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Climate change Features and factors
What does climate change look like? Climate change can be observed in the global patterns of temperature and precipitation.  These changes are often shown as trends.  This reflects the gradual shift in climatic patterns.  The next set of slides illustrate trend and anomaly patterns. define the concepts of  climate change  and the  greenhouse effect
Temperature patterns
Australian temperature trends
Precipitation trends
Australian precipitation trends
Rainfall Trends in the SW
Rainfall trends in the north
Australia temperature trend Australian mean temperatures are calculated from a country-wide network of about 100 high-quality, mostly rural, observing stations. The Bureau of Meteorology has undertaken extensive data rehabilitation to ensure that the temperature records from these sites have not been compromised by changes in site location, exposure or instrumentation over time.
Climate change projections What will happen in the future is often based on trends from the past.  Projections are based on probability and climate modelling. Projected outcomes
Climate change projections
What changes? If we look a little further at the mechanics of climate change, what we see are changes in the climate system and its main elements (natural systems) outline the key elements of the following  natural systems  that drive the Earth’s climates: heat budget, hydrological cycle, carbon cycle, atmospheric circulation. identify and account for variations in the  spatial patterns  linked with the heat budget, hydrological cycle, carbon cycle and atmospheric circulation. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Water Land Life Air The climate system The Hydrological Cycle The Heat or Energy Budget & Greenhouse effect Global Atmospheric Circulation The Carbon Cycle The four main natural systems associated with the climate system ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The Sun
The global heat or energy budget
The Heat Budget ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
The Water Cycle ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
The Carbon Cycle ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Anthropogenic carbon output From WWW.GAPMINDER.ORG United States Australia China India Russia
Anthropogenic Carbon ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Global atmospheric circulation
Atmospheric circulation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What is the evidence? Evidence for climate change is gained from direct or instrument based measurements and from indirect or proxy based data.  Proxy data includes ice core evidence, coral and plant growth evidence and fossil/geologic evidence including coastal landforms. The Earth’s climate over the last 2.5 million years has been one of fluctuation between glacial and interglacial periods. There has been strong correlation between CO2 levels, ice volumes and global temperature. outline the  evidence  for climate change through  geological time , as well as in  recent human history  e.g. palaeoclimatology, atmospheric circulation changes, sea level changes, enhanced greenhouse effect and frequency of extreme weather events ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Ice ages and warm periods Identify and describe a period or periods in the Earth’s past history when climates were much colder than they are today. Include information on the patterns of precipitation and temperature during this period and the types of climatic conditions experienced by different regions.
Carbon Dioxide trends
Using proxy data
Adding in direct data
What is climate change?
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What is climate variability? account for  climatic cycles  and variations in spatial patterns associated with natural processes e.g. solar output, orbit variations, geological patterns and processes, volcanoes, atmospheric gases and chemistry, El Nino and La Nina effects, Pacific decadal cycle, North Atlantic variations, polar ice variations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Climate cycles and Oscillations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
El Nino La Nina The SOI is a measure of air pressure over the Pacific Ocean.  Positive phases in the index indicate the La Nina Phase.  Negative phases are associated with El Nino.  La Nina is the normal or above average rainfall period for Northern and Eastern Australia. 2006-2007 was a prolonged drought across Eastern Australia
El Nino event
Climate and people ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Human impacts and actions Enhanced greenhouse effect
Mitigate or adapt? Care of places · discuss the current and proposed strategies implemented to reduce the adverse effects of climate change · discuss how human activity has adapted or may be required to adapt to climate change. Mitigation is the introduction of changes to human activities that are expected to reduce the anthropogenic causes of climate change.  The debate is the extent to which these activities are responsible for climate change and the degree to which the solutions will be successful. Adaptation is the acceptance of climate change regardless of the causes and the development of strategies to cope with the change.  This is the learning to live with it strategy.
Climate change and agriculture examine the impact of climate change upon the  spatial patterns  of agriculture or human settlements. For the selected human activity: Agriculture Factors that impact on decisions about sustainability · outline the extent to which climate change impacts upon sustainability from local to global scales · discuss the key environmental, economic, social and political factors that impact upon decisions about sustainability. Values and viewpoints in people’s use of places · outline the different viewpoints which stakeholders have towards strategies that aim to minimise the effects of climate change e.g. wealthy nations, developing/emerging nations, state and regional governments, environmental groups, multinational corporations, nongovernment organisations. Care of places · discuss the current and proposed strategies implemented to reduce the adverse effects of climate change · discuss how human activity has adapted or may be required to adapt to climate change.
Does this map show the impact of climate change on sustainability of agriculture?
 
Climate change and urban settlement For the selected human activity: Urban settlement Factors that impact on decisions about sustainability · outline the extent to which climate change impacts upon sustainability from local to global scales · discuss the key environmental, economic, social and political factors that impact upon decisions about sustainability. Values and viewpoints in people’s use of places · outline the different viewpoints which stakeholders have towards strategies that aim to minimise the effects of climate change e.g. wealthy nations, developing/emerging nations, state and regional governments, environmental groups, multinational corporations, nongovernment organisations. Care of places · discuss the current and proposed strategies implemented to reduce the adverse effects of climate change · discuss how human activity has adapted or may be required to adapt to climate change.
The impact of and on urban settlements
Urban micro-climates The heat island
General impacts of climate change explain the impact of climate change upon  spatial patterns  in the natural and cultural environments   In this chart we see the application of scenarios to the issue of climate change. Potentially this syllabus point could include projected as well as current impacts
Adapting to climate change
Climate change stakeholders
Now its time to ask the questions http://webarchive.nationalarchives.gov.uk/20100623194820/http://www.actoncopenhagen.decc.gov.uk/content/en/embeds/flash/4-degrees-large-map-final http://www.climatechange.gov.au/climate-change/myths/science.aspx

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Norm snell climate change

  • 2. What does climate change look like? Climate change can be observed in the global patterns of temperature and precipitation. These changes are often shown as trends. This reflects the gradual shift in climatic patterns. The next set of slides illustrate trend and anomaly patterns. define the concepts of climate change and the greenhouse effect
  • 8. Rainfall trends in the north
  • 9. Australia temperature trend Australian mean temperatures are calculated from a country-wide network of about 100 high-quality, mostly rural, observing stations. The Bureau of Meteorology has undertaken extensive data rehabilitation to ensure that the temperature records from these sites have not been compromised by changes in site location, exposure or instrumentation over time.
  • 10. Climate change projections What will happen in the future is often based on trends from the past. Projections are based on probability and climate modelling. Projected outcomes
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  • 14. The global heat or energy budget
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  • 20. Anthropogenic carbon output From WWW.GAPMINDER.ORG United States Australia China India Russia
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  • 25. Ice ages and warm periods Identify and describe a period or periods in the Earth’s past history when climates were much colder than they are today. Include information on the patterns of precipitation and temperature during this period and the types of climatic conditions experienced by different regions.
  • 29. What is climate change?
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  • 33. El Nino La Nina The SOI is a measure of air pressure over the Pacific Ocean. Positive phases in the index indicate the La Nina Phase. Negative phases are associated with El Nino. La Nina is the normal or above average rainfall period for Northern and Eastern Australia. 2006-2007 was a prolonged drought across Eastern Australia
  • 35.
  • 36. Human impacts and actions Enhanced greenhouse effect
  • 37. Mitigate or adapt? Care of places · discuss the current and proposed strategies implemented to reduce the adverse effects of climate change · discuss how human activity has adapted or may be required to adapt to climate change. Mitigation is the introduction of changes to human activities that are expected to reduce the anthropogenic causes of climate change. The debate is the extent to which these activities are responsible for climate change and the degree to which the solutions will be successful. Adaptation is the acceptance of climate change regardless of the causes and the development of strategies to cope with the change. This is the learning to live with it strategy.
  • 38. Climate change and agriculture examine the impact of climate change upon the spatial patterns of agriculture or human settlements. For the selected human activity: Agriculture Factors that impact on decisions about sustainability · outline the extent to which climate change impacts upon sustainability from local to global scales · discuss the key environmental, economic, social and political factors that impact upon decisions about sustainability. Values and viewpoints in people’s use of places · outline the different viewpoints which stakeholders have towards strategies that aim to minimise the effects of climate change e.g. wealthy nations, developing/emerging nations, state and regional governments, environmental groups, multinational corporations, nongovernment organisations. Care of places · discuss the current and proposed strategies implemented to reduce the adverse effects of climate change · discuss how human activity has adapted or may be required to adapt to climate change.
  • 39. Does this map show the impact of climate change on sustainability of agriculture?
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  • 41. Climate change and urban settlement For the selected human activity: Urban settlement Factors that impact on decisions about sustainability · outline the extent to which climate change impacts upon sustainability from local to global scales · discuss the key environmental, economic, social and political factors that impact upon decisions about sustainability. Values and viewpoints in people’s use of places · outline the different viewpoints which stakeholders have towards strategies that aim to minimise the effects of climate change e.g. wealthy nations, developing/emerging nations, state and regional governments, environmental groups, multinational corporations, nongovernment organisations. Care of places · discuss the current and proposed strategies implemented to reduce the adverse effects of climate change · discuss how human activity has adapted or may be required to adapt to climate change.
  • 42. The impact of and on urban settlements
  • 44. General impacts of climate change explain the impact of climate change upon spatial patterns in the natural and cultural environments In this chart we see the application of scenarios to the issue of climate change. Potentially this syllabus point could include projected as well as current impacts
  • 47. Now its time to ask the questions http://webarchive.nationalarchives.gov.uk/20100623194820/http://www.actoncopenhagen.decc.gov.uk/content/en/embeds/flash/4-degrees-large-map-final http://www.climatechange.gov.au/climate-change/myths/science.aspx