Mf report summary presentation
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A summary of the Salvation Army's Mixed Fortunes report (May 2015) from a Tairāwhiti perspective, and local action to date in response to the report.
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Mf report summary presentation
- 2. Key findings: • significant differences between regions • Gisborne/Tairāwhi9 and Northland rank poorly on most indicators compared to the rest of the country • inequali9es between regions are growing not shrinking • central government economic policy since mid-‐1980s is largely responsible for these growing dispari9es • current policies will con9nue the trend and may threaten na9onal unity and na9onhood • posi9ve change is possible
- 3. REPORT OVERVIEW „ Considers social & economic outcomes across four themes - People & Population - Children & Youth - Work & Income - Social Hazards & Safety „ Rankings & league tables used - Limitations are around unlike comparisons and amplifying small differences - Advantages are around highlighting extremes and links „ Critiques government’s growth model & underlying economic theory „ Considers structural changes in population & local government „ Offers some suggested starting points for change
- 4. KEY FEATURES OF GISBORNE’S POPULATION „ Young with high fertility rate „ Not aging quickly but hardly growing at all „ Lowest life expectancy „ Probably become majority Maori by 2020
- 5. KEY FEATURES OF GISBORNE’S CHILD & YOUTH WELLBEING „ Appears to be systemic problems around engagement & retention in education „ Encouraging progress around National Standards „ However this isn’t translating into more qualified school leavers „ High rates youth unemployment although this might be more related to local economic conditions rather poor qualifications „ Child safety outcomes close to NZ averages
- 6. KEY FEATURES OF GISBORNE’S WORK & INCOME „ High rates of unemployment & low rate of job growth „ Low levels of workforce participation „ Low household income but OK for those in work „ Situation shared with most North Island regions outside of Auckland, Taranaki and Wellington
- 7. KEY FEATURES OF GISBORNE’S SOCIAL HAZARDS & SAFETY „ Average results around pokies „ High rates of drug related crime might be due to isolation & local climate making Gisborne a centre of production „ Accident rates worst in country „ Home safety worst in country but may be due to reporting and recording patterns
- 9. KEY FEATURES OF GROWTH MODEL „ Extending property rights – especially into water „ Correcting market failure through subsidies – especially in R&D „ Reducing regulation & compliance costs „ Providing ‘public goods’ – especially infrastructure „ Minimal concern for distributional issues – relying on trickle down (note: IMF report, June 2015)
- 10. URBAN AGGLOMERATION • Big get bigger due to increasing returns to scale • Economy more productive leads to higher wages • Higher wages attracts more skilled workers, etc. DIVERGENCE • Congestion & high living costs make large cities less appealing • People shift elsewhere for better lifestyle • Wages rise with more economic activity outside of large cities
- 11. CONCLUSIONS: „ QUESTION OF BLAME – regional inequality is not the fault of individual regions but of the growth model being pursued „ DISTRIBUTION – any growth model should be concerned with distributional questions and with geography „ A PLAN – a long term plan or strategy is required perhaps along the lines of the UN’s sustainable development goals „ USE CHANGE – some historical societal change is on us and we could use this as the basis of upfront investment rather than catch-up responses to crisis
- 12. RECOMMENDATIONS: • goals - have national [and regional] development goals to direct our efforts • plans – plan for the social and environmental changes we already face • technological change and institutional reforms – use technology better and improve our decision-making processes
- 13. LOCAL RESPONSE SO FAR: 5th June – Public Mee:ng with presenta9ons from authors and local leaders, then small group delibera9on on priority issues
- 14. LOCAL RESPONSE SO FAR: 19th June – working groups focused on top 4 issues: 1. Influencing central government 2. Improving local services 3. Amplifying marginalised voices 4. Communica9on & community engagement
- 15. LOCAL RESPONSE SO FAR: 30th June – updates from Ac9on Groups: 1. Influencing central government 2. Improving local services 3. Amplifying marginalised voices 4. Communica9on & community engagement
- 16. OTHER INITIATIVES: -‐ Homeless Coali:on NEXT MEETING: -‐ 21 July, 12pm at Salva:on Army