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Next Generation Vehicles and Implications for VMT, Congestion & Emissions Marcus Bowman, 3G Mobility, Envisioning the next generation of transportation June 23, 2010 Fresh Views & Research You Can Use on the Economic & Social Impacts of Congestion
A vehicle revolution NASDAQ: TSLA 2 Marcus Bowman, 3G Mobility, Envisioning the next generation of transportation
All Electric Vehicles Leading,Environmentally-friendly, Affordable, Family car 3 Marcus Bowman, 3G Mobility, Envisioning the next generation of transportation
Quantifying Electric Vehicles: Cost KiloWatt hours (kWh) per 100 miles of driving 4 Marcus Bowman, 3G Mobility, Envisioning the next generation of transportation
Quantifying Vehicle Emissions ,[object Object]
 Different size cars
 Different sources of electricityHow much CO2? Per gallon? Per kWh? ,[object Object]
 For kWh, EPA/DOE estimates about 1.34 pounds of CO2 (depending on the source of electricity) 5
Electric vs Gasoline Vehicles: Emissions from, and Cost for, Driving 100 miles Emissions: Pounds of CO2 per 100 miles of Driving Baselines: ,[object Object]
 National average electricity price: $0.1086 per kWh
 National average gasoline price: $2.75 per gallon6 Marcus Bowman, 3G Mobility, Envisioning the next generation of transportation
Vehicle Technology Improvement Curve LEAF (Vermont) Annual metric tons of CO2 emissions per ~12,000 miles Average of Existing Fleet (1970-2007); Selected Vehicles (2010-2011) 7 Marcus Bowman, 3G Mobility, Envisioning the next generation of transportation
Implications for VMT 8 Cost of Driving is declining and could decline rapidly Environmental effects of driving are declining Weaknesses of VMT as an environmental metric ,[object Object]
 Varying range of emissions depending on vehicle type
 VMT also does not take into account:
Population Growth

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Next Generation Vehicles: Electric Cars, Emissions, Commuting, and Parking

  • 1. Next Generation Vehicles and Implications for VMT, Congestion & Emissions Marcus Bowman, 3G Mobility, Envisioning the next generation of transportation June 23, 2010 Fresh Views & Research You Can Use on the Economic & Social Impacts of Congestion
  • 2. A vehicle revolution NASDAQ: TSLA 2 Marcus Bowman, 3G Mobility, Envisioning the next generation of transportation
  • 3. All Electric Vehicles Leading,Environmentally-friendly, Affordable, Family car 3 Marcus Bowman, 3G Mobility, Envisioning the next generation of transportation
  • 4. Quantifying Electric Vehicles: Cost KiloWatt hours (kWh) per 100 miles of driving 4 Marcus Bowman, 3G Mobility, Envisioning the next generation of transportation
  • 5.
  • 7.
  • 8. For kWh, EPA/DOE estimates about 1.34 pounds of CO2 (depending on the source of electricity) 5
  • 9.
  • 10. National average electricity price: $0.1086 per kWh
  • 11. National average gasoline price: $2.75 per gallon6 Marcus Bowman, 3G Mobility, Envisioning the next generation of transportation
  • 12. Vehicle Technology Improvement Curve LEAF (Vermont) Annual metric tons of CO2 emissions per ~12,000 miles Average of Existing Fleet (1970-2007); Selected Vehicles (2010-2011) 7 Marcus Bowman, 3G Mobility, Envisioning the next generation of transportation
  • 13.
  • 14. Varying range of emissions depending on vehicle type
  • 15. VMT also does not take into account:
  • 18. Number of passengers in the car
  • 20.
  • 21. VMT: 1957-2055 10 Marcus Bowman, 3G Mobility, Envisioning the next generation of transportation
  • 22. Commuting: Driving trip purposes 11 National Household Travel Survey, 2009 data
  • 23. Commuting Flows 12 Total = 128.3 million commuters Marcus Bowman, 3G Mobility, Envisioning the next generation of transportation
  • 24. Commuting Emissions 13 EPA, 2008 data, published in 2010 Marcus Bowman, 3G Mobility, Envisioning the next generation of transportation
  • 25. Parking: East Falls Church Metro Station Arlington County study says "Eliminating commuter parking is a powerful tool for discouraging use of private vehicles" The most popular parking lot in the entire metro system is East Falls Church Will serve as access point for Silver Line to Tysons Corner and Dulles International Airport http://greatergreaterwashington.org/post.cgi?id=5827 14
  • 26. Parking: EFC Metro, Arlington, VA Existing parking situation One Household: Options to get to Tysons Corner and Downtown DC... After eliminating parking 10 mile roundtrip drives instead of 1 mile roundtrip and Metro ridership 15 Marcus Bowman, 3G Mobility, Envisioning the next generation of transportation
  • 27.
  • 28. VMT and Commuting
  • 30. ParkingFresh Views & Research You Can Use on the Economic & Social Impacts of Congestion Marcus Bowman 3G Mobility