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The Sovereign Consumer
The Great Recession has made
  an indelible dent on the
      consumer psyche
Are you feeling better about
             your economic situation
             (adults 18+)?
             Yes 28%
             No 71%

              Are you starting to spend
              more on discretionary items
              (adults 18+)?
              Yes 17%
              No 82%


Source: BIGresearch
The brand value equation has been re-
thought by all socio-economic classes

                 Authentic
                   Value




 Discretionary               Essential
   Spending                  Spending




                 Perceived
                   Value
Frugal-shifting is on
Stay-cations
                                  Share-swaps

Declaring                             Barter
bankruptcy


                                    In-home
 Eating at
                                 entertainment
   home

                                 Coupon clipping
  Store
 brands                               Piracy


   Doing without   Under-employment
Marketers have been put on notice

Empathy for the consumer is now
 intrinsic to the brand-value
            formula

             “Consumers are
             not walking
             wallets”

            Mo Morales,
            Provocateur
Even luxury brands are taking notice




“Coach has begun to         “It has definitely
rebalance its collections   made us all reconsider
so that at least 50         what we’re doing, how
percent of handbag          we’re doing it, and
choices will fall into      who we are trying to
the $200 to $300 range,     reach as a customer.
compared with 30 percent    In a way, it has been
previously”                 a reality check for
                            all of us.”
  Lew Frankfurt,
  CEO Coach                       Vera Wang
Culture                Environment

  Technology
                         Health
                                        Leisure
     Communications



We need to tune-in meta-factors that
influence behavior and confer context


    Education                    Nationality

                      Religion
      Politics
                                        Economy

                      Sexuality
     Energy
“Only those who are
grounded in the reality of
their consumers’ lives
will understand their
priorities. The consumers
themselves may not have
the ability to articulate
their needs.”

              Idris Mootee,
              CEO, Idea Couture
Meet The Sovereign Consumer: a first
         world archetype that eludes demography
                 and exudes psychography

                Extremely Cynical
                     of media and brands   Commercially Engaged
                                           defined by brands selects/rejects

    Network Enabled
       on-demand influence
                                           Privacy Disabled
                                           personal data out of control

     Needs Community
      Seeks sharing with peers                  Needs Anti-Community
                                                      defined by what isn’t
         Owns Self-
       Determination                                     Suffers Status
     defines value on own terms
                                                            Anxiety
                                                        aware of place in society

    Promotes New
  Social Contract                                              Ethically
expects responsible pursuit of                                 Ambivalent
            profit                                         Selective application of
                                                                    values
“The ideological market has
become equivalent to a self-
service restaurant where
individuals can provide
themselves with single pieces
to put together their own
cosmology and have the feeling
of thinking for themselves.”



                   Marc Auge,
                   Anthropologist
The Sovereign Consumer desires a role
     in the innovation journey –
commercially, politically, culturally
  – and will compulsively syndicate
          their experience
“Consumers are so acutely aware of
how media narratives themselves
operate, and of how their own
behavior fits into these narratives,
that their awareness feeds back
almost immediately into their
consumption itself.”

                  Bill Wasik,
                  Senior Editor, Harper’s
                  Magazine
The Sovereign Consumer doesn’t
         necessarily think
 digital connectivity = engagement




   Meaningful relationships require an
investment of time, care and ability to go
             analog sometimes
“I've long believed that
printed matter will gain new
value in a digital world as
everyone begins to crave the
more physical / tactile /
emotional nature of printed
stuff.”

                 Tim Milne,
                 Creator Artomatic
                 and Matterbox
The Sovereign Consumer harbors
ambivalence towards open-source culture
 because it requires the surrender of
                privacy




            “We have democratized
            voyeurism on a global
                   scale.””


              Paul Virilio,
              Cultural Theorist
The Sovereign Consumer lives life on
        a spatial continuum that provides joy
            rides into a remixed past, an
          augmented now and a future that’s
             been forwarded-by-a-friend

                              “It doesn’t matter who
                                 you say you are.
                               Meaning = process of
                                   discovery.”



                                   Tim Stock,
                                   Managing Director,
                                   ScenarioDNA



Pic by Benjamin Reed
“Many of us will begin to
feel naked and somewhat
stupid out in public without
the web, the way we’d feel
out in public without our
clothes today.“

             John Smart,
             Founder, Acceleration Studies
             Foundation
“Privacy is
                                      expensive and
                                      publicity is
                                      cheap.”



                                   Sam Lessin,
                                   CEO, drop.io




Pic: Dan Outram



            Sovereign Consumers decide the
             degree to which they allow
           themselves to become an ad-unit
“Understanding and
appreciating the public’s
increased awareness of its
own value to the marketer
is the first step to
formulating a marketing
strategy.”

                 KEMO,
                 Brand Revoltants
Raised on a steady diet of samples,
    schwag, loyalty points and file
  sharing ; The Sovereign Consumer is
 pushing business into freemium models




Infinite Components = Attention

   Scarce Components =       $$$
“The reason monetization is
a dirty word is simple. It
blinds us to value
creation, at the expense of
value capture.”

           Umair Haque,
           Director, Havas Media Lab
On the shelf or in a landfill,
  The Sovereign Consumer’s
  impression of a brand is
    holistically defined
“Let’s be honest. Design,
like marketing, is about
driving mass consumption, and
anything produced on a mass
scale contributes to
pollution and global
warming.”

           Hartmut Esllinger
           Founder, frog design
Opening doors of unknown
     consequence, The Sovereign
   Consumer invites symbiosis with
          myth and machine


Designer Lifestyle     Augmented Living




Brand as Semaphore    Brand as Prosthetic
“Evolution, including genetic
progress in human nature and
human capacity, will be from
now on increasingly the
domain of science and
technology tempered by ethics
and political choice.”

           Edward O. Wilson
           Biologist
The Sovereign Consumer is no
  anarchist, as government provided
 security and regulation are thought
necessary for a reasonably prosperous
      and peaceful co-existence
“You’ll have lower
prices under
deregulation than
you will through
regulation”


      Kenneth Lay,
      Former CEO, Enron
“If it's a choice
                       between listening
                       to a teacher
                       lecture about
                       what's happening in
                       Darfur or playing
                       Darfur is Dying,
                       the serious game
                       wins hands down.”



                          Anastasia,
                          YPulse Blogger



    Through virtualization, The
Sovereign Consumer gains awareness,
 but becomes desensitized to harsh
             realities
“I often wonder whether real
conversation in real time may
eventually give way to these
sanitized and easier screen
dialogues, in much the same way
as killing, skinning and
butchering an animal to eat has
been replaced by the
convenience of packages of meat
on the supermarket shelf.”


              Baroness Greenfield, Oxford
              Neuroscientist
So how can we stay in-tune with
      Sovereign Consumers?
Think with the box

People can exist independent of brands –
  respect the current ecology of your
    audience before you mess with it
“Suppliers can no longer just
compete by providing the best
product or best solution to a
defined requirement. They must
enter the customer’s world, and
understand it as a context-of-
use that conditions the nature
of the demands that the customer
makes.”

                Philip Boxer
                Systems Researcher,
                Carnegie Mellon University
Connection planning, over
        media planning
 It should be the goal of every company
to wane themselves off of paid-media and
   re-direct those funds into product
    innovation, customer service and
       dialogue-intended outreach
“I'm convinced fat media
budgets help make people
lazy, and we've thought
about [whether we] should
cut media budgets on some
specific projects in order
to force people to come up
with ideas."

         Simon Clift,
         CMO Unilever
Interpret the never ending trail
of consumer-generated artifacts
   Decode the stream of photos, videos,
      songs, projections, gestures,
  presentations, drawings etc. – to have
  the broadest understanding of how your
            brand is trafficked
“The right to use copyrighted
materials freely without payment
or permission for purposes such
as criticism, comment, news
reporting, teaching, scholarship
and research”
                  Copyright Act
                  of 1976,
                  Section 107
Don’t think that just because
someone bought your product that
they are part of your community
  People cohort around mutual interests,
   not brands – utilize permission-based
 social graphs as intelligence filters to
  deliver increasingly relevant value to
              your customers
“The community begins to take
on its own branding power: it
begins to assume the
“certification” aspects of
branding that reassure buyers
that their purchase is likely
to be one they will be
satisfied with.”


             John Hagel III,
             Co-Chairman,
             Deloitte Center for
             the Edge
When employing graphic design,
provoke sensation exploration
“It’s only if your willing to
be completely fucked up that
you’re going to do anything
important.”


                  Dan Wieden,
                  Co-Founder Wieden & Kennedy
Don’t perpetuate hype unless
your company truly believes it
          to be true
   Is it really “new and improved”?
Is the product really “the choice of a
    new generation?” Are you really
     powering “the human network”?

  Are brands really ushering in an
         idyllic tomorrow?
“Today’s new technologies are
hardly more destabilizing than
the railroad, the automobile,
the airplane, steamships,
electricity, telephones, mass
production, antibiotics and
radio were in their day.”

                 Matthew Stuart,
                 Author
Take privacy seriously
  There’s a fine line between market
      research and surveillance:
always get permission to collect data,
 always provide co-ownership/access to
            personal data,
  set reasonable expiration dates on
             personal data
“The Sovereign Consumer is
quickly morphing into the
Evasive Consumer.”


                Keith Gerr,
                Author of this
                presentation
Thanks



Keith Gerr, Principal
Keith@krgmarketing.com

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The Sovereign Consumer

  • 2. The Great Recession has made an indelible dent on the consumer psyche
  • 3. Are you feeling better about your economic situation (adults 18+)? Yes 28% No 71% Are you starting to spend more on discretionary items (adults 18+)? Yes 17% No 82% Source: BIGresearch
  • 4. The brand value equation has been re- thought by all socio-economic classes Authentic Value Discretionary Essential Spending Spending Perceived Value
  • 5. Frugal-shifting is on Stay-cations Share-swaps Declaring Barter bankruptcy In-home Eating at entertainment home Coupon clipping Store brands Piracy Doing without Under-employment
  • 6. Marketers have been put on notice Empathy for the consumer is now intrinsic to the brand-value formula “Consumers are not walking wallets” Mo Morales, Provocateur
  • 7. Even luxury brands are taking notice “Coach has begun to “It has definitely rebalance its collections made us all reconsider so that at least 50 what we’re doing, how percent of handbag we’re doing it, and choices will fall into who we are trying to the $200 to $300 range, reach as a customer. compared with 30 percent In a way, it has been previously” a reality check for all of us.” Lew Frankfurt, CEO Coach Vera Wang
  • 8. Culture Environment Technology Health Leisure Communications We need to tune-in meta-factors that influence behavior and confer context Education Nationality Religion Politics Economy Sexuality Energy
  • 9. “Only those who are grounded in the reality of their consumers’ lives will understand their priorities. The consumers themselves may not have the ability to articulate their needs.” Idris Mootee, CEO, Idea Couture
  • 10. Meet The Sovereign Consumer: a first world archetype that eludes demography and exudes psychography Extremely Cynical of media and brands Commercially Engaged defined by brands selects/rejects Network Enabled on-demand influence Privacy Disabled personal data out of control Needs Community Seeks sharing with peers Needs Anti-Community defined by what isn’t Owns Self- Determination Suffers Status defines value on own terms Anxiety aware of place in society Promotes New Social Contract Ethically expects responsible pursuit of Ambivalent profit Selective application of values
  • 11. “The ideological market has become equivalent to a self- service restaurant where individuals can provide themselves with single pieces to put together their own cosmology and have the feeling of thinking for themselves.” Marc Auge, Anthropologist
  • 12. The Sovereign Consumer desires a role in the innovation journey – commercially, politically, culturally – and will compulsively syndicate their experience
  • 13. “Consumers are so acutely aware of how media narratives themselves operate, and of how their own behavior fits into these narratives, that their awareness feeds back almost immediately into their consumption itself.” Bill Wasik, Senior Editor, Harper’s Magazine
  • 14. The Sovereign Consumer doesn’t necessarily think digital connectivity = engagement Meaningful relationships require an investment of time, care and ability to go analog sometimes
  • 15. “I've long believed that printed matter will gain new value in a digital world as everyone begins to crave the more physical / tactile / emotional nature of printed stuff.” Tim Milne, Creator Artomatic and Matterbox
  • 16. The Sovereign Consumer harbors ambivalence towards open-source culture because it requires the surrender of privacy “We have democratized voyeurism on a global scale.”” Paul Virilio, Cultural Theorist
  • 17. The Sovereign Consumer lives life on a spatial continuum that provides joy rides into a remixed past, an augmented now and a future that’s been forwarded-by-a-friend “It doesn’t matter who you say you are. Meaning = process of discovery.” Tim Stock, Managing Director, ScenarioDNA Pic by Benjamin Reed
  • 18. “Many of us will begin to feel naked and somewhat stupid out in public without the web, the way we’d feel out in public without our clothes today.“ John Smart, Founder, Acceleration Studies Foundation
  • 19. “Privacy is expensive and publicity is cheap.” Sam Lessin, CEO, drop.io Pic: Dan Outram Sovereign Consumers decide the degree to which they allow themselves to become an ad-unit
  • 20. “Understanding and appreciating the public’s increased awareness of its own value to the marketer is the first step to formulating a marketing strategy.” KEMO, Brand Revoltants
  • 21. Raised on a steady diet of samples, schwag, loyalty points and file sharing ; The Sovereign Consumer is pushing business into freemium models Infinite Components = Attention Scarce Components = $$$
  • 22. “The reason monetization is a dirty word is simple. It blinds us to value creation, at the expense of value capture.” Umair Haque, Director, Havas Media Lab
  • 23. On the shelf or in a landfill, The Sovereign Consumer’s impression of a brand is holistically defined
  • 24. “Let’s be honest. Design, like marketing, is about driving mass consumption, and anything produced on a mass scale contributes to pollution and global warming.” Hartmut Esllinger Founder, frog design
  • 25. Opening doors of unknown consequence, The Sovereign Consumer invites symbiosis with myth and machine Designer Lifestyle Augmented Living Brand as Semaphore Brand as Prosthetic
  • 26. “Evolution, including genetic progress in human nature and human capacity, will be from now on increasingly the domain of science and technology tempered by ethics and political choice.” Edward O. Wilson Biologist
  • 27. The Sovereign Consumer is no anarchist, as government provided security and regulation are thought necessary for a reasonably prosperous and peaceful co-existence
  • 28. “You’ll have lower prices under deregulation than you will through regulation” Kenneth Lay, Former CEO, Enron
  • 29. “If it's a choice between listening to a teacher lecture about what's happening in Darfur or playing Darfur is Dying, the serious game wins hands down.” Anastasia, YPulse Blogger Through virtualization, The Sovereign Consumer gains awareness, but becomes desensitized to harsh realities
  • 30. “I often wonder whether real conversation in real time may eventually give way to these sanitized and easier screen dialogues, in much the same way as killing, skinning and butchering an animal to eat has been replaced by the convenience of packages of meat on the supermarket shelf.” Baroness Greenfield, Oxford Neuroscientist
  • 31. So how can we stay in-tune with Sovereign Consumers?
  • 32. Think with the box People can exist independent of brands – respect the current ecology of your audience before you mess with it
  • 33. “Suppliers can no longer just compete by providing the best product or best solution to a defined requirement. They must enter the customer’s world, and understand it as a context-of- use that conditions the nature of the demands that the customer makes.” Philip Boxer Systems Researcher, Carnegie Mellon University
  • 34. Connection planning, over media planning It should be the goal of every company to wane themselves off of paid-media and re-direct those funds into product innovation, customer service and dialogue-intended outreach
  • 35. “I'm convinced fat media budgets help make people lazy, and we've thought about [whether we] should cut media budgets on some specific projects in order to force people to come up with ideas." Simon Clift, CMO Unilever
  • 36. Interpret the never ending trail of consumer-generated artifacts Decode the stream of photos, videos, songs, projections, gestures, presentations, drawings etc. – to have the broadest understanding of how your brand is trafficked
  • 37. “The right to use copyrighted materials freely without payment or permission for purposes such as criticism, comment, news reporting, teaching, scholarship and research” Copyright Act of 1976, Section 107
  • 38. Don’t think that just because someone bought your product that they are part of your community People cohort around mutual interests, not brands – utilize permission-based social graphs as intelligence filters to deliver increasingly relevant value to your customers
  • 39. “The community begins to take on its own branding power: it begins to assume the “certification” aspects of branding that reassure buyers that their purchase is likely to be one they will be satisfied with.” John Hagel III, Co-Chairman, Deloitte Center for the Edge
  • 40. When employing graphic design, provoke sensation exploration
  • 41. “It’s only if your willing to be completely fucked up that you’re going to do anything important.” Dan Wieden, Co-Founder Wieden & Kennedy
  • 42. Don’t perpetuate hype unless your company truly believes it to be true Is it really “new and improved”? Is the product really “the choice of a new generation?” Are you really powering “the human network”? Are brands really ushering in an idyllic tomorrow?
  • 43. “Today’s new technologies are hardly more destabilizing than the railroad, the automobile, the airplane, steamships, electricity, telephones, mass production, antibiotics and radio were in their day.” Matthew Stuart, Author
  • 44. Take privacy seriously There’s a fine line between market research and surveillance: always get permission to collect data, always provide co-ownership/access to personal data, set reasonable expiration dates on personal data
  • 45. “The Sovereign Consumer is quickly morphing into the Evasive Consumer.” Keith Gerr, Author of this presentation