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The Big Picture: Trends In Protective Behaviour Among Young  Women John Cleland
Background ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
DHS Data Used In This Presentation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Figure 3:  Box and Whisker Plots:  Trend (1993-2001) in in current contraceptive use among single women aged 15-24 who were sexually active in the last 3 months: 18 African countries
Figure 4:  Box and Whisker Plots:  Trends in standardized percent who reported condom use at most recent coitus, among single women aged 15-24 who were sexually active in the last 3 months: 13 African countries.
Figure 3b: Trends in condom use at last sex, by residence
Figure 3c: Trends in condom use at last sex, by Level of education
Figure 3d: Trends in condom use at last sex, by wealth category
Annual change in contraceptive knowledge  & use     Median 95%CI Effective knowledge 1.16 -(0.45 2.09) Ever use of any method 0.27 -(0.50 1.45) Current use Any method 0.11 -(0.33 1.19) Condom 1.44 (0.66 2.04) Non-barrier modern 0.01 -(0.23 0.43) Traditional methods -0.82 -(1.33 -0.25)
Annual change in condom use last act     Median 95%CI Over all 1.70 (0.55 2.47) Place of  residence Rural 1.29 -(0.56 2.29) Urban 2.09 (0.57 3.88) Education level Primary or less 1.59 (1.04 2.67) Secondary+ 1.99 (1.39 4.28) Wealth category Poor 0.95 -(0.70 2.36) Rich 2.64 (0.54 3.31) Age group 15-19 years 1.38 (0.64 2.76) 20-24 years 1.94 (0.98 3.01)
Dual & consistent use of condom ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Median percentages of dual use and consistent use in most recent survey Dual use Consistent use     Median 95%CI   Median 95%CI Over all 58.5 (47.9 72.4) 81.3 (77.8 94.8) Place of  residence Rural 54.7 (42.1 70.6) 93.2 (71.7 97.9) Urban 58.9 (50.3 72.5) 81.3 (75.8 91.2) Education level Primary or less 56.1 (39.2 70.1) 86.7 (76.3 94.9) Secondary+ 58.7 (50.8 73.8) 82.8 (79.1 94.4) Wealth category Poor 49.6 (37.1 65.5) 91.5 (71.4 98.4) Rich 61.8 (45.3 72.9) 82.2 (76.1 93.9) Age group 15-19 years 63.7 (41.1 73.7) 81.0 (75.6 94.2) 20-24 years 54.0 (47.7 73.3) 85.6 (79.8 95.7)
Conclusions: single women (1) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Conclusions: single women (2) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Figure 4a:  Married women aged 15-24 who were sexually active in the last 3 months: 13 African countries: trends in condom use at last sex.
Is condom use within marriage a realistic proposition: results from WHO multi-site study (married or cohabiting women) Condom use Urban Rural South Africa Current use for FP 8.7 5.2 Consistent/occasional use with partner (any reason) 31.3 11.1 Kenya Current use for FP 2.2 1.7 Consistent/occasional use with partner (any reason) 14.5 11.6 Uganda Current use for FP 5.6 3.1 Consistent/occasional use with partner (any reason) 21.8 11.0
Profile of Condom Use and Related Attitudinal Factors in Three Strata (South Africa) Factors Strata Urban More Educated Intermediate Rural  Less Educated Consistent/Occasional condom use Wife 33.9 17.6 10.9* Husband 29.3 15.7 7.8* Discussed condoms with spouse Wife 79.7 54.9 28.1* Husband 75.9 40.0 30.5* Favourable attitude to condoms Wife 57.6 62.5 35.2* Husband 33.9 30.0 27.0 Belief in condom efficacy Wife 89.7 86.3 76.0* Husband 91.5 92.2 86.6
Profile of Condom Use and Related Attitudinal Factors in Three Strata (South Africa)   Cont’d *Strata difference significant at 95% confidence level Factors Strata Urban More Educated Intermediate Rural  Less Educated Perceived risk of HIV from Spouse Wife’s report 55.9 54.9 58.3 Husband’s report 10.3 28.0 25.0* High perceived self-efficacy Wife 37.9 23.5 22.2* Husband 37.3 31.4 31.3 Number of couples (unweighted) 94 52 92
Predictors of Condom Use Reported by Wives  (South Africa)   Also in the model: marital status, length of relationship: fertility intentions Significant effects in red Unadjusted ORs Adjusted ORs Urban v rural 3.17 2.26 Wife secondary + sch. V less 4.42 2.47 Husband secondary + sch. V less 3.81 2.24 Wife’s high/medium perceived risk of HIV v. low/no risk 4.17 3.92 Wife’s high belief in condom efficacy v low 5.53 4.55 husband’s positive attitude to condoms v negative 4.29 1.56
Dual-protection from condoms or double-method protection? South Africa (high contraceptive use setting) Use status Needs FP & HIV protection Needs HIV-protection only Needs FP only No need % % % % No method 13 24 16 49 Non-barrier method only 60 35 71 44 Condom only 4 8 2 2 Both 23 32 12 5 (N) (75) (74) (61) (57)
Kenya (moderate contraceptive use setting) Use status Needs FP & HIV protection Needs HIV-protection only Needs FP only No need Use status % % % % No method 22 26 21 39 Non-barrier method only 69 50 68 51 Condom only 0 2 2 2 Both 9 23 9 8 (N) (58) (93) (167) (197)
Uganda (low contraceptive use setting) Use status Needs FP & HIV protection Needs HIV-protection only Needs FP only No need Use status % % % % No method 53 64 68 69 Non-barrier method only 35 18 22 15 Condom only 8 14 5 8 Both 4 4 5 8 (N) (156) (225) (41) (88)
Conclusions: married women ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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The Big Picture: Trends In Protective Behaviour Among Young Women

  • 1. The Big Picture: Trends In Protective Behaviour Among Young Women John Cleland
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4. Figure 3: Box and Whisker Plots: Trend (1993-2001) in in current contraceptive use among single women aged 15-24 who were sexually active in the last 3 months: 18 African countries
  • 5. Figure 4: Box and Whisker Plots: Trends in standardized percent who reported condom use at most recent coitus, among single women aged 15-24 who were sexually active in the last 3 months: 13 African countries.
  • 6. Figure 3b: Trends in condom use at last sex, by residence
  • 7. Figure 3c: Trends in condom use at last sex, by Level of education
  • 8. Figure 3d: Trends in condom use at last sex, by wealth category
  • 9. Annual change in contraceptive knowledge & use     Median 95%CI Effective knowledge 1.16 -(0.45 2.09) Ever use of any method 0.27 -(0.50 1.45) Current use Any method 0.11 -(0.33 1.19) Condom 1.44 (0.66 2.04) Non-barrier modern 0.01 -(0.23 0.43) Traditional methods -0.82 -(1.33 -0.25)
  • 10. Annual change in condom use last act     Median 95%CI Over all 1.70 (0.55 2.47) Place of residence Rural 1.29 -(0.56 2.29) Urban 2.09 (0.57 3.88) Education level Primary or less 1.59 (1.04 2.67) Secondary+ 1.99 (1.39 4.28) Wealth category Poor 0.95 -(0.70 2.36) Rich 2.64 (0.54 3.31) Age group 15-19 years 1.38 (0.64 2.76) 20-24 years 1.94 (0.98 3.01)
  • 11.
  • 12. Median percentages of dual use and consistent use in most recent survey Dual use Consistent use     Median 95%CI   Median 95%CI Over all 58.5 (47.9 72.4) 81.3 (77.8 94.8) Place of residence Rural 54.7 (42.1 70.6) 93.2 (71.7 97.9) Urban 58.9 (50.3 72.5) 81.3 (75.8 91.2) Education level Primary or less 56.1 (39.2 70.1) 86.7 (76.3 94.9) Secondary+ 58.7 (50.8 73.8) 82.8 (79.1 94.4) Wealth category Poor 49.6 (37.1 65.5) 91.5 (71.4 98.4) Rich 61.8 (45.3 72.9) 82.2 (76.1 93.9) Age group 15-19 years 63.7 (41.1 73.7) 81.0 (75.6 94.2) 20-24 years 54.0 (47.7 73.3) 85.6 (79.8 95.7)
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15. Figure 4a: Married women aged 15-24 who were sexually active in the last 3 months: 13 African countries: trends in condom use at last sex.
  • 16. Is condom use within marriage a realistic proposition: results from WHO multi-site study (married or cohabiting women) Condom use Urban Rural South Africa Current use for FP 8.7 5.2 Consistent/occasional use with partner (any reason) 31.3 11.1 Kenya Current use for FP 2.2 1.7 Consistent/occasional use with partner (any reason) 14.5 11.6 Uganda Current use for FP 5.6 3.1 Consistent/occasional use with partner (any reason) 21.8 11.0
  • 17. Profile of Condom Use and Related Attitudinal Factors in Three Strata (South Africa) Factors Strata Urban More Educated Intermediate Rural Less Educated Consistent/Occasional condom use Wife 33.9 17.6 10.9* Husband 29.3 15.7 7.8* Discussed condoms with spouse Wife 79.7 54.9 28.1* Husband 75.9 40.0 30.5* Favourable attitude to condoms Wife 57.6 62.5 35.2* Husband 33.9 30.0 27.0 Belief in condom efficacy Wife 89.7 86.3 76.0* Husband 91.5 92.2 86.6
  • 18. Profile of Condom Use and Related Attitudinal Factors in Three Strata (South Africa) Cont’d *Strata difference significant at 95% confidence level Factors Strata Urban More Educated Intermediate Rural Less Educated Perceived risk of HIV from Spouse Wife’s report 55.9 54.9 58.3 Husband’s report 10.3 28.0 25.0* High perceived self-efficacy Wife 37.9 23.5 22.2* Husband 37.3 31.4 31.3 Number of couples (unweighted) 94 52 92
  • 19. Predictors of Condom Use Reported by Wives (South Africa) Also in the model: marital status, length of relationship: fertility intentions Significant effects in red Unadjusted ORs Adjusted ORs Urban v rural 3.17 2.26 Wife secondary + sch. V less 4.42 2.47 Husband secondary + sch. V less 3.81 2.24 Wife’s high/medium perceived risk of HIV v. low/no risk 4.17 3.92 Wife’s high belief in condom efficacy v low 5.53 4.55 husband’s positive attitude to condoms v negative 4.29 1.56
  • 20. Dual-protection from condoms or double-method protection? South Africa (high contraceptive use setting) Use status Needs FP & HIV protection Needs HIV-protection only Needs FP only No need % % % % No method 13 24 16 49 Non-barrier method only 60 35 71 44 Condom only 4 8 2 2 Both 23 32 12 5 (N) (75) (74) (61) (57)
  • 21. Kenya (moderate contraceptive use setting) Use status Needs FP & HIV protection Needs HIV-protection only Needs FP only No need Use status % % % % No method 22 26 21 39 Non-barrier method only 69 50 68 51 Condom only 0 2 2 2 Both 9 23 9 8 (N) (58) (93) (167) (197)
  • 22. Uganda (low contraceptive use setting) Use status Needs FP & HIV protection Needs HIV-protection only Needs FP only No need Use status % % % % No method 53 64 68 69 Non-barrier method only 35 18 22 15 Condom only 8 14 5 8 Both 4 4 5 8 (N) (156) (225) (41) (88)
  • 23.