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Journal Analysis


  Relationship between bribery and
Economic Growth-An Empirical analysis

     Published in March 1st 2010
Journal Details
•   Indian Journal of Economics & Business
•   Started in 2002.
•   It is published at least 2 times per year.
•   Double Refereed International Journal
•   Managed by 20+ Associate Editors & 15 +
    Editorial Advisory board.
.
Index of the Journal
• Introduction.
• Defining Bribery and Bribery in International
  Business.
• Review of Extant literature.
• Theoretical Framework.
• Data and Methodology.
• Result and Analysis.
• Policy and Implication Limitations.
• Conclusions.
Introduction

• Focus of this paper

• If the level of bribery in a country affects the
  rate of its economic growth

• If the rate of economic growth in a country
  affects the level of bribery in that country.
Defining Bribery and Bribery in
         International Business
• Definition of Bribery.

• The growth in international trade and relative
  increase in bribery.

• Seriousness of Bribe taking has forced
  organizations control and discourage bribe
  taking
Review of Extant literature
• Determinants of bribery
• Determinants of economic growth.
• Formula by the World Bank
  C = M + D-A-S
  –   C for corruption,
  –   M for monopoly,
  –   D for discretion
  –   A for accountability
  –   S for salary
Theoretical Framework

• Studies unequivocally show that bribe taking is much lower in countries
  with high incomes.

• Prevalence of high levels of bribery retard economic growth.


• High levels of economic growth will reduce the prevalence of bribery.


• Bribery and economic growth can exist concurrently. Bribery prevents
  incomes from rising and rising incomes reduce the prevalence of bribery.
Data and Methodology.

• Level of bribery is measured by the Corruption
  Perception Index (CPI).
• Level of Economic Growth is measured by
  Gross Domestic Product (GDP).
• GDP was collected for 20 countries over a 12
  year period from IMF.
• CPI was collected over the three years from a
  wide variety of sources
  (www.transparency.org)
Result and Analysis
• Two statistical treatments.
  – Two sets of regression analysis were run on each
    of the two variables for country specific data and
    for the entire data taken together to test for two-
    way causality.
  – In one regression, CPI was the dependent variable;
    in the other GDP was the dependent variable.
• Results are available in the Journal.
Policy and Implication Limitations
•   Every country needs to be assessed on its own particularities for business and investment purposes


•   General businesspersons may expect to encounter low levels of bribery in high income countries .


•   In formulating strategies for economic growth, policy makers need to tailor them to the specific
    economic and social conditions of the specific country

•   Even if bribery is eradicated may not be enough to stimulate higher levels of economic growth if
    other barriers to trade and investment are not dismantled.

•   Rapid economic growth should not relax the authorities from seeking to keep bribery under
    control.


•   The evidence is that in some cases, economic growth can lead to continued bribery.
Conclusions
• Bribery and economic growth impact each
  other both unidirectionaly and simultaneously

• The impact of lower levels of bribery on
  economic growth is stronger.

• There may not exist any relationship among
  these two variables in some countries.
Thank You




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Relationship between bribery and economic growth

  • 1. Journal Analysis Relationship between bribery and Economic Growth-An Empirical analysis Published in March 1st 2010
  • 2. Journal Details • Indian Journal of Economics & Business • Started in 2002. • It is published at least 2 times per year. • Double Refereed International Journal • Managed by 20+ Associate Editors & 15 + Editorial Advisory board. .
  • 3. Index of the Journal • Introduction. • Defining Bribery and Bribery in International Business. • Review of Extant literature. • Theoretical Framework. • Data and Methodology. • Result and Analysis. • Policy and Implication Limitations. • Conclusions.
  • 4. Introduction • Focus of this paper • If the level of bribery in a country affects the rate of its economic growth • If the rate of economic growth in a country affects the level of bribery in that country.
  • 5. Defining Bribery and Bribery in International Business • Definition of Bribery. • The growth in international trade and relative increase in bribery. • Seriousness of Bribe taking has forced organizations control and discourage bribe taking
  • 6. Review of Extant literature • Determinants of bribery • Determinants of economic growth. • Formula by the World Bank C = M + D-A-S – C for corruption, – M for monopoly, – D for discretion – A for accountability – S for salary
  • 7. Theoretical Framework • Studies unequivocally show that bribe taking is much lower in countries with high incomes. • Prevalence of high levels of bribery retard economic growth. • High levels of economic growth will reduce the prevalence of bribery. • Bribery and economic growth can exist concurrently. Bribery prevents incomes from rising and rising incomes reduce the prevalence of bribery.
  • 8. Data and Methodology. • Level of bribery is measured by the Corruption Perception Index (CPI). • Level of Economic Growth is measured by Gross Domestic Product (GDP). • GDP was collected for 20 countries over a 12 year period from IMF. • CPI was collected over the three years from a wide variety of sources (www.transparency.org)
  • 9. Result and Analysis • Two statistical treatments. – Two sets of regression analysis were run on each of the two variables for country specific data and for the entire data taken together to test for two- way causality. – In one regression, CPI was the dependent variable; in the other GDP was the dependent variable. • Results are available in the Journal.
  • 10. Policy and Implication Limitations • Every country needs to be assessed on its own particularities for business and investment purposes • General businesspersons may expect to encounter low levels of bribery in high income countries . • In formulating strategies for economic growth, policy makers need to tailor them to the specific economic and social conditions of the specific country • Even if bribery is eradicated may not be enough to stimulate higher levels of economic growth if other barriers to trade and investment are not dismantled. • Rapid economic growth should not relax the authorities from seeking to keep bribery under control. • The evidence is that in some cases, economic growth can lead to continued bribery.
  • 11. Conclusions • Bribery and economic growth impact each other both unidirectionaly and simultaneously • The impact of lower levels of bribery on economic growth is stronger. • There may not exist any relationship among these two variables in some countries.