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LaTrobe University, Bundoora, October 2013

Designing a sustainable future for
East-Asian peri-urban areas through
integrating rural greenspace

Makoto YOKOHARI
The University of Tokyo
Urban (8%)
Agricultural (12%)

Forest
(70%)

370,000km2
hectors

%
71.1

80
70

53.3
52.8
47.3
43.5
41.0

60
50

2970.4

10000

1000

169.6
55.8 52.6

100

40

14.1

30

20

78.6

12.2

10

2.27

10
1

0

Proportion of the land area for
agricultural uses

Average farmland size per farm
household

Small and labor intensive Japanese agriculture
Kanto, 70km N of Tokyo
http://mainichi.jp/select/jiken/graph/20110311/43.html
Great Hanshin Awaji
Earthquake
 January 17, 1995
 Dead: 6400
 Injured: 44000
Great Kanto
Earthquake
 September 1, 1923
 Victims: 1,484,000
(58%)
 Dead: 58,000
 Burnt-down houses:
215,000(62%)
 Burnt-down area:
3342ha(42%)
Seismic hazards and mega-cities

SOURCE: Global Seismic Hazard Assessment Program, United Nations Population Division
Flood in Bangkok
Bangkok (2011), Beijing (2012), Manila (2012)…..
Disaster risks

Comprehensive Risk index
by Munich Reinsurance Company

Paris

25

London

30

New York

42

Paris

NYC

Tokyo

710

Tokyo
Need to develop a sustainable and resilient
planning concept suitable for areas prone
to natural disasters
What kind of a planning concept?
Cities in medieval Europe

Cologne, Germany
16th century

Paris, France
16th century
Greater London Plan (1944) and
the London Green Belt
by Patrick Abercrombie
Urban

Rural

Juxtaposition of homogeneous
land units
Urban

Rural

Inter-unit functional relations
Seismic hazards and mega-cities

SOURCE: Global Seismic Hazard Assessment Program, United Nations Population Division
Loss of inter-unit
functional relationships
No way to survive?
Engawa

Public? Private?
Container plants placed
along roji (paths) in
shitamachi
Public? Private?
Agricultural lands in
residential neighborhoods
Urban? Rural?
Edo
Land use of Edo in the mid 19th century
More than 40% of the land area was for agricultural uses
Mixture of urban and rural land uses in
the mid 19th century Edo
Night soil

Edo

Agricultural products

Farm
households

Edo: One of the most successful sustainable

cities based on the urban/rural land use mixture
1906

Mitaka

Kichijoji
1937

Mitaka

Kichijoji
1956

Mitaka

Kichijoji
1998

Mitaka

Kichijoji
Urban

Rural
What modern urban planning aimed…
Urban

Rural
What actually happened in Japan…
Chaotic?
Urban agricultural units providing food
to neighboring urban land units
in emergency events
international
rural

peri-urban

intera-urban
international
rural

peri-urban

intera-urban
Food supply from intra- and peri-urban areas
for redundant and thus resilient food supply
Agricultural lands with prime soil found in
and around the urban core

Soil quality
top
mid
low

railroad station
urban land use
Percentage of agricultural lands with prime soil
and that of built up lands

agricultural land with prime soil
built up land

R2 = 0.77

Distance from the urban core (railroad station)
Multi-functionality / ecosystem services of
agricultural lands in peri-urban areas

Microclimate control (Reduction of summer heat)
Scenery conservation
Water retention
Bio-diversity conservation
Heat
island
Farmland patches as “cool spots” in a
residential neighborhood
2C
Coverage ratio of paddy fields per unit (%)

Relationship between the coverage ratio of paddy fields and the
temperature differences between paddy fields and the urban core
Peri-urban landscapes with various agricultural greens
A suitable planning concept for East-Asia
Who’s going to cultivate the lands?
household

household

35000
30000
25000
20000
15000
10000
5000
0

MAFF (2006)

4000

Tokyo Met(2006)

3000
2000
1000
0

1990 1995 2000 2005
Farm households (Tokyo Met)
Major
Sub-major
Minor

Farm households (23 wards)
15-29
30-49

2005
Subsistence
(46.3%)

Farm operation (Tokyo Met)

MAFF (2006)

Declining agriculture in Tokyo

Over 65
(52.8%)

2005

50-59
60-64

Age of farmers (Tokyo Met)

MAFF (2006)
Estimated demographic transitions of Japan
More than 25% of the population become over 65 within 20 years
Past

Future (estimate)

Transitions in the population of Japan : 1955 to 2055

Shrinking population, shrinking cities, and shrinking
economy
Urban residents retired at the age around 60 willing
to practice agriculture as their second life

Let them come out from their backyard and
collaborate with farmers
Agriculture experience
gardens
Nerima, Tokyo
Instructed by local farmers
Local “urban” residents working, not volunteering, as
semi-professional farmers on suburban farmlands
Size of farmland
Group A

Group B, Group C

Group E

large

small
Community
garden

Group D

Group F

Professional
farming

Number of grown vegetables
Group F

Group D

Group C

large

small
Professional
farming

Group A

Group E

Group B

Community
garden
Urban hobby farmers
kg/m /year

9.1

2

kg/m /year

6.2
Professional farmers

2
Peri-urban landscapes with a smallscaled mixture of fragmented urban and
agricultural land uses
May not be “beautiful” but “functional”
to create sustainable and resilient cities
in East Asia

Thank you!

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