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Relating the   Business Cycle   to the   Romance Cycle
“ You look good. You look verrrry good.” Relating  Business Cycle To Romance Cycle 1 st date Jealousy sets in Gets engaged She goes off  to college. H e  uses the meeting line on  unsuspecting freshmen girls You decide to get married Wedding March   for women Death  March  for  men Baby-5 months later But – he does nothing but make  loud noises at   one end , and has no discipline  at  the  other end . You become a happy family One loses a job But with education a job is gained as well as a new  house Must have good  “meeting  line”  to get   the  first date.
Peak Trough Expansion Real GDP per year Peak:   real GDP reaches its maximum. Recession:   real GDP declines 6 months. Expansion:   an upturn - real GDP rises. Trough:   real GDP reaches its minimum. Recession Time Peak Four Phases of the Business Cycle [Have  averaged  five years] Expansion One Cycle
Recent  Business  Cycles Peak July, 1981 Trough Nov., 1982 Peak July, 1990 Trough April, 1991 Peak March, 2001 Trough June, 2001 Spring, 2007 Expansion-8 years Contraction  [Recession] Expansion-10 years Contraction   [Recession] Expansion
At President Reagan’s funeral, Bill and Hillary were both seen dozing off. President Reagan, who never missed a chance for a good one-liner,  raised  his  head  from  the  casket  and  said,  “ I see the Clintons are finally sleeping together.”
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Relating the Business Cycle to the Romance Cycle

  • 1. Relating the Business Cycle to the Romance Cycle
  • 2. “ You look good. You look verrrry good.” Relating Business Cycle To Romance Cycle 1 st date Jealousy sets in Gets engaged She goes off to college. H e uses the meeting line on unsuspecting freshmen girls You decide to get married Wedding March for women Death March for men Baby-5 months later But – he does nothing but make loud noises at one end , and has no discipline at the other end . You become a happy family One loses a job But with education a job is gained as well as a new house Must have good “meeting line” to get the first date.
  • 3. Peak Trough Expansion Real GDP per year Peak: real GDP reaches its maximum. Recession: real GDP declines 6 months. Expansion: an upturn - real GDP rises. Trough: real GDP reaches its minimum. Recession Time Peak Four Phases of the Business Cycle [Have averaged five years] Expansion One Cycle
  • 4. Recent Business Cycles Peak July, 1981 Trough Nov., 1982 Peak July, 1990 Trough April, 1991 Peak March, 2001 Trough June, 2001 Spring, 2007 Expansion-8 years Contraction [Recession] Expansion-10 years Contraction [Recession] Expansion
  • 5. At President Reagan’s funeral, Bill and Hillary were both seen dozing off. President Reagan, who never missed a chance for a good one-liner, raised his head from the casket and said, “ I see the Clintons are finally sleeping together.”