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Climate science: The basics
Outreach Event on the IPCC Role, Activities and Findings
Event for students
30 November 2016
Kingston, Jamaica
INÉS CAMILLONI
IPCC AR5 Lead Author
Dept. of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences/CIMA
University of Buenos Aires/CONICET, Argentina
Why
Earth is a
good place
to live?
Gas, liquid & solid
Water
Moderate
temperature
Sun
Energy
Why Earth?
Not Venus?
Nor Mars?
Earth’s atmosphere
Water vapor
Carbon dioxide
Methane
Nitrous oxide
…
Greenhouse effect
Natural process that warms the Earth’s surface and
the lower atmosphere.
(IPCC2013,Fig.6.11)
CO2: +40%
CH4: +150%
N20: +20%
year 0 = 1750
The atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide,
methane and nitrous oxide have all increased since 1750
due to human activity
Evidences of climate change
Warming of the climate system is unequivocal
Independent sources
Many lines of evidence
Future climate
0.3-1.7C
2.6-4.8C
Global temperature change for the end of the 21st century is
likely to exceed 1.5°C relative to 1850 for all scenarios
(IPCC2013,Fig.SPM.7a)
(IPCC2013,Fig.SPM.9)
Global mean sea level will continue to rise during the 21st century
0.26 m
0.98 m
Limiting climate change will require substantial and
sustained reductions of greenhouse gas emissions.
Climate science: The basics  (for students)

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Climate science: The basics (for students)

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. Global mean sea level will continue to rise during the 21st century (see Figure SPM.9). Under all RCP scenarios the rate of sea level rise will very likely exceed that observed during 1971–2010 due to increased ocean warming and increased loss of mass from glaciers and ice sheets