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Upstream Oil & Gas Opportunities
and the West Coast
A Personal Perspective




Warwick Blyth
Executive Director


28 February 2011
Safety Moment                                                                                    -2-


     Laser Pointers


    Incident

    • Swiss doctors
      reported a case of
      a boy who bought
      a 150 mW laser,
      sold as a "laser
      pointer," which left
      him temporarily
      blind in one eye,
      and with 20/50
      vision in the other
      eye, after he shone
      it in a mirror.

                                                           Source: New England Journal of Medicine




                             ©2011 SA Oil & Gas Alliance
Safety Moment                                                                                   -3-


     Laser Pointers


    • Root Cause Analysis
         – Lasers classified as pointers are intended to have outputs less than 5 mW total
           power (Class 3R) – the eyes blink reflex makes this harmless.
         – Higher-powered (> 5 mW) DPSS-type laser "pointers" have recently become
           available.
         – These higher-powered lasers are often packaged in the same pointer-style
           housings as regular laser pointers, and usually lack the IR filters found in
           professional high-powered DPSS lasers.

    • Prevention of Injury
         – Try to ensure that you always use the lower powered pointers intended for
           presentation use.
         – Never look directly into the laser and never point the laser into another person’s
           eye.
         – Beware of mirrors and other reflecting surfaces.




                                         ©2011 SA Oil & Gas Alliance
-4-


“Upstream” is the front end of the Oil & Gas value
chain




                          GAS




                          OIL




Source: Petrostrategies

                                ©2011 SA Oil & Gas Alliance
-5-


At $85/barrel oil upstream activities account for almost
88% of net margin in the value chain




Source: Petrostrategies 2007, adjusted for $85/bbl crude price

                                                        ©2011 SA Oil & Gas Alliance
SA Oil & Gas Alliance – Who are we?                                     -6-


      The South African Oil & Gas Alliance is public/private
      partnership to develop SA-based upstream suppliers




                                            To promote the
                                        development of South
                                        African-based industry
                                      serving upstream needs in
                                              the region


                                          ©2011 SA Oil & Gas Alliance
-7-


 South African upstream activity has two key drivers:


• Local Exploration & Production                                     • Support/Supply Services and
                                                                       Equipment into Africa



                                                                              •   West Africa
                                                                              •   Uganda/Rift Valley
                                                                              •   Mozambique Channel

Orange River                  SOUTH
 Basin                        AFRICA          Tugela
    Kudu                             Durban
                                                Basin


     Ibhubesi          Karoo Basin



                Cape
                Town

                  Bredasdorp Basin




                                              ©2011 SA Oil & Gas Alliance
-8-


West Coast upstream activity




                                                  Source: Petroleum Agency of South Africa
                    ©2011 SA Oil & Gas Alliance
-9-


Development work on Forest Oil’s Ibhubesi gas field
could start in the next 12 months
• Offshore gas field about 100km from
  the coast in ~100m of water.

• Discovered in the 1970’s there hasn’t                       Offshore
  been a commercial case for
  developing it.

• Awarded production license in
  September 2009.
   – 5 Year market development period.                        Gas Plant

• Indications are that they have opted
  for a gas-to-power concept.
   – Planning to sign commercial agreement
     this quarter.
                                                              Power Plant
• ~$2.5 billion offshore development
  feeding a ~900MW power station
  near Hondeklipbaai area.
                                ©2011 SA Oil & Gas Alliance
SA Industry – What’s there?                                                             - 10 -


      South Africa offers a number of attractive propositions
      to the regional upstream industry

                                                 Diversified
                                                   African
                                                Supplier Base



                               Upstream
                                                                      Major Logistics
                               Repair &
                                                                      & Distribution
                              Maintenance
                                                                         Centre
                                  Hub




                                      Attractive
                                                                 Training &
                                     Location for
                                                                   Skills
                                    Regional Head
                                                                Development
                                       Offices
- 11 -


Saldanha Bay has a lot of potential as a hub for oil and
gas services targeting the West Coast and the region
• Natural deep water port
   – Up to 24m draft

• Developed quayside facilities

• Road and rail links to Cape Town

• International status airport                                  Future oil &
                                                                gas complex
• Established engineering
  community
   – Iron ore terminal, Saldanha Steel

• Favoured location for an IDZ
  (SA’s version of a freezone)

• Most importantly, lots of
  available land

                                  ©2011 SA Oil & Gas Alliance
- 12 -


The Port of Cape Town lacks space for significant
further expansion of the oil and gas activities
- 13 -


The Australian Marine Complex near Perth gives some
idea of the potential at Saldanha Bay
• Four main precincts:
   – Shipbuilding/repair
   – Technology
   – Support Industry
   – Fabrication

• Services a numbers of
  industries
   – Oil and Gas
   – Marine
   – Defence
   – Resource industry.




                           ©2011 SA Oil & Gas Alliance
SA Industry – What’s there?                                      - 14 -


      The likely focus for development in Saldanha Bay will be
      the area around the ore loading quay
- 15 -


Oil and gas activities are developing quite rapidly in
the Port of Saldanha Bay

1. Grinaker Fabrication
   Facility
2. Rig Repair projects
3. Oil & Gas Supply
   Base
  – Awaiting finalisation of
    port land lease
4. LPG Import Terminal
  –   Out for tender
                                                  3          2
5. Floating Dry Dock(s)
  –   Proposed
                                                        1
6. Manufacturing &
   Support Industry
7. Rig Dry Dock



                               ©2011 SA Oil & Gas Alliance
- 16 -


Grinaker’s world class fabrication facility at Saldanha
Bay is scheduled to commence operations in Q3




                      ©2011 SA Oil & Gas Alliance
- 17 -


Summary of Opportunities

• Rig/Ship repair projects      •LPG Import Terminal             • Dedicated ship repair
• West Coast exploration        • Growth of                      facility – deepwater
• Supply base start up          manufacturing & support          channel
• Initial fabrication project   industry                         • Rig dry dock
• Floating dry dock?            • Declaration of IDZ
                                • Ibhubesi construction?




      6-18 Months                    18-36 Months                     Longer Term




                                   ©2011 SA Oil & Gas Alliance
- 18 -




For further information
contact:
 Warwick Blyth : Tel + 27 21 425 8840
                 : wblyth@offshoreafrica.co.za



 Website        : www.offshoreafrica.co.za

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SAOGA presentation by Warwick Blythe : Oil and Gas opportunties on the Cape West Coast

  • 1. -1- Upstream Oil & Gas Opportunities and the West Coast A Personal Perspective Warwick Blyth Executive Director 28 February 2011
  • 2. Safety Moment -2- Laser Pointers Incident • Swiss doctors reported a case of a boy who bought a 150 mW laser, sold as a "laser pointer," which left him temporarily blind in one eye, and with 20/50 vision in the other eye, after he shone it in a mirror. Source: New England Journal of Medicine ©2011 SA Oil & Gas Alliance
  • 3. Safety Moment -3- Laser Pointers • Root Cause Analysis – Lasers classified as pointers are intended to have outputs less than 5 mW total power (Class 3R) – the eyes blink reflex makes this harmless. – Higher-powered (> 5 mW) DPSS-type laser "pointers" have recently become available. – These higher-powered lasers are often packaged in the same pointer-style housings as regular laser pointers, and usually lack the IR filters found in professional high-powered DPSS lasers. • Prevention of Injury – Try to ensure that you always use the lower powered pointers intended for presentation use. – Never look directly into the laser and never point the laser into another person’s eye. – Beware of mirrors and other reflecting surfaces. ©2011 SA Oil & Gas Alliance
  • 4. -4- “Upstream” is the front end of the Oil & Gas value chain GAS OIL Source: Petrostrategies ©2011 SA Oil & Gas Alliance
  • 5. -5- At $85/barrel oil upstream activities account for almost 88% of net margin in the value chain Source: Petrostrategies 2007, adjusted for $85/bbl crude price ©2011 SA Oil & Gas Alliance
  • 6. SA Oil & Gas Alliance – Who are we? -6- The South African Oil & Gas Alliance is public/private partnership to develop SA-based upstream suppliers To promote the development of South African-based industry serving upstream needs in the region ©2011 SA Oil & Gas Alliance
  • 7. -7- South African upstream activity has two key drivers: • Local Exploration & Production • Support/Supply Services and Equipment into Africa • West Africa • Uganda/Rift Valley • Mozambique Channel Orange River SOUTH Basin AFRICA Tugela Kudu Durban Basin Ibhubesi Karoo Basin Cape Town Bredasdorp Basin ©2011 SA Oil & Gas Alliance
  • 8. -8- West Coast upstream activity Source: Petroleum Agency of South Africa ©2011 SA Oil & Gas Alliance
  • 9. -9- Development work on Forest Oil’s Ibhubesi gas field could start in the next 12 months • Offshore gas field about 100km from the coast in ~100m of water. • Discovered in the 1970’s there hasn’t Offshore been a commercial case for developing it. • Awarded production license in September 2009. – 5 Year market development period. Gas Plant • Indications are that they have opted for a gas-to-power concept. – Planning to sign commercial agreement this quarter. Power Plant • ~$2.5 billion offshore development feeding a ~900MW power station near Hondeklipbaai area. ©2011 SA Oil & Gas Alliance
  • 10. SA Industry – What’s there? - 10 - South Africa offers a number of attractive propositions to the regional upstream industry Diversified African Supplier Base Upstream Major Logistics Repair & & Distribution Maintenance Centre Hub Attractive Training & Location for Skills Regional Head Development Offices
  • 11. - 11 - Saldanha Bay has a lot of potential as a hub for oil and gas services targeting the West Coast and the region • Natural deep water port – Up to 24m draft • Developed quayside facilities • Road and rail links to Cape Town • International status airport Future oil & gas complex • Established engineering community – Iron ore terminal, Saldanha Steel • Favoured location for an IDZ (SA’s version of a freezone) • Most importantly, lots of available land ©2011 SA Oil & Gas Alliance
  • 12. - 12 - The Port of Cape Town lacks space for significant further expansion of the oil and gas activities
  • 13. - 13 - The Australian Marine Complex near Perth gives some idea of the potential at Saldanha Bay • Four main precincts: – Shipbuilding/repair – Technology – Support Industry – Fabrication • Services a numbers of industries – Oil and Gas – Marine – Defence – Resource industry. ©2011 SA Oil & Gas Alliance
  • 14. SA Industry – What’s there? - 14 - The likely focus for development in Saldanha Bay will be the area around the ore loading quay
  • 15. - 15 - Oil and gas activities are developing quite rapidly in the Port of Saldanha Bay 1. Grinaker Fabrication Facility 2. Rig Repair projects 3. Oil & Gas Supply Base – Awaiting finalisation of port land lease 4. LPG Import Terminal – Out for tender 3 2 5. Floating Dry Dock(s) – Proposed 1 6. Manufacturing & Support Industry 7. Rig Dry Dock ©2011 SA Oil & Gas Alliance
  • 16. - 16 - Grinaker’s world class fabrication facility at Saldanha Bay is scheduled to commence operations in Q3 ©2011 SA Oil & Gas Alliance
  • 17. - 17 - Summary of Opportunities • Rig/Ship repair projects •LPG Import Terminal • Dedicated ship repair • West Coast exploration • Growth of facility – deepwater • Supply base start up manufacturing & support channel • Initial fabrication project industry • Rig dry dock • Floating dry dock? • Declaration of IDZ • Ibhubesi construction? 6-18 Months 18-36 Months Longer Term ©2011 SA Oil & Gas Alliance
  • 18. - 18 - For further information contact: Warwick Blyth : Tel + 27 21 425 8840 : wblyth@offshoreafrica.co.za Website : www.offshoreafrica.co.za