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General introduction to Chinese
     Automotive market

            IFP SCHOOL
          28TH JUNE 2012
Summary

General information about China & Chinese
Market
International OEMs’ situation & challenge
Chinese OEMs’ ambition
 Chinese Automotive Engine Industry
General information about China & Chinese market

Youtube Link : 10 minutes to know about China
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IvEVEIzmYBc
General information about China & Chinese market

Big concentration in urban areas, especially in cities on the coast
2nd and 3rd category cities in development with government politics
General information about China & Chinese market

Big concentration in urban areas, especially in cities on the coast
2nd and 3rd category cities in development with government politics
Vehicle ownership : far away from Japan, Europe or USA levels
General information about China & Chinese market

In 2011, 80% of customers are first-time purchasers
General information about China & Chinese market

In 2011, 80% of customers are first-time purchasers
The average age of the customers is younger in China. (26yrs for BMW
owners)
General information about China & Chinese market

In 2011, 80% of customers are first-time purchasers
The average age of the customers is younger in China. (26yrs for BMW
owners)
The taste of luxury and the « big brands » are generally welcomed.
(BMW, Audi, Mercedes etc…)
Summary

General information about China & Chinese Market
International OEMs’ situation & challenge
Chinese OEMs’ ambition
 Chinese Automotive Engine Industry
Challenges of international OEMs

Leaders in Chinese market ~= leaders in Automotive Industry VW, GM,
Toyota.
Good performance for Korean OEM : Hyundai Group
But…




                                     Source : VW Group China
Challenges of international OEMs

Chinese government ambition : to have at least one international-scale OEM
in TOP10 by 2020
  Limit the foreign investment in China, typically in JV in order to increase the local OEM market shares
  from 2012
  Hope on « Big Four » : SAIC, BAIC, DongFeng & Chang’An
Challenges of international OEMs

Global long-term strategy including Chinese market with its particularity
Introduction of the newest technology & global product program
Challenges of international OEMs

Shift of business network to 2nd or 3rd tiers cities
Challenges of international OEMs

Chinese government politics.
Local OEM growth
Global long-term strategy including Chinese market with another dimension
Shift to 2nd or 3rd tier cities with low volume (business network and
infrastructure)
Satisfy the special Chinese taste : for example, A4L, A6L
Knowledge sharing : newest technology appreciated
Local talents management
  Turnover at about 20% in average.
  Experience generally appreciated in international big companies with a final goal to
  work for Chinese local ones.
Environment pressure :
  CO2 (160g/km against 120g/km in Europe => 2015 target)
  E-mobility
Summary

General information about China & Chinese Market
International OEMs’ situation & challenge
Chinese OEMs’ ambition
 Chinese Automotive Engine Industry
Chinese OEMs’ ambition

Chinese government politic
  Local OEM in JV : Big Four
  Local independent OEM: BYD (means « Bluid your dream »), Chery, Geely (& Volvo)
Chinese local OEMs (not in JV) produce « low cost » vehicles up to now
(same strategy as Japanese's Toyota or Honda, as Korean Hyundai-Kia
etc)
  Marketing & brand issue
  Technology issue
  Investment issue
  Last but not least…
Chinese OEMs’ ambition

Chinese government politic
  Local OEM in JV : Big Four
  Local OEM without JV : BYD (means « Bluid your dream »), Chery, Geely (& Volvo)
Chinese local OEMs (not in JV) produce « low cost » vehicles up to now
(same strategy as Japanese's Toyota or Honda, as Korean Hyundai-Kia
etc)
  Marketing & brand issue
  Technology issue
  Investment issue
  Last but not least : quality issue
Chinese OEMs’ ambition

                     What do they do?
Upscaling & Marketing effect : Chery creates new luxury brands
Technology :
  Chinese politics demand a local new brand of JV. GM-SAIC : Baojun
  M&A (Geely and Volvo) : to improve brand image of Geely
  Reverse engineering
Domination in a new field : Electrical vehicles
Summary

General information about China & Chinese Market
International OEMs’ situation & challenge
Chinese OEMs’ ambition
 Chinese Automotive Engine Industry
General view

 Focus on engines for passenger cars



                        CO2 in decreasing




  Natural aspirated
  engine : Harbin
Dong’an Engine group
Naturel aspirated engine

Harbin Dong’an Engine Group
Independent supplier of engines
Example : 4G18
Technical characteristic :
     In-line 4 cylinders, 4-strokes, 16 valves, SOHC
     74kW @ 6000rpm and 136Nm @ 4500rpm
     Compression ratio : 9.5 :1
     Pollution : EuroIII

Cars application : BYD F3, Haima Family,
+:
     Low-cost engine, accessible for local brands
     Gasoline consumption
     Since 1996
-:
     Low-cost vehicles, lack of power
     No newest technology
General view

    Focus on engines for passenger cars

                                  CO2 in decreasing




Small natural aspirated
   engine : Harbin
 Dong’an Engine group

                             masse reduction &
                             air-intake system
                               optimization:
                               Chery & Geely

•   Low cost & low technologies
Geely

Geely 4G (improvement from Dong’an 4G series) -> GeTec
Technical characteristics of 4G15D:
  1.5l, in-line 4 cylinders, 4-strokes, 16 valves, DOHC
  78kW @ 6200rpm,135Nm @ 4800rpm
  Compression ratio : 12:1
  New technologies : CVVT, Engine body in Alu
  EuroV
Chery

Chery ACTECO séries (Gasoline & Diesel)
Co-developed by AVL
3 types :
  Small Gasoline: 0.8L (3 cylinders) to 1.3L (4 cylinders)
  Medium & big Gasoline : 1.6L (4 cylinders) to 4L (V8)
  Diesel : 1.3L (3 cylinders) to 2.9L (V6)
Machining lines & assembly lines : German technologies
R&D investment : 30M RMB (~35M€)
General view

    Focus on engines for passenger cars

                                CO2 in decreasing




Small natural aspirated
   engine : Harbin                     Turbo & injection
 Dong’an Engine group                      directe :
                                          GW & BYD

                   masse reduction &
                   air-intake system
                     optimization:
                     Chery & Geely

•   Low cost & low technologies
•   Big investment in buying advanced process lines & outsourcing R&D
BYD (Build Your Dream)

• BYD relied on Mitsubishi engine
• Reverse engineering of VW 1.4L TSI engine
Great Wall

The best technologies to ensure & attract Chinese customers (engine
power etc.)
  VVT, Oil spray nozzle (new technology?)
  Piston coating
  Etc…
Great Wall

The best technologies to ensure & attract Chinese customers
Working with international suppliers to ensure the quality
R&D development : 27 months
General view

    Focus on engines for passenger cars

                                CO2 in decreasing




Small natural aspirated
   engine : Harbin                     Turbo & injection
 Dong’an Engine group                      directe :
                                          GW & BYD

                   masse reduction &                               Electrical & Hybride :
                   air-intake system                                        BYD
                     optimization:
                     Chery & Geely

•   Low cost & low technologies
•   Big investment in buying advanced process lines & outsourcing R&D
•   Reverse engineering & dependency on international suppliers
Electrical & Hybrid

BYD hybrid engine : Dual mode & Dual mode II (Beijing 2012 Auto Show)
Battery : LiFePo4 (lithium iron phosphate) battery (recharging cycles limited = 4000)
   Dual mode I : 16kwh for 97km
   Dual mode II : 10kwh for 50km
Powertrain :
   Dual mode I : 1L engine + 75kW (50 + 25) electrical motors
   Dual mode II : 1.5L engine + 110kW electrical motors
Poor sales performance :
   High cost even after governmental incentives
   Lack of infrastructure
   Unreliable batteries…
The “high price” is one big obstacle to Chinese consumers, which includes
essentially the battery.
Electrical vehicles?
Electrical & Hybrid

Electrical cars promoted by Chinese government :
  Hope of dominating with own technology and global brands
  $15 billion investment in order to be one of the leading producer in next 10 years
  $8.000~9.000 / car (for $20.000 sell price in average)
Producers :
  BYD (battery producer originally) : E6
  Weihai EV R&D Co. supported by Chinese government => Lujo BB passed EEC regulations
  in 2010
  JV with foreign carmakers : DongFeng / Nissan, BYD / Daimler
Difficulties :
  Consumers’ economic interests VS government’s interest (BYD ambition reviewed)
  Modest R&D research budget (JV politics : Chinese company in major parts, one of three
  core technologies)
  High prices and insufficient infrastructure (battery)
Electrical & Hybrid

Batteries technology comparison
Electrical & Hybrid

Batteries technology comparison
Resume

• Traditional heat engine :
  •   Natural aspirated engine : Low cost & modest technologies
  •   Turbo direct injection :
      •   High dependency on international R&D partners & suppliers
      •   Reverse engineering or buy technologies with patents
  •   Diesel engine : few application in passenger cars


• Electrical vehicles
  •   Big ambition and high investment
  •   Poor market results with high selling prices (especially battery)
  •   Co-development with international OEMs
  •   Some battery technology, but not the most advanced


• Alternative solutions
      Natural gas : 8.3% by 2015 according to 5-years plan
      others
But, successful story…

Case study : Chery
  Equipment supplier


Keys of success
  Independency & autonomy from state-owned companies
  Talent force :
     Local talent’s training via jointed development
     Oversea returners from foreign companies
  Reverse engineering
     At the beginning, bought an engine assembly from British Ford at $25M
  Outsourcing & jointed development
     AVL for heat engines & Ricardo for Hybrid engines
     Pininfarina & Bertone for design
China : always a high potential market?

Positive points:
  Lower vehicle ownership
  Chinese customers’ demand & taste : Social position, berline etc.
  Chinese infrastructure investment
  International pressure on CO2 emission and pollution in China
  Chinese middle class growth
Pay attention to :
  Chinese manufacturing industry slowing down in 2012
  Chinese government politics :
     Number of new vehicles sells limited in Beijing (soon in other cities?)
     Foreign investment in JV limited from beginning of 2012
  International OEM need a global strategy
     HQ of GM in Shanghai, new Toyota R&D center etc.
  Local OEM growth (JVs and independent ones)
  Anticipation to tomorrow’s solution of mobility : technology & innovation in China?

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Chinese Automotive market

  • 1. General introduction to Chinese Automotive market IFP SCHOOL 28TH JUNE 2012
  • 2. Summary General information about China & Chinese Market International OEMs’ situation & challenge Chinese OEMs’ ambition Chinese Automotive Engine Industry
  • 3. General information about China & Chinese market Youtube Link : 10 minutes to know about China http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IvEVEIzmYBc
  • 4. General information about China & Chinese market Big concentration in urban areas, especially in cities on the coast 2nd and 3rd category cities in development with government politics
  • 5. General information about China & Chinese market Big concentration in urban areas, especially in cities on the coast 2nd and 3rd category cities in development with government politics Vehicle ownership : far away from Japan, Europe or USA levels
  • 6. General information about China & Chinese market In 2011, 80% of customers are first-time purchasers
  • 7. General information about China & Chinese market In 2011, 80% of customers are first-time purchasers The average age of the customers is younger in China. (26yrs for BMW owners)
  • 8. General information about China & Chinese market In 2011, 80% of customers are first-time purchasers The average age of the customers is younger in China. (26yrs for BMW owners) The taste of luxury and the « big brands » are generally welcomed. (BMW, Audi, Mercedes etc…)
  • 9. Summary General information about China & Chinese Market International OEMs’ situation & challenge Chinese OEMs’ ambition Chinese Automotive Engine Industry
  • 10. Challenges of international OEMs Leaders in Chinese market ~= leaders in Automotive Industry VW, GM, Toyota. Good performance for Korean OEM : Hyundai Group But… Source : VW Group China
  • 11. Challenges of international OEMs Chinese government ambition : to have at least one international-scale OEM in TOP10 by 2020 Limit the foreign investment in China, typically in JV in order to increase the local OEM market shares from 2012 Hope on « Big Four » : SAIC, BAIC, DongFeng & Chang’An
  • 12. Challenges of international OEMs Global long-term strategy including Chinese market with its particularity Introduction of the newest technology & global product program
  • 13. Challenges of international OEMs Shift of business network to 2nd or 3rd tiers cities
  • 14. Challenges of international OEMs Chinese government politics. Local OEM growth Global long-term strategy including Chinese market with another dimension Shift to 2nd or 3rd tier cities with low volume (business network and infrastructure) Satisfy the special Chinese taste : for example, A4L, A6L Knowledge sharing : newest technology appreciated Local talents management Turnover at about 20% in average. Experience generally appreciated in international big companies with a final goal to work for Chinese local ones. Environment pressure : CO2 (160g/km against 120g/km in Europe => 2015 target) E-mobility
  • 15. Summary General information about China & Chinese Market International OEMs’ situation & challenge Chinese OEMs’ ambition Chinese Automotive Engine Industry
  • 16. Chinese OEMs’ ambition Chinese government politic Local OEM in JV : Big Four Local independent OEM: BYD (means « Bluid your dream »), Chery, Geely (& Volvo) Chinese local OEMs (not in JV) produce « low cost » vehicles up to now (same strategy as Japanese's Toyota or Honda, as Korean Hyundai-Kia etc) Marketing & brand issue Technology issue Investment issue Last but not least…
  • 17. Chinese OEMs’ ambition Chinese government politic Local OEM in JV : Big Four Local OEM without JV : BYD (means « Bluid your dream »), Chery, Geely (& Volvo) Chinese local OEMs (not in JV) produce « low cost » vehicles up to now (same strategy as Japanese's Toyota or Honda, as Korean Hyundai-Kia etc) Marketing & brand issue Technology issue Investment issue Last but not least : quality issue
  • 18. Chinese OEMs’ ambition What do they do? Upscaling & Marketing effect : Chery creates new luxury brands Technology : Chinese politics demand a local new brand of JV. GM-SAIC : Baojun M&A (Geely and Volvo) : to improve brand image of Geely Reverse engineering Domination in a new field : Electrical vehicles
  • 19. Summary General information about China & Chinese Market International OEMs’ situation & challenge Chinese OEMs’ ambition Chinese Automotive Engine Industry
  • 20. General view Focus on engines for passenger cars CO2 in decreasing Natural aspirated engine : Harbin Dong’an Engine group
  • 21. Naturel aspirated engine Harbin Dong’an Engine Group Independent supplier of engines Example : 4G18 Technical characteristic : In-line 4 cylinders, 4-strokes, 16 valves, SOHC 74kW @ 6000rpm and 136Nm @ 4500rpm Compression ratio : 9.5 :1 Pollution : EuroIII Cars application : BYD F3, Haima Family, +: Low-cost engine, accessible for local brands Gasoline consumption Since 1996 -: Low-cost vehicles, lack of power No newest technology
  • 22. General view Focus on engines for passenger cars CO2 in decreasing Small natural aspirated engine : Harbin Dong’an Engine group masse reduction & air-intake system optimization: Chery & Geely • Low cost & low technologies
  • 23. Geely Geely 4G (improvement from Dong’an 4G series) -> GeTec Technical characteristics of 4G15D: 1.5l, in-line 4 cylinders, 4-strokes, 16 valves, DOHC 78kW @ 6200rpm,135Nm @ 4800rpm Compression ratio : 12:1 New technologies : CVVT, Engine body in Alu EuroV
  • 24. Chery Chery ACTECO séries (Gasoline & Diesel) Co-developed by AVL 3 types : Small Gasoline: 0.8L (3 cylinders) to 1.3L (4 cylinders) Medium & big Gasoline : 1.6L (4 cylinders) to 4L (V8) Diesel : 1.3L (3 cylinders) to 2.9L (V6) Machining lines & assembly lines : German technologies R&D investment : 30M RMB (~35M€)
  • 25. General view Focus on engines for passenger cars CO2 in decreasing Small natural aspirated engine : Harbin Turbo & injection Dong’an Engine group directe : GW & BYD masse reduction & air-intake system optimization: Chery & Geely • Low cost & low technologies • Big investment in buying advanced process lines & outsourcing R&D
  • 26. BYD (Build Your Dream) • BYD relied on Mitsubishi engine • Reverse engineering of VW 1.4L TSI engine
  • 27. Great Wall The best technologies to ensure & attract Chinese customers (engine power etc.) VVT, Oil spray nozzle (new technology?) Piston coating Etc…
  • 28. Great Wall The best technologies to ensure & attract Chinese customers Working with international suppliers to ensure the quality R&D development : 27 months
  • 29. General view Focus on engines for passenger cars CO2 in decreasing Small natural aspirated engine : Harbin Turbo & injection Dong’an Engine group directe : GW & BYD masse reduction & Electrical & Hybride : air-intake system BYD optimization: Chery & Geely • Low cost & low technologies • Big investment in buying advanced process lines & outsourcing R&D • Reverse engineering & dependency on international suppliers
  • 30. Electrical & Hybrid BYD hybrid engine : Dual mode & Dual mode II (Beijing 2012 Auto Show) Battery : LiFePo4 (lithium iron phosphate) battery (recharging cycles limited = 4000) Dual mode I : 16kwh for 97km Dual mode II : 10kwh for 50km Powertrain : Dual mode I : 1L engine + 75kW (50 + 25) electrical motors Dual mode II : 1.5L engine + 110kW electrical motors Poor sales performance : High cost even after governmental incentives Lack of infrastructure Unreliable batteries… The “high price” is one big obstacle to Chinese consumers, which includes essentially the battery. Electrical vehicles?
  • 31. Electrical & Hybrid Electrical cars promoted by Chinese government : Hope of dominating with own technology and global brands $15 billion investment in order to be one of the leading producer in next 10 years $8.000~9.000 / car (for $20.000 sell price in average) Producers : BYD (battery producer originally) : E6 Weihai EV R&D Co. supported by Chinese government => Lujo BB passed EEC regulations in 2010 JV with foreign carmakers : DongFeng / Nissan, BYD / Daimler Difficulties : Consumers’ economic interests VS government’s interest (BYD ambition reviewed) Modest R&D research budget (JV politics : Chinese company in major parts, one of three core technologies) High prices and insufficient infrastructure (battery)
  • 32. Electrical & Hybrid Batteries technology comparison
  • 33. Electrical & Hybrid Batteries technology comparison
  • 34. Resume • Traditional heat engine : • Natural aspirated engine : Low cost & modest technologies • Turbo direct injection : • High dependency on international R&D partners & suppliers • Reverse engineering or buy technologies with patents • Diesel engine : few application in passenger cars • Electrical vehicles • Big ambition and high investment • Poor market results with high selling prices (especially battery) • Co-development with international OEMs • Some battery technology, but not the most advanced • Alternative solutions Natural gas : 8.3% by 2015 according to 5-years plan others
  • 35. But, successful story… Case study : Chery Equipment supplier Keys of success Independency & autonomy from state-owned companies Talent force : Local talent’s training via jointed development Oversea returners from foreign companies Reverse engineering At the beginning, bought an engine assembly from British Ford at $25M Outsourcing & jointed development AVL for heat engines & Ricardo for Hybrid engines Pininfarina & Bertone for design
  • 36. China : always a high potential market? Positive points: Lower vehicle ownership Chinese customers’ demand & taste : Social position, berline etc. Chinese infrastructure investment International pressure on CO2 emission and pollution in China Chinese middle class growth Pay attention to : Chinese manufacturing industry slowing down in 2012 Chinese government politics : Number of new vehicles sells limited in Beijing (soon in other cities?) Foreign investment in JV limited from beginning of 2012 International OEM need a global strategy HQ of GM in Shanghai, new Toyota R&D center etc. Local OEM growth (JVs and independent ones) Anticipation to tomorrow’s solution of mobility : technology & innovation in China?