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June
1
CLIENT CONFIDENTIAL
Copyright © Maravedis-Rethink 2013
MOSA webinar:
Pushing LTE to the next level
June 18th, 2013
Konstantin Yurganov, CTO,
Yota Networks
Caroline Gabriel, Research Director,
Maravedis-Rethink
Maksim Kumskoy, Senior Expert in
Mobile Communications,
Yota Networks
CLIENT CONFIDENTIAL
Copyright © Maravedis-Rethink 2013
www.maravedis-bwa.com
2
June
2013
Copyright © Maravedis Inc 2013.
www.maravedis-bwa.com
Key findings: Maravedis-Rethink RAN and MOSA
 Trends and challenges in HetNet
 Early moves towards LTE-Advanced
MOSA highlights
Operator presentation: Yota Networks
 Pushing LTE to the next level
Speakers: Konstantin Yurganov, CTO
&
Maksim Kumskoy, Senior expert in Mobile
Communications
Q&A
Agenda
Using the Webinar Interface
a) Attendee List (only your name)
b) Grab Tab – click arrow to open/close Control Panel.
Click square to toggle Viewer Window between full
screen/window mode.
c) Audio pane – select audio format. Click Audio Setup to
select Mic & Speakers.
d) You can submit questions and review answers. Type
your question and click Send to submit it to the
organizer.
Commonly Asked Questions
• Can I obtain the slides?
– Yes – Attendees will receive an email after the webinar
with a link to download a PDF version of the
presentation slides
– This event is also being recorded. You will be sent a link
to watch the recorded webcast within the next 2
business days.
• Where can I obtain more information about the
research discussed today?
– For information, please visit the Maravedis website at
www.Maravedis-BWA.com
CLIENT CONFIDENTIAL
Copyright © Maravedis-Rethink 2013
www.maravedis-bwa.com
5
Small cells and HetNet can change the economics
The need for new networks
June
2013
Copyright © Maravedis Inc 2013.
www.maravedis-bwa.com
Solutions for capacity crunch:
• Reduce cost of delivering data (average
carrier target 50% lower by 2017) with new
network architectures
• This involves lower cost hardware and a
greater reliance on intelligent networks
• Allocate network resources more flexibly as
required
• Use a combination of spectrum bands as no
single band will have sufficient capacity
• Integrate licence exempt technologies like
Wi-Fi
All these objectives may be helped by adopting a
HetNet strategy
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
%contributiontospectrumcapacity
2013 2017
CLIENT CONFIDENTIAL
Copyright © Maravedis-Rethink 2013
www.maravedis-bwa.com
6
Need to address gap between early adopters and mass market adoption
Will LTE-A kickstart small cells?
June
2013
Copyright © Maravedis Inc 2013.
www.maravedis-bwa.com
• Considerable progress and
growth but still challenges to
achieve critical mass
• Requirements:
• SoC platforms
• Site processes
• Neutral host approaches
• LTE-A provides some critical help:
• eICIC
• Standardized SON
• Challenges:
• SON roaming
• Macro incumbents
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
,000units
Indoor Outdoor
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
,000units
Indoor Outdoor
CLIENT CONFIDENTIAL
Copyright © Maravedis-Rethink 2013
www.maravedis-bwa.com
7
In a menu of options, some will gain rapid adoption for small cells
The move towards LTE-Advanced
June
2013
Copyright © Maravedis Inc 2013.
www.maravedis-bwa.com
• Areas with most attention drive:
• Small cells
• Spectral efficiency
• Some cutting edge deployments
• Mass uptake needs:
• Devices
• Confidence
• IoT
• Focus shifts to software
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Multiband
CA
eICIC CoMP LTE Relay LTE
Broadcast
4x4 MIMO 8x8 MIMO Release 11
%ofLTEbasestationsshipped
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
CLIENT CONFIDENTIAL
Copyright © Maravedis-Rethink 2013
www.maravedis-bwa.com
8
Increased investment in intelligence and adaptive networks
Emerging network software technologies
June
2013
Copyright © Maravedis Inc 2013.
www.maravedis-bwa.com
• Differentiation moves from
hardware, to intelligence from core
to backhaul to edge
• Key trends to watch:
• RAN caching
• Emergence of carrier SDN
• Cell breathing
• Optimization
• SON
9
MOSA:
The Mobile Operator
Strategy Analysis
Service
www.maravedis-bwa.com
Copyright © Maravedis Inc 2013.
CLIENT CONFIDENTIAL
10
MOSA stands for Mobile Operator
Strategy Analysis. MOSA is the
ONLY exclusive Operator Tracking
Service focusing on the leading
100 4G operator wireless
infrastructure strategies
www.maravedis-bwa.com
Copyright © Maravedis Inc 2013.
CLIENT CONFIDENTIAL
Copyright © Maravedis Inc 2012.
www.maravedis-bwa.com
Copyright © Maravedis Inc 2013.
CLIENT CONFIDENTIAL
MOSA Coverage
Macro RAN Small Cells & WiFi Backhaul
Global SpectrumCore Network SWOT & Ranking
MOSA Matrix
• Top 100 4G operators analyzed against 10 key trends identified by MaRe for their impact on the 4G business case
• Small cells and HetNet
• Cloud-RAN/distributed RAN
• Advanced Backhaul Strategies
• Carrier Wi-Fi
• TD-LTE
• Evolved Packet Core
• Caching and Video Traffic
• RCS, Voice and VoLTE
• LTE-A key features (Carrier aggregation, MIMO, CoMP)
• SON and Virtualization
12
DRIVERS CHALLENGES SOLUTIONS
Structure of MOSA
In each key topic area, gold
standard operators selected
and analyzed in depth for
their market leadership in the
area. The business case and
prospects of others are
assessed against the same
criteria.
www.maravedis-bwa.com
Copyright © Maravedis Inc 2013.
CLIENT CONFIDENTIAL
13
www.maravedis-bwa.com
Copyright © Maravedis Inc 2013.
CLIENT CONFIDENTIAL
CAPEX
• Macro Cells,
• Micro Cells
• Metro Cells
• Backhaul links
• By band/mode
Cell Sites
• Urban/Rural split
• Spectrum Band
• Mode and existing 3G
• Operator Plans
• Average Selling Price
• RRH, LTE-A features, C-RAN, AAS
Subscriber
Forecasts
• Cell Loading
• Operator Input
Sources: Operator interviews, Vendor estimates, Regulatory data, Models, Secondary research
Copyright © Maravedis Inc 2012.
www.maravedis-bwa.com
Copyright © Maravedis Inc 2013.
CLIENT CONFIDENTIAL
MOSA Deliverables:
Infrastructure Profiles (PDF) Quarterly Reports (PPT)
Quarterly Master File (Excel)Briefings, Analyst Support
15
www.maravedis-bwa.com
Copyright © Maravedis Inc 2013.
CLIENT CONFIDENTIAL
Contact Information
www.linkedin.com/in/adlanefellah
www.twitter.com/maravedis
MaravedisRethink
info@maravedis-bwa.com
http://www.maravedis-bwa.com
http://www.rethinkresearch.biz/
(305) 865-1006
(514) 313-5656
Adlane Fellah, Customer Engagement
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Pushing LTE to the next level featuring Yota

  • 1. June 1 CLIENT CONFIDENTIAL Copyright © Maravedis-Rethink 2013 MOSA webinar: Pushing LTE to the next level June 18th, 2013 Konstantin Yurganov, CTO, Yota Networks Caroline Gabriel, Research Director, Maravedis-Rethink Maksim Kumskoy, Senior Expert in Mobile Communications, Yota Networks
  • 2. CLIENT CONFIDENTIAL Copyright © Maravedis-Rethink 2013 www.maravedis-bwa.com 2 June 2013 Copyright © Maravedis Inc 2013. www.maravedis-bwa.com Key findings: Maravedis-Rethink RAN and MOSA  Trends and challenges in HetNet  Early moves towards LTE-Advanced MOSA highlights Operator presentation: Yota Networks  Pushing LTE to the next level Speakers: Konstantin Yurganov, CTO & Maksim Kumskoy, Senior expert in Mobile Communications Q&A Agenda
  • 3. Using the Webinar Interface a) Attendee List (only your name) b) Grab Tab – click arrow to open/close Control Panel. Click square to toggle Viewer Window between full screen/window mode. c) Audio pane – select audio format. Click Audio Setup to select Mic & Speakers. d) You can submit questions and review answers. Type your question and click Send to submit it to the organizer.
  • 4. Commonly Asked Questions • Can I obtain the slides? – Yes – Attendees will receive an email after the webinar with a link to download a PDF version of the presentation slides – This event is also being recorded. You will be sent a link to watch the recorded webcast within the next 2 business days. • Where can I obtain more information about the research discussed today? – For information, please visit the Maravedis website at www.Maravedis-BWA.com
  • 5. CLIENT CONFIDENTIAL Copyright © Maravedis-Rethink 2013 www.maravedis-bwa.com 5 Small cells and HetNet can change the economics The need for new networks June 2013 Copyright © Maravedis Inc 2013. www.maravedis-bwa.com Solutions for capacity crunch: • Reduce cost of delivering data (average carrier target 50% lower by 2017) with new network architectures • This involves lower cost hardware and a greater reliance on intelligent networks • Allocate network resources more flexibly as required • Use a combination of spectrum bands as no single band will have sufficient capacity • Integrate licence exempt technologies like Wi-Fi All these objectives may be helped by adopting a HetNet strategy 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 %contributiontospectrumcapacity 2013 2017
  • 6. CLIENT CONFIDENTIAL Copyright © Maravedis-Rethink 2013 www.maravedis-bwa.com 6 Need to address gap between early adopters and mass market adoption Will LTE-A kickstart small cells? June 2013 Copyright © Maravedis Inc 2013. www.maravedis-bwa.com • Considerable progress and growth but still challenges to achieve critical mass • Requirements: • SoC platforms • Site processes • Neutral host approaches • LTE-A provides some critical help: • eICIC • Standardized SON • Challenges: • SON roaming • Macro incumbents 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 ,000units Indoor Outdoor 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 ,000units Indoor Outdoor
  • 7. CLIENT CONFIDENTIAL Copyright © Maravedis-Rethink 2013 www.maravedis-bwa.com 7 In a menu of options, some will gain rapid adoption for small cells The move towards LTE-Advanced June 2013 Copyright © Maravedis Inc 2013. www.maravedis-bwa.com • Areas with most attention drive: • Small cells • Spectral efficiency • Some cutting edge deployments • Mass uptake needs: • Devices • Confidence • IoT • Focus shifts to software 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Multiband CA eICIC CoMP LTE Relay LTE Broadcast 4x4 MIMO 8x8 MIMO Release 11 %ofLTEbasestationsshipped 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
  • 8. CLIENT CONFIDENTIAL Copyright © Maravedis-Rethink 2013 www.maravedis-bwa.com 8 Increased investment in intelligence and adaptive networks Emerging network software technologies June 2013 Copyright © Maravedis Inc 2013. www.maravedis-bwa.com • Differentiation moves from hardware, to intelligence from core to backhaul to edge • Key trends to watch: • RAN caching • Emergence of carrier SDN • Cell breathing • Optimization • SON
  • 9. 9 MOSA: The Mobile Operator Strategy Analysis Service www.maravedis-bwa.com Copyright © Maravedis Inc 2013. CLIENT CONFIDENTIAL
  • 10. 10 MOSA stands for Mobile Operator Strategy Analysis. MOSA is the ONLY exclusive Operator Tracking Service focusing on the leading 100 4G operator wireless infrastructure strategies www.maravedis-bwa.com Copyright © Maravedis Inc 2013. CLIENT CONFIDENTIAL
  • 11. Copyright © Maravedis Inc 2012. www.maravedis-bwa.com Copyright © Maravedis Inc 2013. CLIENT CONFIDENTIAL MOSA Coverage Macro RAN Small Cells & WiFi Backhaul Global SpectrumCore Network SWOT & Ranking
  • 12. MOSA Matrix • Top 100 4G operators analyzed against 10 key trends identified by MaRe for their impact on the 4G business case • Small cells and HetNet • Cloud-RAN/distributed RAN • Advanced Backhaul Strategies • Carrier Wi-Fi • TD-LTE • Evolved Packet Core • Caching and Video Traffic • RCS, Voice and VoLTE • LTE-A key features (Carrier aggregation, MIMO, CoMP) • SON and Virtualization 12 DRIVERS CHALLENGES SOLUTIONS Structure of MOSA In each key topic area, gold standard operators selected and analyzed in depth for their market leadership in the area. The business case and prospects of others are assessed against the same criteria. www.maravedis-bwa.com Copyright © Maravedis Inc 2013. CLIENT CONFIDENTIAL
  • 13. 13 www.maravedis-bwa.com Copyright © Maravedis Inc 2013. CLIENT CONFIDENTIAL CAPEX • Macro Cells, • Micro Cells • Metro Cells • Backhaul links • By band/mode Cell Sites • Urban/Rural split • Spectrum Band • Mode and existing 3G • Operator Plans • Average Selling Price • RRH, LTE-A features, C-RAN, AAS Subscriber Forecasts • Cell Loading • Operator Input Sources: Operator interviews, Vendor estimates, Regulatory data, Models, Secondary research
  • 14. Copyright © Maravedis Inc 2012. www.maravedis-bwa.com Copyright © Maravedis Inc 2013. CLIENT CONFIDENTIAL MOSA Deliverables: Infrastructure Profiles (PDF) Quarterly Reports (PPT) Quarterly Master File (Excel)Briefings, Analyst Support
  • 15. 15 www.maravedis-bwa.com Copyright © Maravedis Inc 2013. CLIENT CONFIDENTIAL Contact Information www.linkedin.com/in/adlanefellah www.twitter.com/maravedis MaravedisRethink info@maravedis-bwa.com http://www.maravedis-bwa.com http://www.rethinkresearch.biz/ (305) 865-1006 (514) 313-5656 Adlane Fellah, Customer Engagement
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