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Study Designs

 Cross-sectional
  Case-control


                   1
Study Designs



      Observational                     Experimental




Case-control          Cross-sectional

          Cohort
                                                   2
Experimental Studies
•   Produce the most scientifically rigorous data
•   Difficulties enrolling subjects
•   High costs
•   Ethical issues




                                                3
Observational Studies
•   “Natural experiments”
•   Cross-sectional
•   Case-control
•   Cohort




                                4
Cross-sectional design




                         5
Cross-sectional study
• “Examines the relationship between diseases and
  other variables of interest as they exist in a defined
  population at one particular time.”
• Selection is independent of exposure or disease
  status.
• Done at a single point in time
• Current disease status is examined in relation to
  current exposure status
• Carried out for public health planning and for
  etiologic research

                                                       6
CROSS-SECTIONAL STUDIES
• exposure and disease are assessed simultaneous
in each INDIVIDUAL at a given point or SNAPSHOT
in time...

    ONE SLICE IN TIME




                                              7
CROSS-SECTIONAL STUDIES

• Because unit of analysis is INDIVIDUALS…

  – Provides good estimate of Prevalence
  – NOT useful for rare events because in a
    one-time snapshot enough rare diseases
    or rare exposures may not be captured (in
    ecologic studies samples sizes are always
    large!)
  – May be subject to selection bias if certain
    INDIVIDUALS refuse to participate in the
    study for unknown reasons
                                                  8
Key features of cross-sectional studies
• Examine association at a single point in time, and
  so measure exposure prevalence in relation to
  disease prevalence

• Cannot infer temporal sequence between exposure
  and disease if exposure is a characteristic

• Other limitations may include preponderance of
  prevalent cases of long duration and “healthy
  worker survivor effect”

• Advantages include generalizability and low cost     9
CASE CONTROL STUDY DESIGN




                        10
CASE CONTROL STUDIES
          SOME KEY POINTS
• Most frequently used study design


• Participants selected on the basis of whether or
  not they are DISEASED (remember in a cohort study
  participants are selected based on exposure status)


• Those who are diseased are called CASES


• Those who are not diseased are called                 11
  CONTROLS
Study Population



DISEASED           non-DISEASED
  (Cases)             (Controls)




                                   12
Study Population



DISEASED            non-DISEASED
  (Cases)              (Controls)



exposed non-exposed exposed non-
              exposed



                                    13
Because participants are selected on the
 basis of disease, exposures for ALL
 PARTICIPANTS are obtained
 RETROSPECTIVELY…


    PAST                         PRESENT

Exposure        recall     Cases & Controls

                           Selected

 Example: lung cancer cases and non-          14
 cancerous controls recall past exposure to
SELECTION OF CASES

• FIRST decide on a specific case definition
  based on a medically diagnosed condition


• Must consider what criteria will confirm the
  case definition
   – lung cancer confirmed by biopsy
   – osteoporosis confirmed by bone density
     measurements
   – atherosclerosis confirmed by ultrasound of
     carotid arteries
                                               15
SELECTION OF CASES
• SECOND will you use INCIDENT or
  PREVALENT cases?
• Incident…
   – must wait for new cases to occur
   – study can specifically measure exposure
     relating to development of disease
• Prevalent...
   – don’t have to wait while cases occur with
     time - more practical!
   – study will specifically measure exposure
     relating to survival with disease           16
SELECTION OF CASES

• THIRD be aware of the unique qualities of
  certain groups
   – hospital admissions
   – nursing homes
   – screening participants
   – day care facilities
• some groups may have better supporting
  medical records
• some groups may be more homogenous and
  present less confounding variables
                                              17
SELECTION OF CONTROLS

• THE BIG PICTURE…


  – Controls should be representative of the
    referent population from which cases are
    selected (I.e. comparable)
  – They don’t have to be representative of the
    source (I.e. total) population
  – Controls should have the potential to
    become cases (they have to be susceptible
    for the disease of interest)               18
Total Population

                Reference
                Population




        Cases                Controls


Controls should be comparable to cases
                                         19
Selection of controls
• Controls (referent group) are a sample of
  the population that produced the cases

• Controls come from the same base
  population as the cases

• Controls must be sampled independently of
  exposure status
                                              20
Sources of controls
1. Individuals from the general population

Advantage:
Controls would be comparable to the cases w.r.t.
    demographic variables
Disadvantage:
1. Time consuming and expensive to identify
2. Interest in participation
3. Recall bias
                                                   21
2. Individuals attending a hospital or clinic
•  Illnesses of the controls should be unrelated to the exposure
   under study
•  Control’s illness should have the same referral pattern to the
   health care facility as the case’s illness.
Advantages:
1. Less expensive
2. Easy to identify, good participation rates
3. Have comparable characteristics to cases
4. Recall of controls is similar to recall of cases

Disadvantage:
Difficulty in determining appropriate illnesses for inclusion

                                                                22
3. Friends or relatives identified by the
                      cases

Advantage:
• Share the cases’ socioeconomic status, race ,
  age, education etc..

Disadvantage:
1. Cases may be unwilling to nominate controls

2. Bias results if cases and controls share a
   specific activity (exposure)                 23
4. Individuals who have died
• Deceased controls are used when some or all of cases are
  dead.
• Identified by reviewing death records of individuals who
  lived in the same geographic region and died during the
  same time period as the cases.
• Used to ensure comparable data collection procedures
  (proxy interviews)

Disadvantages:
• May not be representative of the source population that
  produced the cases
• More likely to have used alcohol, drugs, smoking


                                                             24
Sources of Exposure Information
•   Questionnaires
•   In-person
•   Telephone interviews
•   Self-administered questionnaires
•   Medical records

Accuracy of the source especially that exposure is
  retrospective
                                                     25
MEASURING ASSOCIATION

• because study participants in Case Control
  studies are selected based on disease
  status...

  – case control studies are ideal for the study
    of rare diseases
  – incidence can’t be calculated




                                                   26
MEASURING ASSOCIATION

• Because incidence can’t be calculated, a
  relative risk can’t be calculated (RR is a ratio
  of INCIDENCE in exposed and non-exposed)


• Instead of the RR, an ODDS RATIO is
  calculated in case control studies




                                                 27
Analysis of case-Control studies

• The size of the population which produced
  the cases is not known
• Can not calculate risk
• => calculate Odds
• The odds of an event is the probability that
  it will occur divided by the probability that
  it will not occur          Odds among the exposed

• Disease odds ratio =       Odds among the non-exposed
                                                     28
MEASURING ASSOCIATION

• Odds: NOT a proportion, but the ratio of the
  # ways an event CAN occur relative to the #
  of ways an event CAN NOT occur

     Odds = P(event occurs) = p / ( 1 - p)
          1 - P(event occurs)

• Odds Ratio: Odds of case being exposed
            Odds of control being exposed
                                                 29
Cases    Controls

Exposed            a        b

Unexposed          c        d


                 a/b                  ad
Odds ratio=                       =
                                      bc
                 c/d

                                           30
Is Use of Artificial Sweeteners associated
          with Bladder Cancer?

                 Cases                    Controls

Ever Used                1,293            2,455
Never Used               1,707            3,321

Total                    3,000            5,776

   ODDS RATIO = 1,293 * 3,321 = 1.026
               2,455 * 1,707
                                                     31
Hoover and Strasser (1980) Lancet 1: 837-840
Interpretation of the Odds Ratio…

If
     O.R. = 1 then exposure NOT related to
disease

       OR >1    then exposure POSITIVELY related
to                 disease

       OR <1    then exposure NEGATIVELY related
                   to disease

     Hoover and Strasser concluded what from their32
CASE CONTROL STUDY SUMMARY
                   • cases and controls are
                     representative of a referent
                     population
    cases          • controls have the potential
                     to become cases
Referent pop’n
                   • selection based on disease
                     and exposure assessed
Total population     retrospectively


                                            33
Twists and Turns in Case-
     control Studies




                            34
SELECTION OF CONTROLS

• The investigator can elect to use more than
  one TYPE of control for each case… when
  there is no ONE group similar enough to
  cases

    EXAMPLE: a particular leukemia case
    may have both a neighborhood control
    (similar to case in terms of environment)
    and a sibling control (similar to case in
    terms of genetic background)
                                                35
SELECTION OF CONTROLS

• to avoid potential problems of confounding
  some studies use MATCHING


  – MATCHING: the process of selecting
    controls so that they are similar to cases
    on certain specific characteristics




                                                 36
Exposure                     Disease



             Confounder


  Confounders are third variables that are
  associated with both the disease and the
                  exposure
                                             37
SELECTION OF CONTROLS

• CHARACTERISTICS THAT ARE OFTEN
  USED FOR MATCHING…

  –   age
  –   gender
  –   body mass index (weight / height2)
  –   smoking status
  –   marital status


                                           38
BIAS IN CASE CONTROL STUDIES

 BIAS: any systematic error (not random or by
 chance) in a study which leads to an incorrect
 estimate of the association between an
 exposure and the disease of interest

• MAIN TYPES of bias in Case Control
  Studies…
  – selection bias
  – recall bias
                                              39
BIAS IN CASE CONTROL STUDIES

• SELECTION BIAS: systematic error due to
  differences in characteristics between those
  selected for a study and those not selected


 EXAMPLE in CC Studies: When cases are
 selected from a hospitalized population with
 unique exposures, controls often are not
 representative of the population that gave rise
 to cases
                                                 40
BIAS IN CASE CONTROL STUDIES

• RECALL BIAS:systematic error due to
  differences in accuracy or completeness of
  recall to memory of past events or
  experiences

 EXAMPLE in CC Studies: Often cases faced
 with a serious illness will more closely
 scrutinize their past exposures and will be
 more accurate and complete in their recall
 than controls
                                               41
What do you think will happen to our
estimate of the Odds ratio if cases recall
their exposure status better than controls?


                 D     ND
Exposure         a     b
No exposure      c     d


Odds Ratio = ( a ) d / b c
                                              42
Strengths of case-control studies
• Efficient for rare diseases
• Efficient for diseases with long induction
  and latent periods
• Can evaluate multiple exposures in relation
  to a disease
• can use smaller sample sizes
• cost/time effective when using previously
  collected (RETROSPECTIVE) exposures
                                                43
Weaknesses
• Inefficient for rare exposures
• May have poor information on exposures because
  retrospective
• Vulnerable to bias because retrospective
• Difficult to infer temporal relationship between
  exposure and disease
• can’t calculate incidence
• selecting appropriate controls can be challenging
                                                  44
When is it desirable to use case-
          control design?
• Exposure data are difficult or expensive to
  obtain
• The disease is rare
• The disease has a long latent period
• Little is known about the disease
• The underlying population is dynamic


                                                45

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Lecture 5 case control & cross-sectional spring 2013

  • 2. Study Designs Observational Experimental Case-control Cross-sectional Cohort 2
  • 3. Experimental Studies • Produce the most scientifically rigorous data • Difficulties enrolling subjects • High costs • Ethical issues 3
  • 4. Observational Studies • “Natural experiments” • Cross-sectional • Case-control • Cohort 4
  • 6. Cross-sectional study • “Examines the relationship between diseases and other variables of interest as they exist in a defined population at one particular time.” • Selection is independent of exposure or disease status. • Done at a single point in time • Current disease status is examined in relation to current exposure status • Carried out for public health planning and for etiologic research 6
  • 7. CROSS-SECTIONAL STUDIES • exposure and disease are assessed simultaneous in each INDIVIDUAL at a given point or SNAPSHOT in time... ONE SLICE IN TIME 7
  • 8. CROSS-SECTIONAL STUDIES • Because unit of analysis is INDIVIDUALS… – Provides good estimate of Prevalence – NOT useful for rare events because in a one-time snapshot enough rare diseases or rare exposures may not be captured (in ecologic studies samples sizes are always large!) – May be subject to selection bias if certain INDIVIDUALS refuse to participate in the study for unknown reasons 8
  • 9. Key features of cross-sectional studies • Examine association at a single point in time, and so measure exposure prevalence in relation to disease prevalence • Cannot infer temporal sequence between exposure and disease if exposure is a characteristic • Other limitations may include preponderance of prevalent cases of long duration and “healthy worker survivor effect” • Advantages include generalizability and low cost 9
  • 10. CASE CONTROL STUDY DESIGN 10
  • 11. CASE CONTROL STUDIES SOME KEY POINTS • Most frequently used study design • Participants selected on the basis of whether or not they are DISEASED (remember in a cohort study participants are selected based on exposure status) • Those who are diseased are called CASES • Those who are not diseased are called 11 CONTROLS
  • 12. Study Population DISEASED non-DISEASED (Cases) (Controls) 12
  • 13. Study Population DISEASED non-DISEASED (Cases) (Controls) exposed non-exposed exposed non- exposed 13
  • 14. Because participants are selected on the basis of disease, exposures for ALL PARTICIPANTS are obtained RETROSPECTIVELY… PAST PRESENT Exposure recall Cases & Controls Selected Example: lung cancer cases and non- 14 cancerous controls recall past exposure to
  • 15. SELECTION OF CASES • FIRST decide on a specific case definition based on a medically diagnosed condition • Must consider what criteria will confirm the case definition – lung cancer confirmed by biopsy – osteoporosis confirmed by bone density measurements – atherosclerosis confirmed by ultrasound of carotid arteries 15
  • 16. SELECTION OF CASES • SECOND will you use INCIDENT or PREVALENT cases? • Incident… – must wait for new cases to occur – study can specifically measure exposure relating to development of disease • Prevalent... – don’t have to wait while cases occur with time - more practical! – study will specifically measure exposure relating to survival with disease 16
  • 17. SELECTION OF CASES • THIRD be aware of the unique qualities of certain groups – hospital admissions – nursing homes – screening participants – day care facilities • some groups may have better supporting medical records • some groups may be more homogenous and present less confounding variables 17
  • 18. SELECTION OF CONTROLS • THE BIG PICTURE… – Controls should be representative of the referent population from which cases are selected (I.e. comparable) – They don’t have to be representative of the source (I.e. total) population – Controls should have the potential to become cases (they have to be susceptible for the disease of interest) 18
  • 19. Total Population Reference Population Cases Controls Controls should be comparable to cases 19
  • 20. Selection of controls • Controls (referent group) are a sample of the population that produced the cases • Controls come from the same base population as the cases • Controls must be sampled independently of exposure status 20
  • 21. Sources of controls 1. Individuals from the general population Advantage: Controls would be comparable to the cases w.r.t. demographic variables Disadvantage: 1. Time consuming and expensive to identify 2. Interest in participation 3. Recall bias 21
  • 22. 2. Individuals attending a hospital or clinic • Illnesses of the controls should be unrelated to the exposure under study • Control’s illness should have the same referral pattern to the health care facility as the case’s illness. Advantages: 1. Less expensive 2. Easy to identify, good participation rates 3. Have comparable characteristics to cases 4. Recall of controls is similar to recall of cases Disadvantage: Difficulty in determining appropriate illnesses for inclusion 22
  • 23. 3. Friends or relatives identified by the cases Advantage: • Share the cases’ socioeconomic status, race , age, education etc.. Disadvantage: 1. Cases may be unwilling to nominate controls 2. Bias results if cases and controls share a specific activity (exposure) 23
  • 24. 4. Individuals who have died • Deceased controls are used when some or all of cases are dead. • Identified by reviewing death records of individuals who lived in the same geographic region and died during the same time period as the cases. • Used to ensure comparable data collection procedures (proxy interviews) Disadvantages: • May not be representative of the source population that produced the cases • More likely to have used alcohol, drugs, smoking 24
  • 25. Sources of Exposure Information • Questionnaires • In-person • Telephone interviews • Self-administered questionnaires • Medical records Accuracy of the source especially that exposure is retrospective 25
  • 26. MEASURING ASSOCIATION • because study participants in Case Control studies are selected based on disease status... – case control studies are ideal for the study of rare diseases – incidence can’t be calculated 26
  • 27. MEASURING ASSOCIATION • Because incidence can’t be calculated, a relative risk can’t be calculated (RR is a ratio of INCIDENCE in exposed and non-exposed) • Instead of the RR, an ODDS RATIO is calculated in case control studies 27
  • 28. Analysis of case-Control studies • The size of the population which produced the cases is not known • Can not calculate risk • => calculate Odds • The odds of an event is the probability that it will occur divided by the probability that it will not occur Odds among the exposed • Disease odds ratio = Odds among the non-exposed 28
  • 29. MEASURING ASSOCIATION • Odds: NOT a proportion, but the ratio of the # ways an event CAN occur relative to the # of ways an event CAN NOT occur Odds = P(event occurs) = p / ( 1 - p) 1 - P(event occurs) • Odds Ratio: Odds of case being exposed Odds of control being exposed 29
  • 30. Cases Controls Exposed a b Unexposed c d a/b ad Odds ratio= = bc c/d 30
  • 31. Is Use of Artificial Sweeteners associated with Bladder Cancer? Cases Controls Ever Used 1,293 2,455 Never Used 1,707 3,321 Total 3,000 5,776 ODDS RATIO = 1,293 * 3,321 = 1.026 2,455 * 1,707 31 Hoover and Strasser (1980) Lancet 1: 837-840
  • 32. Interpretation of the Odds Ratio… If O.R. = 1 then exposure NOT related to disease OR >1 then exposure POSITIVELY related to disease OR <1 then exposure NEGATIVELY related to disease Hoover and Strasser concluded what from their32
  • 33. CASE CONTROL STUDY SUMMARY • cases and controls are representative of a referent population cases • controls have the potential to become cases Referent pop’n • selection based on disease and exposure assessed Total population retrospectively 33
  • 34. Twists and Turns in Case- control Studies 34
  • 35. SELECTION OF CONTROLS • The investigator can elect to use more than one TYPE of control for each case… when there is no ONE group similar enough to cases EXAMPLE: a particular leukemia case may have both a neighborhood control (similar to case in terms of environment) and a sibling control (similar to case in terms of genetic background) 35
  • 36. SELECTION OF CONTROLS • to avoid potential problems of confounding some studies use MATCHING – MATCHING: the process of selecting controls so that they are similar to cases on certain specific characteristics 36
  • 37. Exposure Disease Confounder Confounders are third variables that are associated with both the disease and the exposure 37
  • 38. SELECTION OF CONTROLS • CHARACTERISTICS THAT ARE OFTEN USED FOR MATCHING… – age – gender – body mass index (weight / height2) – smoking status – marital status 38
  • 39. BIAS IN CASE CONTROL STUDIES BIAS: any systematic error (not random or by chance) in a study which leads to an incorrect estimate of the association between an exposure and the disease of interest • MAIN TYPES of bias in Case Control Studies… – selection bias – recall bias 39
  • 40. BIAS IN CASE CONTROL STUDIES • SELECTION BIAS: systematic error due to differences in characteristics between those selected for a study and those not selected EXAMPLE in CC Studies: When cases are selected from a hospitalized population with unique exposures, controls often are not representative of the population that gave rise to cases 40
  • 41. BIAS IN CASE CONTROL STUDIES • RECALL BIAS:systematic error due to differences in accuracy or completeness of recall to memory of past events or experiences EXAMPLE in CC Studies: Often cases faced with a serious illness will more closely scrutinize their past exposures and will be more accurate and complete in their recall than controls 41
  • 42. What do you think will happen to our estimate of the Odds ratio if cases recall their exposure status better than controls? D ND Exposure a b No exposure c d Odds Ratio = ( a ) d / b c 42
  • 43. Strengths of case-control studies • Efficient for rare diseases • Efficient for diseases with long induction and latent periods • Can evaluate multiple exposures in relation to a disease • can use smaller sample sizes • cost/time effective when using previously collected (RETROSPECTIVE) exposures 43
  • 44. Weaknesses • Inefficient for rare exposures • May have poor information on exposures because retrospective • Vulnerable to bias because retrospective • Difficult to infer temporal relationship between exposure and disease • can’t calculate incidence • selecting appropriate controls can be challenging 44
  • 45. When is it desirable to use case- control design? • Exposure data are difficult or expensive to obtain • The disease is rare • The disease has a long latent period • Little is known about the disease • The underlying population is dynamic 45

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. Sharon - the idea here is like the relation between oral contraceptives and thromboembolism. Because physicians were more likely to hospitalize women presenting with symptoms of thromboembolism if they currently used oral contraceptives, any case control investigation of the relationship between this exposure and disease that utilized only hospitalized cases could overestimate the true relationship since the proportion of exposed women would be artificially high among those hospitalized with thromboembolism compared with all cases of thromboembolism.
  2. Sharon - the idea here is like the relation between oral contraceptives and thromboembolism. Because physicians were more likely to hospitalize women presenting with symptoms of thromboembolism if they currently used oral contraceptives, any case control investigation of the relationship between this exposure and disease that utilized only hospitalized cases could overestimate the true relationship since the proportion of exposed women would be artificially high among those hospitalized with thromboembolism compared with all cases of thromboembolism.
  3. Sharon - the idea here is like the relation between oral contraceptives and thromboembolism. Because physicians were more likely to hospitalize women presenting with symptoms of thromboembolism if they currently used oral contraceptives, any case control investigation of the relationship between this exposure and disease that utilized only hospitalized cases could overestimate the true relationship since the proportion of exposed women would be artificially high among those hospitalized with thromboembolism compared with all cases of thromboembolism.
  4. Sharon - the idea here is like the relation between oral contraceptives and thromboembolism. Because physicians were more likely to hospitalize women presenting with symptoms of thromboembolism if they currently used oral contraceptives, any case control investigation of the relationship between this exposure and disease that utilized only hospitalized cases could overestimate the true relationship since the proportion of exposed women would be artificially high among those hospitalized with thromboembolism compared with all cases of thromboembolism.
  5. Sharon - the idea here is like the relation between oral contraceptives and thromboembolism. Because physicians were more likely to hospitalize women presenting with symptoms of thromboembolism if they currently used oral contraceptives, any case control investigation of the relationship between this exposure and disease that utilized only hospitalized cases could overestimate the true relationship since the proportion of exposed women would be artificially high among those hospitalized with thromboembolism compared with all cases of thromboembolism.
  6. Sharon - the idea here is like the relation between oral contraceptives and thromboembolism. Because physicians were more likely to hospitalize women presenting with symptoms of thromboembolism if they currently used oral contraceptives, any case control investigation of the relationship between this exposure and disease that utilized only hospitalized cases could overestimate the true relationship since the proportion of exposed women would be artificially high among those hospitalized with thromboembolism compared with all cases of thromboembolism.
  7. Sharon - the idea here is like the relation between oral contraceptives and thromboembolism. Because physicians were more likely to hospitalize women presenting with symptoms of thromboembolism if they currently used oral contraceptives, any case control investigation of the relationship between this exposure and disease that utilized only hospitalized cases could overestimate the true relationship since the proportion of exposed women would be artificially high among those hospitalized with thromboembolism compared with all cases of thromboembolism.