3. Menu of the day
What is energy?
Context for changes
Worlwide energy market
The Fukushima tsunami
Switzerland position
Potential consequences and steps ahead
What can we do?
7. Population growth: 7 to 9 billions
Unequal access to energy
1/3 of today’s world
population have no
access to electricity
(1.5 billion people)
8. Growth of energy needs
Source: International energy outlook 2011 from http://www.eia.gov/
Electricity
sector to grow
most: 30% of
energy needs
in 2030
10. Our ecological footprint
2,6 hag for an average inhabitant
One earth isn’t enough
We lived on The Earth credit from
August 22nd till Dec 31st, 2012!
13. Worldwide energy trends
World energy consumption to increase by
53% between 2008 and 2035, half of it
attributed to China and India.
Fossil fuels continue to supply 80% of
world energy use in 2035
The oil share to start declining in 2035
(prices, fuel switching)
16. Electricity generation: still strongly fossil
Source: International energy outlook 2011 from http://www.eia.gov/
But renewable energies (hydropower and others)
grabing a 20 to 25% share
17. Projections change according to viewpoints!
In Europe, potential to rise renewable energies from 24%
in 2020, 45% in 2030 and 96% in 2050! Source: EREC
(European Renewable Energy Council)
Tableau extrait du rapport Re-Thinking 2050
18. PV solar power generation becoming profitable at
large scale
Source: IRENA- Renewable Energy innovation Policy- march 2013
20. Since March 11th, 2011
2nd blow to nuclear power after the
Tchernobyl human and
environmental catastrophy in 1986
19’000 deaths or unfound because of
tsunami and 160’000 persons
evacuated due to radiations
Japan stopped its 54 nuclear
reactors (30% of power generation)
Japan heavily imported energy,
opened coal mines and developed
renewables
But 2 years later…planning to
reactivate nuclear power
Not possible to predict
consequences on health
21. What was the Fukushima effect?
Switzerland: May 25th, 2011 Decision to
phase out progressively its 5 nuclear
reactors and to stop 3 new nuclear plants
projects.
France: low effect. To reduce some plants
(cf Fessenheim in 2016)
Germany: Decision to stop 7 aging
reactors (out of 17). Decision to get out of
nuclear in 2020. Actions taken already 10
years ago, 20% renewables at present.
Italy: renounced to introduce nuclear
22. The reality of nuclear power worldwide?
14% of electricity produced
435 nuclear reactors in 31 countries: 104 in the
USA, 58 in France, 9 in Germany, Japan 2
reconnected and 48 waiting to be reconnected
65 new reactors under construction and 200
projects (100 in China and 40 in India)
Increase in power capacity generation
Low cost of kWh doesn’t include costs of
demantling aging plants
24. The most ambitious challenge
Get out of nuclear while keeping greenhouse gases low
Replace nuclear power coming from France (5% of
Fessenheim closing plant)
Green the energy massively
Renovate and transform the power distribution network to
manage fluctuating energy sources
Manage the energy transition while our society is getting
power intensive!
29. Future power mix: hydropower, new renewables and
combined gas power as transition
Solar power could realistically supply respectively 20% of electricity by
2025 and 20% of heat to households by 2035! Source: Swiss Solar
33. Objectives and measures:
PACK 1:
Reduce individual energy consumption by 35% by 2035
Stabilise power consumption after 2020
Increase hydropower
Increase renewable energies
Introduce more severe measures for energy efficiency in
buildings (40% impact), electrical appliances, lighting,
mobility and reduce gas emissions
Encourage local consumptions of self-produced energies
Modernise the power distribution network
Guaranty power supplies via imports and construction of
new combined gas power plants
PACK 2:
Create a new ecological tax combining CO2 and energy
37. Next steps
September 2013: feed-back on PACK 1 Federal
2050 energy strategy
2014 Opening up of power market to households
2015 Potential referendum on nuclear
38. Things move
+67% of PV solar panels in 2012
Development of initiatives for households
and companies by power suppliers and
distributors
Tools to follow power consumptions: cf
smart metering
AEnEC: 1.3 million tons of CO2 and energy
savings by companies
Developments of innovative cleantechs (cf
storing energy)
49. Potential actions
Vote
Choose renewable energies when possible
Reduce consumptions
Check the energy label of your building/
home and areas of renovation
Reduce use of individual transportation