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Decision Making
is a choice made between two or
more alternatives. It is choosing the
best alternative to reach the
predetermined objective. Thus
decision-making is a process of
identifying and selecting a course of
action to solve specific problem.
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Another definition :
A systematic approach to defining
the problem and creating a vast number
of possible solutions without judging
these solutions.
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• Types of Decisions :
1. Programmed decisions: repetitive and
routine decisions.
• Decision’s rule identifies the situation and
specifies how the decision will be made.
2. Non-programmed decisions
• Decisions made in complex and non-
routine situations.
– Problem hasn’t arisen before.
– It is difficult to define problem’s nature and
structure.
– Problem is important and requires a unique
solution.
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Major Decision-Making
Process
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Step 1: Identify the decision to be made.
You realize that a decision must
be made. You then go through an
internal process of trying to define
clearly the nature of the decision
you must make. This first step is a
very important one.
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Step 2: Gather relevant information.
Most decisions require collecting pertinent
information. The real trick in this step is to know
what information is needed, the best sources of
this information, and how to go about getting it.
Some information must be sought from within
yourself through a process of self-assessment;
other information must be sought from outside
yourself-from books, people, and a variety of other
sources. This step, therefore, involves both
internal and external “work”.
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Step3:Identify alternatives.
Through the process of collecting
information you will probably identify
several possible paths of action, or
alternatives. You may also use your
imagination and information to
construct new alternatives. In this
step of the decision-making process,
you will list all possible and desirable
alternatives.
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Step 4: Weigh evidence.
In this step, you draw on your information and
emotions to imagine what it would be like if you
carried out each of the alternatives to the end.
You must evaluate whether the need identified in
Step 1 would be helped or solved through the
use of each alternative. In going through this
difficult internal process, you begin to favor
certain alternatives which appear to have higher
potential for reaching your goal. Eventually you
are able to place the alternatives in priority order,
based upon your own value system.
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Step5:Choose among alternatives.
Once you have weighed all the
evidence, you are ready to select the
alternative which seems to be best
suited to you. You may even choose a
combination of alternatives. Your
choice in Step 5 may very likely be the
same or similar to the alternative you
placed at the top of your list at the end
of Step 4.
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Step 6: Take action.
You now take some positive
action which begins to
implement the alternative you
chose in Step 5.
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Step 7: Review decision and consequences.
In the last step you experience the results of
your decision and evaluate whether or not it has
“solved” the need you identified in Step 1. If it
has, you may stay with this decision for some
period of time. If the decision has not resolved
the identified need, you may repeat certain steps
of the process in order to make a new decision.
You may, for example, gather more detailed or
somewhat different information or discover
additional alternatives on which to base your
decision.
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Problem Solving
• Problem Solving
– The conscious process of closing the gap between
actual and desired situations.
– Problem solving is a Cognitive Processing directed at
achieving a goal where no solution method is obvious
to the problem solver.
Problem solving is the mental process you follow when you
have a goal but can’t immediately understand how to achieve it.
It’s a process that depends on you – how you perceive a
problem, what you know about it, and the end-state you want to
reach.
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• Solving a problem involves a number of cognitive
activities:
1. ascertaining what the problem really is
2. identifying the true causes of your problem and the
opportunities for reaching your goal
3. generating creative solutions to the problem
4. evaluating and choosing the best solution, and
implementing the best solution, then monitoring your
actions and their results to ensure the problem is
solved successfully.
Clearly, problem solving isn't a one-step process. Your
success will depend on whether you approach and
implement each of the stages effectively. The best way to
do this is to use a well-established, systematic problem-
solving model.
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The steps in the problem-solving model are as
follows:
1.Define the problem
– Defining the problem is a crucial step that involves
digging deeper to identify what it is that needs to be
solved. The more clearly a problem is defined, the easier
you’ll find it to complete subsequent steps. A symptom is
a phenomenon or circumstance that results from a
deeper, underlying condition. It’s common to mistake
symptoms for problems themselves – and so to waste a
lot of time and effort on tackling consequences of
problems instead of their causes. To define a problem,
you can use gap analysis, which involves comparing your
current state to the future state you want to be in, to
identify the gaps between them.
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2.Analyze the problem
– You decide what type of problem it is – whether there’s a
clear barrier or circumstance you need to overcome, or
whether you need to determine how to reach a goal. You
then dig to the root causes of the problem, and detail the
nature of the gap between where you are and where you
want to be. The five-why analysis is a tool that’ll help you
get to the heart of the problem. Ask “Why?” a number of
times to dig through each layer of symptoms and so to
arrive at the problem’s root cause. You can get to the root of
a more complicated problem using a cause-and-effect
diagram. A cause is something that produces an effect,
result, or consequence – or what contributed to the current
state of affairs. Categories of causes include people, time,
and the environment.
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3.Identify as many potential
solutions as you can
– Brainstorm creatively ask lots of
questions about the who, what,
where, when, and how of the causes
to point to various possibilities. Don’t
limit yourself by considering
practicalities at this stage; simply
record your ideas
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4.Choose the best solution
– In evaluating your ideas, more
options could present themselves. You
could do this by rating each possible
solution you came up with in step 3
according to criteria such as how
effective it will be, how much time or
effort it will take, its cost, and how
likely it is to satisfy stakeholders
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5.Plan of action
– During this step, you determine what steps must be
taken, designating tasks where necessary. And you decide
on deadlines for completing the actions and estimate the
costs of implementing them. You also create a contingency
plan in case of unforeseen circumstances so that if
anything goes wrong with your plan, you have a “plan B” in
place. Typically, this stage involves narrowing down the
possible ways to implement the solution you’ve chosen,
based on any constraints that apply. You also should draw
up an action plan. The complexity of the plan will depend
on the situation, but it should include the who, what, and
when of your proposed solution.
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6.Implement the solution
– This is an ongoing process.
You need to ensure the required
resources remain available and
monitor progress in solving the
problem; otherwise, all the work
you’ve done might be for nothing
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Remember that this model is
highly adaptable. Although you
shouldn’t skip any of the six
steps, you can tailor the
amount of time you spend on
each stage based on the
demands of your unique
situation.

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Dicition making 5

  • 1. - - 2 Decision Making is a choice made between two or more alternatives. It is choosing the best alternative to reach the predetermined objective. Thus decision-making is a process of identifying and selecting a course of action to solve specific problem.
  • 2. - - 3 Another definition : A systematic approach to defining the problem and creating a vast number of possible solutions without judging these solutions.
  • 3. - - 4 • Types of Decisions : 1. Programmed decisions: repetitive and routine decisions. • Decision’s rule identifies the situation and specifies how the decision will be made. 2. Non-programmed decisions • Decisions made in complex and non- routine situations. – Problem hasn’t arisen before. – It is difficult to define problem’s nature and structure. – Problem is important and requires a unique solution.
  • 6. - - 7 Step 1: Identify the decision to be made. You realize that a decision must be made. You then go through an internal process of trying to define clearly the nature of the decision you must make. This first step is a very important one.
  • 7. - - 8 Step 2: Gather relevant information. Most decisions require collecting pertinent information. The real trick in this step is to know what information is needed, the best sources of this information, and how to go about getting it. Some information must be sought from within yourself through a process of self-assessment; other information must be sought from outside yourself-from books, people, and a variety of other sources. This step, therefore, involves both internal and external “work”.
  • 8. - - 9 Step3:Identify alternatives. Through the process of collecting information you will probably identify several possible paths of action, or alternatives. You may also use your imagination and information to construct new alternatives. In this step of the decision-making process, you will list all possible and desirable alternatives.
  • 9. - - 10 Step 4: Weigh evidence. In this step, you draw on your information and emotions to imagine what it would be like if you carried out each of the alternatives to the end. You must evaluate whether the need identified in Step 1 would be helped or solved through the use of each alternative. In going through this difficult internal process, you begin to favor certain alternatives which appear to have higher potential for reaching your goal. Eventually you are able to place the alternatives in priority order, based upon your own value system.
  • 10. - - 11 Step5:Choose among alternatives. Once you have weighed all the evidence, you are ready to select the alternative which seems to be best suited to you. You may even choose a combination of alternatives. Your choice in Step 5 may very likely be the same or similar to the alternative you placed at the top of your list at the end of Step 4.
  • 11. - - 12 Step 6: Take action. You now take some positive action which begins to implement the alternative you chose in Step 5.
  • 12. - - 13 Step 7: Review decision and consequences. In the last step you experience the results of your decision and evaluate whether or not it has “solved” the need you identified in Step 1. If it has, you may stay with this decision for some period of time. If the decision has not resolved the identified need, you may repeat certain steps of the process in order to make a new decision. You may, for example, gather more detailed or somewhat different information or discover additional alternatives on which to base your decision.
  • 13. - - 14 Problem Solving • Problem Solving – The conscious process of closing the gap between actual and desired situations. – Problem solving is a Cognitive Processing directed at achieving a goal where no solution method is obvious to the problem solver. Problem solving is the mental process you follow when you have a goal but can’t immediately understand how to achieve it. It’s a process that depends on you – how you perceive a problem, what you know about it, and the end-state you want to reach.
  • 14. - - 15 • Solving a problem involves a number of cognitive activities: 1. ascertaining what the problem really is 2. identifying the true causes of your problem and the opportunities for reaching your goal 3. generating creative solutions to the problem 4. evaluating and choosing the best solution, and implementing the best solution, then monitoring your actions and their results to ensure the problem is solved successfully. Clearly, problem solving isn't a one-step process. Your success will depend on whether you approach and implement each of the stages effectively. The best way to do this is to use a well-established, systematic problem- solving model.
  • 15. - - 16 The steps in the problem-solving model are as follows: 1.Define the problem – Defining the problem is a crucial step that involves digging deeper to identify what it is that needs to be solved. The more clearly a problem is defined, the easier you’ll find it to complete subsequent steps. A symptom is a phenomenon or circumstance that results from a deeper, underlying condition. It’s common to mistake symptoms for problems themselves – and so to waste a lot of time and effort on tackling consequences of problems instead of their causes. To define a problem, you can use gap analysis, which involves comparing your current state to the future state you want to be in, to identify the gaps between them.
  • 16. - - 17 2.Analyze the problem – You decide what type of problem it is – whether there’s a clear barrier or circumstance you need to overcome, or whether you need to determine how to reach a goal. You then dig to the root causes of the problem, and detail the nature of the gap between where you are and where you want to be. The five-why analysis is a tool that’ll help you get to the heart of the problem. Ask “Why?” a number of times to dig through each layer of symptoms and so to arrive at the problem’s root cause. You can get to the root of a more complicated problem using a cause-and-effect diagram. A cause is something that produces an effect, result, or consequence – or what contributed to the current state of affairs. Categories of causes include people, time, and the environment.
  • 17. - - 18 3.Identify as many potential solutions as you can – Brainstorm creatively ask lots of questions about the who, what, where, when, and how of the causes to point to various possibilities. Don’t limit yourself by considering practicalities at this stage; simply record your ideas
  • 18. - - 19 4.Choose the best solution – In evaluating your ideas, more options could present themselves. You could do this by rating each possible solution you came up with in step 3 according to criteria such as how effective it will be, how much time or effort it will take, its cost, and how likely it is to satisfy stakeholders
  • 19. - - 20 5.Plan of action – During this step, you determine what steps must be taken, designating tasks where necessary. And you decide on deadlines for completing the actions and estimate the costs of implementing them. You also create a contingency plan in case of unforeseen circumstances so that if anything goes wrong with your plan, you have a “plan B” in place. Typically, this stage involves narrowing down the possible ways to implement the solution you’ve chosen, based on any constraints that apply. You also should draw up an action plan. The complexity of the plan will depend on the situation, but it should include the who, what, and when of your proposed solution.
  • 20. - - 21 6.Implement the solution – This is an ongoing process. You need to ensure the required resources remain available and monitor progress in solving the problem; otherwise, all the work you’ve done might be for nothing
  • 21. - - 22 Remember that this model is highly adaptable. Although you shouldn’t skip any of the six steps, you can tailor the amount of time you spend on each stage based on the demands of your unique situation.