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The Role of the JESSICA Holding Fund
              in Bulgaria
   Implementation of the JESSICA Initiative in Bulgaria
                  JESSICA and Investment Funds
                    European Investment Bank
                    Stara Zagora, 7 April 2011




                                                          1
What is JESSICA?

    JESSICA: Joint European Support for Sustainable Investment in City Areas

      MISSION: To assist European cities in defining long-term, sustainable
         and viable patterns of development through investment activity
        financed with the utilization of “revolving” financial instruments.


     Initiative of the European Commission (DG REGIO) launched beginning of 2006,
      supported by EIB & CEB, to establish a common approach for financing urban
      development and strengthening the urban dimension in cohesion policy through
      the “transformation of grants” in repayable/recyclable assistance
     Applying “financial engineering” techniques to EU Structural Funds
     More efficient and effective utilisation of Structural Funds through tailor made
      “non-grant financial instruments” and mobilising additional financial resources
     Financial and managerial expert support of international financial institutions
      (EIB, CEB)


                                                                                         2
JESSICA implementation model


                                                             European Commission
        Level
         EU
       National /or                                            ERDF – DG Regio


                                                                                       €
        regional


                                                              Managing Authority
         Level




                                                     Holding Fund (« HF »)                   HF
                                                                                           Manager
                                              €                    €       €
       Regional /Local National/regional




                                                                               €
                         /Local Level




                                           Urban Development
                                                 Funds


                                               €         €     €       €

                                              Projects
           Level




                                                                   Sustainable Urban
                                                                   Development Plan



                                                                                                     3
UDFs as "impact funds" for urban transformation

The terms “impact funds” or “impact investors” refer to investors and investment
   vehicles that have an interest, in addition to achieving remuneration to their
investment, in achieving measurable “impacts” (in our definition “sustainable ERR
 target”) on policy-defined, non-financial objectives, constituting a key dimension
                in the investment vehicle performance assessment.

 Urban Development Fund (UDF) as an urban impact fund:
    a specific policy tool within the wider financial engineering concept in the
     programming period 2007-2013
    to promote, by employing Structural Funds in close cooperation with
     DG-REGIO, the development of a system of financial engineering
     instruments (so-called Urban Development Funds) for urban development
    policy-driven, geographically-focused and planning-led investment
     vehicle supporting the sustainable transformation processes of city areas
    impact investing to be seen as a new asset class requiring specific
     investment skills, organisational structures, metrics and benchmarks.


                                                                                      4
Which types of UDFs?

 Urban regeneration funds                     Energy-focused funds
  (mainly area-based)                           (regional or city-based)
   “Place making” locations / incubators /      EE / RE and energy / emission audit
    creative class attractors                     /certification systems
   Brownfield locations, mostly in inner        Climate action strategies (EU 20/20/20
    city areas                                    targets in urban areas)
   Deprived city districts, urban sprawl        Regional upgrade of green technology and
    voids                                         transmission systems

 City infrastructure
  transformation funds
  (for city systems)
   Addressing infra / urban imbalances
    from changes in city hierarchy
   Focusing on the provision of capital in
    less competitive areas
   Focusing on transformation of
    strategic urban infrastructure
   IT broadband, waste to energy, water,
    electric public transport, etc.



                                                                                             5
State of play of existing JESSICA mandates
EIB Holding Fund mandate                                       Implementation progress
                                Volume (EUR
Managing Authority                            HF FA    0   1      2       3       4      5   6
                                    m)


HF - Wielkopolska (PL)              67        II/09


HF - Andalucía (ES)                 86        II/09


HF - Lithuania (LT)                 227       II/09


HF - Portugal (PT)                  130       III/09
                                                                                                          Key implementation stages:
HF - WestPomerania (PL)             33        III/09


HF - London (UK)                    110       IV/09
                                                                                                                 Pre-negotiation Stage/ HF
                                                                                                          0
                                                                                                                 Agreement to be signed in 2010
HF - NorthWest England (UK)         110       IV/09
                                                                                                                 HF Agreement signed/ Investment
HF - Sicily (IT)                    148       IV/09                                                       1      strategy/ Investment board

HF - Moravia Silesia (CZ)           20         I/10
                                                                                                                 Call(s) for Expression of Interest
                                                                                                          2
HF - Campania (IT)                  100        I/10                                                              in preparation

HF - Scotland (UK)                  55        II/10                                                              Call(s) for Expression of Interest
                                                                                                          3
                                                                                                                 launched
HF - Greece (GR)                    258       III/10

                                                                                                                 Call(s) for Expression of Interest
HF - Silesia (PL)                   60        III/10                                                      4
                                                                                                                 closed
HF - Pomerania (PL)                 57        III/10
                                                                                                          5      UDF(s) selected
HF - Bulgaria (BG)                  33        III/10
                                                                                                                 Operational agreements in place
                                                                                                          6
Total signed 2010                  1,494                                                                         (HF/ UDF)
HF - Energy Efficiency (ES)         142       II/11


HF - Galicia (ES)                   15        II/11


HF - Sardenia (IT)                  60        II/11


HF - Masovia (PL)                   40        II/11
                                                                                                                    Stage Achieved
HF - Abruzzo (IT)                   25        III/11
                                                                                                 Legend             Implementation of the stage imminent
HF - Czech National Fund (CZ)       40        III/11
                                                                                                                    Signature expected in coming months
HF - Hungary (HU)                   50        III/11


HF - Slovakia (SK)                  20        III/11


HF - North East (CZ)                20        IV/11


Total expected 2011                 412

Total 2010 + 2011                  1,906




                                                                                                                                                           6
State of play of existing JESSICA mandates

      62 Evaluation Studies (national, regional, sectoral)
      18 Memoranda of Understanding on cooperation in JESSICA implementation
      By the end of 2010, EUR 1.65 billion of Structural Funds has already been legally
    committed to 19 JESSICA HF / UDF vehicles in 11 Member States           (and nearly
    50 NUTs-2 regions):
           15 Holding Fund agreements signed by EIB (EUR 1.49bn)
           1 Holding Fund set up with a national financial institution (Estonia)
           3 Urban Development Funds established without Holding Fund (Brandenburg/DE,
            East Midlands/UK and Wales/UK)

      7 fund structures out of 19 have an energy component, committed to invest
       amounts of up to EUR 784m in energy efficiency and renewable energy
       infrastructure
      UDF selection and disbursements to final recipients take place in all JESSICA
       countries


                                                                                       7
Global challenges in urban transformation

1. EU & globalization => “single market for cities” (1200 – 2000 functional urban
    areas compete for scarce resources: Human capital, Economic activity,
    Budgetary transfers, etc.)
2. MS and regions face difficult challenges in ensuring the transformation of the
    urban systems due to both market and institutional factors
3. New modes of interaction with the private sector to achieve public goals
4. National budget discipline ( pressure on sovereign and municipal debt levels;
    limits on transfers from national to local level; lower expenditure capacity of cities
    for investment without taking on additional debt
5. De-leveraging of banking activity (financial markets offer less co-financing for
    investment activity)
6. Highly volatile real estate economic cycle (from overinvestment & over-aluation
    to under-investment and under valuation )
7. Impact on viability of private investments (PPPs) in urban infrastructure and
    urban development
8. Reduced collateral value of land and buildings in non-core areas
9. Institutional investors reshuffling their sovereign and sub-sovereign portfolios
10. End of baby-boomers’ era => from asset accumulation to management of existing
    property and infrastructure
                                                                                             8
The Central EU demographic scenario
                                                                                                                          Births & Deaths in Bulgaria
            Livebirths in Germany and
         Central-Eastern Europe, 1970-2007                                        140,000


1100000                                                                           120,000


                           1980                                 DE                100,000

1000000
                                                                PL + Baltics
                                             1989                                  80,000
                                                                CZ + SK + HU                                                                                                                  Births
                                                                                                                                                                                              Deaths
                                                                RO + BG            60,000
 900000
                                                                                   40,000

                                                                           2005    20,000
 800000
                                                                                        0
                                                                                         1985          1990     1995     2000     2005    2010    2015    2020    2025   2030   2035
 700000
                                                                -21%                                                             Population in Bulgaria

                                                                                  9,000,000
 600000
                                                                                  8,000,000

                                                                                  7,000,000

 500000                                                          -47%             6,000,000

                                                                                  5,000,000

                                                                                  4,000,000
 400000
                                                                                  3,000,000

                                                                                  2,000,000

 300000                                                         -45%              1,000,000

                                                                                            0
                                                                                                2000


                                                                                                         2005


                                                                                                                  2010


                                                                                                                          2015


                                                                                                                                   2020


                                                                                                                                           2025


                                                                                                                                                   2030


                                                                                                                                                           2035


                                                                                                                                                                  2040


                                                                                                                                                                         2045


                                                                                                                                                                                2050


                                                                                                                                                                                       2055


                                                                                                                                                                                                  2060
 200000
                                                     -36%                         According to Eurostat, Bulgaria is expected to illustrate the sharpest
     70

           73

                 76

                       79

                             82

                                   85

                                         88

                                               91

                                                     94

                                                           97

                                                                 00

                                                                       03

                                                                             06




                                                                                  decline among EU Member States between 2008-2060:
    19

          19

                19

                      19

                            19

                                  19

                                        19

                                              19

                                                    19

                                                          19

                                                                20

                                                                      20

                                                                            20




                                                                                                       2008-2035: -14.5%                                  2008-2060: -28.2%

                                                                                                                                                                                                         9
Functional urban areas and metropolitan areas

Integrated urban investment strategy
for highly dense functional areas
   Holistic Approach      Urban wealth
      (Natural, Fixed, Human, Economic)

   Jobs & economic activity
   Financials / Fiscal                   Population density in Bulgaria

   Sustainability
   Capital & enterprise transfers
   Human capital ageing / migration
   Asset value creation processes

   … focus on the functional urban
    area (Urban Labour Market
    Areas, ULMAs) and the role of
    European Metropolitan areas over
    the next 20 years
                                          Development of Sofia area, Bulgaria

                                                                                10
Ageing impacts on city infrastructure functionality and public
finance


 Retirement Dependency Ratio
          (65%+ / 15-64)




                                                                 11


                                                                      11
Raising “financial resources” for cities
 What drove growth in 1970-2010?
 What will happen to these (largely financial) drivers in 2010-2030?

                                  City Operating cash flows,
                                                                Geography matters:
                                   Technological progress,
        Banking leverage          Foreign Direct Investment
                                                                 Transform your city areas into growth
                                   Efficiency/Reprocessing        poles
2030 (?)                                                         Focus on latent capital
      2010                                                       Keep your cities “slow”/ “low cost”
                                                                  (maintenance, obsolescence)
                                                                 Think new ways to finance inner city
                                                                  areas, housing stock refurbishment
Public debt
                           1970
                                               Pension rights    Attraction from external sources is
                                                                  crucial (investment, capital…)
                                                                 For all this, combine various sources
                                              2010                of leverage
                                                   2030 (?)        – Regions: SF
 Increasing value of                                               – Cities: land & buildings
    land rent and
                                       Inflation                   – Banks: financial resources
      buildings
                                                                   – Private: additional resources
    Urban sprawl


                                                                                                          12
Global challenges: Conclusions

 A macroeconomic conclusion for urban policy:
 • For 30 years, (urban) expansion took place naturally, because of market
   forces and demographic (baby boom) factors
    • Cities initially built on revenue generation, later expanded via debt/consumption
 • In the next 30 years (ageing process), the process of urban
   transformation must be guided in a completely different way as
   compared to the past
    • What will additional debt be used for? Not for debt-addict structures
 • The core element is to have efficient, productive, attractive and livable
   cities characterized by low maintenance/management costs and low
   “break-even point” on fixed assets
   • Competitive cities in a shrinking/restructuring environment
 • Can be achieved by rationalization, reprocessing, restructuring and
   optimization at the urban level with a focus on sustainability

       Cities need clear objectives, strategic planning, a roadmap,
   governance, technical data and systems to tackle market distortions/
     long-term risks - managed through strategic impact investors.

                                                                                          13
Implementation of the JESSICA Initiative
             in Bulgaria
Current status of JESSICA in Bulgaria


 Completed pre-implementation phase
 Funding Agreement between the EIB and the Government of the
  Republic of Bulgaria signed on 29 July 2010
 JESSICA Holding Fund for Bulgaria organised as a separate block of
  finance within EIB established
 UDFs selection procedure launched (call for the EoI)




                                                                       15
The role of the EIB at the current stage in Bulgaria


 Operating the JESSICA Holding Fund for Bulgaria on the basis
  of Regulations specifically providing for EIB involvement and in
  line with the Funding Agreement:
    Launching and managing of one or more calls for EoI to identify
      and select one or more UDFs for submission for approval to the
      Investment Board
    Negotiating of the Operational Agreements with UDFs
    Monitoring and controlling of the UDFs operations in accordance
      with the terms and conditions of the applicable Operational
      Agreement




                                                                       16
Flow of funds within JESSICA in Bulgaria

                            Directorate General “Programming of Regional
                         Development” in the Ministry of Regional Development
                                           and Public Works


                        Contribution from OP
                               (2010)

                      JESSICA HF for Bulgaria (managed by the EIB)



                    Investment into UDF
                           (2011)
                       EUR ca. 31.3 m


            Urban Development Funds (UDFs) selected through the Call for EoI

             Loans, equity or guarantees                      Resources repaid from
                     for projects                                projects to UDF
                    (2011-2015)                                     (2015  )
          Urban projects conform to the criteria of the Investment Strategy and are
                        compliant with eligibility and state aid rules




                                                                                      17
Call for EoI – Structural Elements (1/2)


   2 Lots

    Amount to be invested - EUR ca. 31.3 m - divided into two lots:
      Lot 1: EUR ca.12.5 m earmarked for investments in Urban Projects in Sofia
      Lot 2: EUR 18.8 m earmarked for investments in Urban Projects in the six
        major cities of Bulgaria (Plovdiv, Stara Zagora, Burgas, Varna, Ruse and
        Pleven)
   Structure of the Call for EoI
      Annex 1 – General Information about the Applicant
      Annex 2 – Declarations to be made by the Applicant
          Entry in trade register, representative, representations on not being subject to insolvency
           proceedings, conflict of interest as well as on compliance with public law obligations (tax, social
           security)
          Statement of relevant experience (execution of different types of Urban Projects and different roles
           held by the applicant in the project)
          Supporting documents




                                                                                                                  18
Call for EoI – Structural Elements (2/2)

    Annex 3 – Terms of Reference
        Background of JESSICA and its operational characteristics
        Amount allocated to the Call for EoI
        Selection procedure and criteria (exclusion and selection criteria)
        Business Plan template
        Characteristics of potential Urban Projects
        Financial model
        Conditions for the financial products
        Management fee
        Award criteria (Appendix A)
        Selected Terms of the Operational Agreement (Appendix B)
        Instructions on Financial Forecasts and Operational Budget of the UDFs, incl. financial statements
         template (Appendix C)
        Instruction on Economic Analysis of Urban Projects (Appendix D)
        Definitions and Abbreviations (Appendix E)




                                                                                                              19
EoIs Evaluation Principles


 Exclusion criteria
    Being in bankruptcy or analogous situation
    Proof of professional misconduct
    Non-fulfilment of social security and tax payment obligations
    Criminal conviction
    Proof of misrepresentation
 Selection criteria
    Proper submission of the relevant documentation and supporting material,
      according to the specifications of the Call for EoI
    Possession of adequate experience
    Completion of declarations (Annex 2) to the satisfaction of EIB
    Minimum co-financing

                                                                                20
Detailed Business Plan


1.   Investment Policy
2.   Financial forecasts and operational budget of the UDF
3.   Portfolio of potential Urban Projects
4.   Methodology for the identification and evaluation of Urban Projects
5.   The policy of the UDF concerning exit from Urban Projects
6.   Legal and ownership structure of the UDF
7.   The by-laws of the UDF
8.   Governance structure and key experts
9.   Annual management fee
10. Interest rate on Available Funds
11. Co-financing – leverage
12. Winding-up provisions of the UDF


                                                                           21
Offers Evaluation Principles – Award Criteria


                                                                      Maximum
                                     Criterion
                                                                       scoring
Investment Policy                                                       0-15

Financial forecasts and operational budget of the UDF                   0-10

Projects portfolio                                                      0-10

Methodology for the identification and evaluation of urban projects     0-10

Governance structure                                                    0-20

Key experts                                                             0-5

Annual management fee                                                   0-10

Interest rate                                                           0-5

Co-financing leverage                                                   0-15

Total Score                                                            0-100




                                                                                 22
Call for EoI indicative timetable



EIB
                                                        UDF
      Call for expressions of interest
                                                     candidates
                April 2011




                                                      Evaluation of the offers:
                                    Offers
                                                      -exclusion criteria
                             (incl. business plan)    -selection criteria
                                  May 2011            -award criteria

                                                          May / June 2011


                                                           Presentation of the successful
                                                                 bidders to the IB



                                                                                                        Signature of the
                                                                                                          Operational
                                                                            UDF selection – June 2011     Agreement
                                                                                                           July 2011




                                                                                                                           23
Next steps
   For cities
        Discuss the main aspects of the project with Managing Authority (interactive process…)
        Prepare / elaborate the project (in cooperation with private investors) in order to ensure recyclability
        Ensure that these projects constitute a part of an Integrated Plan for Sustainable Urban
         Development. According to the Funding Agreement, each JESSICA project shall be in compliance
         with the relevant Urban Master plans/detailed spatial plans and the Municipal Development Plans,
         which are considered as Integrated Urban Development Plans according to Article 43, 1(b) of
         Regulation 1828/2006
        Initiate immediately project preparation procedures
   For candidate UDFs
        Familiarize themselves with the Operational Programme
        Create a project portfolio which will constitute a basic part of the business plan which will be
         submitted in the context of the tendering procedure
        Discuss with municipalities/cities their Integrated Plans for Sustainable Urban Development and the
         potential to incorporate revenue generating projects
   For project promoters
        Familiarize themselves with the requirements of the OP
        Prepare properly the revenue generating projects
           -   Feasibility study / project business plan
        Discuss with municipalities/cities the potential to incorporate their project into Integrated Plans for
         Sustainable Urban Development
        Initiate immediately project preparation procedures

                                                                                                                    24
Thank you for your attention

              JESSICA and Investment Funds
                European Investment Bank
           100 Bvd Konrad Adenauer, L-2950 Luxembourg
                       www.eib.org/jessica



Gianni Carbonaro, Economic Advisor, g.carbonaro@eib.org
Elias Papageorgiou, Holding Fund Officer, papage@eib.org



                                                           25

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jessica stara zagora

  • 1. The Role of the JESSICA Holding Fund in Bulgaria Implementation of the JESSICA Initiative in Bulgaria JESSICA and Investment Funds European Investment Bank Stara Zagora, 7 April 2011 1
  • 2. What is JESSICA? JESSICA: Joint European Support for Sustainable Investment in City Areas MISSION: To assist European cities in defining long-term, sustainable and viable patterns of development through investment activity financed with the utilization of “revolving” financial instruments.  Initiative of the European Commission (DG REGIO) launched beginning of 2006, supported by EIB & CEB, to establish a common approach for financing urban development and strengthening the urban dimension in cohesion policy through the “transformation of grants” in repayable/recyclable assistance  Applying “financial engineering” techniques to EU Structural Funds  More efficient and effective utilisation of Structural Funds through tailor made “non-grant financial instruments” and mobilising additional financial resources  Financial and managerial expert support of international financial institutions (EIB, CEB) 2
  • 3. JESSICA implementation model European Commission Level EU National /or ERDF – DG Regio € regional Managing Authority Level Holding Fund (« HF ») HF Manager € € € Regional /Local National/regional € /Local Level Urban Development Funds € € € € Projects Level Sustainable Urban Development Plan 3
  • 4. UDFs as "impact funds" for urban transformation The terms “impact funds” or “impact investors” refer to investors and investment vehicles that have an interest, in addition to achieving remuneration to their investment, in achieving measurable “impacts” (in our definition “sustainable ERR target”) on policy-defined, non-financial objectives, constituting a key dimension in the investment vehicle performance assessment. Urban Development Fund (UDF) as an urban impact fund:  a specific policy tool within the wider financial engineering concept in the programming period 2007-2013  to promote, by employing Structural Funds in close cooperation with DG-REGIO, the development of a system of financial engineering instruments (so-called Urban Development Funds) for urban development  policy-driven, geographically-focused and planning-led investment vehicle supporting the sustainable transformation processes of city areas  impact investing to be seen as a new asset class requiring specific investment skills, organisational structures, metrics and benchmarks. 4
  • 5. Which types of UDFs?  Urban regeneration funds  Energy-focused funds (mainly area-based) (regional or city-based)  “Place making” locations / incubators /  EE / RE and energy / emission audit creative class attractors /certification systems  Brownfield locations, mostly in inner  Climate action strategies (EU 20/20/20 city areas targets in urban areas)  Deprived city districts, urban sprawl  Regional upgrade of green technology and voids transmission systems  City infrastructure transformation funds (for city systems)  Addressing infra / urban imbalances from changes in city hierarchy  Focusing on the provision of capital in less competitive areas  Focusing on transformation of strategic urban infrastructure  IT broadband, waste to energy, water, electric public transport, etc. 5
  • 6. State of play of existing JESSICA mandates EIB Holding Fund mandate Implementation progress Volume (EUR Managing Authority HF FA 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 m) HF - Wielkopolska (PL) 67 II/09 HF - Andalucía (ES) 86 II/09 HF - Lithuania (LT) 227 II/09 HF - Portugal (PT) 130 III/09 Key implementation stages: HF - WestPomerania (PL) 33 III/09 HF - London (UK) 110 IV/09 Pre-negotiation Stage/ HF 0 Agreement to be signed in 2010 HF - NorthWest England (UK) 110 IV/09 HF Agreement signed/ Investment HF - Sicily (IT) 148 IV/09 1 strategy/ Investment board HF - Moravia Silesia (CZ) 20 I/10 Call(s) for Expression of Interest 2 HF - Campania (IT) 100 I/10 in preparation HF - Scotland (UK) 55 II/10 Call(s) for Expression of Interest 3 launched HF - Greece (GR) 258 III/10 Call(s) for Expression of Interest HF - Silesia (PL) 60 III/10 4 closed HF - Pomerania (PL) 57 III/10 5 UDF(s) selected HF - Bulgaria (BG) 33 III/10 Operational agreements in place 6 Total signed 2010 1,494 (HF/ UDF) HF - Energy Efficiency (ES) 142 II/11 HF - Galicia (ES) 15 II/11 HF - Sardenia (IT) 60 II/11 HF - Masovia (PL) 40 II/11 Stage Achieved HF - Abruzzo (IT) 25 III/11 Legend Implementation of the stage imminent HF - Czech National Fund (CZ) 40 III/11 Signature expected in coming months HF - Hungary (HU) 50 III/11 HF - Slovakia (SK) 20 III/11 HF - North East (CZ) 20 IV/11 Total expected 2011 412 Total 2010 + 2011 1,906 6
  • 7. State of play of existing JESSICA mandates  62 Evaluation Studies (national, regional, sectoral)  18 Memoranda of Understanding on cooperation in JESSICA implementation  By the end of 2010, EUR 1.65 billion of Structural Funds has already been legally committed to 19 JESSICA HF / UDF vehicles in 11 Member States (and nearly 50 NUTs-2 regions):  15 Holding Fund agreements signed by EIB (EUR 1.49bn)  1 Holding Fund set up with a national financial institution (Estonia)  3 Urban Development Funds established without Holding Fund (Brandenburg/DE, East Midlands/UK and Wales/UK)  7 fund structures out of 19 have an energy component, committed to invest amounts of up to EUR 784m in energy efficiency and renewable energy infrastructure  UDF selection and disbursements to final recipients take place in all JESSICA countries 7
  • 8. Global challenges in urban transformation 1. EU & globalization => “single market for cities” (1200 – 2000 functional urban areas compete for scarce resources: Human capital, Economic activity, Budgetary transfers, etc.) 2. MS and regions face difficult challenges in ensuring the transformation of the urban systems due to both market and institutional factors 3. New modes of interaction with the private sector to achieve public goals 4. National budget discipline ( pressure on sovereign and municipal debt levels; limits on transfers from national to local level; lower expenditure capacity of cities for investment without taking on additional debt 5. De-leveraging of banking activity (financial markets offer less co-financing for investment activity) 6. Highly volatile real estate economic cycle (from overinvestment & over-aluation to under-investment and under valuation ) 7. Impact on viability of private investments (PPPs) in urban infrastructure and urban development 8. Reduced collateral value of land and buildings in non-core areas 9. Institutional investors reshuffling their sovereign and sub-sovereign portfolios 10. End of baby-boomers’ era => from asset accumulation to management of existing property and infrastructure 8
  • 9. The Central EU demographic scenario Births & Deaths in Bulgaria Livebirths in Germany and Central-Eastern Europe, 1970-2007 140,000 1100000 120,000 1980 DE 100,000 1000000 PL + Baltics 1989 80,000 CZ + SK + HU Births Deaths RO + BG 60,000 900000 40,000 2005 20,000 800000 0 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 700000 -21% Population in Bulgaria 9,000,000 600000 8,000,000 7,000,000 500000 -47% 6,000,000 5,000,000 4,000,000 400000 3,000,000 2,000,000 300000 -45% 1,000,000 0 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060 200000 -36% According to Eurostat, Bulgaria is expected to illustrate the sharpest 70 73 76 79 82 85 88 91 94 97 00 03 06 decline among EU Member States between 2008-2060: 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 20 20 20 2008-2035: -14.5% 2008-2060: -28.2% 9
  • 10. Functional urban areas and metropolitan areas Integrated urban investment strategy for highly dense functional areas Holistic Approach Urban wealth (Natural, Fixed, Human, Economic) Jobs & economic activity Financials / Fiscal Population density in Bulgaria Sustainability Capital & enterprise transfers Human capital ageing / migration Asset value creation processes … focus on the functional urban area (Urban Labour Market Areas, ULMAs) and the role of European Metropolitan areas over the next 20 years Development of Sofia area, Bulgaria 10
  • 11. Ageing impacts on city infrastructure functionality and public finance Retirement Dependency Ratio (65%+ / 15-64) 11 11
  • 12. Raising “financial resources” for cities What drove growth in 1970-2010? What will happen to these (largely financial) drivers in 2010-2030? City Operating cash flows, Geography matters: Technological progress, Banking leverage Foreign Direct Investment  Transform your city areas into growth Efficiency/Reprocessing poles 2030 (?)  Focus on latent capital 2010  Keep your cities “slow”/ “low cost” (maintenance, obsolescence)  Think new ways to finance inner city areas, housing stock refurbishment Public debt 1970 Pension rights  Attraction from external sources is crucial (investment, capital…)  For all this, combine various sources 2010 of leverage 2030 (?) – Regions: SF Increasing value of – Cities: land & buildings land rent and Inflation – Banks: financial resources buildings – Private: additional resources Urban sprawl 12
  • 13. Global challenges: Conclusions A macroeconomic conclusion for urban policy: • For 30 years, (urban) expansion took place naturally, because of market forces and demographic (baby boom) factors • Cities initially built on revenue generation, later expanded via debt/consumption • In the next 30 years (ageing process), the process of urban transformation must be guided in a completely different way as compared to the past • What will additional debt be used for? Not for debt-addict structures • The core element is to have efficient, productive, attractive and livable cities characterized by low maintenance/management costs and low “break-even point” on fixed assets • Competitive cities in a shrinking/restructuring environment • Can be achieved by rationalization, reprocessing, restructuring and optimization at the urban level with a focus on sustainability Cities need clear objectives, strategic planning, a roadmap, governance, technical data and systems to tackle market distortions/ long-term risks - managed through strategic impact investors. 13
  • 14. Implementation of the JESSICA Initiative in Bulgaria
  • 15. Current status of JESSICA in Bulgaria  Completed pre-implementation phase  Funding Agreement between the EIB and the Government of the Republic of Bulgaria signed on 29 July 2010  JESSICA Holding Fund for Bulgaria organised as a separate block of finance within EIB established  UDFs selection procedure launched (call for the EoI) 15
  • 16. The role of the EIB at the current stage in Bulgaria  Operating the JESSICA Holding Fund for Bulgaria on the basis of Regulations specifically providing for EIB involvement and in line with the Funding Agreement:  Launching and managing of one or more calls for EoI to identify and select one or more UDFs for submission for approval to the Investment Board  Negotiating of the Operational Agreements with UDFs  Monitoring and controlling of the UDFs operations in accordance with the terms and conditions of the applicable Operational Agreement 16
  • 17. Flow of funds within JESSICA in Bulgaria Directorate General “Programming of Regional Development” in the Ministry of Regional Development and Public Works Contribution from OP (2010) JESSICA HF for Bulgaria (managed by the EIB) Investment into UDF (2011) EUR ca. 31.3 m Urban Development Funds (UDFs) selected through the Call for EoI Loans, equity or guarantees Resources repaid from for projects projects to UDF (2011-2015) (2015  ) Urban projects conform to the criteria of the Investment Strategy and are compliant with eligibility and state aid rules 17
  • 18. Call for EoI – Structural Elements (1/2)  2 Lots Amount to be invested - EUR ca. 31.3 m - divided into two lots:  Lot 1: EUR ca.12.5 m earmarked for investments in Urban Projects in Sofia  Lot 2: EUR 18.8 m earmarked for investments in Urban Projects in the six major cities of Bulgaria (Plovdiv, Stara Zagora, Burgas, Varna, Ruse and Pleven)  Structure of the Call for EoI  Annex 1 – General Information about the Applicant  Annex 2 – Declarations to be made by the Applicant  Entry in trade register, representative, representations on not being subject to insolvency proceedings, conflict of interest as well as on compliance with public law obligations (tax, social security)  Statement of relevant experience (execution of different types of Urban Projects and different roles held by the applicant in the project)  Supporting documents 18
  • 19. Call for EoI – Structural Elements (2/2)  Annex 3 – Terms of Reference  Background of JESSICA and its operational characteristics  Amount allocated to the Call for EoI  Selection procedure and criteria (exclusion and selection criteria)  Business Plan template  Characteristics of potential Urban Projects  Financial model  Conditions for the financial products  Management fee  Award criteria (Appendix A)  Selected Terms of the Operational Agreement (Appendix B)  Instructions on Financial Forecasts and Operational Budget of the UDFs, incl. financial statements template (Appendix C)  Instruction on Economic Analysis of Urban Projects (Appendix D)  Definitions and Abbreviations (Appendix E) 19
  • 20. EoIs Evaluation Principles  Exclusion criteria  Being in bankruptcy or analogous situation  Proof of professional misconduct  Non-fulfilment of social security and tax payment obligations  Criminal conviction  Proof of misrepresentation  Selection criteria  Proper submission of the relevant documentation and supporting material, according to the specifications of the Call for EoI  Possession of adequate experience  Completion of declarations (Annex 2) to the satisfaction of EIB  Minimum co-financing 20
  • 21. Detailed Business Plan 1. Investment Policy 2. Financial forecasts and operational budget of the UDF 3. Portfolio of potential Urban Projects 4. Methodology for the identification and evaluation of Urban Projects 5. The policy of the UDF concerning exit from Urban Projects 6. Legal and ownership structure of the UDF 7. The by-laws of the UDF 8. Governance structure and key experts 9. Annual management fee 10. Interest rate on Available Funds 11. Co-financing – leverage 12. Winding-up provisions of the UDF 21
  • 22. Offers Evaluation Principles – Award Criteria Maximum Criterion scoring Investment Policy 0-15 Financial forecasts and operational budget of the UDF 0-10 Projects portfolio 0-10 Methodology for the identification and evaluation of urban projects 0-10 Governance structure 0-20 Key experts 0-5 Annual management fee 0-10 Interest rate 0-5 Co-financing leverage 0-15 Total Score 0-100 22
  • 23. Call for EoI indicative timetable EIB UDF Call for expressions of interest candidates April 2011 Evaluation of the offers: Offers -exclusion criteria (incl. business plan) -selection criteria May 2011 -award criteria May / June 2011 Presentation of the successful bidders to the IB Signature of the Operational UDF selection – June 2011 Agreement July 2011 23
  • 24. Next steps  For cities  Discuss the main aspects of the project with Managing Authority (interactive process…)  Prepare / elaborate the project (in cooperation with private investors) in order to ensure recyclability  Ensure that these projects constitute a part of an Integrated Plan for Sustainable Urban Development. According to the Funding Agreement, each JESSICA project shall be in compliance with the relevant Urban Master plans/detailed spatial plans and the Municipal Development Plans, which are considered as Integrated Urban Development Plans according to Article 43, 1(b) of Regulation 1828/2006  Initiate immediately project preparation procedures  For candidate UDFs  Familiarize themselves with the Operational Programme  Create a project portfolio which will constitute a basic part of the business plan which will be submitted in the context of the tendering procedure  Discuss with municipalities/cities their Integrated Plans for Sustainable Urban Development and the potential to incorporate revenue generating projects  For project promoters  Familiarize themselves with the requirements of the OP  Prepare properly the revenue generating projects - Feasibility study / project business plan  Discuss with municipalities/cities the potential to incorporate their project into Integrated Plans for Sustainable Urban Development  Initiate immediately project preparation procedures 24
  • 25. Thank you for your attention JESSICA and Investment Funds European Investment Bank 100 Bvd Konrad Adenauer, L-2950 Luxembourg www.eib.org/jessica Gianni Carbonaro, Economic Advisor, g.carbonaro@eib.org Elias Papageorgiou, Holding Fund Officer, papage@eib.org 25