adaptation funds are a potential source of
IWRM support
• Avoid “fragmentation”, need core support
GWP
Niccolo Machiavelli on The Prince
 Prudent princes who have to regard not only
present troubles, but also future ones,
 they must prepare with every energy, because…. in affairs
of state… when the evils that arise have been foreseen
(which it is only given to a wise man to see), they can be
quickly redressed, but when, through not having been
foreseen, they have been permitted to grow in a way that
every one can see them, there is no longer a remedy.
GWP
Towards Copenhagen 2009
 Sharm el Sheikh Heads of State Decision &
Commitment
 Need of infrastructure to reduce water disaster & risk
 IWRM, water for food security, ensure equitable and
sustainable use of shared waters
 Regional agencies initiate dialogue on CC adaptation
 Focus in Kyoto and after was on mitigation- carbon trade,
reduced emissions reforestation…..
 New emphasis on adaptive capacity
 What to do in Land and Water???
 Copenhagen, Hanoi, Bamako consensus on five items
GWP
 Copenhagen November 13, 2008
 Holistic approach in recognition of the interconnectedness of land and water management systems
and the complexity of adaptation needs.
 Knowledge- based adaptation measures should be knowledge-based.
 The role of women perspective on women and gender equality
 Financing for adaptation is a key element in the COP15 negotiations.
 Adaptive capacity should be built to enable response in land and water management systems
 Integration of all adaptation measures are integrated thoroughly into national policy
 Hanoi January 19-21 2009
 Comprehensive- Bottom-Up meets Top-Down
 Resilience- for ecosystems and livelihoods
 Knowledge & Information sharing- impacts, vulnerability, good practise
 Economics & Financing- including costs of non-action
 Bamako February 24-25 2009
 Adaptation in a development context
 Governance and institutional strengthening- clear mandates, subsidiarity
 Financing
 Knowledge and capacity development
 Nairobi, April 16-17 2009
 Resilience key, Partnership between research, government civil society, media.
 Spatial scale: transboundary/regional, national, local governance, community to household
GWP
Next Steps
 AMCEN, AU have made a Common African Position. In
November 9-13; Joburg- what is water interest? 52
Ministers (maybe 5 African Heads of State & some G8)
 CoP 15- GWP- wide alliance with key negotiators. Track
what is still possible
 By Dec 2009- TEC explores outcomes, identifies
opportunities and approach. Sec, Regions generate
proposals building on CoP15 & strategy….
 Work with others, span continents, but watch out
GWP
Next Steps
 AMCEN, AU have made a Common African Position. In
November 9-13; Joburg- what is water interest? 52
Ministers (maybe 5 African Heads of State & some G8)
 CoP 15- GWP- wide alliance with key negotiators. Track
what is still possible
 By Dec 2009- TEC explores outcomes, identifies
opportunities and approach. Sec, Regions generate
proposals building on CoP15 & strategy….
 Work with others, span continents, but watch out

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Climate Change, COP15 and Beyond

  • 1. The Climate Challenge: COP-15 and beyond Mike Muller & Simon Thuo Input to gwp GWP consulting Partners Meeting Stockholm August 2009
  • 2. Why Now? COP-15 is a landmark • COP-15 to focus on Climate Change mitigation • Yet water is the medium through which climate change will have most impact • Focus will eventually shift to adaptation • So it is important that GWP should understand and address the adaptation agenda • TEC background paper is an attempt to do this
  • 3. Climate change: key issues for water and GWP • Water is a key medium through which the impact of climate change will be felt – Physical and Environmental – Social and Economic • But other challenges include – Economic growth and rising living standards – Population – Energy and technology • And the information base is weak
  • 4. Water management, security and adaptation Early impacts and essential responses • Objective: water security – Access to water for growth and development – Freedom from threats of drought and flood • IWRM offers “development with resilience” • Need more resources for “adaptive IWRM” • Address immediate development needs today, build resilience for tomorrow • 3 I’s for 3 E’s (info, institutions and infra)
  • 5. Challenges for the water sector • Will adaptation become the new focus (and will IWRM be last year’s fashion?) • NAPA vs IWRM plans vs “Aid effectiveness” • Adaptation funds are a potential source of IWRM support • Avoid “fragmentation”, need core support
  • 6. GWP Niccolo Machiavelli on The Prince  Prudent princes who have to regard not only present troubles, but also future ones,  they must prepare with every energy, because…. in affairs of state… when the evils that arise have been foreseen (which it is only given to a wise man to see), they can be quickly redressed, but when, through not having been foreseen, they have been permitted to grow in a way that every one can see them, there is no longer a remedy.
  • 7. GWP Towards Copenhagen 2009  Sharm el Sheikh Heads of State Decision & Commitment  Need of infrastructure to reduce water disaster & risk  IWRM, water for food security, ensure equitable and sustainable use of shared waters  Regional agencies initiate dialogue on CC adaptation  Focus in Kyoto and after was on mitigation- carbon trade, reduced emissions reforestation…..  New emphasis on adaptive capacity  What to do in Land and Water???  Copenhagen, Hanoi, Bamako consensus on five items
  • 8. GWP  Copenhagen November 13, 2008  Holistic approach in recognition of the interconnectedness of land and water management systems and the complexity of adaptation needs.  Knowledge- based adaptation measures should be knowledge-based.  The role of women perspective on women and gender equality  Financing for adaptation is a key element in the COP15 negotiations.  Adaptive capacity should be built to enable response in land and water management systems  Integration of all adaptation measures are integrated thoroughly into national policy  Hanoi January 19-21 2009  Comprehensive- Bottom-Up meets Top-Down  Resilience- for ecosystems and livelihoods  Knowledge & Information sharing- impacts, vulnerability, good practise  Economics & Financing- including costs of non-action  Bamako February 24-25 2009  Adaptation in a development context  Governance and institutional strengthening- clear mandates, subsidiarity  Financing  Knowledge and capacity development  Nairobi, April 16-17 2009  Resilience key, Partnership between research, government civil society, media.  Spatial scale: transboundary/regional, national, local governance, community to household
  • 9. GWP Next Steps  AMCEN, AU have made a Common African Position. In November 9-13; Joburg- what is water interest? 52 Ministers (maybe 5 African Heads of State & some G8)  CoP 15- GWP- wide alliance with key negotiators. Track what is still possible  By Dec 2009- TEC explores outcomes, identifies opportunities and approach. Sec, Regions generate proposals building on CoP15 & strategy….  Work with others, span continents, but watch out
  • 10. GWP Next Steps  AMCEN, AU have made a Common African Position. In November 9-13; Joburg- what is water interest? 52 Ministers (maybe 5 African Heads of State & some G8)  CoP 15- GWP- wide alliance with key negotiators. Track what is still possible  By Dec 2009- TEC explores outcomes, identifies opportunities and approach. Sec, Regions generate proposals building on CoP15 & strategy….  Work with others, span continents, but watch out