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ENERGY IN SWITZERLAND AFTER
FUKUSHIMA
BPW May 7th
Edith Page
Menu of the day
 What is energy?
 Context for changes
 Worlwide energy market
 The Fukushima tsunami
 Switzerland position
 Potential consequences and steps ahead
 What can we do?
WHAT IS ENERGY?
Energy is everywhere and needed everywhere
Energies are utilities we need
and used to consume daily
without question.
CONTEXT FOR CHANGES
Population growth: 7 to 9 billions
 Unequal access to energy
1/3 of today’s world
population have no
access to electricity
(1.5 billion people)
Growth of energy needs
Source: International energy outlook 2011 from http://www.eia.gov/
Electricity
sector to grow
most: 30% of
energy needs
in 2030
The climate change and Greenhouse gases
Source: NASA
Our ecological footprint
 2,6 hag for an average inhabitant
 One earth isn’t enough
 We lived on The Earth credit from
August 22nd till Dec 31st, 2012!
Context for changes
 Progressive evolution of our society towards new
values and meaningful lives
 The green consciousness enlarged since
2005/2006
 Emergence of Corporate social responsibility
 Rio+20: leadership transfer from politics to
corporations and society
« Johannesburg est un
test pour tous les
dirigeants qui disent se
préoccuper du bien-être
de notre planète et de
sa population. »
Kofi Annan,
Comité préparatoire du
Sommet mondial pour
le développement
durable, 17 juillet 2002
Photo extraite de edu-
chavanne.net
«L’engagement
volontaire n’a pas
fonctionné. La crise
confirme la nécessité
de mettre de l’éthique
dans les affaires…»
Michel Doucin,
ambassadeur RSE à
la Commission
européenne.
Repris de l’interview
©2011 Novethic
©Tous droits réservés
par Globethics.net
WORLDWIDE ENERGY MARKET
Worldwide energy trends
 World energy consumption to increase by
53% between 2008 and 2035, half of it
attributed to China and India.
 Fossil fuels continue to supply 80% of
world energy use in 2035
 The oil share to start declining in 2035
(prices, fuel switching)
Worldwide energy trends: oil prices
The good news
Electricity generation: still strongly fossil
Source: International energy outlook 2011 from http://www.eia.gov/
But renewable energies (hydropower and others)
grabing a 20 to 25% share
Projections change according to viewpoints!
In Europe, potential to rise renewable energies from 24%
in 2020, 45% in 2030 and 96% in 2050! Source: EREC
(European Renewable Energy Council)
Tableau extrait du rapport Re-Thinking 2050
PV solar power generation becoming profitable at
large scale
Source: IRENA- Renewable Energy innovation Policy- march 2013
FUKUSHIMA TSUNAMI
Since March 11th, 2011
 2nd blow to nuclear power after the
Tchernobyl human and
environmental catastrophy in 1986
 19’000 deaths or unfound because of
tsunami and 160’000 persons
evacuated due to radiations
 Japan stopped its 54 nuclear
reactors (30% of power generation)
 Japan heavily imported energy,
opened coal mines and developed
renewables
 But 2 years later…planning to
reactivate nuclear power
 Not possible to predict
consequences on health
What was the Fukushima effect?
 Switzerland: May 25th, 2011 Decision to
phase out progressively its 5 nuclear
reactors and to stop 3 new nuclear plants
projects.
 France: low effect. To reduce some plants
(cf Fessenheim in 2016)
 Germany: Decision to stop 7 aging
reactors (out of 17). Decision to get out of
nuclear in 2020. Actions taken already 10
years ago, 20% renewables at present.
 Italy: renounced to introduce nuclear
The reality of nuclear power worldwide?
 14% of electricity produced
 435 nuclear reactors in 31 countries: 104 in the
USA, 58 in France, 9 in Germany, Japan 2
reconnected and 48 waiting to be reconnected
 65 new reactors under construction and 200
projects (100 in China and 40 in India)
 Increase in power capacity generation
 Low cost of kWh doesn’t include costs of
demantling aging plants
SWITZERLAND POSITION
The most ambitious challenge
 Get out of nuclear while keeping greenhouse gases low
 Replace nuclear power coming from France (5% of
Fessenheim closing plant)
 Green the energy massively
 Renovate and transform the power distribution network to
manage fluctuating energy sources
 Manage the energy transition while our society is getting
power intensive!
Energy consumptions
Power consumptions
Evolution of power prices
Existing power mix
Challenge: to replace 40% of nuclear power
Future power mix: hydropower, new renewables and
combined gas power as transition
Solar power could realistically supply respectively 20% of electricity by
2025 and 20% of heat to households by 2035! Source: Swiss Solar
POTENTIAL CONSEQUENCES AND
STEPS AHEAD
Swiss 2050 energy strategy: 2 pillars at 50% each
Renewable energies Energy efficiency
Symbols for Switzerland
Objectives and measures:
PACK 1:
 Reduce individual energy consumption by 35% by 2035
 Stabilise power consumption after 2020
 Increase hydropower
 Increase renewable energies
 Introduce more severe measures for energy efficiency in
buildings (40% impact), electrical appliances, lighting,
mobility and reduce gas emissions
 Encourage local consumptions of self-produced energies
 Modernise the power distribution network
 Guaranty power supplies via imports and construction of
new combined gas power plants
PACK 2:
 Create a new ecological tax combining CO2 and energy
3 scenarios for power (AES)
3 scenarios for power (AES)
3 scenarios for power (AES)
Next steps
 September 2013: feed-back on PACK 1 Federal
2050 energy strategy
 2014 Opening up of power market to households
 2015 Potential referendum on nuclear
Things move
 +67% of PV solar panels in 2012
 Development of initiatives for households
and companies by power suppliers and
distributors
 Tools to follow power consumptions: cf
smart metering
 AEnEC: 1.3 million tons of CO2 and energy
savings by companies
 Developments of innovative cleantechs (cf
storing energy)
WHAT CAN WE DO?
From any perspectives…
Technologies and behaviours
Technologies
Behaviours
Willpower
Towards ultra-connected lives and homes
http://www.scoop.it/t/l-experience-consommateurs-dans-l-efficience-energetique
Here is where social media step in…
 2 billion people on social
networks
 Local goes global
 Collective impacts
Power consumption of the average swiss family
Source: OFEN
Define a strategy and act
CSR
Economy
Environment
Governance
Social
Cleantechs
For companies: moving towards CSR
Define your commitments and your organisation
Example of an estate owner
Potential actions
 Vote
 Choose renewable energies when possible
 Reduce consumptions
 Check the energy label of your building/
home and areas of renovation
 Reduce use of individual transportation
Not always straight forward
Questioning: a source of evolution
http://about.me/edithpage
Blog: http://infuseon.wordpress.com/
Let’s debate!

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Energy in Switzerland after Fukushima

  • 1. ENERGY IN SWITZERLAND AFTER FUKUSHIMA BPW May 7th Edith Page
  • 2.
  • 3. Menu of the day  What is energy?  Context for changes  Worlwide energy market  The Fukushima tsunami  Switzerland position  Potential consequences and steps ahead  What can we do?
  • 5. Energy is everywhere and needed everywhere Energies are utilities we need and used to consume daily without question.
  • 7. Population growth: 7 to 9 billions  Unequal access to energy 1/3 of today’s world population have no access to electricity (1.5 billion people)
  • 8. Growth of energy needs Source: International energy outlook 2011 from http://www.eia.gov/ Electricity sector to grow most: 30% of energy needs in 2030
  • 9. The climate change and Greenhouse gases Source: NASA
  • 10. Our ecological footprint  2,6 hag for an average inhabitant  One earth isn’t enough  We lived on The Earth credit from August 22nd till Dec 31st, 2012!
  • 11. Context for changes  Progressive evolution of our society towards new values and meaningful lives  The green consciousness enlarged since 2005/2006  Emergence of Corporate social responsibility  Rio+20: leadership transfer from politics to corporations and society « Johannesburg est un test pour tous les dirigeants qui disent se préoccuper du bien-être de notre planète et de sa population. » Kofi Annan, Comité préparatoire du Sommet mondial pour le développement durable, 17 juillet 2002 Photo extraite de edu- chavanne.net «L’engagement volontaire n’a pas fonctionné. La crise confirme la nécessité de mettre de l’éthique dans les affaires…» Michel Doucin, ambassadeur RSE à la Commission européenne. Repris de l’interview ©2011 Novethic ©Tous droits réservés par Globethics.net
  • 13. Worldwide energy trends  World energy consumption to increase by 53% between 2008 and 2035, half of it attributed to China and India.  Fossil fuels continue to supply 80% of world energy use in 2035  The oil share to start declining in 2035 (prices, fuel switching)
  • 16. Electricity generation: still strongly fossil Source: International energy outlook 2011 from http://www.eia.gov/ But renewable energies (hydropower and others) grabing a 20 to 25% share
  • 17. Projections change according to viewpoints! In Europe, potential to rise renewable energies from 24% in 2020, 45% in 2030 and 96% in 2050! Source: EREC (European Renewable Energy Council) Tableau extrait du rapport Re-Thinking 2050
  • 18. PV solar power generation becoming profitable at large scale Source: IRENA- Renewable Energy innovation Policy- march 2013
  • 20. Since March 11th, 2011  2nd blow to nuclear power after the Tchernobyl human and environmental catastrophy in 1986  19’000 deaths or unfound because of tsunami and 160’000 persons evacuated due to radiations  Japan stopped its 54 nuclear reactors (30% of power generation)  Japan heavily imported energy, opened coal mines and developed renewables  But 2 years later…planning to reactivate nuclear power  Not possible to predict consequences on health
  • 21. What was the Fukushima effect?  Switzerland: May 25th, 2011 Decision to phase out progressively its 5 nuclear reactors and to stop 3 new nuclear plants projects.  France: low effect. To reduce some plants (cf Fessenheim in 2016)  Germany: Decision to stop 7 aging reactors (out of 17). Decision to get out of nuclear in 2020. Actions taken already 10 years ago, 20% renewables at present.  Italy: renounced to introduce nuclear
  • 22. The reality of nuclear power worldwide?  14% of electricity produced  435 nuclear reactors in 31 countries: 104 in the USA, 58 in France, 9 in Germany, Japan 2 reconnected and 48 waiting to be reconnected  65 new reactors under construction and 200 projects (100 in China and 40 in India)  Increase in power capacity generation  Low cost of kWh doesn’t include costs of demantling aging plants
  • 24. The most ambitious challenge  Get out of nuclear while keeping greenhouse gases low  Replace nuclear power coming from France (5% of Fessenheim closing plant)  Green the energy massively  Renovate and transform the power distribution network to manage fluctuating energy sources  Manage the energy transition while our society is getting power intensive!
  • 28. Existing power mix Challenge: to replace 40% of nuclear power
  • 29. Future power mix: hydropower, new renewables and combined gas power as transition Solar power could realistically supply respectively 20% of electricity by 2025 and 20% of heat to households by 2035! Source: Swiss Solar
  • 31. Swiss 2050 energy strategy: 2 pillars at 50% each Renewable energies Energy efficiency
  • 33. Objectives and measures: PACK 1:  Reduce individual energy consumption by 35% by 2035  Stabilise power consumption after 2020  Increase hydropower  Increase renewable energies  Introduce more severe measures for energy efficiency in buildings (40% impact), electrical appliances, lighting, mobility and reduce gas emissions  Encourage local consumptions of self-produced energies  Modernise the power distribution network  Guaranty power supplies via imports and construction of new combined gas power plants PACK 2:  Create a new ecological tax combining CO2 and energy
  • 34. 3 scenarios for power (AES)
  • 35. 3 scenarios for power (AES)
  • 36. 3 scenarios for power (AES)
  • 37. Next steps  September 2013: feed-back on PACK 1 Federal 2050 energy strategy  2014 Opening up of power market to households  2015 Potential referendum on nuclear
  • 38. Things move  +67% of PV solar panels in 2012  Development of initiatives for households and companies by power suppliers and distributors  Tools to follow power consumptions: cf smart metering  AEnEC: 1.3 million tons of CO2 and energy savings by companies  Developments of innovative cleantechs (cf storing energy)
  • 39. WHAT CAN WE DO?
  • 42. Towards ultra-connected lives and homes http://www.scoop.it/t/l-experience-consommateurs-dans-l-efficience-energetique
  • 43. Here is where social media step in…  2 billion people on social networks  Local goes global  Collective impacts
  • 44. Power consumption of the average swiss family Source: OFEN
  • 45. Define a strategy and act CSR Economy Environment Governance Social Cleantechs
  • 46. For companies: moving towards CSR
  • 47. Define your commitments and your organisation
  • 48. Example of an estate owner
  • 49. Potential actions  Vote  Choose renewable energies when possible  Reduce consumptions  Check the energy label of your building/ home and areas of renovation  Reduce use of individual transportation
  • 51. Questioning: a source of evolution