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THE BIGGEST MOBILE
OPPORTUNITY NOBODY
IS TALKING ABOUT
October 29, 2012
What Happened to the Newspaper Business?

                                                       Newspaper Advertising Revenue Adjusted for Inflation
                                                                     Millions of 2012 Dollars
               $70,000


               $60,000

                                                     Print Only
               $50,000


               $40,000


               $30,000


               $20,000


               $10,000
                                1950             1960             1970      1980          1990         2000   2010




Source: Newspaper Associations of America. Carpe Diem Blog.
                                                                                                                     2
www.marchex.com
The Reason, of Course, is Time Spent Digitally



                                           Ad Spend            Time Spent
              43%
                    40%


                                                                     29%
                                     22%                  23%
                                                      ≈
                               16%
                                                                                 11%
                                                                                       9%
                                                                            6%
                                                   1%

                  TV          INTERNET            MOBILE              PRINT      RADIO


   Sources: VSS, Mary Meeker (KPCB), comScore, Alexa, Flurry
   Analytics
                                                                                            3
www.marchex.com
Why is Spend So Low on Mobile?



                                                           “Add all the bells & whistles
                                                           you want to banner ads...”




                  Form Factor




   Sources: Forbes (author: Gliad de Vries, VP Outbrain)

                                                                                           4
www.marchex.com
Why is Spend So Low on Mobile?



                                 “49% of mobile and tablet
                                 users reported using apps for
                                 local business searches.”




              Fragmentation
                 of Media




   Sources: comScore, Localeze

                                                                 5
www.marchex.com
Why is Spend So Low on Mobile?



                                                           “40 percent of clicks are
                                                           essentially worthless.”




                                                           “Up to 50% of the impressions
                                                           served on... mobile... are from
                                                           "fat finger" taps.”



              Measurement




   Sources: gigaOm, TradeMob, Goldspot, Business Insider

                                                                                             6
www.marchex.com
Why is Spend So Low on Mobile?

Now we have advertising on smartphones, and we’ve
fallen into a comfortable, predictable rut: “It’s just like
Web advertising on the PC, shrunk to fit”…
A too-easy answer is the market’s age: Mobile
advertising is still in its infancy. But that’s an
indefensible excuse: The first iPhones shipped in late
June 2007…
“Mobile Advertising – The $20B Mirage”
Jean-Louis Gassee
June 10th, 2012




                                                              7
www.marchex.com
This Device Makes Phone Calls



                                RING RING




                                            8
www.marchex.com
Even Young People Use The Phone




                                  9
www.marchex.com
Consumers Prefer Phone Calls, So Do Businesses




      62                        65
                         1                          2




                         %                          %
      of consumers call a       of businesses value calls
      business from a local     the most over other
      search, the most over     advertising outcomes
      other outcomes




1 Google Mobile Data
2 Kelsey Study 2010
                                                            10
www.marchex.com
How Big Will The Mobile Search Market Be?

                                                        Desktop vs. Mobile Local Search Forecast

                      140,000

                                                       Local searches U.S. (mobile)
                      120,000
                                                       Local searches U.S. (desktop)

                      100,000
                                                                                                           81 Billion
           Millions




                       80,000
                                                                                     ≈
                       60,000


                       40,000


                       20,000


                            0
                                      2010               2011              212               2013       2014      2015   2016




Data from BIA/Kelsey Report, “Call-Based Ads: Eliminating the Unknown From Advertising.” May 29, 2012
                                                                                                                                11
www.marchex.com
How Big Will The Mobile Calls Market Be?

                                     Internet Call Volumes by Channel

    70000


    60000


    50000


    40000

                                                                           Calls generated from
    30000                                                                  desktop search

                                                                           Calls from mobile search
    20000


    10000


           0
                    2010    2011   2012   2013     2014    2015     2016




Source: BIA/Kelsey (2012)
                                                                                                      12
www.marchex.com
Where Are Calls Coming From in Mobile?




                                         13
www.marchex.com
What Does Click-To-Call Look Like?




                                     14
www.marchex.com
You Should Be A Call Advertiser If:

             You take appointments or reservations
             You address urgent needs
             You have a physical location
             You sell something expensive
             You sell a complex product
             Your product has multiple choices
             On the desktop, your prospective customers fill out forms
             Your customers want to know your hours or if products are
              in stock.




                                                                          15
www.marchex.com
Uh-Oh…




                               25%
                              Spam &
                              misdials
                     53%
                   Existing
                  customers
                                  22%
                              Potential new
                               customer




                                              16
www.marchex.com
Over all mobile channels, 22% of mobile calls are
potential new customers…



                               25%
                              Spam &
                              misdials
                     53%
                   Existing
                  customers
                                  22%
                              Potential new
                               customer




                                                    17
www.marchex.com
Best Practice 1:
Use a Tracking Number




            Order tracking      Embed them in          Track campaign
              numbers            online assets          effectiveness
          (800-TRACKING)     (Search, Display, etc.)




                                                                        18
www.marchex.com
The Call Tracking Number is Your Tracking Pixel




                  1-800-GRT-DATA




                                                  19
www.marchex.com
Best Practice 2:
Click-to-Call & Click-to-Landing Page
.


                                  Emergency Dentist   Medicaid or Child Dentist

                  Call from Ad          50%                     33%

         Call from Landing Page         50%                     67%




                                                                                  20
www.marchex.com
Best Practice 3:
Use an IVR to Determine Intent



                                         Thank you for calling Bug
                                         Blasters, Seattle’s Best Pest
                                         Control. If you are calling
                   Integrated IVR        about new service, please
                                         press 1. If you are a current
                                         customer, please press 2.
                  New         Support

                               Service

                              Contact
                              Details




                                                                         21
www.marchex.com
Best Practice 3:
Use an IVR to Determine Intent


                                          Filters robo-dialers
                                          Qualifies intent
                                          Provides real-time
                   Integrated IVR
                                           reporting for
                                           optimization
                  New         Support

                               Service

                              Contact
                              Details




                                                                  22
www.marchex.com
Best Practice 4:
Establish a Minimum Duration




                               23
www.marchex.com
Marchex: We Make Phones Ring




                         =


                               24
www.marchex.com
25
www.marchex.com
Best Practice 5:
Analyze the Data



                    Time of day
                    Caller ID
                    Area code
                    Frequency
                    IVR success
                    Call duration
                    Ad proximity




                                     26
                                     26
www.marchex.com
Calls Provide the Richest Data For Understanding
Consumer Intent

   Are there two actual humans
     talking to one another?
                                            No Conversation   1
                                       No

                   Yes


   Is the conversion conducted
                                              Non-English
        primarily in English?          No

                   Yes


      Does the conversation
                                            Non-Product or
        concern a previous
   sale, appointment, arrangem         No      Service        2
       ent, or relationship?

                   Yes


    Is a customer or a potential
      customer calling about a
   product or service offered by       No
                                             New Business     3
           the advertiser?

                   Yes



            Follow-Up              4

                                                                  27
www.marchex.com
Example: Which Degrees Do Consumers Ask For?

             700



             600



             500



             400



             300



             200



             100



                  0
                      Design   Culinary   Fashion   Media   Photography   Film   Technology




                                                                                              28
www.marchex.com
Example: Hotel Features Associated with Purchases


                           Featured Correlated with Reservations for Major Hotel Chains

     2.5



        2



     1.5
                                                                                                      Hotel Brand 1
                                                                                                      Hotel Brand 2
        1
                                                                                                      Hotel Brand 3

     0.5



        0
               airport   breakfast   fitness   free   parking   pool   restaurant   view   wireless



* Marchex data, 2010
                                                                                                                      29
www.marchex.com
Call Experience is Critically Important to Conversion




     * Data is hold time (seconds) as measured by “time to first word” by caller
     ** Category data is based on average of hold times in 2011 for select Marchex advertisers.



                                                                                                  30
www.marchex.com
The Biggest Mobile Opportunity Nobody Is Talking About

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The Biggest Mobile Opportunity Nobody Is Talking About

  • 1. THE BIGGEST MOBILE OPPORTUNITY NOBODY IS TALKING ABOUT October 29, 2012
  • 2. What Happened to the Newspaper Business? Newspaper Advertising Revenue Adjusted for Inflation Millions of 2012 Dollars $70,000 $60,000 Print Only $50,000 $40,000 $30,000 $20,000 $10,000 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Source: Newspaper Associations of America. Carpe Diem Blog. 2 www.marchex.com
  • 3. The Reason, of Course, is Time Spent Digitally Ad Spend Time Spent 43% 40% 29% 22% 23% ≈ 16% 11% 9% 6% 1% TV INTERNET MOBILE PRINT RADIO Sources: VSS, Mary Meeker (KPCB), comScore, Alexa, Flurry Analytics 3 www.marchex.com
  • 4. Why is Spend So Low on Mobile? “Add all the bells & whistles you want to banner ads...” Form Factor Sources: Forbes (author: Gliad de Vries, VP Outbrain) 4 www.marchex.com
  • 5. Why is Spend So Low on Mobile? “49% of mobile and tablet users reported using apps for local business searches.” Fragmentation of Media Sources: comScore, Localeze 5 www.marchex.com
  • 6. Why is Spend So Low on Mobile? “40 percent of clicks are essentially worthless.” “Up to 50% of the impressions served on... mobile... are from "fat finger" taps.” Measurement Sources: gigaOm, TradeMob, Goldspot, Business Insider 6 www.marchex.com
  • 7. Why is Spend So Low on Mobile? Now we have advertising on smartphones, and we’ve fallen into a comfortable, predictable rut: “It’s just like Web advertising on the PC, shrunk to fit”… A too-easy answer is the market’s age: Mobile advertising is still in its infancy. But that’s an indefensible excuse: The first iPhones shipped in late June 2007… “Mobile Advertising – The $20B Mirage” Jean-Louis Gassee June 10th, 2012 7 www.marchex.com
  • 8. This Device Makes Phone Calls RING RING 8 www.marchex.com
  • 9. Even Young People Use The Phone 9 www.marchex.com
  • 10. Consumers Prefer Phone Calls, So Do Businesses 62 65 1 2 % % of consumers call a of businesses value calls business from a local the most over other search, the most over advertising outcomes other outcomes 1 Google Mobile Data 2 Kelsey Study 2010 10 www.marchex.com
  • 11. How Big Will The Mobile Search Market Be? Desktop vs. Mobile Local Search Forecast 140,000 Local searches U.S. (mobile) 120,000 Local searches U.S. (desktop) 100,000 81 Billion Millions 80,000 ≈ 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 2010 2011 212 2013 2014 2015 2016 Data from BIA/Kelsey Report, “Call-Based Ads: Eliminating the Unknown From Advertising.” May 29, 2012 11 www.marchex.com
  • 12. How Big Will The Mobile Calls Market Be? Internet Call Volumes by Channel 70000 60000 50000 40000 Calls generated from 30000 desktop search Calls from mobile search 20000 10000 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Source: BIA/Kelsey (2012) 12 www.marchex.com
  • 13. Where Are Calls Coming From in Mobile? 13 www.marchex.com
  • 14. What Does Click-To-Call Look Like? 14 www.marchex.com
  • 15. You Should Be A Call Advertiser If:  You take appointments or reservations  You address urgent needs  You have a physical location  You sell something expensive  You sell a complex product  Your product has multiple choices  On the desktop, your prospective customers fill out forms  Your customers want to know your hours or if products are in stock. 15 www.marchex.com
  • 16. Uh-Oh… 25% Spam & misdials 53% Existing customers 22% Potential new customer 16 www.marchex.com
  • 17. Over all mobile channels, 22% of mobile calls are potential new customers… 25% Spam & misdials 53% Existing customers 22% Potential new customer 17 www.marchex.com
  • 18. Best Practice 1: Use a Tracking Number Order tracking Embed them in Track campaign numbers online assets effectiveness (800-TRACKING) (Search, Display, etc.) 18 www.marchex.com
  • 19. The Call Tracking Number is Your Tracking Pixel 1-800-GRT-DATA 19 www.marchex.com
  • 20. Best Practice 2: Click-to-Call & Click-to-Landing Page . Emergency Dentist Medicaid or Child Dentist Call from Ad 50% 33% Call from Landing Page 50% 67% 20 www.marchex.com
  • 21. Best Practice 3: Use an IVR to Determine Intent Thank you for calling Bug Blasters, Seattle’s Best Pest Control. If you are calling Integrated IVR about new service, please press 1. If you are a current customer, please press 2. New Support Service Contact Details 21 www.marchex.com
  • 22. Best Practice 3: Use an IVR to Determine Intent  Filters robo-dialers  Qualifies intent  Provides real-time Integrated IVR reporting for optimization New Support Service Contact Details 22 www.marchex.com
  • 23. Best Practice 4: Establish a Minimum Duration 23 www.marchex.com
  • 24. Marchex: We Make Phones Ring = 24 www.marchex.com
  • 26. Best Practice 5: Analyze the Data  Time of day  Caller ID  Area code  Frequency  IVR success  Call duration  Ad proximity 26 26 www.marchex.com
  • 27. Calls Provide the Richest Data For Understanding Consumer Intent Are there two actual humans talking to one another? No Conversation 1 No Yes Is the conversion conducted Non-English primarily in English? No Yes Does the conversation Non-Product or concern a previous sale, appointment, arrangem No Service 2 ent, or relationship? Yes Is a customer or a potential customer calling about a product or service offered by No New Business 3 the advertiser? Yes Follow-Up 4 27 www.marchex.com
  • 28. Example: Which Degrees Do Consumers Ask For? 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Design Culinary Fashion Media Photography Film Technology 28 www.marchex.com
  • 29. Example: Hotel Features Associated with Purchases Featured Correlated with Reservations for Major Hotel Chains 2.5 2 1.5 Hotel Brand 1 Hotel Brand 2 1 Hotel Brand 3 0.5 0 airport breakfast fitness free parking pool restaurant view wireless * Marchex data, 2010 29 www.marchex.com
  • 30. Call Experience is Critically Important to Conversion * Data is hold time (seconds) as measured by “time to first word” by caller ** Category data is based on average of hold times in 2011 for select Marchex advertisers. 30 www.marchex.com

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. Success!
  2. Success!
  3. DO we show a channel by channel example of how we align incentives?- Do we
  4. Jeff: Likes the logosDon: thinks its not – a differentiator – smaller partner logos that would be differentiators?
  5. Jeff: Likes the logosDon: thinks its not – a differentiator – smaller partner logos that would be differentiators?
  6. Success!