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Photovoltaic System Analysis


         The following analysis was produced to predict the best photovoltaic system that would yield the
highest annual savings and the fastest return period with high performance. The energy consumption for
the building was first calculated to address the PV system size requirements. Table 1: Building
Consumption has the designated kWh/day required for this facility and the available roof area for the
solar panels.
         With this information a better cost comparison was created. Table 2: Cost Analysis compares the
four distinct solar panels that have qualified for CPS rebate and have high performance. The first option
was the one UTSA has used, the second is one of the panels with the highest wattage in the market, and
the last two have the lowest price to wattage ratio. All solar panels have high performance ratings.
Moreover, Table 2 predicts the daily production of kWh/day and the PV system size for each distinct
solar panel. Table 2: Cost Analysis takes into account the prices of the panels (obtained from
http://www.affordable-solar.com). The installation cost was estimated by 411 Energy LLC, who is a
solar rebate contractor that meets the qualifications for CPS rebate by being NABCEP Certified. The
North American Board of Certified Energy Practitioners (NABCEP) is the “gold standard” for PV and
solar heating installation certification. This certification is designed to raise industry standards and
promote consumer confidence. In terms of rebate, the $100,000 comes from the CPS Energy Solar
Initiative Rebate Program. This rebate program provides tiered incentives ranging from $1.30 to $2.50
per AC watt based on the calculated expected performance of the system with a rebate of up to $100,000
for commercial installations. With this information the total cost for each system was acquired.
         After estimating the system’s cost, Table 3: Financial Performance was constructed to do the
final comparison of the electric monthly bill, monthly savings, return period and price per kW. This
table was populated through the use of the result acquired from tables 4-7. The four different system’s
financial projections, see table 4-7, were constructed using the following assumptions. A 6.95 cents per
kWh current electrical cost with a 4.35% annual increase, and an annual kWh production degradation of
0.05% per year based on manufacturer’s warranty guideline. The projected kWh production was based
on the National Renewable Energy Laboratory’s “PV Watts" Performance Calculator. Table 4-7 have
the calculations for all four PV systems return period.
         In summary, efficient option 2 (CS6P 240 Canadian Solar) has the lowest return period, lowest
cost per kW, second to the highest percentage of solar energy bill, and second to the highest monthly
savings as seen in Table 3: Financial Performance. For these reasons this will be the chosen solar panel.
The final PV system will be a 87.2 kW system with 167,935 kWh average annual production and
$14,282 average yearly savings. Additionally, a 30% tax credit will be applicable under the Federal Tax
Credits for Consumer Energy Efficiency.
Table 1: Building Consumption
                                       Size                    sq. ft.                 23,000.00
                          Building Energy Consumption         kWh/day                   1,474.52
                              Solar Panel Roof Area             sq. ft.                   6,300



                                             Table 2: System Cost Analysis
                                  1                 2                   3                    4                 5
          Type               UTSA Option         E-20-435      Efficient Option 1   Efficient Option 2   No Solar Power
        Size (kW)               84.00             117.79              86.84                87.23               -
   Cost of each panel          $314.12               -              $342.00              $280.59               -


     Cost of System           $109,942.00       $ 6 per watt      $104,213.13          $101,977.54             -
   Cost of Installation       $336,000.00       $706,718.19       $347,377.11          $348,902.11             -
  Cost of Inverters, etc.     $40,000.00                           $40,000.00          $40,000.00


      *CPS Rebate             $100,000.00       $100,000.00       $100,000.00          $100,000.00             -


   Total System Cost           $385,942          $606,718          $391,590             $390,880               -
Comparison of the four chosen panels that qualify for the CPS rebate and outputs the total system cost.

*This estimate presumes that the local utility, CPS Energy, provides close to $100,000 as part of their renewable
energy incentive program. The actual value may differ depending on circumstances interpretation, date
restrictions, and other incentive guidelines.




                                            Table 3: Financial Performance


                                 1                  2                   3                    4                  5
         Type                UTSA Option         E-20-435      Efficient Option 1   Efficient Option 2   No Solar Power
  Total Electric Cost
                                $2,176            $1,797            $2,147               $2,140             $3,117
       monthly
  Monthly Savings                $941             $1,320             $971                 $977                 0
 Return Period (yr.)             21.3              23.1              21.2                 21.1
          $/kW                $4,594.55         $5,151.01         $4,509.11            $4,481.25
Table 4: UTSA OPTION

                                                               Avoided Cost
                           Solar Electric Energy               from Electric   Cumulative
         Year              Generation (kWh/yr.)    Price/kWh    Generation       Savings
           1                      162,421            0.070        $11,288        $11,288
           2                      163,981            0.073        $11,892        $23,181
           3                      163,899            0.076        $12,404        $35,584
           4                      163,817            0.079        $12,937        $48,521
           5                      163,735            0.082        $13,493        $62,013
           6                      163,653            0.086        $14,073        $76,086
           7                      163,571            0.090        $14,677        $90,763
           8                      163,490            0.094        $15,308       $106,071
           9                      163,408            0.098        $15,966       $122,038
          10                      163,326            0.102        $16,652       $138,690
          11                      163,245            0.106        $17,368       $156,058
          12                      163,163            0.111        $18,114       $174,172
          13                      163,081            0.116        $18,893       $193,065
          14                      163,000            0.121        $19,705       $212,770
          15                      162,918            0.126        $20,552       $233,322
          16                     162,837             0.132       $21,435       $254,757
          17                     162,755             0.137       $22,356       $277,113
          18                     162,674             0.143       $23,317       $300,430
          19                     162,593             0.150       $24,319       $324,749
          20                     162,511             0.156       $25,364       $350,114
          21                     162,430             0.163       $26,455       $376,568
          22                     162,349             0.170       $27,592       $404,160

      Key Metrics                 Value

      PV System                  $485,942
      CPS Rebate                 $100,000
     Total System                $385,942


Estimated Simple Payback        21.3 years
Table 5: E-20-435

                                                                 Avoided Cost
                           Solar Electric Energy                 from Electric   Cumulative
         Year              Generation (kWh/yr.)      Price/kWh    Generation       Savings
           1                      227,858              0.070        $15,836        $15,836
           2                      227,858              0.073        $16,525        $32,361
           3                      227,744              0.076        $17,235        $49,596
           4                      227,630              0.079        $17,976        $67,572
           5                      227,516              0.082        $18,749        $86,321
           6                      227,402              0.086        $19,554       $105,875
           7                      227,289              0.090        $20,395       $126,270
           8                      227,175              0.094        $21,271       $147,541
           9                      227,061              0.098        $22,185       $169,726
          10                      226,948              0.102        $23,139       $192,865
          11                      226,834              0.106        $24,133       $216,999
          12                      226,721              0.111        $25,171       $242,169
          13                      226,608              0.116        $26,252       $268,422
          14                      226,494              0.121        $27,381       $295,802
          15                      226,381              0.126        $28,557       $324,360
          16                     226,268               0.132       $29,785       $354,145
          17                     226,155               0.137       $31,065       $385,209
          18                     226,042               0.143       $32,400       $417,609
          19                     225,929               0.150       $33,792       $451,402
          20                     225,816               0.156       $35,245       $486,647
          21                     225,703               0.163       $36,760       $523,406
          22                     225,590               0.170       $38,339       $561,746
          23                     225,477               0.177       $39,987       $601,733
          24                     225,364               0.185       $41,706       $643,439

      Key Metrics                 Value

      PV System                  $706,718
      CPS Rebate                 $100,000
     Total System                $606,718


Estimated Simple Payback        23.1 years
Table 6: Efficient Option 1

                                                                  Avoided Cost
                           Solar Electric Energy                  from Electric   Cumulative
         Year              Generation (kWh/yr.)       Price/kWh    Generation       Savings
           1                      168,000               0.070        $11,676        $11,676
           2                      168,000               0.073        $12,184        $23,860
           3                      167,916               0.076        $12,708        $36,568
           4                      167,832               0.079        $13,254        $49,821
           5                      167,748               0.082        $13,823        $63,645
           6                      167,665               0.086        $14,417        $78,062
           7                      167,581               0.090        $15,037        $93,099
           8                      167,497               0.094        $15,683       $108,782
           9                      167,413               0.098        $16,357       $125,140
          10                      167,329               0.102        $17,060       $142,200
          11                      167,246               0.106        $17,794       $159,994
          12                      167,162               0.111        $18,558       $178,552
          13                      167,079               0.116        $19,356       $197,908
          14                      166,995               0.121        $20,188       $218,096
          15                      166,912               0.126        $21,055       $239,152
          16                      166,828               0.132        $21,960       $261,112
          17                      166,745               0.137        $22,904       $284,016
          18                      166,661               0.143        $23,889       $307,905
          19                      166,578               0.150        $24,915       $332,820
          20                      166,495               0.156        $25,986       $358,806
          21                      166,411               0.163        $27,103       $385,909
          22                      166,328               0.170        $28,268       $414,177



      Key Metrics                 Value

      PV System                  $491,590
      CPS Rebate                 $100,000
     Total System                $391,590


Estimated Simple Payback        21.2 years
Table 7: Efficient Option 2

                                                                  Avoided Cost
                           Solar Electric Energy                  from Electric   Cumulative
         Year              Generation (kWh/yr.)       Price/kWh    Generation       Savings
           1                      168,738               0.070        $11,727        $11,727
           2                      168,738               0.073        $12,237        $23,965
           3                      168,653               0.076        $12,763        $36,728
           4                      168,569               0.079        $13,312        $50,040
           5                      168,485               0.082        $13,884        $63,924
           6                      168,401               0.086        $14,481        $78,405
           7                      168,316               0.090        $15,103        $93,508
           8                      168,232               0.094        $15,752       $109,260
           9                      168,148               0.098        $16,429       $125,689
          10                      168,064               0.102        $17,135       $142,824
          11                      167,980               0.106        $17,872       $160,696
          12                      167,896               0.111        $18,640       $179,336
          13                      167,812               0.116        $19,441       $198,777
          14                      167,728               0.121        $20,276       $219,053
          15                      167,644               0.126        $21,148       $240,201
          16                      167,560               0.132        $22,057       $262,258
          17                      167,477               0.137        $23,005       $285,263
          18                      167,393               0.143        $23,994       $309,257
          19                      167,309               0.150        $25,025       $334,281
          20                      167,226               0.156        $26,100       $360,381
          21                      167,142               0.163        $27,222       $387,603
          22                      167,058               0.170        $28,392       $415,995



      Key Metrics                 Value

      PV System                  $490,880
      CPS Rebate                 $100,000
     Total System                $390,879


Estimated Simple Payback        21.1 years

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Pv system analysis

  • 1. Photovoltaic System Analysis The following analysis was produced to predict the best photovoltaic system that would yield the highest annual savings and the fastest return period with high performance. The energy consumption for the building was first calculated to address the PV system size requirements. Table 1: Building Consumption has the designated kWh/day required for this facility and the available roof area for the solar panels. With this information a better cost comparison was created. Table 2: Cost Analysis compares the four distinct solar panels that have qualified for CPS rebate and have high performance. The first option was the one UTSA has used, the second is one of the panels with the highest wattage in the market, and the last two have the lowest price to wattage ratio. All solar panels have high performance ratings. Moreover, Table 2 predicts the daily production of kWh/day and the PV system size for each distinct solar panel. Table 2: Cost Analysis takes into account the prices of the panels (obtained from http://www.affordable-solar.com). The installation cost was estimated by 411 Energy LLC, who is a solar rebate contractor that meets the qualifications for CPS rebate by being NABCEP Certified. The North American Board of Certified Energy Practitioners (NABCEP) is the “gold standard” for PV and solar heating installation certification. This certification is designed to raise industry standards and promote consumer confidence. In terms of rebate, the $100,000 comes from the CPS Energy Solar Initiative Rebate Program. This rebate program provides tiered incentives ranging from $1.30 to $2.50 per AC watt based on the calculated expected performance of the system with a rebate of up to $100,000 for commercial installations. With this information the total cost for each system was acquired. After estimating the system’s cost, Table 3: Financial Performance was constructed to do the final comparison of the electric monthly bill, monthly savings, return period and price per kW. This table was populated through the use of the result acquired from tables 4-7. The four different system’s financial projections, see table 4-7, were constructed using the following assumptions. A 6.95 cents per kWh current electrical cost with a 4.35% annual increase, and an annual kWh production degradation of 0.05% per year based on manufacturer’s warranty guideline. The projected kWh production was based on the National Renewable Energy Laboratory’s “PV Watts" Performance Calculator. Table 4-7 have the calculations for all four PV systems return period. In summary, efficient option 2 (CS6P 240 Canadian Solar) has the lowest return period, lowest cost per kW, second to the highest percentage of solar energy bill, and second to the highest monthly savings as seen in Table 3: Financial Performance. For these reasons this will be the chosen solar panel. The final PV system will be a 87.2 kW system with 167,935 kWh average annual production and $14,282 average yearly savings. Additionally, a 30% tax credit will be applicable under the Federal Tax Credits for Consumer Energy Efficiency.
  • 2. Table 1: Building Consumption Size sq. ft. 23,000.00 Building Energy Consumption kWh/day 1,474.52 Solar Panel Roof Area sq. ft. 6,300 Table 2: System Cost Analysis 1 2 3 4 5 Type UTSA Option E-20-435 Efficient Option 1 Efficient Option 2 No Solar Power Size (kW) 84.00 117.79 86.84 87.23 - Cost of each panel $314.12 - $342.00 $280.59 - Cost of System $109,942.00 $ 6 per watt $104,213.13 $101,977.54 - Cost of Installation $336,000.00 $706,718.19 $347,377.11 $348,902.11 - Cost of Inverters, etc. $40,000.00 $40,000.00 $40,000.00 *CPS Rebate $100,000.00 $100,000.00 $100,000.00 $100,000.00 - Total System Cost $385,942 $606,718 $391,590 $390,880 - Comparison of the four chosen panels that qualify for the CPS rebate and outputs the total system cost. *This estimate presumes that the local utility, CPS Energy, provides close to $100,000 as part of their renewable energy incentive program. The actual value may differ depending on circumstances interpretation, date restrictions, and other incentive guidelines. Table 3: Financial Performance 1 2 3 4 5 Type UTSA Option E-20-435 Efficient Option 1 Efficient Option 2 No Solar Power Total Electric Cost $2,176 $1,797 $2,147 $2,140 $3,117 monthly Monthly Savings $941 $1,320 $971 $977 0 Return Period (yr.) 21.3 23.1 21.2 21.1 $/kW $4,594.55 $5,151.01 $4,509.11 $4,481.25
  • 3. Table 4: UTSA OPTION Avoided Cost Solar Electric Energy from Electric Cumulative Year Generation (kWh/yr.) Price/kWh Generation Savings 1 162,421 0.070 $11,288 $11,288 2 163,981 0.073 $11,892 $23,181 3 163,899 0.076 $12,404 $35,584 4 163,817 0.079 $12,937 $48,521 5 163,735 0.082 $13,493 $62,013 6 163,653 0.086 $14,073 $76,086 7 163,571 0.090 $14,677 $90,763 8 163,490 0.094 $15,308 $106,071 9 163,408 0.098 $15,966 $122,038 10 163,326 0.102 $16,652 $138,690 11 163,245 0.106 $17,368 $156,058 12 163,163 0.111 $18,114 $174,172 13 163,081 0.116 $18,893 $193,065 14 163,000 0.121 $19,705 $212,770 15 162,918 0.126 $20,552 $233,322 16 162,837 0.132 $21,435 $254,757 17 162,755 0.137 $22,356 $277,113 18 162,674 0.143 $23,317 $300,430 19 162,593 0.150 $24,319 $324,749 20 162,511 0.156 $25,364 $350,114 21 162,430 0.163 $26,455 $376,568 22 162,349 0.170 $27,592 $404,160 Key Metrics Value PV System $485,942 CPS Rebate $100,000 Total System $385,942 Estimated Simple Payback 21.3 years
  • 4. Table 5: E-20-435 Avoided Cost Solar Electric Energy from Electric Cumulative Year Generation (kWh/yr.) Price/kWh Generation Savings 1 227,858 0.070 $15,836 $15,836 2 227,858 0.073 $16,525 $32,361 3 227,744 0.076 $17,235 $49,596 4 227,630 0.079 $17,976 $67,572 5 227,516 0.082 $18,749 $86,321 6 227,402 0.086 $19,554 $105,875 7 227,289 0.090 $20,395 $126,270 8 227,175 0.094 $21,271 $147,541 9 227,061 0.098 $22,185 $169,726 10 226,948 0.102 $23,139 $192,865 11 226,834 0.106 $24,133 $216,999 12 226,721 0.111 $25,171 $242,169 13 226,608 0.116 $26,252 $268,422 14 226,494 0.121 $27,381 $295,802 15 226,381 0.126 $28,557 $324,360 16 226,268 0.132 $29,785 $354,145 17 226,155 0.137 $31,065 $385,209 18 226,042 0.143 $32,400 $417,609 19 225,929 0.150 $33,792 $451,402 20 225,816 0.156 $35,245 $486,647 21 225,703 0.163 $36,760 $523,406 22 225,590 0.170 $38,339 $561,746 23 225,477 0.177 $39,987 $601,733 24 225,364 0.185 $41,706 $643,439 Key Metrics Value PV System $706,718 CPS Rebate $100,000 Total System $606,718 Estimated Simple Payback 23.1 years
  • 5. Table 6: Efficient Option 1 Avoided Cost Solar Electric Energy from Electric Cumulative Year Generation (kWh/yr.) Price/kWh Generation Savings 1 168,000 0.070 $11,676 $11,676 2 168,000 0.073 $12,184 $23,860 3 167,916 0.076 $12,708 $36,568 4 167,832 0.079 $13,254 $49,821 5 167,748 0.082 $13,823 $63,645 6 167,665 0.086 $14,417 $78,062 7 167,581 0.090 $15,037 $93,099 8 167,497 0.094 $15,683 $108,782 9 167,413 0.098 $16,357 $125,140 10 167,329 0.102 $17,060 $142,200 11 167,246 0.106 $17,794 $159,994 12 167,162 0.111 $18,558 $178,552 13 167,079 0.116 $19,356 $197,908 14 166,995 0.121 $20,188 $218,096 15 166,912 0.126 $21,055 $239,152 16 166,828 0.132 $21,960 $261,112 17 166,745 0.137 $22,904 $284,016 18 166,661 0.143 $23,889 $307,905 19 166,578 0.150 $24,915 $332,820 20 166,495 0.156 $25,986 $358,806 21 166,411 0.163 $27,103 $385,909 22 166,328 0.170 $28,268 $414,177 Key Metrics Value PV System $491,590 CPS Rebate $100,000 Total System $391,590 Estimated Simple Payback 21.2 years
  • 6. Table 7: Efficient Option 2 Avoided Cost Solar Electric Energy from Electric Cumulative Year Generation (kWh/yr.) Price/kWh Generation Savings 1 168,738 0.070 $11,727 $11,727 2 168,738 0.073 $12,237 $23,965 3 168,653 0.076 $12,763 $36,728 4 168,569 0.079 $13,312 $50,040 5 168,485 0.082 $13,884 $63,924 6 168,401 0.086 $14,481 $78,405 7 168,316 0.090 $15,103 $93,508 8 168,232 0.094 $15,752 $109,260 9 168,148 0.098 $16,429 $125,689 10 168,064 0.102 $17,135 $142,824 11 167,980 0.106 $17,872 $160,696 12 167,896 0.111 $18,640 $179,336 13 167,812 0.116 $19,441 $198,777 14 167,728 0.121 $20,276 $219,053 15 167,644 0.126 $21,148 $240,201 16 167,560 0.132 $22,057 $262,258 17 167,477 0.137 $23,005 $285,263 18 167,393 0.143 $23,994 $309,257 19 167,309 0.150 $25,025 $334,281 20 167,226 0.156 $26,100 $360,381 21 167,142 0.163 $27,222 $387,603 22 167,058 0.170 $28,392 $415,995 Key Metrics Value PV System $490,880 CPS Rebate $100,000 Total System $390,879 Estimated Simple Payback 21.1 years