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Insight Valley Asia 2013 | May 16 & 17 | Bangkok, Thailand | www.insightvalley.com
Insight Valley Asia 2013 | May 16 & 17 | Bangkok, Thailand | www.insightvalley.com
Thank you to our sponsor & partners!
Gold Sponsor
Supported by
Organised by
The Mekong Sub-region
Asia’s final frontier of 168 million consumers
©TNS 2012 2
83 Countries
300 Offices
Over 25,000 employees
TNS global footprint – the world’s largest custom
research group.
©TNS 2012
Agenda
1 Economics
2 Population
3 Wealth
4 Consumerism
5 Attitudes
6 Summary
©TNS 2012
Economics
4
©TNS 2012
Foreign Direct Investment
5
23,107
322 511 774
18,595
756 622 761
14,696
912 777 1,088
12,000
971 1,285
Vietnam Myanmar Cambodia Laos
2009 2010
2011 2012
FDI USD millions
2012 could
be up to US
$ 20 Billion
Source: data.worldbank.org
Vietnam dwarf’s CaLM in FDI, but this is changing especially for Myanmar
©TNS 2012
Export, import, trade deficit - 2012
Sources: National data sources, IMF, and World Bank
115,000
9,135 6,640 2,840
121,000
9,035 8,606
3,324
-6,000
100
-1,966 -484
Vietnam Myanmar Cambodia Laos
Exports of goods (millions US$) Imports of goods (millions US$) Trade balance (millions US$)
Imports vs. exports 2012 (estimates only):
Typically developing nations have huge trade deficits, but due to the
economic slow-down and fiscal responsibility the CaLM region is
experiencing a trade balance which will not last long
©TNS 2012
GDP by Sector
7
20%
34% 37% 43%
41%
21%
20%
21%
39%
45% 43%
36%
Vietnam Cambodia Laos Myanmar
Services
Industry
Agriculture
Industry still lags behind agriculture in most of the Mekong Region
©TNS 2012
Major Exports
8
Myanamr
oil & gas
gemstones
timber
illegal drugs
rice
rubber
Cambodia
clothing
timber
rubber
rice
fish
tobacco
footwear
Oil
Laos
wood products
garments
electricity
coffee
tin
copper
gold
electric power
Myanmar & Laos are incredibly natural resource rich
Source: Worldbank
Vietnam
rice
coffee
aqua produce
pepper
garments
shoes
manufactured
goods
©TNS 2012
Population
9
©TNS 2012
Population
10
90
69
56
15 6
Vietnam Thailand Myanmar Cambodia Laos
With a population of 75 Million and an incredible 40% plus under
20 years of age, a population boom will help drive
consumerism in CaLM
http://www.census.gov
Millions
77 Million &
growing rapidly
Cambodia Life 2012 report
© TNS July 2012 11
Greater Mekong Sub Region - Populated key cities
Vietnam 91,519,289
Ho Chi Minh 7,300,000
Hanoi 6,450,000
Myanmar 54,584,650
Yangon 4,573,000
Mandalay 1,237,000
Nay pyi daw 924,600
Cambodia 14,952,665
Phnom Penh 1,519,000
Laos 6,586,266
Vientiane 799,000
7 Key Cities 22,862,000
The seven major cities of the region have a larger population
than Australia = 22,683,600
http://www.census.gov
Cambodia Life 2012 report
© TNS July 2012
17
17
20
16
13
9
5
4
22
20
22
13
11
7
4
2
18
19
19
16
13
9
5
370+ yrs
60-69 yrs
50-59 yrs
40-49 yrs
30-39 yrs
20-29 yrs
10-19 yrs
0-9 yrs
Population tree
34% 37% 42%
The region is incredibly young boding well for the future
54% 56% 64%
Source: TNS VietCycle / TNS Cambodia Life / TNS Myanmar Life
70% 72% 77%
©TNS 2012
88
4
4 4
Buddhist Other Christian
Muslim Others
Religions
13
50
40
7 3
Non-demoninational
Buddhist
Roman Catholic
Others
Source: VietCycle 2011; All-in-one; CIA - The World Factbook
96
24
Buddhist (official)
Muslim
Others
Buddhism is by far the regions main Philosophy,
but the impact of Buddhism varies greatly in terms of daily life,
Laos = Buddhist 67%, Christian 1.5%, other and unspecified 31.5%
©TNS 2012
68
5
5
22
Burmese
Indian
Kayin
Others (i.e. Shan, Rakhine, etc.)
Ethnicity
14
86
14
Kinh (Viet)
Others (i.e. Tay, Thai,
Muong, Khmer. Etc.)
90
5
5
Khmer Vietnamese Others
Source: All-in-one; CIA - The World Factbook
This region is incredibly different in terms of ethnicity and very diverse,
especially Laos = Lao 55%, Khmou 11%, Hmong 8%, other (over 100 minor
ethnic groups) 26%
©TNS 2012
Wealth
©TNS 2012
2012 - GDP
16
318
123
56 14
8
Thailand Vietnam Myanmar Cambodia Laos
Billions USD
Though Vietnam is but a third Thailand’s GDP and CaLM but a 3rd of
Vietnam, this will change as global economic recession continues in Europe
and the US
Source: All-in-one; CIA - The World Factbook
©TNS 2012
CaLM GDP & Purchase power
17
1,700
4,600
1,000 930
1,400
Vietnam Thailand Myanmar Cambodia Laos
3,300
9,700
1,300
2,371
2,000
Vietnam Thailand Myanmar Cambodia Laos
Thousand Thousand
SOURCE :http:/imf.org; http://www.tradingeconomics.com;
GDP / Capita Purchase power parity
CaLM has a long way to go in terms of developing Purchasing Power,
which highlights the great opportunities available
©TNS 2012
38%
5%
12%
6%
5%
5%
5%
8%
3%
13%
Household expenditure
18
40%
11%
9%
8%
6%
6%
5%
4%
11%
32%
15%
10%
9%
8%
5%
5%
4%
4%
8%
Breakdown of monthly urban household expenditure (%):
Groceries are the main spend items followed by Education in CaLM
Groceries
Education TransportationGroceries
Source: TNS VietCycle / TNS Cambodia Life / TNS Myanmar Life
©TNS 2012
Expenditure vs. Savings
19
78 83
93
22 17
7
Expenditure Saving
Cambodians and Vietnamese have a higher penchant for savings
Source: TNS VietCycle / TNS Cambodia Life / TNS Myanmar Life
Cambodia Life 2012 report
© TNS July 2012
Monthly Urban Household Income Comparisons
20
2
12 8
11
30
26
22
11 26
32
25 16
23
11 15
10 11 9
Vietnam Myanmar Cambodia
USD 750+
USD 500-750
USD 325-500
Under USD
325
Vietnam is considerably more wealthy than Myanmar and Cambodia
Source: TNS VietCycle / TNS Cambodia Life / TNS Myanmar Life
©TNS 2012
Consumerism
©TNS 2012
12
60
73
17
81
11
18
19
2
12
%
27
15
84
4
39
11
13
5
18
7
%
Household durables ownership - Urban
22
92
87
61
60
47
41
32
26
17
13
Gas stove
Refrigerator
CRT TV
Washing machine
DVD Player
PC/Deskstop
LCD / Plasma TV
Air conditionier
Karaoke system
Digital camera
Vietnam Cambodia Myanmar
Outside off TV, DVD players CaLM is substantially behind Vietnam
Source: TNS VietCycle / TNS Cambodia Life / TNS Myanmar Life
0
91
96
41
77
34
0
0
0
36
%
Laos
©TNS 2012
Household technology items ownership - Urban
23
95 98
37
98
17 15 10
34
Vietnam Cambodia Myanmar Laos
Mobile phone Laptop
Myanmar lags far behind on technology
Source: TNS VietCycle / TNS Cambodia Life / TNS Myanmar Life
©TNS 2012
Consumer’s top 3 items would like to own - Urban
24
Air-conditioner
33%
Laptop
33%
Washing machine
32%
Refrigerator
58%
Washing machine
44%
Air-conditioner
33%
Washing machine
21%
Refrigerator
15%
Laptop
15%
Similarities in terms of desired durable ownership are striking
Source: TNS VietCycle / TNS Cambodia Life / TNS Myanmar Life
©TNS 2012
Top 3 favourite brands - Urban
25
Vietnam MyanmarCambodia
Not surprisingly technology and transportation brands rule
Source: TNS VietCycle / TNS Cambodia Life / TNS Myanmar Life
©TNS 2012
Attitudes
26
©TNS 2012
Attitudes towards life – Position & Status
27
73%
49%
42%
Cambodia Myanmar Vietnam
Position and status in society is the most important aspect of my life?
(top 2 box score)
Cambodians are in an all out push to catch up to the rest of the world,
while Burmese are still seeped in tradition
Source: TNS VietCycle / TNS Cambodia Life / TNS Myanmar Life
©TNS 2012
Attitudes towards women
28
69
60
49
34
63
Urban Cambodia 2012 Urban Vietnam 2001 Urban Vietnam 2011
Top-2-box % agreement:
“Women must focus only on their
traditional family roles”
“It is completely acceptable for women
to earn more than men”
2001
2012
2011
2012
2011
Over the years attitudes towards women in society have liberalized
Source: TNS VietCycle / TNS Cambodia Life / TNS Myanmar Life
©TNS 2012
Women and traditional roles
49
69
34
Myanmar 2012 Cambodia 2012 Vietnam 2011
“Women must focus on their traditional family roles”
Top-2-box % agreement:
29
Over time Cambodian and Burmese attitudes should become more equal
Source: TNS VietCycle / TNS Cambodia Life / TNS Myanmar Life
©TNS 2012
Importance of family
30
92
16
95
11
96
19
Cambodia Vietnam Myanmar
“A close family is essential to my
happiness”
“I prefer to spend more time with my
friends than my family”
Top-2-box % agreement:
Family is still the cornerstone of society
Source: TNS VietCycle / TNS Cambodia Life / TNS Myanmar Life
©TNS 2012
Summary
31
©TNS 2012
Summary
32
 168 Million untapped consumers
 rich in natural resources
 very young population = future
 limited competition
 willingness of host to do business
 poor infrastructure for transport
 poor human capital
 very young population
 varying ethnicities and religions
 low incomes
Positives Negatives
Vietnam has 15 year head start compared with Cambodia, Laos and Myanmar
but is still 15 years or more behind Thailand
©TNS 2012
Please contact:
Ralf.Matthaes@tnsglobal.com
Regional Managing Director
TNS
Cambodia | Laos | Myanmar | Vietnam
or
Eelco.Dijkhuizen@tnsglobal.com
General Manager
TNS Cambodia
Jason.Copland@tnsglobal.com
General Manager
TNS Myanmar
Ashish.Kanchan@tnsglobal.com
Executive Director
TNS Vietnam
Questions?
Insight Valley Asia 2013 | May 16 & 17 | Bangkok, Thailand | www.insightvalley.com
Thank you to our sponsor & partners!
Gold Sponsor
Supported by
Organised by
Insight Valley Asia 2013 | May 16 & 17 | Bangkok, Thailand | www.insightvalley.com

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The Mekong Sub-region - Asia's Final Frontiers - TNS

  • 1. Insight Valley Asia 2013 | May 16 & 17 | Bangkok, Thailand | www.insightvalley.com
  • 2. Insight Valley Asia 2013 | May 16 & 17 | Bangkok, Thailand | www.insightvalley.com Thank you to our sponsor & partners! Gold Sponsor Supported by Organised by
  • 3. The Mekong Sub-region Asia’s final frontier of 168 million consumers
  • 4. ©TNS 2012 2 83 Countries 300 Offices Over 25,000 employees TNS global footprint – the world’s largest custom research group.
  • 5. ©TNS 2012 Agenda 1 Economics 2 Population 3 Wealth 4 Consumerism 5 Attitudes 6 Summary
  • 7. ©TNS 2012 Foreign Direct Investment 5 23,107 322 511 774 18,595 756 622 761 14,696 912 777 1,088 12,000 971 1,285 Vietnam Myanmar Cambodia Laos 2009 2010 2011 2012 FDI USD millions 2012 could be up to US $ 20 Billion Source: data.worldbank.org Vietnam dwarf’s CaLM in FDI, but this is changing especially for Myanmar
  • 8. ©TNS 2012 Export, import, trade deficit - 2012 Sources: National data sources, IMF, and World Bank 115,000 9,135 6,640 2,840 121,000 9,035 8,606 3,324 -6,000 100 -1,966 -484 Vietnam Myanmar Cambodia Laos Exports of goods (millions US$) Imports of goods (millions US$) Trade balance (millions US$) Imports vs. exports 2012 (estimates only): Typically developing nations have huge trade deficits, but due to the economic slow-down and fiscal responsibility the CaLM region is experiencing a trade balance which will not last long
  • 9. ©TNS 2012 GDP by Sector 7 20% 34% 37% 43% 41% 21% 20% 21% 39% 45% 43% 36% Vietnam Cambodia Laos Myanmar Services Industry Agriculture Industry still lags behind agriculture in most of the Mekong Region
  • 10. ©TNS 2012 Major Exports 8 Myanamr oil & gas gemstones timber illegal drugs rice rubber Cambodia clothing timber rubber rice fish tobacco footwear Oil Laos wood products garments electricity coffee tin copper gold electric power Myanmar & Laos are incredibly natural resource rich Source: Worldbank Vietnam rice coffee aqua produce pepper garments shoes manufactured goods
  • 12. ©TNS 2012 Population 10 90 69 56 15 6 Vietnam Thailand Myanmar Cambodia Laos With a population of 75 Million and an incredible 40% plus under 20 years of age, a population boom will help drive consumerism in CaLM http://www.census.gov Millions 77 Million & growing rapidly
  • 13. Cambodia Life 2012 report © TNS July 2012 11 Greater Mekong Sub Region - Populated key cities Vietnam 91,519,289 Ho Chi Minh 7,300,000 Hanoi 6,450,000 Myanmar 54,584,650 Yangon 4,573,000 Mandalay 1,237,000 Nay pyi daw 924,600 Cambodia 14,952,665 Phnom Penh 1,519,000 Laos 6,586,266 Vientiane 799,000 7 Key Cities 22,862,000 The seven major cities of the region have a larger population than Australia = 22,683,600 http://www.census.gov
  • 14. Cambodia Life 2012 report © TNS July 2012 17 17 20 16 13 9 5 4 22 20 22 13 11 7 4 2 18 19 19 16 13 9 5 370+ yrs 60-69 yrs 50-59 yrs 40-49 yrs 30-39 yrs 20-29 yrs 10-19 yrs 0-9 yrs Population tree 34% 37% 42% The region is incredibly young boding well for the future 54% 56% 64% Source: TNS VietCycle / TNS Cambodia Life / TNS Myanmar Life 70% 72% 77%
  • 15. ©TNS 2012 88 4 4 4 Buddhist Other Christian Muslim Others Religions 13 50 40 7 3 Non-demoninational Buddhist Roman Catholic Others Source: VietCycle 2011; All-in-one; CIA - The World Factbook 96 24 Buddhist (official) Muslim Others Buddhism is by far the regions main Philosophy, but the impact of Buddhism varies greatly in terms of daily life, Laos = Buddhist 67%, Christian 1.5%, other and unspecified 31.5%
  • 16. ©TNS 2012 68 5 5 22 Burmese Indian Kayin Others (i.e. Shan, Rakhine, etc.) Ethnicity 14 86 14 Kinh (Viet) Others (i.e. Tay, Thai, Muong, Khmer. Etc.) 90 5 5 Khmer Vietnamese Others Source: All-in-one; CIA - The World Factbook This region is incredibly different in terms of ethnicity and very diverse, especially Laos = Lao 55%, Khmou 11%, Hmong 8%, other (over 100 minor ethnic groups) 26%
  • 18. ©TNS 2012 2012 - GDP 16 318 123 56 14 8 Thailand Vietnam Myanmar Cambodia Laos Billions USD Though Vietnam is but a third Thailand’s GDP and CaLM but a 3rd of Vietnam, this will change as global economic recession continues in Europe and the US Source: All-in-one; CIA - The World Factbook
  • 19. ©TNS 2012 CaLM GDP & Purchase power 17 1,700 4,600 1,000 930 1,400 Vietnam Thailand Myanmar Cambodia Laos 3,300 9,700 1,300 2,371 2,000 Vietnam Thailand Myanmar Cambodia Laos Thousand Thousand SOURCE :http:/imf.org; http://www.tradingeconomics.com; GDP / Capita Purchase power parity CaLM has a long way to go in terms of developing Purchasing Power, which highlights the great opportunities available
  • 20. ©TNS 2012 38% 5% 12% 6% 5% 5% 5% 8% 3% 13% Household expenditure 18 40% 11% 9% 8% 6% 6% 5% 4% 11% 32% 15% 10% 9% 8% 5% 5% 4% 4% 8% Breakdown of monthly urban household expenditure (%): Groceries are the main spend items followed by Education in CaLM Groceries Education TransportationGroceries Source: TNS VietCycle / TNS Cambodia Life / TNS Myanmar Life
  • 21. ©TNS 2012 Expenditure vs. Savings 19 78 83 93 22 17 7 Expenditure Saving Cambodians and Vietnamese have a higher penchant for savings Source: TNS VietCycle / TNS Cambodia Life / TNS Myanmar Life
  • 22. Cambodia Life 2012 report © TNS July 2012 Monthly Urban Household Income Comparisons 20 2 12 8 11 30 26 22 11 26 32 25 16 23 11 15 10 11 9 Vietnam Myanmar Cambodia USD 750+ USD 500-750 USD 325-500 Under USD 325 Vietnam is considerably more wealthy than Myanmar and Cambodia Source: TNS VietCycle / TNS Cambodia Life / TNS Myanmar Life
  • 24. ©TNS 2012 12 60 73 17 81 11 18 19 2 12 % 27 15 84 4 39 11 13 5 18 7 % Household durables ownership - Urban 22 92 87 61 60 47 41 32 26 17 13 Gas stove Refrigerator CRT TV Washing machine DVD Player PC/Deskstop LCD / Plasma TV Air conditionier Karaoke system Digital camera Vietnam Cambodia Myanmar Outside off TV, DVD players CaLM is substantially behind Vietnam Source: TNS VietCycle / TNS Cambodia Life / TNS Myanmar Life 0 91 96 41 77 34 0 0 0 36 % Laos
  • 25. ©TNS 2012 Household technology items ownership - Urban 23 95 98 37 98 17 15 10 34 Vietnam Cambodia Myanmar Laos Mobile phone Laptop Myanmar lags far behind on technology Source: TNS VietCycle / TNS Cambodia Life / TNS Myanmar Life
  • 26. ©TNS 2012 Consumer’s top 3 items would like to own - Urban 24 Air-conditioner 33% Laptop 33% Washing machine 32% Refrigerator 58% Washing machine 44% Air-conditioner 33% Washing machine 21% Refrigerator 15% Laptop 15% Similarities in terms of desired durable ownership are striking Source: TNS VietCycle / TNS Cambodia Life / TNS Myanmar Life
  • 27. ©TNS 2012 Top 3 favourite brands - Urban 25 Vietnam MyanmarCambodia Not surprisingly technology and transportation brands rule Source: TNS VietCycle / TNS Cambodia Life / TNS Myanmar Life
  • 29. ©TNS 2012 Attitudes towards life – Position & Status 27 73% 49% 42% Cambodia Myanmar Vietnam Position and status in society is the most important aspect of my life? (top 2 box score) Cambodians are in an all out push to catch up to the rest of the world, while Burmese are still seeped in tradition Source: TNS VietCycle / TNS Cambodia Life / TNS Myanmar Life
  • 30. ©TNS 2012 Attitudes towards women 28 69 60 49 34 63 Urban Cambodia 2012 Urban Vietnam 2001 Urban Vietnam 2011 Top-2-box % agreement: “Women must focus only on their traditional family roles” “It is completely acceptable for women to earn more than men” 2001 2012 2011 2012 2011 Over the years attitudes towards women in society have liberalized Source: TNS VietCycle / TNS Cambodia Life / TNS Myanmar Life
  • 31. ©TNS 2012 Women and traditional roles 49 69 34 Myanmar 2012 Cambodia 2012 Vietnam 2011 “Women must focus on their traditional family roles” Top-2-box % agreement: 29 Over time Cambodian and Burmese attitudes should become more equal Source: TNS VietCycle / TNS Cambodia Life / TNS Myanmar Life
  • 32. ©TNS 2012 Importance of family 30 92 16 95 11 96 19 Cambodia Vietnam Myanmar “A close family is essential to my happiness” “I prefer to spend more time with my friends than my family” Top-2-box % agreement: Family is still the cornerstone of society Source: TNS VietCycle / TNS Cambodia Life / TNS Myanmar Life
  • 34. ©TNS 2012 Summary 32  168 Million untapped consumers  rich in natural resources  very young population = future  limited competition  willingness of host to do business  poor infrastructure for transport  poor human capital  very young population  varying ethnicities and religions  low incomes Positives Negatives Vietnam has 15 year head start compared with Cambodia, Laos and Myanmar but is still 15 years or more behind Thailand
  • 35. ©TNS 2012 Please contact: Ralf.Matthaes@tnsglobal.com Regional Managing Director TNS Cambodia | Laos | Myanmar | Vietnam or Eelco.Dijkhuizen@tnsglobal.com General Manager TNS Cambodia Jason.Copland@tnsglobal.com General Manager TNS Myanmar Ashish.Kanchan@tnsglobal.com Executive Director TNS Vietnam Questions?
  • 36. Insight Valley Asia 2013 | May 16 & 17 | Bangkok, Thailand | www.insightvalley.com Thank you to our sponsor & partners! Gold Sponsor Supported by Organised by
  • 37. Insight Valley Asia 2013 | May 16 & 17 | Bangkok, Thailand | www.insightvalley.com