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ANNUAL RESULTS
February 2010
MIKE WILSON
Chairman
Mike Wilson
CHAIRMAN

David Bellamy
CHIEF EXECUTIVE

Andrew Croft
FINANCE DIRECTOR
Agenda

Introduction

MIKE WILSON

Business Update

DAVID BELLAMY

Financials

ANDREW CROFT

Outlook

DAVID BELLAMY

Q&A
DAVID BELLAMY
Chief Executive
Review of 2009

New Business
• Total single investments of £3.5bn up 13%
• APE of £440.8m up 5%
• Manufactured proportion 91%
Investment new business
Single premiums

£738.0m
£557.9m

£554.7m

Q2

Q3

£431.0m

Q1

Q4

2009 over 2008
-15%

-12%

+20%

+64%
Pensions new business
Single premiums

£346.7m
£280.1m

£269.7m

£280.1m

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

2009 over 2008
+11%

-0%

-1%

+30%
Total single investments
Investments

Pensions

£269.7m

£346.7m
£280.1m

£280.1m
£738.0m
£557.9m
£431.0m

Q1

Q2

£554.7m

Q3

Q4

2009 over 2008
-6%

-8%

+12%

+50%
Total new business (APE)
APE (Annual premiums plus 10% of single premiums)

£133.2m
£109.2m

£104.6m

Q2

Q3

£93.8m

Q1

Q4

2009 over 2008
-5%

-10%

+3%

+38%
Manufactured new business (APE)
APE (Annual premiums plus 10% of single premiums)

£122.7m
£98.4m

£95.7m

Q2

Q3

£83.3m

Q1

Q4

2009 over 2008
-1%

-3%

+12%

+43%
Review of 2009

Funds under Management
• Continued 95% retention
• Net inflows of funds of £2.3bn up 35%
• Funds under management £21.4bn up 31%
Net inflow of funds under management

+35%
+36%
+56%

£1.9bn

-10%

£2.3bn

£1.7bn

£1.4bn
£0.9bn

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

Percentage of opening FUM
9%

11%

12%

9%

14%
Review of 2009

Partnership
• Continued strong retention
• 20 Academy graduates
• Partnership numbers 1464 up 9%
Number of Partners

+9%
1,464

+7%
+8%
+2%

+5%

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009
Review of 2009
New Business
• Total single investments of £3.5bn up 13%
• APE of £440.8m up 5% (H1 -8%; H2 +20%)
• Manufactured proportion 91%
Funds under Management
• Continued 95% retention
• Net inflows of funds of £2.3bn up 35%
• Funds under management £21.4bn up 31%
Partnership
• Continued strong retention
• 20 Academy graduates
• Partnership numbers 1464 up 9%
ANDREW CROFT
Finance Director
Profit measures
EEV
• Result reflects the net present value of future shareholder
cash flows
Cash result
• Is a measure of the underlying cash generated by the
business
• Reflects the positive cash flow from in force business less
the negative cash flow from acquiring new business
IFRS result
• Aims to smooth the emergence of profit over the life of the
contract
We manage shareholder value based on the EEV
and cash result and not the IFRS result
Highlights

• EEV new business profit of £155.4 million
up 26%
• EEV operating of £228.9 million up 12%
• EEV pretax profits of £363.2 million compared
with a loss of £115.9 million in 2008
• EEV net asset value per share of 284.5p up 22%
• Final dividend of 2.66p up 4%
Analysis of Operating Profit
£’m

New business contribution
Profits from existing business
–expected
–experience variance
–operating assumption changes

Investment income
Life & unit trust operating profit
Other
Operating profit

2009

2008

155.4

123.5

78.3
11.6
(1.5)
5.6
249.4
(20.5)
228.9

80.5
16.9
(0.9)
4.9
224.9
(20.6)
204.3
Margin

• Higher new business
• Manufactured business 91% compared
with 86%
• Total direct expenses and establishment
costs down 4%
• Margin as percentage of APE increased to
35.3% (2008: 29.5%)
Analysis of Operating Profit
£’m

New business contribution
Profits from existing business
–expected
–experience variance
–operating assumption changes

Investment income
Life & unit trust operating profit
Other
Operating profit

2009

2008

155.4

123.5

78.3
11.6
(1.5)
5.6
249.4
(20.5)
228.9

80.5
16.9
(0.9)
4.9
224.9
(20.6)
204.3
Analysis of Operating Profit
£’m

New business contribution
Profits from existing business
–expected
–experience variance
–operating assumption changes

Investment income
Life & unit trust operating profit
Other
Operating profit

2009

2008

155.4

123.5

78.3
11.6
(1.5)
5.6
249.4
(20.5)
228.9

80.5
16.9
(0.9)
4.9
224.9
(20.6)
204.3
Analysis of Operating Profit
£’m

New business contribution
Profits from existing business
–expected
–experience variance
–operating assumption change

Investment income
Life & unit trust operating profit
Other
Operating profit

2009

2008

155.4

123.5

78.3
11.6
(1.5)
5.6
249.4
(20.5)
228.9

80.5
16.9
(0.9)
4.9
224.9
(20.6)
204.3
Analysis of Operating Profit
£’m

New business contribution
Profits from existing business
–expected
–experience variance
–operating assumption change

Investment income
Life & unit trust operating profit
Other
Operating profit

2009

2008

155.4

123.5

78.3
11.6
(1.5)
5.6
249.4
(20.5)
228.9

80.5
16.9
(0.9)
4.9
224.9
(20.6)
204.3
Analysis of Operating Profit
£’m

New business contribution
Profits from existing business
–expected
–experience variance
–operating assumption change

Investment income
Life & unit trust operating profit
Other
Operating profit

2009

2008

155.4

123.5

78.3
11.6
(1.5)
5.6
249.4
(20.5)
228.9

80.5
16.9
(0.9)
4.9
224.9
(20.6)
204.3
Analysis of Pre-Tax Result
£’m

2009

2008

Operating profit

228.9

204.3

Investment variance
Economic assumption change
Pre-tax result

148.2
(13.9)
363.2

(320.6)
0.4
(115.9)
Investment Variance

• Sensitivity provided is for a 10% change in
the value of equities
• Some 70/80% of our funds under
management are invested in equities
• Our funds are global and the £ MSCI is the
best index to use in your modelling
Analysis of Pre-Tax Result
£’m

2009

2008

Operating profit

228.9

204.3

Investment variance

148.2

(320.6)

Economic assumption change
(13.9)
Pre-tax result
363.2

0.4
(115.9)
Analysis of Pre-Tax Result
£’m

2009

2008

Operating profit

228.9

204.3

Investment variance

148.2

(320.6)

Economic assumption change
Pre-tax result

(13.9)
363.2

0.4
(115.9)
EEV Net Asset Value per Share

Net asset value
284.5p
Analysis of Post Tax Cash Result
£’m

2009

2008

Arising on in force business

88.8

91.4

Arising from new business
Cash Result

(65.3)
23.5

(67.3)
24.1
Dividend

Final dividend
Increased by 4% to 2.66 pence
Full year dividend
Up 2.5% to 4.5 pence
Capital Position

• Total group solvency assets of £263.3
• Solvency remains strong
• Investment policy for solvency assets
continues to be prudent
• Solvency II
IFRS Result
£’m

2009

2008

One–off items
Share options
Interest income
Other
Profit before policyholder tax

(8.6)
6.1
52.4
49.9

16.2
(14.9)
22.6
56.8
80.7
IFRS example
• £100,000 unit trust investment
• 5% bid offer spread and 3% directly
attributable expenses
• Cash profit of £2,000 (£5,000-3,000)
• IFRS result spreads profit over the expected life
of contract
• If expected life of the contract is 5 years then year 1
profit is £400
• However if expected life of contract is 10 years then
year 1 profit is £200
• A tension between managing the IFRS result and
shareholder value
Summary

• Record new business
• Establishment expenses 4% below last year
• Record new business contribution
• Highest ever margin
• Positive experience variance
• Increased operating profit
• Strong solvency position
• Increased dividend
DAVID BELLAMY
Chief Executive
Review of 2009

• A record year
•
•
•
•

in new business
in funds under management
in new business profit
in recruitment and size of the Partnership

• A year of two halves
2009 Productivity (APE per Partner)

+27%

-4%

-11%
-17%

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4
The Growth Model
Target
15 – 20% pa
New Business

Capacity
No of Partners

Productivity
New Business
Per Partner
2009 Productivity (APE per Partner)

+27%

-4%

-11%
-17%

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4
2009 Growth in APE
Average APE

New Partners

+11%

+27%
+6%
-11%

+7%

Q1

Q2

+7%
-4%

-17%

Q3

Q4

Total APE Growth
-5%

-10%

+3%

+38%
Productivity (APE per Partner £’000s)
+14%
+61%

388.0

-3%

323.2

311.8

-9%

314.1

2008

2009

+23%
193.4

2005

2006

2007
Number of Partners

+9%
1,464

+7%
+8%
+2%

+5%

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009
Retail Distribution Review

• Further demonstration of our professionalism
• Accredited SJP module
• Realigned management structure
• We will minimise fall out and disruption
Retail Distribution Review

Provider/Product Bias
• No provider bias
• Minor product differences – already addressed
Restricted Advice
• Variation on a theme
• Investment Management Approach is key
• Professional and trusted advice is what matters
Retail Distribution Review

Adviser Charging
• Still not clear
• Vertically Integrated Firms are different (to IFA’s)
• Our approach is integrated
• we are responsible for the advice (we guarantee it!)
• we have a distinct investment approach
• we build long term relationships

• The market will decide if ‘margins’ are to change
• but supply and demand principles will prevail
Retail Distribution Review

• Having a positive impact on recruitment
• We’re embracing the ‘Diploma’
• We’ve addressed any question of ‘bias’
• We believe we are better placed than most
Evolving Fund Range
2008
• Alternative Asset Fund - Blackrock
• High Octane Fund
• Cash Unit Trust

- Oldfield
- State Street

2009
• Corporate Bond Fund - Invesco Perpetual
• Gilt Unit Trust
- Wellington
• Income Unit Trust
• New managers

- Axa Framlington
- Burgundy/Liberty Square/JO Hambro
Investment Management Approach

• Emerging Market Fund
• Global Bond Fund
• Absolute Return Fund
Strengthen the Team

• Senior team together for 18 years
• Development from within
• Charles Gregson – new Non-Executive
• Chris Ralph, Vivian Bazalgette
& Peter Dunscombe
The SJP Opportunity

• In excess of 8m people in the UK with liquid
assets over £50k
• In excess of 500,000 people in the UK with
liquid assets over £500k
• Total liquid assets estimated to be over of
£1.5 trillion over 50% of which is held in cash
The SJP Opportunity
• ISA’s
• £170bn - Cash (BSA)
• £116bn - Stocks & shares (HMRC)
• £220bn
Building Society deposits (BSA)
• £750bn
Bank deposits (LBG)
• £480bn
Mutual Funds (IMA)
The Opportunities

• Increasing tax burden
• Sustained low interest rates
• People not confident they have enough for
retirement
• Migration from DB pensions to DC continues
• Fewer advisers (200,000 – 1990; 50,000 – 2010)
Summary

• Proven track record of growth
• Resilient in tough markets
• Well positioned for future growth
operating assumption change

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operating assumption change

  • 3. Mike Wilson CHAIRMAN David Bellamy CHIEF EXECUTIVE Andrew Croft FINANCE DIRECTOR
  • 4. Agenda Introduction MIKE WILSON Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A
  • 6. Review of 2009 New Business • Total single investments of £3.5bn up 13% • APE of £440.8m up 5% • Manufactured proportion 91%
  • 7. Investment new business Single premiums £738.0m £557.9m £554.7m Q2 Q3 £431.0m Q1 Q4 2009 over 2008 -15% -12% +20% +64%
  • 8. Pensions new business Single premiums £346.7m £280.1m £269.7m £280.1m Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2009 over 2008 +11% -0% -1% +30%
  • 10. Total new business (APE) APE (Annual premiums plus 10% of single premiums) £133.2m £109.2m £104.6m Q2 Q3 £93.8m Q1 Q4 2009 over 2008 -5% -10% +3% +38%
  • 11. Manufactured new business (APE) APE (Annual premiums plus 10% of single premiums) £122.7m £98.4m £95.7m Q2 Q3 £83.3m Q1 Q4 2009 over 2008 -1% -3% +12% +43%
  • 12. Review of 2009 Funds under Management • Continued 95% retention • Net inflows of funds of £2.3bn up 35% • Funds under management £21.4bn up 31%
  • 13. Net inflow of funds under management +35% +36% +56% £1.9bn -10% £2.3bn £1.7bn £1.4bn £0.9bn 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Percentage of opening FUM 9% 11% 12% 9% 14%
  • 14. Review of 2009 Partnership • Continued strong retention • 20 Academy graduates • Partnership numbers 1464 up 9%
  • 16. Review of 2009 New Business • Total single investments of £3.5bn up 13% • APE of £440.8m up 5% (H1 -8%; H2 +20%) • Manufactured proportion 91% Funds under Management • Continued 95% retention • Net inflows of funds of £2.3bn up 35% • Funds under management £21.4bn up 31% Partnership • Continued strong retention • 20 Academy graduates • Partnership numbers 1464 up 9%
  • 18. Profit measures EEV • Result reflects the net present value of future shareholder cash flows Cash result • Is a measure of the underlying cash generated by the business • Reflects the positive cash flow from in force business less the negative cash flow from acquiring new business IFRS result • Aims to smooth the emergence of profit over the life of the contract We manage shareholder value based on the EEV and cash result and not the IFRS result
  • 19. Highlights • EEV new business profit of £155.4 million up 26% • EEV operating of £228.9 million up 12% • EEV pretax profits of £363.2 million compared with a loss of £115.9 million in 2008 • EEV net asset value per share of 284.5p up 22% • Final dividend of 2.66p up 4%
  • 20. Analysis of Operating Profit £’m New business contribution Profits from existing business –expected –experience variance –operating assumption changes Investment income Life & unit trust operating profit Other Operating profit 2009 2008 155.4 123.5 78.3 11.6 (1.5) 5.6 249.4 (20.5) 228.9 80.5 16.9 (0.9) 4.9 224.9 (20.6) 204.3
  • 21. Margin • Higher new business • Manufactured business 91% compared with 86% • Total direct expenses and establishment costs down 4% • Margin as percentage of APE increased to 35.3% (2008: 29.5%)
  • 22. Analysis of Operating Profit £’m New business contribution Profits from existing business –expected –experience variance –operating assumption changes Investment income Life & unit trust operating profit Other Operating profit 2009 2008 155.4 123.5 78.3 11.6 (1.5) 5.6 249.4 (20.5) 228.9 80.5 16.9 (0.9) 4.9 224.9 (20.6) 204.3
  • 23. Analysis of Operating Profit £’m New business contribution Profits from existing business –expected –experience variance –operating assumption changes Investment income Life & unit trust operating profit Other Operating profit 2009 2008 155.4 123.5 78.3 11.6 (1.5) 5.6 249.4 (20.5) 228.9 80.5 16.9 (0.9) 4.9 224.9 (20.6) 204.3
  • 24. Analysis of Operating Profit £’m New business contribution Profits from existing business –expected –experience variance –operating assumption change Investment income Life & unit trust operating profit Other Operating profit 2009 2008 155.4 123.5 78.3 11.6 (1.5) 5.6 249.4 (20.5) 228.9 80.5 16.9 (0.9) 4.9 224.9 (20.6) 204.3
  • 25. Analysis of Operating Profit £’m New business contribution Profits from existing business –expected –experience variance –operating assumption change Investment income Life & unit trust operating profit Other Operating profit 2009 2008 155.4 123.5 78.3 11.6 (1.5) 5.6 249.4 (20.5) 228.9 80.5 16.9 (0.9) 4.9 224.9 (20.6) 204.3
  • 26. Analysis of Operating Profit £’m New business contribution Profits from existing business –expected –experience variance –operating assumption change Investment income Life & unit trust operating profit Other Operating profit 2009 2008 155.4 123.5 78.3 11.6 (1.5) 5.6 249.4 (20.5) 228.9 80.5 16.9 (0.9) 4.9 224.9 (20.6) 204.3
  • 27. Analysis of Pre-Tax Result £’m 2009 2008 Operating profit 228.9 204.3 Investment variance Economic assumption change Pre-tax result 148.2 (13.9) 363.2 (320.6) 0.4 (115.9)
  • 28. Investment Variance • Sensitivity provided is for a 10% change in the value of equities • Some 70/80% of our funds under management are invested in equities • Our funds are global and the £ MSCI is the best index to use in your modelling
  • 29. Analysis of Pre-Tax Result £’m 2009 2008 Operating profit 228.9 204.3 Investment variance 148.2 (320.6) Economic assumption change (13.9) Pre-tax result 363.2 0.4 (115.9)
  • 30. Analysis of Pre-Tax Result £’m 2009 2008 Operating profit 228.9 204.3 Investment variance 148.2 (320.6) Economic assumption change Pre-tax result (13.9) 363.2 0.4 (115.9)
  • 31. EEV Net Asset Value per Share Net asset value 284.5p
  • 32. Analysis of Post Tax Cash Result £’m 2009 2008 Arising on in force business 88.8 91.4 Arising from new business Cash Result (65.3) 23.5 (67.3) 24.1
  • 33. Dividend Final dividend Increased by 4% to 2.66 pence Full year dividend Up 2.5% to 4.5 pence
  • 34. Capital Position • Total group solvency assets of £263.3 • Solvency remains strong • Investment policy for solvency assets continues to be prudent • Solvency II
  • 35. IFRS Result £’m 2009 2008 One–off items Share options Interest income Other Profit before policyholder tax (8.6) 6.1 52.4 49.9 16.2 (14.9) 22.6 56.8 80.7
  • 36.
  • 37. IFRS example • £100,000 unit trust investment • 5% bid offer spread and 3% directly attributable expenses • Cash profit of £2,000 (£5,000-3,000) • IFRS result spreads profit over the expected life of contract • If expected life of the contract is 5 years then year 1 profit is £400 • However if expected life of contract is 10 years then year 1 profit is £200 • A tension between managing the IFRS result and shareholder value
  • 38. Summary • Record new business • Establishment expenses 4% below last year • Record new business contribution • Highest ever margin • Positive experience variance • Increased operating profit • Strong solvency position • Increased dividend
  • 40. Review of 2009 • A record year • • • • in new business in funds under management in new business profit in recruitment and size of the Partnership • A year of two halves
  • 41. 2009 Productivity (APE per Partner) +27% -4% -11% -17% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
  • 42. The Growth Model Target 15 – 20% pa New Business Capacity No of Partners Productivity New Business Per Partner
  • 43. 2009 Productivity (APE per Partner) +27% -4% -11% -17% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
  • 44. 2009 Growth in APE Average APE New Partners +11% +27% +6% -11% +7% Q1 Q2 +7% -4% -17% Q3 Q4 Total APE Growth -5% -10% +3% +38%
  • 45. Productivity (APE per Partner £’000s) +14% +61% 388.0 -3% 323.2 311.8 -9% 314.1 2008 2009 +23% 193.4 2005 2006 2007
  • 47.
  • 48. Retail Distribution Review • Further demonstration of our professionalism • Accredited SJP module • Realigned management structure • We will minimise fall out and disruption
  • 49. Retail Distribution Review Provider/Product Bias • No provider bias • Minor product differences – already addressed Restricted Advice • Variation on a theme • Investment Management Approach is key • Professional and trusted advice is what matters
  • 50. Retail Distribution Review Adviser Charging • Still not clear • Vertically Integrated Firms are different (to IFA’s) • Our approach is integrated • we are responsible for the advice (we guarantee it!) • we have a distinct investment approach • we build long term relationships • The market will decide if ‘margins’ are to change • but supply and demand principles will prevail
  • 51. Retail Distribution Review • Having a positive impact on recruitment • We’re embracing the ‘Diploma’ • We’ve addressed any question of ‘bias’ • We believe we are better placed than most
  • 52. Evolving Fund Range 2008 • Alternative Asset Fund - Blackrock • High Octane Fund • Cash Unit Trust - Oldfield - State Street 2009 • Corporate Bond Fund - Invesco Perpetual • Gilt Unit Trust - Wellington • Income Unit Trust • New managers - Axa Framlington - Burgundy/Liberty Square/JO Hambro
  • 53. Investment Management Approach • Emerging Market Fund • Global Bond Fund • Absolute Return Fund
  • 54. Strengthen the Team • Senior team together for 18 years • Development from within • Charles Gregson – new Non-Executive • Chris Ralph, Vivian Bazalgette & Peter Dunscombe
  • 55. The SJP Opportunity • In excess of 8m people in the UK with liquid assets over £50k • In excess of 500,000 people in the UK with liquid assets over £500k • Total liquid assets estimated to be over of £1.5 trillion over 50% of which is held in cash
  • 56. The SJP Opportunity • ISA’s • £170bn - Cash (BSA) • £116bn - Stocks & shares (HMRC) • £220bn Building Society deposits (BSA) • £750bn Bank deposits (LBG) • £480bn Mutual Funds (IMA)
  • 57. The Opportunities • Increasing tax burden • Sustained low interest rates • People not confident they have enough for retirement • Migration from DB pensions to DC continues • Fewer advisers (200,000 – 1990; 50,000 – 2010)
  • 58. Summary • Proven track record of growth • Resilient in tough markets • Well positioned for future growth

Notes de l'éditeur

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