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Henrik	
  Berglund	
  
Chalmers	
  University	
  of	
  Technology	
  
Center	
  for	
  Business	
  Innova8on	
  
henber@chalmers.se	
  
www.henrikberglund.com	
  
@khberglund	
  
#bogl2014	
  
	
  
	
  
Customer	
  Development	
  
2014-­‐08-­‐13	
   1	
  
1) Why customer development?
2) Identifying central hypotheses
3) Testing hypotheses
1) Why customer development?
2) Identifying central hBrief
ypotheses
3) Testing hypotheses (interviews)
Strategy	
  
 
Start by developing a Business Plan…
 
…make the financial forecasts…
 
…then Execute
“Everybody	
  has	
  a	
  plan	
  un?l	
  they	
  get	
  punched	
  in	
  the	
  face”	
  
	
  	
  Mike	
  Tyson	
  
Searching for a Business Model
comes before
Executing a business plan
Process	
  
Tradi8onal	
  Development	
  Process	
  
Concept	
   Product	
  Dev.	
   Alpha/Beta	
  
Test	
  
Launch/	
  
1st	
  Ship	
  
Concept	
   Product	
  Dev.	
   Alpha/Beta	
  
Test	
  
Launch/	
  
1st	
  Ship	
  
Organiza?on	
  
Hire and Build a
Functional Organization
Founders run an agile
Customer Development Team
No sales, marketing and business
development
Opera8ng	
  Plan	
  +	
  
Financial	
  Model	
  
Product	
  Management	
  
Agile	
  or	
  Waterfall	
  Development	
  
Func8onal	
  Organiza8on	
  
	
  by	
  Department	
  
Business	
  Model	
  	
  
Hypotheses	
  
Organiza?on	
  
Customer	
  	
  
Development	
  Team,	
  	
  
Founder-­‐driven	
  
Customer	
  Development,	
  
Agile	
  Development	
  
Search	
   Execu?on	
  
Strategy	
  
Process	
  
1) Why customer development?
2) Identifying central hypotheses
A) Surface all Assumptions
B) Write down Problem Hypothesis
C) Create Customer Persona	
  
A)	
  Surface	
  all	
  assump8ons	
  
Exercise	
  with	
  founders!	
  
	
  
1)  Brainstorm/iden8fy	
  hypotheses	
  individually	
  
Examples	
  of	
  hypothesis	
  to	
  get	
  started	
  
www.cindyalvarez.com	
  
I	
  believe	
  that	
  my	
  customers	
  have	
  a	
  need	
  to	
  _____________.	
  	
  
This	
  need	
  can	
  be	
  solved	
  with_________________________.	
  	
  
My	
  ini8al	
  customers	
  will	
  be__________________________.	
  	
  
The	
  #1	
  value	
  a	
  client	
  wants	
  to	
  get	
  out	
  of	
  my	
  service	
  is	
  ____.	
  	
  
The	
  client	
  can	
  also	
  get	
  these	
  addi8onal	
  benefits	
  ___	
  and	
  ___.	
  	
  
I	
  will	
  acquire	
  most	
  users/customers	
  through	
  ____and	
  _____.	
  	
  
I	
  will	
  make	
  money	
  by	
  _______________________________.	
  
Examples	
  of	
  hypothesis	
  to	
  get	
  started	
  
Cluster	
  around	
  themes	
  
www.cindyalvarez.com	
  
Group	
  exercise	
  with	
  founders!	
  
	
  
1)  Brainstorm/iden8fy	
  hypotheses	
  individually	
  
2)  Then	
  discuss	
  and	
  cluster	
  them	
  as	
  a	
  group	
  
hypothesis

hypothesis

hypothesis

hypothesis

hypothesis

hypothesis

hypothesis

hypothesis

hypothesis

hypothesis

hypothesis

hypothesis
Map	
  them	
  onto	
  the	
  canvas	
  in	
  LPC	
  
Map	
  them	
  onto	
  the	
  canvas	
  in	
  LPC	
  
B)	
  Write	
  down	
  problem	
  hypothesis	
  
	
  
“I	
  believe	
  [type	
  of	
  person]	
  
experience	
  [type	
  of	
  problem]	
  
while	
  doing	
  [type	
  of	
  task]”	
  
	
  
Or 	
   	
   	
   	
   	
  	
  	
  
	
  
“I	
  believe	
  [type	
  of	
  person] 	
  	
  
experience	
  [type	
  of	
  problem] 	
  	
  
because	
  of	
  [limit	
  or	
  constraint]”	
  
	
  
www.cindyalvarez.com	
  
Example	
  
	
  
“I	
  believe	
  [tech	
  opera8ons	
  teams]	
  
experience	
  [wasted	
  8me	
  and	
  budget]	
  
while	
  [predic8ng	
  network	
  bandwidth	
  usage	
  for	
  their	
  
growing	
  companies]”	
  
www.cindyalvarez.com	
  
Example	
  
	
  
“I	
  believe	
  [small	
  businesses]	
  
experience	
  [inability	
  to	
  grow	
  their	
  businesses]	
  
because	
  [tradi8onal	
  email	
  marke8ng	
  pla`orms	
  are	
  to	
  
expensive	
  and	
  complicated]”	
  
www.cindyalvarez.com	
  
Problem	
  Hypotheses	
  
	
  
“I	
  believe	
  [type	
  of	
  person]	
  
experience	
  [type	
  of	
  problem]	
  
while	
  doing	
  [type	
  of	
  task]”	
  
	
  
Or 	
   	
   	
   	
   	
  	
  	
  
	
  
“I	
  believe	
  [type	
  of	
  person] 	
  	
  
experience	
  [type	
  of	
  problem] 	
  	
  
because	
  of	
  [limit	
  or	
  constraint]”	
  
	
  
www.cindyalvarez.com	
  
Specific	
  >>	
  General	
  
Name
Persona type
Age
Technical comfort
Job Title
Back story
Their ideal experience
Feel free to doodle!
Persona Template
Quote
“
_”
Tell us a bit about their lives
What concerns do they have? Why do they need this website/service? How have they found or heard about the website?
What’s stopping them from choosing the service/website or annoying them?
Their story including features and content which will help them have a great
experience
Sum up their experience with the
C)	
  Create	
  a	
  Customer	
  Persona	
  
1) Why customer development?
2) Identifying central hypotheses
3) Testing hypotheses
guess


guess


guess


guess


guess

guess


guess


guess


guess


guess


guess


guess
If	
  customers	
  could	
  talk…	
  
If	
  customers	
  could	
  talk…	
  
Here’s	
  why	
  it’s	
  a	
  problem!	
  
	
  
Here’s	
  how	
  we	
  try	
  to	
  deal	
  with	
  it	
  now!	
  
	
  
Here’s	
  who	
  is	
  involved!	
  
	
  
Here	
  are	
  the	
  contexts	
  where	
  it’s	
  a	
  problem!	
  
	
  
Here	
  are	
  our	
  constraints!	
  
	
  
Here’s	
  what	
  we’re	
  willing	
  to	
  pay	
  to	
  solve	
  it!	
  
Suggested	
  Interview	
  Flow	
  
1) Person	
  
2) Problems	
  
3) Solu8on	
  	
  	
  
1.	
  Person	
  
•  What	
  is	
  your	
  name	
  and	
  role	
  at	
  your	
  
company?	
  
•  How	
  do	
  you	
  fit	
  into	
  your	
  company’s	
  
structure?	
  
•  What	
  is	
  your	
  budget	
  like?	
  	
  
•  Who	
  has	
  to	
  approve	
  your	
  purchases?	
  
•  How	
  do	
  you	
  discover	
  new	
  products	
  for	
  work?	
  	
  
•  Do	
  you	
  need	
  any	
  approval	
  to	
  try	
  them?	
  
•  What	
  is	
  a	
  typical	
  day	
  like	
  on	
  your	
  job?	
  
•  How	
  much	
  8me	
  do	
  you	
  spend	
  on	
  [Task]?	
  
	
  
Learn	
  about	
  them	
  and	
  their	
  role	
  in	
  your	
  industry	
  
	
  
www.jasonevanish.com	
  
2.	
  Problems	
  
•  What	
  are	
  the	
  top	
  3	
  challenges	
  you	
  face	
  
related	
  to	
  [X]?	
  	
  
•  How	
  do	
  you	
  deal	
  with	
  them	
  today?	
  
•  What	
  do	
  you	
  like	
  about	
  your	
  current	
  
solu8on/process?	
  
•  What	
  other	
  solu8ons	
  have	
  you	
  tried?	
  Were	
  
they	
  beher	
  or	
  worse?	
  
•  Who	
  is	
  involved	
  with	
  this	
  solu8on/process?	
  	
  
How	
  long	
  does	
  it	
  take?	
  
•  If	
  you	
  could	
  wave	
  a	
  magic	
  wand…what	
  
would	
  the	
  solu8on	
  be?	
  
Learn	
  about	
  the	
  problems	
  they	
  priori4ze	
  
	
  
www.jasonevanish.com	
  
3.	
  Solu?on	
  Concept	
  	
  
•  Describe	
  you	
  product	
  concept.	
  
•  Would	
  you	
  be	
  willing	
  to	
  pay	
  [X]	
  for	
  such	
  a	
  
solu8on?	
  	
  
•  If	
  they're	
  willing	
  to	
  pay:	
  “Would	
  you	
  be	
  willing	
  to	
  
start	
  right	
  away?”	
  
•  “That’s	
  interes8ng”	
  =	
  Kiss	
  of	
  Death.	
  
•  Read	
  body	
  language,	
  voice	
  inflec8on	
  and	
  energy	
  
level	
  for	
  signals	
  of	
  interest.	
  
See	
  if	
  they’re	
  interested	
  &	
  get	
  feedback	
  
	
  
www.jasonevanish.com	
  
Interview	
  8ps	
  and	
  examples	
  
Be	
  prepared	
  to	
  go	
  off	
  script	
  
	
  
If	
  users	
  get	
  worked	
  up	
  –	
  don’t	
  stay	
  on	
  script,	
  	
  
but	
  follow	
  their	
  lead	
  and	
  drill	
  down!	
  
	
  
	
  
Emo?on	
  =	
  Importance!	
  
	
  
Don’t	
  talk	
  
You	
  should	
  be	
  talking	
  as	
  8hle	
  as	
  possible!	
  
	
  
Don’t	
  fear	
  ”uncomfortable	
  silence”	
  	
  
(let	
  them	
  break	
  it).	
  
	
  
80/20	
  is	
  a	
  good	
  ra8o	
  to	
  aim	
  for.	
  
Ask	
  brief	
  follow-­‐ups	
  
(remember,	
  they	
  	
  should	
  be	
  takning)	
  
That	
  sounds	
  expensive/inefficient/painful…	
  
	
  
Tell	
  me	
  more!	
  
	
  
When	
  was	
  the	
  last	
  4me	
  that	
  happened?	
  
	
  
Can	
  you	
  give	
  an	
  example?	
  
	
  
What	
  do	
  you	
  mean	
  by	
  that?	
  
	
  
Can	
  you	
  explain	
  that	
  a	
  liHle	
  more?	
  
	
  
What	
  else	
  do	
  you	
  do	
  when	
  that	
  happens?	
  
	
  
How	
  do	
  you	
  feel	
  about	
  that?	
  
	
  
Parrot	
  back	
  and	
  misrepresent	
  =>	
  More	
  elaborate	
  answer	
  
Get	
  psyched	
  to	
  hear	
  things	
  you	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
don’t	
  want	
  to	
  hear	
  
Give	
  permission	
  to	
  disagree	
  
	
  
”Other	
  people	
  say”	
  
	
  
”Others	
  have	
  told	
  me	
  the	
  opposite”	
  
	
  
Don’t	
  assume	
  things	
  
	
  
	
  
Bad:	
  You	
  love	
  walking	
  your	
  dog!	
  
	
  
Good:	
  How	
  do	
  you	
  feel	
  about	
  walking	
  your	
  dog?	
  
	
  
Even	
  BeZer:	
  What	
  was	
  it	
  like	
  the	
  last	
  8me	
  you	
  walked	
  your	
  dog?	
  
Write	
  up	
  results	
  a.s.a.p.	
  
	
  
Take	
  notes!	
  
	
  
Write	
  upp	
  results	
  and	
  	
  
extract	
  key	
  insights	
  	
  
immediately	
  ater	
  	
  
the	
  interview!	
  
Surprises,	
  Trends,	
  	
  
(In)validated	
  hypothesis	
  
Interview	
  8ps	
  
	
  
hhp://www.cindyalvarez.com/communica8on/customer-­‐
development-­‐interviews-­‐how-­‐to-­‐what-­‐you-­‐should-­‐be-­‐
learning	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
hhp://giffconstable.com/2012/12/12-­‐8ps-­‐for-­‐early-­‐
customer-­‐development-­‐interviews-­‐revision-­‐3/	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
hhp://jasonevanish.com/2012/01/18/how-­‐to-­‐structure-­‐
and-­‐get-­‐the-­‐most-­‐out-­‐of-­‐customer-­‐development-­‐
interviews/	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
 
	
  
“nice	
  to	
  
have”	
  
Jackpot!	
  
1.	
  Has	
  a	
  problem	
  
2.	
  Understands	
  he	
  or	
  she	
  has	
  a	
  problem	
  
3.	
  Ac8vely	
  searching	
  for	
  a	
  solu8on	
  
4.	
  Cobbled	
  together	
  an	
  interim	
  solu8on	
  
5.	
  Commihed	
  funds	
  for	
  a	
  solu8on	
  
Useful	
  people	
  to	
  talk	
  to	
  
Much	
  faster	
  to	
  build	
  =>	
  	
  
get	
  quan8ta8ve	
  feedback	
  sooner	
  
	
  
Web	
  
Tes8ng	
  Solu8on	
  Hypothesis	
  
www.pretotype.org	
  
www.pretotype.org	
  
www.pretotype.org	
  
Test Solution Hypotheses	
  
Ater	
  demoing,	
  ask	
  about	
  other	
  things:	
  	
  
Posi8oning	
  –	
  how	
  do	
  they	
  describe	
  the	
  product?	
  
Product	
  category	
  (new,	
  exis8ng,	
  resegmented)	
  
Compe8tors	
  
Features	
  needed	
  for	
  first	
  version	
  
Preferred	
  revenue	
  model	
  
Pricing	
  
Addi8onal	
  service	
  needs	
  
Marke8ng	
  –	
  how	
  do	
  they	
  find	
  this	
  type	
  of	
  product?	
  
Purchasing	
  process	
  
Who	
  has	
  a	
  budget?	
  
etc.	
  
Customer Development - Identifying and Testing Startup Hypotheses
Customer Development - Identifying and Testing Startup Hypotheses

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Customer Development - Identifying and Testing Startup Hypotheses

  • 1.                 Henrik  Berglund   Chalmers  University  of  Technology   Center  for  Business  Innova8on   henber@chalmers.se   www.henrikberglund.com   @khberglund   #bogl2014       Customer  Development   2014-­‐08-­‐13   1  
  • 2. 1) Why customer development? 2) Identifying central hypotheses 3) Testing hypotheses
  • 3. 1) Why customer development? 2) Identifying central hBrief ypotheses 3) Testing hypotheses (interviews)
  • 5.   Start by developing a Business Plan…
  • 8. “Everybody  has  a  plan  un?l  they  get  punched  in  the  face”      Mike  Tyson  
  • 9. Searching for a Business Model comes before Executing a business plan
  • 11. Tradi8onal  Development  Process   Concept   Product  Dev.   Alpha/Beta   Test   Launch/   1st  Ship  
  • 12. Concept   Product  Dev.   Alpha/Beta   Test   Launch/   1st  Ship  
  • 14. Hire and Build a Functional Organization
  • 15. Founders run an agile Customer Development Team No sales, marketing and business development
  • 16. Opera8ng  Plan  +   Financial  Model   Product  Management   Agile  or  Waterfall  Development   Func8onal  Organiza8on    by  Department   Business  Model     Hypotheses   Organiza?on   Customer     Development  Team,     Founder-­‐driven   Customer  Development,   Agile  Development   Search   Execu?on   Strategy   Process  
  • 17. 1) Why customer development? 2) Identifying central hypotheses A) Surface all Assumptions B) Write down Problem Hypothesis C) Create Customer Persona  
  • 18. A)  Surface  all  assump8ons   Exercise  with  founders!     1)  Brainstorm/iden8fy  hypotheses  individually  
  • 19. Examples  of  hypothesis  to  get  started   www.cindyalvarez.com  
  • 20. I  believe  that  my  customers  have  a  need  to  _____________.     This  need  can  be  solved  with_________________________.     My  ini8al  customers  will  be__________________________.     The  #1  value  a  client  wants  to  get  out  of  my  service  is  ____.     The  client  can  also  get  these  addi8onal  benefits  ___  and  ___.     I  will  acquire  most  users/customers  through  ____and  _____.     I  will  make  money  by  _______________________________.   Examples  of  hypothesis  to  get  started  
  • 21. Cluster  around  themes   www.cindyalvarez.com   Group  exercise  with  founders!     1)  Brainstorm/iden8fy  hypotheses  individually   2)  Then  discuss  and  cluster  them  as  a  group  
  • 23. Map  them  onto  the  canvas  in  LPC  
  • 24. B)  Write  down  problem  hypothesis     “I  believe  [type  of  person]   experience  [type  of  problem]   while  doing  [type  of  task]”     Or                 “I  believe  [type  of  person]     experience  [type  of  problem]     because  of  [limit  or  constraint]”     www.cindyalvarez.com  
  • 25. Example     “I  believe  [tech  opera8ons  teams]   experience  [wasted  8me  and  budget]   while  [predic8ng  network  bandwidth  usage  for  their   growing  companies]”   www.cindyalvarez.com  
  • 26. Example     “I  believe  [small  businesses]   experience  [inability  to  grow  their  businesses]   because  [tradi8onal  email  marke8ng  pla`orms  are  to   expensive  and  complicated]”   www.cindyalvarez.com  
  • 27. Problem  Hypotheses     “I  believe  [type  of  person]   experience  [type  of  problem]   while  doing  [type  of  task]”     Or                 “I  believe  [type  of  person]     experience  [type  of  problem]     because  of  [limit  or  constraint]”     www.cindyalvarez.com   Specific  >>  General  
  • 28. Name Persona type Age Technical comfort Job Title Back story Their ideal experience Feel free to doodle! Persona Template Quote “ _” Tell us a bit about their lives What concerns do they have? Why do they need this website/service? How have they found or heard about the website? What’s stopping them from choosing the service/website or annoying them? Their story including features and content which will help them have a great experience Sum up their experience with the C)  Create  a  Customer  Persona  
  • 29. 1) Why customer development? 2) Identifying central hypotheses 3) Testing hypotheses
  • 31.
  • 32.
  • 33. If  customers  could  talk…  
  • 34. If  customers  could  talk…   Here’s  why  it’s  a  problem!     Here’s  how  we  try  to  deal  with  it  now!     Here’s  who  is  involved!     Here  are  the  contexts  where  it’s  a  problem!     Here  are  our  constraints!     Here’s  what  we’re  willing  to  pay  to  solve  it!  
  • 35. Suggested  Interview  Flow   1) Person   2) Problems   3) Solu8on      
  • 36. 1.  Person   •  What  is  your  name  and  role  at  your   company?   •  How  do  you  fit  into  your  company’s   structure?   •  What  is  your  budget  like?     •  Who  has  to  approve  your  purchases?   •  How  do  you  discover  new  products  for  work?     •  Do  you  need  any  approval  to  try  them?   •  What  is  a  typical  day  like  on  your  job?   •  How  much  8me  do  you  spend  on  [Task]?     Learn  about  them  and  their  role  in  your  industry     www.jasonevanish.com  
  • 37. 2.  Problems   •  What  are  the  top  3  challenges  you  face   related  to  [X]?     •  How  do  you  deal  with  them  today?   •  What  do  you  like  about  your  current   solu8on/process?   •  What  other  solu8ons  have  you  tried?  Were   they  beher  or  worse?   •  Who  is  involved  with  this  solu8on/process?     How  long  does  it  take?   •  If  you  could  wave  a  magic  wand…what   would  the  solu8on  be?   Learn  about  the  problems  they  priori4ze     www.jasonevanish.com  
  • 38. 3.  Solu?on  Concept     •  Describe  you  product  concept.   •  Would  you  be  willing  to  pay  [X]  for  such  a   solu8on?     •  If  they're  willing  to  pay:  “Would  you  be  willing  to   start  right  away?”   •  “That’s  interes8ng”  =  Kiss  of  Death.   •  Read  body  language,  voice  inflec8on  and  energy   level  for  signals  of  interest.   See  if  they’re  interested  &  get  feedback     www.jasonevanish.com  
  • 39. Interview  8ps  and  examples  
  • 40. Be  prepared  to  go  off  script     If  users  get  worked  up  –  don’t  stay  on  script,     but  follow  their  lead  and  drill  down!       Emo?on  =  Importance!    
  • 41. Don’t  talk   You  should  be  talking  as  8hle  as  possible!     Don’t  fear  ”uncomfortable  silence”     (let  them  break  it).     80/20  is  a  good  ra8o  to  aim  for.  
  • 42. Ask  brief  follow-­‐ups   (remember,  they    should  be  takning)   That  sounds  expensive/inefficient/painful…     Tell  me  more!     When  was  the  last  4me  that  happened?     Can  you  give  an  example?     What  do  you  mean  by  that?     Can  you  explain  that  a  liHle  more?     What  else  do  you  do  when  that  happens?     How  do  you  feel  about  that?     Parrot  back  and  misrepresent  =>  More  elaborate  answer  
  • 43. Get  psyched  to  hear  things  you             don’t  want  to  hear  
  • 44. Give  permission  to  disagree     ”Other  people  say”     ”Others  have  told  me  the  opposite”    
  • 45. Don’t  assume  things       Bad:  You  love  walking  your  dog!     Good:  How  do  you  feel  about  walking  your  dog?     Even  BeZer:  What  was  it  like  the  last  8me  you  walked  your  dog?  
  • 46. Write  up  results  a.s.a.p.     Take  notes!     Write  upp  results  and     extract  key  insights     immediately  ater     the  interview!   Surprises,  Trends,     (In)validated  hypothesis  
  • 47. Interview  8ps     hhp://www.cindyalvarez.com/communica8on/customer-­‐ development-­‐interviews-­‐how-­‐to-­‐what-­‐you-­‐should-­‐be-­‐ learning         hhp://giffconstable.com/2012/12/12-­‐8ps-­‐for-­‐early-­‐ customer-­‐development-­‐interviews-­‐revision-­‐3/           hhp://jasonevanish.com/2012/01/18/how-­‐to-­‐structure-­‐ and-­‐get-­‐the-­‐most-­‐out-­‐of-­‐customer-­‐development-­‐ interviews/        
  • 48.     “nice  to   have”   Jackpot!   1.  Has  a  problem   2.  Understands  he  or  she  has  a  problem   3.  Ac8vely  searching  for  a  solu8on   4.  Cobbled  together  an  interim  solu8on   5.  Commihed  funds  for  a  solu8on   Useful  people  to  talk  to  
  • 49. Much  faster  to  build  =>     get  quan8ta8ve  feedback  sooner     Web  
  • 51.
  • 52.
  • 53.
  • 55.
  • 56.
  • 59. Test Solution Hypotheses   Ater  demoing,  ask  about  other  things:     Posi8oning  –  how  do  they  describe  the  product?   Product  category  (new,  exis8ng,  resegmented)   Compe8tors   Features  needed  for  first  version   Preferred  revenue  model   Pricing   Addi8onal  service  needs   Marke8ng  –  how  do  they  find  this  type  of  product?   Purchasing  process   Who  has  a  budget?   etc.