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Ma Foi Randstad
2010   Employment Trends Survey
Section A :   Indian Economy – Riding on A Positive Note

Section B :   Data and Methodology

Section C :   Expected Employment Generation

              ? Financial Services and Insurance (BFSI)
              Banking,
              Information Technology & Information Technology Enabled Services (IT & ITES)
              ?
              Pharma
              ?
              Healthcare
              ?
              Trade including Consumer, Retail and Services
              ?
              Energy
              ?
              Transport, Storage and Communication
              ?
              Real Estate and Construction
              ?
              Hospitality
              ?
              ? and Entertainment
              Media
              Manufacturing of Non-Machinery Products
              ?
              Manufacturing of Machineries and Equipmants
              ?
              Education, Training and Consulting
              ?

              City-wise Employment Outlook

Section D :   Summary and Conclusion

Appendix

? in Salary across Sectors
Increase
? in Salary across Sectors and Size of the Companies
Increase
? total Employment
City wise
? increase in Employment
City wise
? Increase in Salary across Cities
Expected
Proportion of Fresher/Experienced across Sectors
?
Proportion of Fresher/Experienced across Cities
?
Proportion of Fresher/Experienced across Sectors and Ownership
?
Percentage of Work Outsourced Across Sectors
?



The Ma Foi Randstad Employment Survey (MEtS) is a study on Indian employment trends and opportunities conducted by Ma Foi Randstad.
Started in November 2004, till 2008, MEtS was conducted once in a year. Considering the fact that we are witnessing significant shifts in
employment trends within a year’s time, the employment survey will now be conducted every quarter. This will enable capturing changes in
employment scenario in India from one quarter to another. The prime objective of this employment survey is to understand the employment
trends in the organized sector on a quarterly basis. The present survey captures the employment situation in the organized sector for the quarter
January to March 2010 and the likely scenario for the next quarter, i.e., April to June 2010. The study is based on the sample survey conducted
for about 650 companies across different sectors of the economy. The feedback was gathered from the top HR personnel or top management
of the companies who could share the current and the likely scenario regarding employment related issues. The major parameter captured in
the survey is change in hiring pattern or employee numbers.

The report is divided in four sections. The first section (Section A) provides the background as well as an overall view of the Indian Economy.
This is followed by Section B, which discusses about the data and methodological aspects of the study. Section C presents a picture of the
changing pattern of the employment for different sectors of the economy. This section also provides a snapshot of how the scenario is changing
in selected cities. The final section (Section D) concludes the study highlighting key issues.
India economy
on a positive note
The first quarter of the year 2010 was characterised with        The infrastructure sector has been given prominence in the
several policy actions having considerable immediate as          budget speech. Fiscal deficit to GDP ratio has been
well as longer term implications to Indian economy.              budgeted at 5.5 per cent for 2010-11, lower than the
                                                                 revised estimate of 6.7 per cent for 2009-10. On the
The Union Budgets for 2010-11 were presented in                  positive note, there has been significant progress in the
February. The Right to Education Act, Women’s                    much delayed G3 spectrum auction that will catalyse the
Reservation Bill, the Food Security Bill were the focus of       telecom sector significantly.
discussions at the social front, which will have immense
impact on Indian population. Submission of report by the         The latest available official GDP estimates for agriculture
Thirteenth Finance Commission was another notable                indicated a marginal decline of 0.2 per cent over the
incidence.                                                       previous year. However, the second advanced estimate of
                                                                 the Ministry of Agriculture in February 2010 suggested a
Economic policy reforms were also in the agenda of the           sharp decline of 7.5 per cent for the same period.
government. Policies such as permission for entry of new         However, prices of many commodities have come down,
private sector banks, steps to rationalize fertilizer subsidy,   though marginally, and also expected to maintain a further
consolidate FDI policy and reforms in fuel pricing policies      downward movement. If the monsoon turns out to be
were amongst the important ones.                                 normal this year across regions, agriculture sector should
                                                                 witness significantly higher growth in the coming months
Amongst a few unsettling issues in form of violence in the       of the year.
Naxal affected areas, disruption of economic activities in
support and opposition to the new state of Telengana, the        The industrial sector has shown high growth rates during
common economic agendas were not pushed to the back              the last quarter of 2009-10. The average year on year
bench. The monetary policy for 2010-11 announced on              growth rate in Index of Industrial Production (IIP) is
April 20, 2010 raised the rates – repo and reverse repo –        expected to exceed 10 per cent. Mining and electricity
by 25 basis points. The Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) was also        sectors have grown at significantly higher rates. In
increased by 25 basis points. Exit from the accommodative        manufacturing sector, intermediaries, capital goods and
monetary policy stance to address inflationary tendencies        consumer durables have experienced output growth of
was articulated in the Third Quarter Review of Monetary          more than 10 per cent. However, the consumer non-
Policy by the RBI in January 2010. The shift in priority to      durables have been weak within the manufacturing
controlling inflation was evident.                               segment since these are strongly influenced by the agro-
                                                                 based industries and export markets.
The Central Budget for 2010-11 reflected the need to
restore fiscal balance with signs that the economic crisis of    Amongst the services sectors, external sector related
2008 and 2009 has now abated. Provision of some relief           services have shown slower growth in last two consecutive
to the income tax payers by increasing the upper limit of        years. Inbound tourism to India, cargo traffic had been
income range, where marginal tax rate was 20 per cent,           affected badly due to the recession. Telecommunication
was a welcome measure. The surcharge on Indian                   was the only sector that sustained growth momentum
companies was reduced. Resource mobilization effort was          even during the economic crisis period. It is predicted that
evident in the increase in the indirect tax rates. Subsidies     the subscription numbers for telephone connections will
have been budgeted to be lower this year in absolute             continue to rise at a rate of more than 40 percent per
value than in the previous year.                                 annum.
The economy has witnessed                   IIP registered a 13.5% in March 2010 which was a
                                            ?
consistently good Index of Industrial       slight decline against 15.1% year on year growth in
                                            February
Production [IIP] growth in the previous     Infrastructure sectors show robust growth, with steel
                                            ?
months and is expected to do so in          at 9.2% and cement, coal and electricity at 7.8%
coming months also. There are mix of        growth over the previous year.
factors that had led to the recovery of     Auto sales continued to zoom up, despite price hikes,
                                            ?
the economy after the crisis.               seeing double digit growth in April
                                            20.31 million new subscribers were added on the
                                            ?
The favourable monetary and fiscal          wireless network, bringing tele-density in India to
policy stance and increased spending,       52.74% in March
especially in infrastructure projects, to   Consumer price indices fell for the second month in a
                                            ?
improve internal demand condition           row, bringing inflation down to 14.86% and 15.77%
                                            in March for CPI (Industrial Workers) and CPI
and bringing down the interest rates        (Agricultural labourers) respectively.
to ease the liquidity situation, had        ? commodities that are crucial inputs in
                                            Prices of
played pivotal role towards the             manufacturing have been rising globally has once
recovery. The second most important         again fuelled price hikes.
factor that helped the economy was          The Reserve Bank of India put in a hike of 25 basis
                                            ?
                                            points on the CRR, repo and reverse repo rates in its
low crude petroleum prices in the           April 20th policy review
international markets. The average          The overall GDP growth for 2010-11 is projected to be
                                            ?
crude price was about 20 per cent           around 8.5 per cent over previous year. The growth
lower in 2009-10 compared to 2008-          will be led by non-agricultural sectors.
                                            ? for March, however, grew over 50% to $19.9
                                            Exports
09, which helped to keep the                billion compared to the same month during last fiscal
production expenses lower. Quick            year. Exports have grown steadily for the last five
revival of capital inflows in 2009-10       months.
was another factor that helped the          Fiscal deficit could go below the budget estimates
                                            ?
capital markets to regain investors’        essentially supported by the non-agricultural economy
                                            and higher indirect tax rates.
confidence. Domestic capital issues         ? in April netted $ 2.099 billion in the equity
                                            FII flows
nearly doubled in 2009-10 as                market and $0.684 billion in debt
compared to 2008-09.
data and
                                                               The study has used both primary and secondary data to
                                                               arrive at different estimates. Secondary data from various
                                                               sources have been used. Historical data on the

methodology
                                                               manufacturing sector has been culled from various rounds
                                                               of the Annual Survey of Industries (ASI) and publications of
                                                               the Central Statistical Organization (CSO). Apart from
                                                               these sources, the other sources used for the study are
                                                               various surveys of the National Sample Survey Organization
                                                               (NSSO) Labour Statistics of India, Statistical outline of India.

                                                               The above sources have the advantage of almost universal
                                                               coverage of the organized sector within their specific
                                                               domains. However, data from most of these secondary
                                                               sources are not up-to-date. Therefore the estimation
                                                               procedure takes care of this problem through using up-to-
                                                               date figures on sectoral GDP (Gross Domestic Product) and
                                                               Index of Industrial Production (IIP).

                                                               Once estimates of base sectoral employment were
                                                               obtained, the data captured through primary survey of 650
                                                               firms across sectors and selected important cities were
                                                               used to arrive at estimates on different parameters. The
                                                               primary data has been used mostly estimate parameters for
                                                               the first and second quarter of the year 2010.




Coverage of Primary Survey

     Sl. No.   Sector                                                                     No. of companies covered

        1.     Banking Finance Services and Insurance (BFSI)                                         58
        2.     IT & ITES                                                                             79
        3.     Pharma                                                                                19
        4.     Healthcare                                                                            34
        5.     Trade including Consumer Retail Services                                              49
        6.     Energy                                                                                17
        7.     Transport, storage and communication                                                  49
        8.     Real Estate and Construction                                                          40
        9.     Hospitality                                                                           35
       10.     Media and Entertainment                                                               27
       11.     Manufacturing of Non-Machinery Products                                               100
       12.     Manufacturing of Machineries and Equipments                                            76
       13.     Education, training and consultancy                                                    60
sense of optimism
                                                                         Across almost all the sectors a sense of optimism has been
                                                                         observed. The performance of the economy during last
                                                                         year, especially, during January to March 2010, has

observed across
                                                                         provided the necessary impetus to growth for all the
                                                                         sectors. As a consequence, employment generation is on
                                                                         card for every sector, though in varying degree. A common

all sectors
                                                                         trend was observed across all the sectors. High
                                                                         performance of the economy has encouraged sector
                                                                         players to recruit new employees in 2010-11. However, the
                                                                         recruitment will be done with a more planned manner and
                                                                         will be spread across the entire year rather than aggressive
                                                                         recruitment at one point of time. The intra-sector
                                                                         movement of skilled workforce is also expected.




Expected Employment Increase in Different Sectors

                                                    Employment         Total increase in employees                  Per cent increase
                Sectors
                                                     December    Jan - March   April - June   Jan - June   Jan - March   Apr - June   Jan - June
                                                       2009         2010         2010           2010          2010         2010         2010



  BFSI                                               852,000      4,400        15,800          20,200        0.52         1.85         2.37

  IT & ITES                                         1,793,000     7,200        34,000          41,200        0.40         1.90         2.30

  Pharma                                             243,000      5,900         6,100          12,000        2.43         2.51         4.94

  Healthcare                                        3,123,000    52,752        96,248         149,000        1.69         3.08         4.77

  Trade including CRS                                630,800      2,600         5,000           7,600        0.41         0.79         1.20

  Energy                                             874,000      4,200         5,900          10,100        0.48         0.68         1.2

  Transport, Storage and Communication              2,638,000     7,100         8,800          15,900        0.27         0.33         0.6

  Real Estate and Construction                       730,000      9,012        52,115          61,127        1.23         7.14         8.37

  Hospitality                                       5,951,000    21,500        49,000          70,500        0.36         0.82         1.18

  Media and entertainment                           1,272,000    10,300        28,700          39,000        0.81         2.26         3.07

  Non-machinery Manufacturing                       4,424,000     9,300        17,300          26,600        0.21         0.39         0.60

  Mfg. of machineries and equipments                1,106,000     3,100         5,300           8,400        0.28         0.48         0.76

  Education, Training and Consultancy               9,715,000    16,200        23,200          39,400        0.17         0.24         0.41
Ma Foi Randstad Employment Trends Survey
                                           Employment in Dec. 2009              852,000
banking, financial                         Estimated Employment in March 2010   856,400
                                           Estimated Employment in June 2010    872,200
services and insurance
Estimated increase in employment

“stimulus provided in the                                                                            45000

union budget, release of                                                                             40000


licences to NBFCs and                                                                                35000

                                                                                                     30000
private players has created                                                                          25000
a significant positive impact.”                                                                      20000                                      1.85%


                                                                                                     15000

                                                                                                     10000                  0.52%

                                                                                                      5000

                                                                                                             0               4400               15800

                                                                                                                           Jan - Mar         April - June
                                                                                                                             2010              2010



                                                                                                  It is expected that by June 2010 the BFSI sector
                                                                                                  will register an increase in employment to the
                                                                                                  tune of 20,200.
                                                                                                  The positive developments in economic front and the stimulus provided
                                                                                                  ?
                                                                                                  in the union budget had raised the sentiment of the sector significantly.
                                                                                                  The industry is expecting the positive sentiment to continue. This is
                                                                                                  reflected in substantial rise in employment during the quarter April-June
                                                                                                  2010.
                                                                                                  ? the recruitment is estimated higher during the second quarter of
                                                                                                  Though
                                                                                                  the year, companies are cautious from the past experiences and the
                                                                                                  recruitment will not be aggressive. Most of the players would like to
                                                                                                  spread the addition in existing employment at different phases during
                                                                                                  the year.
                                                                                                  Re-capitalisation of PSU banks and release of licenses to NBFCs and
                                                                                                  ?
                                                                                                  private players has a significant positive impact.
                                                                                                  New entries and collaborations of large foreign players in insurance
                                                                                                  ?
                                                                                                  market have also acted as a strong positive factor.
                                                                                                  It is expected that steps by the policy makers for a superior industry
                                                                                                  ?
                                                                                                  structure for banking in a phased manner through “managed
                                                                                                  consolidation” as well as by enabling greater capital availability will drive
                                                                                                  for a higher growth as well as boost employment generation in the
                                                                                                  sector.
                                                                                                  Insurance companies are witnessing increasing demand for project
                                                                                                  ?
                                                                                                  insurance apart from other already existing insurance components.
                                                                                                  Corporates are going for project insurance across sectors with the cover
                                                                                                  beginning right from the start of the project till it is declared ready for
                                                                                                  commercial use. Some of the big projects also take cover for financial
                                                                                                  loss arising out of delay in completion. This can act as a big booster for
                                                                                                  the insurance sector to grow further and create employment
                                                                                                  opportunity.




Estimates of Sector-wise Employment                                                                                                                                       in ‘000



                 2001            2002             2003            2004            2005             2006          2007       2008         2009               June 2010
                 1160            1133             1129            1023             985              943          906         912          852                 872
Source: MEtS 2008 and current estimates. Estimates are arrived at using NSSO, ASI, CSO and other databases
Ma Foi Randstad Employment Trends Survey
                                           Employment in Dec. 2009              1,793,000
information technology                     Estimated Employment in March 2010   1,800,200
                                           Estimated Employment in June 2010    1,834,200
and IT enabled services
Estimated increase in employment

“the sector is expected to grow                                                                      45000

at around 15.5 per cent in 2010,                                                                     40000                                           1.9%


on the back of growing investor                                                                      35000

                                                                                                     30000
confidence and favourable                                                                            25000
initiatives taken by the                                                                             20000

government.”                                                                                         15000                     0.4%

                                                                                                     10000

                                                                                                      5000

                                                                                                             0                  7200                34000

                                                                                                                              Jan - Mar           April - June
                                                                                                                                2010                2010



                                                                                                  It is expected that by June 2010 the IT & ITES
                                                                                                  sector will register an increase in employment to
                                                                                                  the tune of 41,200.
                                                                                                  Continued demand from international markets for both IT and ITES
                                                                                                  ?
                                                                                                       sector is playing a critical role in hiring process.
                                                                                                  ? from domestic sector is also playing its role to boost to the
                                                                                                  Demand
                                                                                                  sector
                                                                                                  ? project will also have a positive impact on hiring pattern
                                                                                                  The UID
                                                                                                  ? in Minimum Alternative Tax [MAT] from 15% to 18% is likely to
                                                                                                  Increase
                                                                                                  affect the industry adversely
                                                                                                  No announcement on the tax rebate in the budget declaration is another
                                                                                                  ?
                                                                                                  dampening factor that will affect aggressive employment generation in IT
                                                                                                  & ITES sector.
                                                                                                  However, it is expected that the Indian information technology (IT)
                                                                                                  ?
                                                                                                  market is expected to grow at around 15.5 per cent in 2010, on the back
                                                                                                  of growing investor confidence and favourable initiatives taken by the
                                                                                                  government, which will act in renewing the positive sentiment.
                                                                                                  ? big outsourcing deals obtained by some large players of the sector
                                                                                                  A few
                                                                                                  are also playing the role of confidence booster for the sector.




Estimates of Sector-wise Employment                                                                                                                                          in ‘000



                 2001            2002             2003            2004            2005             2006          2007          2008           2009               June 2010
                    -             522              670             821            1045             1343          1798          1888           1793                 1834
Source: MEtS 2008 and current estimates. Estimates are arrived at using NSSO, ASI, CSO and other databases
Ma Foi Randstad Employment Trends Survey   Employment in Dec. 2009              243,000
                                           Estimated Employment in March 2010   248,900
pharmaceuticals                            Estimated Employment in June 2010    255,000
Estimated increase in employment

“rise in purchasing power and       45000

increased penetration of health     40000


insurance is expected to drive      35000

                                    30000
growth.”                            25000

                                    20000

                                    15000
                                                                             2.51%
                                    10000                  2.43%


                                     5000

                                        0                  5900               6100

                                                         Jan - Mar         April - June
                                                           2010              2010



                                  It is expected that by June 2010 the Pharma sector
                                  will register an increase in employment to the
                                  tune of 12,000.
                                  ? one of the fastest growing manufacturing sectors which is likely to
                                  This is
                                      experience almost the same level of increase in new employment
                                      creation in the sector during both quarters.
                                  The Indian Pharma sector, including domestic, generic exports and
                                  ?
                                  CRAMs (Contract Research and Manufacturing Services), continues to
                                  grow at about 13 per cent dwarfing the global average of five-six
                                  percent.
                                  The formulations industry is expected to prosper parallel to the
                                  ?
                                  pharmaceutical industry. It is expected that the domestic formulations
                                  market in India will grow at an annual rate of around 17 per cent in
                                  2010, owing to increasing middle class population and rapid
                                  urbanization.
                                  An improved productivity trend has also prevented margin pressures on
                                  ?
                                  the companies allowing them to expand further.
                                  ? purchasing power and increasing penetration of health insurance
                                  Rising
                                  will support strong growth in business over the coming months. This
                                  growth is expected to be driven by every user segment - metros, tier-II
                                  cities, rural markets, hospitals etc.
Ma Foi Randstad Employment Trends Survey   Employment in Dec. 2009              3,123,000
                                           Estimated Employment in March 2010   3,175,752
healthcare                                 Estimated Employment in June 2010    3,272,000
Estimated increase in employment

“opening up of new private                                                                         180000

hospitals and super-speciality                                                                     160000


hospitals combined with the                                                                        140000

                                                                                                   120000                                       3.09%

expansion of existing health                                                                       100000
facilities will play a significant role                                                              80000                   1.69%

in the growth of the sector and                                                                      60000

new job generation.”                                                                                 40000

                                                                                                     20000

                                                                                                             0               52750              96250

                                                                                                                            Jan - Mar         April - June
                                                                                                                              2010              2010



                                                                                                  It is expected that by June 2010 the Healthcare
                                                                                                  sector will register an increase in employment to
                                                                                                  the tune of 161,000.
                                                                                                  The healthcare industry in the country, which comprises hospital and
                                                                                                  ?
                                                                                                       allied sectors, is projected to grow 23 per cent per annum.
                                                                                                  Expected to grow fast and to contribute significantly large employment
                                                                                                  ?
                                                                                                  to the economy.
                                                                                                  The recovery from economic crisis has further strengthened the
                                                                                                  ?
                                                                                                  momentum of the sector.
                                                                                                  ? sector boom in healthcare sector continues as seen previously.
                                                                                                  Private
                                                                                                  ? up of new private hospitals and super-speciality hospitals along
                                                                                                  Opening
                                                                                                  with expansion of the earlier existing facilities, create huge opportunity
                                                                                                  for generating new employment
                                                                                                  ? new players into health insurance market is also another factor
                                                                                                  Entry of
                                                                                                  that boosts the likeliness of generating new employment in the sector
                                                                                                  ? data released by the Department of Industrial Policy and
                                                                                                  As per
                                                                                                  Promotion (DIPP), hospitals and diagnostic centres have received FDI
                                                                                                  worth US$ 761.18 million during January to April 2010. This will further
                                                                                                  boost the growth of the sector.
                                                                                                  Announcements by the big players also boosted the sentiments
                                                                                                  ?
                                                                                                  substantially. For Example, Fortis Hospitals is planning to invest
                                                                                                  US$ 53.7 million, to expand its facilities pan-India, Asia's leading hospital
                                                                                                  chain Columbia Asia Group, which already has six hospitals in the
                                                                                                  country, plans to open eight more multi-speciality community hospitals
                                                                                                  with a total capacity of 800 beds by mid-2012.
                                                                                                  ? tourism in India has emerged as the fastest growing segment
                                                                                                  Medical
                                                                                                  despite the global economic downturn. High cost of treatments in the
                                                                                                  developed countries, particularly the USA and UK, has been forcing
                                                                                                  patients from such regions to look for alternative and cost-effective
                                                                                                  destinations like India to get their treatments done. The Indian medical
                                                                                                  tourism industry is presently at a nascent stage, but has an enormous
                                                                                                  potential for future growth and development including being one of the
                                                                                                  significant contributor to employment generation.

Estimates of Sector-wise Employment                                                                                                                                       in ‘000



                 2001            2002             2003            2004            2005             2006          2007        2008         2009               June 2010
                 2543            2639             2739            2843            2951             3063          3309        3511         3123                 3272
Source: MEtS 2008 and current estimates. Estimates are arrived at using NSSO, ASI, CSO and other databases
Ma Foi Randstad Employment Trends Survey
trade including                            Employment in Dec. 2009              630,800
                                           Estimated Employment in March 2010   633,400
consumer, retail                           Estimated Employment in June 2010    638,400

and services
Estimated increase in employment

“the sector is expected to gain                                                                      45000

momentum during the later part                                                                       40000

                                                                                                     35000
of the year and this will result in                                                                  30000
increase in the number of jobs                                                                       25000

created.”                                                                                            20000

                                                                                                     15000

                                                                                                     10000                                      0.79%

                                                                                                      5000                  0.41%

                                                                                                             0
                                                                                                                            2600                5000

                                                                                                                           Jan - Mar         April - June
                                                                                                                             2010              2010



                                                                                                  It is expected that by June 2010 the Trade sector
                                                                                                  will register an increase in employment to the
                                                                                                  tune of 7,600.
                                                                                                  The sector is yet to recover completely from the crisis mode. However,
                                                                                                  ?
                                                                                                  expectation of entry of new players as well as the boost in the economy
                                                                                                  and higher consumer spending are the encouraging factors for the sector
                                                                                                  to build momentum gradually.
                                                                                                  Growing positive sentiment has been reflected in higher expected
                                                                                                  ?
                                                                                                  recruitment during the quarter April to June 2010.
                                                                                                  Since growth in this sector is strongly correlated with growth in other
                                                                                                  ?
                                                                                                  sectors of the economy, it is expected that the sector will regain
                                                                                                  momentum during the later part of the year.
                                                                                                  The proposals in Union Budget 2010-11, such as abolition of Fringe
                                                                                                  ?
                                                                                                  Benefit Tax (FBT), hike in the personal income tax ceiling and huge
                                                                                                  increase in the outlay for infrastructure will bring indirect benefits to the
                                                                                                  sector, by raising consumer spending.
                                                                                                  No mention of either Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) or industry status
                                                                                                  ?
                                                                                                  for retail in latest Union Budget, despite the recommendation by the
                                                                                                  Economic Survey to allow FDI in multi-format retail, was a
                                                                                                  disappointment for the sector.
                                                                                                  However, as per a study conducted by the Indian Council for Research on
                                                                                                  ?
                                                                                                  International Economic Relations (ICRIER), the retail sector is expected to
                                                                                                  contribute to 22 per cent of India's GDP by 2010.
                                                                                                  ? penetrate into Tier II and Tier III cities of India by several players
                                                                                                  Plans to
                                                                                                  will also act as an instrument for employment generation by the sector in
                                                                                                  the coming months.




Estimates of Sector-wise Employment                                                                                                                                      in ‘000



                 2001            2002             2003            2004            2005             2006          2007       2008         2009               June 2010
                  502             492              542             563             589              616          651         661          630                 638
Source: MEtS 2008 and current estimates. Estimates are arrived at using NSSO, ASI, CSO and other databases
Ma Foi Randstad Employment Trends Survey   Employment in Dec. 2009              874,000
                                           Estimated Employment in March 2010   878,200
energy                                     Estimated Employment in June 2010    884,100
Estimated increase in employment

“various benefits announced by                                                                       45000

the government is expected to                                                                        40000


create positive growth impact.”                                                                      35000

                                                                                                     30000

                                                                                                     25000

                                                                                                     20000

                                                                                                     15000
                                                                                                                                               0.68%
                                                                                                     10000
                                                                                                                           0.48%
                                                                                                      5000

                                                                                                             0              4200               5900

                                                                                                                          Jan - Mar         April - June
                                                                                                                            2010              2010



                                                                                                  It is expected that by June 2010 the Energy sector
                                                                                                  will register an increase in employment to the
                                                                                                  tune of 10,100.
                                                                                                  ? benefits announced by the Finance Minister while presenting the
                                                                                                  Various
                                                                                                       Union budget 2010 should have colossal impact on energy sector
                                                                                                  An allocation of Rs. 5,130 crore for Rajiv Gandhi Gram Vidyut Yojana
                                                                                                  ?
                                                                                                  (RGGVY), exemption of excise duty on wind power generation and
                                                                                                  concessional customs duty on equipments required for photovoltaic and
                                                                                                  solar thermal power units will play important role for the growth of the
                                                                                                  energy sector.
                                                                                                  The government also intends to initiate guidelines to establish "Coal
                                                                                                  ?
                                                                                                  Regulatory Authority" which would assist issues such as monetary
                                                                                                  costing of coal and setting a performance benchmark.
                                                                                                  An incentive hike of 61% for the Ministry of New and Renewable Energy
                                                                                                  ?
                                                                                                  from the previous Rs.620 crore to Rs.1, 000 crore has also been
                                                                                                  announced.
                                                                                                  The budget has suggested establishing solar plants and other micro
                                                                                                  ?
                                                                                                  power plants at a price of Rs.500 crore to deal with the problem of
                                                                                                  energy shortage in the Ladakh district of Jammu and Kashmir.
                                                                                                  ? reduction in central excise tariff on LED lights, an energy-
                                                                                                  4% of
                                                                                                  proficient lighting option for home, office and street lighting and full
                                                                                                  central excise tax exemption on electric cars and automobiles that use
                                                                                                  eco-friendly energy substitutes are some positive steps by the
                                                                                                  government, which will help in the sector’s growth.




Estimates of Sector-wise Employment                                                                                                                                     in ‘000



                 2001            2002             2003            2004            2005             2006          2007      2008         2009               June 2010
                  987             965              963             951             941              930          927        938          874                 884
Source: MEtS 2008 and current estimates. Estimates are arrived at using NSSO, ASI, CSO and other databases
Ma Foi Randstad Employment Trends Survey
                                           Employment in Dec. 2009              2,638,000
transport, storage                         Estimated Employment in March 2010   2,645,100
                                           Estimated Employment in June 2010    2,653,900
and communication
Estimated increase in employment

“immense thrust from the Union                                                                       45000

Government towards the                                                                               40000

                                                                                                     35000
infrastructure development both                                                                      30000
in rural and urban belts across                                                                      25000

the country has led to significant                                                                   20000

job creation in the sector.”                                                                         15000
                                                                                                                           0.27%
                                                                                                                                              0.33%

                                                                                                     10000

                                                                                                      5000

                                                                                                             0
                                                                                                                            7100               8800

                                                                                                                          Jan - Mar         April - June
                                                                                                                            2010              2010



                                                                                                  It is expected that by June 2010 the Transport,
                                                                                                  Storage and Communication sector will register an
                                                                                                  increase in employment to the tune of 15,900.
                                                                                                  The union budget 2010-11has provided immense thrust to infrastructure
                                                                                                  ?
                                                                                                       development.
                                                                                                  Provision of Rs. 173,552 crore to plan allocation for infrastructure
                                                                                                  ?
                                                                                                  development, Rs. 48,000 crore for Bharat Nirman, an allocation of Rs.
                                                                                                  20,000 crore for India Infrastructure Finance Company Limited [IIFCL]
                                                                                                  disbursement will have a positive impact on the growth of the sector and
                                                                                                  will result into new hiring also.
                                                                                                  Allocation of Rs. 66,100 crore for rural development and announcement
                                                                                                  ?
                                                                                                  of enhanced income tax benefit on investing in infrastructure bonds will
                                                                                                  also play positive role for the sector growth.
                                                                                                  An allocation of Rs 167.52 bn provided for Railways, which is about
                                                                                                  ?
                                                                                                  Rs. 9.50 bn more than last year.
                                                                                                  ? Rail Projects for urban transport are being granted project imports
                                                                                                  Mono
                                                                                                  status.
                                                                                                  Introduction of 3G will certainly boost the communication to expand
                                                                                                  ?
                                                                                                  further.
                                                                                                  However, improving operational efficiencies as well as the fact that a
                                                                                                  ?
                                                                                                  large proportion of employment in this sector is in unorganised sector,
                                                                                                  creation of employment in organised part of this sector is not
                                                                                                  commensurate to its growth.




Estimates of Sector-wise Employment                                                                                                                                      in ‘000



                 2001            2002             2003            2004            2005             2006          2007      2008         2009               June 2010

                 3118            3085             3018            2969            2920             2870          2823      2824         2638                 2654
Source: MEtS 2008 and current estimates. Estimates are arrived at using NSSO, ASI, CSO and other databases
Ma Foi Randstad Employment Trends Survey
                                           Employment in Dec. 2009              730,000
real estate and                            Estimated Employment in March 2010   739,012
                                           Estimated Employment in June 2010    791,127
construction
Estimated increase in employment

“recovery from economic crisis                                                                       90000

and positive sentiment towards                                                                       80000

                                                                                                     70000
the sector is expected to lead to a                                                                  60000                                    7.14%

higher employment in the                                                                             50000

sector.”                                                                                             40000

                                                                                                     30000

                                                                                                     20000
                                                                                                                           1.23%
                                                                                                     10000

                                                                                                             0
                                                                                                                           9012                52100

                                                                                                                          Jan - Mar         April - June
                                                                                                                            2010              2010



                                                                                                  It is expected that by June 2010 the Real Estate
                                                                                                  and Construction sector will register an increase in
                                                                                                  employment to the tune of 61,100.
                                                                                                  Real estate sector is again expected to grow at a fast pace during 2010-
                                                                                                  ?
                                                                                                  11. Recovery from economic crisis and positive sentiment towards the
                                                                                                  sector is expected to lead to a higher employment during April to June
                                                                                                  2010.
                                                                                                  The union budget 2010-11 has provided boost to the sector for further
                                                                                                  ?
                                                                                                  growth. Interest subvention loan for houses costing upto Rs. 2 million
                                                                                                  has given the impetus to companies especially for those into affordable
                                                                                                  housing.
                                                                                                  Substantial increase in allocation in Rajiv Awas Yojana for slum dwellers,
                                                                                                  ?
                                                                                                  from Rs. 150 crore to Rs. 1270 crore, will play a positive role for the
                                                                                                  sector growth as well as employment scenario.
                                                                                                  Similarly, an increase in allocation for urban development, from Rs. 3060
                                                                                                  ?
                                                                                                  crore to Rs. 5400 crore will also boost the sector further.
                                                                                                  ? the sector will employ substantial number of new recruits, it will
                                                                                                  Though
                                                                                                  be spread across the year.
                                                                                                  ? estate sector is also likely to get a boost from Real Estate Mutual
                                                                                                  The real
                                                                                                  Funds (REMFs) and Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs).




Estimates of Sector-wise Employment                                                                                                                                    in ‘000



                 2001            2002             2003            2004            2005             2006          2007      2008        2009                June 2010
                 1183            1082              992             926             863              804          771        804         730                  791
Source: MEtS 2008 and current estimates. Estimates are arrived at using NSSO, ASI, CSO and other databases
Ma Foi Randstad Employment Trends Survey   Employment in Dec. 2009              5,951,000
                                           Estimated Employment in March 2010   5,972,500
hospitality                                Estimated Employment in June 2010    6,021,500
Estimated increase in employment

“significant growth in the                                                                           90000

economy post recession and the                                                                       80000


development in infrastructure is                                                                     70000

                                                                                                     60000
expected to have a positive
                                                                                                                                              0.82%

                                                                                                     50000
impact resulting in increase in the                                                                  40000

number of jobs created.”                                                                             30000                 0.36%

                                                                                                     20000

                                                                                                     10000

                                                                                                             0             21500              49000

                                                                                                                          Jan - Mar         April - June
                                                                                                                            2010              2010



                                                                                                  It is expected that by June 2010 the Hospitality
                                                                                                  sector will register an increase in employment to
                                                                                                  the tune of 79,500.
                                                                                                  Hospitality was one of the fastest growing sectors which was hit hard
                                                                                                  ?
                                                                                                  during the recession. But it is now gaining momentum since end 2009
                                                                                                  and is expected to grow again at a fast pace. This is also one of the
                                                                                                  sectors that generate significant employment in the economy and the
                                                                                                  survey suggests that it is expected to contribute a significant proportion
                                                                                                  of the new employment generation for the country.
                                                                                                  Announcement of Investment linked tax deduction in the Union Budget
                                                                                                  ?
                                                                                                  2010-11 has given a big boost to the hospitality sector. This will play
                                                                                                  strong positive role of sector’s growth in the coming months.
                                                                                                  ? in allocation across schemes for infrastructure as well as road
                                                                                                  Increase
                                                                                                  development will also play a positive role.
                                                                                                  ? of inbound tourists to India as well as of domestic tourists has
                                                                                                  Number
                                                                                                  increased significantly compared to the period of global economic
                                                                                                  recession. This has again helping the sector to regain confidence and to
                                                                                                  expand further.




Estimates of Sector-wise Employment                                                                                                                                     in ‘000



                 2001            2002             2003            2004            2005             2006          2007      2008         2009               June 2010
                 4764            4946             5134            5330            5533             5744          6156      6452         5951                 6022
Source: MEtS 2008 and current estimates. Estimates are arrived at using NSSO, ASI, CSO and other databases
Ma Foi Randstad Employment Trends Survey
                                           Employment in Dec. 2009              1,272,000
media and                                  Estimated Employment in March 2010   1,282,300
                                           Estimated Employment in June 2010    1,311,000
entertainment
Estimated increase in employment

“favourable demographics,             45000

recovery in GDP growth rate and       40000

                                      35000
strong long term fundamentals         30000
of the Indian economy will result
                                                                                 2.26%

                                      25000

in a growth rate of 13% (CAGR)        20000

in the next 5 years.”                 15000                  0.81%

                                      10000

                                       5000

                                           0
                                                             10300               28700

                                                            Jan - Mar          April - June
                                                              2010               2010



                                    It is expected that by June 2010 the Media and
                                    Entertainment sector will register an increase in
                                    employment to the tune of 39,000.
                                    The sector, which is dependent on advertising for almost 38% of its
                                    ?
                                        revenues, was hit last year due to shrinking advertisement budgets.
                                    ? 2010 is expected to see the sector coming out of the shackles
                                    The year
                                    of the slowdown and a substantial increase in advertisement spending.
                                    ? Premier League [IPL] as a sports property has grown from strength
                                    Indian
                                    to strength and is there to stay boosting advertising revenue growth
                                    The sector is expected to grow at a rate of 13 per cent (CAGR) for next 5
                                    ?
                                    years. This growth will be driven by the factors like favourable
                                    demographics, recovery in the GDP growth rate, strong long term
                                    fundamentals of the Indian economy, expected rise in advertising to GDP
                                    ratio and increasing media penetration.
Ma Foi Randstad Employment Trends Survey
                                           Employment in Dec. 2009              4,424,000
manufacturing                              Estimated Employment in March 2010   4,433,300
                                           Estimated Employment in June 2010    4,450,600
non-machinery products
Estimated increase in employment

“there is widespread positive                                                                        45000

sentiment across sectors due to                                                                      40000


the strong growth experienced in                                                                     35000

                                                                                                     30000
the last few months.”                                                                                25000
                                                                                                                                               0.39%
                                                                                                     20000

                                                                                                     15000
                                                                                                                            0.21%
                                                                                                     10000

                                                                                                      5000

                                                                                                             0               9300              17300

                                                                                                                           Jan - Mar         April - June
                                                                                                                             2010               2010



                                                                                                  It is expected that by June 2010 the
                                                                                                  Manufacturing [Non-Machinery Products] sector
                                                                                                  will register an increase in employment to the
                                                                                                  tune of 26,600.
                                                                                                  A positive is widespread across the sectors. This is due to strong growth
                                                                                                  ?
                                                                                                       experienced by the sectors since last few months which is expected to
                                                                                                       continue and strengthen further.
                                                                                                  ? the sectors are optimistic about hiring; however, will maintain a
                                                                                                  Most of
                                                                                                       cautious stand regarding the same.
                                                                                                  ? towards increasing productivity level to optimize the cost of
                                                                                                  Efforts
                                                                                                       production are leading towards planned recruitment as well as
                                                                                                       recruitment of manpower with specific required skills.
                                                                                                  ?players are still recovering and more cautious about new
                                                                                                  Small
                                                                                                       recruitments.




Estimates of Sector-wise Employment                                                                                                                                       in ‘000



                 2001            2002             2003            2004            2005             2006          2007       2008         2009               June 2010
                 6580            6383             6545            6459            5496             5315          5045       4934         4,671                4710
Source: MEtS 2008 and current estimates. Estimates are arrived at using NSSO, ASI, CSO and other databases
Ma Foi Randstad Employment Trends Survey
                                           Employment in Dec. 2009              1,106,000
manufacturing                              Estimated Employment in March 2010   1,109,100
                                           Estimated Employment in June 2010    1,114,400
machineries and equipments
Estimated increase in employment

“increase of sales in the                                                                            45000

automobile sector and high                                                                           40000


growth experienced across                                                                            35000

                                                                                                     30000
various segments has created an                                                                      25000
optimistic outlook.”                                                                                 20000

                                                                                                     15000

                                                                                                     10000                                     0.48%
                                                                                                                            0.28%
                                                                                                      5000

                                                                                                             0               3100               5300

                                                                                                                           Jan - Mar         April - June
                                                                                                                             2010              2010



                                                                                                  It is expected that by June 2010 the
                                                                                                  Manufacturing – Machineries and Equipments
                                                                                                  sector will register an increase in employment to
                                                                                                  the tune of 8,400.
                                                                                                  This sector is experiencing high growth in previous months, especially in
                                                                                                  ?
                                                                                                       terms of sales, which has spread optimism across the board.
                                                                                                  Significant increase in sales of automobiles and other engineering
                                                                                                  ?
                                                                                                  products are in the forefront to spread the positive sentiments across the
                                                                                                  sector.
                                                                                                  Consumer durables are expecting further upsurge in sales as well as
                                                                                                  ?
                                                                                                  production.
                                                                                                  However, the small scale sector is still cautious about expanding activities
                                                                                                  ?
                                                                                                  as well as employment base.
                                                                                                  ? a positive situation is expected towards hiring scenario for the
                                                                                                  Overall,
                                                                                                  sector.




Estimates of Sector-wise Employment                                                                                                                                      in ‘000



                 2001            2002             2003            2004            2005             2006          2007       2008         2009               June 2010
                 1296            1231             1259            1263             991              943          894         901         1106                 1114
Source: MEtS 2008 and current estimates. Estimates are arrived at using NSSO, ASI, CSO and other databases
Ma Foi Randstad Employment Trends Survey   Employment in Dec. 2009              9,715,000
                                           Estimated Employment in March 2010   9,731,200
education                                  Estimated Employment in June 2010    9,754,400
Estimated increase in employment

“government's thrust through                                                                         45000

introduction of Right to                                                                             40000


Education Act, increased plan                                                                        35000

                                                                                                     30000
allocation combined with the                                                                         25000
                                                                                                                                              0.24%


demand from the private                                                                              20000                 0.17%


educational institutes has                                                                           15000

increased the demand for                                                                             10000


manpower in the sector.”                                                                              5000

                                                                                                             0             16200              23200

                                                                                                                          Jan - Mar         April - June
                                                                                                                            2010               2010



                                                                                                  It is expected that by June 2010 the Education,
                                                                                                  Training and Consulting sector will register an
                                                                                                  increase in employment to the tune of 39,400.
                                                                                                  With 13.5 crore children in primary schools, India has the largest student
                                                                                                  ?
                                                                                                  population and it requires continuous flow of manpower (teaching as
                                                                                                  well as non-teaching) for the educational sector to cater such a large
                                                                                                  number of students in the country.
                                                                                                  ? with education sector, the recovery of the economy will boost the
                                                                                                  Along
                                                                                                  need for training, research and consultancy.
                                                                                                  An increase in plan allocation from Rs. 26,800 crore to Rs. 31,036 crore
                                                                                                  ?
                                                                                                  and grant to the states of Rs. 3,675 crore will help the sector positively.
                                                                                                  ? from the private sector educational institutes will play a major
                                                                                                  Demand
                                                                                                  role in generating new employment in the sector.




Estimates of Sector-wise Employment                                                                                                                                     in ‘000



                 2001            2002             2003            2004            2005             2006          2007       2008        2009               June 2010
                 7566            7950             8353            8777            9222             9690          10262     10383        9715                 9754
Source: MEtS 2008 and current estimates. Estimates are arrived at using NSSO, ASI, CSO and other databases
Ahmedabad
                     Substantial hiring has taken place since December 2009. The mood of the
                     companies is upbeat since most of the sectors including manufacturing as well
                     as services have experienced positive growth and are also expecting further
                     growth with the hope of renewed investment. A positive trend is expected
                     during April to June 2010.

                     Bangalore
                     Hiring has gone up compared to last year. The major driving force is IT & ITES
                     sector. However, it’s still at a quite away from the last week. It is expected that
                     during the course of the current year this will improve gradually.

                     Chennai
                     Hiring went up significantly compared to the last quarter of 2009. The prime
                     leaders were IT and manufacturing. It is expected that as the year progresses,
                     hiring scenario will also be improved significantly.

                     Delhi & NCR
                     Compared to the last quarter, hiring has gone up significantly. However, the
                     expectation of better performance by Media, BFSI, trade and other services is
                     expected to result in strong hiring intentions by the companies in the coming
                     months.
                     Hyderabad
city wise            Not much hiring activities have been reported by the companies though
employment outlook   performances of the companies from different sectors are gradually looking up.
                     However, the cautious movement about hiring might change once the sectors
                     bounce back with greater performances. Expectations for the coming months
                     are positive, though not very strong.

                     Kolkata
                     Hiring situation has improved compared to the last quarter of 2009 with
                     manufacturing and IT related sectors as frontrunners. The situation is expected
                     to become even better in the coming months with the hope that media, trade
                     and some other services will bounce back strongly.

                     Mumbai
                     Mumbai hiring situation did not show any significant difference from the last
                     quarter of 2009. A cautious approach and efforts towards optimizing the cost
                     are the major reasons behind this, although there is optimism. However, the
                     situation is expected to reverse once the companies are convinced that the
                     economy has stabilized. Increased hiring scenario is expected during the next
                     quarters of the year.
                     Pune
                     Pune shows a strong positive movement in hiring across sectors in comparison
                     to the October-December quarter of 2009. Real estate, IT&ITES and
                     manufacturing sector growth are the major driving force behind this. Responses
                     from the companies suggest that this will grow stronger in the coming months
                     of the year.
Mets 2010 Indicus - MaFoi Randstad
Mets 2010 Indicus - MaFoi Randstad
Mets 2010 Indicus - MaFoi Randstad
Mets 2010 Indicus - MaFoi Randstad
Mets 2010 Indicus - MaFoi Randstad
Mets 2010 Indicus - MaFoi Randstad
Mets 2010 Indicus - MaFoi Randstad
Mets 2010 Indicus - MaFoi Randstad
Mets 2010 Indicus - MaFoi Randstad
Mets 2010 Indicus - MaFoi Randstad

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Mets 2010 Indicus - MaFoi Randstad

  • 1. Ma Foi Randstad 2010 Employment Trends Survey
  • 2. Section A : Indian Economy – Riding on A Positive Note Section B : Data and Methodology Section C : Expected Employment Generation ? Financial Services and Insurance (BFSI) Banking, Information Technology & Information Technology Enabled Services (IT & ITES) ? Pharma ? Healthcare ? Trade including Consumer, Retail and Services ? Energy ? Transport, Storage and Communication ? Real Estate and Construction ? Hospitality ? ? and Entertainment Media Manufacturing of Non-Machinery Products ? Manufacturing of Machineries and Equipmants ? Education, Training and Consulting ? City-wise Employment Outlook Section D : Summary and Conclusion Appendix ? in Salary across Sectors Increase ? in Salary across Sectors and Size of the Companies Increase ? total Employment City wise ? increase in Employment City wise ? Increase in Salary across Cities Expected Proportion of Fresher/Experienced across Sectors ? Proportion of Fresher/Experienced across Cities ? Proportion of Fresher/Experienced across Sectors and Ownership ? Percentage of Work Outsourced Across Sectors ? The Ma Foi Randstad Employment Survey (MEtS) is a study on Indian employment trends and opportunities conducted by Ma Foi Randstad. Started in November 2004, till 2008, MEtS was conducted once in a year. Considering the fact that we are witnessing significant shifts in employment trends within a year’s time, the employment survey will now be conducted every quarter. This will enable capturing changes in employment scenario in India from one quarter to another. The prime objective of this employment survey is to understand the employment trends in the organized sector on a quarterly basis. The present survey captures the employment situation in the organized sector for the quarter January to March 2010 and the likely scenario for the next quarter, i.e., April to June 2010. The study is based on the sample survey conducted for about 650 companies across different sectors of the economy. The feedback was gathered from the top HR personnel or top management of the companies who could share the current and the likely scenario regarding employment related issues. The major parameter captured in the survey is change in hiring pattern or employee numbers. The report is divided in four sections. The first section (Section A) provides the background as well as an overall view of the Indian Economy. This is followed by Section B, which discusses about the data and methodological aspects of the study. Section C presents a picture of the changing pattern of the employment for different sectors of the economy. This section also provides a snapshot of how the scenario is changing in selected cities. The final section (Section D) concludes the study highlighting key issues.
  • 3. India economy on a positive note
  • 4. The first quarter of the year 2010 was characterised with The infrastructure sector has been given prominence in the several policy actions having considerable immediate as budget speech. Fiscal deficit to GDP ratio has been well as longer term implications to Indian economy. budgeted at 5.5 per cent for 2010-11, lower than the revised estimate of 6.7 per cent for 2009-10. On the The Union Budgets for 2010-11 were presented in positive note, there has been significant progress in the February. The Right to Education Act, Women’s much delayed G3 spectrum auction that will catalyse the Reservation Bill, the Food Security Bill were the focus of telecom sector significantly. discussions at the social front, which will have immense impact on Indian population. Submission of report by the The latest available official GDP estimates for agriculture Thirteenth Finance Commission was another notable indicated a marginal decline of 0.2 per cent over the incidence. previous year. However, the second advanced estimate of the Ministry of Agriculture in February 2010 suggested a Economic policy reforms were also in the agenda of the sharp decline of 7.5 per cent for the same period. government. Policies such as permission for entry of new However, prices of many commodities have come down, private sector banks, steps to rationalize fertilizer subsidy, though marginally, and also expected to maintain a further consolidate FDI policy and reforms in fuel pricing policies downward movement. If the monsoon turns out to be were amongst the important ones. normal this year across regions, agriculture sector should witness significantly higher growth in the coming months Amongst a few unsettling issues in form of violence in the of the year. Naxal affected areas, disruption of economic activities in support and opposition to the new state of Telengana, the The industrial sector has shown high growth rates during common economic agendas were not pushed to the back the last quarter of 2009-10. The average year on year bench. The monetary policy for 2010-11 announced on growth rate in Index of Industrial Production (IIP) is April 20, 2010 raised the rates – repo and reverse repo – expected to exceed 10 per cent. Mining and electricity by 25 basis points. The Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) was also sectors have grown at significantly higher rates. In increased by 25 basis points. Exit from the accommodative manufacturing sector, intermediaries, capital goods and monetary policy stance to address inflationary tendencies consumer durables have experienced output growth of was articulated in the Third Quarter Review of Monetary more than 10 per cent. However, the consumer non- Policy by the RBI in January 2010. The shift in priority to durables have been weak within the manufacturing controlling inflation was evident. segment since these are strongly influenced by the agro- based industries and export markets. The Central Budget for 2010-11 reflected the need to restore fiscal balance with signs that the economic crisis of Amongst the services sectors, external sector related 2008 and 2009 has now abated. Provision of some relief services have shown slower growth in last two consecutive to the income tax payers by increasing the upper limit of years. Inbound tourism to India, cargo traffic had been income range, where marginal tax rate was 20 per cent, affected badly due to the recession. Telecommunication was a welcome measure. The surcharge on Indian was the only sector that sustained growth momentum companies was reduced. Resource mobilization effort was even during the economic crisis period. It is predicted that evident in the increase in the indirect tax rates. Subsidies the subscription numbers for telephone connections will have been budgeted to be lower this year in absolute continue to rise at a rate of more than 40 percent per value than in the previous year. annum.
  • 5. The economy has witnessed IIP registered a 13.5% in March 2010 which was a ? consistently good Index of Industrial slight decline against 15.1% year on year growth in February Production [IIP] growth in the previous Infrastructure sectors show robust growth, with steel ? months and is expected to do so in at 9.2% and cement, coal and electricity at 7.8% coming months also. There are mix of growth over the previous year. factors that had led to the recovery of Auto sales continued to zoom up, despite price hikes, ? the economy after the crisis. seeing double digit growth in April 20.31 million new subscribers were added on the ? The favourable monetary and fiscal wireless network, bringing tele-density in India to policy stance and increased spending, 52.74% in March especially in infrastructure projects, to Consumer price indices fell for the second month in a ? improve internal demand condition row, bringing inflation down to 14.86% and 15.77% in March for CPI (Industrial Workers) and CPI and bringing down the interest rates (Agricultural labourers) respectively. to ease the liquidity situation, had ? commodities that are crucial inputs in Prices of played pivotal role towards the manufacturing have been rising globally has once recovery. The second most important again fuelled price hikes. factor that helped the economy was The Reserve Bank of India put in a hike of 25 basis ? points on the CRR, repo and reverse repo rates in its low crude petroleum prices in the April 20th policy review international markets. The average The overall GDP growth for 2010-11 is projected to be ? crude price was about 20 per cent around 8.5 per cent over previous year. The growth lower in 2009-10 compared to 2008- will be led by non-agricultural sectors. ? for March, however, grew over 50% to $19.9 Exports 09, which helped to keep the billion compared to the same month during last fiscal production expenses lower. Quick year. Exports have grown steadily for the last five revival of capital inflows in 2009-10 months. was another factor that helped the Fiscal deficit could go below the budget estimates ? capital markets to regain investors’ essentially supported by the non-agricultural economy and higher indirect tax rates. confidence. Domestic capital issues ? in April netted $ 2.099 billion in the equity FII flows nearly doubled in 2009-10 as market and $0.684 billion in debt compared to 2008-09.
  • 6. data and The study has used both primary and secondary data to arrive at different estimates. Secondary data from various sources have been used. Historical data on the methodology manufacturing sector has been culled from various rounds of the Annual Survey of Industries (ASI) and publications of the Central Statistical Organization (CSO). Apart from these sources, the other sources used for the study are various surveys of the National Sample Survey Organization (NSSO) Labour Statistics of India, Statistical outline of India. The above sources have the advantage of almost universal coverage of the organized sector within their specific domains. However, data from most of these secondary sources are not up-to-date. Therefore the estimation procedure takes care of this problem through using up-to- date figures on sectoral GDP (Gross Domestic Product) and Index of Industrial Production (IIP). Once estimates of base sectoral employment were obtained, the data captured through primary survey of 650 firms across sectors and selected important cities were used to arrive at estimates on different parameters. The primary data has been used mostly estimate parameters for the first and second quarter of the year 2010. Coverage of Primary Survey Sl. No. Sector No. of companies covered 1. Banking Finance Services and Insurance (BFSI) 58 2. IT & ITES 79 3. Pharma 19 4. Healthcare 34 5. Trade including Consumer Retail Services 49 6. Energy 17 7. Transport, storage and communication 49 8. Real Estate and Construction 40 9. Hospitality 35 10. Media and Entertainment 27 11. Manufacturing of Non-Machinery Products 100 12. Manufacturing of Machineries and Equipments 76 13. Education, training and consultancy 60
  • 7. sense of optimism Across almost all the sectors a sense of optimism has been observed. The performance of the economy during last year, especially, during January to March 2010, has observed across provided the necessary impetus to growth for all the sectors. As a consequence, employment generation is on card for every sector, though in varying degree. A common all sectors trend was observed across all the sectors. High performance of the economy has encouraged sector players to recruit new employees in 2010-11. However, the recruitment will be done with a more planned manner and will be spread across the entire year rather than aggressive recruitment at one point of time. The intra-sector movement of skilled workforce is also expected. Expected Employment Increase in Different Sectors Employment Total increase in employees Per cent increase Sectors December Jan - March April - June Jan - June Jan - March Apr - June Jan - June 2009 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 BFSI 852,000 4,400 15,800 20,200 0.52 1.85 2.37 IT & ITES 1,793,000 7,200 34,000 41,200 0.40 1.90 2.30 Pharma 243,000 5,900 6,100 12,000 2.43 2.51 4.94 Healthcare 3,123,000 52,752 96,248 149,000 1.69 3.08 4.77 Trade including CRS 630,800 2,600 5,000 7,600 0.41 0.79 1.20 Energy 874,000 4,200 5,900 10,100 0.48 0.68 1.2 Transport, Storage and Communication 2,638,000 7,100 8,800 15,900 0.27 0.33 0.6 Real Estate and Construction 730,000 9,012 52,115 61,127 1.23 7.14 8.37 Hospitality 5,951,000 21,500 49,000 70,500 0.36 0.82 1.18 Media and entertainment 1,272,000 10,300 28,700 39,000 0.81 2.26 3.07 Non-machinery Manufacturing 4,424,000 9,300 17,300 26,600 0.21 0.39 0.60 Mfg. of machineries and equipments 1,106,000 3,100 5,300 8,400 0.28 0.48 0.76 Education, Training and Consultancy 9,715,000 16,200 23,200 39,400 0.17 0.24 0.41
  • 8. Ma Foi Randstad Employment Trends Survey Employment in Dec. 2009 852,000 banking, financial Estimated Employment in March 2010 856,400 Estimated Employment in June 2010 872,200 services and insurance
  • 9. Estimated increase in employment “stimulus provided in the 45000 union budget, release of 40000 licences to NBFCs and 35000 30000 private players has created 25000 a significant positive impact.” 20000 1.85% 15000 10000 0.52% 5000 0 4400 15800 Jan - Mar April - June 2010 2010 It is expected that by June 2010 the BFSI sector will register an increase in employment to the tune of 20,200. The positive developments in economic front and the stimulus provided ? in the union budget had raised the sentiment of the sector significantly. The industry is expecting the positive sentiment to continue. This is reflected in substantial rise in employment during the quarter April-June 2010. ? the recruitment is estimated higher during the second quarter of Though the year, companies are cautious from the past experiences and the recruitment will not be aggressive. Most of the players would like to spread the addition in existing employment at different phases during the year. Re-capitalisation of PSU banks and release of licenses to NBFCs and ? private players has a significant positive impact. New entries and collaborations of large foreign players in insurance ? market have also acted as a strong positive factor. It is expected that steps by the policy makers for a superior industry ? structure for banking in a phased manner through “managed consolidation” as well as by enabling greater capital availability will drive for a higher growth as well as boost employment generation in the sector. Insurance companies are witnessing increasing demand for project ? insurance apart from other already existing insurance components. Corporates are going for project insurance across sectors with the cover beginning right from the start of the project till it is declared ready for commercial use. Some of the big projects also take cover for financial loss arising out of delay in completion. This can act as a big booster for the insurance sector to grow further and create employment opportunity. Estimates of Sector-wise Employment in ‘000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 June 2010 1160 1133 1129 1023 985 943 906 912 852 872 Source: MEtS 2008 and current estimates. Estimates are arrived at using NSSO, ASI, CSO and other databases
  • 10. Ma Foi Randstad Employment Trends Survey Employment in Dec. 2009 1,793,000 information technology Estimated Employment in March 2010 1,800,200 Estimated Employment in June 2010 1,834,200 and IT enabled services
  • 11. Estimated increase in employment “the sector is expected to grow 45000 at around 15.5 per cent in 2010, 40000 1.9% on the back of growing investor 35000 30000 confidence and favourable 25000 initiatives taken by the 20000 government.” 15000 0.4% 10000 5000 0 7200 34000 Jan - Mar April - June 2010 2010 It is expected that by June 2010 the IT & ITES sector will register an increase in employment to the tune of 41,200. Continued demand from international markets for both IT and ITES ? sector is playing a critical role in hiring process. ? from domestic sector is also playing its role to boost to the Demand sector ? project will also have a positive impact on hiring pattern The UID ? in Minimum Alternative Tax [MAT] from 15% to 18% is likely to Increase affect the industry adversely No announcement on the tax rebate in the budget declaration is another ? dampening factor that will affect aggressive employment generation in IT & ITES sector. However, it is expected that the Indian information technology (IT) ? market is expected to grow at around 15.5 per cent in 2010, on the back of growing investor confidence and favourable initiatives taken by the government, which will act in renewing the positive sentiment. ? big outsourcing deals obtained by some large players of the sector A few are also playing the role of confidence booster for the sector. Estimates of Sector-wise Employment in ‘000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 June 2010 - 522 670 821 1045 1343 1798 1888 1793 1834 Source: MEtS 2008 and current estimates. Estimates are arrived at using NSSO, ASI, CSO and other databases
  • 12. Ma Foi Randstad Employment Trends Survey Employment in Dec. 2009 243,000 Estimated Employment in March 2010 248,900 pharmaceuticals Estimated Employment in June 2010 255,000
  • 13. Estimated increase in employment “rise in purchasing power and 45000 increased penetration of health 40000 insurance is expected to drive 35000 30000 growth.” 25000 20000 15000 2.51% 10000 2.43% 5000 0 5900 6100 Jan - Mar April - June 2010 2010 It is expected that by June 2010 the Pharma sector will register an increase in employment to the tune of 12,000. ? one of the fastest growing manufacturing sectors which is likely to This is experience almost the same level of increase in new employment creation in the sector during both quarters. The Indian Pharma sector, including domestic, generic exports and ? CRAMs (Contract Research and Manufacturing Services), continues to grow at about 13 per cent dwarfing the global average of five-six percent. The formulations industry is expected to prosper parallel to the ? pharmaceutical industry. It is expected that the domestic formulations market in India will grow at an annual rate of around 17 per cent in 2010, owing to increasing middle class population and rapid urbanization. An improved productivity trend has also prevented margin pressures on ? the companies allowing them to expand further. ? purchasing power and increasing penetration of health insurance Rising will support strong growth in business over the coming months. This growth is expected to be driven by every user segment - metros, tier-II cities, rural markets, hospitals etc.
  • 14. Ma Foi Randstad Employment Trends Survey Employment in Dec. 2009 3,123,000 Estimated Employment in March 2010 3,175,752 healthcare Estimated Employment in June 2010 3,272,000
  • 15. Estimated increase in employment “opening up of new private 180000 hospitals and super-speciality 160000 hospitals combined with the 140000 120000 3.09% expansion of existing health 100000 facilities will play a significant role 80000 1.69% in the growth of the sector and 60000 new job generation.” 40000 20000 0 52750 96250 Jan - Mar April - June 2010 2010 It is expected that by June 2010 the Healthcare sector will register an increase in employment to the tune of 161,000. The healthcare industry in the country, which comprises hospital and ? allied sectors, is projected to grow 23 per cent per annum. Expected to grow fast and to contribute significantly large employment ? to the economy. The recovery from economic crisis has further strengthened the ? momentum of the sector. ? sector boom in healthcare sector continues as seen previously. Private ? up of new private hospitals and super-speciality hospitals along Opening with expansion of the earlier existing facilities, create huge opportunity for generating new employment ? new players into health insurance market is also another factor Entry of that boosts the likeliness of generating new employment in the sector ? data released by the Department of Industrial Policy and As per Promotion (DIPP), hospitals and diagnostic centres have received FDI worth US$ 761.18 million during January to April 2010. This will further boost the growth of the sector. Announcements by the big players also boosted the sentiments ? substantially. For Example, Fortis Hospitals is planning to invest US$ 53.7 million, to expand its facilities pan-India, Asia's leading hospital chain Columbia Asia Group, which already has six hospitals in the country, plans to open eight more multi-speciality community hospitals with a total capacity of 800 beds by mid-2012. ? tourism in India has emerged as the fastest growing segment Medical despite the global economic downturn. High cost of treatments in the developed countries, particularly the USA and UK, has been forcing patients from such regions to look for alternative and cost-effective destinations like India to get their treatments done. The Indian medical tourism industry is presently at a nascent stage, but has an enormous potential for future growth and development including being one of the significant contributor to employment generation. Estimates of Sector-wise Employment in ‘000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 June 2010 2543 2639 2739 2843 2951 3063 3309 3511 3123 3272 Source: MEtS 2008 and current estimates. Estimates are arrived at using NSSO, ASI, CSO and other databases
  • 16. Ma Foi Randstad Employment Trends Survey trade including Employment in Dec. 2009 630,800 Estimated Employment in March 2010 633,400 consumer, retail Estimated Employment in June 2010 638,400 and services
  • 17. Estimated increase in employment “the sector is expected to gain 45000 momentum during the later part 40000 35000 of the year and this will result in 30000 increase in the number of jobs 25000 created.” 20000 15000 10000 0.79% 5000 0.41% 0 2600 5000 Jan - Mar April - June 2010 2010 It is expected that by June 2010 the Trade sector will register an increase in employment to the tune of 7,600. The sector is yet to recover completely from the crisis mode. However, ? expectation of entry of new players as well as the boost in the economy and higher consumer spending are the encouraging factors for the sector to build momentum gradually. Growing positive sentiment has been reflected in higher expected ? recruitment during the quarter April to June 2010. Since growth in this sector is strongly correlated with growth in other ? sectors of the economy, it is expected that the sector will regain momentum during the later part of the year. The proposals in Union Budget 2010-11, such as abolition of Fringe ? Benefit Tax (FBT), hike in the personal income tax ceiling and huge increase in the outlay for infrastructure will bring indirect benefits to the sector, by raising consumer spending. No mention of either Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) or industry status ? for retail in latest Union Budget, despite the recommendation by the Economic Survey to allow FDI in multi-format retail, was a disappointment for the sector. However, as per a study conducted by the Indian Council for Research on ? International Economic Relations (ICRIER), the retail sector is expected to contribute to 22 per cent of India's GDP by 2010. ? penetrate into Tier II and Tier III cities of India by several players Plans to will also act as an instrument for employment generation by the sector in the coming months. Estimates of Sector-wise Employment in ‘000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 June 2010 502 492 542 563 589 616 651 661 630 638 Source: MEtS 2008 and current estimates. Estimates are arrived at using NSSO, ASI, CSO and other databases
  • 18. Ma Foi Randstad Employment Trends Survey Employment in Dec. 2009 874,000 Estimated Employment in March 2010 878,200 energy Estimated Employment in June 2010 884,100
  • 19. Estimated increase in employment “various benefits announced by 45000 the government is expected to 40000 create positive growth impact.” 35000 30000 25000 20000 15000 0.68% 10000 0.48% 5000 0 4200 5900 Jan - Mar April - June 2010 2010 It is expected that by June 2010 the Energy sector will register an increase in employment to the tune of 10,100. ? benefits announced by the Finance Minister while presenting the Various Union budget 2010 should have colossal impact on energy sector An allocation of Rs. 5,130 crore for Rajiv Gandhi Gram Vidyut Yojana ? (RGGVY), exemption of excise duty on wind power generation and concessional customs duty on equipments required for photovoltaic and solar thermal power units will play important role for the growth of the energy sector. The government also intends to initiate guidelines to establish "Coal ? Regulatory Authority" which would assist issues such as monetary costing of coal and setting a performance benchmark. An incentive hike of 61% for the Ministry of New and Renewable Energy ? from the previous Rs.620 crore to Rs.1, 000 crore has also been announced. The budget has suggested establishing solar plants and other micro ? power plants at a price of Rs.500 crore to deal with the problem of energy shortage in the Ladakh district of Jammu and Kashmir. ? reduction in central excise tariff on LED lights, an energy- 4% of proficient lighting option for home, office and street lighting and full central excise tax exemption on electric cars and automobiles that use eco-friendly energy substitutes are some positive steps by the government, which will help in the sector’s growth. Estimates of Sector-wise Employment in ‘000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 June 2010 987 965 963 951 941 930 927 938 874 884 Source: MEtS 2008 and current estimates. Estimates are arrived at using NSSO, ASI, CSO and other databases
  • 20. Ma Foi Randstad Employment Trends Survey Employment in Dec. 2009 2,638,000 transport, storage Estimated Employment in March 2010 2,645,100 Estimated Employment in June 2010 2,653,900 and communication
  • 21. Estimated increase in employment “immense thrust from the Union 45000 Government towards the 40000 35000 infrastructure development both 30000 in rural and urban belts across 25000 the country has led to significant 20000 job creation in the sector.” 15000 0.27% 0.33% 10000 5000 0 7100 8800 Jan - Mar April - June 2010 2010 It is expected that by June 2010 the Transport, Storage and Communication sector will register an increase in employment to the tune of 15,900. The union budget 2010-11has provided immense thrust to infrastructure ? development. Provision of Rs. 173,552 crore to plan allocation for infrastructure ? development, Rs. 48,000 crore for Bharat Nirman, an allocation of Rs. 20,000 crore for India Infrastructure Finance Company Limited [IIFCL] disbursement will have a positive impact on the growth of the sector and will result into new hiring also. Allocation of Rs. 66,100 crore for rural development and announcement ? of enhanced income tax benefit on investing in infrastructure bonds will also play positive role for the sector growth. An allocation of Rs 167.52 bn provided for Railways, which is about ? Rs. 9.50 bn more than last year. ? Rail Projects for urban transport are being granted project imports Mono status. Introduction of 3G will certainly boost the communication to expand ? further. However, improving operational efficiencies as well as the fact that a ? large proportion of employment in this sector is in unorganised sector, creation of employment in organised part of this sector is not commensurate to its growth. Estimates of Sector-wise Employment in ‘000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 June 2010 3118 3085 3018 2969 2920 2870 2823 2824 2638 2654 Source: MEtS 2008 and current estimates. Estimates are arrived at using NSSO, ASI, CSO and other databases
  • 22. Ma Foi Randstad Employment Trends Survey Employment in Dec. 2009 730,000 real estate and Estimated Employment in March 2010 739,012 Estimated Employment in June 2010 791,127 construction
  • 23. Estimated increase in employment “recovery from economic crisis 90000 and positive sentiment towards 80000 70000 the sector is expected to lead to a 60000 7.14% higher employment in the 50000 sector.” 40000 30000 20000 1.23% 10000 0 9012 52100 Jan - Mar April - June 2010 2010 It is expected that by June 2010 the Real Estate and Construction sector will register an increase in employment to the tune of 61,100. Real estate sector is again expected to grow at a fast pace during 2010- ? 11. Recovery from economic crisis and positive sentiment towards the sector is expected to lead to a higher employment during April to June 2010. The union budget 2010-11 has provided boost to the sector for further ? growth. Interest subvention loan for houses costing upto Rs. 2 million has given the impetus to companies especially for those into affordable housing. Substantial increase in allocation in Rajiv Awas Yojana for slum dwellers, ? from Rs. 150 crore to Rs. 1270 crore, will play a positive role for the sector growth as well as employment scenario. Similarly, an increase in allocation for urban development, from Rs. 3060 ? crore to Rs. 5400 crore will also boost the sector further. ? the sector will employ substantial number of new recruits, it will Though be spread across the year. ? estate sector is also likely to get a boost from Real Estate Mutual The real Funds (REMFs) and Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs). Estimates of Sector-wise Employment in ‘000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 June 2010 1183 1082 992 926 863 804 771 804 730 791 Source: MEtS 2008 and current estimates. Estimates are arrived at using NSSO, ASI, CSO and other databases
  • 24. Ma Foi Randstad Employment Trends Survey Employment in Dec. 2009 5,951,000 Estimated Employment in March 2010 5,972,500 hospitality Estimated Employment in June 2010 6,021,500
  • 25. Estimated increase in employment “significant growth in the 90000 economy post recession and the 80000 development in infrastructure is 70000 60000 expected to have a positive 0.82% 50000 impact resulting in increase in the 40000 number of jobs created.” 30000 0.36% 20000 10000 0 21500 49000 Jan - Mar April - June 2010 2010 It is expected that by June 2010 the Hospitality sector will register an increase in employment to the tune of 79,500. Hospitality was one of the fastest growing sectors which was hit hard ? during the recession. But it is now gaining momentum since end 2009 and is expected to grow again at a fast pace. This is also one of the sectors that generate significant employment in the economy and the survey suggests that it is expected to contribute a significant proportion of the new employment generation for the country. Announcement of Investment linked tax deduction in the Union Budget ? 2010-11 has given a big boost to the hospitality sector. This will play strong positive role of sector’s growth in the coming months. ? in allocation across schemes for infrastructure as well as road Increase development will also play a positive role. ? of inbound tourists to India as well as of domestic tourists has Number increased significantly compared to the period of global economic recession. This has again helping the sector to regain confidence and to expand further. Estimates of Sector-wise Employment in ‘000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 June 2010 4764 4946 5134 5330 5533 5744 6156 6452 5951 6022 Source: MEtS 2008 and current estimates. Estimates are arrived at using NSSO, ASI, CSO and other databases
  • 26. Ma Foi Randstad Employment Trends Survey Employment in Dec. 2009 1,272,000 media and Estimated Employment in March 2010 1,282,300 Estimated Employment in June 2010 1,311,000 entertainment
  • 27. Estimated increase in employment “favourable demographics, 45000 recovery in GDP growth rate and 40000 35000 strong long term fundamentals 30000 of the Indian economy will result 2.26% 25000 in a growth rate of 13% (CAGR) 20000 in the next 5 years.” 15000 0.81% 10000 5000 0 10300 28700 Jan - Mar April - June 2010 2010 It is expected that by June 2010 the Media and Entertainment sector will register an increase in employment to the tune of 39,000. The sector, which is dependent on advertising for almost 38% of its ? revenues, was hit last year due to shrinking advertisement budgets. ? 2010 is expected to see the sector coming out of the shackles The year of the slowdown and a substantial increase in advertisement spending. ? Premier League [IPL] as a sports property has grown from strength Indian to strength and is there to stay boosting advertising revenue growth The sector is expected to grow at a rate of 13 per cent (CAGR) for next 5 ? years. This growth will be driven by the factors like favourable demographics, recovery in the GDP growth rate, strong long term fundamentals of the Indian economy, expected rise in advertising to GDP ratio and increasing media penetration.
  • 28. Ma Foi Randstad Employment Trends Survey Employment in Dec. 2009 4,424,000 manufacturing Estimated Employment in March 2010 4,433,300 Estimated Employment in June 2010 4,450,600 non-machinery products
  • 29. Estimated increase in employment “there is widespread positive 45000 sentiment across sectors due to 40000 the strong growth experienced in 35000 30000 the last few months.” 25000 0.39% 20000 15000 0.21% 10000 5000 0 9300 17300 Jan - Mar April - June 2010 2010 It is expected that by June 2010 the Manufacturing [Non-Machinery Products] sector will register an increase in employment to the tune of 26,600. A positive is widespread across the sectors. This is due to strong growth ? experienced by the sectors since last few months which is expected to continue and strengthen further. ? the sectors are optimistic about hiring; however, will maintain a Most of cautious stand regarding the same. ? towards increasing productivity level to optimize the cost of Efforts production are leading towards planned recruitment as well as recruitment of manpower with specific required skills. ?players are still recovering and more cautious about new Small recruitments. Estimates of Sector-wise Employment in ‘000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 June 2010 6580 6383 6545 6459 5496 5315 5045 4934 4,671 4710 Source: MEtS 2008 and current estimates. Estimates are arrived at using NSSO, ASI, CSO and other databases
  • 30. Ma Foi Randstad Employment Trends Survey Employment in Dec. 2009 1,106,000 manufacturing Estimated Employment in March 2010 1,109,100 Estimated Employment in June 2010 1,114,400 machineries and equipments
  • 31. Estimated increase in employment “increase of sales in the 45000 automobile sector and high 40000 growth experienced across 35000 30000 various segments has created an 25000 optimistic outlook.” 20000 15000 10000 0.48% 0.28% 5000 0 3100 5300 Jan - Mar April - June 2010 2010 It is expected that by June 2010 the Manufacturing – Machineries and Equipments sector will register an increase in employment to the tune of 8,400. This sector is experiencing high growth in previous months, especially in ? terms of sales, which has spread optimism across the board. Significant increase in sales of automobiles and other engineering ? products are in the forefront to spread the positive sentiments across the sector. Consumer durables are expecting further upsurge in sales as well as ? production. However, the small scale sector is still cautious about expanding activities ? as well as employment base. ? a positive situation is expected towards hiring scenario for the Overall, sector. Estimates of Sector-wise Employment in ‘000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 June 2010 1296 1231 1259 1263 991 943 894 901 1106 1114 Source: MEtS 2008 and current estimates. Estimates are arrived at using NSSO, ASI, CSO and other databases
  • 32. Ma Foi Randstad Employment Trends Survey Employment in Dec. 2009 9,715,000 Estimated Employment in March 2010 9,731,200 education Estimated Employment in June 2010 9,754,400
  • 33. Estimated increase in employment “government's thrust through 45000 introduction of Right to 40000 Education Act, increased plan 35000 30000 allocation combined with the 25000 0.24% demand from the private 20000 0.17% educational institutes has 15000 increased the demand for 10000 manpower in the sector.” 5000 0 16200 23200 Jan - Mar April - June 2010 2010 It is expected that by June 2010 the Education, Training and Consulting sector will register an increase in employment to the tune of 39,400. With 13.5 crore children in primary schools, India has the largest student ? population and it requires continuous flow of manpower (teaching as well as non-teaching) for the educational sector to cater such a large number of students in the country. ? with education sector, the recovery of the economy will boost the Along need for training, research and consultancy. An increase in plan allocation from Rs. 26,800 crore to Rs. 31,036 crore ? and grant to the states of Rs. 3,675 crore will help the sector positively. ? from the private sector educational institutes will play a major Demand role in generating new employment in the sector. Estimates of Sector-wise Employment in ‘000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 June 2010 7566 7950 8353 8777 9222 9690 10262 10383 9715 9754 Source: MEtS 2008 and current estimates. Estimates are arrived at using NSSO, ASI, CSO and other databases
  • 34. Ahmedabad Substantial hiring has taken place since December 2009. The mood of the companies is upbeat since most of the sectors including manufacturing as well as services have experienced positive growth and are also expecting further growth with the hope of renewed investment. A positive trend is expected during April to June 2010. Bangalore Hiring has gone up compared to last year. The major driving force is IT & ITES sector. However, it’s still at a quite away from the last week. It is expected that during the course of the current year this will improve gradually. Chennai Hiring went up significantly compared to the last quarter of 2009. The prime leaders were IT and manufacturing. It is expected that as the year progresses, hiring scenario will also be improved significantly. Delhi & NCR Compared to the last quarter, hiring has gone up significantly. However, the expectation of better performance by Media, BFSI, trade and other services is expected to result in strong hiring intentions by the companies in the coming months. Hyderabad city wise Not much hiring activities have been reported by the companies though employment outlook performances of the companies from different sectors are gradually looking up. However, the cautious movement about hiring might change once the sectors bounce back with greater performances. Expectations for the coming months are positive, though not very strong. Kolkata Hiring situation has improved compared to the last quarter of 2009 with manufacturing and IT related sectors as frontrunners. The situation is expected to become even better in the coming months with the hope that media, trade and some other services will bounce back strongly. Mumbai Mumbai hiring situation did not show any significant difference from the last quarter of 2009. A cautious approach and efforts towards optimizing the cost are the major reasons behind this, although there is optimism. However, the situation is expected to reverse once the companies are convinced that the economy has stabilized. Increased hiring scenario is expected during the next quarters of the year. Pune Pune shows a strong positive movement in hiring across sectors in comparison to the October-December quarter of 2009. Real estate, IT&ITES and manufacturing sector growth are the major driving force behind this. Responses from the companies suggest that this will grow stronger in the coming months of the year.