The Convergence Of Transport, The Built Environment And The Smart Grid by John Thornton
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Designing the Smart Grid for Sustainable Communities - Portland State University - April 13, 2009
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The Convergence Of Transport, The Built Environment And The Smart Grid by John Thornton
- 4. Affiliations & Disclaimer The author’s views do not necessarily represent the views of the Porteon or Apex
- 8. Technology Transformation xEV Transformation Dirty “ Old” technology Inefficient Clean “ New” technology Efficient EV PHEV NEV FCEV etc., etc. Hybrid (HEV) Tiny Explosions inside engine EVs and Smart Grid / Designing the Smart Grid for Sustainable Communities – Portland State University John Thornton / www.cleanfuture.us
- 9. Internal Combustion Engine http://auto.howstuffworks.com/engine1.htm http://auto.howstuffworks.com/engine2.htm Fuel Air Heat CO2 Pollutants Work Efficiency: Resource-to- Wheels ~ 18% EVs and Smart Grid / Designing the Smart Grid for Sustainable Communities – Portland State University John Thornton / www.cleanfuture.us
- 12. Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicle (PHEV) Flavors: Plug-in Electric Plug-in Hybrid PHEV20, ….. EREV – Extended Range EV Efficiency: Resource-to- Wheels ~ 22% to 39% Courtesy Electric Drive Transportation Association EVs and Smart Grid / Designing the Smart Grid for Sustainable Communities – Portland State University John Thornton / www.cleanfuture.us
- 13. Electric Vehicle (EV) Flavors: Plug-in Electric Plug-in Vehicle EV BEV Efficiency: Resource-to- Wheels ~ 39% Courtesy Electric Drive Transportation Association EVs and Smart Grid / Designing the Smart Grid for Sustainable Communities – Portland State University John Thornton / www.cleanfuture.us
- 14. Fuel Cell Electric Vehicle (FCEV) Efficiency: Resource-to- Wheels ~ 14% Courtesy Electric Drive Transportation Association EVs and Smart Grid / Designing the Smart Grid for Sustainable Communities – Portland State University John Thornton / www.cleanfuture.us
- 16. Drivetrain Electrification Storage Continuum EVs and Smart Grid / Designing the Smart Grid for Sustainable Communities – Portland State University John Thornton / www.cleanfuture.us
- 17. CONFIDENTIAL Courtesy Electric Drive Transportation Association Transportation Problems Air Quality Air Quality Land Use Land Use Population Growth Population Growth Congestion Congestion Fuel Prices Fuel Prices
- 18. CONFIDENTIAL Air Quality Air Quality Land Use Land Use Population Growth Population Growth Congestion Congestion Climate Change Energy Supply Climate Change Energy Supply Transportation Problems EVs and Smart Grid / Designing the Smart Grid for Sustainable Communities – Portland State University John Thornton / www.cleanfuture.us X X Fuel Prices Fuel Prices
- 19. EVs as a Sustainability Solution Residential Commercial Electric Power EVs and PHEVs diversify energy supply Electricity is a cleaner “fuel” EVs and PHEVs have lower Wells-to-wheels impact Off-peak capacity Energy can come from renewable sources (RPS) EVs and Smart Grid / Designing the Smart Grid for Sustainable Communities – Portland State University John Thornton / www.cleanfuture.us
- 20. EVs as a Sustainability Solution Residential Commercial Electric Power EVs and PHEVs diversify energy supply Electricity is a cleaner “fuel” EVs and PHEVs have lower Wells-to-wheels impact Off-peak capacity Energy can come from renewable sources (RPS) EVs and Smart Grid / Designing the Smart Grid for Sustainable Communities – Portland State University John Thornton / www.cleanfuture.us
- 21. Electricity – Growing Greener: Renewable Portfolio Standards (RPS) Source: Pew Center for Global Climate Change (September 2008) http://www.pewclimate.org/what_s_being_done/in_the_states/rps.cfm OR: 25% by 2025 WA: 15% by 2020 CA: 20% by 2010 NV: 20% by 2015 AZ: 15% by 2025 MT: 15% by 2015 EVs and Smart Grid / Designing the Smart Grid for Sustainable Communities – Portland State University John Thornton / www.cleanfuture.us
- 25. Vehicle-to-Grid (V2G) – Bi-directional Energy Concept California ISO By 2020 there could be 1 million vehicles with electrical storage capability of 10,000 MW (@ 10 kW each) EVs and Smart Grid / Designing the Smart Grid for Sustainable Communities – Portland State University John Thornton / www.cleanfuture.us
- 31. Increasing Need for Frequency Regulation: CAL ISO Study Source: Integration of Renewable Resources. California Independent System Operation. November 2007
- 36. For Questions or More Information: [email_address] or john@cleanfuture.us Phone: 503-806-1760 EVs and Smart Grid / Designing the Smart Grid for Sustainable Communities – Portland State University John Thornton / www.cleanfuture.us
- 39. Technology Adoption Life Cycle Innovators Early Adopters Early Majority Late Majority Laggards The Technology Adoption Life Cycle models market acceptance of discontinuous innovations.
- 40. Technology Adoption Life Cycle Innovators Technology Enthusiasts Techies: Try it! Pragmatists: Stick with the herd! Conservatives: Hold on! Skeptics: No way! Visionaries: Get ahead of the herd! Early Adopters Visionaries Early Majority Pragmatists Late Majority Conservatives Laggards Skeptics
Editor's Notes
- EV Activity in Oregon: Two weeks ago: Oregon EV Charging Network RFP Last week: Nissan Think Ford “advanced” hybrid Next week: Mitsubishi Ongoing: Local activity Vehicle electrification has emerged as the dominant new trend in the Auto sector with dozens of electric vehicles in the development pipeline RMI – Smart Garage Charratte report: “ Smart Garage could do for electricity and mobility what TIVO did for broadcast media, letting you choose the energy you want to use, when and where you want to use it, both in your car and in your building” RMI - Smart Garage Charratte pre-read (v2.0, Oct-2008) “ Electrified vehicles could be the “killer application” for Smart Grid. A coordinated rollout of electrified vehicles could help push utilities and PUCs toward implementing the Smart Grid faster. The vehicles are unique as energy-using “appliances” in the amount of power they draw, their mobility, their ability to discharge and charge, and the fact that they don’t need to be charging every moment they are plugged in. Electrified vehicles could also be an important lever in getting consumers to pay more attention to the way their energy use choices affect the grid, an important component of the Smart Grid.” Confidential & Proprietary
- Confidential & Proprietary
- Confidential & Proprietary
- This model is the foundation for understanding high-tech market development . based on research conducted at Harvard, dating back to late 1950’s, continuing basis of research under category of diffusion of innovation This model predicts that whenever a market is exposed to a discontinuous innovation, customers will self-agregate into five different response profiles. For high-tech markets, these five response profiles have proved remarkably consistent over the years. Each is based on a different attitude towards discontinuity, as follows: