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WHERE ARE WE LOSING
THEM?
(DIS)ENGAGEMENT
PATTERNS OF VIRTUAL
HIGH SCHOOL
Abigail Hawkins & Charles R. Graham, Brigham Young
University
Michael K. Barbour, Wayne State University
Study Context
   Attrition in K-12 online learning is aproblem.
    (Barbour & Reeves, 2009; Berge & Clark, 2005; Bigbie&McCarroll,
    2000; Cavanaugh, Gillan, Bosnick, Hess, & Scott, 2005; McLeod,
    Hughes, Brown, Choi, & Maeda, 2005; Rice, 2006; Smith, Clark,
    &Blomeyer, 2005; Zucker&Kozma, 2003).
   Targeted interventions = who, where, when, and
    why of student drop outs (Institute for Educational Research,
    2008).
   Study setting
     Oldest (est. 1994) and one of largest (2008
      enrollments = 47,932)
     Asynchronous, self-paced, rolling-enrollment model
     Little published research
     High enrollments(i.e. 2008 =47,932) and attrition (i.e.
      2008 = 68.9% )
Study Purpose
   Understand the WHERE and WHEN of
    student dropout at EHS.

Study Questions
 When are students disengaging?

 Which disciplines are students
  withdrawing/stopping out of?
Method
   Examined 85,297 enrollments from 2005 -
    2008, descriptive statistics
   92 unique courses, 11 disciplines
   75 part-time teachers
   Student demographics limited
     50%credit acceleration, 30% credit recovery,
     20% both
   Policy changes, Oct. 2007
     30 days inactivity = dropped
     Six-month completion time
Student Enrollments: 2005-
2008
                60000
                        Significant growth over time.
                50000
                                                     150%             47932
                                                     increase
# of students




                40000

                30000                                       32065
                                   700%
                20000              increase

                10000
                                              4493
                    0        802
                           2005         2006             2007       2008
                                                 years
Enrollments vs. Starters: 2005-
2008
                60000   2008: 65% of students actually get out of the
                        gate.
                50000   2007: 51% submit at least one assignment
# of students




                40000

                30000
                                                                All Enrollments
                20000                                           Starters

                10000

                    0
                        2005      2006           2007   2008
                                         years
Completion Rates: All
enrollments
               35

               30      High attrition rates.                            31.1

               25
                       Improved retention over
% completion




                       time.
               20                                        19.8
               15
                          10.5            11.3
               10

               5

               0
                    2005 (n=802)   2006 (n=4493) 2007 (n=32,065) 2008 (n=47937)
                                                 years
Completion rates: Enrollments vs.
   Starter
                   60      Eliminate non-
                   50
                        starters, completions              52.3
                            jump by 20%.
    % completion




                   40
                                                  34.5
                   30                                      31.1
                                                                  All Enrollments
                   20                             19.8            Starters
                                   15.8
                   10     10.5
                          10.4     11.3

                   0
                        2005     2006           2007     2008
                                        years

* Starters defined as enrolled and submitted at least one graded assignm
Reconsidering Non-Starters
                                       Old view:
                                        lazy, unmotivated, ex
                                        pect it will be easy
                                       Is there an alternative
                                        way to view this
                                        behavior?
                                       Alternative view:
                                        smart, self aware
                                         Will this work for me?
                                         Does it meet my
                                          expectations for
                                          WHAT and HOW I
                                          want to learn?

      Image source: http://atlasschoolblog.files.wordpress.com/2009/08/lazy_student1.jpg
On Opening Access
Email dated Feb 21, 2010

Dear Ms. Walker,
  Hey i am debating on whether or not to take U.S.
  government with EHS, and i thought that by filling
  out the class registration i would be able to see
  how the class was like. However, i wasn't able to
  and now am enrolled so i was wondering how i
  can see what the class is like and also if i can get
  of the enrolled waiting list, and how.
Thanks,
student
Non Starter Implications
   Students are enrolling without knowing what
    they are getting into. Explore and
    realize, “Hey, this isn’t for me.”
   If you were to make the content open for
    students to examine BEFORE enrolling, then
    the costs associated with
    enrolling, withdrawing, seat space within
    course can be reduced
   Gives more decision-making power /
    ownership back to the student
Completion Rates by Discipline
    Computer…            * Financial literacy and
     Fine Arts           Health are required courses
        World…           and may attract credit
      Science            acceleration students
Language Arts
 Mathematics
                         * Speculate that
    Electives /…
                         FL, PE, and Driver’s Ed.
Social Studies           are more applied
       Driver's…
   Health / PE
     Financial…

               0   20                40        60
                        %
                        completion
Completion Rates by Discipline
    Computer…
     Fine Arts      Research indicates math may
        World…      be harder online. Not
      Science
                    necessarily true at EHS.
Language Arts
 Mathematics
    Electives /…
Social Studies
       Driver's…
   Health / PE
     Financial…

               0   20                40   60
                        %
                        completion
Completion Rates by Discipline
    Computer…
                        * Why computer science?
     Fine Arts
                        * Why fine arts?
        World…
                        * Factor of content? Tool?
      Science
                        Teacher? Student?
Language Arts
 Mathematics
    Electives /…
Social Studies
       Driver's…
   Health / PE
     Financial…

               0   20                40         60
                        %
                        completion
Non Starters by Discipline
                                         •Where are students not even
  Driver's Education                     starting?
  Financial Literacy
  Electives / Career
         Health / PE
             Science
      Social Studies
Computer Education
            Fine Arts
  World Languages
      Language Arts
       Mathematics
                        0   10   20     30   40   50      60   70   80
                                      % of non starters
Non Starters by Discipline
                                         •Why?
  Driver's Education
                                            •Course quality low?
  Financial Literacy                        •Instructional approach
  Electives / Career                        mismatch?
         Health / PE                        •Pure exploration?
             Science
      Social Studies
Computer Education
            Fine Arts
  World Languages
      Language Arts
       Mathematics
                        0   10   20     30   40   50      60   70     80
                                      % of non starters
Mathematics Completion Rates
               60%               What does this data tell you?

               50%
% compeltion




               40%
                                                    Pre Algebra
               30%                                  Algebra I
                                                    Algebra II
               20%                                  Geometry
                                                    Calculus
               10%

               0%
                     Q1   Q2      Q3     Q4
                           quarters
Mathematics Completion Rates
                               Quarter 1 has higher attrition
                               than other quarters.
               60%             What is happening in Algebra II
                               and Calculus?
               50%
% compeltion




               40%
                                                     Pre Algebra
               30%                                   Algebra I
                                                     Algebra II
               20%                                   Geometry
                                                     Calculus
               10%

               0%
                     Q1   Q2      Q3      Q4
                           quarters
Language Arts Completion Rates
(2008)

               12 (n=814)
Grade Level




              11 (n=1771)


              10 (n=1461)


               9 (n=2683)


                            0   5   10      15        20   25   30
                                         Percentage
Grade Distribution: 2005 - 2008

                Non Complete
Grade Awarded




                          D
                                             * Bimodal grade
                          C                                               2008
                                             distribution
                                                                          2007
                                             * Over time more             2006
                          B
                                             credits awarded              2005
                          A
                                             with higher grades

                               0   20       40       60        80   100
                                        % of credits awarded
Time to Completion*
Year       Mean in      n          Std.
           Days                    Deviation
2005       630.51       86         421.99
2006       500.03       497        250.98
2007       260.44       6,159      162.79
2008       141.56       14,213     102.03

* Filtered out days with post dated grades.
Included length in class >= 3 days
Time to Completion by
Discipline
     Computer…             Completing faster
      Fine Arts            as program
         World…            stabilizes
       Science
 Language Arts
                                            2008
  Mathematics
                                            2007
     Electives /…
                                            2006
 Social Studies
                                            2005
        Driver's…
    Health / PE
      Financial…

                0   500   1000       1500
Duration of Activity in Calculus
Course for Non Completers
                80
                70
                60
                                           What does this data tell
                                                   you?
# of students




                50
                40
                30
                20
                10
                0
                     0
                         4
                             7




                                                               71
                                 14
                                      18
                                           29
                                                35
                                                     48
                                                          58


                                                                    81
                                                                         94
                                                                              121
                                                                                    131
                                                                                          141
                                                                                                153
                                                                                                      168
                                                                                                            183
                                                                                                                  202
                                                                                                                        230
                                                                                                                              259
                                                                                                                                    300
                                                                    days
Duration of Activity in Calculus
Course for Non Completers
(n=149)
                80
                70
                60
                                       Majority of non-completers
                                       stop all activity within first
# of students




                50
                                       three days of enrollment.
                40
                30
                20
                10
                0
                     0
                         4
                             7




                                                               71
                                 14
                                      18
                                           29
                                                35
                                                     48
                                                          58


                                                                    81
                                                                         94
                                                                              121
                                                                                    131
                                                                                          141
                                                                                                153
                                                                                                      168
                                                                                                            183
                                                                                                                  202
                                                                                                                        230
                                                                                                                              259
                                                                                                                                    300
                                                                    days
Duration of Activity in English 9
Course for Non Completers
(n=1,679)
                             Frequency
                 300

                 250   Majority of non-completers
                       stop all activity within first
 # of students




                 200
                          week of enrollment
                 150

                 100

                  50

                  0




                       302
                       332
                       103
                       124
                       139
                       163
                       187
                       212
                       245
                       273


                       383
                       420
                       472
                       570
                         0
                        14
                        28
                        42
                        56
                        72
                        86




                                     days
Duration of Activity in English 9
Course for Non Completers
(n=1,679)     Frequency
                300

                250   Non completer duration of
# of students




                200    activity mean: 64 days
                150     Completer duration of
                       activity mean: 132 days
                100

                 50

                 0
                      103
                      124
                      139
                      163
                      187
                      212
                      245
                      273
                      302
                      332
                      383
                      420
                      472
                      570
                        0


                       42
                       14
                       28

                       56
                       72
                       86




                                 days
Study Implications
   Necessity of tracking
     Data driven decision making
     Minimum: who, where, when…why
   Opening access to allow for preview
     Ormond Simpson – Open University, UK Samplers
     David Wiley – Brigham Young University, Courses
   Examination of Discipline
     Content? Medium? Teacher? Age?
     Increase research on affordances, limitations w/in dis.
     Mismatch between how do it online and how think
      learn online?
Future Directions
1.   Quantitative understanding
      Who?

      When?

      Where?

2.   Qualitative understanding
      Why?

      Challenging.   Common Patterns? Common
      barriers?
References
   Barbour, M. K., & Reeves, T. C. (2009). The reality of virtual schools: A review of the
    literature. Computers & Education, 52(2), 402-416.
   Berge, Z. L., && Clark, T. (2005). Virtual schools planning for success. New York:
    Teachers College Press.
   Bigbie, C., &McCarroll, W. (2000). The florida virtual high evaluation 1999-2000
    report. Retrieved October 15, 2007, from
    http://www.flvs.net/educators/documents/pdf/archived_evals/FLVS%20Annual%20Ev
    aluations/99-2000/99-2000%20Year%20End%20Evaluation.pdf
   Cavanaugh, C., Gillan, K. J., Bosnick, J., Hess, M., & Scott, H. (2005). Succeeding
    at the gateway: Secondary algebra learning in the virtual school. Jacksonville, FL:
    University of North Florida.
   McLeod, S., Hughes, J. E., Brown, R., Choi, J., & Maeda, Y. (2005). Algebra
    achievement in virtual and traditional schools. Naperville, IL: Learning Point
    Associates.
   Rice, K. L. (2006). A comprehensive look at distance education in the K-12 context.
    Journal of Research on Technology in Education, 38(4), 425-448.
   Smith, R., Clark, T., &Blomeyer, R. (2005). A synthesis of new research in K-12
    online learning. Naperville, IL: Learning Point Associates.

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AECT 2010 - Where Are We Losing Them? (dis)Engagement Patterns of Virtual High School Students

  • 1. WHERE ARE WE LOSING THEM? (DIS)ENGAGEMENT PATTERNS OF VIRTUAL HIGH SCHOOL Abigail Hawkins & Charles R. Graham, Brigham Young University Michael K. Barbour, Wayne State University
  • 2. Study Context  Attrition in K-12 online learning is aproblem. (Barbour & Reeves, 2009; Berge & Clark, 2005; Bigbie&McCarroll, 2000; Cavanaugh, Gillan, Bosnick, Hess, & Scott, 2005; McLeod, Hughes, Brown, Choi, & Maeda, 2005; Rice, 2006; Smith, Clark, &Blomeyer, 2005; Zucker&Kozma, 2003).  Targeted interventions = who, where, when, and why of student drop outs (Institute for Educational Research, 2008).  Study setting  Oldest (est. 1994) and one of largest (2008 enrollments = 47,932)  Asynchronous, self-paced, rolling-enrollment model  Little published research  High enrollments(i.e. 2008 =47,932) and attrition (i.e. 2008 = 68.9% )
  • 3. Study Purpose  Understand the WHERE and WHEN of student dropout at EHS. Study Questions  When are students disengaging?  Which disciplines are students withdrawing/stopping out of?
  • 4. Method  Examined 85,297 enrollments from 2005 - 2008, descriptive statistics  92 unique courses, 11 disciplines  75 part-time teachers  Student demographics limited  50%credit acceleration, 30% credit recovery, 20% both  Policy changes, Oct. 2007  30 days inactivity = dropped  Six-month completion time
  • 5. Student Enrollments: 2005- 2008 60000 Significant growth over time. 50000 150% 47932 increase # of students 40000 30000 32065 700% 20000 increase 10000 4493 0 802 2005 2006 2007 2008 years
  • 6. Enrollments vs. Starters: 2005- 2008 60000 2008: 65% of students actually get out of the gate. 50000 2007: 51% submit at least one assignment # of students 40000 30000 All Enrollments 20000 Starters 10000 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 years
  • 7. Completion Rates: All enrollments 35 30 High attrition rates. 31.1 25 Improved retention over % completion time. 20 19.8 15 10.5 11.3 10 5 0 2005 (n=802) 2006 (n=4493) 2007 (n=32,065) 2008 (n=47937) years
  • 8. Completion rates: Enrollments vs. Starter 60 Eliminate non- 50 starters, completions 52.3 jump by 20%. % completion 40 34.5 30 31.1 All Enrollments 20 19.8 Starters 15.8 10 10.5 10.4 11.3 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 years * Starters defined as enrolled and submitted at least one graded assignm
  • 9. Reconsidering Non-Starters  Old view: lazy, unmotivated, ex pect it will be easy  Is there an alternative way to view this behavior?  Alternative view: smart, self aware  Will this work for me?  Does it meet my expectations for WHAT and HOW I want to learn? Image source: http://atlasschoolblog.files.wordpress.com/2009/08/lazy_student1.jpg
  • 10. On Opening Access Email dated Feb 21, 2010 Dear Ms. Walker, Hey i am debating on whether or not to take U.S. government with EHS, and i thought that by filling out the class registration i would be able to see how the class was like. However, i wasn't able to and now am enrolled so i was wondering how i can see what the class is like and also if i can get of the enrolled waiting list, and how. Thanks, student
  • 11. Non Starter Implications  Students are enrolling without knowing what they are getting into. Explore and realize, “Hey, this isn’t for me.”  If you were to make the content open for students to examine BEFORE enrolling, then the costs associated with enrolling, withdrawing, seat space within course can be reduced  Gives more decision-making power / ownership back to the student
  • 12. Completion Rates by Discipline Computer… * Financial literacy and Fine Arts Health are required courses World… and may attract credit Science acceleration students Language Arts Mathematics * Speculate that Electives /… FL, PE, and Driver’s Ed. Social Studies are more applied Driver's… Health / PE Financial… 0 20 40 60 % completion
  • 13. Completion Rates by Discipline Computer… Fine Arts Research indicates math may World… be harder online. Not Science necessarily true at EHS. Language Arts Mathematics Electives /… Social Studies Driver's… Health / PE Financial… 0 20 40 60 % completion
  • 14. Completion Rates by Discipline Computer… * Why computer science? Fine Arts * Why fine arts? World… * Factor of content? Tool? Science Teacher? Student? Language Arts Mathematics Electives /… Social Studies Driver's… Health / PE Financial… 0 20 40 60 % completion
  • 15. Non Starters by Discipline •Where are students not even Driver's Education starting? Financial Literacy Electives / Career Health / PE Science Social Studies Computer Education Fine Arts World Languages Language Arts Mathematics 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 % of non starters
  • 16. Non Starters by Discipline •Why? Driver's Education •Course quality low? Financial Literacy •Instructional approach Electives / Career mismatch? Health / PE •Pure exploration? Science Social Studies Computer Education Fine Arts World Languages Language Arts Mathematics 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 % of non starters
  • 17. Mathematics Completion Rates 60% What does this data tell you? 50% % compeltion 40% Pre Algebra 30% Algebra I Algebra II 20% Geometry Calculus 10% 0% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 quarters
  • 18. Mathematics Completion Rates Quarter 1 has higher attrition than other quarters. 60% What is happening in Algebra II and Calculus? 50% % compeltion 40% Pre Algebra 30% Algebra I Algebra II 20% Geometry Calculus 10% 0% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 quarters
  • 19. Language Arts Completion Rates (2008) 12 (n=814) Grade Level 11 (n=1771) 10 (n=1461) 9 (n=2683) 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Percentage
  • 20. Grade Distribution: 2005 - 2008 Non Complete Grade Awarded D * Bimodal grade C 2008 distribution 2007 * Over time more 2006 B credits awarded 2005 A with higher grades 0 20 40 60 80 100 % of credits awarded
  • 21. Time to Completion* Year Mean in n Std. Days Deviation 2005 630.51 86 421.99 2006 500.03 497 250.98 2007 260.44 6,159 162.79 2008 141.56 14,213 102.03 * Filtered out days with post dated grades. Included length in class >= 3 days
  • 22. Time to Completion by Discipline Computer… Completing faster Fine Arts as program World… stabilizes Science Language Arts 2008 Mathematics 2007 Electives /… 2006 Social Studies 2005 Driver's… Health / PE Financial… 0 500 1000 1500
  • 23. Duration of Activity in Calculus Course for Non Completers 80 70 60 What does this data tell you? # of students 50 40 30 20 10 0 0 4 7 71 14 18 29 35 48 58 81 94 121 131 141 153 168 183 202 230 259 300 days
  • 24. Duration of Activity in Calculus Course for Non Completers (n=149) 80 70 60 Majority of non-completers stop all activity within first # of students 50 three days of enrollment. 40 30 20 10 0 0 4 7 71 14 18 29 35 48 58 81 94 121 131 141 153 168 183 202 230 259 300 days
  • 25. Duration of Activity in English 9 Course for Non Completers (n=1,679) Frequency 300 250 Majority of non-completers stop all activity within first # of students 200 week of enrollment 150 100 50 0 302 332 103 124 139 163 187 212 245 273 383 420 472 570 0 14 28 42 56 72 86 days
  • 26. Duration of Activity in English 9 Course for Non Completers (n=1,679) Frequency 300 250 Non completer duration of # of students 200 activity mean: 64 days 150 Completer duration of activity mean: 132 days 100 50 0 103 124 139 163 187 212 245 273 302 332 383 420 472 570 0 42 14 28 56 72 86 days
  • 27. Study Implications  Necessity of tracking  Data driven decision making  Minimum: who, where, when…why  Opening access to allow for preview  Ormond Simpson – Open University, UK Samplers  David Wiley – Brigham Young University, Courses  Examination of Discipline  Content? Medium? Teacher? Age?  Increase research on affordances, limitations w/in dis.  Mismatch between how do it online and how think learn online?
  • 28. Future Directions 1. Quantitative understanding  Who?  When?  Where? 2. Qualitative understanding  Why?  Challenging. Common Patterns? Common barriers?
  • 29. References  Barbour, M. K., & Reeves, T. C. (2009). The reality of virtual schools: A review of the literature. Computers & Education, 52(2), 402-416.  Berge, Z. L., && Clark, T. (2005). Virtual schools planning for success. New York: Teachers College Press.  Bigbie, C., &McCarroll, W. (2000). The florida virtual high evaluation 1999-2000 report. Retrieved October 15, 2007, from http://www.flvs.net/educators/documents/pdf/archived_evals/FLVS%20Annual%20Ev aluations/99-2000/99-2000%20Year%20End%20Evaluation.pdf  Cavanaugh, C., Gillan, K. J., Bosnick, J., Hess, M., & Scott, H. (2005). Succeeding at the gateway: Secondary algebra learning in the virtual school. Jacksonville, FL: University of North Florida.  McLeod, S., Hughes, J. E., Brown, R., Choi, J., & Maeda, Y. (2005). Algebra achievement in virtual and traditional schools. Naperville, IL: Learning Point Associates.  Rice, K. L. (2006). A comprehensive look at distance education in the K-12 context. Journal of Research on Technology in Education, 38(4), 425-448.  Smith, R., Clark, T., &Blomeyer, R. (2005). A synthesis of new research in K-12 online learning. Naperville, IL: Learning Point Associates.

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. Between 51 – 65% of students get out of the gate. Losing up to 48.9% (i.e. 2007) who don’t even submit a single assignment.
  2. Steady increase in completion rates as the program ages
  3. Still large # incompletesImprovement with age of program