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ITU Workshop on “Developments regarding
       telecommunication network architectures
                   and services”
                         (Kampala, Uganda, 2 April 2012)


     Socio-Economic Aware Design of
       Future Network Technology
           (Y.FNsocioeconomic)
                     Martin Waldburger,
                    University of Zurich,
          Editor of Y.FNsocioeconomic in Q21/13,
                   waldburger@ifi.uzh.ch
Kampala, Uganda, 2 April 2012
Outline
•  SESERV Goal
•  Socio-economic Awareness
 •  Design Goals and Objectives in Y.3001
 •  Scope of Y.FNsocioeconomic
 •  Proposed Structure
•  Tussle Evolution: Bandwidth Sharing
 •  Tussle Analysis Meta-method
 •  Methods Overview
 •  Application Case
•  Summary and Conclusions
•  Q&A

                                            2
SESERV Goal
•  Based on the fact that ICT contributes to social
   inclusion, economic development, sustainability:

•  SESERV shall bridge the gap between
  •  Especially socio-economic (SE) priorities and
  •  Research objectives of European ICT projects in FP7
•  SESERV does offer a service that provides
  •  An open access to SE and networking experts FISE Community
  •  Investigation methodologies for relationships
     between Future Internet technology, society, and  Tussle
     the economy                                      Analysis

  •  Knowledge and findings through research reports,  Event
     workshops, and various research support on SE Organization
     upon request
                                                           3
Socio-economic Awareness (1)
                                                                             Stakeholders with
              End-users         ISPs           Regulators      ASPs   …      varying socio-economic
                                                                             interests

                                                                             Out-of-network socio-
                                                                             economic interactions

                                                                             Technology choices
                                                                             (including investments,
Socio-economic
                                                                             configurations)
layer
Technology                                                                   Technology outputs
layer                                                                        (connectivity, QoS,
                                                                             mobility,
                                                                             security, etc.)
                                Network               Middle
                                applications          boxes      Firewalls      Technology
         Network protocols
                                                                                components

             Links    Routers     Switches         Servers      3G towers

             Socio-economic layer is governed by laws of socio-economics,
                       while technology layer by laws of physics
                                                                                              4
Socio-economic Awareness (2)
            Internet Socio-       Adopt technology                  Longer
            Economic layer

              ISP
                                  Dimension resources




                                                         Feedback




                                                                             Adaptation timescale
Stakeholders strategies/          Configure technology
policies with respect to
a specific technology
(functionality)
                                   Use technology
                                                                    Shorter


                                          tussle outcome

  At each stage conflicts of interest (incentives) may arise at the
  socio-economic layer.
  The combination of actor strategies lead to a tussle outcome,
  characterized by stakeholders benefits.
                                                                         5
Socio-economic Awareness (3)
•  Traditional engineering goals (technology design)
  •    Effectiveness
  •    Efficiency
  •    Modularity
  •    Security
•  Technology will reach multiple stakeholders
  •  Different interpretations of goals
                                        Stakeholders	
  
  •  Different incentives                                    tussles
                                          engage	
  in	
  
  •  Different choices
•  Understanding socio-economic aspects
  •  Complete view on ecosystem
  •  Assess technology adoption and long-term success
                                                                       6
Design Goals and Objectives in Y.3001
•  „Future Networks: Objectives and Design Goals“
•  Objectives                 ...	
  to	
  reduce	
  barriers	
  to	
  entry	
  for	
  the	
  various	
  actors	
  involved	
  
                                                         in	
  the	
  network	
  ecosystem.	
  
    •    Service awareness                   ...	
  to	
  reduce	
  life	
  cycle	
  costs	
  in	
  order	
  for	
  them	
  to	
  be	
  
    •    Data awareness                                        deployable	
  and	
  sustainable.	
  
                                   ...	
  allow	
  appropriate	
  compe88on	
  and	
  an	
  appropriate	
  return	
  
    •    Environmental awareness                                              for	
  all	
  actors	
  
    •    Social and economic awareness
•  Design goals
    •    Service diversity                                      FNs	
  are	
  recommended	
  to	
  be	
  designed	
  to	
  provide	
  a	
  
                                                          sustainable	
  compe88on	
  environment	
  for	
  solving	
  tussles	
  
    •    Functional flexibility                                      among	
  the	
  range	
  of	
  par8cipants	
  in	
  the	
  ICT/
    •    Virtualization of resources                                            telecommunictaion	
  ecosystem	
  
                                                                                                     	
  
    •    Data access                                              Ra8onale:	
  Many	
  technologies	
  have	
  failed	
  to	
  be	
  
    •    Energy consumption                                       deployed,	
  flourish,	
  or	
  be	
  sustainable	
  because	
  of	
  	
  
    •    Service universalization                                   inadequate	
  or	
  inappropriate	
  decisions	
  of	
  the	
  
                                                                                          architect,	
  ...	
  
    •    Economic incentives                                                                         	
  
    •    Network management                                      Sufficient	
  aHen8on	
  therefore	
  needs	
  to	
  be	
  paid	
  to	
  
                                                                  economic	
  and	
  social	
  aspects	
  such	
  as	
  economic	
  
    •    Mobility                                                  incen8ves	
  in	
  designing	
  and	
  implemen8ng	
  the	
  
    •    Optimization                                     requirements,	
  architecture,	
  and	
  protocol	
  of	
  FNs	
  in	
  order	
  
    •    Identification                                   to	
  provide	
  a	
  sustainable	
  compe88on	
  environment	
  to	
  the	
  
                                                                                      various	
  par8cipants	
  
    •    Reliability

                                                                                                                                   7
Scope of Y.FNsocioeconomic
•  Y.3001 lists...
  •  Candidate technologies
  •  But no methods to achieve goals and objectives
•  „Socio-Economic Aware Design of Future
   Network Technology“
  This	
  Recommenda8on	
  lists	
  methods	
  to	
  achieve	
  socio-­‐economic	
  design	
  goals	
  and	
  
  objec8ves	
  for	
  Future	
  Networks	
  (FNs).	
  When	
  a	
  candidate	
  FN	
  technology	
  is	
  
  provided,	
  the	
  methods	
  listed	
  provide	
  a	
  structured	
  approach	
  
  •  to	
  an8cipate	
  at	
  technology	
  design	
  8me	
  the	
  socio-­‐economic	
  impact	
  of	
  the	
  
     technology	
  taking	
  into	
  account	
  the	
  relevant	
  set	
  of	
  stakeholders,	
  tussles	
  
     emerging	
  among	
  them,	
  and	
  the	
  range	
  of	
  available	
  choices,	
  
  •  to	
  an8cipate	
  either	
  a	
  stable	
  and	
  incen8ves-­‐compa8ble	
  or	
  an	
  unstable	
  
     outcome	
  resul8ng	
  from	
  deploying	
  the	
  technology,	
  
  •  to	
  iden8fy	
  poten8al	
  spillover	
  (unwanted)	
  effects	
  from	
  the	
  technology’s	
  
     primary	
  func8onality	
  to	
  another	
  func8onality,	
  	
  
  •  and	
  to	
  help	
  design	
  technology	
  for	
  Future	
  Networks	
  that	
  is	
  in-­‐line	
  with	
  the	
  
     respec8ve	
  socio-­‐economic	
  design	
  goals	
  and	
  objec8ves.	
  

                                                                                                                      8
Proposed Structure
•    Summary
•    Scope
•    References
•    Definitions
•    Abbreviations and acronyms
•    Conventions
•    Introduction
•    Socio-economic Aware Deployment of Future Network
     Technology
     •  Design for Tussle
     •  Technology Deployment Cycle               Tussle concept
     •  Tussle Evolution
•    Tussle Analysis                              Meta-method
•    Stakeholder Identification Methods
                                                  Methods to
•    Tussle Identification Methods
                                                  implement steps
•    Tussle Impact and Tussle Evolution Methods   of tussle analysis
•    Appendix: Methods Overview

                                                                9
Tussle Evolution: Bandwidth Sharing
                           peer-­‐to-­‐peer	
  
                                                     p2p	
  users	
  configure	
                                                                                                                                           p2p	
  users	
  get	
  	
  
                            (p2p)	
  users	
  
                                                     applica9ons	
  to	
  open	
  	
                                                         p2p	
  applica9ons	
                                                       dispropor9onate	
  	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        bandwidth	
  share	
  
strategies/policies	
  


                                                     mul9ple	
  TCP	
  	
                                                                    configured	
  to	
  	
  
 Stakeholders’	
  	
  




                                                     connec9ons	
  for	
  the	
                                                              perform	
  traffic	
                                 ?	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                        Tussle	
  outcome	
  
                                                     same	
  session	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
   ISPs	
  thro2le	
  	
                           obfusca9on	
  
                                                                                                  bandwidth	
  of	
  	
  	
  p2p	
  	
  
                                                                                                  applica9ons	
  by	
  	
  	
  using	
  	
                                                                                           fair	
  
                                ISP	
                                                             DPI	
  technology.	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
               What	
  if	
  ISPs	
  deploy	
  	
                                       bandwidth	
  
                          (neutral	
  en9ty)	
     p2p	
  	
                                                                                                                                                                       sharing	
  
                                                   applica9ons	
  	
  
                                                                                                                                                         conges9on	
  exposure	
  
                                                                                                                                                         technologies	
  &	
  	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                ?	
  
                                                   mo9vate	
  mul9ple	
  	
                                                                              conges9on	
  pricing	
  schemes?	
                                 interac9ve	
  	
  
                            interac9ve	
           TCP	
  connec9ons	
  for	
  	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             users	
  get	
  	
  
                               users	
             the	
  same	
  session	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
                                                                                                                Func%onality:	
  bandwidth	
  sharing	
                                                                  dispropor9onate	
  	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         bandwidth	
  share	
  
strategies/policies	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                        Tussle	
  outcome	
  
 Stakeholders’	
  	
  




                                 ISPs	
                                                                                                   Regulator	
  announces	
  fines	
  due	
  	
  
                                                                                                                                          to	
  VoIP	
  providers’	
  complaints	
  	
  

                              Regulator	
                                    ISPs	
  use	
  DPI	
  technology	
  	
                                                                                                                   no	
  	
  
                                                                             to	
  degrade	
  quality	
  of	
  	
                                                                                                               discrimina9on	
  
                                                                             rival	
  VoIP	
  services	
  

                                ASPs	
  
                                                                                                          Func%onality:	
  VoIP	
  service	
  delivery	
  


         Func9onality	
                              Stable	
  outcome	
                                   Evolves	
  
         Ini9al	
  state	
                           Unstable	
  outcome	
                                 Affects	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 10
Tussle Analysis Meta-method
                  Func9onality	
  I	
                                      Func9onality	
  II	
  

        Step	
  1:	
  Iden%fy	
  all	
  primary	
  stakeholder	
  roles	
  and	
  their	
  
        characteris%cs	
  for	
  the	
  func%onality	
  under	
  inves%ga%on	
  	
  	
  	
  
                                             new	
  itera9on	
     spillover	
  	
  


         Step	
  2:	
  Iden%fy	
  tussles	
  among	
  iden%fied	
  stakeholders	
  


           tussle	
  	
  tussle	
  	
  tussle	
  	
                                    tussle	
  	
  
Step	
  3:	
  For	
  each	
  tussle	
  assess	
  the	
  impact	
  to	
  each	
  stakeholder	
  
                               and	
  poten%al	
  spillovers	
  	
  

                                                                                                        11
Methods Overview
                         Step	
  1:	
             Step	
  2:	
             Step	
  3:	
  
                         Stakeholder	
            Tussle	
                 Tussle	
  Impact	
  and	
  
                         Iden%fica%on	
            Iden%fica%on	
            Tussle	
  Evolu%on	
  

Interviews	
             Highly	
  relevant	
     Relevant	
               Relevant	
  

Personal	
               Highly	
  relevant	
     Highly	
  relevant	
     Less	
  relevant	
  
observa%on	
  
Role-­‐playing	
         Relevant	
               Highly	
  relevant	
     Highly	
  relevant	
  
simula%on	
  
MACTOR	
  method	
       Prerequisite	
           Highly	
  relevant	
     Relevant	
  

SWOT	
  analysis	
       Prerequisite	
           Relevant	
               Relevant	
  

Game	
  theory	
         Prerequisite	
           Prerequisite	
           Highly	
  relevant	
  

Risk	
  management	
   Prerequisite	
             Highly	
  relevant	
     Highly	
  relevant	
  

System	
  dynamics	
     Prerequisite	
           Prerequisite	
           Highly	
  relevant	
  

                                                                                                    12
Application Case (1)
•  Focus Group
 •  During SESERV workshop in early 2012
 •  Case of technology developed by SAIL project


•  Role-play simulation
 •  Introduction into focus group format (moderator)
 •  Technology presentation (project representative)
 •  Stakeholder role assignment (10-15 participants)
 •  Moderated tussle identification
 •  Moderated tussle evolution
 •  Transcription and analysis
                                                       13
Application Case (2)
                                !"#$%&'()*&+"#+'#,-+./")0/"%/'.$1%)              H"2$+<>K0JG+                  >"4-%$+
                                 0/"%$12')3425&'/",5%)6+"$7+5&$'2'%)             >F;9DL=>F@+
                                                                                                               R$/&#3&"#+
                                           82&9/':)34212"&);2"#/'%)           ?(/()$.+<>K0JG+
                                                                              >F;9DL=>F@+ 3#F2)!*A)                 R"23(#+E+<>F;9DL=>F@+
                                              <==4,5+./")>2?24/=2'%)
                                                                                                                    R"23(#+M+<>F;9DL=>F@+
                                                                                                H'+"%,&)!*A)
                                                       *>@)A$B4,%C2'%)
                                                                                                                         0/"&2"&)>,%&',B$./")82&9/':%)
                                                    D2%2+'5C)A'/E25&%)
                                                                                                                         >,'25&/'()*2'?,52)A'/?,#2'%)
                                                                                         !"##$%&'()*+                    <==4,5+./")*2'?,52)A'/?,#2'%)
                             ,-".4%$-/+                                                   ,-"'(.$-/+
                               9:#$-/+      A'/72%%,/"+4%)
                                                                                                                         I'/:2'%)J6+':2&)A4+52)A'/?,#2'%K)
                                                                                                                         0/11$",5+./")A'/?,#2'%)                                            Outcome	
  for	
  assessed	
  Future	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                  Network	
  technology:	
  
                                                <1+&2$'%)
                                                                                                                         L+1,"F)A'/?,#2'%)
                                                                !"#)$#)+                             0#1"-23&"#+
                                                                9:#$-/+                               ,-"'(.$-/+

                                                                                                                                                                                            An	
  important	
  interface	
  was	
  
                                                                                                                         M,"+"5,+4)*2'?,52)A'/?,#2'%)
                                                                                                                         !"&2'"2&)D2&+,42'%)


                                                                                                                                                                                             missing	
  in	
  the	
  technology	
  
                                                 D2F$4+&/'%)                                                                                    736(%("4/+<F;0J9LM@+
                                                                ,"6(%*+738$-/+                   0#1-3/)-4%)4-$+
                                  <#1,",%&'+./")<$&C/',.2%)                                        ,-"'(.$-/+                                   F-4/):"-)O*+<366+

                                                                                                                                                                                                         design!	
  
                                                D2%2+'5C2'%)                                                                                    A-"P$%)/@+

                                          *25$',&()<F2"5,2%)                         5/$-/+                                               82&9/':)3O5C+"F2)A/,"&%)
                                                            D2%,#2".+4)                                        82&9/':)0/1=/"2"&)
                                                                                                               A'/?,#2'%)                 P+%&)6,42)A'/?,#2'%)
                                                               I$%,"2%%)   0/"%$12'%)
                                                                                                               *2"%/')N=2'+&/'%)          >+':)M,B2')A'/?,#2')
                            ;$/"4-%$+,-"'(.$-+<;=>=;?90;@+                   D/+12'%)
                                                                K%&'$+                                         ;2"$2)/9"2'%))             L+&29+()A'/?,#2'%)
                          5A6"3.$-+<,B,CD=EFG+>799FHC0F@+                   3"#G$%2'%)
                                                                                                               04/$#)N=2'+&/'%)
                                 ;$63*+<!B,9I=;G+5J99,@+                     736(%("4/+<,5;>50FG+                                  ;$Q4$/)"-+<;=>=;?90;G+>K0J@+
                                                                             ;=>57=D=FG+F;0J9LMG+!HKDL=G+
                                                                             5D0?=;>=JN@+                                          >$-'$-+<366+A-"P$%)/@+
                                   ;$Q4$/)"-+<366+A-"P$%)/@+   ,3//('$+
                                                                             F-4/):"-)O*+<366+A-"P$%)/@+



                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Edge-­‐ISP	
  inter-­‐
            CP	
  
                                                                                         CP	
  iden9fies	
  the	
                                            ?	
            ?	
                                        connec9on	
  costs	
  
strategies/policies	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                      increase	
  and	
  loss	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Tussle	
  outcome	
  
                                                                                         degraded	
  QoS	
  and	
  
  Stakeholders’	
  	
  




                                   Edge-­‐ISP	
  delivers	
                                                                                                                                                          of	
  revenues	
  out	
  of	
  
                                                                                         decides	
  to	
  announce	
  IOs	
  
                                   CP’s	
  content	
  
                                                                                         to	
  other	
  Name	
                                                                                                              the	
  content	
  
                                   over	
  his	
  localized	
  
                                   CDN	
                                                 Resolu9on	
  Servers,	
  only	
                                                                        ?	
                           delivery	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                    ?	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     CP	
  sees	
  degraded	
  
                                                                                                                                                      What	
  if	
  the	
  Edge-­‐ISP	
  and	
  CP	
  nego9ate	
     QoS	
  and	
  also	
  may	
  
                            Edge-­‐ISP	
  is	
  reluctant	
  to	
  update	
  	
  
                                                                                                                                                      about	
  update	
  frequency?	
  
                            frequently	
  the	
  local	
  caches	
  to	
  avoid	
  	
  	
                                                                                                                             lose	
  revenues	
  
      Edge-­‐ISP	
          increase	
  of	
  interconnec9on	
  costs	
                                                                                                                                               (due	
  to	
  loss	
  of	
  
                                                                                                                                                            Func9onality:	
  AAA	
  (Security)	
                           customers)	
  

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  14
Summary and Conclusions
•  Engineers need to...
  •  Be aware of socio-economic aspects of technology
  •  Consider socio-economics in technology design
•  For the goal of...
  •  Long-term success by incentive compatibility
  •  Assessment of adoption potential
  •  Sustainable competition environment


•  Recommendation Y.FNsocioeconomic
  •  Methods to achieve socio-economic goals, objectives
  •  Tussle analysis (meta-method)
  •  Several methods to implement tussle analysis
                                                           15
Thank you for your attention!
Questions?

                                16

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Socio-Economic Aware Design of Future Network Technology (Y.FNsocioeconomic)

  • 1. ITU Workshop on “Developments regarding telecommunication network architectures and services” (Kampala, Uganda, 2 April 2012) Socio-Economic Aware Design of Future Network Technology (Y.FNsocioeconomic) Martin Waldburger, University of Zurich, Editor of Y.FNsocioeconomic in Q21/13, waldburger@ifi.uzh.ch Kampala, Uganda, 2 April 2012
  • 2. Outline •  SESERV Goal •  Socio-economic Awareness •  Design Goals and Objectives in Y.3001 •  Scope of Y.FNsocioeconomic •  Proposed Structure •  Tussle Evolution: Bandwidth Sharing •  Tussle Analysis Meta-method •  Methods Overview •  Application Case •  Summary and Conclusions •  Q&A 2
  • 3. SESERV Goal •  Based on the fact that ICT contributes to social inclusion, economic development, sustainability: •  SESERV shall bridge the gap between •  Especially socio-economic (SE) priorities and •  Research objectives of European ICT projects in FP7 •  SESERV does offer a service that provides •  An open access to SE and networking experts FISE Community •  Investigation methodologies for relationships between Future Internet technology, society, and Tussle the economy Analysis •  Knowledge and findings through research reports, Event workshops, and various research support on SE Organization upon request 3
  • 4. Socio-economic Awareness (1) Stakeholders with End-users ISPs Regulators ASPs … varying socio-economic interests Out-of-network socio- economic interactions Technology choices (including investments, Socio-economic configurations) layer Technology Technology outputs layer (connectivity, QoS, mobility, security, etc.) Network Middle applications boxes Firewalls Technology Network protocols components Links Routers Switches Servers 3G towers Socio-economic layer is governed by laws of socio-economics, while technology layer by laws of physics 4
  • 5. Socio-economic Awareness (2) Internet Socio- Adopt technology Longer Economic layer ISP Dimension resources Feedback Adaptation timescale Stakeholders strategies/ Configure technology policies with respect to a specific technology (functionality) Use technology Shorter tussle outcome At each stage conflicts of interest (incentives) may arise at the socio-economic layer. The combination of actor strategies lead to a tussle outcome, characterized by stakeholders benefits. 5
  • 6. Socio-economic Awareness (3) •  Traditional engineering goals (technology design) •  Effectiveness •  Efficiency •  Modularity •  Security •  Technology will reach multiple stakeholders •  Different interpretations of goals Stakeholders   •  Different incentives tussles engage  in   •  Different choices •  Understanding socio-economic aspects •  Complete view on ecosystem •  Assess technology adoption and long-term success 6
  • 7. Design Goals and Objectives in Y.3001 •  „Future Networks: Objectives and Design Goals“ •  Objectives ...  to  reduce  barriers  to  entry  for  the  various  actors  involved   in  the  network  ecosystem.   •  Service awareness ...  to  reduce  life  cycle  costs  in  order  for  them  to  be   •  Data awareness deployable  and  sustainable.   ...  allow  appropriate  compe88on  and  an  appropriate  return   •  Environmental awareness for  all  actors   •  Social and economic awareness •  Design goals •  Service diversity FNs  are  recommended  to  be  designed  to  provide  a   sustainable  compe88on  environment  for  solving  tussles   •  Functional flexibility among  the  range  of  par8cipants  in  the  ICT/ •  Virtualization of resources telecommunictaion  ecosystem     •  Data access Ra8onale:  Many  technologies  have  failed  to  be   •  Energy consumption deployed,  flourish,  or  be  sustainable  because  of     •  Service universalization inadequate  or  inappropriate  decisions  of  the   architect,  ...   •  Economic incentives   •  Network management Sufficient  aHen8on  therefore  needs  to  be  paid  to   economic  and  social  aspects  such  as  economic   •  Mobility incen8ves  in  designing  and  implemen8ng  the   •  Optimization requirements,  architecture,  and  protocol  of  FNs  in  order   •  Identification to  provide  a  sustainable  compe88on  environment  to  the   various  par8cipants   •  Reliability 7
  • 8. Scope of Y.FNsocioeconomic •  Y.3001 lists... •  Candidate technologies •  But no methods to achieve goals and objectives •  „Socio-Economic Aware Design of Future Network Technology“ This  Recommenda8on  lists  methods  to  achieve  socio-­‐economic  design  goals  and   objec8ves  for  Future  Networks  (FNs).  When  a  candidate  FN  technology  is   provided,  the  methods  listed  provide  a  structured  approach   •  to  an8cipate  at  technology  design  8me  the  socio-­‐economic  impact  of  the   technology  taking  into  account  the  relevant  set  of  stakeholders,  tussles   emerging  among  them,  and  the  range  of  available  choices,   •  to  an8cipate  either  a  stable  and  incen8ves-­‐compa8ble  or  an  unstable   outcome  resul8ng  from  deploying  the  technology,   •  to  iden8fy  poten8al  spillover  (unwanted)  effects  from  the  technology’s   primary  func8onality  to  another  func8onality,     •  and  to  help  design  technology  for  Future  Networks  that  is  in-­‐line  with  the   respec8ve  socio-­‐economic  design  goals  and  objec8ves.   8
  • 9. Proposed Structure •  Summary •  Scope •  References •  Definitions •  Abbreviations and acronyms •  Conventions •  Introduction •  Socio-economic Aware Deployment of Future Network Technology •  Design for Tussle •  Technology Deployment Cycle Tussle concept •  Tussle Evolution •  Tussle Analysis Meta-method •  Stakeholder Identification Methods Methods to •  Tussle Identification Methods implement steps •  Tussle Impact and Tussle Evolution Methods of tussle analysis •  Appendix: Methods Overview 9
  • 10. Tussle Evolution: Bandwidth Sharing peer-­‐to-­‐peer   p2p  users  configure   p2p  users  get     (p2p)  users   applica9ons  to  open     p2p  applica9ons   dispropor9onate     bandwidth  share   strategies/policies   mul9ple  TCP     configured  to     Stakeholders’     connec9ons  for  the   perform  traffic   ?   Tussle  outcome   same  session             ISPs  thro2le     obfusca9on   bandwidth  of      p2p     applica9ons  by      using     fair   ISP   DPI  technology.             What  if  ISPs  deploy     bandwidth   (neutral  en9ty)   p2p     sharing   applica9ons     conges9on  exposure   technologies  &     ?   mo9vate  mul9ple     conges9on  pricing  schemes?   interac9ve     interac9ve   TCP  connec9ons  for     users  get     users   the  same  session             Func%onality:  bandwidth  sharing   dispropor9onate     bandwidth  share   strategies/policies   Tussle  outcome   Stakeholders’     ISPs   Regulator  announces  fines  due     to  VoIP  providers’  complaints     Regulator   ISPs  use  DPI  technology     no     to  degrade  quality  of     discrimina9on   rival  VoIP  services   ASPs   Func%onality:  VoIP  service  delivery   Func9onality   Stable  outcome   Evolves   Ini9al  state   Unstable  outcome   Affects   10
  • 11. Tussle Analysis Meta-method Func9onality  I   Func9onality  II   Step  1:  Iden%fy  all  primary  stakeholder  roles  and  their   characteris%cs  for  the  func%onality  under  inves%ga%on         new  itera9on   spillover     Step  2:  Iden%fy  tussles  among  iden%fied  stakeholders   tussle    tussle    tussle     tussle     Step  3:  For  each  tussle  assess  the  impact  to  each  stakeholder   and  poten%al  spillovers     11
  • 12. Methods Overview Step  1:   Step  2:   Step  3:   Stakeholder   Tussle   Tussle  Impact  and   Iden%fica%on   Iden%fica%on   Tussle  Evolu%on   Interviews   Highly  relevant   Relevant   Relevant   Personal   Highly  relevant   Highly  relevant   Less  relevant   observa%on   Role-­‐playing   Relevant   Highly  relevant   Highly  relevant   simula%on   MACTOR  method   Prerequisite   Highly  relevant   Relevant   SWOT  analysis   Prerequisite   Relevant   Relevant   Game  theory   Prerequisite   Prerequisite   Highly  relevant   Risk  management   Prerequisite   Highly  relevant   Highly  relevant   System  dynamics   Prerequisite   Prerequisite   Highly  relevant   12
  • 13. Application Case (1) •  Focus Group •  During SESERV workshop in early 2012 •  Case of technology developed by SAIL project •  Role-play simulation •  Introduction into focus group format (moderator) •  Technology presentation (project representative) •  Stakeholder role assignment (10-15 participants) •  Moderated tussle identification •  Moderated tussle evolution •  Transcription and analysis 13
  • 14. Application Case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utcome  for  assessed  Future   Network  technology:   <1+&2$'%) L+1,"F)A'/?,#2'%) !"#)$#)+ 0#1"-23&"#+ 9:#$-/+ ,-"'(.$-/+ An  important  interface  was   M,"+"5,+4)*2'?,52)A'/?,#2'%) !"&2'"2&)D2&+,42'%) missing  in  the  technology   D2F$4+&/'%) 736(%("4/+<F;0J9LM@+ ,"6(%*+738$-/+ 0#1-3/)-4%)4-$+ <#1,",%&'+./")<$&C/',.2%) ,-"'(.$-/+ F-4/):"-)O*+<366+ design!  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dge-­‐ISP  inter-­‐ CP   CP  iden9fies  the   ?   ?   connec9on  costs   strategies/policies   increase  and  loss   Tussle  outcome   degraded  QoS  and   Stakeholders’     Edge-­‐ISP  delivers   of  revenues  out  of   decides  to  announce  IOs   CP’s  content   to  other  Name   the  content   over  his  localized   CDN   Resolu9on  Servers,  only   ?   delivery   ?   CP  sees  degraded   What  if  the  Edge-­‐ISP  and  CP  nego9ate   QoS  and  also  may   Edge-­‐ISP  is  reluctant  to  update     about  update  frequency?   frequently  the  local  caches  to  avoid       lose  revenues   Edge-­‐ISP   increase  of  interconnec9on  costs   (due  to  loss  of   Func9onality:  AAA  (Security)   customers)   14
  • 15. Summary and Conclusions •  Engineers need to... •  Be aware of socio-economic aspects of technology •  Consider socio-economics in technology design •  For the goal of... •  Long-term success by incentive compatibility •  Assessment of adoption potential •  Sustainable competition environment •  Recommendation Y.FNsocioeconomic •  Methods to achieve socio-economic goals, objectives •  Tussle analysis (meta-method) •  Several methods to implement tussle analysis 15
  • 16. Thank you for your attention! Questions? 16