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CESAR	
  WORKING	
  DOCUMENT	
  SERIES	
  
Working	
  document	
  no.3	
  
	
  	
   	
  
	
   	
  
	
  
	
  
Support	
  for	
  planning	
  process	
  and	
  content	
  	
  
Urban	
  Strategy	
  Experiment	
  No2	
  
	
  
	
  
M.	
  te	
  Brömmelstroet	
  	
  
13	
  April	
  2014	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
This	
  working	
  document	
  series	
  is	
  a	
  joint	
  initiative	
  of	
  the	
  University	
  of	
  Amsterdam,	
  	
  Utrecht	
  University,	
  Wageningen	
  University	
  and	
  
Research	
  centre	
  and	
  TNO	
  
	
  
	
  
	
   	
  
	
  
	
  
The	
  research	
  that	
  is	
  presented	
  in	
  this	
  series	
  is	
  financed	
  by	
  the	
  NWO	
  program	
  on	
  Sustainable	
  Accessibility	
  of	
  the	
  Randstad:	
  
http://www.nwo.nl/nwohome.nsf/pages/nwoa_79vlym_eng	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
CESAR	
  Working	
  Document	
  Series	
  no.	
  3	
   	
   Urban	
  Strategy	
  experiment	
  no.	
  2	
  
Page	
  2	
  
	
  
TABLE	
  OF	
  CONTENT	
  
1.	
   INTRODUCTION	
  ...............................................................................................................	
  3	
  
2.	
   SETUP	
  OF	
  THE	
  EXPERIMENT	
  ............................................................................................	
  4	
  
2.1	
   Intervention:	
  Urban	
  Strategy	
  PSS	
  .........................................................................................	
  4	
  
2.2	
   Mechanisms:	
  how	
  does	
  Urban	
  Strategy	
  bridge	
  the	
  PSS	
  implementation	
  gap?	
  ...................	
  4	
  
2.3	
   Setup	
  of	
  the	
  controlled	
  randomized	
  trial	
  .............................................................................	
  5	
  
Treatment	
  .....................................................................................................................................	
  6	
  
Evaluation	
  .....................................................................................................................................	
  7	
  
3.	
   EVALUATION	
  RESULTS	
  .....................................................................................................	
  8	
  
3.1	
   Perceived	
  quality	
  of	
  the	
  planning	
  process	
  ............................................................................	
  8	
  
3.2	
   Perceived	
  quality	
  of	
  the	
  planning	
  outcome	
  ..........................................................................	
  8	
  
3.3	
   Usability	
  characteristics	
  of	
  Urban	
  Strategy	
  ..........................................................................	
  8	
  
4.	
   CONCLUSIONS	
  AND	
  IMPLICATIONS	
  ...............................................................................	
  10	
  
4.1	
   Reflection	
  ...........................................................................................................................	
  10	
  
5.	
   CONCLUSIONS	
  AND	
  DISCUSSION	
  ...................................................................................	
  11	
  
5.1	
   General	
  conclusions	
  ...........................................................................................................	
  11	
  
REFERENCES	
  ..........................................................................................................................	
  12	
  
APPENDIX	
  I:	
  COMPETITION	
  SHEET	
  (DUTCH)	
  .........................................................................	
  13	
  
Introductie	
  ..................................................................................................................................	
  13	
  
Herinrichting	
  Waalhaven	
  oostzijde	
  .............................................................................................	
  14	
  
Opdrachtomschrijving:	
  ...............................................................................................................	
  15	
  
Uitgangspunten	
  en	
  randvoorwaarden	
  ........................................................................................	
  15	
  
APPENDIX	
  II:	
  EVALUATION	
  FORM	
  FOR	
  QUALITY	
  OF	
  THE	
  PROCES	
  ........................................	
  16	
  
APPENDIX	
  III:	
  EVALUATION	
  FORM	
  FOR	
  QUALITY	
  OF	
  THE	
  OUTCOME	
  ...................................	
  18	
  
APPENDIX	
  IV:	
  EVALUATION	
  FORM	
  FOR	
  USABILITY	
  OF	
  URBAN	
  STRATEGY	
  ...........................	
  19	
  
	
  
CESAR	
  Working	
  Document	
  Series	
  no.	
  3	
   	
   Urban	
  Strategy	
  experiment	
  no.	
  2	
  
Page	
  3	
  
	
  
1. INTRODUCTION	
  
In	
  this	
  working	
  document	
  we	
  report	
  on	
  a	
  second	
  randomized	
  controlled	
  trial	
  with	
  Urban	
  Strategy	
  to	
  
test	
  the	
  added	
  value	
  of	
  this	
  Planning	
  Support	
  System	
  (PSS).	
  Urban	
  Strategy	
  is	
  a	
  software	
  package	
  
developed	
  by	
  TNO	
  that	
  aims	
  to	
  improve	
  the	
  planning	
  process	
  and	
  planning	
  outcomes	
  of	
  strategic	
  
planning.	
   It	
   does	
   so	
   by	
   offering	
   a	
   range	
   of	
   quick	
   models	
   that	
   show	
   the	
   effects	
   of	
   planning	
  
interventions	
   in	
   an	
   easy	
   to	
   understand	
   visual	
   environment.	
   To	
   gain	
   more	
   insight	
   into	
   these	
  
potential	
   improvements,	
   we	
   have	
   conducted	
   an	
   experiment	
   with	
   a	
   group	
   of	
   master	
   students	
   in	
  
Urban	
   Planning	
   of	
   the	
   University	
   of	
   Amsterdam.	
   We	
   make	
   use	
   of	
   the	
   measuring	
   framework	
   as	
  
introduced	
  and	
  discussed	
  in	
  CESAR	
  Working	
  Document	
  No.	
  1.	
  	
  
	
  
First,	
  we	
  describe	
  the	
  setup	
  of	
  the	
  experiment	
  (section	
  2).	
  Then,	
  the	
  findings	
  of	
  the	
  experiment	
  are	
  
presented	
  (section	
  3).	
  In	
  the	
  fourth	
  section	
  we	
  will	
  briefly	
  discuss	
  the	
  implications	
  of	
  these	
  findings	
  
and	
  further	
  research.	
  	
  
	
  	
  
CESAR	
  Working	
  Document	
  Series	
  no.	
  3	
   	
   Urban	
  Strategy	
  experiment	
  no.	
  2	
  
Page	
  4	
  
	
  
2. SETUP	
  OF	
  THE	
  EXPERIMENT	
  
2.1 Intervention:	
  Urban	
  Strategy	
  PSS	
  
TNO	
  started	
  around	
  2005	
  with	
  the	
  development	
  of	
  a	
  PSS	
  –	
  Urban	
  Strategy	
  (Borst	
  et	
  al.	
  2007;	
  2009a;	
  
2009b)	
  –	
  specifically	
  aiming	
  to	
  bridge	
  the	
  existing	
  flexibility-­‐	
  and	
  communication	
  bottlenecks.	
  Urban	
  
Strategy	
  aims	
  to	
  improve	
  complex	
  spatial	
  planning	
  processes	
  on	
  the	
  urban-­‐	
  and	
  regional	
  level.	
  To	
  
do	
   this,	
   different	
   computer	
   models	
   are	
   linked	
   to	
   a	
   central	
   database	
   and	
   interface	
   to	
   provide	
  
insights	
  in	
  a	
  wide	
  area	
  of	
  urban	
  indicators	
  and	
  maps.	
  The	
  effects	
  of	
  interventions	
  in	
  infrastructure,	
  
land	
  use,	
  build	
  objects	
  and	
  their	
  functions	
  can	
  be	
  calculated	
  and	
  visualized.	
  Because	
  the	
  PSS	
  is	
  able	
  
to	
  calculate	
  fast	
  and	
  present	
  the	
  results	
  in	
  an	
  attractive	
  1D,	
  2D	
  and	
  3D	
  visualisation	
  this	
  can	
  be	
  used	
  
in	
  interactive	
  sessions	
  with	
  planning	
  actors.	
  	
  
	
  
Starting	
  point	
  for	
  Urban	
  Strategy	
  is	
  the	
  use	
  of	
  existing	
  state-­‐of-­‐the-­‐art	
  and	
  legally	
  accepted	
  models.	
  
To	
  link	
  these	
  existing	
  models	
  a	
  number	
  of	
  new	
  elements	
  were	
  developed:	
  
- a	
  database	
  with	
  an	
  uniform	
  datamodel;	
  
- interfaces	
  that	
  show	
  a	
  3D	
  image	
  of	
  the	
  modeled	
  situation,	
  indicators	
  and	
  that	
  offer	
  functionality	
  
to	
  add	
  interventions;	
  
- a	
  framework	
  that	
  structures	
  the	
  communication	
  between	
  the	
  models	
  and	
  the	
  interfaces.	
  
	
  
	
  
2.2 Mechanisms:	
  how	
  does	
  Urban	
  Strategy	
  bridge	
  the	
  PSS	
  implementation	
  gap?	
  
The	
  goal	
  of	
  Urban	
  Strategy	
  is	
  to	
  enable	
  planning	
  actors	
  in	
  workshop	
  sessions	
  to	
  communicate	
  their	
  
ideas	
  and	
  strategies	
  to	
  the	
  PSS	
  and	
  to	
  learn	
  from	
  the	
  effects	
  that	
  are	
  shown.	
  This	
  interactivity	
  calls	
  
for	
  fast	
  calculations	
  of	
  all	
  the	
  model	
  and	
  fast	
  communication	
  between	
  all	
  elements.	
  For	
  this,	
  the	
  
models	
   were	
   enabled	
   to	
   respond	
   on	
   events	
   (urban	
   interventions	
   from	
   the	
   participants	
   in	
   the	
  
workshops.	
  A	
  new	
  software	
  architecture	
  was	
  developed	
  to	
  have	
  all	
  these	
  elements	
  communicate	
  
(figure	
  2).	
  
	
  
Through	
  this	
  increases	
  speed	
  and	
  the	
  wide	
  variety	
  of	
  models	
  that	
  are	
  linked	
  together,	
  the	
  PSS	
  aims	
  
to	
   be	
   highly	
   flexible	
   in	
   offering	
   answers	
   to	
   a	
   large	
   number	
   of	
   questions	
   that	
   a	
   group	
   of	
   urban	
  
planning	
  actors	
  can	
  have.	
  
	
  
Figure	
  2	
  	
  	
  Schematic	
  overview	
  of	
  communication	
  architecture	
  of	
  Urban	
  Strategy.	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
The	
  3D	
  interface	
  generates,	
  based	
  on	
  objects	
  in	
  the	
  database,	
  a	
  3D	
  digital	
  maquette	
  of	
  the	
  urban	
  
environment.	
  To	
  this,	
  different	
  information	
  layers	
  can	
  be	
  addes,	
  such	
  as	
  air	
  quality	
  contours,	
  noise	
  
contours	
  and	
  groundwater	
  levels.	
  Also,	
  the	
  objects	
  can	
  be	
  colored	
  according	
  to	
  their	
  characteristics	
  
(function,	
  energy	
  use,	
  CO2	
  emissions,	
  number	
  of	
  inhabitants,	
  etc).	
  The	
  2D	
  interface	
  can	
  be	
  used	
  by	
  
the	
  end	
  user	
  (or	
  operator)	
  to	
  add	
  changes	
  to	
  the	
  database.	
  Objects	
  can	
  be	
  added	
  or	
  removed,	
  their	
  
CESAR	
  Working	
  Document	
  Series	
  no.	
  3	
   	
   Urban	
  Strategy	
  experiment	
  no.	
  2	
  
Page	
  5	
  
	
  
location	
  can	
  be	
  changed	
  and	
  the	
  characteristics	
  of	
  the	
  object	
  can	
  be	
  changed.	
  The	
  1D	
  interface	
  
shows	
   indicators	
   that	
   are	
   calculated	
   by	
   all	
   the	
   models	
   that	
   are	
   included.	
   Examples	
   are	
   the	
  
percentage	
  of	
  noise	
  hindrance,	
  group	
  risk	
  in	
  an	
  area	
  or	
  the	
  contribution	
  of	
  types	
  of	
  objects	
  to	
  CO2	
  
emission.	
  	
  
	
  
Figure	
  3	
  	
  	
  The	
  three	
  interfaces	
  of	
  Urban	
  Strategy	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  	
  
2.3 Setup	
  of	
  the	
  controlled	
  randomized	
  trial	
  	
  
Together	
  with	
  TNO	
  we	
  organized	
  a	
  number	
  of	
  sessions	
  in	
  which	
  the	
  usability	
  of	
  Urban	
  Strategy	
  was	
  
tested.	
   For	
   this	
   we	
   set	
   up	
   a	
   typical	
   urban	
   planning	
   challenge:	
   Optimize	
   existing	
   ideas	
   for	
   new	
  
housing	
  and	
  working	
  functions	
  in	
  an	
  old	
  harbor	
  area	
  of	
  Rotterdam	
  (figure	
  4).	
  The	
  existing	
  ideas	
  face	
  
problems	
  due	
  to	
  restrictions	
  on	
  noise,	
  external	
  safety	
  and	
  air	
  quality	
  (figure	
  5).	
  	
  
	
  
Figure	
  4	
  	
  	
  The	
  harbor	
  area	
  in	
  the	
  larger	
  Rotterdam	
  region	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
CESAR	
  Working	
  Document	
  Series	
  no.	
  3	
   	
   Urban	
  Strategy	
  experiment	
  no.	
  2	
  
Page	
  6	
  
	
  
Figure	
  5	
  	
  	
  Current	
  strategy	
  for	
  the	
  area	
  (top	
  left),	
  air	
  quality	
  norms	
  (top	
  right),	
  noise	
  norms	
  (bottom	
  left)	
  and	
  
external	
  safety	
  (bottom	
  right)	
  
	
  	
  	
   	
  	
  	
  
	
  
	
  	
  	
   	
  
	
  
We	
  invited	
  24	
  students	
  from	
  the	
  course	
  Metropolitan	
  Transportation	
  Planning,	
  which	
  is	
  part	
  of	
  the	
  
one-­‐year	
   Master	
   on	
   Urban	
   Planning	
   of	
   the	
   University	
   of	
   Amsterdam.	
   They	
   were	
   told	
   that	
   they	
  
would	
   take	
   part	
   in	
   a	
   strategy	
   making	
   competition	
   and	
   were	
   not	
   aware	
   of	
   the	
   treatment.	
   They	
  
represent	
   future	
   planning	
   practitioners	
   that	
   deal	
   with	
   planning	
   challenges	
   such	
   as	
   the	
  
abovementioned.	
  The	
  students	
  were	
  randomly	
  split	
  into	
  six	
  groups	
  of	
  each	
  three	
  students.	
  Each	
  
group	
   was	
   then	
   asked	
   to	
   perform	
   the	
   planning	
   task	
   as	
   a	
   group.	
   One	
   week	
   before	
   the	
   strategy	
  
making	
   sessions,	
   they	
   were	
   introduced	
   to	
   the	
   planning	
   problem	
   and	
   criteria	
   on	
   which	
   the	
  
developed	
  strategies	
  were	
  going	
  to	
  be	
  judged:	
  innovation,	
  workability,	
  relevance	
  and	
  specificity.	
  
See	
  appendix	
  I	
  for	
  the	
  (Dutch)	
  form	
  with	
  information	
  that	
  each	
  participant	
  received.	
  	
  
	
  
The	
   six	
   groups	
   were,	
   again	
   randomly,	
   divided	
   into	
   control	
   and	
   treatment	
   groups.	
   Three	
   groups	
  
performed	
  the	
  planning	
  task	
  without	
  support	
  of	
  Urban	
  Strategy,	
  while	
  three	
  other	
  groups	
  received	
  
this	
  planning	
  support.	
  The	
  control	
  groups	
  worked	
  simultaneously,	
  while	
  the	
  treatment	
  groups	
  did	
  
their	
  work	
  consecutively	
  (due	
  to	
  constraints	
  of	
  the	
  model	
  interaction).	
  All	
  groups	
  got	
  45	
  minutes	
  to	
  
perform	
  the	
  task	
  and	
  were	
  asked	
  to	
  finalize	
  their	
  strategy	
  on	
  a	
  sheet	
  of	
  paper	
  and	
  an	
  empty	
  map	
  10	
  
minutes	
  before	
  the	
  deadline.	
  The	
  control	
  groups	
  were	
  then	
  left	
  to	
  perform	
  their	
  task.	
  They	
  were	
  
supported	
  by	
  the	
  maps	
  from	
  figure	
  5	
  and	
  empty	
  maps	
  to	
  draw	
  their	
  plans.	
  Also,	
  pens	
  and	
  markers	
  
were	
  provided	
  (figure	
  6	
  left).	
  	
  	
  
	
  
Treatment	
  
The	
  groups	
  that	
  were	
  supported	
  with	
  Urban	
  Strategy	
  followed	
  a	
  fixed	
  protocol.	
  On	
  arrival	
  in	
  the	
  
room,	
  Ralph	
  Klerkx	
  (TNO)	
  introduced	
  Urban	
  Strategy	
  to	
  the	
  group.	
  In	
  10	
  minutes,	
  he	
  showed	
  the	
  
CESAR	
  Working	
  Document	
  Series	
  no.	
  3	
   	
   Urban	
  Strategy	
  experiment	
  no.	
  2	
  
Page	
  7	
  
	
  
functionality	
  of	
  the	
  instrument	
  and	
  what	
  it	
  can	
  and	
  cannot	
  do.	
  After	
  this	
  introduction	
  Ralph	
  and	
  
Sander	
  Schaminée	
  (TNO)	
  guided	
  the	
  groups	
  in	
  finding	
  solutions	
  for	
  the	
  planning	
  problem.	
  First,	
  they	
  
were	
   asked	
   to	
   come	
   up	
   with	
   an	
   improved	
   design	
   of	
   the	
   location,	
   especially	
   the	
   place	
   and	
  
orientation	
  of	
  the	
  housing	
  and	
  working	
  blocks.	
  With	
  this,	
  the	
  groups	
  started	
  to	
  interact	
  with	
  Urban	
  
Strategy	
  to	
  see	
  the	
  effects	
  of	
  their	
  interventions.	
  During	
  this	
  interacting,	
  the	
  design	
  was	
  optimized	
  
to	
   minimize	
   the	
   amount	
   of	
   housing	
   and	
   working	
   under	
   the	
   noise,	
   pollution	
   and	
   external	
   safety	
  
norms.	
  Also,	
  strategies	
  were	
  developed	
  to	
  cope	
  with	
  other	
  negative	
  effects,	
  such	
  as	
  the	
  congestion	
  
and	
  noise	
  of	
  the	
  road	
  adjacent	
  to	
  the	
  study	
  area.	
  During	
  these	
  design-­‐analysis	
  iterations,	
  the	
  groups	
  
also	
  were	
  asked	
  to	
  write	
  down	
  the	
  strategies	
  and	
  their	
  reasoning.	
  	
  
	
  
The	
  strategy	
  making	
  took	
  place	
  in	
  a	
  classroom	
  in	
  which	
  the	
  group	
  had	
  a	
  table	
  to	
  discuss	
  and	
  draw	
  
and	
  could	
  interact	
  with	
  the	
  different	
  interfaces	
  of	
  Urban	
  Strategy	
  (figure	
  6	
  right).	
  Sander	
  Schaminée	
  
supported	
  this	
  by	
  drawing	
  the	
  proposed	
  interventions	
  into	
  the	
  model.	
  
	
  	
  
Figure	
  6	
  	
  	
  The	
  setting	
  of	
  the	
  control	
  group	
  (left)	
  and	
  the	
  treatment	
  group	
  (right)	
  
	
   	
  
	
  
Evaluation	
  
Two	
  evaluation	
  instruments	
  were	
  used	
  to	
  test	
  the	
  effects	
  of	
  the	
  support	
  by	
  Urban	
  Strategy.	
  Using	
  a	
  
7-­‐points	
  Likert	
  scale,	
  all	
  participants	
  were	
  asked	
  to	
  rate	
  a	
  number	
  of	
  statements	
  related	
  to	
  the	
  
quality	
  of	
  the	
  strategy	
  making	
  process	
  (Appendix	
  II).	
  These	
  perceptions	
  were	
  aggregated	
  to	
  the	
  
level	
  of	
  the	
  evaluation	
  dimensions	
  and	
  compared	
  between	
  the	
  control-­‐	
  and	
  treatment	
  groups.	
  Next	
  
to	
  that,	
  the	
  resulting	
  strategies	
  were	
  collected	
  and	
  presented	
  to	
  two	
  external	
  raters.	
  Using	
  a	
  7-­‐
point	
  Likert	
  scale,	
  they	
  were	
  asked	
  to	
  rate	
  a	
  number	
  of	
  statements	
  related	
  to	
  the	
  quality	
  of	
  the	
  
strategy	
  making	
  outcome	
  (Appendix	
  III).	
  The	
  strategies	
  were	
  presented	
  to	
  the	
  raters	
  without	
  the	
  
hypotheses	
  or	
  indication	
  of	
  treatment/control.	
  These	
  perceptions	
  were	
  combined	
  and	
  aggregated	
  
to	
  the	
  level	
  of	
  the	
  evaluation	
  dimensions	
  and	
  compared	
  between	
  treatment	
  and	
  control.	
  
	
  
A	
  final	
  evaluation	
  form	
  was	
  provided	
  only	
  to	
  the	
  participants	
  of	
  the	
  treatment	
  groups.	
  They	
  were	
  
asked	
  to	
  reflect	
  on	
  usability	
  characteristics	
  of	
  Urban	
  Strategy.	
  Again,	
  a	
  7-­‐point	
  Likert	
  scale	
  was	
  used	
  
to	
  gather	
  their	
  perceptions.	
  
CESAR	
  Working	
  Document	
  Series	
  no.	
  3	
   	
   Urban	
  Strategy	
  experiment	
  no.	
  2	
  
Page	
  8	
  
	
  
3. EVALUATION	
  RESULTS	
  
3.1 Perceived	
  quality	
  of	
  the	
  planning	
  process	
  
Due	
  to	
  the	
  small	
  number	
  of	
  observations	
  we	
  cannot	
  assume	
  to	
  have	
  controlled	
  for	
  all	
  possible	
  
other	
  influential	
  variables.	
  Also,	
  we	
  would	
  like	
  to	
  raise	
  awareness	
  for	
  the	
  fact	
  that	
  we	
  worked	
  with	
  
students,	
  for	
  which	
  it	
  was	
  often	
  the	
  first	
  time	
  to	
  engage	
  in	
  such	
  a	
  strategy	
  making	
  process.	
  There	
  
are	
  however	
  some	
  remarkable	
  outcomes.	
  	
  
	
  
On	
  the	
  overall	
  score	
  (at	
  right	
  of	
  table	
  1)	
  we	
  see	
  no	
  effect	
  of	
  the	
  support	
  by	
  Urban	
  Strategy.	
  On	
  the	
  
level	
  of	
  the	
  dimensions,	
  we	
  see	
  a	
  meaningful	
  positive	
  effect	
  on	
  ‘effectiveness’,	
  although	
  this	
  effect	
  
is	
  not	
  significant	
  due	
  to	
  the	
  large	
  variation	
  within	
  the	
  control-­‐	
  and	
  treatment	
  group.	
  Apparently,	
  
perceptions	
  of	
  this	
  vary	
  wildly.	
  A	
  very	
  negative	
  effect	
  is	
  found	
  on	
  ‘consensus	
  on	
  goals’,	
  but	
  again	
  
the	
  found	
  difference	
  is	
  not	
  significant.	
  Most	
  effects	
  on	
  the	
  other	
  dimensions	
  are	
  close	
  to	
  zero.	
  We	
  
can	
  therefore	
  not	
  confirm	
  a	
  positive	
  effect	
  of	
  Urban	
  Strategy	
  on	
  the	
  strategy	
  making	
  process.	
  
	
  
	
  
3.2 Perceived	
  quality	
  of	
  the	
  planning	
  outcome	
  
The	
  overall	
  quality	
  of	
  the	
  planning	
  outcome	
  (at	
  right	
  in	
  table	
  2)	
  is	
  affected	
  negatively	
  by	
  the	
  support	
  
of	
   Urban	
   Strategy.	
   This	
   effect	
   is	
   not	
   significant,	
   but	
   still	
   noteworthy.	
   Only	
   ‘implementability’	
   is	
  
positively	
   affected,	
   while	
   all	
   other	
   dimensions	
   show	
   a	
   negative	
   effect	
   of	
   Urban	
   Strategy.	
   This	
   is	
  
most	
   remarkable	
   for	
   ‘applicability’	
   and	
   the	
   related	
   grouped	
   dimension	
   of	
   ‘relevance’	
   where	
  
negative	
  scores	
  of	
  respectively	
  1,5	
  and	
  0,78	
  are	
  found.	
  Again,	
  we	
  can	
  conclude	
  from	
  these	
  scores	
  
that	
  we	
  cannot	
  confirm	
  a	
  positive	
  effect	
  of	
  Urban	
  Strategy	
  on	
  the	
  strategy	
  making	
  outcome.	
  
	
  
	
  
3.3 Usability	
  characteristics	
  of	
  Urban	
  Strategy	
  
Although	
  a	
  positive	
  effect	
  of	
  the	
  instrument	
  could	
  not	
  be	
  confirmed,	
  the	
  participants	
  were	
  very	
  
positive	
  about	
  its	
  usability.	
  The	
  scores	
  in	
  table	
  3	
  (on	
  a	
  7	
  point	
  scale	
  and	
  arranged	
  from	
  high	
  to	
  low)	
  
indicate	
  that	
  all	
  usability	
  dimensions	
  score	
  over	
  4,6.	
  Most	
  positive	
  elements	
  are	
  the	
  ‘support	
  for	
  
evaluating	
  alternatives’,	
  ‘communicative	
  value’	
  and	
  ‘supporting	
  the	
  creation	
  of	
  ideas’.

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Planning Support System Improves Process and Outcomes

  • 1.     CESAR  WORKING  DOCUMENT  SERIES   Working  document  no.3                 Support  for  planning  process  and  content     Urban  Strategy  Experiment  No2       M.  te  Brömmelstroet     13  April  2014             This  working  document  series  is  a  joint  initiative  of  the  University  of  Amsterdam,    Utrecht  University,  Wageningen  University  and   Research  centre  and  TNO               The  research  that  is  presented  in  this  series  is  financed  by  the  NWO  program  on  Sustainable  Accessibility  of  the  Randstad:   http://www.nwo.nl/nwohome.nsf/pages/nwoa_79vlym_eng          
  • 2. CESAR  Working  Document  Series  no.  3     Urban  Strategy  experiment  no.  2   Page  2     TABLE  OF  CONTENT   1.   INTRODUCTION  ...............................................................................................................  3   2.   SETUP  OF  THE  EXPERIMENT  ............................................................................................  4   2.1   Intervention:  Urban  Strategy  PSS  .........................................................................................  4   2.2   Mechanisms:  how  does  Urban  Strategy  bridge  the  PSS  implementation  gap?  ...................  4   2.3   Setup  of  the  controlled  randomized  trial  .............................................................................  5   Treatment  .....................................................................................................................................  6   Evaluation  .....................................................................................................................................  7   3.   EVALUATION  RESULTS  .....................................................................................................  8   3.1   Perceived  quality  of  the  planning  process  ............................................................................  8   3.2   Perceived  quality  of  the  planning  outcome  ..........................................................................  8   3.3   Usability  characteristics  of  Urban  Strategy  ..........................................................................  8   4.   CONCLUSIONS  AND  IMPLICATIONS  ...............................................................................  10   4.1   Reflection  ...........................................................................................................................  10   5.   CONCLUSIONS  AND  DISCUSSION  ...................................................................................  11   5.1   General  conclusions  ...........................................................................................................  11   REFERENCES  ..........................................................................................................................  12   APPENDIX  I:  COMPETITION  SHEET  (DUTCH)  .........................................................................  13   Introductie  ..................................................................................................................................  13   Herinrichting  Waalhaven  oostzijde  .............................................................................................  14   Opdrachtomschrijving:  ...............................................................................................................  15   Uitgangspunten  en  randvoorwaarden  ........................................................................................  15   APPENDIX  II:  EVALUATION  FORM  FOR  QUALITY  OF  THE  PROCES  ........................................  16   APPENDIX  III:  EVALUATION  FORM  FOR  QUALITY  OF  THE  OUTCOME  ...................................  18   APPENDIX  IV:  EVALUATION  FORM  FOR  USABILITY  OF  URBAN  STRATEGY  ...........................  19    
  • 3. CESAR  Working  Document  Series  no.  3     Urban  Strategy  experiment  no.  2   Page  3     1. INTRODUCTION   In  this  working  document  we  report  on  a  second  randomized  controlled  trial  with  Urban  Strategy  to   test  the  added  value  of  this  Planning  Support  System  (PSS).  Urban  Strategy  is  a  software  package   developed  by  TNO  that  aims  to  improve  the  planning  process  and  planning  outcomes  of  strategic   planning.   It   does   so   by   offering   a   range   of   quick   models   that   show   the   effects   of   planning   interventions   in   an   easy   to   understand   visual   environment.   To   gain   more   insight   into   these   potential   improvements,   we   have   conducted   an   experiment   with   a   group   of   master   students   in   Urban   Planning   of   the   University   of   Amsterdam.   We   make   use   of   the   measuring   framework   as   introduced  and  discussed  in  CESAR  Working  Document  No.  1.       First,  we  describe  the  setup  of  the  experiment  (section  2).  Then,  the  findings  of  the  experiment  are   presented  (section  3).  In  the  fourth  section  we  will  briefly  discuss  the  implications  of  these  findings   and  further  research.        
  • 4. CESAR  Working  Document  Series  no.  3     Urban  Strategy  experiment  no.  2   Page  4     2. SETUP  OF  THE  EXPERIMENT   2.1 Intervention:  Urban  Strategy  PSS   TNO  started  around  2005  with  the  development  of  a  PSS  –  Urban  Strategy  (Borst  et  al.  2007;  2009a;   2009b)  –  specifically  aiming  to  bridge  the  existing  flexibility-­‐  and  communication  bottlenecks.  Urban   Strategy  aims  to  improve  complex  spatial  planning  processes  on  the  urban-­‐  and  regional  level.  To   do   this,   different   computer   models   are   linked   to   a   central   database   and   interface   to   provide   insights  in  a  wide  area  of  urban  indicators  and  maps.  The  effects  of  interventions  in  infrastructure,   land  use,  build  objects  and  their  functions  can  be  calculated  and  visualized.  Because  the  PSS  is  able   to  calculate  fast  and  present  the  results  in  an  attractive  1D,  2D  and  3D  visualisation  this  can  be  used   in  interactive  sessions  with  planning  actors.       Starting  point  for  Urban  Strategy  is  the  use  of  existing  state-­‐of-­‐the-­‐art  and  legally  accepted  models.   To  link  these  existing  models  a  number  of  new  elements  were  developed:   - a  database  with  an  uniform  datamodel;   - interfaces  that  show  a  3D  image  of  the  modeled  situation,  indicators  and  that  offer  functionality   to  add  interventions;   - a  framework  that  structures  the  communication  between  the  models  and  the  interfaces.       2.2 Mechanisms:  how  does  Urban  Strategy  bridge  the  PSS  implementation  gap?   The  goal  of  Urban  Strategy  is  to  enable  planning  actors  in  workshop  sessions  to  communicate  their   ideas  and  strategies  to  the  PSS  and  to  learn  from  the  effects  that  are  shown.  This  interactivity  calls   for  fast  calculations  of  all  the  model  and  fast  communication  between  all  elements.  For  this,  the   models   were   enabled   to   respond   on   events   (urban   interventions   from   the   participants   in   the   workshops.  A  new  software  architecture  was  developed  to  have  all  these  elements  communicate   (figure  2).     Through  this  increases  speed  and  the  wide  variety  of  models  that  are  linked  together,  the  PSS  aims   to   be   highly   flexible   in   offering   answers   to   a   large   number   of   questions   that   a   group   of   urban   planning  actors  can  have.     Figure  2      Schematic  overview  of  communication  architecture  of  Urban  Strategy.         The  3D  interface  generates,  based  on  objects  in  the  database,  a  3D  digital  maquette  of  the  urban   environment.  To  this,  different  information  layers  can  be  addes,  such  as  air  quality  contours,  noise   contours  and  groundwater  levels.  Also,  the  objects  can  be  colored  according  to  their  characteristics   (function,  energy  use,  CO2  emissions,  number  of  inhabitants,  etc).  The  2D  interface  can  be  used  by   the  end  user  (or  operator)  to  add  changes  to  the  database.  Objects  can  be  added  or  removed,  their  
  • 5. CESAR  Working  Document  Series  no.  3     Urban  Strategy  experiment  no.  2   Page  5     location  can  be  changed  and  the  characteristics  of  the  object  can  be  changed.  The  1D  interface   shows   indicators   that   are   calculated   by   all   the   models   that   are   included.   Examples   are   the   percentage  of  noise  hindrance,  group  risk  in  an  area  or  the  contribution  of  types  of  objects  to  CO2   emission.       Figure  3      The  three  interfaces  of  Urban  Strategy             2.3 Setup  of  the  controlled  randomized  trial     Together  with  TNO  we  organized  a  number  of  sessions  in  which  the  usability  of  Urban  Strategy  was   tested.   For   this   we   set   up   a   typical   urban   planning   challenge:   Optimize   existing   ideas   for   new   housing  and  working  functions  in  an  old  harbor  area  of  Rotterdam  (figure  4).  The  existing  ideas  face   problems  due  to  restrictions  on  noise,  external  safety  and  air  quality  (figure  5).       Figure  4      The  harbor  area  in  the  larger  Rotterdam  region                
  • 6. CESAR  Working  Document  Series  no.  3     Urban  Strategy  experiment  no.  2   Page  6     Figure  5      Current  strategy  for  the  area  (top  left),  air  quality  norms  (top  right),  noise  norms  (bottom  left)  and   external  safety  (bottom  right)                           We  invited  24  students  from  the  course  Metropolitan  Transportation  Planning,  which  is  part  of  the   one-­‐year   Master   on   Urban   Planning   of   the   University   of   Amsterdam.   They   were   told   that   they   would   take   part   in   a   strategy   making   competition   and   were   not   aware   of   the   treatment.   They   represent   future   planning   practitioners   that   deal   with   planning   challenges   such   as   the   abovementioned.  The  students  were  randomly  split  into  six  groups  of  each  three  students.  Each   group   was   then   asked   to   perform   the   planning   task   as   a   group.   One   week   before   the   strategy   making   sessions,   they   were   introduced   to   the   planning   problem   and   criteria   on   which   the   developed  strategies  were  going  to  be  judged:  innovation,  workability,  relevance  and  specificity.   See  appendix  I  for  the  (Dutch)  form  with  information  that  each  participant  received.       The   six   groups   were,   again   randomly,   divided   into   control   and   treatment   groups.   Three   groups   performed  the  planning  task  without  support  of  Urban  Strategy,  while  three  other  groups  received   this  planning  support.  The  control  groups  worked  simultaneously,  while  the  treatment  groups  did   their  work  consecutively  (due  to  constraints  of  the  model  interaction).  All  groups  got  45  minutes  to   perform  the  task  and  were  asked  to  finalize  their  strategy  on  a  sheet  of  paper  and  an  empty  map  10   minutes  before  the  deadline.  The  control  groups  were  then  left  to  perform  their  task.  They  were   supported  by  the  maps  from  figure  5  and  empty  maps  to  draw  their  plans.  Also,  pens  and  markers   were  provided  (figure  6  left).         Treatment   The  groups  that  were  supported  with  Urban  Strategy  followed  a  fixed  protocol.  On  arrival  in  the   room,  Ralph  Klerkx  (TNO)  introduced  Urban  Strategy  to  the  group.  In  10  minutes,  he  showed  the  
  • 7. CESAR  Working  Document  Series  no.  3     Urban  Strategy  experiment  no.  2   Page  7     functionality  of  the  instrument  and  what  it  can  and  cannot  do.  After  this  introduction  Ralph  and   Sander  Schaminée  (TNO)  guided  the  groups  in  finding  solutions  for  the  planning  problem.  First,  they   were   asked   to   come   up   with   an   improved   design   of   the   location,   especially   the   place   and   orientation  of  the  housing  and  working  blocks.  With  this,  the  groups  started  to  interact  with  Urban   Strategy  to  see  the  effects  of  their  interventions.  During  this  interacting,  the  design  was  optimized   to   minimize   the   amount   of   housing   and   working   under   the   noise,   pollution   and   external   safety   norms.  Also,  strategies  were  developed  to  cope  with  other  negative  effects,  such  as  the  congestion   and  noise  of  the  road  adjacent  to  the  study  area.  During  these  design-­‐analysis  iterations,  the  groups   also  were  asked  to  write  down  the  strategies  and  their  reasoning.       The  strategy  making  took  place  in  a  classroom  in  which  the  group  had  a  table  to  discuss  and  draw   and  could  interact  with  the  different  interfaces  of  Urban  Strategy  (figure  6  right).  Sander  Schaminée   supported  this  by  drawing  the  proposed  interventions  into  the  model.       Figure  6      The  setting  of  the  control  group  (left)  and  the  treatment  group  (right)         Evaluation   Two  evaluation  instruments  were  used  to  test  the  effects  of  the  support  by  Urban  Strategy.  Using  a   7-­‐points  Likert  scale,  all  participants  were  asked  to  rate  a  number  of  statements  related  to  the   quality  of  the  strategy  making  process  (Appendix  II).  These  perceptions  were  aggregated  to  the   level  of  the  evaluation  dimensions  and  compared  between  the  control-­‐  and  treatment  groups.  Next   to  that,  the  resulting  strategies  were  collected  and  presented  to  two  external  raters.  Using  a  7-­‐ point  Likert  scale,  they  were  asked  to  rate  a  number  of  statements  related  to  the  quality  of  the   strategy  making  outcome  (Appendix  III).  The  strategies  were  presented  to  the  raters  without  the   hypotheses  or  indication  of  treatment/control.  These  perceptions  were  combined  and  aggregated   to  the  level  of  the  evaluation  dimensions  and  compared  between  treatment  and  control.     A  final  evaluation  form  was  provided  only  to  the  participants  of  the  treatment  groups.  They  were   asked  to  reflect  on  usability  characteristics  of  Urban  Strategy.  Again,  a  7-­‐point  Likert  scale  was  used   to  gather  their  perceptions.  
  • 8. CESAR  Working  Document  Series  no.  3     Urban  Strategy  experiment  no.  2   Page  8     3. EVALUATION  RESULTS   3.1 Perceived  quality  of  the  planning  process   Due  to  the  small  number  of  observations  we  cannot  assume  to  have  controlled  for  all  possible   other  influential  variables.  Also,  we  would  like  to  raise  awareness  for  the  fact  that  we  worked  with   students,  for  which  it  was  often  the  first  time  to  engage  in  such  a  strategy  making  process.  There   are  however  some  remarkable  outcomes.       On  the  overall  score  (at  right  of  table  1)  we  see  no  effect  of  the  support  by  Urban  Strategy.  On  the   level  of  the  dimensions,  we  see  a  meaningful  positive  effect  on  ‘effectiveness’,  although  this  effect   is  not  significant  due  to  the  large  variation  within  the  control-­‐  and  treatment  group.  Apparently,   perceptions  of  this  vary  wildly.  A  very  negative  effect  is  found  on  ‘consensus  on  goals’,  but  again   the  found  difference  is  not  significant.  Most  effects  on  the  other  dimensions  are  close  to  zero.  We   can  therefore  not  confirm  a  positive  effect  of  Urban  Strategy  on  the  strategy  making  process.       3.2 Perceived  quality  of  the  planning  outcome   The  overall  quality  of  the  planning  outcome  (at  right  in  table  2)  is  affected  negatively  by  the  support   of   Urban   Strategy.   This   effect   is   not   significant,   but   still   noteworthy.   Only   ‘implementability’   is   positively   affected,   while   all   other   dimensions   show   a   negative   effect   of   Urban   Strategy.   This   is   most   remarkable   for   ‘applicability’   and   the   related   grouped   dimension   of   ‘relevance’   where   negative  scores  of  respectively  1,5  and  0,78  are  found.  Again,  we  can  conclude  from  these  scores   that  we  cannot  confirm  a  positive  effect  of  Urban  Strategy  on  the  strategy  making  outcome.       3.3 Usability  characteristics  of  Urban  Strategy   Although  a  positive  effect  of  the  instrument  could  not  be  confirmed,  the  participants  were  very   positive  about  its  usability.  The  scores  in  table  3  (on  a  7  point  scale  and  arranged  from  high  to  low)   indicate  that  all  usability  dimensions  score  over  4,6.  Most  positive  elements  are  the  ‘support  for   evaluating  alternatives’,  ‘communicative  value’  and  ‘supporting  the  creation  of  ideas’.