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Paper 1 Human Core

UNIT 1 Population
Recommended Prior Knowledge None is essential although some of the concepts will be familiar from IGCSE.

Context Population studies depend upon an understanding of population structure and the factors which contribute to its growth. There will be close
connections with Units 2 and 3, as population change is often clearly related to migration and may impact on settlement growth, change and pattern.

Outline The elements of growth are the starting point. However, the appreciation that movement is an integral aspect of growth and change is essential, so
the second section focuses on migration as a discrete unit. Without the link between population and resources however, the study is merely academic, so an
understanding of the final section is fundamental to this unit.

   Content              Objectives              Terminology               Teaching Strategies (TS) and Activities (A)                        Resources

1.1 Natural         Population distribution   Distribution          Distinguish between these two definitions. Essential to an     Nov 2006 Q. 3 Fig. 3 uses
increase as a       and density               across an area        understanding of overpopulation and underpopulation.           several ideas of population
component                                     Density of            They are fundamental to an understanding of spatial            change, useful teaching aid.
of population                                   population          distributions.                                                 Carr p.5 - v.good definitions
change                                                              Global distribution showing densities is the ideal starting    Prosser p.154
                                                                    point. Aerial photos of people sitting on a beach can be a     Chrispin pp.48-50 Very good on
                                                                    useful teaching aid -people are rarely evenly distributed.     all definitions
                                                                    Also introduces choropleth maps as a technique. Could          Witherick p.270
                                                                    also show topological map of the data.

                    Knowledge and             Crude birth rate      TS Introduce basic terminology: birth rate, death rate,
                    understanding of          Crude death rate      mortality rates, fertility rates and replacement level.
                    natural increase and      Fertility rate
                    natural decrease of       Mortality rate        Introduce the idea of overall population growth/decline
                    population and how        Natural increase      through the equation                                           Geofactsheet 175 Global
                    this leads to             Population            Pop change = Natural increase/decrease +/- migration.          population trends to 2050
                    population change          change                                                                              Population Bomb or Birth of
                                              Migration             Spatial distribution of population growth rates, i.e. global   death?
                                              Replacement level     distribution. Look at statistics to compare growth rates for
                                                                    different countries and groups of countries, e.g. MEDCs
                    Understanding of                                and LEDCs.                                                     Guinness and Nagle pp.174-182
                    replacement level to                            A This could be an opportunity for students to practise        Bowen and Pallister pp.147-50
                    maintain populations                            interpretation of choropleth maps June 2007 Q. 4
Explanation of birth rates and death rates. Emphasise the        Coverage on Population
                                              role of factors and the ways in which they may change            change and growth in:
                                              over time.                                                       Hart pp.127-130
                                              Note Gender is also an important part of the population          Ross pp.102-7
                                              change argument                                                  Carr p.4, 5, 7, 12, 14
                                              Contrast population decline in Scandinavia and                   Waugh pp.357-360
                                              Continental Europe with rapid increase of population in          Witherick pp.271-5
                                              some LEDCs                                                       Prosser pp.159-161 Good on
                                                                                                                factors influencing natural
• Factors that           Age/sex pyramid      Structure of population                                           change
  influence birth rate   Infant mortality     TS Population pyramids. Description - Compare two                Chrispin pp.53-4
  and death rate           rate               basic shapes: the wide based-steep sided, low, narrow            Geofactsheet 562 Jan 2008
• Economic, social       Life expectancy      topped pyramid of LEDCs and the wider based, straight            Population: US Update
  environmental and      Dependency ratio     sided, higher, wider topped pyramid of MEDCs.                    Nagle has detail of age-specific
  political factors (a   Age-specific birth                                                                    birth rate p.229
  long list). Ideally    rate/death rate      Could also consider rural and urban pyramids and                 Nov 2006 Q. 9 BR and DR as
  they should be         Cohort               regional variations, e.g. South coast of England with an          instrumental in pop change
  supported by facts,                         ageing population is narrow-based and relatively wide at         June 2007 Q. 10 (a) and (b)
  countries and data,                         the top.                                                         Geofile 500 Sept 2005
  to illustrate and                           Annotate with explanation and discuss the characteristics        Demographic change and
  exemplify                                   showing higher pyramid = longer life expectancies.               population policy in India and
                                              June 2006 Fig. 3 Pyramids for China, 1990 and 2004               China
                                              Nov 2006 life expectancy data Fig. 4 for Q. 4                    Carr p.8 Fig. 2.6
• Knowledge and                                                                                                Ross pp.110-111
  understanding of                            Consider a range of different age/sex pyramids which             Hart pp.132-135
  contrasting                                 have particular characteristics, for instance illustrating the   Guinness and Nagle pp.183-185
  population                                  following factors: influence of wars, baby booms,                Nagle p.228
  structures                                  HIV/AIDS, etc. e.g. France, UK, countries in Africa.             Waugh pp.353-4
                                              Also stage of technological development will link to the         Prosser pp.163-4 Four very
                                              demographic transition model (DTM).                              good contrasting pyramids
                                                                                                               Chrispin p.55
                                              Note Remember to include migration as part of the                The International Data Base of
                                              reasoning.                                                       the US Census Bureau is an
                                                                                                               excellent resource
                                                                                                               www.census.gov/ipc/www/idb
                                                                                                               Geofactsheet Contemporary
                                                                                                                Population Issues: 3 Case
                                                                                                                Studies: China, Italy and India
Witherick p.281 Figs 21 and 22
                                                                                                                    Chrispin p.51 Fig.3.24 and
                                                                                                                    p.52 Fig 3.25
                                                                                                                    Waugh p.350 - a range of
                                                                                                                    countries considered
                                                                                                                    Nagle p.230
1.2
Demographic   Historical growth of   Demographic   Historical perspective
transition    population             transition    The demographic transition                                       Bowen and Pallister p.151
                                                   A model to show the stages in population growth over             Limitations and good detail
                                                    time.                                                           about each phase
                                                   TS Annotated diagram can be the best way to approach             Prosser p.156 fig.5.12
                                                   the model.                                                       Guinness and Nagle p.165 fig
                                                   A Students should draw it for themselves. It concentrates        7.6
                                                    their minds and engages them directly with the material.        Hart p.131 Fig.5.16 Limitations
                                                    Pyramids to illustrate each stage plus examples of               and p.132
                                                    countries in each stage.                                        Ross p.108 Fig 4.10
                                                   Emphasise the fact that it is a model and a simplification       Carr p.28 Very good on
                                                    of reality. Application to contrasting countries, e.g. the UK   limitations – also links to
                                                    and China.                                                      development.
                                                   Consider the usefulness and limitations of the model.            June 2006 Fig. 6 Q. 9 DTM
                                                   (This critical appraisal is important and may be examined).      diagram – useful question
                                                   Take into consideration application to cities as well as
                                                   countries and remember that the model does not have
                                                   migration built in.
                                                                                                                    Chrispin p.51
                                                       1   Compare population pyramids for each stage               Nagle p.232 Pakistan
                                                           of the model                                             Guinness and Nagle p.171
                                                       2   Consider different methods of depicting the              Brazil and p.186 China
                                                           transition                                               Carr pp.20-3 China and pp.23-5
                                                                                                                             Tanzania
                                                   Links to development should be considered                        Prosser pp.157-8 China and
                                                   throughout.                                                      p.162 Botswana
                                                                                                                    Witherick pp.275-7 India
                                                   Relationship to population change should be borne in             Ross pp.116-18 China and
                                                   mind throughout the teaching of this unit and mentioned          Singapore
                                                   frequently.
Stage 5 of the model. Discuss with reference to specific
                                                             countries.
                                                                                                                            Carr pp.11-12
                                        Ageing               This may be inserted wherever it is felt appropriate.          Ross p.112
                                         populations         TS and A Debate/discussion ideal on the subject of             Both these books are detailed
                                                             ageing populations. Suggested title:                           on ageing populations
                                                             Ageing population: a blessing or a problem?
                                                                                                                            June 2007 Q. 9(b) and (c)
                                                             Prediction of ageing populations. Discussion about             Geofactsheet 196 The
                                                             limited value of prediction June 2007 Q. 9(c) useful guide     Globalisation of Ageing
1.3                                                          for class discussion or piece of written work.
Population-
resource        • Appreciation of a     Carrying capacity                                                                   Chrispin pp.80-2
relationships     debate between        Population ceiling   Malthusian theory                                              Guinness and Nagle pp.196-7
                  the pessimists and    Population boom      Using a series of diagrams. By increasing the population       Ross pp.114-5
                  the optimists, or      and crash           level it can be seen that resources are exceeded. Fig. 3
                  ecologists versus     Famine
                  economists            Constraints: e.g.    Consider Paul Simon’s view (economist and optimist) and        Chrispin p. 83
                                         war, hazards        that of Paul Ehrlich (environmentalist and pessimist)
                                                             Lead into a discussion of consequences of rapid
                                                             uncontrolled population increase. Limitations of the theory.
                                                             Solutions                                                      Chrispin pp.86-90
                                                                   • Manage population growth                               Chrispin pp.83-4
                • Knowledge and                                    • Increase production - land under cultivation, yield
                  understanding of                                     per hectare                                          June 2008 Q. 9 specifically
                  basic concepts                             Introduce Boserup’s more optimistic model of changing          about over/under/optimum
                  relating population                        technology.                                                    population
                  to resources                               Look at the graph of population in relation to GDP per
                                        Overpopulation       person to ascertain concepts of over-, under- and              Nagle p.241 good source
                                        Underpopulation      optimum population.                                            Waugh p.378
                                        Optimum              TS It is important that case study material is geared          Carr pp.35-6
                                         population          to the control of growth and the management of the
                • Understanding of                           results of change as stated in the syllabus.                   Waugh p.374
                  sustainability                             It is also important to understand that these are relative     Carr p.34
                                                             concepts; discovery of new resources/technology could
                                                             relieve overpopulation whilst maintaining the same             Nagle pp.239-241
                                        Sustainability       absolute numbers, but the quality of life would improve.       recommended
Carrying capacity
                                   Food shortage
                                   Subsistence                                                                          Nov 2005 Q. 9
                                    farming            Look at relationship between population growth and               June 2008 Q. 9 - a popular
                                                       growth of food production. Compare arithmetic increase           question
                                   Appropriate         of food production with geometric increase of population
                                     technology        (Malthus).
                                   Intermediate                                                                         Case studies of Bangladesh -
                                     technology        Introduce idea of carrying capacity of land in relation to its   overpopulation and Canada -
                                                       population.                                                      underpopulation. Use other local
                                   Desertification                                                                      examples if more suitable.
                                   Pollution
                                   Quality of life
                                   Green Revolution
                                   Ecological
                                    footprints

1.4 The      A case study of any                       History of population growth and change.
management   ONE country, may be                       Substantiate with population data.                               June 2005 Q. 4
of natural   an LEDC or an                             Study population structure over time. Compare age
increase     MEDC.                                     cohorts; gender. Compare BR and DR. Life expectancies.
                                                       Analysis of change over time and discussion of reasons.          June 2008 Q. 10 This is an
             • Appreciation of                                                                                          excellent question to use as a
               population change                       Note Death rate is a vital component of population               springboard for teaching this
               within chosen                           change and is often forgotten by candidates when                 aspect of population change.
               country                                 discussing management/policies for controlling population
             • Difficulties and                        growth i.e. managing natural increase. This is so
               management                              important because maximum marks cannot be achieved
               solutions                               unless death rates are considered.

                                                       Population policies e.g. China ‘one child’ policy,
                                                       Singapore, Russia, Germany, UK, Italy or home country.
                                                       Consequences: especially discussion of success and/or
                                                       failure e.g. gender imbalance, ageing, rural/urban
                                                       migration. The controls, the changes and then how the
                                                       country has managed the changes.

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syllabus 9696 paper 1 human core unit 1 population

  • 1. Paper 1 Human Core UNIT 1 Population Recommended Prior Knowledge None is essential although some of the concepts will be familiar from IGCSE. Context Population studies depend upon an understanding of population structure and the factors which contribute to its growth. There will be close connections with Units 2 and 3, as population change is often clearly related to migration and may impact on settlement growth, change and pattern. Outline The elements of growth are the starting point. However, the appreciation that movement is an integral aspect of growth and change is essential, so the second section focuses on migration as a discrete unit. Without the link between population and resources however, the study is merely academic, so an understanding of the final section is fundamental to this unit. Content Objectives Terminology Teaching Strategies (TS) and Activities (A) Resources 1.1 Natural Population distribution Distribution Distinguish between these two definitions. Essential to an Nov 2006 Q. 3 Fig. 3 uses increase as a and density across an area understanding of overpopulation and underpopulation. several ideas of population component Density of They are fundamental to an understanding of spatial change, useful teaching aid. of population population distributions. Carr p.5 - v.good definitions change Global distribution showing densities is the ideal starting Prosser p.154 point. Aerial photos of people sitting on a beach can be a Chrispin pp.48-50 Very good on useful teaching aid -people are rarely evenly distributed. all definitions Also introduces choropleth maps as a technique. Could Witherick p.270 also show topological map of the data. Knowledge and Crude birth rate TS Introduce basic terminology: birth rate, death rate, understanding of Crude death rate mortality rates, fertility rates and replacement level. natural increase and Fertility rate natural decrease of Mortality rate Introduce the idea of overall population growth/decline population and how Natural increase through the equation Geofactsheet 175 Global this leads to Population Pop change = Natural increase/decrease +/- migration. population trends to 2050 population change change Population Bomb or Birth of Migration Spatial distribution of population growth rates, i.e. global death? Replacement level distribution. Look at statistics to compare growth rates for different countries and groups of countries, e.g. MEDCs Understanding of and LEDCs. Guinness and Nagle pp.174-182 replacement level to A This could be an opportunity for students to practise Bowen and Pallister pp.147-50 maintain populations interpretation of choropleth maps June 2007 Q. 4
  • 2. Explanation of birth rates and death rates. Emphasise the Coverage on Population role of factors and the ways in which they may change change and growth in: over time. Hart pp.127-130 Note Gender is also an important part of the population Ross pp.102-7 change argument Carr p.4, 5, 7, 12, 14 Contrast population decline in Scandinavia and Waugh pp.357-360 Continental Europe with rapid increase of population in Witherick pp.271-5 some LEDCs Prosser pp.159-161 Good on factors influencing natural • Factors that Age/sex pyramid Structure of population change influence birth rate Infant mortality TS Population pyramids. Description - Compare two Chrispin pp.53-4 and death rate rate basic shapes: the wide based-steep sided, low, narrow Geofactsheet 562 Jan 2008 • Economic, social Life expectancy topped pyramid of LEDCs and the wider based, straight Population: US Update environmental and Dependency ratio sided, higher, wider topped pyramid of MEDCs. Nagle has detail of age-specific political factors (a Age-specific birth birth rate p.229 long list). Ideally rate/death rate Could also consider rural and urban pyramids and Nov 2006 Q. 9 BR and DR as they should be Cohort regional variations, e.g. South coast of England with an instrumental in pop change supported by facts, ageing population is narrow-based and relatively wide at June 2007 Q. 10 (a) and (b) countries and data, the top. Geofile 500 Sept 2005 to illustrate and Annotate with explanation and discuss the characteristics Demographic change and exemplify showing higher pyramid = longer life expectancies. population policy in India and June 2006 Fig. 3 Pyramids for China, 1990 and 2004 China Nov 2006 life expectancy data Fig. 4 for Q. 4 Carr p.8 Fig. 2.6 • Knowledge and Ross pp.110-111 understanding of Consider a range of different age/sex pyramids which Hart pp.132-135 contrasting have particular characteristics, for instance illustrating the Guinness and Nagle pp.183-185 population following factors: influence of wars, baby booms, Nagle p.228 structures HIV/AIDS, etc. e.g. France, UK, countries in Africa. Waugh pp.353-4 Also stage of technological development will link to the Prosser pp.163-4 Four very demographic transition model (DTM). good contrasting pyramids Chrispin p.55 Note Remember to include migration as part of the The International Data Base of reasoning. the US Census Bureau is an excellent resource www.census.gov/ipc/www/idb Geofactsheet Contemporary Population Issues: 3 Case Studies: China, Italy and India
  • 3. Witherick p.281 Figs 21 and 22 Chrispin p.51 Fig.3.24 and p.52 Fig 3.25 Waugh p.350 - a range of countries considered Nagle p.230 1.2 Demographic Historical growth of Demographic Historical perspective transition population transition The demographic transition Bowen and Pallister p.151 A model to show the stages in population growth over Limitations and good detail time. about each phase TS Annotated diagram can be the best way to approach Prosser p.156 fig.5.12 the model. Guinness and Nagle p.165 fig A Students should draw it for themselves. It concentrates 7.6 their minds and engages them directly with the material. Hart p.131 Fig.5.16 Limitations Pyramids to illustrate each stage plus examples of and p.132 countries in each stage. Ross p.108 Fig 4.10 Emphasise the fact that it is a model and a simplification Carr p.28 Very good on of reality. Application to contrasting countries, e.g. the UK limitations – also links to and China. development. Consider the usefulness and limitations of the model. June 2006 Fig. 6 Q. 9 DTM (This critical appraisal is important and may be examined). diagram – useful question Take into consideration application to cities as well as countries and remember that the model does not have migration built in. Chrispin p.51 1 Compare population pyramids for each stage Nagle p.232 Pakistan of the model Guinness and Nagle p.171 2 Consider different methods of depicting the Brazil and p.186 China transition Carr pp.20-3 China and pp.23-5 Tanzania Links to development should be considered Prosser pp.157-8 China and throughout. p.162 Botswana Witherick pp.275-7 India Relationship to population change should be borne in Ross pp.116-18 China and mind throughout the teaching of this unit and mentioned Singapore frequently.
  • 4. Stage 5 of the model. Discuss with reference to specific countries. Carr pp.11-12 Ageing This may be inserted wherever it is felt appropriate. Ross p.112 populations TS and A Debate/discussion ideal on the subject of Both these books are detailed ageing populations. Suggested title: on ageing populations Ageing population: a blessing or a problem? June 2007 Q. 9(b) and (c) Prediction of ageing populations. Discussion about Geofactsheet 196 The limited value of prediction June 2007 Q. 9(c) useful guide Globalisation of Ageing 1.3 for class discussion or piece of written work. Population- resource • Appreciation of a Carrying capacity Chrispin pp.80-2 relationships debate between Population ceiling Malthusian theory Guinness and Nagle pp.196-7 the pessimists and Population boom Using a series of diagrams. By increasing the population Ross pp.114-5 the optimists, or and crash level it can be seen that resources are exceeded. Fig. 3 ecologists versus Famine economists Constraints: e.g. Consider Paul Simon’s view (economist and optimist) and Chrispin p. 83 war, hazards that of Paul Ehrlich (environmentalist and pessimist) Lead into a discussion of consequences of rapid uncontrolled population increase. Limitations of the theory. Solutions Chrispin pp.86-90 • Manage population growth Chrispin pp.83-4 • Knowledge and • Increase production - land under cultivation, yield understanding of per hectare June 2008 Q. 9 specifically basic concepts Introduce Boserup’s more optimistic model of changing about over/under/optimum relating population technology. population to resources Look at the graph of population in relation to GDP per Overpopulation person to ascertain concepts of over-, under- and Nagle p.241 good source Underpopulation optimum population. Waugh p.378 Optimum TS It is important that case study material is geared Carr pp.35-6 population to the control of growth and the management of the • Understanding of results of change as stated in the syllabus. Waugh p.374 sustainability It is also important to understand that these are relative Carr p.34 concepts; discovery of new resources/technology could relieve overpopulation whilst maintaining the same Nagle pp.239-241 Sustainability absolute numbers, but the quality of life would improve. recommended
  • 5. Carrying capacity Food shortage Subsistence Nov 2005 Q. 9 farming Look at relationship between population growth and June 2008 Q. 9 - a popular growth of food production. Compare arithmetic increase question Appropriate of food production with geometric increase of population technology (Malthus). Intermediate Case studies of Bangladesh - technology Introduce idea of carrying capacity of land in relation to its overpopulation and Canada - population. underpopulation. Use other local Desertification examples if more suitable. Pollution Quality of life Green Revolution Ecological footprints 1.4 The A case study of any History of population growth and change. management ONE country, may be Substantiate with population data. June 2005 Q. 4 of natural an LEDC or an Study population structure over time. Compare age increase MEDC. cohorts; gender. Compare BR and DR. Life expectancies. Analysis of change over time and discussion of reasons. June 2008 Q. 10 This is an • Appreciation of excellent question to use as a population change Note Death rate is a vital component of population springboard for teaching this within chosen change and is often forgotten by candidates when aspect of population change. country discussing management/policies for controlling population • Difficulties and growth i.e. managing natural increase. This is so management important because maximum marks cannot be achieved solutions unless death rates are considered. Population policies e.g. China ‘one child’ policy, Singapore, Russia, Germany, UK, Italy or home country. Consequences: especially discussion of success and/or failure e.g. gender imbalance, ageing, rural/urban migration. The controls, the changes and then how the country has managed the changes.