Transformations linked to disruptive events are causing a shift in Future-oriented Technology Analysis (FTA) activities from individual large-scale foresight actions to smaller in-house exercises and capacity-building. The reasons are manifold relating to the need for an even tighter embedding of FTA in policy-making in a fast-changing, complex environment as well as to internal drivers for novel forms of future intelligence to support coordinated and coherent decisions within and across organisations. The paper identifies three ideal types; external FTA services, the institutionalisation of FTA, and FTA networks, whilst recognising that in practice these types are complementary. In empirical terms this requires further investigation, in order to understand how different combinations of activities in effect operate in their respective decision-making context. It is important to improve our understanding of how far institutionalised FTA can form part of the solution for building capacity to handle disruptions. Many sorts of combinations of elements from different organisational models are needed to enable learning, experimentation and capability development appropriate for the wider decision making context in which FTA is embedded. This paper explores the extent to which FTA can provide enhanced support to decision-making through customised organisational models and corresponding capability thus enabling them to anticipate and address disruptive change and associated challenges.

1. The 4th International Seville Conference on Future-Oriented Technology Analysis (FTA) 12 & 13 May 2011 Building FTA capacities for systemic and structural transformations: New FTA systems For anticipatory action in a fast-changing world Matthias Weber 1 , Jennifer Cassingena Harper 2 , Totti Könnölä 3 , Vicente Carabias Barceló 4 1 AIT Austrian Institute of Technology, Austria; 2 Malta Council for Science and Technology, Malta; 3 Impetu Solutions, Spain 4 Institute for Prospective Technological Studies (JRC-IPTS), Spain;

3. FTA capacities for systemic and structural transformations Guiding Questions What areas and types of transformations will we need to be prepared to handle? And what kinds of requirements for FTA result from these? What kinds of models for FTA systems do exist? How can they be systematized in conceptual terms? What kinds of models do work in practice? Which ones are suitable to meet which requirements? What are the experiences? What do these findings suggest with regard to the future direction to take for organising FTA?

7. Types of Transformation

9. FTA systems and modes of governance

10. Modes of Governance