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   Inequalities in the distribution of income have created fat tail
    distributions, where 20% of the population controls 80% of the
    wealth. A tail index that is greater than 0 results in fat tailed
    distributions, which produces a more modest value for unlikely
    situations. Knowing that the high income distribution for every
    country is modeled by a Pareto, the research was aimed at proving
    that the world’s distribution was also modeled by a Pareto, which
    would be proven by the world’s Pareto index. The Pareto function
    for each nation was discerned by finding its Pareto index and
    coefficient, and threshold. With these known, the Pareto function
    was calculated and added together, yielding the probability
    associated with an income, x. Five income values were chosen and
    their corresponding probabilities were plotted on a log-log
    graph, revealing the world’s Pareto index. The acquired results were
    that the model for the world’s and each country’s high incomes was
    a Pareto since their tail indexes were greater than 0. It was
    concluded that the sum of a sample of Pareto distributions yields a
    Pareto distribution.
   The Pareto Distribution is a power law function whose
    tail fall slower than that of a normal distribution.
   The tail index is responsible for the thickness of the
    tails, such that as its value increases, the tail becomes
    thicker, yielding a distribution where there are not a lot
    of inequalities in the dispersion of wealth.
   A tail index less than 0 is bounded, one equal to 0 falls
    at an exponential rate and one greater than 0 is fat or
    long tailed.
   There is less inequality in the spread of wealth as the
    Pareto index increases.
   The Pareto Principle says that 20% of the
    population controls 80% of the wealth.
   The relationship between the spread of the
    wealth of investors and their return from their
    stocks was seen to be proportional such that
    the Pareto coefficient is equal to that of the
    Levy distribution’s exponent.
   The objective is to discern the distribution that
    would result from a sample of high incomes in
    the world.
   Galton experimented with peas to show how the distribution of weight among
    offspring is influenced by inheritance. He then used these distributions to
    show that the sum of a sample of normal distributions yields a normal
    distribution. Galton separated the 490 peas he used into seven groups
    according to their weights and distributed 10 peas from each of those seven
    groups to each of his friends. His friends then grew these peas which created
    seeds whose weights were measured and models were combined together to
    see which type of model he would yield. From his experiments, Galton found
    out that the group of seeds that he supplied to each of his friends to
    grow, yielded seeds with weights that had a normal distribution. In
    addition, the variances for each group were synonymous, which correlates to
    the line that Galton made to be AB on the Galton board, where the drops are
    separated into different sections and would rest on a line set to be AB'. If the
    line AB is not near the top of the Galton board, these drops would have a
    normal distribution, and if one section was opened and the drops fell to the
    bottom, a normal distribution would composed. If the other sections were
    opened one by one, the outcome would be a normal distribution as well.
   The research would allow people to see the
    distribution of the population of high incomes
    in the world based on the sample that
    comprises it.
   The conjecture is that “If the Pareto
    distribution for the incomes of each country
    were added together, the new distribution
    would also be a Pareto if the wealth is
    dispersed in the same fashion and the Pareto
    index is greater than 0.”
   Materials needed were the total income and
    population, as well as the gini indexes for each
    country studied, and the equations for the
    Pareto function,            ,Pareto mean,
             , and gini coefficient,        .
   Since the gini coefficient was known, its
    equation was used to solve for the Pareto
    index.
   The mean is the total income over the total
    population, the Pareto index was plugged into
    the equation and the threshold was solved for.
   With the Pareto index and threshold
    known, the Pareto function was extracted
    for each country.
   To determine the relative probability of a
    certain income, the Pareto functions for
    each country were multiplied by the ratio of
    its population to the sum of the populations
    of the countries used.
   With the product determined, five random
    high income values were
    chosen, 1,000,000, 1,500,000, 2,000,000, 2,
    500,000 and 9,000,000, calculating their
    corresponding probabilities.
   These values were plotted on a log-log
    graph, and the slope of the line was
    taken, finding the Pareto index for the
    model of income in the world.
   Calculation of the Income Probability for
    the United States:




              Table 1: Pareto and Threshold Parameter
              A list of the Pareto indexes for each country studied, Japan has the highest index
              at 2.5, yielding fewer inequalities in the spread of wealth. With the mean income
              for each country shown, the threshold parameter for each can be seen, with
              China having the smallest threshold at $3,424.20 and Switzerland having the
              greatest at $20,919.62.
Table 2: Calculation of the Pareto probability for a certain
income value, x. The Pareto functions for each country
allowed the probabilities for an income value to be
calculated, predicting that the United States and China
would yield the greatest probabilities since their Pareto
indexes are the smallest.
The Probabilities for World Income Values
                     1
                   0.1
                  0.01
                 0.001
                0.0001                                           Probabilities for World
Probability




               0.00001                                           Income Values
              0.000001
              0.000000
                 1E-08
                 1E-09
                 1E-10
                 1E-11
                 1E-12
                 1E-13
                   1,000,000                             10,000,000
                                       Income
 The Pareto model of world incomes
  involves the collaboration of individual
  Pareto functions. Canada has the
  greatest equality in the distribution of
  wealth since it’s gini index is the smallest
  and Pareto index is the greatest.
 With
  $1,000,000, $1,500,000, $2,000,000, $2,500,
  000 and $9,000,000 and their
  corresponding probabilities, the slope of
  the log-log graph ended up with an
  index of 1.74.
 Recall the hypothesis: If the Pareto distribution
  for the incomes of each country were added
  together, the new distribution would also be a Pareto
  if the wealth is dispersed in the same fashion and the
  Pareto index is greater than 0.”
 The proposed hypothesis was valid because once the
  Pareto probabilities were added together, the model
  for the world’s incomes was concluded to be a
  Pareto.
 Galton showed that the distribution of the
  weight’s of peas is affected by inheritance such
  that when he split them into seven groups, they
  yielded seeds with weights that had a normal
  distribution and when those groups were added
  together, a normal distribution came about.
 Galton showed that the drops in each section of
  a quincunx resting on a line above the bottom is
  a normal distribution such that when he opened
  each section one by one, they generate a
  normal distribution.
 Although the research was able to show
  the weighted sum of a sample of Paretos
  yielded a Pareto, there were limitations to it.
 The Pareto optimal values cannot be
  compared to each other with regards to
  the Pareto principle and the median
  income cannot be determined since the
  Pareto is not symmetrical.
   Further research would be utilizing another
    methodology to tackle this problem. Rather
    than pinpointing the probability for each
    income value, the moments for each
    country would be calculated and the
    gamma function would be used to find the
    moment generating function. From there
    the world’s Pareto index could be found.
 The study demonstrated that the sum of a
  sample of Pareto distributions does in fact
  yield a Pareto.
 The Pareto model for the incomes in the
  entire world is a fat-tailed distribution with a
  thick tail since its tail index is 1.74, which
  shows that there is not a lot of inequality in
  the spread of wealth.
 By finding the total income and population
  of all the countries used, the mean income
  in the world was calculated to be
  $12,449.53, with a threshold of $5,294.63.
   1. Andriani, P. A., & McKelvey, B. M.: Managing in a pareto world calls for new thinking. (2011)
   2. Carreau, J. C., & Bengio, Y. B.: A hybird pareto model for asymmetric fat-tailed data: the
    univariate case. (2008)
   3. Levy, Moshe: Market Efficiency, the Pareto Wealth Distribution, and the Levy Distribution of
    Stock Returns, 21 (2001)
   4. McGeer, B. M.: Expanding the 20% in the 80/20 rule. (2003)
   5. Quadrini, V. Q., & Rios-Rull, J. V. R. R.: Understanding the u.s. distribution of wealth.
   6. Central limit theorem, Dartmouth College, New Hampshire, 26-28.
    http://www.dartmouth.edu/~chance/teaching_aids/books_articles/probability_book/Chapter
    9.pdf
   7. Cebrian, A. C. C., Denuit, M. D., & Lambert, P. L.: Generalized pareto fit to the society of
    actuaries large claims database, Dpto. Metodos Estadisticos. Ed. Matematicas
   Universidad de Zaragoza, Zaragoza 50009 Spain, 1 (2003)
   8. Bar-Yossef, Ziv: Algorithms for Large Data Sets, Power Laws and Small World Phenomenon, 1-
    2, 049011 (2005) http://eecourses.technion.ac.il/049011/spring05/lectures/lecture5.pdf
   9. Adamic, Lada A.: Zipf, Power-laws, and Pareto – a ranking tutorial, Information Dynamics
    Lab, HP Labs, Palo Alto, California.
   10. Gillham, Nicholas Wright: A Life Of Sir Francis Galton, Oxford University
    Press, Oxford, England. (2001)
   11. Backhaus, Jurgen: The Pareto Principle and Policy Analysis, Westdeutscher
    Verlag, Opladen, 238-240 (1981)

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Intel powerpoint slides for sigma xi

  • 1.
  • 2. Inequalities in the distribution of income have created fat tail distributions, where 20% of the population controls 80% of the wealth. A tail index that is greater than 0 results in fat tailed distributions, which produces a more modest value for unlikely situations. Knowing that the high income distribution for every country is modeled by a Pareto, the research was aimed at proving that the world’s distribution was also modeled by a Pareto, which would be proven by the world’s Pareto index. The Pareto function for each nation was discerned by finding its Pareto index and coefficient, and threshold. With these known, the Pareto function was calculated and added together, yielding the probability associated with an income, x. Five income values were chosen and their corresponding probabilities were plotted on a log-log graph, revealing the world’s Pareto index. The acquired results were that the model for the world’s and each country’s high incomes was a Pareto since their tail indexes were greater than 0. It was concluded that the sum of a sample of Pareto distributions yields a Pareto distribution.
  • 3. The Pareto Distribution is a power law function whose tail fall slower than that of a normal distribution.  The tail index is responsible for the thickness of the tails, such that as its value increases, the tail becomes thicker, yielding a distribution where there are not a lot of inequalities in the dispersion of wealth.  A tail index less than 0 is bounded, one equal to 0 falls at an exponential rate and one greater than 0 is fat or long tailed.  There is less inequality in the spread of wealth as the Pareto index increases.
  • 4. The Pareto Principle says that 20% of the population controls 80% of the wealth.  The relationship between the spread of the wealth of investors and their return from their stocks was seen to be proportional such that the Pareto coefficient is equal to that of the Levy distribution’s exponent.  The objective is to discern the distribution that would result from a sample of high incomes in the world.
  • 5. Galton experimented with peas to show how the distribution of weight among offspring is influenced by inheritance. He then used these distributions to show that the sum of a sample of normal distributions yields a normal distribution. Galton separated the 490 peas he used into seven groups according to their weights and distributed 10 peas from each of those seven groups to each of his friends. His friends then grew these peas which created seeds whose weights were measured and models were combined together to see which type of model he would yield. From his experiments, Galton found out that the group of seeds that he supplied to each of his friends to grow, yielded seeds with weights that had a normal distribution. In addition, the variances for each group were synonymous, which correlates to the line that Galton made to be AB on the Galton board, where the drops are separated into different sections and would rest on a line set to be AB'. If the line AB is not near the top of the Galton board, these drops would have a normal distribution, and if one section was opened and the drops fell to the bottom, a normal distribution would composed. If the other sections were opened one by one, the outcome would be a normal distribution as well.
  • 6. The research would allow people to see the distribution of the population of high incomes in the world based on the sample that comprises it.  The conjecture is that “If the Pareto distribution for the incomes of each country were added together, the new distribution would also be a Pareto if the wealth is dispersed in the same fashion and the Pareto index is greater than 0.”
  • 7. Materials needed were the total income and population, as well as the gini indexes for each country studied, and the equations for the Pareto function, ,Pareto mean, , and gini coefficient, .  Since the gini coefficient was known, its equation was used to solve for the Pareto index.  The mean is the total income over the total population, the Pareto index was plugged into the equation and the threshold was solved for.
  • 8. With the Pareto index and threshold known, the Pareto function was extracted for each country.  To determine the relative probability of a certain income, the Pareto functions for each country were multiplied by the ratio of its population to the sum of the populations of the countries used.
  • 9. With the product determined, five random high income values were chosen, 1,000,000, 1,500,000, 2,000,000, 2, 500,000 and 9,000,000, calculating their corresponding probabilities.  These values were plotted on a log-log graph, and the slope of the line was taken, finding the Pareto index for the model of income in the world.
  • 10. Calculation of the Income Probability for the United States: Table 1: Pareto and Threshold Parameter A list of the Pareto indexes for each country studied, Japan has the highest index at 2.5, yielding fewer inequalities in the spread of wealth. With the mean income for each country shown, the threshold parameter for each can be seen, with China having the smallest threshold at $3,424.20 and Switzerland having the greatest at $20,919.62.
  • 11. Table 2: Calculation of the Pareto probability for a certain income value, x. The Pareto functions for each country allowed the probabilities for an income value to be calculated, predicting that the United States and China would yield the greatest probabilities since their Pareto indexes are the smallest.
  • 12.
  • 13. The Probabilities for World Income Values 1 0.1 0.01 0.001 0.0001 Probabilities for World Probability 0.00001 Income Values 0.000001 0.000000 1E-08 1E-09 1E-10 1E-11 1E-12 1E-13 1,000,000 10,000,000 Income
  • 14.  The Pareto model of world incomes involves the collaboration of individual Pareto functions. Canada has the greatest equality in the distribution of wealth since it’s gini index is the smallest and Pareto index is the greatest.  With $1,000,000, $1,500,000, $2,000,000, $2,500, 000 and $9,000,000 and their corresponding probabilities, the slope of the log-log graph ended up with an index of 1.74.
  • 15.  Recall the hypothesis: If the Pareto distribution for the incomes of each country were added together, the new distribution would also be a Pareto if the wealth is dispersed in the same fashion and the Pareto index is greater than 0.”  The proposed hypothesis was valid because once the Pareto probabilities were added together, the model for the world’s incomes was concluded to be a Pareto.
  • 16.  Galton showed that the distribution of the weight’s of peas is affected by inheritance such that when he split them into seven groups, they yielded seeds with weights that had a normal distribution and when those groups were added together, a normal distribution came about.  Galton showed that the drops in each section of a quincunx resting on a line above the bottom is a normal distribution such that when he opened each section one by one, they generate a normal distribution.
  • 17.  Although the research was able to show the weighted sum of a sample of Paretos yielded a Pareto, there were limitations to it.  The Pareto optimal values cannot be compared to each other with regards to the Pareto principle and the median income cannot be determined since the Pareto is not symmetrical.
  • 18. Further research would be utilizing another methodology to tackle this problem. Rather than pinpointing the probability for each income value, the moments for each country would be calculated and the gamma function would be used to find the moment generating function. From there the world’s Pareto index could be found.
  • 19.  The study demonstrated that the sum of a sample of Pareto distributions does in fact yield a Pareto.  The Pareto model for the incomes in the entire world is a fat-tailed distribution with a thick tail since its tail index is 1.74, which shows that there is not a lot of inequality in the spread of wealth.  By finding the total income and population of all the countries used, the mean income in the world was calculated to be $12,449.53, with a threshold of $5,294.63.
  • 20. 1. Andriani, P. A., & McKelvey, B. M.: Managing in a pareto world calls for new thinking. (2011)  2. Carreau, J. C., & Bengio, Y. B.: A hybird pareto model for asymmetric fat-tailed data: the univariate case. (2008)  3. Levy, Moshe: Market Efficiency, the Pareto Wealth Distribution, and the Levy Distribution of Stock Returns, 21 (2001)  4. McGeer, B. M.: Expanding the 20% in the 80/20 rule. (2003)  5. Quadrini, V. Q., & Rios-Rull, J. V. R. R.: Understanding the u.s. distribution of wealth.  6. Central limit theorem, Dartmouth College, New Hampshire, 26-28. http://www.dartmouth.edu/~chance/teaching_aids/books_articles/probability_book/Chapter 9.pdf  7. Cebrian, A. C. C., Denuit, M. D., & Lambert, P. L.: Generalized pareto fit to the society of actuaries large claims database, Dpto. Metodos Estadisticos. Ed. Matematicas  Universidad de Zaragoza, Zaragoza 50009 Spain, 1 (2003)  8. Bar-Yossef, Ziv: Algorithms for Large Data Sets, Power Laws and Small World Phenomenon, 1- 2, 049011 (2005) http://eecourses.technion.ac.il/049011/spring05/lectures/lecture5.pdf  9. Adamic, Lada A.: Zipf, Power-laws, and Pareto – a ranking tutorial, Information Dynamics Lab, HP Labs, Palo Alto, California.  10. Gillham, Nicholas Wright: A Life Of Sir Francis Galton, Oxford University Press, Oxford, England. (2001)  11. Backhaus, Jurgen: The Pareto Principle and Policy Analysis, Westdeutscher Verlag, Opladen, 238-240 (1981)