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the askmarkets magazine
May 15, 2009




               Pulling the pieces
               apart is risky.
               Why don’t you
               just put them
               together?
               Aggregate
               distributed
               information with
               the power of
               markets.



                                    Let the Market Decide,
                                    with information inside.
                                                                       the source, namely those who          contribute insights of value on
                                        Overflow, of
                                                                       possess the scattered bits of         the topics of your interest.
                                    information. Then filter, and
                                                                       information, not any middlemen              Now, you are able to turn
                                    digest. You do this, every
                                                                       around. And push approaches           your questions into markets,
                                    single day. Your coworkers,
                                                                       (call it surveys, or meetings) tend   their possible answers into stocks
                                    too. Each one of us gets
                                                                       not to work. What missing is an       and finally let anyone put their
                                    exposed to a unique blend of
                                                                       engaging, yet less biased way to      (play) money where his mouth is.
                                    information, from both
                                                                       pull this information out, then       You may also call it a friendly
                                    people and data sources.
                                                                       filtering and balancing it, in real    bet, or just a game; in any case,
                                    Then we enhance it, with our
                                                                       time, to finally give shape to an      it’s equally fun, and useful, yet
                                    own experiences and
                                                                       aggregated insight.                   more engaging and less biased
                                    knowledge, to finally shape a
                                                                             Guess what. There is a          than every other tool you have
                                    unique personal insight. Yes,
                                                                       solution, and it’s simpler than       ever tried.
                                    there lies a lot of value, but
                                                                       what you may imagine. Actually,             Most importantly, our
                                    how do we come up with
                                                                       you use it, in various different      marketplaces works as probably
                                    collective insights? If this
                                                                       settings, on a daily basis. Enter     the most efficient tool for
                                    stands as an unsolved
                                                                       askmarkets services. And set up       information aggregation out
                                    problem for your
                                                                       your own, private or public           there. So, you’d better stop
                                    organization, we think we
                                                                       marketplace, within a minute.         wasting resources, and potential.
                                    came up with a decent
                                                                       Then, invite your fellow workers,     Collective insights and your
                                    solution.
                                         You need to aggregate         partners, and clients to join. Or     information marketplace are
                                    information and insights, not just anyone who you think may              now just a few clicks away, at
                                    collect raw data. Directly from                                          askmarkets.


  1
THEaskmarketsMAGAZINE May 15, 2009
                                                        One Stop Shop
                                                        to your information marketplace
                                                        What is it about?                                        How does it work?
                                                              Where do you go to find out the best answer               It’s simple, really.
                                                        to the question “What is the value of Walmart?”                1. You enter askmarkets services and create
                                                        You probably go check it’s current stock price,          your very own information marketplace, in the
                                                        right? What about the next football match winner?        subdomain, say http://acme.askmarkets.com, or
                                                        You typically turn to the current betting odds.          else. The whole process takes up to a minute, while
                                                        Expected price of, let’s say, oil in the next quarter?   you gain full admin rights and customization
                                                        It’s the futures market. Or even the value of an old     options (change all colors, add your own logo etc).
                                                        gadget of yours? You just enter the local flea                  2. You invite your employees and partners,
                                                        market, it goes on.                                      your clients or whoever may provide valuable
                                                              When it comes to aggregating all of the            information, to join. Marketplaces can be private
                                                        information out there, or finding the most accurate       (invite-only), or public (open to everyone). Each
                                                        of estimations, the answer always includes the           user who signs up receives 10,000 of our play-
                                                        term “market” as its second element. And this fact       money currency to start trading.
                                                        is anything but random. Over time, markets have                3. You turn your critical questions into
                                                        proven to be the most efficient mechanism for             markets, tight to a future event. Potential answers
                                                        aggregation and transmission of information.             are the stocks traded within this market, while
                                                        Dynamic and evolutionary by nature, markets              their current price indicates their probability of
                                                        typically tap on self-selection and proper incentives    turning correct.
                                                        to leverage on collective intelligence, or what we             4. So, if anyone considers an answer as
                                                        are lately referring to as the wisdom of crowds.         underpriced, he is able to buy some shares of the
                                                              However, when it comes to topics different         corresponding stock, under the prospect of future
                                                        than the ones described above, no similar solution       profit. By this, the stock price goes up, and the
                                                        exists. Let’s say that you are very much interested      market communicates the relevant information.
                                                        in your sales figures for the next month, or the          Both trading into a market, or creating a brand
                                                        probability of meeting a critical deadline, or any       new market are two-step straightforward process.
                                                        other critical question tight to a future event, not           5.This is it. Your very own information
                                                        covered by existing and well-positioned market           marketplace is up and running, consisting of the
                                                        institutions. Where are such markets? We think we        traders you picked, and the market questions you
                                                        have come up with a proper solution, within              and your traders shaped. Collective insights are
                                                        askmarkets.                                              now at your fingertips, you may leave all the rest to
                                                                                                                 askmarkets.



                                     Markets bring
                                     people together,
                                     transmitting
                                     information
                                     through prices.
                                     And askmarkets
                                     is the simplest
                                     way to put
                                     market power at
                                     your fingertips.




  2
THEaskmarketsMAGAZINE May 15, 2009
                                                        Use Case I
                                                        Retailer
                                                             Retailex Corp. is a very healthy and profitable        The company is using a couple of methods to
                                                        organization that imports, stores, distributes and    forecast its sales and manage its logistics in a more
                                                        finally sells a wide range of products. With capable   efficient way. The tools in use track the weekly or
                                                        and experienced employees, next to an extended        even daily sales using an advanced ERP (which
                                                        network of salesmen and distributors,                 costed a really significant amount of money) and
                                                             Retailex is a well-structured and efficiently     attempt to extrapolate the given data to come up
                                                        functioning enterprise, optimized to deliver great    with proper estimations, while surveys of the
                                                        products to its customers and value to its            managers’ perceptions are performed quarterly to
                                                        shareholders. Digging into its main cost drivers,     get a feeling about what’s coming. However, it
                                                        one comes up with inventory and transportation        seems that these approaches do not meet the
                                                        costs throughout the supply chain, the                company’s needs. Shortage of various products is a
                                                        management of which finally ends up to the             usual case in many points of sale, while other
                                                        estimation of future demand and the                   products remain devalued by the big inventory.
                                                        communication of early indicators that may arise      These facts equal to opportunities and money
                                                        across the various parts of the chain.                being not wisely spent, while the uncertainty of
                                                                                                              the given economic situation is expected to further
                                                                                                              highlight the problem.
                                                                                                                   This is where askmarkets come into play. The
                                                                                                              number of employees, salesmen and distributors in
                                     If mails &
                                                                                                              a sense stands as a powerful network, continuously
                                     meetings used to
                                     be the only way                                                          collecting information about the topics of interest
                                     to involve your                                                          for the enterprise. Asking all these people about
                                     partners in                                                              such topics, while providing sufficient motivation,
                                     decision making,
                                                                                                              using a simple but efficient platform, can enable
                                     now you may rest
                                                                                                              the collection and filtering of this vast amount of
                                     in the shoulders
                                                                                                              informational resources to support decision
                                     of markets.
                                                                                                              making.
                                                                                                                   For example, managers’ information is
                                                                                                              limited,while monitoring data have little to do with
                                                                                                              being proactive. At the same time, each salesman
                                                                                                              comes in touch with a number of people each day,
                                                                                                              shaping his mind on the top of the information he
                                                                                                              collects. Furthermore each salesman gets in
                                                                                                              contact with different sets of people and has
                                                                                                              special experiences which help to come up with a
                                                                                                              unique perspective on the topics of interest.
                                                                                                                   Finally, askmarkets enables Retailex to
                                                                                                              aggregate the perspectives of all people across the
                                                                                                              supply chain on the topics that matter for the
                                                                                                              company, including sales per month, per product
                                                                                                              or distribution point, next to products’ import and
                                                                                                              transportation costs, or pricing. In a few words,
                                                                                                              askmarkets serves the company as a ceaseless and
                                                                                                              seamless filter and aggregator of the information
                                                                                                              across the enterprise, providing real-time insights
                                                                                                              and a significant competitive advantage for both
                                                                                                              the day-to-day and the strategic decision making.
                                                                                                              Wouldn’t you bet on it?




  3
THEaskmarketsMAGAZINE May 15, 2009
                                     Use Case II
                                     Marketing
                                          Marketex Corp sells some high-end products, putting
                                     most of its efforts and budget on marketing. Echoing this
                                     fact, the marketing department has an extended list of
                                     liabilities, next to a really significant share in the decisions
                                     taken across the enterprise. Among all others, the
                                     department runs a bunch of campaigns each year, while
                                     keeping track of the industry and competitors in various
                                     markets, measuring customer behavior and satisfaction, also
                                     monitoring selected performance indicators that are
                                     considered of crucial value for the enterprise. The
                                     department is comprised of highly experienced employees,
                                     with a strong intuition and understanding of both the core
                                     characteristics and latest developments in the industry.
                                          However, it has become evident that, despite the
                                     expertise and experience of its members, the marketing
                                     department -and the whole company at large- is failing to
                                     detect significant turning points in customers’ behavior and
                                     preferences, or competitors strategic moves This is not due to
                                     lack of focus or devotion; the company is using several
                                     methods to get a clear view of what is happening out of its
                                     corporate offices. Surveys, focus groups, industry reports, and
                                     meetings, meetings, meetings, all have a prominent place in
                                     the company’s arsenal, when it comes to supporting its
                                     marketing decisions. However, results are not as expected;
                                     and there are probably both the tools and their users to
                                     blame for. The marketing manager put it like that in a recent
                                     board of directors: “It is like either the information we
                                     possess is very partial, or the tools we are using to filter it and
                                     sum it up are inadequate. In my personal opinion, both of
                                     these are true. We need a different approach.”
                                          At the same time, Marketex enjoys a considerable
                                     number of loyal customers, who could easily be
                                     characterized as fans. Their passion and brand loyalty is such
                                     that they know every Marketex product in detail, while
                                     tracking the competitors’ moves and other evolutions in the
                                     industry. In a sense, Marketex’s marketing department
                                     extends to these people, too, as they largely perform what the
                                     company needs, at a much bigger scale, cost-free, and
                                     without any biases that may accompany such intra-enterprise
                                     relationships. The idea is clear. Marketex needs to get this
                                     group of people together, motivate them to contribute their
                                     beliefs and, by appropriately aggregating these beliefs to
                                     shape an insightful input for its decision making.
                                          Askmarkets come to the rescue. A public marketplace is
                                     set up, on the topics of interest for Marketex. Competitive
                                     intelligence, efficiency of the latest campaigns, customer
                                     satisfaction, evolution of publicly available performance
                                     indicators, all these and other crucial topics are turned into
                                     market questions and literally outsourced to the Marketex
                                     community. A symbolic prize given to the 5 most efficient
                                     traders further enhances the engagement and, a few weeks
                                                                                                          There is passion for your products out there, why
                                     after the launch, Marketex includes in its arsenal a valuable
                                                                                                          don’t you leverage on the devotion and collective
                                     tool that monitors in real time the information and
                                                                                                          intelligence of your customers?
                                     perceptions of hundreds of experts, providing the greatest of
                                     insights for some really successful decisions. Still looking for
                                     the market leader?


  4
THEaskmarketsMAGAZINE May 15, 2009
                                     The people
                                     behind askmarkets
                                         AskMarkets UnLtd was founded in 2007 to host
                                     the works, vision and devotion of its founders George
                                     Tziralis and Efthimios Mpothos. Our enterprise
                                     product was launched in December 2008, gaining
                                     global attention and coverage. The company is located
                                     in Athens, Greece.

                                          George Tziralis, co-founder & CEO
                                          A fertile 5-year course on mechanical and
                                     industrial engineering from NTUA concluded with a
                                     thesis on attempting to forecast stock prices; as
                                     algorithms and the challenge of making accurate
                                     predictions captured his heart, the decision to
                                     undertake PhD research on the field of forecasting
                                     was a logical choice. His early quot;affairquot; in data mining
                                     and artificial intelligence ended abruptly when he got
                                     to know the concept of prediction markets better.
                                     That was back in September 2005. Since then,
                                     prediction markets had to endure his workaholic
                                     attitude, providing a suitable outlet for his creativity
                                     and passion (argentine tango and other fitness
                                     activities still have to wait). Resulting from this, the
                                     creation of askmarkets was predestined to happen: a
                                     natural outcome of his research findings, as long as his
                                     upbeat attitude.

                                          Efthimios Mpothos, co-founder & CTO
                                          Efthimios holds a 5-year bachelor in electrical and
                                     computer engineering from NTUA and wrote his
                                     thesis on mobile and personal communications. The
                                     move to engineering at Siemens, which took place
                                     immediately after graduation, finally proved not to be
                                     compatible with his creativity, passion and open mind
                                     for ideas. A refreshing switch back to research was
                                     highly needed and happened a couple of years ago.
                                     Since then, first an MSc on engineering-economic
                                     systems and then a PhD on innovation and ideas
                                     evaluation systems using prediction markets have kept
                                     him busy enough, before his ideas, entrepreneurial
                                     attitude and developing skills found a creative outlet at
                                     askmarkets.




                                     ASKMARKETS UNLTD                                            Innovation is our passion and askmarkets our pride and joy.
                                                                                                 We are committed to providing marketplace solutions that
                                     14-16 Meletiou Vasileiou Str
                                                                                                 work the best for you.
                                     GR 11745 Athens, Greece
                                     george@askmarkets.com
                                     http://askmarkets.com

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the askmarkets magazine

  • 1. the askmarkets magazine May 15, 2009 Pulling the pieces apart is risky. Why don’t you just put them together? Aggregate distributed information with the power of markets. Let the Market Decide, with information inside. the source, namely those who contribute insights of value on Overflow, of possess the scattered bits of the topics of your interest. information. Then filter, and information, not any middlemen Now, you are able to turn digest. You do this, every around. And push approaches your questions into markets, single day. Your coworkers, (call it surveys, or meetings) tend their possible answers into stocks too. Each one of us gets not to work. What missing is an and finally let anyone put their exposed to a unique blend of engaging, yet less biased way to (play) money where his mouth is. information, from both pull this information out, then You may also call it a friendly people and data sources. filtering and balancing it, in real bet, or just a game; in any case, Then we enhance it, with our time, to finally give shape to an it’s equally fun, and useful, yet own experiences and aggregated insight. more engaging and less biased knowledge, to finally shape a Guess what. There is a than every other tool you have unique personal insight. Yes, solution, and it’s simpler than ever tried. there lies a lot of value, but what you may imagine. Actually, Most importantly, our how do we come up with you use it, in various different marketplaces works as probably collective insights? If this settings, on a daily basis. Enter the most efficient tool for stands as an unsolved askmarkets services. And set up information aggregation out problem for your your own, private or public there. So, you’d better stop organization, we think we marketplace, within a minute. wasting resources, and potential. came up with a decent Then, invite your fellow workers, Collective insights and your solution. You need to aggregate partners, and clients to join. Or information marketplace are information and insights, not just anyone who you think may now just a few clicks away, at collect raw data. Directly from askmarkets. 1
  • 2. THEaskmarketsMAGAZINE May 15, 2009 One Stop Shop to your information marketplace What is it about? How does it work? Where do you go to find out the best answer It’s simple, really. to the question “What is the value of Walmart?” 1. You enter askmarkets services and create You probably go check it’s current stock price, your very own information marketplace, in the right? What about the next football match winner? subdomain, say http://acme.askmarkets.com, or You typically turn to the current betting odds. else. The whole process takes up to a minute, while Expected price of, let’s say, oil in the next quarter? you gain full admin rights and customization It’s the futures market. Or even the value of an old options (change all colors, add your own logo etc). gadget of yours? You just enter the local flea 2. You invite your employees and partners, market, it goes on. your clients or whoever may provide valuable When it comes to aggregating all of the information, to join. Marketplaces can be private information out there, or finding the most accurate (invite-only), or public (open to everyone). Each of estimations, the answer always includes the user who signs up receives 10,000 of our play- term “market” as its second element. And this fact money currency to start trading. is anything but random. Over time, markets have 3. You turn your critical questions into proven to be the most efficient mechanism for markets, tight to a future event. Potential answers aggregation and transmission of information. are the stocks traded within this market, while Dynamic and evolutionary by nature, markets their current price indicates their probability of typically tap on self-selection and proper incentives turning correct. to leverage on collective intelligence, or what we 4. So, if anyone considers an answer as are lately referring to as the wisdom of crowds. underpriced, he is able to buy some shares of the However, when it comes to topics different corresponding stock, under the prospect of future than the ones described above, no similar solution profit. By this, the stock price goes up, and the exists. Let’s say that you are very much interested market communicates the relevant information. in your sales figures for the next month, or the Both trading into a market, or creating a brand probability of meeting a critical deadline, or any new market are two-step straightforward process. other critical question tight to a future event, not 5.This is it. Your very own information covered by existing and well-positioned market marketplace is up and running, consisting of the institutions. Where are such markets? We think we traders you picked, and the market questions you have come up with a proper solution, within and your traders shaped. Collective insights are askmarkets. now at your fingertips, you may leave all the rest to askmarkets. Markets bring people together, transmitting information through prices. And askmarkets is the simplest way to put market power at your fingertips. 2
  • 3. THEaskmarketsMAGAZINE May 15, 2009 Use Case I Retailer Retailex Corp. is a very healthy and profitable The company is using a couple of methods to organization that imports, stores, distributes and forecast its sales and manage its logistics in a more finally sells a wide range of products. With capable efficient way. The tools in use track the weekly or and experienced employees, next to an extended even daily sales using an advanced ERP (which network of salesmen and distributors, costed a really significant amount of money) and Retailex is a well-structured and efficiently attempt to extrapolate the given data to come up functioning enterprise, optimized to deliver great with proper estimations, while surveys of the products to its customers and value to its managers’ perceptions are performed quarterly to shareholders. Digging into its main cost drivers, get a feeling about what’s coming. However, it one comes up with inventory and transportation seems that these approaches do not meet the costs throughout the supply chain, the company’s needs. Shortage of various products is a management of which finally ends up to the usual case in many points of sale, while other estimation of future demand and the products remain devalued by the big inventory. communication of early indicators that may arise These facts equal to opportunities and money across the various parts of the chain. being not wisely spent, while the uncertainty of the given economic situation is expected to further highlight the problem. This is where askmarkets come into play. The number of employees, salesmen and distributors in If mails & a sense stands as a powerful network, continuously meetings used to be the only way collecting information about the topics of interest to involve your for the enterprise. Asking all these people about partners in such topics, while providing sufficient motivation, decision making, using a simple but efficient platform, can enable now you may rest the collection and filtering of this vast amount of in the shoulders informational resources to support decision of markets. making. For example, managers’ information is limited,while monitoring data have little to do with being proactive. At the same time, each salesman comes in touch with a number of people each day, shaping his mind on the top of the information he collects. Furthermore each salesman gets in contact with different sets of people and has special experiences which help to come up with a unique perspective on the topics of interest. Finally, askmarkets enables Retailex to aggregate the perspectives of all people across the supply chain on the topics that matter for the company, including sales per month, per product or distribution point, next to products’ import and transportation costs, or pricing. In a few words, askmarkets serves the company as a ceaseless and seamless filter and aggregator of the information across the enterprise, providing real-time insights and a significant competitive advantage for both the day-to-day and the strategic decision making. Wouldn’t you bet on it? 3
  • 4. THEaskmarketsMAGAZINE May 15, 2009 Use Case II Marketing Marketex Corp sells some high-end products, putting most of its efforts and budget on marketing. Echoing this fact, the marketing department has an extended list of liabilities, next to a really significant share in the decisions taken across the enterprise. Among all others, the department runs a bunch of campaigns each year, while keeping track of the industry and competitors in various markets, measuring customer behavior and satisfaction, also monitoring selected performance indicators that are considered of crucial value for the enterprise. The department is comprised of highly experienced employees, with a strong intuition and understanding of both the core characteristics and latest developments in the industry. However, it has become evident that, despite the expertise and experience of its members, the marketing department -and the whole company at large- is failing to detect significant turning points in customers’ behavior and preferences, or competitors strategic moves This is not due to lack of focus or devotion; the company is using several methods to get a clear view of what is happening out of its corporate offices. Surveys, focus groups, industry reports, and meetings, meetings, meetings, all have a prominent place in the company’s arsenal, when it comes to supporting its marketing decisions. However, results are not as expected; and there are probably both the tools and their users to blame for. The marketing manager put it like that in a recent board of directors: “It is like either the information we possess is very partial, or the tools we are using to filter it and sum it up are inadequate. In my personal opinion, both of these are true. We need a different approach.” At the same time, Marketex enjoys a considerable number of loyal customers, who could easily be characterized as fans. Their passion and brand loyalty is such that they know every Marketex product in detail, while tracking the competitors’ moves and other evolutions in the industry. In a sense, Marketex’s marketing department extends to these people, too, as they largely perform what the company needs, at a much bigger scale, cost-free, and without any biases that may accompany such intra-enterprise relationships. The idea is clear. Marketex needs to get this group of people together, motivate them to contribute their beliefs and, by appropriately aggregating these beliefs to shape an insightful input for its decision making. Askmarkets come to the rescue. A public marketplace is set up, on the topics of interest for Marketex. Competitive intelligence, efficiency of the latest campaigns, customer satisfaction, evolution of publicly available performance indicators, all these and other crucial topics are turned into market questions and literally outsourced to the Marketex community. A symbolic prize given to the 5 most efficient traders further enhances the engagement and, a few weeks There is passion for your products out there, why after the launch, Marketex includes in its arsenal a valuable don’t you leverage on the devotion and collective tool that monitors in real time the information and intelligence of your customers? perceptions of hundreds of experts, providing the greatest of insights for some really successful decisions. Still looking for the market leader? 4
  • 5. THEaskmarketsMAGAZINE May 15, 2009 The people behind askmarkets AskMarkets UnLtd was founded in 2007 to host the works, vision and devotion of its founders George Tziralis and Efthimios Mpothos. Our enterprise product was launched in December 2008, gaining global attention and coverage. The company is located in Athens, Greece. George Tziralis, co-founder & CEO A fertile 5-year course on mechanical and industrial engineering from NTUA concluded with a thesis on attempting to forecast stock prices; as algorithms and the challenge of making accurate predictions captured his heart, the decision to undertake PhD research on the field of forecasting was a logical choice. His early quot;affairquot; in data mining and artificial intelligence ended abruptly when he got to know the concept of prediction markets better. That was back in September 2005. Since then, prediction markets had to endure his workaholic attitude, providing a suitable outlet for his creativity and passion (argentine tango and other fitness activities still have to wait). Resulting from this, the creation of askmarkets was predestined to happen: a natural outcome of his research findings, as long as his upbeat attitude. Efthimios Mpothos, co-founder & CTO Efthimios holds a 5-year bachelor in electrical and computer engineering from NTUA and wrote his thesis on mobile and personal communications. The move to engineering at Siemens, which took place immediately after graduation, finally proved not to be compatible with his creativity, passion and open mind for ideas. A refreshing switch back to research was highly needed and happened a couple of years ago. Since then, first an MSc on engineering-economic systems and then a PhD on innovation and ideas evaluation systems using prediction markets have kept him busy enough, before his ideas, entrepreneurial attitude and developing skills found a creative outlet at askmarkets. ASKMARKETS UNLTD Innovation is our passion and askmarkets our pride and joy. We are committed to providing marketplace solutions that 14-16 Meletiou Vasileiou Str work the best for you. GR 11745 Athens, Greece george@askmarkets.com http://askmarkets.com