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Private Company Secondary Markets
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                 @cardinalrose
Table of Contents

  Market Overview

  Deal Mechanics

  Completing a Transaction

  Appendix
Private Company Secondary Markets



   Private company secondary markets will
solve the liquidity problems for employees
and board members while also providing
inexpensive access to growth capital
Private Company Secondary Markets



  “Late stage venture funds are like the
small cap funds of the ‘90s and the early
2000s.” Lawrence Lenihan, Jr, FirstMark Capital, April 2011
My Prediction
 Secondary markets institutionalize changing the industry:
 •   Many more companies adopt secondary marketplace platforms
 •   SEC introduces regulation that strengthens the market
 •   Late stage market expands and IPOs get pushed out further
 •   Stronger companies emerge as a result of longer gestation period
 •   Secondary marketplaces experience rapid growth replacing antiquated systems


 The lines blur between late stage venture funds and hedge funds
 •   Late stage funds reduce lockups from 10 years to 2 years to adjust for liquidity
 •   Hedge funds allocate 10-30% to less liquid secondary markets
          •Balanced with market neutral public markets
 •   Massive amounts of capital flow into this new asset class
The IPO – Pros & Cons

   Pros:
   • Gain liquidity for shareholders
   • Gain access to growth capital


   Cons:
   •   Sarbanes Oxley
        •    Headaches, regulation & compliance
   •   Additional legal risks
   •   Wall Street disconnect
        •   Short term trader mentality
        •   Algorithmic trading disconnected from fundamentals
   •    Loss of cache
The Public Markets – Drivers of Change:

 • Sarbanes Oxley


 • Decimalization


 • Separation of investment banking and research


 • Consolidation of boutique banks


 • Longer pre-IPO gestation periods
Current Late Stage Market Overview:

•   There is ~$21b invested in late stage deals per year


•   Traditionally 30-50 funds participate in this market


• Companies require inexpensive access to growth
capital


• Companies require less board seat and operational
advice
Ideal Private Secondary Market Company:

•   $100-$500m in market cap      •   Too small to go public


•   $20m in revenues              •   Tech and Clean Tech sectors


•   Approximately 5 years old


•   Don’t have to be profitable


•   Venture backed


•   Over 100 shareholders
Testimonials:

 “These companies I’m buying on the private
 market are at the same stage as when I
 used to buy them when they went public.
 So why not buy them?” Business Insider,
 January 2011


 “We now believe Facebook could be worth
 more than $200b in 2015” Wedbush, March
 2011
The 4 Horsemen:


Company          Date         Funding Last Round Val Recent Rumored Val Revs 2011E   P/S
Facebook        Jan-11         $1.5b       $50b             $75b           $4b       19x
Groupon         Jan-11         $950m       $4.8b            $15b           $2b        8x
  Zynga         Jun-10         $300m       $4.5b            $10b           $2b        5x
 Twitter        Dec-10         $200m       $3.7b             $7b          $140m      50x
Source: Company reports and Business Insider
Is There A Tech Bubble?


   Large Cap    Blue chip techs are cheap

    Mid Cap     Expansion stage growth, similar to late stage

   Small Cap    Completely ignored, no liquidity, getting worse

   Late Stage   A handful are valuations are extreme, similar to mid caps

   Mid Stage    Total VC AUM shrinkage decreases demand

  Early Stage   Companies seeking $3m+ getting decent valuation

  Seed Stage    Valuations have crept up from $2-3m to $3-4m pre
Changing VC Perceptions

 Old:
 •   No one exits before we exit
 •   A future exit keeps the employees motivated


 New:
 •   Employee liquidity helps retention & recruitment
 •   Secondary sales are a 3rd exit avenue after IPOs & M&A
     •   Can manage portfolio more efficiently
Private Markets are Institutionalizing:


 2010: 90% of transactions were over-the-counter

 2011: ~80% will be listed market transactions
 •   SecondMarket & Xpert Financial will be 100% listed
 •   SharesPost is registering as a broker-dealer
 •   Primary markets will be established
What is a “Listed” Private Market?

 •   Company and board approved


 •   Controlled sales


 •   Limited Selling Windows


 •   Market Creation


 •   Right of First Refusal
Comparison:

SecondMarket                    SharesPost                    Xpert Financial
•   Launched April 2009     •    Online Bulletin Board    •    2 Years Old
•   Broker-Dealer           •    3rd Party Research       •    Broker-Dealer & SEC Reg ATS
•   Over $500m transacted   •    Registered Specialists   •    Tim Draper- Chairman
•   Diverse Alt Assets      •    60,000 Members           •    Licensed Nov 2010
•   28 Reported Companies   •    16,000 Accredited        •    Electronic Platforms
•   2010: OTC               •    Min Transaction: $25k    •    Full Level II Quotes
•   2011: Listed            •    Standardized Contracts   •    8-9 Cos in Pipeline
•   VC: FirstMark           •    Heavy Technology         •    RegD Rule 506 –Primary Share
                            •    Pursuing BD License           Sale License
                            •    2-5% fee both sides      •    Rule 144A – Qualified
                                                               Institutional Buyers
                                                          •    Rule 144 – Accredited investors
                                                               - non-Affiliated sellers - pending
                                                          •    Reverse Inquiry Basis
                                                          •    Company approval
Notable Secondary Transactions:

           Kleiner Perkins $38m in Facebook at $52b, Feb 2011


           Andreesen Horowitz $80m in Twitter, Feb 2011


           DST indirect secondary participant: Facebook,
           Zynga, Groupon


           Accel sold $516m Facebook to TCV (~$200m),
           Andreesen Horowitz (~$80) and others at $35b, Nov 2010


           Chris Sacca $400m in Twitter at $4.5b from Spark,
           Union Square, and Ev Williams, Feb 2011
Deal Mechanics
3 Parties in a Secondary Transaction:

 •   Buyer


 •   Seller


 •   Company
       - Right of First Refusal
       - Co-Sale Rights
Types of Buyers:

 •   Existing VC Investors

 •   VC Funds that lost primary round

 •   Fund-less Sponsors/Special Purpose Vehicles

 •   Participants in Secondary Markets
     • Endowments, Pension Funds, HNW, Sovereign Wealth, Insurance, Private Equity

 •   Direct Secondary Funds

 •   Late Stage Venture Funds

 •   Mutual Funds & Hedge Funds - Public Market Investors
Types of Sellers:
   100%
    90%
    80%
    70%
    60%                                                        1Q10
    50%                                                        2Q10
    40%                                                        3Q10
    30%                                                        4Q10
    20%
    10%
      0%
                  Ex-Employees   Employees   Investors/Other

 Source: SecondMarket
Types of Secondary Sales:

 •   Sr. Preferred – indirect for Common Shares

 •   Jr. Preferred – indirect for Common Shares

 •   Outright purchase of Common or Preferred

 •   Upside Sharing – buyer splits proceeds of future sale

 •   Escrowed Shares – earn-out incentive

 •   Loan for Shares – avoids ROFR, Co-Sale & Taxes

 •   Loan to Exercise Options
Types of Transactions:

 •   Modified Dutch Auction
     •Minimum bid, clearing price => lowest bid that clears

 •   Fixed Price Auction
     •Set price, all bids above minimum

 •   Bulletin Board
     •Bidders are matched to sellers online
Considerations:

 Transfer Restrictions
 •      Right of First Refusal (ROFR)
 •      Co-Sale
 •      Upfront waiver rights can be granted


 Workarounds
 •      Loan for Shares avoids ROFR and Co-Sale
 •      Earn-outs deter Co-Sales


 Contractual Rights
 •      Registration rights and preemptive rights are transferrable
 •      Require separate transfer agreement with the company
Risks:
Two Primary SEC Regulatory Risks:

 Special Purpose Vehicles designed to bypass the 500 investor rule
 •   Goldman Sachs’ US Facebook SPV was canceled
 •   Could give rise to parallel market of SPV
 •   Small SPVs charging 8% fees & 20% carried interest
     •Shares post has completed 5 SPV auctions
          •3% commission, 5% management fee, 3% distribution fee
          •Cannot exit until IPO when Units convert to FB shares


 Lack of Share Count, Cap Table, and Company Financials
 •   Even “sophisticated” investors need financials
 •   Significant amount of 3rd party data but little company data
 •   Listed markets resolve this issue
Additional Risks:

 •   Illiquidity

 •   Opacity

 •   Information Asymmetry

 •   Valuation

 •   Behavior of secondary investors

 •   Shift from options to RSUs
Future Listed Markets:

 Companies will waive ROFR in exchange for:
 •   Employees sell no more than 10-15% of vested/owned positions
 •   Only employees with 4+ years can participate


 Board approved potential investor list
 •   Investors adhere to the board’s guidelines
 •   Investor group receives audited financials
 •   Company has recourse if guidelines are violated
Completing the Transaction
Private Company Secondary Markets:
SharesPost example:
Current Active Trades on SharesPost:
SharesPost Order Entry:
SharesPost Order Confirmation:
SharesPost Bid/Ask Page:
Yelp! Company Registration:
NeXt Up Research: Yelp! Key Metrics:
NeXt Up Research: Yelp! Valuation:
NeXt Up Research: Yelp! Lead Investors:
Appendix
Companies Traded on SecondMarket:
Facebook Price Chart:
$50.00   1/13/2011    $33.00   4/1/2011    $70.00
$46.00   1/12/2011    $33.00   4/1/2011
$45.00   1/12/2011    $35.00   3/29/2011
$50.00   1/11/2011    $35.00   3/17/2011
                                           $60.00
$55.00   1/11/2011    $33.00   3/11/2011
$50.00   1/11/2011             3/11/2011
                      $33.00
$55.00   1/11/2011             2/18/2011
                      $37.00
$35.00   1/10/2011                         $50.00
                      $30.00   2/14/2011
$40.00    1/7/2011
                      $31.00   2/11/2011
$55.00    1/6/2011
                      $31.00   2/7/2011
$25.00   11/30/2010
                      $32.50   2/3/2011    $40.00
$25.00   11/24/2010
                      $35.00   2/2/2011
$20.00   11/22/2010
                      $35.00   2/2/2011
$15.20   11/9/2010
                      $35.00   1/26/2011   $30.00
$20.00   11/4/2010
                      $35.00   1/19/2011
$15.20   11/2/2010
                      $60.00   1/19/2011
$25.00   10/19/2010
                      $51.00   1/19/2011
$14.40   8/31/2010                         $20.00
                      $40.00   1/19/2011
$15.00   8/31/2010
                      $27.60   1/19/2011
$15.00   8/30/2010
         8/10/2010    $60.00   1/18/2011
$15.00                                     $10.00
          8/5/2010    $40.00   1/18/2011
$15.20
         7/27/2010    $45.00   1/18/2011
$12.00
         6/25/2010    $50.00   1/17/2011
$14.00
         6/24/2010    $45.00   1/16/2011    $0.00
$13.50
$12.60   6/21/2010    $50.00   1/15/2011
$10.00   4/26/2010    $45.00   1/14/2011
 $5.40   12/4/2009    $48.00   1/14/2011
 $2.40                $66.00   1/13/2011
                                           SharesPost
3rd Party Research:

 •   Wedbush Securities            •   NextUp Research

 •   Liquid Scenarios              •   Arcstone Partners

 •   VC Experts                    •   CB Insights

 •   Research 2.0                  •   Greencrest Capital

 •   Blueshift Research            •   PrivCo

 •   GigaOm                        •   Majestic/ITG

 •   Crystal Research Associates
Largest VC Backed Deals in 2010:

  1              Better Place              Clean Tech          Expansion     $350,000,300
  2                Twitter                  Internet           Expansion     $200,000,000
  3         BrightSource Energy            Clean Tech          Later Stage   $150,000,000
  4             Abound Solar               Clean Tech          Expansion     $111,000,000
  5                Trilliant          Telecommunications       Later Stage   $105,999,800
  6    Elevance Renewable Sciences         Clean Tech          Expansion     $100,000,000
  7         HighTower Holdings          Financial Services     Expansion      $99,999,900
  8             Casa Systems         Internet Infrastructure   Later Stage    $96,460,000
  9         Pierpont Securities         Financial Services     Expansion      $84,999,900
  10         Fisker Automotive             Clean Tech          Later Stage    $78,078,900
IPO Pipeline:
   Date          Name          Ticker        Description       IPO size 2010 Revs
 7/14/2010 AMC Entertainment    AMC       Movie Theaters        $450m $2417m
 3/11/2011    HomeAway         AWAY Online Real Estate Rentals $230m     $168m
 3/15/2011    Qihoo 360        QIHO Chinese Online Security     $200m     $58m
 2/27/2011     LinkedIn               Business Social Network   $175m    $161m      9 months
 9/29/2009   NewEgg.com        EGGZ    Electronic Ecommerce     $175m $2100m          2008
 2/28/2011    Skullcandy        SKUL   Electronic Accessories   $125m    $140m      estimated
 11/9/2010       Tudou         TUDO    Chinese Online Video     $120m     $34m      9 months
 2/11/2011      Pandora                     Online Music        $100m     $55m       FYJan11
 8/9/2010        Skype                   Online Telephony       $100m    $406m      6 months
12/23/2010    Responsys        MKTG       Email Marketing       $60m      $85m
11/17/2010       Kayak         KYAK        Online Travel         $50m    $128m      9 months
 2/10/2010     Gamefly          GFLY Online Video Game Rentals $50m       $98m      FYMar10
Relevant 2010 IPOs:
                           Name           Ticker Performance
                         Epocrates        EPOC        44%
                      Demand Media         DMD        24%
                      Neilson Holdings    NLSN        17%
                         Sky-Mobi          YSM       -33%
                         Dangdang         DANG        69%
                        Youku.com         YOKU       174%
                           Bitauto         BITA      -26%
                        Mecox Lane        MCOX       -33%
                       MakeMyTrip         MMYT        86%
                         GreenDot         GDOT        20%
                           RealID          RLD        49%
                            Tesla          TSLA       31%
                           Vringo         VRNG       -41%
                         Motricity        MOTR        55%
                        ReachLocal        RLOC        59%
                          TeleNav         TNAV        39%
                           Convio         CNVO        32%
                        Quinstreet        QNST        51%
                                         Average      34%
VC Market in Graphs
The VC industry has lagged the major benchmarks over the past 10 years:




                                   10 years
                Dow Jones            2.50%
                 S&P 500            -0.40%
                  Nasdaq            -4.30%
          US Venture Capital Index -4.60%
         Cambridge Associates, Sept 2010
Due to “J-Curve” older funds should have higher TVPI but they don’t:




                    Total Value to Paid in Capital (TVPI)
        1.4

        1.2

           1

        0.8

        0.6

        0.4

        0.2

           0
                1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

       Cambridge Associates, Sept 2010
As a result VC assets under management are falling:



                         Assets Under Management
       $300,000

       $250,000

       $200,000

       $150,000

       $100,000

        $50,000

               $0
                      1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

     NVCA, Jan 2011
And the total # of VC funds are falling:


                     Total # of VC Funds
     2000
     1800
     1600
     1400
     1200
     1000
      800
      600
      400
      200
        0




    NVCA, Jan 2011
But the total # of investments is steady:


                     Number of venture investments
     9000
     8000
     7000
     6000
     5000
     4000
     3000
     2000
     1000
         0
               2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

    NVCA, Jan 2011
And the total amount invested is steady:


                            Total Amount Invested
     $120.00

     $100.00

       $80.00

       $60.00

       $40.00

       $20.00

        $0.00
                     2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

    NVCA, Jan 2011
There have been so many deals but so few exits:


                      Exits as a % of Total Deals
     16%
     14%
     12%
     10%
      8%
      6%
      4%
      2%
      0%
             1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

   NVCA, Jan 2011
IPOs have dried up:


                                 IPO exits
     300

     250

     200

     150

     100

      50

        0
             1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

   NVCA, Jan 2011
The median age at IPO has risen from 6 to 10 years:


                         Median Age at IPO
     12

     10

      8

      6

      4

      2

      0
            1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

   NVCA, Jan 2011
Private Secondary Markets are a new exit option:


                            Transaction $ Amount
     $180,000,000
     $160,000,000
     $140,000,000
     $120,000,000
     $100,000,000
      $80,000,000
      $60,000,000
      $40,000,000
      $20,000,000
                  $0
                            1Q10    2Q10    3Q10   4Q10

   SecondMarket, Feb 2011
What happens next?

 Secondary markets institutionalize changing the industry:
 •   Many more companies adopt policies and platforms
 •   SEC introduces regulation that enhances the market
 •   IPOs get pushed out further and bypassed entirely in some instance
 •   Stronger companies emerge as a result of longer gestation period




 The lines blur between late stage venture funds and hedge funds
 •   Late stage funds reduce lockups from 10 years to 2 years to adjust for liquidity
 •   Hedge funds allocate 20%-40% to less liquid secondary markets
          •Balanced with market neutral public markets
 •   Massive amounts of capital flow into this new asset class
Thank You

Jason M. Jones
jjones@highstepcap.com
914-315-9751

Follow me on Twitter: @cardinalrose
Profile on Google: /profiles.google.com/jjones1/

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Private company secondary markets

  • 1. Private Company Secondary Markets Facebook and Twitter are just the beginning @cardinalrose
  • 2. Table of Contents Market Overview Deal Mechanics Completing a Transaction Appendix
  • 3. Private Company Secondary Markets Private company secondary markets will solve the liquidity problems for employees and board members while also providing inexpensive access to growth capital
  • 4. Private Company Secondary Markets “Late stage venture funds are like the small cap funds of the ‘90s and the early 2000s.” Lawrence Lenihan, Jr, FirstMark Capital, April 2011
  • 5. My Prediction Secondary markets institutionalize changing the industry: • Many more companies adopt secondary marketplace platforms • SEC introduces regulation that strengthens the market • Late stage market expands and IPOs get pushed out further • Stronger companies emerge as a result of longer gestation period • Secondary marketplaces experience rapid growth replacing antiquated systems The lines blur between late stage venture funds and hedge funds • Late stage funds reduce lockups from 10 years to 2 years to adjust for liquidity • Hedge funds allocate 10-30% to less liquid secondary markets •Balanced with market neutral public markets • Massive amounts of capital flow into this new asset class
  • 6. The IPO – Pros & Cons Pros: • Gain liquidity for shareholders • Gain access to growth capital Cons: • Sarbanes Oxley • Headaches, regulation & compliance • Additional legal risks • Wall Street disconnect • Short term trader mentality • Algorithmic trading disconnected from fundamentals • Loss of cache
  • 7. The Public Markets – Drivers of Change: • Sarbanes Oxley • Decimalization • Separation of investment banking and research • Consolidation of boutique banks • Longer pre-IPO gestation periods
  • 8. Current Late Stage Market Overview: • There is ~$21b invested in late stage deals per year • Traditionally 30-50 funds participate in this market • Companies require inexpensive access to growth capital • Companies require less board seat and operational advice
  • 9. Ideal Private Secondary Market Company: • $100-$500m in market cap • Too small to go public • $20m in revenues • Tech and Clean Tech sectors • Approximately 5 years old • Don’t have to be profitable • Venture backed • Over 100 shareholders
  • 10. Testimonials: “These companies I’m buying on the private market are at the same stage as when I used to buy them when they went public. So why not buy them?” Business Insider, January 2011 “We now believe Facebook could be worth more than $200b in 2015” Wedbush, March 2011
  • 11. The 4 Horsemen: Company Date Funding Last Round Val Recent Rumored Val Revs 2011E P/S Facebook Jan-11 $1.5b $50b $75b $4b 19x Groupon Jan-11 $950m $4.8b $15b $2b 8x Zynga Jun-10 $300m $4.5b $10b $2b 5x Twitter Dec-10 $200m $3.7b $7b $140m 50x Source: Company reports and Business Insider
  • 12. Is There A Tech Bubble? Large Cap Blue chip techs are cheap Mid Cap Expansion stage growth, similar to late stage Small Cap Completely ignored, no liquidity, getting worse Late Stage A handful are valuations are extreme, similar to mid caps Mid Stage Total VC AUM shrinkage decreases demand Early Stage Companies seeking $3m+ getting decent valuation Seed Stage Valuations have crept up from $2-3m to $3-4m pre
  • 13. Changing VC Perceptions Old: • No one exits before we exit • A future exit keeps the employees motivated New: • Employee liquidity helps retention & recruitment • Secondary sales are a 3rd exit avenue after IPOs & M&A • Can manage portfolio more efficiently
  • 14. Private Markets are Institutionalizing: 2010: 90% of transactions were over-the-counter 2011: ~80% will be listed market transactions • SecondMarket & Xpert Financial will be 100% listed • SharesPost is registering as a broker-dealer • Primary markets will be established
  • 15. What is a “Listed” Private Market? • Company and board approved • Controlled sales • Limited Selling Windows • Market Creation • Right of First Refusal
  • 16. Comparison: SecondMarket SharesPost Xpert Financial • Launched April 2009 • Online Bulletin Board • 2 Years Old • Broker-Dealer • 3rd Party Research • Broker-Dealer & SEC Reg ATS • Over $500m transacted • Registered Specialists • Tim Draper- Chairman • Diverse Alt Assets • 60,000 Members • Licensed Nov 2010 • 28 Reported Companies • 16,000 Accredited • Electronic Platforms • 2010: OTC • Min Transaction: $25k • Full Level II Quotes • 2011: Listed • Standardized Contracts • 8-9 Cos in Pipeline • VC: FirstMark • Heavy Technology • RegD Rule 506 –Primary Share • Pursuing BD License Sale License • 2-5% fee both sides • Rule 144A – Qualified Institutional Buyers • Rule 144 – Accredited investors - non-Affiliated sellers - pending • Reverse Inquiry Basis • Company approval
  • 17. Notable Secondary Transactions: Kleiner Perkins $38m in Facebook at $52b, Feb 2011 Andreesen Horowitz $80m in Twitter, Feb 2011 DST indirect secondary participant: Facebook, Zynga, Groupon Accel sold $516m Facebook to TCV (~$200m), Andreesen Horowitz (~$80) and others at $35b, Nov 2010 Chris Sacca $400m in Twitter at $4.5b from Spark, Union Square, and Ev Williams, Feb 2011
  • 19. 3 Parties in a Secondary Transaction: • Buyer • Seller • Company - Right of First Refusal - Co-Sale Rights
  • 20. Types of Buyers: • Existing VC Investors • VC Funds that lost primary round • Fund-less Sponsors/Special Purpose Vehicles • Participants in Secondary Markets • Endowments, Pension Funds, HNW, Sovereign Wealth, Insurance, Private Equity • Direct Secondary Funds • Late Stage Venture Funds • Mutual Funds & Hedge Funds - Public Market Investors
  • 21. Types of Sellers: 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 1Q10 50% 2Q10 40% 3Q10 30% 4Q10 20% 10% 0% Ex-Employees Employees Investors/Other Source: SecondMarket
  • 22. Types of Secondary Sales: • Sr. Preferred – indirect for Common Shares • Jr. Preferred – indirect for Common Shares • Outright purchase of Common or Preferred • Upside Sharing – buyer splits proceeds of future sale • Escrowed Shares – earn-out incentive • Loan for Shares – avoids ROFR, Co-Sale & Taxes • Loan to Exercise Options
  • 23. Types of Transactions: • Modified Dutch Auction •Minimum bid, clearing price => lowest bid that clears • Fixed Price Auction •Set price, all bids above minimum • Bulletin Board •Bidders are matched to sellers online
  • 24. Considerations: Transfer Restrictions • Right of First Refusal (ROFR) • Co-Sale • Upfront waiver rights can be granted Workarounds • Loan for Shares avoids ROFR and Co-Sale • Earn-outs deter Co-Sales Contractual Rights • Registration rights and preemptive rights are transferrable • Require separate transfer agreement with the company
  • 26. Two Primary SEC Regulatory Risks: Special Purpose Vehicles designed to bypass the 500 investor rule • Goldman Sachs’ US Facebook SPV was canceled • Could give rise to parallel market of SPV • Small SPVs charging 8% fees & 20% carried interest •Shares post has completed 5 SPV auctions •3% commission, 5% management fee, 3% distribution fee •Cannot exit until IPO when Units convert to FB shares Lack of Share Count, Cap Table, and Company Financials • Even “sophisticated” investors need financials • Significant amount of 3rd party data but little company data • Listed markets resolve this issue
  • 27. Additional Risks: • Illiquidity • Opacity • Information Asymmetry • Valuation • Behavior of secondary investors • Shift from options to RSUs
  • 28. Future Listed Markets: Companies will waive ROFR in exchange for: • Employees sell no more than 10-15% of vested/owned positions • Only employees with 4+ years can participate Board approved potential investor list • Investors adhere to the board’s guidelines • Investor group receives audited financials • Company has recourse if guidelines are violated
  • 32. Current Active Trades on SharesPost:
  • 37. NeXt Up Research: Yelp! Key Metrics:
  • 38. NeXt Up Research: Yelp! Valuation:
  • 39. NeXt Up Research: Yelp! Lead Investors:
  • 41. Companies Traded on SecondMarket:
  • 42. Facebook Price Chart: $50.00 1/13/2011 $33.00 4/1/2011 $70.00 $46.00 1/12/2011 $33.00 4/1/2011 $45.00 1/12/2011 $35.00 3/29/2011 $50.00 1/11/2011 $35.00 3/17/2011 $60.00 $55.00 1/11/2011 $33.00 3/11/2011 $50.00 1/11/2011 3/11/2011 $33.00 $55.00 1/11/2011 2/18/2011 $37.00 $35.00 1/10/2011 $50.00 $30.00 2/14/2011 $40.00 1/7/2011 $31.00 2/11/2011 $55.00 1/6/2011 $31.00 2/7/2011 $25.00 11/30/2010 $32.50 2/3/2011 $40.00 $25.00 11/24/2010 $35.00 2/2/2011 $20.00 11/22/2010 $35.00 2/2/2011 $15.20 11/9/2010 $35.00 1/26/2011 $30.00 $20.00 11/4/2010 $35.00 1/19/2011 $15.20 11/2/2010 $60.00 1/19/2011 $25.00 10/19/2010 $51.00 1/19/2011 $14.40 8/31/2010 $20.00 $40.00 1/19/2011 $15.00 8/31/2010 $27.60 1/19/2011 $15.00 8/30/2010 8/10/2010 $60.00 1/18/2011 $15.00 $10.00 8/5/2010 $40.00 1/18/2011 $15.20 7/27/2010 $45.00 1/18/2011 $12.00 6/25/2010 $50.00 1/17/2011 $14.00 6/24/2010 $45.00 1/16/2011 $0.00 $13.50 $12.60 6/21/2010 $50.00 1/15/2011 $10.00 4/26/2010 $45.00 1/14/2011 $5.40 12/4/2009 $48.00 1/14/2011 $2.40 $66.00 1/13/2011 SharesPost
  • 43. 3rd Party Research: • Wedbush Securities • NextUp Research • Liquid Scenarios • Arcstone Partners • VC Experts • CB Insights • Research 2.0 • Greencrest Capital • Blueshift Research • PrivCo • GigaOm • Majestic/ITG • Crystal Research Associates
  • 44. Largest VC Backed Deals in 2010: 1 Better Place Clean Tech Expansion $350,000,300 2 Twitter Internet Expansion $200,000,000 3 BrightSource Energy Clean Tech Later Stage $150,000,000 4 Abound Solar Clean Tech Expansion $111,000,000 5 Trilliant Telecommunications Later Stage $105,999,800 6 Elevance Renewable Sciences Clean Tech Expansion $100,000,000 7 HighTower Holdings Financial Services Expansion $99,999,900 8 Casa Systems Internet Infrastructure Later Stage $96,460,000 9 Pierpont Securities Financial Services Expansion $84,999,900 10 Fisker Automotive Clean Tech Later Stage $78,078,900
  • 45. IPO Pipeline: Date Name Ticker Description IPO size 2010 Revs 7/14/2010 AMC Entertainment AMC Movie Theaters $450m $2417m 3/11/2011 HomeAway AWAY Online Real Estate Rentals $230m $168m 3/15/2011 Qihoo 360 QIHO Chinese Online Security $200m $58m 2/27/2011 LinkedIn Business Social Network $175m $161m 9 months 9/29/2009 NewEgg.com EGGZ Electronic Ecommerce $175m $2100m 2008 2/28/2011 Skullcandy SKUL Electronic Accessories $125m $140m estimated 11/9/2010 Tudou TUDO Chinese Online Video $120m $34m 9 months 2/11/2011 Pandora Online Music $100m $55m FYJan11 8/9/2010 Skype Online Telephony $100m $406m 6 months 12/23/2010 Responsys MKTG Email Marketing $60m $85m 11/17/2010 Kayak KYAK Online Travel $50m $128m 9 months 2/10/2010 Gamefly GFLY Online Video Game Rentals $50m $98m FYMar10
  • 46. Relevant 2010 IPOs: Name Ticker Performance Epocrates EPOC 44% Demand Media DMD 24% Neilson Holdings NLSN 17% Sky-Mobi YSM -33% Dangdang DANG 69% Youku.com YOKU 174% Bitauto BITA -26% Mecox Lane MCOX -33% MakeMyTrip MMYT 86% GreenDot GDOT 20% RealID RLD 49% Tesla TSLA 31% Vringo VRNG -41% Motricity MOTR 55% ReachLocal RLOC 59% TeleNav TNAV 39% Convio CNVO 32% Quinstreet QNST 51% Average 34%
  • 47. VC Market in Graphs
  • 48. The VC industry has lagged the major benchmarks over the past 10 years: 10 years Dow Jones 2.50% S&P 500 -0.40% Nasdaq -4.30% US Venture Capital Index -4.60% Cambridge Associates, Sept 2010
  • 49. Due to “J-Curve” older funds should have higher TVPI but they don’t: Total Value to Paid in Capital (TVPI) 1.4 1.2 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Cambridge Associates, Sept 2010
  • 50. As a result VC assets under management are falling: Assets Under Management $300,000 $250,000 $200,000 $150,000 $100,000 $50,000 $0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 NVCA, Jan 2011
  • 51. And the total # of VC funds are falling: Total # of VC Funds 2000 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 NVCA, Jan 2011
  • 52. But the total # of investments is steady: Number of venture investments 9000 8000 7000 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 NVCA, Jan 2011
  • 53. And the total amount invested is steady: Total Amount Invested $120.00 $100.00 $80.00 $60.00 $40.00 $20.00 $0.00 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 NVCA, Jan 2011
  • 54. There have been so many deals but so few exits: Exits as a % of Total Deals 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 NVCA, Jan 2011
  • 55. IPOs have dried up: IPO exits 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 NVCA, Jan 2011
  • 56. The median age at IPO has risen from 6 to 10 years: Median Age at IPO 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 NVCA, Jan 2011
  • 57. Private Secondary Markets are a new exit option: Transaction $ Amount $180,000,000 $160,000,000 $140,000,000 $120,000,000 $100,000,000 $80,000,000 $60,000,000 $40,000,000 $20,000,000 $0 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 SecondMarket, Feb 2011
  • 58. What happens next? Secondary markets institutionalize changing the industry: • Many more companies adopt policies and platforms • SEC introduces regulation that enhances the market • IPOs get pushed out further and bypassed entirely in some instance • Stronger companies emerge as a result of longer gestation period The lines blur between late stage venture funds and hedge funds • Late stage funds reduce lockups from 10 years to 2 years to adjust for liquidity • Hedge funds allocate 20%-40% to less liquid secondary markets •Balanced with market neutral public markets • Massive amounts of capital flow into this new asset class
  • 59. Thank You Jason M. Jones jjones@highstepcap.com 914-315-9751 Follow me on Twitter: @cardinalrose Profile on Google: /profiles.google.com/jjones1/