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1. Trading Currency Futures With Dual Moving Average Crossover
1. Title Slide
2. Good day traders, this is Roger Scott from Market Geeks with another video
tutorial for you today. Yesterday I introduced you to currency futures contracts
and how to calculate them using basic tick values. Today I will show you how to
use a dual average crossover to trade currencies either futures or forex. Before I
begin I want to subscribe to our video channel and don’t forget to visit
MarketGeeks for your free swing trading report.
3. The best type of indicators to apply to currency markets are trend following and
momentum indicators. The moving average is one of the oldest and most often
used indicators for trend following markets. As we previously discussed there are
different types of moving average and moreover different ways to use moving
averages. The simple moving average is the most basic type of moving average.
The sole purpose is to add all the prices within a specified range and divide them
by the same number. This creates a very balanced average of moving prices
across the board.
4. The 50 day simple moving average is most often used by fund managers to
determine if stocks are trending up or down. The 200 day simple moving average
is another favorite indicator. It is often used by market analysts to determine if the
stock market index is in a long term up trend or a long term downtrend. The
simple moving average is not used very often for short term market swings.
5. The second most popular indicator for trading currency futures as well as other
quick moving markets is the exponential moving average. There is a big
difference between the simple moving average and the exponential moving
average. The simple moving average gives equal weight to all prices while the
exponential moving average puts substantially more weight on the more recent
price. This makes the exponential moving average more dynamic and better
suited for short term price swings. You can see in this example how the
exponential moving average reacts to price quicker than the simple moving
average.
6. The dual exponential moving average sounds complicated, but it's just another
way of using two EMA's of different length together at the same time. One EMA
measures the intermediate trend and the other EMA measures the short term
trend. When the short term trend crosses above the longer term trend, it signals
that the short term direction of the market and the intermediate direction of the
market are moving in the same direction, this provides a long entry opportunity.
7. After testing dozens of combinations I found that using the 18 bar for the
intermediate term EMA and using the 9 bar for the short term EMA produced the
most consistent results across the currency sector for swing trading currency

2. futures contracts as well as cash currency contracts. (Forex)
8. You can see in this example how the short term trend resolves in the direction of
the short term trend. The short term EMA crosses above the intermediate term
EMA and the market rallies strongly in the same direction moving quickly
upwards.
9. In this example you can see how the intermediate trend is moving downwards
and the short term EMA crosses down and begins accelerating down quicker
than the intermediate term EMA; notice how the market begins moving down
rather quickly after the crossover takes place. Waiting for the first bar to trade
completely below both moving average would be the initial buy signal. Notice
how long the dual moving average kept you in the trade without crossing back
up. It takes patience to stay in the market this long but it's worth it in the end.
10.Currency contracts respond well to trend following indicators. The EMA is one of
the best indicators for trading currency futures as well as cash contracts.
Because the EMA is very responsive to short term price swings, using EMA
crossovers tend to capture the quick changes in the short term and intermediate
direction of the trend. The 18 day or bar and the 9 day or bar EMA's have been
back tested on several currencies over the last 20 years to produce the best
results for short term and swing trading these markets.
11.Thanks for joining us for today’s trading tutorial. Don’t forget to visit
MarketGeeks.com for your free swing trading report. Wishing you the best in your
trading.
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