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ADB, Climate Change and
     Water Security in South Asia
                     Arnaud Cauchois
            Senior Water Resources Specialist
           South Asia Regional Department, ADB

GWP Regional Workshop on Climate Change, Food and Water Security
                     Colombo, Sri Lanka
                     24-25 February 2011
Key Message
   Asia and particularly South Asia with its large
    population and limited water resources is at
    particular risk from climate impacts, especially its
    water and agriculture sectors.
   Water management will be drastically affected
    by our changing climate, but adapting – while
    requiring innovation and new approaches – will draw
    upon and reinforce best practices of the water
    profession.
   South Asian countries are beginning to respond,
    with policy dialogue, funding and technical
    support – more is coming soon.
Asia – Water Insecurity and Climate Change
Climate Change Priority Concerns in South Asia:
                Food Security




NCAR CCSM, SRES A2, no CO2 fertilization
ADB Climate Change Projects
ADB’s Climate Change Program

                                    Modalities:
                Finance           Knowledge            Partnership
Priorities:




              1. Scaling-Up Clean Energy

              2. Encouraging Sustainable Transport, Urban Development

              3. Managing Land Use and Forests for Carbon Sequestration

              4. Promoting Climate-Resilient Development

              5. Strengthening Policies, Governance and Capacities
Climate Change Priority Concerns in South Asia:
              Water Resources
 •   Supply-Demand: growing
     imbalances in many regions
 •   Glacial Retreat: loss of warm
     season and drought year
     flows
 •   Groundwater: over-
     exploitation in many basins;
     climate change impacts on
     groundwater recharge
     uncertain
 •   Coastal Aquifers: saline
     intrusion from Sea Level
     Rise; over-pumping
ADB’s Modalities to Address
                Water Security
• Convening Power and Regional Dialogue:
  Asian Water Development Outlook 2010, Asia-Pacific Water Forum and Summits
  – Steering Group on Water and Climate Change, Greater Mekong Subgroup,
  Regional Knowledge Hubs, Network of Asian River Basin Organizations, special
  conference, etc.

• Grant Technical Assistance – Regional and Country Focused:
  For capacity and institutional development, policy and advisory services,
  technical and analytical work, and project and program preparation, or blend of
  the above

• Financing – Loans and Grants – Infrastructure Focused:
  Project lending for water projects, Program loans for policy reform, Climate
  Change Trust Fund, Clean Technology Fund, GEF, leverage bilateral grant
  financing
Approach to Water Insecurity
 and Climate Change – 3 Is
                       Projecting climate
Climate Change        change impacts for
   Information         water resources –
                    downscaling, modeling

                   Identify vulnerability and
   Impact
                    risks (mapping) for river
 Assessments
                        basins and cities


                  Investments in infrastructure,
   Adaptation       capacity development, and
 strategies and    institutions to mitigate risks
  Investments        and promote adaptation
Adaptation in the Water Sector:
         Financing Options
    Water Finance Program (WFP)
    Regional Technical Assistance (RETA)
     “Managing Water in Asia’s River Basins”
     (TA 6470) – IWRM emphasis
     “Enabling Climate Change Responses in
     Asia and the Pacific” – capacity building,
     disaster risk reduction, water sector

    ADB Climate Change Fund (CCF)
    Other co-financing
Examples: ADB’s Climate Change and
   Water Activities in South Asia
   TA 43169: India - Support for the National Action
    Plan on Climate Change
   TA 7326: Sri Lanka - Strengthening Capacity for
    Climate Change Adaptation
   Regional TA 7547 – “Supporting Investments in
    Water Security in River Basins (Indonesia,
    Nepal and Uzbekistan)”
   Bangladesh - Strengthening the Resilience of
    the Khulna Water Sector to Climate Change
   Pakistan: Glacial Melt and Downstream Impact
    on Indus-Dependent Water Resources and
    Energy
India: National Action Plan for Climate Change:
    Support for the National Water Mission
   India MoWR requests ADB assistance in adapting
    water sector to climate change
   Desired outputs: legislative framework and capacity
    at the state level to enact NWM recommendations for
    climate change adaptation
   Vehicle: Policy and Advisory Technical Assistance
    (PATA)
   Funding: $750,000 (grant)
   Source: ADB Climate Change Fund (CCF)
India: National Action Plan for Climate Change:
    Support for the National Water Mission
     All-India Water
      Systems
     3 Pilot Sub-basins
      representing specific
      climate change risks

     Category    Pilot Basin    Focal State   Associated
                                                States
 Snow-fed       Sutlej         Punjab         Himachal
                                              Pradesh
 Groundwater    Chambal        Madhya         Rajasthan
                               Pradesh
 Coastal        Cauvery (delta) Tamil Nadu    Pondicherry
Bangladesh: Strengthening the Resilience of
the Khulna Water Sector to Climate Change
 Bangladesh vulnerable to:
  - Flooding
  - Drought
  - Sea Level Rise
 Khulna: 3rd largest - 1.4
  million (2007)
 Shortage of water supply
  (currently relying on shallow
  groundwater)
 Increased urban flooding
 Drainage congestion
 Vehicle: PATA
 Funding: $600,000 (grant)
 Source: ADB CCF
Bangladesh: Strengthening the Resilience of
the Khulna Water Sector to Climate Change

       Flow Diagram of the Study
                                 Review of available data                Surveys to collect
                                     and information                      additional data



           Deriving scenario’s 2030-2050
        Projections for 2030 and 2050
     Climate Change            Socio-economic          Development and calibration of
    • Temperatureclimate        development                mathematical models
    • Precipitation           • Population
    • Sea Level Rise          • Water Demand              Climate
    • Upstream                                            (model)
                              • Land Use
                                                          analysis
      River Discharge         • GDP Growth
               low           trend            high
                                                                                           Rainfall
                                                            Sea level,                   intensities
                                               Ch. 3         rainfall,
                                                              temp


               Impact Assessment
                                                        Southwest                         Urban
                                Urban Drainage           Regional              Water
                                                                                         Drainage
                                                       Hydrodynamic            levels
       Water Supply                System                 Model                           Model
                              • Water logged area
         System
                              • Flood depth
    • Water availability
                              • Affected population      river flows
    • River salinity                                                                     Waterlogged
                              • Damages                                                  area, depth,
                                                                                         and duration

                                                         Salinity
                                                         Model

         Identification and Evaluation of
               Adaptation Options                       river salinity
   • least-cost analysis (water supply)
   • cost-benefit analysis (urban drainage)
THANK YOU



        Arnaud Cauchois,
Senior Water Resources Specialist
        SAER/SARD/ADB
       acauchois@adb.org

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ADB, Climate Change and Water Security in South Asia, by Arnaud Cauchois

  • 1. ADB, Climate Change and Water Security in South Asia Arnaud Cauchois Senior Water Resources Specialist South Asia Regional Department, ADB GWP Regional Workshop on Climate Change, Food and Water Security Colombo, Sri Lanka 24-25 February 2011
  • 2. Key Message  Asia and particularly South Asia with its large population and limited water resources is at particular risk from climate impacts, especially its water and agriculture sectors.  Water management will be drastically affected by our changing climate, but adapting – while requiring innovation and new approaches – will draw upon and reinforce best practices of the water profession.  South Asian countries are beginning to respond, with policy dialogue, funding and technical support – more is coming soon.
  • 3. Asia – Water Insecurity and Climate Change
  • 4. Climate Change Priority Concerns in South Asia: Food Security NCAR CCSM, SRES A2, no CO2 fertilization
  • 6. ADB’s Climate Change Program Modalities: Finance Knowledge Partnership Priorities: 1. Scaling-Up Clean Energy 2. Encouraging Sustainable Transport, Urban Development 3. Managing Land Use and Forests for Carbon Sequestration 4. Promoting Climate-Resilient Development 5. Strengthening Policies, Governance and Capacities
  • 7. Climate Change Priority Concerns in South Asia: Water Resources • Supply-Demand: growing imbalances in many regions • Glacial Retreat: loss of warm season and drought year flows • Groundwater: over- exploitation in many basins; climate change impacts on groundwater recharge uncertain • Coastal Aquifers: saline intrusion from Sea Level Rise; over-pumping
  • 8. ADB’s Modalities to Address Water Security • Convening Power and Regional Dialogue: Asian Water Development Outlook 2010, Asia-Pacific Water Forum and Summits – Steering Group on Water and Climate Change, Greater Mekong Subgroup, Regional Knowledge Hubs, Network of Asian River Basin Organizations, special conference, etc. • Grant Technical Assistance – Regional and Country Focused: For capacity and institutional development, policy and advisory services, technical and analytical work, and project and program preparation, or blend of the above • Financing – Loans and Grants – Infrastructure Focused: Project lending for water projects, Program loans for policy reform, Climate Change Trust Fund, Clean Technology Fund, GEF, leverage bilateral grant financing
  • 9. Approach to Water Insecurity and Climate Change – 3 Is Projecting climate Climate Change change impacts for Information water resources – downscaling, modeling Identify vulnerability and Impact risks (mapping) for river Assessments basins and cities Investments in infrastructure, Adaptation capacity development, and strategies and institutions to mitigate risks Investments and promote adaptation
  • 10. Adaptation in the Water Sector: Financing Options  Water Finance Program (WFP)  Regional Technical Assistance (RETA) “Managing Water in Asia’s River Basins” (TA 6470) – IWRM emphasis “Enabling Climate Change Responses in Asia and the Pacific” – capacity building, disaster risk reduction, water sector  ADB Climate Change Fund (CCF)  Other co-financing
  • 11. Examples: ADB’s Climate Change and Water Activities in South Asia  TA 43169: India - Support for the National Action Plan on Climate Change  TA 7326: Sri Lanka - Strengthening Capacity for Climate Change Adaptation  Regional TA 7547 – “Supporting Investments in Water Security in River Basins (Indonesia, Nepal and Uzbekistan)”  Bangladesh - Strengthening the Resilience of the Khulna Water Sector to Climate Change  Pakistan: Glacial Melt and Downstream Impact on Indus-Dependent Water Resources and Energy
  • 12. India: National Action Plan for Climate Change: Support for the National Water Mission  India MoWR requests ADB assistance in adapting water sector to climate change  Desired outputs: legislative framework and capacity at the state level to enact NWM recommendations for climate change adaptation  Vehicle: Policy and Advisory Technical Assistance (PATA)  Funding: $750,000 (grant)  Source: ADB Climate Change Fund (CCF)
  • 13. India: National Action Plan for Climate Change: Support for the National Water Mission  All-India Water Systems  3 Pilot Sub-basins representing specific climate change risks Category Pilot Basin Focal State Associated States Snow-fed Sutlej Punjab Himachal Pradesh Groundwater Chambal Madhya Rajasthan Pradesh Coastal Cauvery (delta) Tamil Nadu Pondicherry
  • 14. Bangladesh: Strengthening the Resilience of the Khulna Water Sector to Climate Change  Bangladesh vulnerable to: - Flooding - Drought - Sea Level Rise  Khulna: 3rd largest - 1.4 million (2007)  Shortage of water supply (currently relying on shallow groundwater)  Increased urban flooding  Drainage congestion  Vehicle: PATA  Funding: $600,000 (grant)  Source: ADB CCF
  • 15. Bangladesh: Strengthening the Resilience of the Khulna Water Sector to Climate Change Flow Diagram of the Study Review of available data Surveys to collect and information additional data Deriving scenario’s 2030-2050 Projections for 2030 and 2050 Climate Change Socio-economic Development and calibration of • Temperatureclimate development mathematical models • Precipitation • Population • Sea Level Rise • Water Demand Climate • Upstream (model) • Land Use analysis River Discharge • GDP Growth low trend high Rainfall Sea level, intensities Ch. 3 rainfall, temp Impact Assessment Southwest Urban Urban Drainage Regional Water Drainage Hydrodynamic levels Water Supply System Model Model • Water logged area System • Flood depth • Water availability • Affected population river flows • River salinity Waterlogged • Damages area, depth, and duration Salinity Model Identification and Evaluation of Adaptation Options river salinity • least-cost analysis (water supply) • cost-benefit analysis (urban drainage)
  • 16. THANK YOU Arnaud Cauchois, Senior Water Resources Specialist SAER/SARD/ADB acauchois@adb.org