P2 Martin Collins - Supporting successful transitions from school in Glasgow
The NEW New West Economic Forum: Dr. Scott McAlpine, Panel Speaker
1. Pathways to Success: Post-Secondary
Education as an Economic Necessity
The “New New West”
Prepared by Scott McAlpine, President
November 8, 2012
2. Key Messages
1. BC needs a more highly educated and skilled
population to remain internationally competitive
2. New Westminster is an education destination
3. Douglas College is a major regional economic driver
4. Douglas is pursuing a vigorous growth agendato better
serve the needs of BC
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3. A Call to Action for Post-Secondary Education
Demographic Economic Challenge
Challenge (International
Knowledge
(Aging Population Economy and Low
and Low Growth) Productivity)
Education
and Skills
Challenge
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4. People Without Jobs, Jobs Without People,
Ontario Projections
Source: R. Miner, People Without Jobs, Jobs Without People
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6. Dependency Ratios, BC - Projected to 2036
(Ratio of out of Labour Force to in Labour Force)
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
Youth Dependency
0.4
Elderly Dependency
Total Dependency
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040
Source: Data from BC Stats
7. BC’s Population Change
Components of BC Population Change to 2036 - Thousands
60
50
40
30
Natural Increase
20 Net Interprovincail
Net International
10
0
1972
1974
1976
1978
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2024
2026
2028
2030
2032
2034
Year
-10
-20
Source: Data from BC Stats
8. BC Labour Force Demand by Skill Level –
Total Job Openings 2010-2020
Source: Government of BC, Skills for Growth
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9. BC 10 Year Labour Force Demand Versus
Current Supply by Educational Attainment
(Percent of Population Age 15+)
Source: HRDC and Government of BC, Skills for Growth
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10. Credentials Granted by Fiscal Year:
Mainland Southwest Excluding JIBC
Source: Data from BC Advanced Education
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11. Jobs of Tomorrow are Not the Jobs of Today
Tomorrow’s Jobs:
25% of Job Classifications are NEW every 25 years
Existing Jobs Re-Invented Every 15 Years
The Educational Challenge:
Need to Educate and Train for Skills, Adaptation, and
Innovation
Requires Critical Thinking, Teamwork, Literacy and
Numeracy Skills
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12. Doing and Discovery: About Douglas
Douglas is the college of
doing and discovery.
We encourage academic
exploration to help students
discover what they love to do.
We emphasize hands-on
learning and applying
knowledge to real-world
situations.
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13. About Douglas
We believe our foundations of doing and discovery
come together in dialogue.
We embrace the use of open dialogue to help our
students develop the skills needed by today’s global
citizens and leaders. Both inside and outside the
classroom, our students are immersed in a culture of
ideas, innovation and critical thought.
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14. More opportunities for students
• Nine degree programs (and growing)
• Six post-degree programs (and growing)
• Over 30 career programs (and growing)
• Easy transfer to and from other universities and colleges
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15. Douglas College Domestic FTE Growth:
Actual to 2011, Projected to 2015
9,500
9,000
8,500
8,000
7,500
7,000
6,500
6,000
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
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16. Our vision for 2015
Douglas College is the largest and most progressive baccalaureate
degree-granting College in British Columbia
Goals:
• Seamless Learner Pathways
• Superior Teaching Quality
• Internationalization
• Experiential Learning
• Student and Employee Engagement
• Social Responsibility, Environmental Stewardship, Financial
Accountability
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17. Some Quick Douglas College Facts
Douglas is larger than any other Non-Trades College in BC
and is larger than any Teaching University except
Kwantlen
Douglas employs 1739 people (FT and PT) and is the
second largest employer in New Westminster
Douglas College’s annual regional economic contribution
is over $225 million
Douglas attracts approximately 1100 International
Students
New Westminster is an Education Destination
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18. Key Messages
1. BC needs a more highly educated and skilled
population to remain internationally competitive
2. New Westminster is an education destination
3. Douglas College is a major regional economic driver
4. Douglas is pursuing a vigorous growth agendato better
serve the needs of BC
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20. Academic Preparedness of Grade 12 Graduates of
2009/10 (STP Data)
Douglas Region BC
No Academic GPA* 47% 52%
Admissible to RU (GPA > 39% 34%
75%)
6 Year High School New Westminster 74 80%
Graduation Rate Burnaby 81
Maple Ridge – Pitt Meadows 78
Coquitlam 89
* English 12 plus the student's other three best academic (provincially examinable) Grade 12 courses.
If students did not take at least three academic Grade 12 courses, no Academic GPA is calculated.
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21. Douglas College Share of Graduating Students by
Regional School District
District Year Douglas Share N of Students Douglas Share
Immediate (Immediate) All Grads
Transition
Burnaby 2001/02 14 146 8
2009/10 13 151 8
Coquitlam 2001/02 33 426 17
2009/10 30 393 15
New 2001/02 34 61 15
Westminster
2009/10 36 90 19
Maple Ridge- 2001/02 25 81 9
Pitt Meadows
2009/10 20 71 6
Surrey 2001/02 6 102 3
2009/10 6 142 3
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