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Developing Insights About the Future

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Paul Schumann
Paul Schumann

Topics covered: The Goal is Wisdom Process Ways of Looking at the Future What is a Market? Four Causes of Reality The Impact of Temperament Guidelines

BusinessÉconomie & finance
1  sur  13
Developing Insight About the Future Paul Schumann The Innovation Road Map
Outline ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
From Noise to Wisdom Creativity Diversity Methodology Conversation Facts History Dynamics/Structures Environment Wisdom Knowledge Data/Insight Noise
Process Inputs Techniques Output Decision/Question Qualitative Quantitative Time Probability Planning Implementation Assumptions Data Insight Judgement Projective Normative
Ways of Looking at the Future Future 1 Future 2 Today Normative Projective What are possible futures? Can we find a path to get to those futures? What is the trend? What may affect the trend? What are the potential futures?
A Market Customers Technology Competition Demographic Sociopolitical Scientific Economic Embedded Supportive Enabling Present Potential Possible Direct Indirect Structural
Four Causes of Reality ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Four Causes of Reality ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Four Causes of Reality ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Four Causes of Reality ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Four Causes of Reality ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Temperaments & Views of the Future Source: Keirsey (www.keirsey.com) Guardians Fatalistic Stoic Pessimistic Rationals Solipsistic Pragmatic Skeptical Idealists Mystical Meaning Credulous Artisans Cynical Hedonistic Optimistic Past Present Future
Guidelines ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Developing Insights About the Future

  • 1. Developing Insight About the Future Paul Schumann The Innovation Road Map
  • 2.
  • 3. From Noise to Wisdom Creativity Diversity Methodology Conversation Facts History Dynamics/Structures Environment Wisdom Knowledge Data/Insight Noise
  • 4. Process Inputs Techniques Output Decision/Question Qualitative Quantitative Time Probability Planning Implementation Assumptions Data Insight Judgement Projective Normative
  • 5. Ways of Looking at the Future Future 1 Future 2 Today Normative Projective What are possible futures? Can we find a path to get to those futures? What is the trend? What may affect the trend? What are the potential futures?
  • 6. A Market Customers Technology Competition Demographic Sociopolitical Scientific Economic Embedded Supportive Enabling Present Potential Possible Direct Indirect Structural
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12. Temperaments & Views of the Future Source: Keirsey (www.keirsey.com) Guardians Fatalistic Stoic Pessimistic Rationals Solipsistic Pragmatic Skeptical Idealists Mystical Meaning Credulous Artisans Cynical Hedonistic Optimistic Past Present Future
  • 13.