1. Workshop
“Non-stationary extreme value modelling in climatology”
supported by the European Social Fund and the Ministry of Education, Youth and Sports
of the Czech Republic under project CZ.1.07/2.3.00/20.0086
Technical University of Liberec, February 15-17, 2012
Voroněžská 1329/13, Liberec, Czech Republic
Building H, Floor 4, Room H5027 (“Didakticky kabinet KMD”)
Wednesday, February 15
afternoon/evening – arrival of participants
Thursday, February 16
8:30-9:00 Registration
9:00-9:20 J. Picek, J. Kyselý: Introduction to the workshop and the KLIMATEXT
project
Session 1: Extremes in climate models, spatial dependence
9:20-9:50 M. Hanel (TUL/WRI): Assessment of projected changes in seasonal
precipitation extremes in the Czech Republic
9:50-10:20 M. Roth (KNMI/EURANDOM): A spatial peaks-over-threshold model in
a nonstationary climate
10:20-11:00 J. Beersma (KNMI): Advanced delta change method for time series
transformation
11:00-11:30 Discussion, Tea/Coffee break
Session 2: Nonstationary peaks-over-threshold (POT) method
11:30-11:50 J. Kyselý (TUL/IAP): Estimating extremes in climate model data by the POT
method with nonstationary threshold
11:50-12:10 J. Picek (TUL): Statistical aspects of the regression quantiles methodology
in the POT analysis
12:10-12:30 M. Schindler (TUL): How to choose threshold in a POT model?
12:30-13:00 Discussion
13:00-14:00 Lunch
14:00-18:00 Discussion, field trip (depending on weather)

2. Friday, February 17
Session 3: Covariate-dependent extremes
9:00-9:40 S. Beguería (CSIC): Covariate-dependent modelling of extreme events by
nonstationary POT analysis
9:40-10:10 J.I. López-Moreno (CSIC): Effects of NAO on combined temperature and
precipitation winter modes and snow cover in Mediterranean mountains:
observed relationships and projections for the 21st century
10:10-10:30 R. Beranová (TUL/IAP): Links between the NAO index and temperatures in
Europe in climate models
10:30-11:00 Discussion, Tea/Coffee break
Session 4: Precipitation, covariates & extremes
11:00-11:40 M. Angulo-Martínez (CSIC): Trends in daily rainfall erosivity in relation with
NAO, MO and WeMO during 1955-2006 for the Ebro basin, NE Spain
11:40-12:00 E. Plavcová (TUL/IAP): Links between circulation indices/types and
precipitation in Central Europe in regional climate models
12:00-12:20 J. Pecho (TUL/IAP): POT and block-maxima analysis of precipitation
extremes at selected stations in Slovakia
12:20-12:30 Concluding remarks
12:30-14:00 Lunch, departure of participants