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EC6012 Lecture 3

                            Stephen Kinsella


                           SFC Setup

                           Homework & Blogs
EC6012 Lecture 4           References

 A First SFC Model


  Stephen Kinsella

   Dept. Economics,
 University of Limerick.
 stephen.kinsella@ul.ie


  January 18, 2008
Today              EC6012 Lecture 3

                    Stephen Kinsella


                   SFC Setup

                   Homework & Blogs

                   References


SFC Setup




Homework & Blogs
Advantages of SFC                                          EC6012 Lecture 3

                                                            Stephen Kinsella

    SFC Models “intrinsically dynamic” (Turnovsky, 1977,   SFC Setup
    p.3);                                                  Homework & Blogs

    Model financial markets & real-financial interactions    References

    explicitly.
Disadvantages of SFC                         EC6012 Lecture 3

                                              Stephen Kinsella

    Complicated Balance Sheet Interactions   SFC Setup

    ‘Dynamics’ difficult to imagine.           Homework & Blogs

                                             References
Aggregate Supply                                              EC6012 Lecture 3

                                                               Stephen Kinsella


AS                                                            SFC Setup

                                                              Homework & Blogs

                                                              References
                   pt = wt .λt .(1 + τ )                (1)

Symbols
p Price Level; W Money wage per unit; λ labour/output
ratio; τ mark up rate
Aggregate Demand                                            EC6012 Lecture 3

                                                             Stephen Kinsella


Consumption                                                 SFC Setup

                                                            Homework & Blogs

           Ct                      Xt       Vht−1           References
                = (1 − π).(1 − θ).    + a.            (2)
       pt .Kt−1                    Kt      pt .Kt−1

Investment
             ∆Kt    δK0
                  =      + (α.π + β − θ1 .ilt )       (3)
             Kt−1   K0−1
Households & Firms                                         EC6012 Lecture 3

                                                            Stephen Kinsella


Households                                                 SFC Setup

                                                           Homework & Blogs

                   pet .Etd   = delta.Vht            (4)   References

                     d
                    Dt = (1 − δ).Vht                 (5)
                       δ = −ib + ρ                   (6)

Firms
                                            ∆Kt
             Ets = χ.Kt = χ.Kt−1 .(1 +           )   (7)
                                            Kt−1
Equilibrium                                           EC6012 Lecture 3

                                                       Stephen Kinsella


SR Eqm                                                SFC Setup

                                                      Homework & Blogs

                         (1 − δ).vht−1 + savh         References
                vht =                           (8)
                              1 + gt = δ

Handout
Equilibrium Properties
Equilibrium ShocksmodelInteresta Rate the rate of interest (Regime 1b)
 Figure 8. Dynamic response of to variables to shock to


                                       u                                                                              vh

                                                                                   1.7
  0.815
   0.81                                                                            1.6
  0.805
                                                                                   1.5
    0.8
  0.795                                                                            1.4

   0.79                                                                            1.3
  0.785
                                                                                   1.2
   0.78
  0.775                                                                            1.1

   0.77                                                                              1
                       24

                            32




                                           56

                                                 64

                                                      72

                                                               80

                                                                    88

                                                                         96
              16




                                 40

                                      48
     0

          8




                                       g                                                                                  b

  0.058                                                                            1.2
  0.057                                                                            1.1
  0.056                                                                              1
  0.055                                                                            0.9
  0.054                                                                            0.8
  0.053                                                                            0.7
  0.052                                                                            0.6
  0.051                                                                            0.5
                  14
                       21
                            28
                                 35
                                      42
                                           49
                                                56
                                                     63
                                                          70
                                                               77
                                                                    84
                                                                         91
                                                                              98
          0
              7




                                                                                                 14
                                                                                                      21

                                                                                                           28
                                                                                                                35

                                                                                                                     42
                                                                                                                          49

                                                                                                                               56
                                                                                                                                    63

                                                                                                                                         70
                                                                                                                                              77
                                                                                                                                                   84

                                                                                                                                                        91

                                                                                                                                                             98
                                                                                         0
                                                                                             7
EC6012 Lecture 3
Download Excel Sheet
                                                         Stephen Kinsella
Show a change in interest rate on bonds from 0.07 to
0.1. What effect does this have in u-vh space?           SFC Setup

                                                        Homework & Blogs
Reset the model. Show a change in the value of α from
                                                        References
0.3 to 0.7.
Due up on the blogs next week.
Read Godley and Lavoie (2006, Chapter 3).
References                                               EC6012 Lecture 3

                                                          Stephen Kinsella


Wynne Godley and Marc Lavoie. Monetary Economics An      SFC Setup

  Integrated Approach to Credit, Money, Income,          Homework & Blogs

  Production and Wealth. Palgrave-Macmillan, 2006. URL   References

  http://www.palgrave.com/products/Catalogue.
  aspx?is=0230500552.

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Ec6012 Lecture 4

  • 1. EC6012 Lecture 3 Stephen Kinsella SFC Setup Homework & Blogs EC6012 Lecture 4 References A First SFC Model Stephen Kinsella Dept. Economics, University of Limerick. stephen.kinsella@ul.ie January 18, 2008
  • 2. Today EC6012 Lecture 3 Stephen Kinsella SFC Setup Homework & Blogs References SFC Setup Homework & Blogs
  • 3. Advantages of SFC EC6012 Lecture 3 Stephen Kinsella SFC Models “intrinsically dynamic” (Turnovsky, 1977, SFC Setup p.3); Homework & Blogs Model financial markets & real-financial interactions References explicitly.
  • 4. Disadvantages of SFC EC6012 Lecture 3 Stephen Kinsella Complicated Balance Sheet Interactions SFC Setup ‘Dynamics’ difficult to imagine. Homework & Blogs References
  • 5. Aggregate Supply EC6012 Lecture 3 Stephen Kinsella AS SFC Setup Homework & Blogs References pt = wt .λt .(1 + τ ) (1) Symbols p Price Level; W Money wage per unit; λ labour/output ratio; τ mark up rate
  • 6. Aggregate Demand EC6012 Lecture 3 Stephen Kinsella Consumption SFC Setup Homework & Blogs Ct Xt Vht−1 References = (1 − π).(1 − θ). + a. (2) pt .Kt−1 Kt pt .Kt−1 Investment ∆Kt δK0 = + (α.π + β − θ1 .ilt ) (3) Kt−1 K0−1
  • 7. Households & Firms EC6012 Lecture 3 Stephen Kinsella Households SFC Setup Homework & Blogs pet .Etd = delta.Vht (4) References d Dt = (1 − δ).Vht (5) δ = −ib + ρ (6) Firms ∆Kt Ets = χ.Kt = χ.Kt−1 .(1 + ) (7) Kt−1
  • 8. Equilibrium EC6012 Lecture 3 Stephen Kinsella SR Eqm SFC Setup Homework & Blogs (1 − δ).vht−1 + savh References vht = (8) 1 + gt = δ Handout Equilibrium Properties
  • 9. Equilibrium ShocksmodelInteresta Rate the rate of interest (Regime 1b) Figure 8. Dynamic response of to variables to shock to u vh 1.7 0.815 0.81 1.6 0.805 1.5 0.8 0.795 1.4 0.79 1.3 0.785 1.2 0.78 0.775 1.1 0.77 1 24 32 56 64 72 80 88 96 16 40 48 0 8 g b 0.058 1.2 0.057 1.1 0.056 1 0.055 0.9 0.054 0.8 0.053 0.7 0.052 0.6 0.051 0.5 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 63 70 77 84 91 98 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 63 70 77 84 91 98 0 7
  • 10. EC6012 Lecture 3 Download Excel Sheet Stephen Kinsella Show a change in interest rate on bonds from 0.07 to 0.1. What effect does this have in u-vh space? SFC Setup Homework & Blogs Reset the model. Show a change in the value of α from References 0.3 to 0.7. Due up on the blogs next week. Read Godley and Lavoie (2006, Chapter 3).
  • 11. References EC6012 Lecture 3 Stephen Kinsella Wynne Godley and Marc Lavoie. Monetary Economics An SFC Setup Integrated Approach to Credit, Money, Income, Homework & Blogs Production and Wealth. Palgrave-Macmillan, 2006. URL References http://www.palgrave.com/products/Catalogue. aspx?is=0230500552.