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Beyond	
  taxonomy:	
  A	
  traits-­‐based	
  
approach	
  to	
  fish	
  community	
  ecology	
  	
  
	
  
Julian	
  D.	
  Olden	
  
School	
  of	
  Aqua,c	
  and	
  Fishery	
  Sciences	
  
University	
  of	
  Washington	
  
olden@uw.edu	
  
Big	
  Fish	
  Eat	
  Li,le	
  Fish	
  by	
  Pieter	
  Brueghel	
  the	
  Elder	
  (1557)	
  
Threats	
  to	
  Freshwater	
  Fishes	
  
Habitat loss Pollution
Fragmentation Climate change
Invasive species
Disease
Why	
  Trait-­‐based	
  Ecology?	
  
•  Enhances	
  our	
  mechanis,c	
  
understanding	
  of	
  
ecological	
  paHern	
  and	
  
process	
  
•  Provides	
  greater	
  
opportunity	
  for	
  
generaliza,on	
  
•  Links	
  biodiversity	
  and	
  
ecosystem	
  func,on	
  
	
  	
  
Traits	
  in	
  Fish	
  Community	
  Ecology	
  
•  The	
  study	
  of	
  fish	
  traits	
  can	
  be	
  used	
  to	
  understand	
  complex	
  
phenomena,	
  including	
  why	
  organisms	
  live	
  where	
  they	
  do,	
  
how	
  many	
  species	
  can	
  coexist	
  in	
  a	
  given	
  place,	
  and	
  how	
  they	
  
will	
  respond	
  to	
  environmental	
  change	
  
0	
  
20	
  
40	
  
60	
  
80	
  
100	
  
120	
  
1991	
   1994	
   1997	
   2000	
   2003	
   2006	
   2009	
   2012	
  
#	
  publicaFons	
  
ISI	
  Web	
  of	
  Science	
  search	
  on	
  
Jan	
  20,	
  2013	
  using	
  the	
  query	
  
“fish	
  AND	
  trait*	
  AND	
  
(community	
  OR	
  assemblage)”	
  
Research	
  PrioriFes	
  
“In	
  an	
  ideal	
  world,	
  an	
  understanding	
  of	
  
how	
  fish	
  assemblages	
  change	
  in	
  response	
  
to	
  natural	
  changes	
  along	
  different	
  ,me	
  
scales	
  would	
  be	
  necessary	
  …	
  	
  
	
  
This	
  is	
  no	
  longer	
  always	
  possible,	
  
however,	
  since	
  most	
  aqua,c	
  
environments	
  are	
  already	
  subject	
  to	
  
some	
  form	
  of	
  human	
  interven,on	
  …	
  
	
  
Therefore,	
  it	
  is	
  necessary	
  to	
  deal	
  with	
  
mixed	
  signals,	
  and	
  part	
  of	
  the	
  challenge	
  
lies	
  in	
  numerically	
  dis,nguishing	
  these	
  
signals,	
  as	
  well	
  as	
  pucng	
  them	
  in	
  
perspec,ve.”	
  
Today’s	
  PresentaFon	
  
1.	
  Do	
  species	
  traits	
  provide	
  
predic,ve	
  insight	
  into	
  those	
  
fish	
  species	
  at	
  greatest	
  risk	
  to	
  
ex,nc,on?	
  
	
  
2.	
  Does	
  a	
  traits-­‐based	
  
approach	
  represent	
  a	
  
unifying	
  framework	
  for	
  
an,cipa,ng	
  how	
  fish	
  species	
  
and	
  communi,es	
  will	
  
response	
  to	
  environmental	
  
change?	
  
Biodiversity	
  and	
  	
  
Ecosystem	
  Func,oning	
  
Ex,nc,on	
   Invasion	
  
1.	
  ExFncFon	
  Risk	
  of	
  Fishes	
  
•  Conserva,on	
  biology	
  is	
  faced	
  with	
  a	
  growing	
  urgency	
  to	
  
iden,fy	
  and	
  protect	
  species	
  facing	
  the	
  greatest	
  risk	
  of	
  
ex,nc,on	
  (Pimm	
  and	
  Jenkins	
  2005)	
  
•  This	
  is	
  a	
  challenging	
  task	
  because	
  direct	
  es,mates	
  of	
  
ex,nc,on	
  risk	
  for	
  most	
  species	
  are	
  lacking	
  (O’Grady	
  et	
  al.	
  2004)	
  
•  Ecological	
  traits	
  can	
  help	
  iden,fy	
  species	
  that	
  are	
  
vulnerable	
  to	
  ex,nc,on	
  
Body	
  Size	
  and	
  Global	
  ExFncFon	
  Risk	
  	
  
•  Body	
  size	
  is	
  a	
  fundamental	
  ecological	
  
parameter	
  correlated	
  with	
  many	
  other	
  life-­‐
history	
  characteris,cs	
  
•  Ecological	
  theory	
  and	
  global-­‐scale	
  analyses	
  
of	
  bird	
  and	
  mammal	
  faunas	
  suggest	
  that	
  
small-­‐bodied	
  species	
  are	
  less	
  vulnerable	
  to	
  
ex,nc,on	
  
•  We	
  compared	
  body-­‐size	
  distribu,ons	
  of	
  
22,800	
  freshwater	
  and	
  marine	
  fishes	
  under	
  
different	
  levels	
  of	
  global	
  ex,nc,on	
  risk	
  
YES.	
  Dip	
  sta,s,c	
  =	
  0.12,	
  
d.f.	
  =	
  14,	
  P	
  =	
  0.042	
  	
  
NO.	
  Dip	
  sta,s,c	
  =	
  0.07,	
  
d.f.	
  =	
  16,	
  P	
  =	
  0.889	
  	
  
Olden,	
  J.D.,	
  Hogan,	
  Z.S.,	
  and	
  M.J.	
  Vander	
  Zanden.	
  2007.	
  Small	
  fish,	
  big	
  fish,	
  red	
  fish,	
  blue	
  fish:	
  size-­‐biased	
  
ex,nc,on	
  risk	
  of	
  the	
  world’s	
  freshwater	
  and	
  marine	
  fishes.	
  Global	
  Ecology	
  and	
  Biogeography	
  16:694-­‐701.	
  
Is	
  the	
  distribu,on	
  significantly	
  bi-­‐modal?	
  
ImplicaFons	
  
•  Given	
  limited	
  resources	
  for	
  
conduc,ng	
  detailed	
  species	
  
assessments,	
  iden,fying	
  trait-­‐
based	
  indicators	
  of	
  ex,nc,on	
  
risk	
  could	
  be	
  extremely	
  
valuable	
  for	
  conserva,on	
  
ranking	
  schemes	
  
•  Traits	
  may	
  provide	
  insight	
  into	
  
the	
  ecosystem	
  implica,ons	
  of	
  
species	
  losses	
  (and	
  invasions)	
  
Castello	
  et	
  al.,	
  in	
  press.	
  The	
  vulnerability	
  of	
  Amazon	
  
freshwater	
  ecosystems.	
  Conserva;on	
  Le,ers.	
  	
  	
  
2.	
  Life-­‐histories	
  and	
  the	
  habitat	
  templet	
  
Trade-­‐offs	
  among	
  energeFc	
  
investments	
  in	
  growth,	
  
reproducFon,	
  and	
  
survivorship	
  have	
  resulted	
  
in	
  the	
  evoluFon	
  of	
  life	
  
history	
  strategies	
  that	
  
enable	
  an	
  organism	
  to	
  cope	
  
with	
  ecological	
  challenges	
  
Southwood	
  (1988)	
  
Fish	
  Life-­‐history	
  Theory	
  
•  Life	
  history	
  theory	
  has	
  sparked	
  new	
  
perspec,ves	
  in	
  understanding	
  the	
  
paHerns	
  and	
  drivers	
  of	
  freshwater	
  
biodiversity	
  
	
  
Olden	
  &	
  Kennard	
  (2010)	
  
•  Life-­‐history	
  strategies	
  
have	
  evolved	
  from	
  
trade-­‐offs	
  among	
  traits	
  
that	
  have	
  direct	
  
consequences	
  for	
  
fitness	
  in	
  different	
  
environments	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
(Winemiller	
  and	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
Rose	
  1992)	
  
	
  
Fecundity	
  
Fish	
  Life-­‐history	
  Theory	
  
Fecundity	
  
OPPORTUNISTIC	
  
• 	
  small	
  
• 	
  rapidly	
  matura,on	
  
• 	
  low	
  fecundity	
  
• 	
  unpredictable	
  env.	
  
PERIODIC	
  
• 	
  large	
  
• 	
  late	
  matura,on	
  
• 	
  high	
  fecundity	
  
• 	
  seasonal	
  env.	
  
EQUILIBRIUM	
  
• 	
  medium	
  
• 	
  low	
  fecundity	
  
• 	
  ↑parental	
  care	
  
• 	
  constant	
  env.	
  
OpportunisFc	
  
Periodic	
  
Equilibrium	
  
Life-­‐histories	
  
of	
  North	
  
American	
  
fishes	
  
Mims,	
  M.C.,	
  Olden,	
  J.D.,	
  ShaHuck,	
  Z.R.,	
  and	
  N.L.	
  Poff.	
  2010.	
  Life	
  history	
  trait	
  diversity	
  of	
  na,ve	
  freshwater	
  
fishes	
  in	
  North	
  America.	
  Ecology	
  of	
  Freshwater	
  Fish	
  19:390-­‐400.	
  
•  It	
  is	
  hypothesized	
  that	
  a	
  species’	
  life	
  history	
  strategy	
  dictates,	
  in	
  
large	
  part,	
  its	
  response	
  to	
  environmental	
  factors	
  describing	
  the	
  
variability,	
  predictability,	
  and	
  seasonality	
  of	
  favorable	
  habitat	
  
condi,ons	
  
Modified	
  from	
  Bunn	
  and	
  
Arthington	
  (2002,	
  Env.	
  Man.)	
  
•  Hydrological	
  variability	
  plays	
  a	
  dominant	
  role	
  in	
  shaping	
  physical	
  
processes	
  in	
  riverine	
  ecosystems,	
  and	
  a	
  number	
  of	
  recent	
  studies	
  
have	
  supported	
  the	
  associa,on	
  between	
  hydrology	
  and	
  fish	
  life	
  
history	
  strategies	
  
ObjecFve	
  
Test	
  life	
  history	
  theory	
  by	
  
quan,fying	
  rela,onships	
  
between	
  variability,	
  
predictability,	
  and	
  
seasonality	
  of	
  natural	
  flow	
  
regimes	
  and	
  the	
  life	
  history	
  
composi,on	
  of	
  na,ve	
  fish	
  
assemblages	
  throughout	
  
the	
  con,nental	
  United	
  
States.	
  	
  
Meryl	
  Mims	
  
Approach	
  
>15	
  years	
  con,nuous	
  
gage	
  data	
  prior	
  to	
  fish	
  
survey?	
  
Gage-­‐survey	
  pair	
  
within	
  10	
  river	
  
km?	
  	
  
Any	
  tributaries	
  
between	
  the	
  
pair?	
  
YES	
  
YES	
  
NO	
   Acceptable	
  pair	
  
(n=109)	
  
Flow	
  Gages	
  
Fish	
  Surveys	
  
Approach	
  
•  Assign	
  each	
  fish	
  species	
  to	
  a	
  
life	
  history	
  strategy	
  and	
  
calculate	
  rela,ve	
  strategy	
  	
  
richness	
  for	
  each	
  site	
  
•  Calculate	
  hydrologic	
  metrics	
  
that	
  summarize	
  the	
  major	
  
components	
  of	
  the	
  flow	
  
regime	
  	
  
Predictability	
  
Variability	
  
Seasonality	
  
PredicFons	
  from	
  Life	
  History	
  Theory	
  
Flow	
  dimension	
   Hydrologic	
  metric	
  
Predicted	
  relaFonship	
  with	
  
proporFonal	
  LH	
  (slope	
  direcFon)	
  
	
  	
   OpportunisFc	
   Periodic	
   Equilibrium	
  
VARIABILITY	
   Annual	
  Coef.	
  Varia,on	
   +	
   -­‐	
   -­‐	
  
High	
  Pulse	
  Count	
   +	
   -­‐	
   -­‐	
  
PREDICTABILITY	
   Base	
  Flow	
  Index	
   -­‐	
   0	
   +	
  
Flow	
  Predictability	
   -­‐	
   +	
   +	
  
SEASONALITY	
   Constancy/Predictability	
   0	
   -­‐	
   +	
  
High	
  Pulse	
  Dura,on	
   -­‐	
   +	
   0	
  
Used	
  quan,le	
  regression	
  to	
  
test	
  for	
  rela,onships	
  between	
  
LHs	
  and	
  hydrologic	
  metrics	
  
•  The	
  majority	
  (two-­‐thirds)	
  of	
  
rela,onships	
  were	
  sta,s,cally	
  
significant	
  (P<0.05)	
  for	
  at	
  least	
  
one	
  quan,le	
  
•  82%	
  of	
  significant	
  rela,onships	
  
supported	
  predic,ons	
  from	
  life	
  
history	
  theory	
  
Opp	
   Per	
   Equ	
  
Mims,	
  M.C.,	
  and	
  J.D.	
  Olden.	
  2012.	
  Life	
  history	
  theory	
  predicts	
  streamflow	
  effects	
  on	
  fish	
  assemblage	
  
response	
  to	
  hydrologic	
  regimes.	
  Ecology	
  93:35-­‐45.	
  
•  The	
  majority	
  (two-­‐thirds)	
  of	
  
rela,onships	
  were	
  sta,s,cally	
  
significant	
  (P<0.05)	
  for	
  at	
  least	
  
one	
  quan,le	
  
•  82%	
  of	
  significant	
  rela,onships	
  
supported	
  predic,ons	
  from	
  life	
  
history	
  theory	
  
Opp	
   Per	
   Equ	
  
Mims,	
  M.C.,	
  and	
  J.D.	
  Olden.	
  2012.	
  Life	
  history	
  theory	
  predicts	
  streamflow	
  effects	
  on	
  fish	
  assemblage	
  
response	
  to	
  hydrologic	
  regimes.	
  Ecology	
  93:35-­‐45.	
  
Flow	
  Variability	
  
•  The	
  majority	
  (two-­‐thirds)	
  of	
  
rela,onships	
  were	
  sta,s,cally	
  
significant	
  (P<0.05)	
  for	
  at	
  least	
  
one	
  quan,le	
  
•  82%	
  of	
  significant	
  rela,onships	
  
supported	
  predic,ons	
  from	
  life	
  
history	
  theory	
  
Mims,	
  M.C.,	
  and	
  J.D.	
  Olden.	
  2012.	
  Life	
  history	
  theory	
  predicts	
  streamflow	
  effects	
  on	
  fish	
  assemblage	
  
response	
  to	
  hydrologic	
  regimes.	
  Ecology	
  93:35-­‐45.	
  
Flow	
  Seasonality	
  
Flow	
  dimension	
   Hydrologic	
  metric	
  
Predicted	
  relaFonship	
  with	
  
proporFonal	
  LH	
  (slope	
  direcFon)	
  
	
  	
   OpportunisFc	
   Periodic	
   Equilibrium	
  
VARIABILITY	
   Annual	
  Coef.	
  Varia,on	
   +	
   -­‐	
   -­‐	
  
High	
  Pulse	
  Count	
   +	
   -­‐	
   -­‐	
  
PREDICTABILITY	
   Base	
  Flow	
  Index	
   -­‐	
   0	
   +	
  
Flow	
  Predictability	
   -­‐	
   +	
   +	
  
SEASONALITY	
   Constancy/Predictability	
   0	
   -­‐	
   +	
  
High	
  Pulse	
  Dura,on	
   -­‐	
   +	
   0	
  
=	
  Supported	
  by	
  theory	
  
=	
  Inconclusive	
  
=	
  Not	
  support	
  by	
  theory	
  
Life	
  history	
  theory	
  predicts	
  fish	
  assemblage	
  
response	
  to	
  hydrologic	
  regimes	
  
ImplicaFons	
  
•  The	
  flow	
  regime	
  as	
  a	
  key	
  determinant	
  of	
  fish	
  life	
  history	
  
composi,on	
  across	
  a	
  broad	
  biogeographical	
  scale	
  
•  A	
  traits-­‐based	
  approach	
  is	
  useful	
  because	
  it	
  facilitates	
  the	
  transfer	
  
of	
  scien,fic	
  knowledge	
  between	
  regions	
  that	
  naturally	
  differ	
  due	
  
to	
  zoogeography,	
  but	
  in	
  which	
  life	
  history	
  strategies	
  and	
  trait	
  
adapta,ons	
  are	
  hypothesized	
  to	
  converge	
  across	
  diverse	
  
taxonomies	
  
•  These	
  findings	
  have	
  implica,ons	
  for	
  predic,ng	
  the	
  consequences	
  
of	
  flow	
  altera,on	
  and	
  for	
  informing	
  flow-­‐management	
  
recommenda,ons	
  
•  Fish	
  life-­‐history	
  strategies	
  are	
  
predic,ve	
  of	
  how	
  fish	
  
assemblages	
  response	
  to	
  
damming	
  and	
  altered	
  flow	
  
regimes	
  
Mims,	
  M.C.,	
  and	
  J.D.	
  Olden.	
  2013.	
  Fish	
  assemblages	
  respond	
  to	
  altered	
  flow	
  regimes	
  via	
  ecological	
  filtering	
  
of	
  life	
  history	
  strategies.	
  Freshwater	
  Biology	
  58:50-­‐62.	
  
Key	
  Challenges	
  
Does	
  a	
  trait-­‐based	
  approach	
  provide	
  new	
  insight	
  into	
  paHerns	
  and	
  
processes	
  of	
  fish	
  biogeography,	
  and	
  if	
  so,	
  can	
  this	
  informa,on	
  inform	
  
conserva,on	
  strategies?	
  
	
  
What	
  traits	
  predispose	
  fish	
  species	
  to	
  ex,nc,on	
  vs.	
  invasion?	
  
Given	
  the	
  lack	
  of	
  trait	
  data	
  for	
  many	
  fish	
  species	
  in	
  par,cular	
  regions,	
  
which	
  subset	
  of	
  traits	
  are	
  most	
  appropriate	
  for	
  defining	
  func,onal	
  
diversity	
  and	
  offer	
  the	
  most	
  promise	
  for	
  predic,ng	
  responses	
  to	
  
environmental	
  change?	
  
	
  
What	
  are	
  the	
  ecosystem	
  consequences	
  of	
  changes	
  in	
  fish	
  func,onal	
  
composi,on?	
  
PredicFng	
  ExFncFon	
  Risk	
  
“More	
  appropriate	
  biological	
  
knowledge	
  is	
  s;ll	
  required	
  to	
  
improve	
  species	
  assignment	
  to	
  
the	
  IUCN	
  Red	
  List	
  categories	
  at	
  
the	
  regional	
  level”	
  
Transferring	
  Knowledge	
  
“One	
  of	
  the	
  major	
  problems	
  
facing	
  fish	
  conserva;on	
  in	
  South	
  
America	
  is	
  the	
  lack	
  of	
  basin-­‐wide	
  
approaches.	
  Usually,	
  both	
  
knowledge	
  and	
  interest	
  are	
  
limited	
  to	
  the	
  local	
  …”	
  
Julian	
  D.	
  Olden	
  
University	
  of	
  Washington	
  
olden@uw.edu	
  
Special	
  thanks	
  to	
  Meryl	
  Mims!	
  

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Beyond taxonomy: A traits-based approach to fish community ecology

  • 1. Beyond  taxonomy:  A  traits-­‐based   approach  to  fish  community  ecology       Julian  D.  Olden   School  of  Aqua,c  and  Fishery  Sciences   University  of  Washington   olden@uw.edu  
  • 2. Big  Fish  Eat  Li,le  Fish  by  Pieter  Brueghel  the  Elder  (1557)  
  • 3. Threats  to  Freshwater  Fishes   Habitat loss Pollution Fragmentation Climate change Invasive species Disease
  • 4. Why  Trait-­‐based  Ecology?   •  Enhances  our  mechanis,c   understanding  of   ecological  paHern  and   process   •  Provides  greater   opportunity  for   generaliza,on   •  Links  biodiversity  and   ecosystem  func,on      
  • 5. Traits  in  Fish  Community  Ecology   •  The  study  of  fish  traits  can  be  used  to  understand  complex   phenomena,  including  why  organisms  live  where  they  do,   how  many  species  can  coexist  in  a  given  place,  and  how  they   will  respond  to  environmental  change   0   20   40   60   80   100   120   1991   1994   1997   2000   2003   2006   2009   2012   #  publicaFons   ISI  Web  of  Science  search  on   Jan  20,  2013  using  the  query   “fish  AND  trait*  AND   (community  OR  assemblage)”  
  • 6. Research  PrioriFes   “In  an  ideal  world,  an  understanding  of   how  fish  assemblages  change  in  response   to  natural  changes  along  different  ,me   scales  would  be  necessary  …       This  is  no  longer  always  possible,   however,  since  most  aqua,c   environments  are  already  subject  to   some  form  of  human  interven,on  …     Therefore,  it  is  necessary  to  deal  with   mixed  signals,  and  part  of  the  challenge   lies  in  numerically  dis,nguishing  these   signals,  as  well  as  pucng  them  in   perspec,ve.”  
  • 7. Today’s  PresentaFon   1.  Do  species  traits  provide   predic,ve  insight  into  those   fish  species  at  greatest  risk  to   ex,nc,on?     2.  Does  a  traits-­‐based   approach  represent  a   unifying  framework  for   an,cipa,ng  how  fish  species   and  communi,es  will   response  to  environmental   change?   Biodiversity  and     Ecosystem  Func,oning   Ex,nc,on   Invasion  
  • 8. 1.  ExFncFon  Risk  of  Fishes   •  Conserva,on  biology  is  faced  with  a  growing  urgency  to   iden,fy  and  protect  species  facing  the  greatest  risk  of   ex,nc,on  (Pimm  and  Jenkins  2005)   •  This  is  a  challenging  task  because  direct  es,mates  of   ex,nc,on  risk  for  most  species  are  lacking  (O’Grady  et  al.  2004)   •  Ecological  traits  can  help  iden,fy  species  that  are   vulnerable  to  ex,nc,on  
  • 9. Body  Size  and  Global  ExFncFon  Risk     •  Body  size  is  a  fundamental  ecological   parameter  correlated  with  many  other  life-­‐ history  characteris,cs   •  Ecological  theory  and  global-­‐scale  analyses   of  bird  and  mammal  faunas  suggest  that   small-­‐bodied  species  are  less  vulnerable  to   ex,nc,on   •  We  compared  body-­‐size  distribu,ons  of   22,800  freshwater  and  marine  fishes  under   different  levels  of  global  ex,nc,on  risk  
  • 10. YES.  Dip  sta,s,c  =  0.12,   d.f.  =  14,  P  =  0.042     NO.  Dip  sta,s,c  =  0.07,   d.f.  =  16,  P  =  0.889     Olden,  J.D.,  Hogan,  Z.S.,  and  M.J.  Vander  Zanden.  2007.  Small  fish,  big  fish,  red  fish,  blue  fish:  size-­‐biased   ex,nc,on  risk  of  the  world’s  freshwater  and  marine  fishes.  Global  Ecology  and  Biogeography  16:694-­‐701.   Is  the  distribu,on  significantly  bi-­‐modal?  
  • 11. ImplicaFons   •  Given  limited  resources  for   conduc,ng  detailed  species   assessments,  iden,fying  trait-­‐ based  indicators  of  ex,nc,on   risk  could  be  extremely   valuable  for  conserva,on   ranking  schemes   •  Traits  may  provide  insight  into   the  ecosystem  implica,ons  of   species  losses  (and  invasions)   Castello  et  al.,  in  press.  The  vulnerability  of  Amazon   freshwater  ecosystems.  Conserva;on  Le,ers.      
  • 12. 2.  Life-­‐histories  and  the  habitat  templet   Trade-­‐offs  among  energeFc   investments  in  growth,   reproducFon,  and   survivorship  have  resulted   in  the  evoluFon  of  life   history  strategies  that   enable  an  organism  to  cope   with  ecological  challenges   Southwood  (1988)  
  • 13. Fish  Life-­‐history  Theory   •  Life  history  theory  has  sparked  new   perspec,ves  in  understanding  the   paHerns  and  drivers  of  freshwater   biodiversity     Olden  &  Kennard  (2010)   •  Life-­‐history  strategies   have  evolved  from   trade-­‐offs  among  traits   that  have  direct   consequences  for   fitness  in  different   environments                     (Winemiller  and                                             Rose  1992)     Fecundity  
  • 14. Fish  Life-­‐history  Theory   Fecundity   OPPORTUNISTIC   •   small   •   rapidly  matura,on   •   low  fecundity   •   unpredictable  env.   PERIODIC   •   large   •   late  matura,on   •   high  fecundity   •   seasonal  env.   EQUILIBRIUM   •   medium   •   low  fecundity   •   ↑parental  care   •   constant  env.  
  • 15. OpportunisFc   Periodic   Equilibrium   Life-­‐histories   of  North   American   fishes   Mims,  M.C.,  Olden,  J.D.,  ShaHuck,  Z.R.,  and  N.L.  Poff.  2010.  Life  history  trait  diversity  of  na,ve  freshwater   fishes  in  North  America.  Ecology  of  Freshwater  Fish  19:390-­‐400.  
  • 16. •  It  is  hypothesized  that  a  species’  life  history  strategy  dictates,  in   large  part,  its  response  to  environmental  factors  describing  the   variability,  predictability,  and  seasonality  of  favorable  habitat   condi,ons   Modified  from  Bunn  and   Arthington  (2002,  Env.  Man.)  
  • 17. •  Hydrological  variability  plays  a  dominant  role  in  shaping  physical   processes  in  riverine  ecosystems,  and  a  number  of  recent  studies   have  supported  the  associa,on  between  hydrology  and  fish  life   history  strategies  
  • 18. ObjecFve   Test  life  history  theory  by   quan,fying  rela,onships   between  variability,   predictability,  and   seasonality  of  natural  flow   regimes  and  the  life  history   composi,on  of  na,ve  fish   assemblages  throughout   the  con,nental  United   States.    
  • 20. Approach   >15  years  con,nuous   gage  data  prior  to  fish   survey?   Gage-­‐survey  pair   within  10  river   km?     Any  tributaries   between  the   pair?   YES   YES   NO   Acceptable  pair   (n=109)   Flow  Gages   Fish  Surveys  
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23. Approach   •  Assign  each  fish  species  to  a   life  history  strategy  and   calculate  rela,ve  strategy     richness  for  each  site   •  Calculate  hydrologic  metrics   that  summarize  the  major   components  of  the  flow   regime     Predictability   Variability   Seasonality  
  • 24. PredicFons  from  Life  History  Theory   Flow  dimension   Hydrologic  metric   Predicted  relaFonship  with   proporFonal  LH  (slope  direcFon)       OpportunisFc   Periodic   Equilibrium   VARIABILITY   Annual  Coef.  Varia,on   +   -­‐   -­‐   High  Pulse  Count   +   -­‐   -­‐   PREDICTABILITY   Base  Flow  Index   -­‐   0   +   Flow  Predictability   -­‐   +   +   SEASONALITY   Constancy/Predictability   0   -­‐   +   High  Pulse  Dura,on   -­‐   +   0   Used  quan,le  regression  to   test  for  rela,onships  between   LHs  and  hydrologic  metrics  
  • 25. •  The  majority  (two-­‐thirds)  of   rela,onships  were  sta,s,cally   significant  (P<0.05)  for  at  least   one  quan,le   •  82%  of  significant  rela,onships   supported  predic,ons  from  life   history  theory   Opp   Per   Equ   Mims,  M.C.,  and  J.D.  Olden.  2012.  Life  history  theory  predicts  streamflow  effects  on  fish  assemblage   response  to  hydrologic  regimes.  Ecology  93:35-­‐45.  
  • 26. •  The  majority  (two-­‐thirds)  of   rela,onships  were  sta,s,cally   significant  (P<0.05)  for  at  least   one  quan,le   •  82%  of  significant  rela,onships   supported  predic,ons  from  life   history  theory   Opp   Per   Equ   Mims,  M.C.,  and  J.D.  Olden.  2012.  Life  history  theory  predicts  streamflow  effects  on  fish  assemblage   response  to  hydrologic  regimes.  Ecology  93:35-­‐45.   Flow  Variability  
  • 27. •  The  majority  (two-­‐thirds)  of   rela,onships  were  sta,s,cally   significant  (P<0.05)  for  at  least   one  quan,le   •  82%  of  significant  rela,onships   supported  predic,ons  from  life   history  theory   Mims,  M.C.,  and  J.D.  Olden.  2012.  Life  history  theory  predicts  streamflow  effects  on  fish  assemblage   response  to  hydrologic  regimes.  Ecology  93:35-­‐45.   Flow  Seasonality  
  • 28. Flow  dimension   Hydrologic  metric   Predicted  relaFonship  with   proporFonal  LH  (slope  direcFon)       OpportunisFc   Periodic   Equilibrium   VARIABILITY   Annual  Coef.  Varia,on   +   -­‐   -­‐   High  Pulse  Count   +   -­‐   -­‐   PREDICTABILITY   Base  Flow  Index   -­‐   0   +   Flow  Predictability   -­‐   +   +   SEASONALITY   Constancy/Predictability   0   -­‐   +   High  Pulse  Dura,on   -­‐   +   0   =  Supported  by  theory   =  Inconclusive   =  Not  support  by  theory   Life  history  theory  predicts  fish  assemblage   response  to  hydrologic  regimes  
  • 29. ImplicaFons   •  The  flow  regime  as  a  key  determinant  of  fish  life  history   composi,on  across  a  broad  biogeographical  scale   •  A  traits-­‐based  approach  is  useful  because  it  facilitates  the  transfer   of  scien,fic  knowledge  between  regions  that  naturally  differ  due   to  zoogeography,  but  in  which  life  history  strategies  and  trait   adapta,ons  are  hypothesized  to  converge  across  diverse   taxonomies   •  These  findings  have  implica,ons  for  predic,ng  the  consequences   of  flow  altera,on  and  for  informing  flow-­‐management   recommenda,ons  
  • 30. •  Fish  life-­‐history  strategies  are   predic,ve  of  how  fish   assemblages  response  to   damming  and  altered  flow   regimes   Mims,  M.C.,  and  J.D.  Olden.  2013.  Fish  assemblages  respond  to  altered  flow  regimes  via  ecological  filtering   of  life  history  strategies.  Freshwater  Biology  58:50-­‐62.  
  • 31. Key  Challenges   Does  a  trait-­‐based  approach  provide  new  insight  into  paHerns  and   processes  of  fish  biogeography,  and  if  so,  can  this  informa,on  inform   conserva,on  strategies?     What  traits  predispose  fish  species  to  ex,nc,on  vs.  invasion?   Given  the  lack  of  trait  data  for  many  fish  species  in  par,cular  regions,   which  subset  of  traits  are  most  appropriate  for  defining  func,onal   diversity  and  offer  the  most  promise  for  predic,ng  responses  to   environmental  change?     What  are  the  ecosystem  consequences  of  changes  in  fish  func,onal   composi,on?  
  • 32. PredicFng  ExFncFon  Risk   “More  appropriate  biological   knowledge  is  s;ll  required  to   improve  species  assignment  to   the  IUCN  Red  List  categories  at   the  regional  level”   Transferring  Knowledge   “One  of  the  major  problems   facing  fish  conserva;on  in  South   America  is  the  lack  of  basin-­‐wide   approaches.  Usually,  both   knowledge  and  interest  are   limited  to  the  local  …”  
  • 33. Julian  D.  Olden   University  of  Washington   olden@uw.edu   Special  thanks  to  Meryl  Mims!