The EU‘s post 2012 Climate Change strategy

The EU‘s post 2012 Climate Change strategy Towards a comprehensive climate change agreement in Copenhagen Thomas Bernheim, DG Environment European Commission ,[object Object]

The global scientific consensus ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

A global pathway to stay below 2°C Global Peak by 2020 Global -50% by 2050 rel. 1990 Developed Countries to cut by 80-95% by 2050 rel. 1990 Recent Science ?

Why 2 ° C? Getting into the danger zone

Delay has serious impacts ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object], Call on all developed countries to commit to ambitious cuts by 2020 to avoid unrealistic pathways ,[object Object]

DC need to participate over time ... If Annex I alone reduces emissions to zero ... Global emission path compatible with 2°C

EU vision for Copenhagen: targets and actions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

EU’s vision for Copenhagen: reductions are affordable but carbon markets key to cost-efficiency ,[object Object],[object Object],Source: European Commission 39 bn € 81 bn € 166 bn € Total incremental costs in developed countries in 2020 (2005 prices) 22 € 43 € 72 € Carbon price per tonne CO 2 in developed countries ETS, 2020 Perfect global carbon market Gradual global carbon market No global carbon market 30% Annex I reduction below 1990 by 2020

EU’s vision for Copenhagen: Towards comparable QELROs ,[object Object],Country B ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],2020 Average Country A

Leading through example: The climate and energy package ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

The climate and energy package at a glance large industrial installations & aviation Carbon capture and storage Directive CO2&cars Renewable Energy Directive Fuel Quality Directive -20% / 30% technology specific & product policies cross-sectoral targets & instruments “ small emitters” EU ETS Effort Sharing Decision

Climate and energy package: Approach ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Overall architecture GHG Target by 2020: -20% compared to 1990 -14% compared to 2005 EU ETS -21% compared to 2005 Non ETS sectors -10% compared to 2005 27 Member State targets, stretching from -20% to +20%

EU Emissions Trading System (EU ETS) Some basics ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Strengthening EU ETS from 2013 (third phase) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Effort sharing outside EU ETS: Differentiated national targets for 2020 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Effort sharing outside EU ETS: National targets for 2020

Effort sharing outside EU ETS: Linear reduction pathway… with flexibility for compliance ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

What happens after Copenhagen agreement? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Final remarks ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Next steps ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

More… ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

The EU‘s post 2012 Climate Change strategy

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The EU‘s post 2012 Climate Change strategy