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DECISION MAKING




    Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
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Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
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Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
Why Decision Making
•   For solving problems
•   For choosing right answers
•   For resolving confusion( or conflict?)
•   For satisfaction
•   A routine requirement
    – Professional or otherwise
• Nothing is more difficult and therefore
  more precious than to be able to decide.
                      Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
How Decision Making




      Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
What Is Decision Making
• Decision
   – Making up our mind.
   – Making a choice among available alternatives.
• Decision Making
   – A process of identifying problems and opportunities
     and resolving them.
   – The process of examining your options, comparing
     them and choosing a course of action.
• Involves efforts before and after the actual
  choice.
                      Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
Factors Influencing
•   Perception
•   Priority
•   Acceptability
•   Risk
•   Resources
•   The inability to make a decision has often
    been passed off as a patience

                   Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
Factors Influencing
•   Goals
•   Values
•   Demands
•   Styles
•   Judgment
•   When you have to make a choice and
    don’t make it, that is in itself is a choice.

                     Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
6 C’s
•   Construct
•   Compile
•   Collect
•   Compare
•   Consider
•   Commit
•   Life is the sum of all your choices

                    Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
6 C’s
• Construct
  – A clear picture of what must be decided
• Compile
  – List of requirements that must be met
• Collect
  – Information on alternatives that meet the
    requirements


                    Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
6 C’s
• Compare
  – The alternatives that meet the requirements.
• Consider
  – What might go wrong of each factor
• Commit
  – To a decision and follow through it
• Good decisions come from experience and
  experience comes from bad decisions.
                     Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
Levels Of Decision




     Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
Types Of Decisions
• Programmed
  – Routine decisions
     • Choices made in response to relatively well defined
       common problems and alternatives
     • Rules and procedures make it easy
• Some persons are very decisive when it
  comes to avoiding.



                       Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
Types Of Decisions
• Non programmed
  – Made in response to situations that are
     •   Unique,
     •   Poorly defined and largely unconstructed,
     •   Have significant consequences,
     •   Uncertainty is great,
     •   Decisions are complex,
     •   Involve strategic thinking
  – Indecision becomes decision with time.

                         Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
Types Of Decisions
• Adaptive decisions
  – Choices made in response to combination of
    moderately unusual problems and alternative
    solutions
• Innovative decisions
  – Decisions based on discover, identification and
    diagnosis of unusual and ambiguous problems.



                    Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
Types Of Decisions




     Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
Decision Making Conditions
•   Certainty
•   Risk
•   Uncertainty
•   Ambiguity
•   Corporate culture




                    Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
Process




Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
Process
                                                Define and
                Follow up and
                                                digest the
                    control
                                                 problem




Implementing
                                                              Set goals
 the solution




                   Evaluate
                 alternative                    Search for
                solutions and                   alternative
                  select the                     solutions
                     best


                         Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
Barriers
•   Escalation of commitment
•   Technology
•   Psychological biases
•   Illusion of control




                   Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
Inherent Personal Traps
• Trying too hard to play it safe
• Letting fears and biases hit your thinking and
  analysis
• Getting lost in the minimum minutia can
  cause trouble
• Craving for unanimous approval
• Trying to make decisions which are outside
  realm of authority
                   Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
Inherent System Traps
• Willing to begin with too little, inaccurate or
  wrong information
• Overlook viable alternatives or waste time
  considering alternatives which have no
  realistic prospects
• Not following the six C’s
• Failure to clearly define the results you expect
  to achieve
• Worst of all failure to reach a decision
                   Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
Styles
• Using knowledge, skills and experience
• Applying logic to reach conclusions
• Analysing issues to understand the whole
  picture
• Coming to conclusions by hunch
• Being led by emotion and sensitivity
• Using imagination to create new ideas

                  Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
Strategies
• Engage in constructive conflict / Brain
  storming
• Nominal group technique
• Delphi technique




                   Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
Always Remember
• No decision can be made any longer without
  taking into account not only world as it is but
  the world as it will be
• Decision making is the cognitive process
  leading to the selection of course of action
  among available and suitable alternatives
• Every decision making process produces a
  final choice. It can be action or an opinion.

                    Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
Always Remember
• It begins when we used to do something but
  we do not know what. Therefore decision
  making is a reasoning process which can be
  rational and can be based on explicit
  assumptions or tacit assumptions.




                  Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
6 Hats
• To use Six Thinking Hats to improve the quality
  of your decision-making, look at the decision
  "wearing" each of the thinking hats in turn.
• Each "Thinking Hat" is a different style of
  thinking. These are explained below:




                   Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
White Hat

With this thinking hat, you focus on the data
available. Look at the information you have,
and see what you can learn from it. Look for
gaps in your knowledge, and either try to fill
them or take account of them.

This is where you analyze past trends, and try
to extrapolate from historical data.
                 Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
Red Hat

Wearing the red hat, you look at the decision
using intuition, gut reaction, and emotion.
Also try to think how other people will react
emotionally, and try to understand the
intuitive responses of people who do not fully
know your reasoning.



                 Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
Black Hat

When using black hat thinking, look at things
pessimistically, cautiously and defensively. Try
to see why ideas and approaches might not
work. This is important because it highlights
the weak points in a plan or course of action.
It allows you to eliminate them, alter your
approach, or prepare contingency plans to
counter problems that arise.
                  Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
Black Hat
• Black Hat thinking helps to make your plans
  tougher and more resilient. It can also help
  you to spot fatal flaws and risks before you
  embark on a course of action. Black Hat
  thinking is one of the real benefits of this
  technique, as many successful people get so
  used to thinking positively that often they
  cannot see problems in advance, leaving them
  under-prepared for difficulties.
                  Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
Yellow Hat:

The yellow hat helps you to think positively. It
is the optimistic viewpoint that helps you to
see all the benefits of the decision and the
value in it, and spot the opportunities that
arise from it. Yellow Hat thinking helps you to
keep going when everything looks gloomy and
difficult.

                 Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
Green Hat

The Green Hat stands for creativity. This is
where you can develop creative solutions to a
problem. It is a freewheeling way of thinking,
in which there is little criticism of ideas. A
whole range of creativity tools can help you
here.



                 Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
Blue Hat

The Blue Hat stands for process control. This is
the hat worn by people chairing meetings.
When running into difficulties because ideas
are running dry, they may direct activity into
Green Hat thinking. When contingency plans
are needed, they will ask for Black Hat
thinking, and so on.

                 Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
THANK YOU


 Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106

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Decsion making

  • 1. DECISION MAKING Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
  • 4. Why Decision Making • For solving problems • For choosing right answers • For resolving confusion( or conflict?) • For satisfaction • A routine requirement – Professional or otherwise • Nothing is more difficult and therefore more precious than to be able to decide. Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
  • 5. How Decision Making Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
  • 6. What Is Decision Making • Decision – Making up our mind. – Making a choice among available alternatives. • Decision Making – A process of identifying problems and opportunities and resolving them. – The process of examining your options, comparing them and choosing a course of action. • Involves efforts before and after the actual choice. Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
  • 7. Factors Influencing • Perception • Priority • Acceptability • Risk • Resources • The inability to make a decision has often been passed off as a patience Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
  • 8. Factors Influencing • Goals • Values • Demands • Styles • Judgment • When you have to make a choice and don’t make it, that is in itself is a choice. Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
  • 9. 6 C’s • Construct • Compile • Collect • Compare • Consider • Commit • Life is the sum of all your choices Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
  • 10. 6 C’s • Construct – A clear picture of what must be decided • Compile – List of requirements that must be met • Collect – Information on alternatives that meet the requirements Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
  • 11. 6 C’s • Compare – The alternatives that meet the requirements. • Consider – What might go wrong of each factor • Commit – To a decision and follow through it • Good decisions come from experience and experience comes from bad decisions. Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
  • 12. Levels Of Decision Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
  • 13. Types Of Decisions • Programmed – Routine decisions • Choices made in response to relatively well defined common problems and alternatives • Rules and procedures make it easy • Some persons are very decisive when it comes to avoiding. Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
  • 14. Types Of Decisions • Non programmed – Made in response to situations that are • Unique, • Poorly defined and largely unconstructed, • Have significant consequences, • Uncertainty is great, • Decisions are complex, • Involve strategic thinking – Indecision becomes decision with time. Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
  • 15. Types Of Decisions • Adaptive decisions – Choices made in response to combination of moderately unusual problems and alternative solutions • Innovative decisions – Decisions based on discover, identification and diagnosis of unusual and ambiguous problems. Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
  • 16. Types Of Decisions Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
  • 17. Decision Making Conditions • Certainty • Risk • Uncertainty • Ambiguity • Corporate culture Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
  • 19. Process Define and Follow up and digest the control problem Implementing Set goals the solution Evaluate alternative Search for solutions and alternative select the solutions best Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
  • 20. Barriers • Escalation of commitment • Technology • Psychological biases • Illusion of control Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
  • 21. Inherent Personal Traps • Trying too hard to play it safe • Letting fears and biases hit your thinking and analysis • Getting lost in the minimum minutia can cause trouble • Craving for unanimous approval • Trying to make decisions which are outside realm of authority Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
  • 22. Inherent System Traps • Willing to begin with too little, inaccurate or wrong information • Overlook viable alternatives or waste time considering alternatives which have no realistic prospects • Not following the six C’s • Failure to clearly define the results you expect to achieve • Worst of all failure to reach a decision Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
  • 23. Styles • Using knowledge, skills and experience • Applying logic to reach conclusions • Analysing issues to understand the whole picture • Coming to conclusions by hunch • Being led by emotion and sensitivity • Using imagination to create new ideas Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
  • 24. Strategies • Engage in constructive conflict / Brain storming • Nominal group technique • Delphi technique Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
  • 25. Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
  • 26. Always Remember • No decision can be made any longer without taking into account not only world as it is but the world as it will be • Decision making is the cognitive process leading to the selection of course of action among available and suitable alternatives • Every decision making process produces a final choice. It can be action or an opinion. Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
  • 27. Always Remember • It begins when we used to do something but we do not know what. Therefore decision making is a reasoning process which can be rational and can be based on explicit assumptions or tacit assumptions. Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
  • 28. 6 Hats • To use Six Thinking Hats to improve the quality of your decision-making, look at the decision "wearing" each of the thinking hats in turn. • Each "Thinking Hat" is a different style of thinking. These are explained below: Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
  • 29. White Hat With this thinking hat, you focus on the data available. Look at the information you have, and see what you can learn from it. Look for gaps in your knowledge, and either try to fill them or take account of them. This is where you analyze past trends, and try to extrapolate from historical data. Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
  • 30. Red Hat Wearing the red hat, you look at the decision using intuition, gut reaction, and emotion. Also try to think how other people will react emotionally, and try to understand the intuitive responses of people who do not fully know your reasoning. Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
  • 31. Black Hat When using black hat thinking, look at things pessimistically, cautiously and defensively. Try to see why ideas and approaches might not work. This is important because it highlights the weak points in a plan or course of action. It allows you to eliminate them, alter your approach, or prepare contingency plans to counter problems that arise. Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
  • 32. Black Hat • Black Hat thinking helps to make your plans tougher and more resilient. It can also help you to spot fatal flaws and risks before you embark on a course of action. Black Hat thinking is one of the real benefits of this technique, as many successful people get so used to thinking positively that often they cannot see problems in advance, leaving them under-prepared for difficulties. Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
  • 33. Yellow Hat: The yellow hat helps you to think positively. It is the optimistic viewpoint that helps you to see all the benefits of the decision and the value in it, and spot the opportunities that arise from it. Yellow Hat thinking helps you to keep going when everything looks gloomy and difficult. Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
  • 34. Green Hat The Green Hat stands for creativity. This is where you can develop creative solutions to a problem. It is a freewheeling way of thinking, in which there is little criticism of ideas. A whole range of creativity tools can help you here. Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
  • 35. Blue Hat The Blue Hat stands for process control. This is the hat worn by people chairing meetings. When running into difficulties because ideas are running dry, they may direct activity into Green Hat thinking. When contingency plans are needed, they will ask for Black Hat thinking, and so on. Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106
  • 36. THANK YOU Ranjan P. Joshi 9423574106