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Global health?
GH principles
Health needs
                                 Physical and psycho-Social
                              potential developed and fulfiled
                                          If unmet :
                                 physicalhandicaps, chronic
                              stress, lonelyness, anxiety,depre
                                             ssion
                           Safety needs : from infections, toxic
                               agents, unhealthy diets and
                          sendentarism, accidents and violence
                                   If unmet : infectious
                       diseases, intoxications, cardiovascular and
                          metabolic disorders, cancer, trauma.


                       Basic physical needs : water, air, nutrition.
           If un met : malnutrition, dehydration, respiratory conditions.



J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice   5
Basic needs : enough water and food

100                                                                          50
                                                                             45
 90
                                                                             40
 80                                                                          35
                                                                             30
 70
                                                                             25
 60                                                                          20
 50                                                                          15
                                                                             10
 40
                                                                              5
 30                                                                           0
                                                                                  1990   2010   1990    2010   1990      2010
 20                                                                               Developed     Developing
                                                                                                                     Total
                                                                                  countries      countries
 10
                                                                   Underweight    1.9    1.4    28.7    15.8   25.4      16.2
  0                                                                Stunted
        LIC      L-MIC     H-MIC      HIC       All                                6      6      44     29.2   39.7      26.7

 1990                                                              Wasted         0.9    0.7     10     9.6     9        8.6
         57        71       89        99        77
                                                                   Obese          7.9    12.9   3.7     7.2    4.2       9.1
 2008    67        86       95        100       87




        J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice                           6
Safety needs
                          % DALYs and health potential lost, by unmet safety needs
              60.0%

              50.0%

              40.0%

              30.0%

              20.0%

              10.0%

               0.0%
                                                air/wat                                                                               air-   water- vector-
                                                                     air
                                  temper           er                       bioche                          illicit           Unsafe borne borne borne
                          total          trauma            total   pollutio        fat diet tobacco alcohol           total
                                   ature        particle                      m                             drugs              sex infectio infectio disease
                                                                      n
                                                    s                                                                                 ns       ns       s
                                                                                                                                                                tortal
                                                                                                                                                                safety
                                     Physical                                      chemical                                          biological
                                                                                                                                                                unmet
                                                                                                                                                                needs
%DALY                     17.5%    2.5%   12.0%   3.0%     20.9%    4.0%    1.0%     7.0%     4.1%   4.0%     0.8%    10.0%   5.1%     0.7%       4.0%   0.3%   48.4%
% Potential health lost   3.7%     0.5%   2.5%    0.6%     4.4%     0.8%    0.2%     1.5%     0.9%   0.8%     0.2%    2.1%    1.1%     0.2%       0.8%   0.1%   10.2%




                 J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice                                                      7
Health fulfillment needs : physical, psychosocial
  70.0%
  60.0%
  50.0%
                                                                                         16.00%
  40.0%
  30.0%                                                                                  14.00%
  20.0%
  10.0%                                                                                  12.00%
   0.0%                                                                                  10.00%
              world            HC      UMIC     LMIC           LIC
 % DALYs      26.3%           51.4%    44.2%    36.1%      15.6%                           8.00%
 %deaths      53.3%           66.3%    64.6%    56.6%      41.1%
                                                                                           6.00%

                                                                                           4.00%
                       7.00
                       6.00
                       5.00
                       4.00                                                                2.00%
                       3.00
                       2.00
                       1.00
                       0.00                                                                0.00%
                              WORLD    HIC     UMIC     LMIC         LIC                              world    HC      UMIC     LMIC     LIC
 Physical inactivity            0.50   0.64    0.91     0.44         0.44   % DALYs                   9.00%   14.00%   10.00%   9.00%   7.00%
 Overweight and obesity         0.44   0.70    1.12     0.40         0.40   % health potential lost   1.89%   2.94%    2.10%    1.89%   1.47%
 High blood pressure            1.17   1.40    2.19     1.18         1.18
 High cholesterol               0.41   0.48    0.81     0.32         0.32
 High blood glucose             0.53   0.58    0.77     0.44         0.44
 Low fruit and vegetable
                                0.26   0.21    0.46     0.28         0.28
         intake
Total sedentary effects         3.30   4.01    6.26     3.06         3.06

                J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice                            8
Risk combinations of ill health
                                             Unmet basic
                                               needs
                                          10% of ill -health




         Unmet fulfillment                                             Unmet safety needs

             needs                                               48% of ill-health
                                                            (59,3% if safe delivery added)

          35% of ill-health




 J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice   9
Present and potential health capacity
                                                                                             85 years LE
                                                                                        2 % health potential?
                                              Healthier lifestyles                            lost/year
                                                 Best country
                                                                                                    (Japan)83 years LE
                                                                                                   5 % health potential?
                                                                                                         lost/year
                                                   HIC
                                                                                                   (average HICs) 80 LE
                                                                                                   12% health potential
                                               World average                                             lost/year


                                                                                                     (average HICs) 62 LE
                                                    LICs                                             21 % health potential
                                                                                                           lost/year

                                                                                              57 years LE
                                                                                             30,3% health
                                               Lowest health
                                                                                           potential lost/year
                                                  state
                                                                                         Zimbabwe 42 years LE
                                                                                          82% health potential
                                                                                               lost/year


   J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice                       10
J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in
   Global health : Global Health is Global      11
                   Justice
Global Health Equity
• Most consistent stratifying variable : income
• Best standards at country level : Upper
  quintile
• Best standards at global level : High income
  region.
• Narrow disparities, improve global averages
  and best standards.


     J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice   12
Health disparities
                                                                                                                  90
dispersion of life expectancy




                                11.000

                                                                                                                  80
                                10.500




                                                                                                Life expectancy
                                                                                                                  70
                                10.000                                                  men
                                                                                        women                     60
                                 9.500                                                  all                                                                      y = 6.3959Ln(x) + 12.433
                                                                                                                                                                        R2 = 0.7041
                                                                                                                  50
                                 9.000
                                                                                                                  40
                                 8.500
                                            1990           2000           2008                                    30
                                                                                                                       0   10 000 20 000 30 000 40 000 50 000 60 000 70 000 80 000 90 000
                                                           years
                                                                                                                                               GDP pc PPP 2008




                                         J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice                                                      13
Different risks and forms of ill health
30.00%



25.00%



20.00%
                                                                                  Injuries
                                                                                  Neuropsychiatric disorders + self injuries
                                                                                  NCDs -MH/Injuries
15.00%
                                                                                  Infectious diseases
                                                                                  Nutritional deficiencies

10.00%                                                                            Perinatal conditions
                                                                                  Maternal conditions


 5.00%



 0.00%
         WORLD         LICs          LMICs          UMICs           HICs




         J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice                         14
Excess ill-health vs. best regional standards
             1800000
             1600000
             1400000
             1200000
             1000000
              800000
              600000
              400000                                                                                            Injuries
              200000                                                                                            mental health
                   0
             -200000                                                                                            NCDs -MH/Injuries
             -400000
                                LOW INCOME                LOWER MIDDLE INCOME             UPPER MIDDLE INCOME   Infectious diseases
Injuries                           214203                        549165                           130480        Nutritional deficiencies
mental health                      -23750                       -119174                               2064      Perinatal conditions
NCDs -MH/Injuries                  63441                         385607                           167824
                                                                                                                Maternal conditions
Infectious diseases                696672                        382814                           259105
Nutritional deficiencies           54884                         61483                             15694
Perinatal conditions               260550                        231043                            29470
Maternal conditions                55229                         43802                                6810

                                               Injuries      Maternal conditions
                                                 25%                3%
                                                                               Perinatal conditions
                                                                                       14%
                                                                             Nutritional deficiencies
                                                                                       4%
                                 NCDs -MH/Injuries
                                       17%                      Infectious diseases
                                                                        37%

                J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice                     15
Excess burden of disease vs. HICs
   100%

     90%


     80%


     70%


     60%


     50%
                                                                                                                                rest of burden

     40%                                                                                                                        Excess burden


     30%


     20%


     10%


       0%
                       LOW INCOME             LOWER MIDDLE INCOME       UPPER MIDDLE INCOME    TOTAL EXCESS BURDEN OF DISEASE
rest of burden           1184034                    4577872                   1158219                     6920125
Excess burden            1321229                    1534741                   611446                      3467415




                 J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice                             16
Distribution and trend of life
            expectancy




J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice   17
Distribution of child and adult mortality




   J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice   18
Excess deaths due to health inequity
       25000000                                                           25000000




                                                                          20000000
       20000000



                                                                          15000000

       15000000


                                                                          10000000


       10000000

                                                                           5000000



        5000000
                                                                                 0
                                                                                       1990             2000    2008
                                                                   Upper middle
                                                                                1549017            1912015     1792779
               0                                                     income
                     1990          2000          2008              Lower middle
                                                                                11180365 11759717 10716957
Avoidable 15-60    7209077      9007941        8921937               income
Avoidable <5       10859818     11251207      10408335             Low income        5339512       6587417     6820535



        J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice                    19
Proportion of deaths due to inequity = injustice?
           60000                                                         90.0%

                                                                         80.0%
           50000
                                                                         70.0%

                                                                         60.0%
           40000

                                                                         50.0%

           30000                                                         40.0%

                                                                         30.0%
           20000
                                                                         20.0%

           10000                                                         10.0%

                                                                          0.0%
                                                                                                   Lower middle   Upper middle
                  0                                                                Low income
                      year 1990      year 2000       year 2008                                       income         income

 % inequity deaths                                                         1990      81.1%             65.5%         49.6%
                       35.51%         36.34%          34.13%
 rest of deaths                                                            2000      84.0%             68.4%         57.3%
                       32887           33846          36586
                                                                           2008      83.8%             66.8%         57.1%
 inequity detahs       18110           19320          18960




             J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice                       20
Trend , burden and share of ill health
                             35.0%

                             30.0%

                             25.0%

                             20.0%

                             15.0%

                             10.0%

                              5.0%

                              0.0%
                                          world           HIC    UMIC          LMIC          LIC
                               2002      22.8%       12.5%       17.3%        17.5%        32.0%
                               2008      21.8%       12.3%       19.9%        17.2%        30.3%
0.250
                                                                   70.0%

0.200                                                              60.0%
                                                                   50.0%
0.150                                                              40.0%

0.100                                                              30.0%
                                                                   20.0%
0.050                                                              10.0%
                                                                    0.0%
0.000                                                                           LIC          LMIC         UMIC    world
          LIC        LMIC             UMIC        world
                                                                     2002     60.8%         28.3%         27.5%   45.1%
  2002   0.195       0.050            0.047       0.103
                                                                     2008     59.4%         28.4%         38.2%   43.5%
  2008   0.180       0.049            0.076       0.095


          J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice                   21
And national health inequities?
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
 0%
        LIC (n=29)                            LMIC (n=23)            UMIC (n=6)
 Rest     5.9%                                  11.1%                  30.4%
 GHiE    67.5%                                  66.7%                  37.8%
 NHiE    26.6%                                  22.2%                  31.7%




                     J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in
                        Global health : Global Health is Global                   22
                                        Justice
Conclusion GH situation and equity
• Unprecedented average increase in life
  expectancy (one day every three days)
• GH Inequity remained stagnant last 20 years
• GH inequity translates in some 20 m
  premature deaths per year, one in three and
  half of the burden of ill health
• NH inequity contributes to one third of the
  global health gap on average (more in LMICs)

     J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice   23
The equity approach …
Vs. The inequity principle
Annual death toll by…


• Non equity and progress : 20 m
• Non progress (since 1990) and equity : 12 m
The response of health systems
Dynamics :                Situation analysis         Definition of              Costing and                   Monitoring
                                                     BHCP/organization          budgeting scenarios           HIS/applied
                                                     of services/health                                       research
                                                     system pillars

Health priorities         Reproductive health        Child health care &        Endemic                       Prevalent non-
covered                   services                   nutrition                  communicable                  communicable
                                                                                diseases /emerging            diseases vs. chronic
                                                                                threats* vs. Acute            conditions.
                                                                                conditions.

Health pillars            Human resources for        Infrastructures and        Access to medicines           Health fair financing
                          health *                   logistics                  and fungible health           schemes
                                                                                products*

Health system             Inclusive leadership       Universal Coverage         Patient centered              Health in all
principles


(WHA 62.12)




              J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice                           27
Gaps in health system resources
              100.0                                                                 5 000

               90.0                                                                 4 500


               80.0                                                                 4 000

                                                                                    3 500
               70.0
                                                                                    3 000
               60.0
                                                                                    2 500
               50.0
                                                                                    2 000
               40.0
                                                                                    1 500
               30.0
                                                                                    1 000
               20.0
                                                                                      500

               10.0
                                                                                        0

                0.0                                                           Low income           27      11
                                                                              Lower middle
Low income            5.3    41.9    58.1     8.7    83.1     3.7                                  80      34
                                                                                income
Lower middle income   4.3    42.4    57.6     7.8    90.5     5.3             Upper middle
                                                                                                  488     269
Upper middle income   6.4    55.2    44.8     9.4    69.0    26.4               income
High income           11.2   61.3    38.7    17.2    36.1    51.4             High income         4 405   2 699


         J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice            28
Gaps in health system capacities and performance

                                                                    120
        90

        80                                                          100

        70
                                                                     80
        60
                                                                     60
        50

        40                                                           40

        30
                                                                     20
        20
                                                                      0
        10                                                                    Births                Immunizat
                                                                            attended      Births by    ion     Contracep Antiretrovi
         0                                                                  by skilled   caesarean coverage       tive   ral therapy
                                                                             health       sectionb among 1- prevalenc coverage
Low income      4          10         15                                    personnel        (%)    year-oldsd   eg (%)       (%)
                                                                              b (%)                    (%)
Lower middle
                10         14         18              Low income               43           3.3        75        39.6         40
  income
                                                      Lower middle income      65          13.0        82        65.8         42
Upper middle
                24         40         39              Upper middle income      95          28.6        92        67.5         49
  income
High income     28         81         58              High income              99          26.8        95        70.1         90




         J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice                             29
Threshold effect?
                                        Govt fin x H pc vs U5MR

300

250
                                                                                          Angola 105/220
200

150

100

50

 0
                                                              Vietnam 72, 14

      0            20              40             60               80            100             120       140   160



          J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice          30
Best efficient use of resources for health
Country                               Life expectancy               U5MR                              AMR
Maximum CI GHStandards
(HIRegion)                            69                            20                                186
Georgia                                                        72                                30             157
Paraguay                                                       74                                28             139
Guatemala                                                      69                                34             228
Sri Lanka                                                      69                                17             209
Syrian Arab Republic                                           72                                16             150
Morocco                                                        72                                36             118
Fiji                                                           70                                18             204
Vanuatu                                                        69                                33             182
Philippines                                                    70                                32             174
Tonga                                                          71                                19             188
Honduras                                                       70                                31             179
Cape Verde                                                     71                                29             185
Republic of Moldova                                            69                                17             227
Micronesia (Federated States of)                               69                                39             172
Viet Nam                                                       73                                14             150
Nicaragua                                                      74                                27             165
Solomon Islands                                                70                                36             160
total/average                                                  71                                27             176
                J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice     31
Potential gap per     Potential total                              Potential gap per     Potential total
Country               capita                gap                    Country               capita                gap
Somalia               95                    847970000              India                 47                    55105902498
                                                                   Lao People's
                                                                   Democratic
                                                                   Republic              46                    286798203
                                                                   Kenya                 44                    1698006238
Myanmar              93                    4626706050              Mozambique            42                    935340804
Democratic
Republic of the                                                  Comoros
Congo                93                    5975509500                                    39                    25851135
Eritrea              85                    417639395             Ethiopia                38                    3092508752
Sierra Leone         82                    453570055             Kyrgyzstan              37                    200772776
Sudan                79                    3270406535            Haiti                   37                    364009205
Yemen                79                    1799622530            Malawi                  37                    545483742
Guinea-Bissau        78                    122255000             Nigeria                 36                    5417034889
Central African
                                                                 Zambia
Republic             77                    332053657                                     35                    439600712
Burundi              75                    604989306             Chad                    34                    369766320
Niger                73                    1068860495            Cameroon                32                    610679289
Guinea               71                    700888267             Burkina Faso            29                    443019463
Afghanistan          70                    1912466881            Madagascar              26                    502115027
Mauritania           69                    223183130             Uzbekistan              23                    617853199
Togo                 69                    445505071             Zimbabwe                19                    238120773
Uganda               64                    2039481887            Congo                   18                    63589840
Nepal                59                    1708625067            Philippines             17                    1517190241
Tajikistan           58                    396884638             Bangladesh              15                    2355532468
Liberia              56                    213656772             Benin                   11                    94888745
Ghana                55                    1290703174            Senegal                 8                     98176440
Pakistan             53                    9406922191            Gambia                  5                     8144072
Iraq                 53                    1580040000            TOTAL
               J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice   114468324431      32
Public financing gap for global health
           standards/equity
                                                   11.5
                                                                7.8
                                                                       6.5                         HDA to PFG

                                                                        2.7                        Add redistr
                                                                                                   Add ODA 0,7%
                                                                                                   Add HAD 15%
                                                                                                   Rest gap




                     89.5



   J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice                 33
Ecological dimension : trans-
                     generational equity
12.8


11.2


 9.6


  8


 6.4


 4.8


 3.2


 1.6


  0
                                                                                                      SHE
       30.0             40.0                 50.0                 60.0                 70.0                   80.0   90.0




              J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice            34
Countries with SHE
      Country                                 Life expectancy                                Hectare use
     Indonesia                                       69.4                                         1.2

     Sri Lanka                                       74.9                                         1.2

     Morocco                                         72.2                                         1.2

     Moldova                                         69.3                                         1.4

     Viet Nam                                        75.2                                         1.4

Dominican Republic                                   73.4                                         1.5

Syrian Arab Republic                                 75.9                                         1.5

        Peru                                          74                                          1.5

     Nicaragua                                        74                                          1.6

      Algeria                                        73.1                                         1.6

       Egypt                                         73.2                                         1.7

     Armenia                                         74.2                                         1.8

    Guatemala                                        71.2                                         1.8

      Georgia                                         73.7
      J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice
                                                                                                    1.8    35
Countries with ëfficient”SHE”
Country                       Hectare use                       Country                            Hectare use
Georgia                                                  1.8 Tonga
Paraguay                                                 3.2 Honduras                                            1.8
Guatemala                                               1.8     Cape Verde
Sri Lanka                                                1.2 Republic of Moldova                                 1.4
Syrian Arab
Republic                                                 1.5 Micronesia
Morocco                                                  1.2 Viet Nam                                            1.4
Fiji                                                            Nicaragua                                        1.6
Vanuatu                                                         Solomon Islands

Philippines                                              1.3



           J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice          36
Ill health


                    legal
  values                          governance            resources
                 frameworks
                                                                                                        Physical and psycho-
                                                                                                      Social potential developed
                                                                                                              and fulfiled
                                                                                                               If unmet :
                                                                                                      physicalhandicaps, chronic
                                   health system                                                           stress, lonelyness,
                                                                                                          anxiety,depression


                                   national social
                                    governance
                 national legal                                                                         Safety needs : from
                  frameworks
                                      national
                                                                                                           infections, toxic
                                     economic
                                                        Income levels                               agents, unhealthy diets and
                                    governance
                                                       and distribution                            sendentarism, accidents and
                                                                                                               violence
                                      national
    Human
                                     ecological                                                         If unmet : infectious
solidarity and                                                                                     diseases, intoxications, cardi
                                    governance
  ecological
 equilibrium                                                                                          ovascular and metabolic
                                    global social                                                    disorders, cancer, trauma.
                                    governance


                  Global legal    global economic
                  frameworks        governance
                                                                                            Basic physical needs : water, air, nutrition.
                                                           Natural
                                  global ecological
                                                        resources and
                                                                                                             If un met :
                                     governance
                                                          conditions                          malnutrition, dehydration, respiratory
                                                                                                            conditions.




                                                J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in
                                                   Global health : Global Health is Global                                                  37
                                                                   Justice
The world’s response
• Weak global rights framework
• Weak global economic governance
  (regulation, tax redistribution)
• Weak global social governance (global social
  security)
• Weak global health governance (WHO
  democratic leadership)
• Weak global ecological governance
  (commitments, compliance)
     J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice   38
Inequity deaths 1990 vs MDG targets

20000000

18000000

16000000

14000000

12000000
                                                                                                       Non MDG
                                                                                                       Total MDG 6
10000000
                                                                                                       MDG5 target
8000000
                                                                                                       Target MDG 4
6000000

4000000

2000000

       0
            Low income            Lower middle Upper middle                           Total
                                    income       income




       J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice             39
Needs vs health ODA
                       100%
                           90%
                           80%
                           70%
                           60%
                           50%
                           40%
                           30%
                           20%
                           10%
                           0%
                                    % LIC                          % DC          % ODA
Injuries                           11. 18                          12.79           1
Mental health                      10. 81                          14.00           1
Noncommunicable conditions         26. 52                          34.96           1
Comm Diseases                      34. 53                          25.12          54
Nutritional deficiencies            2. 82                          2.33            2
Perinatal conditions (e)           11. 18                          8.54            2
Maternal conditions                 2. 96                          2.26            8



                                 J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in
                                    Global health : Global Health is Global              40
                                                    Justice
Health system fragmented
• > 100 global initiatives
• Advocacies by problems, isolated funding gap
  analysis (consolidated > 30 b!), vertical
  approaches, duplication and opportunity cost
• The case of a safe delivery : basic service
   – Vs. divided into? :
      • MDG 4 : reducing neonatal death
      • MDG 5 : SRHRs : reducing maternal deaths
      • MDG 6 :
             – AIDS : PMTCT
             – Malaria : AN PrTx
             – Tb : BCG

      J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice   41
J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in
   Global health : Global Health is Global      42
                   Justice
Mozambique
                           Health Financing 2001-2008
         350


         300


         250

                                                            Paris? Which
         200                                                Paris?
Budget




         150


         100


         50


          0
               2001       2002        2003        2004          2005        2006   2007   2008
                                                         Year
                      Government budget      Common Funds       Vertical Funds
J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice

      Aid effectiveness example: predictability and longevity of ODA must
                                 be improved


       Donor Commitments for Health as % of Total Health                       Donor Commitment for Health as % of Total Health
                        Expenditure                                                           Expenditure


100                                                                  60.00

80                                                                   50.00
                                                       Mauritania                                                                 Guinea
                                                                     40.00
60                                                                                                                                Benin
                                                       Tanzania      30.00
40                                                                                                                                Burundi
                                                       Mali          20.00
                                                                                                                                  Liberia
20
                                                                     10.00
                                                       Eritrea
 0                                                                    0.00
      1997 1998 1999 2000 2001                                                 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001




                                                                                                                                      44
Ext Health aid vs Pot Fin Gap

                                                                                 600

                                                                Niue -1003/551
                                                                                 500


                                                                                 400

                                                                         Palau
                                                                         651/323
                                                                                 300

                    7,8 Bn                                        Marshall, Mi
                                                                  cronesia, Na
                                                                  uru            200       11,5 Bn


                                      Israel -
                                                                                 100
                                      1700/50



                                                                                   0
-3500   -3000   -2500   -2000          -1500         -1000              -500           0     500
                        J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in
                           Global health : Global Health is Global                                   45
                                           Justice
J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in
   Global health : Global Health is Global      46
                   Justice
A new global solidarity framework?
• Resources for Minimum country dignity : 3300
• Maximum to keep average : 19000
0-
                                                                  1




                                                                                   10
                                                                                        15
                                                                                             20
                                                                                                  25
                                                                                                       30




                                                                           0
                                                                               5
                                                           30 000
      0-                                                     00
         1                                                       -4




                   200 000
                   400 000
                   600 000
                   800 000
                 1 000 000
                 1 200 000
                 1 400 000
                 1 600 000
                 1 800 000




                         0
  30 000
     00                                                    60 00 0
        -4                                                   00
  60 00                                                          -
     00 0                                                90 700
                                                            00         0
 90 -70                                                        -
   00 0 0                                               12 100
                                                          00         0
12 -100                                                      0- 0
  00        00                                          15 13 0
     0                                                    00         0
15 -13                                                       0- 0
  00 00                                                         16
     0       0                                          18
18 -16                                                    00 000
  00       00                                                0-
     0       0                                          21 19 0
21 -19                                                    00         0
  00       00                                                0- 0
     0       0                                          24 22 0
24 -22                                                    00         0
  00       00                                                0- 0
     0       0                                          27      25
27 -25                                                    00 000
  00       00
     0       0                                               0-
                                                        30 28 0
30 -28
  00       00                                             00         0
     0       0                                               0- 0
33 -31                                                  33 31 0
  00       00                                             00         0
     0       0                                               0- 0
                             GDP frequency/population
                                                                                                            GDP frequency/countries




                                                        36      34
36 -34
  00 00                                                   00 000
     0       0                                               0-
39 -37                                                  39 37 0
  00 00
             0
                                                          00         0
     0                                                       0- 0
42 -40                                                  42 40 0
  00 00
             0                                            00         0
     0                                                       0- 0
45 -43                                                  45 43 0
  00 00                                                              0
     0       0                                            00
                                                             0- 0
48 -46                                                  48      46
  00 00
     0-      0                                            00 000
       49                                                    0-
           00                                                   49
             0                                                      00
                                                                       0
                                                                                                                                      Countries and poulations under mDp
GDP gap, public financing gap
•   2,235 Trillion
•   20% public financing gap : 447 Bn
•   GPGs (1,5 % GDP at global level?) : 700 Bn
•   1,147 Bn
•   75% direct GDP SS : 1,11% GDP
•   25% indirect GlTr SS : 1,9% GlTr
Global SS vs. ODA

100%

90%

80%

70%

60%
                                                    Gap
50%
                                                    ODA
40%

30%

20%

10%

 0%
       Level   Predictable   Alligned   Equitable
 Gap   1047        5           85          50
 ODA   100         1           15          50
US vs. EU on Global Health
• Social values :
  – Internationalism (EU > US)
     • should deal with its own problems and let other
       countries deal with their problems as best they can…
  – Exceptionalism (US > EU)
     • their culture is superior to that of other nations
  – Role of the state (EU > US)
     • it is more important for everyone to be free to pursue
       their life’s goals without interference from the state


     J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice   51
US vs EU constitution
• concept of rights :

  – the U.S. Bill of Rights is a list of individual rights
    AGAINST the interference of the state,
  – the EU Charter of Fundamental Rights (Part II of
    the Treaty) includes a long list of rights to services
    provided by the state, including education, paid
    maternity leave, social security benefits and social
    services, preventive health care and high levels of
    environmental and consumer protection.

     J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice   52
Health ODA and equity in the last decade (for all?)
                                                                                      Inequity deaths 1990 vs MDG targets

• Focus on MDGs                                             20000000
                                                            18000000
                                                            16000000
                                                            14000000

•   Emphasis on Results                                     12000000                                                                         Non MDG
                                                                                                                                             Total MDG 6
                                                            10000000
                                                                                                                                             MDG5 target
                                                             8000000
                                                                                                                                             Target MDG 4
                                                             6000000

•   Boost of health ODA : 4 to 16 Bn $                       4000000
                                                             2000000
                                                                         0
                                                                              Low income        Lower middle Upper middle     Total
                                                                                                  income       income
•   Progress : 4 m Tx AIDS
                                                                                                         Commitments
                                                             14.000,00




•   Distortion/restriction :                                 12.000,00
                                                                                    MDG 6


     GH inequity remains                                     10.000,00
                                                                                    Other H ODA


     H systems remain weak +distorted by diseuse-
                                                              8.000,00

         approaches?
                                                              6.000,00




                                                              4.000,00




                                                              2.000,00




                                  J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in
                                                                  0,00
                                                                             2002        2003          2004       2005      2006      2007

                                     Global health : Global Health is Global                                                                          53
                                                     Justice
Federailsm
             7



             6



             5



             4



             3



             2



             1



             0
                                            US                                                       EU
Federal/EC                                 3.7                                                       0.16
States and local                           3.1                                                       6.3


             J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice   54
US vs EU economy and income equality
Indicator                                 US                                            EU
GDP pc (PPP)                              46970                                         30973
Ratio US/EU GDP pc                                                                  1,4
                GDP/employed                                                        1,3
                       GDP/hour                                                    1,09
Employment (1970,                        66  80                                       70  67
2005)
Income distribution

(top 20%/ low 20%, R :                    45/4.8, R : 9.8                               38,5/8,3, R : 4.7
ratio)
GINI index                                52.5                                          40


            J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice   55
US vs. EU fiscal policies
                                       US                                            EU

Tax revenue from GDP                   24,8                                          39,6

Tax on income and                      9,8                                           11,4
profits
Tax on property                        2,3                                           1,5

Tax on goods and                       4,5                                           11,8
services
Contributions to social                6.6                                           11.8
security


         J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice   56
US vs. EU healthy lifestyles?
40


35


30


25


20

                                                                                                                          United States of America
15                                                                                                                        European Union


10


 5


 0
     Adults aged ≥15 years who are obese    Alcohol consumption among adults         Prevalence of smoking any tobacco
                     (%)                                aged ≥15 years              product among adults aged ≥15 years
                                           (litres of pure alcohol per person per                   (%)
                                                             year)




               J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice                                   57
US vs. EU child mortality
                                              Neonatal and under five mortality rate EU-US
                 14.0


                 12.0


                 10.0


                  8.0


                  6.0


                  4.0


                  2.0


                  0.0
                           1990   2000      2008    1990     2000     2008     1990       2000     2008   1990   2000   2008    1990     2000    2008      1990     2000       2008
                                  Male                      Female                    Both sexes                 Male                  Female                     Both sexes
                                         Neonatal mortality rate (per 1000 live births)                                        Under-five mortality rate
United States of America   11.0   8.0        7.0     8.0      7.0      6.0     10.0       7.0      7.0    13.0   9.0    9.0     10.0     8.0      7.0      11.0       9         8
European Union             10.5   6.6        4.7     8.2      5.3      3.7      9.3       5.9      4.4    12.6   7.8    5.7     10.0     6.4      4.5      11.4      6.9       5.1



               J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice                                                                          58
US vs. EU adult mortality rates
                                                             Adult health EU-US
                  500

                  450

                  400

                  350

                  300

                  250

                  200

                  150

                  100

                    50

                     0
                           1990    2000     2008    1990     2000    2008    1990      2000       2008   2004                    2004
                                   Male                     Female                   Both sexes          CD       NCD Injuries   CD        NCD Injuries
                                                       Adult mortality rate
                                         (probability of dying between 15 and 60 years                        A-S mortality           Life years lost
                                                      per 1000 population)
United States of America   172     144       135      91      83      79     132         114      107    36.0    450.0    50.0   9.0       73.0     18.0
European Union             167.1   141.3    122.5    77.5    66.9    58.3    122.9     104.6      90.7   27.0    456.2    37.7   5.7       82.6     11.7



           J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice                                                59
US vs. EU health systems
                                                        Health financing EU-US
                    80

                    70

                    60

                    50

                    40

                    30

                    20

                    10

                     0
                           2000     2007      2000     2007     2000     2007     2000     2007     2000     2007    2000     2007    2000     2007
                                                                                                    Social security
                                                  General                             General
                                Total                                Private                        expenditure on    Out-of-pocket  Private prepaid
                                                government                          government
                           expenditure on                       expenditure on                       health as % of expenditure as % plans as % of
                                              expenditure on                      expenditure on
                            health as % of                       health as % of                         general        of private        private
                                               health as % of                      health as % of
                           gross domestic                      total expenditure                      government     expenditure on expenditure on
                                             total expenditure                   total government
                              product                             on healthb                        expenditure on       health           health
                                                 on healthb                         expenditure
                                                                                                        health
United States of America    13.4     15.7     43.2     45.5     56.8     54.5     17.1     19.5     33.5     27.9    25.5     22.6    60.3     63.5
European Union              8.1      8.8      74.9     76.2     25.1     23.8     13.8     15.1     50.6     51.2    70.7     68.1    21.3     21.4

                 J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice                                        60
US vs. EU health spending
                                                     Health spending per capita, EU-US
                 8000

                 7000

                 6000

                 5000

                 4000

                 3000

                 2000

                 1000

                     0
                              2000            2007           2000            2007            2000          2007         2000          2007
                           Per capita total expenditure   Per capita total expenditure      Per capita government      Per capita government
                               on health at average                 on health              expenditure on health at    expenditure on health
                               exchange rate (US$)                 (PPP int. $)          average exchange rate (US$)         (PPP int. $)
United States of America      4703            7285           4703            7285            2032          3317         2032          3317
European Union                1518            3182           1864            2754            1164          2463         1419          2119



           J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice                                       61
Signed and ratified international treaties
International treaties                 US                                            EU (all EU member states
                                                                                     directly, by EU or
                                                                                     “acquis”)
CESCR                                  NO                                            YES
CCPR                                   YES                                           YES
CCPR-OP1                               NO                                            YES
CCPR-OP2-DP                            NO                                            YES
CERD                                   YES                                           YES
CEDAW                                  NO                                            YES
CEDAW-OP                               YES                                           YES
CAT                                    YES                                           YES
CRC                                    NO                                            YES
CRC-OP-AC                              YES                                           YES
CRC-OP-SC                              YES                                           YES
MWC                                    NO                                            YES
RPD                                    NO                                            EU and all 27 MSs
          J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice     62
US vs. EU development policies
                                Common features                  US specificities                     EU specificities
Structure                       Coordination across relevant     Development Policy under             Development Policy under
                                sectors                          National Security: development       foreign policy/partly
                                                                 as a central pillar of US national   independent.
                                Policy coherence                 security policy, equal to
                                                                 diplomacy and defense.

                                Director of Development
                                agency (USaid and Europaid) in   Interagency Development              Joint EU coordination and joint
                                charge lf development policies   Policy Committee aimed at            programming.
                                and reports to US Secretary of   coherence across all
                                State/EU Foreign Office chief.   Government departments


                                                                 US Global Development
                                                                 Council for consultation with
                                                                 stakeholders
Principles                      Economic growth as main pull     US leadership and effective          Development aid is a priority
                                effect for development           partnership and a modern             for EU external action in
                                                                 architecture that elevates           support of EU's interests for a
                                Country ownership                development and harnesses            stable and prosperous world.
                                                                 development capabilities (in
                                                                 support of “common                   Inclusive and sustainable
                                                                 objectives”).                        economic growth is crucial to
                                                                                                      long-term poverty reduction and
                                                                 USAID as the world’s leading         growth patterns are as important
                                                                 development agency.                  as growth rates.
             J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice                               63
US vs. EU development priorities
Priorities                       Good governance                    "Game-changing" initiatives         Energy : Address price
                                                                    such as vaccines for neglected      volatility and energy security.
                                 Public administration and          diseases, weather-resistant seed    Link to climate change,
                                 service delivery                   varieties, and clean energy         including access to low carbon
                                                                    technologies,                       technologies. Access to secure,
                                                                                                        affordable, clean and
                                 Sector reforms                     Global Health Initiative : High     sustainable energy services.
                                                                    priority given to targeted health
                                 FTT/sustainable agriculture        challenges                          Social cohesion : share target
                                 (but see different approaches)
                                                                                                        for social inclusion and human
                                                                                                        development of at least 20% of
                                 Attention to climate change                                            EU aid : Support sector reforms
                                                                                                        that increase access to quality
                                                                                                        health and education services,
                                                                                                        mainly through „sector reform
                                                                                                        contracts‟ with intensified
                                                                                                        policy dialogue.
Different approaches on some     Agriculture and food security:     Comprehensive approach to food      Agriculture and food security:
priority areas                                                      security by accelerating economic   Safeguarding of ecosystem
                                                                    growth and raising incomes          services, priority to locally-
                                                                    through greater agricultural        developed practices and focusing
                                                                    productivity, increasing incomes    on smallholder agriculture and
                                                                    and market access for the rural     rural livelihoods. Strengthen
                                                                    poor and enhancing nutrition.       nutrition standards, food security
                                                                    Establishment of the Global         governance and reducing food
                                                                    Agriculture and Food Security       price volatility at international
                                                                    Program (GAFSP) based at the        level.
                                                                    World Bank designed to help
               J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice
                                                                    poor farmers grow, market and                                     64
                                                                    earn more.
Agriculture, food security and aid
                     modalities
Aid modalities                     Selective sectors and countries    Renew the US leadership in the     In line with the Operational
                                                                      multilateral development banks     Framework on Aid Effectiveness.
                                   Ownership of country priorities    and the G20 (seen as the premier
                                                                      forum for US international         A new element is the increased
                                                                      economic cooperation)              differentiation between
                                   Donor coordination                 Millennium Challenge               developing countries as several
                                                                      Corporation –MCC- (aligned         partner countries (notably the
                                   Leverage private funds             support-sector budget support-     BRICS) have become donors
                                                                      like), more connected to           while others are facing increasing
                                   Aligned support to country         infrastructures and water-         fragility.
                                   systems : EU GBS, US MCC           sanitation, based on governance
                                                                      and corruption assessments.
                                                                                                         General Budget Support (GBS):
                                   Leverage to private investments.                                      aligned, untargeted and
                                                                                                         predictable support to Ministries
                                   Attention to fragile contexts                                         of Finance. Now called
                                   through LRRD-like approaches.                                         development contracts


                                   Strengthen key multilateral                                           Blending instruments.
                                   capabilities.
                                                                                                         Sector reform contracts.



                 J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice                          65
US vs. EU development aid levels
                                                            EU and US development aid levels
                  90000




                  80000




                  70000
Million dollars




                  60000




                  50000




                  40000




                  30000




                  20000




                  10000




                      0
                                 2003          2004           2005           2006          2007           2008             2009       2010
     EU DAC members            41427.53       47290.44       60063.5       64741.92       67560.25       76433.07         71098.44   73733.23
     US                        18257.49       20604.13       28750.32      24531.56       22690.52       27414.13         29659.18   31159.3




                          J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice                         66
EU and US ODA as % of GDP
                            0.0600




                            0.0500




                            0.0400
ODA % of GDP




                            0.0300




                            0.0200




                            0.0100




                            0.0000
                                        2003          2004           2005          2006           2007          2008            2009     2010
               US ODA/GDP              0.0165        0.0175         0.0229         0.0184        0.0163         0.0193          0.0214   0.0216
               EU(DAC) ODA/GDP         0.0356        0.0386         0.0468         0.0465        0.0457         0.0497          0.0472   0.0479




                                J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice                     67
J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice   68
US vs. EU ODA distribution
                                                                                                                 Ratio LDCs/all
              EU and US distribution by income regions                                0.6

100%


90%
                                                                                      0.5

80%


70%                                                                                   0.4


60%


50%                                                               UMICs               0.3

                                                                  LMICs
40%                                                               other LICs
                                                                  LDCs                0.2
30%


20%

                                                                                      0.1
10%


 0%

       US EU US EU US EU US EU US EU US EU US EU US EU                                  0
                                                                                             US   EU   US   EU    US   EU   US   EU   US   EU   US   EU   US   EU   US   EU

                                                                                               2003      2004      2005      2006      2007      2008       2009      2010
       2003   2004   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009   2010
                                                                               Ratio LDCs/all 0.38 0.45 0.31 0.41 0.22 0.42 0.33 0.39 0.35 0.42 0.41 0.43 0.43 0.38 0.48 0.44




              J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice                                                         69
Share bilateral/multilateral of EU and US ODA
100%
 90%
 80%
 70%
 60%
 50%
 40%
 30%
 20%
 10%
  0%
         US     EU      US     EU      US     EU     US      EU     US      EU     US      EU     US      EU   US   EU
           2003           2004           2005           2006           2007          2008              2009     2010
Multilat 1671 1343 3466 1697 2363 1750 2380 1927 2895 2333 2992 2610 3667 2617 3775 2655
Bilat    1658 2799 1713 3031 2638 4256 2215 4546 1979 4423 2442 5032 2599 4492 2738 4717


                                                                                                                         70
       J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice
Compliance with aid effectiveness
                                   2005                     2007                            2010                 Average   Target

                                     US        EU             US              EU             US           EU
Ind 3 : disbursed/estimated
aid                                   66        58            73               62             64           61        41       85
Ind 4 : TA coordinated with
country programming                   47        36            54               50             37           50        57       50
Ind 5a : Use of country
systems :PFM                          10        41              3              40              4           56        48       55
Ind 5 b : use of country
systems : Procurement                 12        42              5              36              4           55        44       55
Ind 6 : Reduction of
programme Implementation
units (2005 baseline)                  0          0             0              48             04           61        30       60
Ind 7 : Aid Disbursements
predictable and captured by
national budgets                      29        51            37               63             30           60        43       71

Ind 8 : Untied aid                     70       80             79               86             80           92       86       89
Ind 9 : Programme-based
support                                51       27             47               36             59           48       45       66
Ind 10 : Donor missions
coordinated                            28       34              9               37              6           25       19       40
Ind 11 : Country analysis
coordinated                            40       45             37               90             39           59       43       66
                 J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice                 71
US vs. EU policies on global health
Features                          EU-US GH policy                    US GH specificities               EU GH specificities
                                  commonalities
Principles                        Country ownership                  Gender focus.                     Equity


                                  Support to health systems          Research and innovation           Governance


                                                                     Monitoring frameworks             Coherence

Priority areas                    Special attention to MDG5          AIDS (80% of the                  Universal health coverage
                                                                     programmed support)               through aligned support (50%
                                  Health system strengthenning                                         use of country systems and
                                                                     Malaria                           66% through programme
                                                                                                       based apporaches).
                                                                     Neglected tropical diseases
                                                                                                       Governance through increased
                                                                                                       core support to WHO (>50%).
                                                                     Mother and child care

                                                                                                       Coherence in trade, migration,
                                                                     Nutrition
                                                                                                       security, food security and
                                                                                                       climate change.

Targets                                                              Inputs : Financial allocations.   Process : aid affectiveness and
                                                                                                       governance.
                                                                     Impacts : Patients prevented or
                                                                     treated.

             J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice                       72
US vs. EU levels of HDA
               8000


               7000


               6000


               5000


               4000


               3000


               2000


               1000


                    0
                                                EU                                                       US
other                                          1207
Nutrition                                      112                                                       75
SRHR                                           280                                                       455
Basic health care                              602
Mother and child care                                                                                    495
Malaria                                         60                                                       382
Tuberculosis                                    35                                                       162
HIV/AIDS                                       564                                                      5509




                J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice   73
J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice   74
US HAD equity
                                            Equity distribution of US GH pc
                                                                                                   50

                                                                                                   45

                                                                                                   40

                                                                                                   35

                                                                                                   30

                                                                                                   25

                                                                                                   20

                                                                       y = -0.003x + 4.887
                                                                            R² = 0.025             15

                                                                                                   10

                                                                                                    5

                                                                                                    0
-2500          -2000                -1500                 -1000                     -500                0   500




        J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice        75
EU HDA equity
                                                                                                         20
                                                                                                         18
                                                                                                         16

                                                                                                         14
EU pc health aid




                                                                                                         12
                                                                                                         10
                                                                                                           8
                                                                                                           6
                             y = -0,0031x + 0,9267
                                   2                                                                       4
                                 R = 0,0078
                                                                                                           2
                                                                                                           0
                   -250,00         -200,00           -150,00           -100,00           -50,00             0,00     50,00
                                                  potential pc public health financing gap



                     J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice           76
Challenges for EU and US on GHE
•   PERTINENCE

•   Health development aid (hereafter HDA) does not address the main root causes of the main
    challenge in global health: stagnant global health equity. These causes are related to high income
    disparities within and between countries.

•   HDA follows the MDG framework, which only targets 60% of the overall gap of global health
    equity, when under the main stratifying variable, that of income, the upper regional quintile (high
    income region) is considered the best standard.

•   Countries with lower public spending per capita should maximize their potential of fiscal revenue
    (to at least 20% of GDP) and the public budget allocation to health (to some 15% , as the OECD
    average and the Abuja commitments for Africa). The gap remaining after those increased domestic
    revenues are estimated, affects the 44 countries listed in annex 4, for a total of over 100 Bn a
    year, that is, some 6 times higher than the present levels of HDA.

•   Besides lower than required levels of HAD, the distribution is not equitable in relation to the
    mentioned public financing needs. Only 30,9% of ODA goes to countries that are under this
    financial gap. Both, the EU and the US show low HAD equity levels.




           J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice   77
JUAN GARAY: Salud Global: tendencias y desafíos
JUAN GARAY: Salud Global: tendencias y desafíos
JUAN GARAY: Salud Global: tendencias y desafíos
JUAN GARAY: Salud Global: tendencias y desafíos
JUAN GARAY: Salud Global: tendencias y desafíos
JUAN GARAY: Salud Global: tendencias y desafíos

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JUAN GARAY: Salud Global: tendencias y desafíos

  • 3. Health needs Physical and psycho-Social potential developed and fulfiled If unmet : physicalhandicaps, chronic stress, lonelyness, anxiety,depre ssion Safety needs : from infections, toxic agents, unhealthy diets and sendentarism, accidents and violence If unmet : infectious diseases, intoxications, cardiovascular and metabolic disorders, cancer, trauma. Basic physical needs : water, air, nutrition. If un met : malnutrition, dehydration, respiratory conditions. J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 5
  • 4. Basic needs : enough water and food 100 50 45 90 40 80 35 30 70 25 60 20 50 15 10 40 5 30 0 1990 2010 1990 2010 1990 2010 20 Developed Developing Total countries countries 10 Underweight 1.9 1.4 28.7 15.8 25.4 16.2 0 Stunted LIC L-MIC H-MIC HIC All 6 6 44 29.2 39.7 26.7 1990 Wasted 0.9 0.7 10 9.6 9 8.6 57 71 89 99 77 Obese 7.9 12.9 3.7 7.2 4.2 9.1 2008 67 86 95 100 87 J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 6
  • 5. Safety needs % DALYs and health potential lost, by unmet safety needs 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% air/wat air- water- vector- air temper er bioche illicit Unsafe borne borne borne total trauma total pollutio fat diet tobacco alcohol total ature particle m drugs sex infectio infectio disease n s ns ns s tortal safety Physical chemical biological unmet needs %DALY 17.5% 2.5% 12.0% 3.0% 20.9% 4.0% 1.0% 7.0% 4.1% 4.0% 0.8% 10.0% 5.1% 0.7% 4.0% 0.3% 48.4% % Potential health lost 3.7% 0.5% 2.5% 0.6% 4.4% 0.8% 0.2% 1.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.2% 2.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.8% 0.1% 10.2% J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 7
  • 6. Health fulfillment needs : physical, psychosocial 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 16.00% 40.0% 30.0% 14.00% 20.0% 10.0% 12.00% 0.0% 10.00% world HC UMIC LMIC LIC % DALYs 26.3% 51.4% 44.2% 36.1% 15.6% 8.00% %deaths 53.3% 66.3% 64.6% 56.6% 41.1% 6.00% 4.00% 7.00 6.00 5.00 4.00 2.00% 3.00 2.00 1.00 0.00 0.00% WORLD HIC UMIC LMIC LIC world HC UMIC LMIC LIC Physical inactivity 0.50 0.64 0.91 0.44 0.44 % DALYs 9.00% 14.00% 10.00% 9.00% 7.00% Overweight and obesity 0.44 0.70 1.12 0.40 0.40 % health potential lost 1.89% 2.94% 2.10% 1.89% 1.47% High blood pressure 1.17 1.40 2.19 1.18 1.18 High cholesterol 0.41 0.48 0.81 0.32 0.32 High blood glucose 0.53 0.58 0.77 0.44 0.44 Low fruit and vegetable 0.26 0.21 0.46 0.28 0.28 intake Total sedentary effects 3.30 4.01 6.26 3.06 3.06 J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 8
  • 7. Risk combinations of ill health Unmet basic needs 10% of ill -health Unmet fulfillment Unmet safety needs needs 48% of ill-health (59,3% if safe delivery added) 35% of ill-health J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 9
  • 8. Present and potential health capacity 85 years LE 2 % health potential? Healthier lifestyles lost/year Best country (Japan)83 years LE 5 % health potential? lost/year HIC (average HICs) 80 LE 12% health potential World average lost/year (average HICs) 62 LE LICs 21 % health potential lost/year 57 years LE 30,3% health Lowest health potential lost/year state Zimbabwe 42 years LE 82% health potential lost/year J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 10
  • 9. J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global 11 Justice
  • 10. Global Health Equity • Most consistent stratifying variable : income • Best standards at country level : Upper quintile • Best standards at global level : High income region. • Narrow disparities, improve global averages and best standards. J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 12
  • 11. Health disparities 90 dispersion of life expectancy 11.000 80 10.500 Life expectancy 70 10.000 men women 60 9.500 all y = 6.3959Ln(x) + 12.433 R2 = 0.7041 50 9.000 40 8.500 1990 2000 2008 30 0 10 000 20 000 30 000 40 000 50 000 60 000 70 000 80 000 90 000 years GDP pc PPP 2008 J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 13
  • 12. Different risks and forms of ill health 30.00% 25.00% 20.00% Injuries Neuropsychiatric disorders + self injuries NCDs -MH/Injuries 15.00% Infectious diseases Nutritional deficiencies 10.00% Perinatal conditions Maternal conditions 5.00% 0.00% WORLD LICs LMICs UMICs HICs J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 14
  • 13. Excess ill-health vs. best regional standards 1800000 1600000 1400000 1200000 1000000 800000 600000 400000 Injuries 200000 mental health 0 -200000 NCDs -MH/Injuries -400000 LOW INCOME LOWER MIDDLE INCOME UPPER MIDDLE INCOME Infectious diseases Injuries 214203 549165 130480 Nutritional deficiencies mental health -23750 -119174 2064 Perinatal conditions NCDs -MH/Injuries 63441 385607 167824 Maternal conditions Infectious diseases 696672 382814 259105 Nutritional deficiencies 54884 61483 15694 Perinatal conditions 260550 231043 29470 Maternal conditions 55229 43802 6810 Injuries Maternal conditions 25% 3% Perinatal conditions 14% Nutritional deficiencies 4% NCDs -MH/Injuries 17% Infectious diseases 37% J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 15
  • 14. Excess burden of disease vs. HICs 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% rest of burden 40% Excess burden 30% 20% 10% 0% LOW INCOME LOWER MIDDLE INCOME UPPER MIDDLE INCOME TOTAL EXCESS BURDEN OF DISEASE rest of burden 1184034 4577872 1158219 6920125 Excess burden 1321229 1534741 611446 3467415 J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 16
  • 15. Distribution and trend of life expectancy J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 17
  • 16. Distribution of child and adult mortality J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 18
  • 17. Excess deaths due to health inequity 25000000 25000000 20000000 20000000 15000000 15000000 10000000 10000000 5000000 5000000 0 1990 2000 2008 Upper middle 1549017 1912015 1792779 0 income 1990 2000 2008 Lower middle 11180365 11759717 10716957 Avoidable 15-60 7209077 9007941 8921937 income Avoidable <5 10859818 11251207 10408335 Low income 5339512 6587417 6820535 J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 19
  • 18. Proportion of deaths due to inequity = injustice? 60000 90.0% 80.0% 50000 70.0% 60.0% 40000 50.0% 30000 40.0% 30.0% 20000 20.0% 10000 10.0% 0.0% Lower middle Upper middle 0 Low income year 1990 year 2000 year 2008 income income % inequity deaths 1990 81.1% 65.5% 49.6% 35.51% 36.34% 34.13% rest of deaths 2000 84.0% 68.4% 57.3% 32887 33846 36586 2008 83.8% 66.8% 57.1% inequity detahs 18110 19320 18960 J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 20
  • 19. Trend , burden and share of ill health 35.0% 30.0% 25.0% 20.0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% world HIC UMIC LMIC LIC 2002 22.8% 12.5% 17.3% 17.5% 32.0% 2008 21.8% 12.3% 19.9% 17.2% 30.3% 0.250 70.0% 0.200 60.0% 50.0% 0.150 40.0% 0.100 30.0% 20.0% 0.050 10.0% 0.0% 0.000 LIC LMIC UMIC world LIC LMIC UMIC world 2002 60.8% 28.3% 27.5% 45.1% 2002 0.195 0.050 0.047 0.103 2008 59.4% 28.4% 38.2% 43.5% 2008 0.180 0.049 0.076 0.095 J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 21
  • 20. And national health inequities? 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% LIC (n=29) LMIC (n=23) UMIC (n=6) Rest 5.9% 11.1% 30.4% GHiE 67.5% 66.7% 37.8% NHiE 26.6% 22.2% 31.7% J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global 22 Justice
  • 21. Conclusion GH situation and equity • Unprecedented average increase in life expectancy (one day every three days) • GH Inequity remained stagnant last 20 years • GH inequity translates in some 20 m premature deaths per year, one in three and half of the burden of ill health • NH inequity contributes to one third of the global health gap on average (more in LMICs) J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 23
  • 23. Vs. The inequity principle
  • 24. Annual death toll by… • Non equity and progress : 20 m • Non progress (since 1990) and equity : 12 m
  • 25. The response of health systems Dynamics : Situation analysis Definition of Costing and Monitoring BHCP/organization budgeting scenarios HIS/applied of services/health research system pillars Health priorities Reproductive health Child health care & Endemic Prevalent non- covered services nutrition communicable communicable diseases /emerging diseases vs. chronic threats* vs. Acute conditions. conditions. Health pillars Human resources for Infrastructures and Access to medicines Health fair financing health * logistics and fungible health schemes products* Health system Inclusive leadership Universal Coverage Patient centered Health in all principles (WHA 62.12) J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 27
  • 26. Gaps in health system resources 100.0 5 000 90.0 4 500 80.0 4 000 3 500 70.0 3 000 60.0 2 500 50.0 2 000 40.0 1 500 30.0 1 000 20.0 500 10.0 0 0.0 Low income 27 11 Lower middle Low income 5.3 41.9 58.1 8.7 83.1 3.7 80 34 income Lower middle income 4.3 42.4 57.6 7.8 90.5 5.3 Upper middle 488 269 Upper middle income 6.4 55.2 44.8 9.4 69.0 26.4 income High income 11.2 61.3 38.7 17.2 36.1 51.4 High income 4 405 2 699 J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 28
  • 27. Gaps in health system capacities and performance 120 90 80 100 70 80 60 60 50 40 40 30 20 20 0 10 Births Immunizat attended Births by ion Contracep Antiretrovi 0 by skilled caesarean coverage tive ral therapy health sectionb among 1- prevalenc coverage Low income 4 10 15 personnel (%) year-oldsd eg (%) (%) b (%) (%) Lower middle 10 14 18 Low income 43 3.3 75 39.6 40 income Lower middle income 65 13.0 82 65.8 42 Upper middle 24 40 39 Upper middle income 95 28.6 92 67.5 49 income High income 28 81 58 High income 99 26.8 95 70.1 90 J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 29
  • 28. Threshold effect? Govt fin x H pc vs U5MR 300 250 Angola 105/220 200 150 100 50 0 Vietnam 72, 14 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 30
  • 29. Best efficient use of resources for health Country Life expectancy U5MR AMR Maximum CI GHStandards (HIRegion) 69 20 186 Georgia 72 30 157 Paraguay 74 28 139 Guatemala 69 34 228 Sri Lanka 69 17 209 Syrian Arab Republic 72 16 150 Morocco 72 36 118 Fiji 70 18 204 Vanuatu 69 33 182 Philippines 70 32 174 Tonga 71 19 188 Honduras 70 31 179 Cape Verde 71 29 185 Republic of Moldova 69 17 227 Micronesia (Federated States of) 69 39 172 Viet Nam 73 14 150 Nicaragua 74 27 165 Solomon Islands 70 36 160 total/average 71 27 176 J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 31
  • 30. Potential gap per Potential total Potential gap per Potential total Country capita gap Country capita gap Somalia 95 847970000 India 47 55105902498 Lao People's Democratic Republic 46 286798203 Kenya 44 1698006238 Myanmar 93 4626706050 Mozambique 42 935340804 Democratic Republic of the Comoros Congo 93 5975509500 39 25851135 Eritrea 85 417639395 Ethiopia 38 3092508752 Sierra Leone 82 453570055 Kyrgyzstan 37 200772776 Sudan 79 3270406535 Haiti 37 364009205 Yemen 79 1799622530 Malawi 37 545483742 Guinea-Bissau 78 122255000 Nigeria 36 5417034889 Central African Zambia Republic 77 332053657 35 439600712 Burundi 75 604989306 Chad 34 369766320 Niger 73 1068860495 Cameroon 32 610679289 Guinea 71 700888267 Burkina Faso 29 443019463 Afghanistan 70 1912466881 Madagascar 26 502115027 Mauritania 69 223183130 Uzbekistan 23 617853199 Togo 69 445505071 Zimbabwe 19 238120773 Uganda 64 2039481887 Congo 18 63589840 Nepal 59 1708625067 Philippines 17 1517190241 Tajikistan 58 396884638 Bangladesh 15 2355532468 Liberia 56 213656772 Benin 11 94888745 Ghana 55 1290703174 Senegal 8 98176440 Pakistan 53 9406922191 Gambia 5 8144072 Iraq 53 1580040000 TOTAL J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 114468324431 32
  • 31. Public financing gap for global health standards/equity 11.5 7.8 6.5 HDA to PFG 2.7 Add redistr Add ODA 0,7% Add HAD 15% Rest gap 89.5 J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 33
  • 32. Ecological dimension : trans- generational equity 12.8 11.2 9.6 8 6.4 4.8 3.2 1.6 0 SHE 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0 90.0 J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 34
  • 33. Countries with SHE Country Life expectancy Hectare use Indonesia 69.4 1.2 Sri Lanka 74.9 1.2 Morocco 72.2 1.2 Moldova 69.3 1.4 Viet Nam 75.2 1.4 Dominican Republic 73.4 1.5 Syrian Arab Republic 75.9 1.5 Peru 74 1.5 Nicaragua 74 1.6 Algeria 73.1 1.6 Egypt 73.2 1.7 Armenia 74.2 1.8 Guatemala 71.2 1.8 Georgia 73.7 J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 1.8 35
  • 34. Countries with ëfficient”SHE” Country Hectare use Country Hectare use Georgia 1.8 Tonga Paraguay 3.2 Honduras 1.8 Guatemala 1.8 Cape Verde Sri Lanka 1.2 Republic of Moldova 1.4 Syrian Arab Republic 1.5 Micronesia Morocco 1.2 Viet Nam 1.4 Fiji Nicaragua 1.6 Vanuatu Solomon Islands Philippines 1.3 J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 36
  • 35. Ill health legal values governance resources frameworks Physical and psycho- Social potential developed and fulfiled If unmet : physicalhandicaps, chronic health system stress, lonelyness, anxiety,depression national social governance national legal Safety needs : from frameworks national infections, toxic economic Income levels agents, unhealthy diets and governance and distribution sendentarism, accidents and violence national Human ecological If unmet : infectious solidarity and diseases, intoxications, cardi governance ecological equilibrium ovascular and metabolic global social disorders, cancer, trauma. governance Global legal global economic frameworks governance Basic physical needs : water, air, nutrition. Natural global ecological resources and If un met : governance conditions malnutrition, dehydration, respiratory conditions. J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global 37 Justice
  • 36. The world’s response • Weak global rights framework • Weak global economic governance (regulation, tax redistribution) • Weak global social governance (global social security) • Weak global health governance (WHO democratic leadership) • Weak global ecological governance (commitments, compliance) J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 38
  • 37. Inequity deaths 1990 vs MDG targets 20000000 18000000 16000000 14000000 12000000 Non MDG Total MDG 6 10000000 MDG5 target 8000000 Target MDG 4 6000000 4000000 2000000 0 Low income Lower middle Upper middle Total income income J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 39
  • 38. Needs vs health ODA 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% % LIC % DC % ODA Injuries 11. 18 12.79 1 Mental health 10. 81 14.00 1 Noncommunicable conditions 26. 52 34.96 1 Comm Diseases 34. 53 25.12 54 Nutritional deficiencies 2. 82 2.33 2 Perinatal conditions (e) 11. 18 8.54 2 Maternal conditions 2. 96 2.26 8 J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global 40 Justice
  • 39. Health system fragmented • > 100 global initiatives • Advocacies by problems, isolated funding gap analysis (consolidated > 30 b!), vertical approaches, duplication and opportunity cost • The case of a safe delivery : basic service – Vs. divided into? : • MDG 4 : reducing neonatal death • MDG 5 : SRHRs : reducing maternal deaths • MDG 6 : – AIDS : PMTCT – Malaria : AN PrTx – Tb : BCG J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 41
  • 40. J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global 42 Justice
  • 41. Mozambique Health Financing 2001-2008 350 300 250 Paris? Which 200 Paris? Budget 150 100 50 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Year Government budget Common Funds Vertical Funds
  • 42. J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice Aid effectiveness example: predictability and longevity of ODA must be improved Donor Commitments for Health as % of Total Health Donor Commitment for Health as % of Total Health Expenditure Expenditure 100 60.00 80 50.00 Mauritania Guinea 40.00 60 Benin Tanzania 30.00 40 Burundi Mali 20.00 Liberia 20 10.00 Eritrea 0 0.00 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 44
  • 43. Ext Health aid vs Pot Fin Gap 600 Niue -1003/551 500 400 Palau 651/323 300 7,8 Bn Marshall, Mi cronesia, Na uru 200 11,5 Bn Israel - 100 1700/50 0 -3500 -3000 -2500 -2000 -1500 -1000 -500 0 500 J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global 45 Justice
  • 44. J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global 46 Justice
  • 45. A new global solidarity framework? • Resources for Minimum country dignity : 3300 • Maximum to keep average : 19000
  • 46. 0- 1 10 15 20 25 30 0 5 30 000 0- 00 1 -4 200 000 400 000 600 000 800 000 1 000 000 1 200 000 1 400 000 1 600 000 1 800 000 0 30 000 00 60 00 0 -4 00 60 00 - 00 0 90 700 00 0 90 -70 - 00 0 0 12 100 00 0 12 -100 0- 0 00 00 15 13 0 0 00 0 15 -13 0- 0 00 00 16 0 0 18 18 -16 00 000 00 00 0- 0 0 21 19 0 21 -19 00 0 00 00 0- 0 0 0 24 22 0 24 -22 00 0 00 00 0- 0 0 0 27 25 27 -25 00 000 00 00 0 0 0- 30 28 0 30 -28 00 00 00 0 0 0 0- 0 33 -31 33 31 0 00 00 00 0 0 0 0- 0 GDP frequency/population GDP frequency/countries 36 34 36 -34 00 00 00 000 0 0 0- 39 -37 39 37 0 00 00 0 00 0 0 0- 0 42 -40 42 40 0 00 00 0 00 0 0 0- 0 45 -43 45 43 0 00 00 0 0 0 00 0- 0 48 -46 48 46 00 00 0- 0 00 000 49 0- 00 49 0 00 0 Countries and poulations under mDp
  • 47. GDP gap, public financing gap • 2,235 Trillion • 20% public financing gap : 447 Bn • GPGs (1,5 % GDP at global level?) : 700 Bn • 1,147 Bn • 75% direct GDP SS : 1,11% GDP • 25% indirect GlTr SS : 1,9% GlTr
  • 48. Global SS vs. ODA 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% Gap 50% ODA 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Level Predictable Alligned Equitable Gap 1047 5 85 50 ODA 100 1 15 50
  • 49. US vs. EU on Global Health • Social values : – Internationalism (EU > US) • should deal with its own problems and let other countries deal with their problems as best they can… – Exceptionalism (US > EU) • their culture is superior to that of other nations – Role of the state (EU > US) • it is more important for everyone to be free to pursue their life’s goals without interference from the state J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 51
  • 50. US vs EU constitution • concept of rights : – the U.S. Bill of Rights is a list of individual rights AGAINST the interference of the state, – the EU Charter of Fundamental Rights (Part II of the Treaty) includes a long list of rights to services provided by the state, including education, paid maternity leave, social security benefits and social services, preventive health care and high levels of environmental and consumer protection. J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 52
  • 51. Health ODA and equity in the last decade (for all?) Inequity deaths 1990 vs MDG targets • Focus on MDGs 20000000 18000000 16000000 14000000 • Emphasis on Results 12000000 Non MDG Total MDG 6 10000000 MDG5 target 8000000 Target MDG 4 6000000 • Boost of health ODA : 4 to 16 Bn $ 4000000 2000000 0 Low income Lower middle Upper middle Total income income • Progress : 4 m Tx AIDS Commitments 14.000,00 • Distortion/restriction : 12.000,00 MDG 6 GH inequity remains 10.000,00 Other H ODA H systems remain weak +distorted by diseuse- 8.000,00 approaches? 6.000,00 4.000,00 2.000,00 J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in 0,00 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Global health : Global Health is Global 53 Justice
  • 52. Federailsm 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 US EU Federal/EC 3.7 0.16 States and local 3.1 6.3 J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 54
  • 53. US vs EU economy and income equality Indicator US EU GDP pc (PPP) 46970 30973 Ratio US/EU GDP pc 1,4 GDP/employed 1,3 GDP/hour 1,09 Employment (1970,  66  80 70  67 2005) Income distribution (top 20%/ low 20%, R : 45/4.8, R : 9.8 38,5/8,3, R : 4.7 ratio) GINI index 52.5 40 J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 55
  • 54. US vs. EU fiscal policies US EU Tax revenue from GDP 24,8 39,6 Tax on income and 9,8 11,4 profits Tax on property 2,3 1,5 Tax on goods and 4,5 11,8 services Contributions to social 6.6 11.8 security J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 56
  • 55. US vs. EU healthy lifestyles? 40 35 30 25 20 United States of America 15 European Union 10 5 0 Adults aged ≥15 years who are obese Alcohol consumption among adults Prevalence of smoking any tobacco (%) aged ≥15 years product among adults aged ≥15 years (litres of pure alcohol per person per (%) year) J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 57
  • 56. US vs. EU child mortality Neonatal and under five mortality rate EU-US 14.0 12.0 10.0 8.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 1990 2000 2008 1990 2000 2008 1990 2000 2008 1990 2000 2008 1990 2000 2008 1990 2000 2008 Male Female Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Neonatal mortality rate (per 1000 live births) Under-five mortality rate United States of America 11.0 8.0 7.0 8.0 7.0 6.0 10.0 7.0 7.0 13.0 9.0 9.0 10.0 8.0 7.0 11.0 9 8 European Union 10.5 6.6 4.7 8.2 5.3 3.7 9.3 5.9 4.4 12.6 7.8 5.7 10.0 6.4 4.5 11.4 6.9 5.1 J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 58
  • 57. US vs. EU adult mortality rates Adult health EU-US 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 1990 2000 2008 1990 2000 2008 1990 2000 2008 2004 2004 Male Female Both sexes CD NCD Injuries CD NCD Injuries Adult mortality rate (probability of dying between 15 and 60 years A-S mortality Life years lost per 1000 population) United States of America 172 144 135 91 83 79 132 114 107 36.0 450.0 50.0 9.0 73.0 18.0 European Union 167.1 141.3 122.5 77.5 66.9 58.3 122.9 104.6 90.7 27.0 456.2 37.7 5.7 82.6 11.7 J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 59
  • 58. US vs. EU health systems Health financing EU-US 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2000 2007 2000 2007 2000 2007 2000 2007 2000 2007 2000 2007 2000 2007 Social security General General Total Private expenditure on Out-of-pocket Private prepaid government government expenditure on expenditure on health as % of expenditure as % plans as % of expenditure on expenditure on health as % of health as % of general of private private health as % of health as % of gross domestic total expenditure government expenditure on expenditure on total expenditure total government product on healthb expenditure on health health on healthb expenditure health United States of America 13.4 15.7 43.2 45.5 56.8 54.5 17.1 19.5 33.5 27.9 25.5 22.6 60.3 63.5 European Union 8.1 8.8 74.9 76.2 25.1 23.8 13.8 15.1 50.6 51.2 70.7 68.1 21.3 21.4 J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 60
  • 59. US vs. EU health spending Health spending per capita, EU-US 8000 7000 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 2000 2007 2000 2007 2000 2007 2000 2007 Per capita total expenditure Per capita total expenditure Per capita government Per capita government on health at average on health expenditure on health at expenditure on health exchange rate (US$) (PPP int. $) average exchange rate (US$) (PPP int. $) United States of America 4703 7285 4703 7285 2032 3317 2032 3317 European Union 1518 3182 1864 2754 1164 2463 1419 2119 J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 61
  • 60. Signed and ratified international treaties International treaties US EU (all EU member states directly, by EU or “acquis”) CESCR NO YES CCPR YES YES CCPR-OP1 NO YES CCPR-OP2-DP NO YES CERD YES YES CEDAW NO YES CEDAW-OP YES YES CAT YES YES CRC NO YES CRC-OP-AC YES YES CRC-OP-SC YES YES MWC NO YES RPD NO EU and all 27 MSs J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 62
  • 61. US vs. EU development policies Common features US specificities EU specificities Structure Coordination across relevant Development Policy under Development Policy under sectors National Security: development foreign policy/partly as a central pillar of US national independent. Policy coherence security policy, equal to diplomacy and defense. Director of Development agency (USaid and Europaid) in Interagency Development Joint EU coordination and joint charge lf development policies Policy Committee aimed at programming. and reports to US Secretary of coherence across all State/EU Foreign Office chief. Government departments US Global Development Council for consultation with stakeholders Principles Economic growth as main pull US leadership and effective Development aid is a priority effect for development partnership and a modern for EU external action in architecture that elevates support of EU's interests for a Country ownership development and harnesses stable and prosperous world. development capabilities (in support of “common Inclusive and sustainable objectives”). economic growth is crucial to long-term poverty reduction and USAID as the world’s leading growth patterns are as important development agency. as growth rates. J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 63
  • 62. US vs. EU development priorities Priorities Good governance "Game-changing" initiatives Energy : Address price such as vaccines for neglected volatility and energy security. Public administration and diseases, weather-resistant seed Link to climate change, service delivery varieties, and clean energy including access to low carbon technologies, technologies. Access to secure, affordable, clean and Sector reforms Global Health Initiative : High sustainable energy services. priority given to targeted health FTT/sustainable agriculture challenges Social cohesion : share target (but see different approaches) for social inclusion and human development of at least 20% of Attention to climate change EU aid : Support sector reforms that increase access to quality health and education services, mainly through „sector reform contracts‟ with intensified policy dialogue. Different approaches on some Agriculture and food security: Comprehensive approach to food Agriculture and food security: priority areas security by accelerating economic Safeguarding of ecosystem growth and raising incomes services, priority to locally- through greater agricultural developed practices and focusing productivity, increasing incomes on smallholder agriculture and and market access for the rural rural livelihoods. Strengthen poor and enhancing nutrition. nutrition standards, food security Establishment of the Global governance and reducing food Agriculture and Food Security price volatility at international Program (GAFSP) based at the level. World Bank designed to help J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice poor farmers grow, market and 64 earn more.
  • 63. Agriculture, food security and aid modalities Aid modalities Selective sectors and countries Renew the US leadership in the In line with the Operational multilateral development banks Framework on Aid Effectiveness. Ownership of country priorities and the G20 (seen as the premier forum for US international A new element is the increased economic cooperation) differentiation between Donor coordination Millennium Challenge developing countries as several Corporation –MCC- (aligned partner countries (notably the Leverage private funds support-sector budget support- BRICS) have become donors like), more connected to while others are facing increasing Aligned support to country infrastructures and water- fragility. systems : EU GBS, US MCC sanitation, based on governance and corruption assessments. General Budget Support (GBS): Leverage to private investments. aligned, untargeted and predictable support to Ministries Attention to fragile contexts of Finance. Now called through LRRD-like approaches. development contracts Strengthen key multilateral Blending instruments. capabilities. Sector reform contracts. J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 65
  • 64. US vs. EU development aid levels EU and US development aid levels 90000 80000 70000 Million dollars 60000 50000 40000 30000 20000 10000 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 EU DAC members 41427.53 47290.44 60063.5 64741.92 67560.25 76433.07 71098.44 73733.23 US 18257.49 20604.13 28750.32 24531.56 22690.52 27414.13 29659.18 31159.3 J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 66
  • 65. EU and US ODA as % of GDP 0.0600 0.0500 0.0400 ODA % of GDP 0.0300 0.0200 0.0100 0.0000 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 US ODA/GDP 0.0165 0.0175 0.0229 0.0184 0.0163 0.0193 0.0214 0.0216 EU(DAC) ODA/GDP 0.0356 0.0386 0.0468 0.0465 0.0457 0.0497 0.0472 0.0479 J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 67
  • 66. J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 68
  • 67. US vs. EU ODA distribution Ratio LDCs/all EU and US distribution by income regions 0.6 100% 90% 0.5 80% 70% 0.4 60% 50% UMICs 0.3 LMICs 40% other LICs LDCs 0.2 30% 20% 0.1 10% 0% US EU US EU US EU US EU US EU US EU US EU US EU 0 US EU US EU US EU US EU US EU US EU US EU US EU 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Ratio LDCs/all 0.38 0.45 0.31 0.41 0.22 0.42 0.33 0.39 0.35 0.42 0.41 0.43 0.43 0.38 0.48 0.44 J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 69
  • 68. Share bilateral/multilateral of EU and US ODA 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% US EU US EU US EU US EU US EU US EU US EU US EU 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Multilat 1671 1343 3466 1697 2363 1750 2380 1927 2895 2333 2992 2610 3667 2617 3775 2655 Bilat 1658 2799 1713 3031 2638 4256 2215 4546 1979 4423 2442 5032 2599 4492 2738 4717 70 J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice
  • 69. Compliance with aid effectiveness 2005 2007 2010 Average Target US EU US EU US EU Ind 3 : disbursed/estimated aid 66 58 73 62 64 61 41 85 Ind 4 : TA coordinated with country programming 47 36 54 50 37 50 57 50 Ind 5a : Use of country systems :PFM 10 41 3 40 4 56 48 55 Ind 5 b : use of country systems : Procurement 12 42 5 36 4 55 44 55 Ind 6 : Reduction of programme Implementation units (2005 baseline) 0 0 0 48 04 61 30 60 Ind 7 : Aid Disbursements predictable and captured by national budgets 29 51 37 63 30 60 43 71 Ind 8 : Untied aid 70 80 79 86 80 92 86 89 Ind 9 : Programme-based support 51 27 47 36 59 48 45 66 Ind 10 : Donor missions coordinated 28 34 9 37 6 25 19 40 Ind 11 : Country analysis coordinated 40 45 37 90 39 59 43 66 J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 71
  • 70. US vs. EU policies on global health Features EU-US GH policy US GH specificities EU GH specificities commonalities Principles Country ownership Gender focus. Equity Support to health systems Research and innovation Governance Monitoring frameworks Coherence Priority areas Special attention to MDG5 AIDS (80% of the Universal health coverage programmed support) through aligned support (50% Health system strengthenning use of country systems and Malaria 66% through programme based apporaches). Neglected tropical diseases Governance through increased core support to WHO (>50%). Mother and child care Coherence in trade, migration, Nutrition security, food security and climate change. Targets Inputs : Financial allocations. Process : aid affectiveness and governance. Impacts : Patients prevented or treated. J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 72
  • 71. US vs. EU levels of HDA 8000 7000 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 EU US other 1207 Nutrition 112 75 SRHR 280 455 Basic health care 602 Mother and child care 495 Malaria 60 382 Tuberculosis 35 162 HIV/AIDS 564 5509 J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 73
  • 72. J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 74
  • 73. US HAD equity Equity distribution of US GH pc 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 y = -0.003x + 4.887 R² = 0.025 15 10 5 0 -2500 -2000 -1500 -1000 -500 0 500 J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 75
  • 74. EU HDA equity 20 18 16 14 EU pc health aid 12 10 8 6 y = -0,0031x + 0,9267 2 4 R = 0,0078 2 0 -250,00 -200,00 -150,00 -100,00 -50,00 0,00 50,00 potential pc public health financing gap J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 76
  • 75. Challenges for EU and US on GHE • PERTINENCE • Health development aid (hereafter HDA) does not address the main root causes of the main challenge in global health: stagnant global health equity. These causes are related to high income disparities within and between countries. • HDA follows the MDG framework, which only targets 60% of the overall gap of global health equity, when under the main stratifying variable, that of income, the upper regional quintile (high income region) is considered the best standard. • Countries with lower public spending per capita should maximize their potential of fiscal revenue (to at least 20% of GDP) and the public budget allocation to health (to some 15% , as the OECD average and the Abuja commitments for Africa). The gap remaining after those increased domestic revenues are estimated, affects the 44 countries listed in annex 4, for a total of over 100 Bn a year, that is, some 6 times higher than the present levels of HDA. • Besides lower than required levels of HAD, the distribution is not equitable in relation to the mentioned public financing needs. Only 30,9% of ODA goes to countries that are under this financial gap. Both, the EU and the US show low HAD equity levels. J Garay, Challenges for EU and US policies in Global health : Global Health is Global Justice 77

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. the International Covenant on Economic, Social and Cultural Rights (CESCR), which is monitored by the Committee on Economic, Social and Cultural Rights; the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights (CCPR), which is monitored by the Human Rights Committee;the Optional Protocol to the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights (CCPR-OP1), which is administered by the Human Rights Committee; the Second Optional Protocol to the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights, aimed at the abolition of the death penalty (CCPR-OP2-DP);the International Convention on the Elimination of All Forms of Racial Discrimination (CERD), which is monitored by the Committee on the Elimination of Racial Discrimination;the Convention on the Elimination of All Forms of Discrimination against Women (CEDAW), which is monitored by the Committee on the Elimination of Discrimination against Women;the Optional Protocol to the Convention on the Elimination of All Forms of Discrimination against Women (CEDAW-OP);the Convention against Torture and Other Cruel, Inhuman or Degrading Treatment or Punishment (CAT), which is monitored by the Committee against Torture; the Convention on the Rights of the Child (CRC), which is monitored by the Committee on the Rights of the Child;the Optional Protocol to the Convention on the Rights of the Child (CRC-OP-AC) on the involvement of children in armed conflict;the Optional Protocol to the Convention on the Rights of the Child (CRC-OP-SC) on the sale of children, child prostitution and child pornography.the International Convention on the Protection of the Rights of All Migrant Workers and Members of Their Families (MWC).UN Convention on the Rights of Persons with Disabilities
  2. In the field of health, health strategies and services need to be measured not just in their average impact but also on their effect on equity and sustainability (trans-generational equity). The main strategies which have a greater effect on impact, equity and sustainability are those related to agro-ecology as a sustainable strategy of food and water sovereignty (reducing for instance food miles) and security in a equilibrium with natural resources, and with lifestyles that have co-benefits in reducing carbon emissions while increasing health safety and fulfillment needs : these relate to increase the levels of physical activity to the adequate human potential levels (decreasing sedentary lifestyles) while decreasing the use of energy (e.g. through physical means of energy sources for daily needs), as well as increasing the psychosocial activities aimed at the social fulfillment while reducing also the abuse of energy and natural resources (e.g. through community gardening, social solidarity and community health, agricultural and social programmes, while reducing dependency on virtual means of communication).